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1.MARKET STUDY 1.

1 INTRODUCTION
The following market t!"# wa $arrie" o!t with a %e$ifi$ $o%e& that i a te$hni$al'e$onomi$ fea i(ilit# anal# i $entere" on the e ta(li hing of a Melt ho% an" a Rolling Mill %lant to %ro"!$e re'(ar from S$ra% a raw material for "ome ti$ market an" if an# for the international one. The e timate" ann!al %ro"!$tion $a%a$it# i )*+,+++ t%# of re'(ar . The main aim of thi t!"# i to a e the %a t "e-elo%ment of re'(ar an" (illet an" to fore$a t their f!t!re tren" & mo tl# in term of relate" %ro"!$tion& $on !m%tion an" %ri$e . The %erio" taken into $on i"eration goe from .++/ to .+.+ an" tati ti$al "ata anal#0e"& (oth re'(ar an" (illet & are the following1 R! ian %ro"!$tion of (illet an" long %ro"!$t 2of whi$h re'(ar 3 in talle" $a%a$it#1 4illet an" re'(ar tra"ing market (etween R! ia an" it hi tori$all# mo t im%ortant %artner $o!ntrie . International an" lo$al (illet 5 re'(ar %ro$e . A to f!t!re fore$a t & the market t!"# tret$he to the .+.+ .

1.. RUSSIAN ECONOMY


BASIC FIGURES1 The tati ti$al fig!re for in R! ia in the #ear .++/& .++6 an" .+11 are a :follow 7o%!lation1 .+1+ 1 181 mil 9D7 %er $a%ita1 .++/ 1 .++6 1 .+1+ 1 Inflation rate1 .++6 1 .+1+ 1 .+11 1 Unem%lo#ment 1 .++/ 1 .++6 1 .+1+ 1 US: 1;,1;1 US: 18,6++ US: 1*,/++ /./ < /./ < =.6 < 8.8=61 mil ;.)=) mil *.;); mil

Statistics forecast:
The tati ti$al fore$a t for in R! ia in the #ear .+1.& .+1* an" .+.+ are a :follow 7o%!lation1 .+1. 1 18. mil .+1* 1 18) mil .+.+ 1 18= mil 9D7 %er $a%ita1 .+1. 1 .+1* 1 .+.+ 1 Inflation rate1 .+1. 1 .+1* 1 .+.+ 1 Unem%lo#ment 1 .+1. 1 .+1* 1 .+.+ 1 US: 1=,1++ US: .1,+++ US: )+,+++ =.; < ;.* < 8.6 < 8./ 8.1 ).) mil mil mil

External Trade and Foreign Investment: A$$or"ing to the tati ti$ of the Central 4ank of R! ia1 Total e>ternal tra"e -ol!me 1 .++/1 =;) 4ln : .++61 86* 4ln : .+1+1 ;86 4ln :

Dire$t ?oreign In-e tment1 .++/1 1++ 4ln : .++61 /1 4ln :

.+1+1 116 4ln : The a(o-e Data in"i$ate that1 In .++6 R! ia e>%erien$e" a re"!$tion in the 9D7 (# / <. In #ear .+1+ there wa a growth of ; <& thank mainl# to the man!fa$t!ring e$tor& who e $ontri(!tion to 9N7 ha rea$he" !% to1*,1++ US: in .++6.

R! ia ha en@o#e" a tea"# e$onomi$ growth of o-er la t #ear & for m!$h of the .+1+ an" fore$a t $ontin!ing 9D7 growth of US: .1,+++ a far a .+1* at lea t& an" inflation at aro!n" =.6 <& at %re ent "a# & inflation rate i fore$a te" to (e ;.* < in .+1*. Thi i a $on eA!en$e of a o!n" monetar# an" in-e tment %oli$#& whi$h t!rne" into %o iti-e effe$t al o on the !nem%lo#ment rate& whi$h "ro%%e" in the $on i"ere" %erio" from *.;); mil to 8.1 mil ton.

Foreign Trade:
Dire$t ?oreign In-e tment1 .++/1 1++ 4ln : .++61 /1 4ln : .+1+1 116 4ln : ?ore$a t ?or ?oreign In-e tment1 .+111 1.+ 4ln : .+.+1 *++ 4ln : Civil Constructions: ?rom R! ian 9o-ernment I !e" Data1 Ci-il Bork in Ca t Year 1 .++/1 8*./.1 (ln r!( .++61 )/;6.1 (ln r!( .+1+1 8.+;.1 (ln r!( .+111 ).6*.; (ln r!( 2in 6 month %erio"3 The $i-il work %rogram fore$a t e>%e$t an in$rea e of =+ < in the -ol!me of work o-er the %erio" from .+11 till .+.+.

