Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Week 10
Blackboard: http://telt.unsw.edu.au
1. Introduction
In this weeks lectures, you will learn to perform financial statement analysis, especially ratio analysis, to assess the financial performance and viability of a company. By the end of this week, you should be able to:
(1) locate the information in the financial reports that is needed calculate some basic ratios reflecting a companys performance, activity, liquidity, and financial structure; and (2) interpret the ratios you have calculated to provide a financial commentary on the company.
You should also be able to understand the limitations of ratio analysis, because we are reliant on the historical information provided by the company and that the quality of this information is very much affected by accounting measurement issues and accounting policy choices made by management.
Learning objectives
At the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Explain the purpose of financial statement analysis 2. Identify types of ratios and their usefulness 3. Calculate and interpret the key financial ratios 4. Identify the limitations of ratio analysis
Required readings
Trotman & Gibbins Chapter 14: pages 615-631
Other References:
Deegan, Craig. 2007. Australian Financial Accounting, 5h Edition, North Ryde: McGraw Hill Australian Pty Ltd Carlon, S., Mladenovic, R., Loftus, J., Palm, C., Kimmel, P., Kieso, D. E., & Weygandt, J.J., 2009, Accounting, building business skills, Milton, Qld: John Wiley & Sons (3rd edition)
Preparation Questions
T&G T&G
Tutorial Questions
Performance Ratios :
Return on Assets Woolworths = Earnings Before Interest and Tax Total Assets 2007 2006
Return on Assets
Return on Equity
Profit Margin
Gross Margin
Activity/Turnover Ratios :
Total Asset Turnover = Sales Total Assets 2007 2006
Inventory Turnover
Inventory= $1969.6 million in the 2005 Balance Sheet: Woolworths Inventory Turnover 2007 2006
Days in Inventory
Debtors Turnover
Assume that 2% of Woolworths sales in 2007 were on credit: Woolworths Debtors Turnover 2007
Days in Debtor
Liquidity Ratios :
Current Ratio Woolworths Current Ratio = 2007 Current Assets Current Liabilities 2006
Quick Ratio
Current Liabilities
2007
2006
Leverage Ratio
2007
2006
Lecture objectives TC: Explain the purpose of financial statement analysis. Identify types of ratios and their usefulness. HOT: Calculate and interpret the key financial ratios. Identify the limitations of ratio analysis.
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Week 10
Ratio Analysis
Prepared by: Dr. Wei Chen Presented by: Mr. J Knapp
Ratio analysis
Ratios can be calculated in different ways e.g., Return on Assets = Net Profit After Tax Total Assets or = Net Profit Before Tax Total Assets or = Earnings Before Interest & Tax Total Assets
Ratio analysis
Ratios can be grouped in many different ways e.g.,
Performance Activity
or turnover structure
Liquidity Financial
Performance ratios
Performance ratios aim to give the financial statement user some indication of the companys record of generating profits and its potential for generating profits in the future. Performance ratios:
return on equity profit margin earnings per share price/earnings ratio return on assets gross margin cash flow to total assets dividend payout ratio.
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Total Assets
This ratio describes the rate of return management was able to earn on the assets that it had available during the year. An informed judgment about the firms profitability requires relating income from operations to the assets used to generate that net profit.
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Lecture Example
Owners are interested in expressing the profits of the firm as a rate of return on the amount of shareholders equity.
Return on = Equity
Woolworths Return on Equity
Profit Margin =
Gross Margin =
A discount retailer in a competitive market will have a low margin, and an upscale jeweller to have a _____ high margin. (please fill in the blanks using Low or _____ High)
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Gross Margin provides a further indication of the companys product pricing and product mix.
Remember: Gross profit= Sales revenue - COGS
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Lecture Example
(please complete the blanks in lecture notes) Operating Profit After Tax Sales Revenue
2007 =1311.3/42477.1 =3.09% 2006 =1026.7/37734.2 =2.72%
Net operating profit Dividends on preferred shares Weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding
Gross Margin=
Woolworths Gross Margin
EPS relates earnings attributable to ordinary shares to the number of ordinary shares issued. E.g. Woolworths
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Performance ratios
These ratios should exceed zero (a positive return). You would prefer their values to be as high as possible. Values of these ratios generally range between 5% and 20%.