Billet Production: The 4illet 7ro"!$tion "!ring the la t #ear & from .++/ to .+111 .++/1 1/.+ mil ton .++61 1;.1 mil ton .+1+1 1=.; mil ton .+111 16.8 mil ton ?ore$a t of the 4illet 7ro"!$tion for the #ear from .+11 till .+.+ i e timate" to (e 1++< growth 2i.e. 8+.+ mil ton (# the #ear .+.+3. Re Bar Production: 7ro"!$tion of fini he" %ro"!$t "!ring the la t #ear from .++/ till .+111 .++/1 ;.18 mil ton .++61 *.=+ mil ton .+1+1 *.18 mil ton

.+111 *.61 mil ton ?ore$a t for the fini he" %ro"!$t %ro"!$tion for the #ear from .+11 till .+.+ i e timate" to (e 1+6 D 11* < 2i.e. in the range of 1) mil ton (# the #ear .+.+3.

1.)OEEREIEB O? TFE 7ROGECT 1.).1.7ro"!$t Mi>


Re'(ar main "e tination are in the $on tr!$tion e$tor. Cow an" me"i!m i0e largel# ! e" in %ri-ate ho! ing a$ti-it# an" in reinfor$e" $on$rete from 1+ to 1/ mm. Con !m%tion e$tor for high i0e' in the.*'8+ mm range' i mainl# ! e" for $i-il an" in"! trial $on tr!$tion like in"! trial (!il"ing an" %lant & %ower %lant & (ri"ge & roa" & "am an" t!nnel .

1.)...Marketing Strateg#
Thi anal# i ha (een $arrie" o!t on the (a i of the marketing trateg# of the %ro@e$te" melt ho% an" rolling mill fa$ilit#& who e whole o!t%!t will (e %otentiall# "eli-ere" to the lo$al market& e-ent!all# an# !r%l! A!antit# $o!l" (e "eli-ere" to the foreign market. The e$onomi$ an" finan$ial re !lt of thi trateg# ha-e (een anal#0e" in term of en iti-it# anal# i 2 ee $ha%ter ;3. thi mean & for ) an" 8th #ear re %e$ti-el#& .*+&+++ an" )++&+++ t%# $al$!lating a rea ona(le a-erage !tili0ation rate of the )*+&+++ t%# in talle" nominal $a%a$it# .

1.8.?INAC MARKETS 1.8.1.Co$al Market


A to the "efinition of lo$al market& "ata an" information ha-e (een e>tra$te" from %e$iali0e" o!r$e an" inter-iew with lo$al tra"er an" %ro"!$er . ?ore$a t on f!t!re $on !m%tion ha-e (een worke" o!t thro!gh en"'! e anal# i $riteria linke" to the $on tr!$tion 5 ho! ing e$tor& who e "ata ha-e (een "e"!$e" from offi$ial o!r$e .

The lo$al re'(ar %ro"!$tion in #ear .+11 ha rea$he" *.61 mil ton whi$h will (e a !me" a the $on !m%tion of the lo$al market. The e timate" market "eman" in the #ear .+.+ will (e from 1..* to 1*.+ mil ton5#ear. On the other han"& re'(ar %ro"!$tion in R! ia ha to to ri e from *.61 mil ton in the #ear .+11 to the range of 1..* mil to 1*.+ mil ton in the #ear .+.+. The following ta(le how the to"a# e>i ting installed %ro"!$tion $a%a$it# of the teel fa$ilitie in R! ia. The ta(le how that the in talle" $a%a$it# for H mall, %ro"!$t i 6.;) mil ton in the #ear .+11. Bhile %!(li he" "ata gi-e a total %ro"!$tion of *.61 mil ton in the ame #ear. Thi in"i$ate that there i a re er-e $a%a$it# of ).=. mil ton5#ear in the e>i ting lo$al teel fa$torie .

IJKLMNJ1

If we $on i"er the mo t o%timi ti$ $enario& $on i"ering the e mill will go into f!ll %ro"!$tion "!ring the #ear .+11 till .+.+ 2%ro"!$ing a(o!t 6.;) mil ton3 & an" ha-ing an ann!al "eman" of re'(ar in the #ear .+.+ of almo t 1) mil ton & the ga% in %ro"!$tion will (e in the range of ).+ to *.+ mil ton. Thi how that the Eolo"ga %ro@e$t !n"er t!"# 2%ro"!$ing )*+,+++ t%#3 will ha-e a g!arantee" hare in the market of re'(ar . The main "ri-er of teel "eman" will in$l!"e the A7EC Ela"i-o tok S!mmit in .+1.& the St!"ent 9ame in Ka0an in .+1) an" the Ol#m%i$ 9ame in So$hi in .+18. 7re%aration for the worl" foot(all $ham%ion hi% in .+1/ will !n"er%in

!( eA!ent "eman"1 ?I?A .+1/ in R! ia i e timate" to reA!ire ome ) mt teel %ro"!$t for ta"i!m $on tr!$tion alone. It ho!l" (e note" that there are %ro@e$t for re'(ar %ro"!$tion !n"er $on tr!$tion 2one of them i new an" the other i e>ten ion3& a in"i$ate" later in thi t!"#. A$$or"ing to "ata i !e" (# HMetals Consulting International MCIO the alrea"# $ontra$te"'for %ro@e$t in the teel in"! tr#& for either mo"erni0ation or $a%a$it# in$rea e& in R! ia& till en" of the #ear .+11 are a follow 1 !odernisation and ca"acit# ex"ansion "ro$ects %&'' In RUSSIA (source: MCI)

Russia( Estar( U)*norussi+i# Steel ,or+s( EAF - CC - .eav# sections( /eams( angles and c*annels0 Su""lier is S!S Grou"1s C23CAST Russia( Evra) - 4S!5 $v( Si/irs+# Electrometallurgical Plant( EAF - CC Bar !ill( ne6 mill in Ir+uts+ region for "roduction *ig* 7ualit# long "roducts Russia( Evra) .oldings( 3i)*n# Tagil !etallurgical 5om/inat( 8adle furnace( 8F9:0 Construction to start end %&'& or earl# %&'' Russia( !ec*el( I)*stal( 4ar mill( reconstruction of !ill %;& Russia( !ec*el( C*el#a/ins+ !etallurgical Plant( Casting /illet - /loom( /loom caster 9;0 Investment includes vacuum degasser and ladle furnace Russia( !ec*el( C*el#a/ins+ !etallurgical Plant( Co+e ovens( reconstruction of co+e /atter# 9< Russia( !ec*el( C*el#a/ins+ !etallurgical Plant( .eav# section and rail mill( =anieli to su""l# Universal mill for "roduction of *ig* s"eed rail and . /eams Russia( 38!5( 3ovoli"ets+ !etallurgical ,or+s( Cold rolling mill reversing( one stand cold rolling reversing mill for *ig* strengt* car/on steel stri"s Russia( 38!5( 3ovoli"ets+ !etallurgical ,or+s( 2rganic coating line( color coating line 3o0 > for cold rolled galvani)ed steel Russia( 38!5( 3ovoli"ets+ !etallurgical ,or+s( Po6er "lant( ne6 ';& !, "o6er "lant? 6ill ma+e use of /last furnace off gas Russia( 2!5( 4#+sa Steel ,or+s( Plate mill( "late mill for "roduction of large diameter "i"e

The !r-e# a(o-e how that Me$hel& I0h tal& i the onl# $om%an# in R! ia fore een to tart in-e ting in 4ar mill %ro"!$tion. Other o!r$e of information in"i$ate that there are ome %ro@e$t !n"er $on tr!$tion1 E-ra0 a%%ro-e to (!il" a new rolling mill for R! ia & $lo e to U t' Donet k %ort& in o!thern Ro to- region. The mill will (e o%erational (# mi"'.+1). Another new )++&+++ mt $a%a$it# %lant for the %ro"!$tion of rolle" teel %ro"!$t ! e" in the $on tr!$tion in"! tr#& Eolga Ele$trometall!rgi$al 7lant

2EEMP3& i $!rrentl# !n"er $on tr!$tion in R! iaQ I-ano-o region& northea t of Mo $ow. The fir t %ha e of the %lant& with an ann!al $a%a$it# of onl# ;*&+++ ton of mall "iameter re(ar 2/'1; mm3 wa $he"!le" to (e $ommi ione" in Mar$h .+11. The a(o-e anal# i how that the %ro@e$t !n"er t!"# will %arti$i%ate in filling the ga% (etween "eman" an" %ro"!$tion "!ring ne>t #ear .