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Inventory Turnover
Inventory = Turnover COGS Average Inventory
Assets Turnover reflects a companys ability to use its assets to generate sales.
An
a measure of the number of times inventory is sold or used during the period the efficiency of inventory management
Days in = Inventory 365 Inventory Turnover
Debtors Turnover
Debtors = Credit Sales Turnover Average Trade Debtors This ratio indicates the efficiency of the company to collect the amount due from debtors. Days in 365 = Debtors Debtors Turnover The debtors turnover can be divided into 365 days in order to calculate the average number of days to collect accounts receivable.
Lecture Example
-- Activity (Turnover) Ratios (please complete the blanks in lecture notes)
Assets = Turnover
Woolworths Assets Turnover
Inventory = Turnover
Woolworths Inventory Turnover Days in Inventory
Too high a figure may indicate a problem with the granting of credit and/or collection policies. Too low a figure may indicate that the credit granting and/or collection policies are too strict (by, for example, industry standards) and sales are being lost.
=31832.8/0.5(2739.2+2316.1)
=12.59
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=13.25
=365/12.59 =28.99
=365/13.25 =27.55
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Lecture Example
-- Activity (Turnover) Ratios (please complete the blanks in lecture notes)
Debtors = Credit Sales Turnover Average Trade Debtors
Liquidity ratios
Liquidity ratios aimed at giving the financial statement user some indication of the companys ability to pay its short term debts as they fall due. Liquidity ratios:
- Current Ratio - Quick Ratio
Remember, a company may be forced into liquidation if it cant pay its short term debts (even though it might be profitable in the long term).
Assume that 2% of Woolworths sales in 2007 were on credit: Woolworths Debtors Turnover Days in Debtors 2007 =2%x 42477.1/0.5(95.7+85.1) =9.40 =365/9.40 =38.83
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Current Liabilities
This ratio measures the ability of the company to pay current debts as they become due.
low ratio may indicate a problem in paying A ____ short term debts. high ratio may indicate the company may A too ____ not be efficiently using its current assets.
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particularly useful for companies that cannot convert inventory into cash quickly if necessary.
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Lecture Example
-- Liquidity Ratios (please complete the blanks in lecture notes)
Current = Ratio
Woolworths Current Ratio
=4161.0/5502.8 =0.76
Quick Ratio =
Current Liabilities
2007
=(798.8+484.7+41.4)/5502.8
2006
=(525.9+1160.4+2.8)/4874.3
=0.35
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high the ratio, the greater risk will be _____er associated with the firm's operation.
less higher the ratio, the ______is funded by more is funded by debt. equity; the ______
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Lecture Example
-- Financial Structure Ratios (please complete the blanks in lecture notes)
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Woolworths Debt-to-Equity Ratio
=8901.4/5514.7 =1.61
Leverage Ratio
Woolworths
Leverage Ratio
Du Pont Analysis
1) Profit margin = Operating Profit After Tax Sales Sales 2) Asset turnover = Total Assets 3) Leverage =
Total Assets Total Shareholders Equity
4) Return on equity = 1) x 2) x 3)
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The usefulness of ratios is based upon the belief that past relationships are useful in forecasting future performance. However, numerous factors may mean that past relationships do not continue into the future.
Year end data may not be reflective of the typical situation of the company. Furthermore, management may attempt to improve certain ratios by, for example, using cash to pay off short term borrowings (improves the current ratio).
Failure to adjust for inflation or market values results in current dollar amounts often being compared to past dollar amounts. For example, current dollar profits with historical dollar assets.
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For example, many foreign companies will not disclose cost of goods sold, making the calculation of inventory turnover difficult.
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Different accounting methods, size, geographical operations, etc. may make it difficult to find an appropriate benchmark against which to compare the ratios calculated.
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2007 Company A 500,000 100.0 384,000 76.8 Company B 300,000 100.0 217,800 72.6
400,000 319,200
100.0 79.8
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Trend analysis
Evaluate changes in financial data over a period of time
Year-to-year
Trend analysis(Example)
2001 Sales COGS Gross Profit Expenses Net Profit 1,000,000 200,000 800,000 200,000 600,000 2002 2,000,000 800,000 1,200,000 600,000 600,000 percentage Change 100% 300% 50% 200% 0%
(2mil 1mil) 1 mil
change
or
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