1.*.STEEC 7RODUCT 7RICES

Referen$e market $o!l" (e "i-i"e" into three main area whi$h are %ri$e lea"er for the %ro"!$t $on i"ere"1 R! ia an" Be t E!ro%e an" T!rke#. Taking into a$$o!nt hi tori$al erie for (illet an" re'(ar %ri$e "!ring the la t #ear .++/ till .+11& the# (oth t!rn o!t to (e almo t i"enti$al in their tren"& with ome %e$!liaritie a$$or"ing to the area5$o!ntr# $on i"ere". The following ta(le gi-e the hi tor# of re'(ar %ri$e for the la t 8 #ear 2EAT in$l!"e"31

Prices of rebars in central region of Russia incl.Vat for traders in rubles RSTUN5VWX .++/V. .++6V. .+1+ .+11 2010 !" 2010 Month5#ear re(ar re(ar re(ar re(ar (#) $%&'&(%) +,-.// CI*)billet in 0-1%',-% 2010 (#)) Rebar) 2ur3e4 YZ[J\]'@an .+*++ 16*++ 1/*+ .8+++ 8.* 86+ + ^S[\JL]' .8*++ 16*++ 16++ .8*++ 8=+ *.* fe(. + RJ\_'mar$h .;*++ 16*++ 16*+ .**++ 8*+ *1+ + `a\SL]'a%ril ./*++ 1=*++ .*++ .=+++ ;1+ =1+ + RJb'ma# ).*++ 1=*++ .**+ .=*++ */+ ;.+ + cdZ] '@!ne )8*++ 1=*++ .8*+ ./*++ 86+ *;+ + cdL]'@!l# )**++ 1/+++ .8++ .6*++ 8)+ *1+ + `[VeT_' )8*++ 16*++ .**+ )++++ *++ *8+ a!g! t + fSZ_UK\]' )1+++ .+*++ .**+ .6*++ **+ ;1+ e%. + gh_UK\]' .8*++ .++++ .*++ .6+++ *.* *6+ o$t. + iWUK\]'no-. 16*++ 16+++ .8*+ .=*++ No "ata No "ata + jShJK\]"e$. 18*++ 1/*++ .8++ .=*++ No "ata No "ata +

The a(o-e ta(le how the lo$al elling %ri$e of teel re'(ar in R! ia. The %ri$e in$l!"e 1/ < EAT. In thi t!"# we hall ! e -al!e witho!t EAT The ?inan$ial St!"#& Se$tion )& will a !me an a-erage $!rrent %ri$e of re'(ar eA!al .*,+++ r!(5ton &EAT not in$l!"e".

The following gra%h how the hi tor# of the re(ar %ri$e o-er the la t #ear for Be t E!ro%ean an" Mi""le Ea t1

Reinforcing re-bar prices

In %arti$!lar& a to e>'work re'(ar %ri$e in R! ia & a higher %eak wa regi tere" in G!l# .+11 2.6,*++ r!(5ton& eA!al to /8+ US:5ton3 an" wa almo t maintaine" !ntil 2O$to(er .+113. ?or Be t E!ro%e an" T!rke# fo( %ri$e were in the range of =*+ to /++ US:5ton "!ring the ame %erio" of time. Re %e$ti-el#& a-erage %ri$e 2min'ma>3 in the %eak %erio" were1 ) ) /*+ ' //+ US:5 ton for R! ia =*+ D /++ US: 5 ton for Be tern E!ro%e an" T!rke# 4ottom %ri$e in R! ia wa rea$he" in 2A%ril to Ma# &Year .++63 & when a-erage %ri$e l!m%e" to *1* US:5ton& T!rke# an" Be tern E!ro%e fo( %ri$e went to omething le than *++ US:5ton "!ring the ame %erio" of time. It eem that& after a trong re"!$tion in re(ar %ri$e & "ifferen$e in ale %ri$e ten" to re"!$e to a nearl# referen$e %ri$e& whil t after a trong in$rea e "ifferen$e ten" to grow.

A e>tra referen$e& the following gra%h how the tren" of re(ar %ri$e in the USA& %ri$e i :5C4 1

Re(ar USA Steel 7ri$e 1 Year

Re(ar USA Steel 7ri$e ) Year

Re(ar USA Steel 7ri$e * Year

1 :5C4 k ..1 :5kg a%%ro>. Ma>. 7ri$e in .+11 k /.+ :5ton Min. 7ri$e in .++6 k *+* :5ton

lllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll lllllllllEND FERE


1.;STEEC INDUSTRY IN RUSSIA A to the re'(ar , e$tor & the %ro"!$tion ha rea$he" in the #ear .+11 a(o!t *.61 mil ton& whi$h i almo t the lo$al "eman" of R! ia.

7art of the $!rrent "eman" for re'(ar i "eli-ere" to ho! ing e$tor an" mo t of the re t to $i-il an" in"! trial $on tr!$tion. In fa$t& "e %ite of the $!rrent low %o%!lation in$rea e rate& almo t 1.* < %er #ear& new ho! e will (e reA!ire" to re%la$e ol" one & an" there i alrea"# a H"e$entrali0ation H%lan to "e-elo% new re i"ent area . Thi i (e i"e the in"! trial %ro@e$t & (ri"ge an" infra tr!$t!re. The following ta(le how the !%"ate of the in talle" $a%a$it# for all fini he" long %ro"!$t an" hi tori$al %ro"!$tion1

A"" thi to %re-io! ?a$torie mmm


..).1

e$tion& in$l!"ing the Ta(le of

Market Str!$t!re
4illet , e$tor U% tream& the following two (ig national %ro"!$er an" three %ri-ate tra"er $ontrol (illet %ro"!$tion an" e>%ort& re %e$ti-el#. 7ro"!$tion1 Thi i an E>am%le1 Fow to li t the Com%anie in R! ia

SUEP STEEC CO& thro!gh a %lant for 1++'1*+mm A!are (illet & with an
o!t%!t of ;++.+++ t%#. SUEP STEEC i a State'owne" $om%an# with a (ank $on orti!m, intere t. Re(ar Se$tor mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

?ORCAST ?OR RE4ARS DEMAND


..).. International market A$$or"ing to e-eral "ifferent o!r$e & in the forth$oming the market tr!$t!re for re'(ar i e>%e$te" to an ann!al "eman" growth1 /'1+<. At thi rate& "eman" will $ontin!e to (e higher than the effe$ti-e !%%l# ren"ere" (# in talle" $a%a$it# (oth !n"er $on tr!$tion an" fore een. A long'la ting ga% i @! tifie" (# ma$ro'e$onomi$ 1 in fa$t & it will (e a -er# "iffi$!lt' if not im%o i(le' $hallenge to f!lfill %refi>e" me"i!m'term "e-elo%ment in-e tment target . The ! e of re o!r$e i in fa$t $on"itione" (# a tight (alan$e %oli$#. ..).) Co$al Market

R! ian a%%arent $on !m%tion of re(ar ha rai e" (# an a-erage *< %er ann!m in the %erio" 16/;'1666. Starting from 1661 an" taking into a$$o!nt the 166.'6) a-erage $on !m%tion 2when there wa a "ee% l!m% an" a !""en re$o-er# in $on !m%tion3n a-erage growth rate %er ann!m i 6<. At %re ent& %h# iologi$al ga% (etween "eman" an" !%%l# in the R! ian market i aro!n" 1& * ml ton %er ann!m. Fo! ing e$tor& $on i"ere" in a long'term %er %e$ti-e& ha (een in a trong !%war" tren" for more than ten #ear . Thi ha in"!$e" more an" more "eman" for $on tr!$tion material & ho! e ware& f!rni hing & et$. 4e i"e ho! ing e$tor for low'earner & a t#%i$al $on eA!en$e of a $on i"era(le "emogra%hi$ net growth 2more than .< %er ann!m3& two !(' e$tor are im%ro-ing1 in"! trial $on tr!$tion an" re i"ential ho! ing an" hotel .

A to the in"! trial $on tr!$tion& @! t $on i"er the n!mero! %rogram like mmmmmmmmmmmmmmm Bith referen$e to the $on i"eration a(o-e& we $an a !me two growth h#%othe e 1 Con er-ati-e h#%othe i It mean maintaining& in the me"i!m'long %erio" 2.+11'.+1*3& the ame growth rate regi tere" in the %a t 2from 166+3& that i a "eman" growth rate of *& * < %er ann!m. Thi wo!l" mean a "eman" of mmmm ton in .+11 an" mmmmm ton in .+1*& with a "eman"' %ro"!$tion ga% of ;;+&+++ an" 1&6)1&+++ ton re %e$ti-el#. U7DATE .++1 *=8 .++. 88/ .++) 8). .++8 8+; .++* ;;+

HStrongO h#%othe i
Bith referen$e to the "ifferent ho! ing e$tor, "e-elo%ment %rogram & an a-erage ann!al growth of 6< $an (e taken into $on i"eration. Thi i imilar to the in$rea e regi tere" in the %erio" .+11 an" in .+1* . Thi wo!l" mean a "eman" of mmmmmm ton in .+11 an" mmmmm ton in .+1*& with a "eman"' %ro"!$tion ga% of 1&8;6&+++ an" )&*8/&+++ ton re %e$ti-el#

U7DATE .++1 =)* .++. ==1 .++) 61= .++8 1+*) .++* 18;6

..8
..8.1

7RICES
4illet an" Re(ar Co$al 7ri$e O!r referen$e %ri$e i ?O4 CIS & whi$h i the (en$hmark a to the %ro"!$t A!alit#. At the moment (illett %ri$e i mmm US:5tone. Bhile Re(ar 7ri$e are mmmm US:5ton.

Steel price forecast


.[All steel prices above are in US $/metric tonne [fob basis, local port .[Source !"MS. #$is anal%sis is up&ate& 'uarterl% [last up&ate (t$ )ovember *+,,

Base case outlook: )ovember *+,, ma% be close to t$e bottom of t$e c%cle in terms of pricing. -o.ever, .e are still fairl% optimistic about global gro.t$ in *+,* base& on continue& sluggis$ e/it from recession in t$e 0est along .it$ slo.er, .but still $ig$, gro.t$ in t$e emerging mar1ets Upside scenario: 2ittle upsi&e is seen s$ort-term &espite recent falls in ra. materials costs an& steel prices. Some regional upsi&e ma% be evi&ent [e.g. in 3U &ue to .ea1ening currenc% &iscouraging imports4. Mi&-*+,* is seen as t$e

.most li1el% timing for an% real improvement at global level Downside scenario: A full-blo.n sovereign &ebt crisis .it$ &eep recession in t$e 3U is a 1e% ris1. So also is a fall-off in t$e construction sector in C$ina, triggere& b% !overnment tig$tening of monetar% control. Suc$ &evelopments coul& see t$e fall of $ot rolle& coil prices bac1 to t$e $5++ level b% en&.*+,* "or one year, 6 %ear or five year steel pro&uct regional forecasts covering flat rolle& steel in 3urope, )ort$ America, 3astern 3urope an& / or Asia, please visit GFMS website or contact .Carmen 3leta b% email at carmen.eleta gfms.co.uk

!ron and Steel " #op !nvestment $ocations

Memo from Mosco.

%nd &'(' )eview of )ussian Steel Sector


7anuar% *+,, Report *ccording to t+e Ministry of !ndustry and #rade of t+e )ussian Federation ,Minpromtorg )F-. t+e Russian steel sector in &'(' grew by about ('/ in comparison wit+ &''0. 1utput +as only 2ust reac+ed &''3 levels of production after t+e crisis. 4rude steel production in &'(' grew from 30.5 mt to 66.3 mt. Finis+ed steel output grew from 3'.7mt in &''0 to 33 mt ,7.8/ growt+- and steel tube and pipe from 6.9mt to 7.& mt ,&8/ growt+-. :Final figures will be confirmed by )osstat in *pril. &'((;. By producer. crude steel output and rolled products production in &'(' was as follows: )2M8. $ipetsk: ((.3 mt ,<7.7/- and rolled products ((.6 mt ,<0.0/-= Mec$el: 6.'9 mt ,<((/- of crude steel and 6.(9 mt ,<(6/- of rolled products= 3vra9: (6.8 mt ,<6.6/- and (5.9 mt ,<&.9/-. respectively. #otal metallurgical goo&s transportation by t+e )ussian railways in &'(' grew significantly. S+ipments of iron ore involved movement of ('(.0 mt ,<6.7/-. of ferrous metals of 79.0 mt ,<(&.5/-. ferrous scrap &'.0 mt ,<&6.3-. !n &'(' )ussian e>port

of ferrous metals amounted to ?8' mt ,('6.7/ of t+e &''0 leveland )ussia will t+us remain t+e world number t+ree e>porter in &'(' after 4+ina and @apan. )ussian e>port of steel pipes in &'(' was 2ust (.( mt ,60/ of t+e &''0 level. only-. Aear &'(' apparent steel &eman& in )ussia was 8'.8 mt. or (&'.8/ of &''0 demand. Steel demand in )ussia +as been led by strong activity in t+e pipe and tube sector due realiBation of some large pro2ects by !a9prom an& #ransneft. Croduction in t+e automotive industry recovered post"crisis t+anks to t+e implementation of a Dcas+"for"clunkersE programme. Domestic consumption of steel pipes in &'(' was about 7.3 mt. or (3'/ of t+e &''0 level " from w+ic+ t+e $DC s+are was 8.' mt. #otal )ussian steel tube and pipe pro&uction capacit% reac+ed about (8.3 mt in &'('. #+e accumulated depreciation of )ussian metallurgical eFuipment now e>ceeds about 58/. !n &''0"&'('. State guarantees in t+e metallurgical sector involved credits for a total sum of )bl 38.5 bln. #otal &'(' investments in t+e )ussian steel sector reac+ed about )bl (6' bln. Gotable modernisation pro2ects in &'(' involved:

)o surpulus billet for sale :::::::::::::::::::::

Under t+e latest forecast of t+e Ministry of !ndustry and #rade of t+e )ussian Federation. &'(( production volumes in iron and steel metallurgy will increase on t+e average by 5"6/. #+e pro2ections assume finis+ed steel rolled product output of ?39.3 mt. steel pipe output of 7.7 mt ,on 9.8/ more-. Domestic consumption of t+e finis+ed steel rolled products in &'(( is e>pected at ?8&.9 mt ,9.0/ growt+ in demand-= and demand of steel pipes at 7.3 mt ,Bero growt+ in demand-. #+e import s+are in domestic consumption in &'(( will be ?0.7/ for rolled steel products and ?((.&/ for steel pipe. according to Ministry pro2ections. #+e main &rivers of steel &eman& will include t+e *C%4 Hladivostok Summit in &'(&. t+e Student Games in IaBan in &'(8 and t+e 1lympic Games in Soc+i in &'(5. Creparations for t+e world football c+a+mpions+ip in &'(7 will underpin subseFuent demand: F!F* &'(7 in )ussia is estimated to reFuire some 8 mt steel products for stadium construction alone.

5e6 rebar 7lant to be co88issioned in Russia9s I:ano:o region in Marc; 2011 < ne6 =00>000 8t ca7acit4 7lant for t;e 7roduction of rolled steel 7roducts used in t;e construction industr4> Volga ?lectro8etallurgical Plant (V?M@)> is currentl4 under construction in RussiaAs I:ano:o region> nort;east of Mosco6. 2;e first 7;ase of t;e 7lant> 6it; an annual ca7acit4 of BC>000 8t of s8all dia8eter rebar (D)1B 88) is sc;eduled to be co88issioned in Marc; 2011. <ccording to esti8ations> t;e total in:est8ent in t;e construction of t;e first 7;ase of t;e 7lant 6ill a8ount to Ruble DD0 8illion (about #2E 8illion)> of 6;ic; =0 7ercent 6ill co8e fro8 t;e co87an4As o6n funds 6;ile F0 7ercent 6ill be borro6ed. Currentl4> V?M@ is in tal3s 6it; se:eral ban3s to obtain credit> and ;as agreed 6it; t;e go:ern8ent of t;e I:ano:o region on subsidiGation of a 7art of t;e interest rates on credits issued for t;is 7roHect. 2;e eIui78ent for t;e 7lant ;as alread4 been ordered fro8 2ur3is; co87an4 Piri8er Ma3ina. More t;an ;alf of V?M@As ra6 8aterial needs are to be sourced in t;e I:ano:o region> 6;ile t;e re8aining :olu8es of scra7 are 7lanned to be boug;t fro8 neig;boring regions. Jinis;ed 7roducts 6ill be su77lied to construction co87anies in t;e I:ano:o> Kostro8a and Larosla:l regions.

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