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You are on page 1of 4

Malory Beverly

Due: 4/29/14

Part I:

theoretical probability

theoretical results

probability

0.35

0.25

0.15

0.1

0.05

0.1

0.4

0.35

0.3

probability

number

1

2

3

4

5

6

mean: 2.55

standard deviation: 2.57

0.25

1

2

0.2

0.15

0.1

6

5

0.05

0

number

Part II:

simulated results

25 simulated spins

25 random numbers:

1

1

4

1

6

1

3

3

5

1

1

5

1

2

4

2

2

1

6

1

5

1

2

1

1

Distribution:

12

10

8

6

4

2

Bin

1

2

3

4

5

More

mean: 2.44

14

Frequenc

y

12

4

2

2

3

2

2

5

3

0

1

n u mb e r

More

The trials, both theoretical and simulated, had means that are very close (a .11difference),

so i can infer that the simulated probability is a "okay" representation of the theoretical

mean. The standard deviations, however, were very different, which could result from a

small sample size. Both distributions were heavily concentrated on the numbers 1 and 2

over all other possibilities.

Part III:

200 trials of 25 spins simulated: 37 shown below with mean, and standard deviation

1

1

4

1

6

1

3

3

5

1

1

5

1

2

4

2

2

1

6

1

5

1

2

1

1

1

4

5

4

2

2

4

3

1

2

6

1

1

6

2

2

1

3

3

4

3

4

1

6

3

1

5

6

3

1

2

3

1

1

2

1

1

3

2

5

1

3

1

3

1

2

4

6

4

6

2

1

2

1

1

2

2

1

6

2

3

2

1

6

6

2

2

2

1

2

1

3

4

2

3

6

1

1

6

5

2

2

2

5

1

6

4

2

3

2

5

1

4

6

2

1

1

2

2

6

4

1

1

3

1

1

1

6

2

1

6

1

6

1

6

1

1

6

3

1

4

2

4

3

2

2

3

1

2

3

6

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

3

3

1

2

1

6

3

2

2

2

4

1

1

1

1

1

1

4

1

2

1

1

1

3

6

4

6

1

1

2

2

3

2

2

2

2

3

1

4

6

2

3

6

6

1

6

1

2

2

1

6

2

1

6

5

6

3

1

1

2

6

1

1

2

5

1

5

6

1

1

1

4

1

3

2

1

2

3

3

1

2

1

2

2

3

5

5

3

2

6

4

1

4

2

6

2

4

2

4

1

1

2

4

1

2

3

2

2

5

3

1

6

1

6

2

5

3

1

4

2

3

6

1

6

3

1

1

4

3

4

2

5

3

1

3

5

6

1

4

6

1

1

1

3

5

3

3

6

1

1

2

2

2

1

5

6

6

2

3

3

1

6

1

1

1

2

1

1

1

6

3

1

1

3

1

3

1

3

1

4

1

1

1

1

4

3

1

2

6

1

1

4

2

6

2

3

2

3

2

1

3

1

4

4

1

1

1

1

3

1

6

1

2

2

1

6

6

4

1

1

2

3

1

1

4

2

3

2

6

2

6

4

1

2

6

4

4

4

1

2

2

2

3

2

6

1

4

4

2

1

3

1

3

1

2

2

6

3

6

1

2

1

1

1

1

2

6

1

1

2

6

1

6

1

3

3

2

1

3

1

4

1

1

2

1

6

3

2

2

2

3

2

4

2

6

1

4

1

1

1

4

4

3

6

5

3

2

3

1

2

2

1

2

2

3

5

4

6

3

3

1

2

2

6

1

3

6

6

3

3

6

6

1

4

1

4

2

1

2

5

1

5

2

2

1

1

6

4

2

1

3

2

2

4

5

1

6

6

4

1

1

2

1

2

3

1

6

3

2

1

4

1

1

1

3

1

1

1

1

6

2

2

1

1

1

3

2

2

2

2

6

2

5

5

3

1

2

3

3

1

1

5

3

2

3

2

1

2

3

3

1

6

3

5

1

2

1

2

6

1

3

6

1

4

2

2

5

2

1

1

2

3

1

4

1

2

1

2

6

1

2

2

5

1

4

2

2

2

2

1

3

2

3

5

3

1

6

1

1

6

2

5

2

3

5

1

1

3

5

5

1

6

4

1

1

1

1

1

1

3

4

2

1

2

2

1

3

5

6

2

4

1

3

3

1

6

4

1

6

2

2

2

1

1

2

1

4

6

2

3

2

1

2

6

2

1

3

1

1

3

3

6

2

3

2

1

5

1

3

1

3

4

1

2

1

3

1

3

1

3

1

2

4

2

1

4

1

1

6

2

6

1

1

1

2

4

2

2

4

1

2

1

3

3

4

6

1

2

1

1

2

1

6

2

2

1

1

4

5

1

1

6

1

5

3

4

4

3

2

1

3

6

4

1

1

3

1

1

4

1

2

3

1

6

2

1

2

3

4

2

2

2

2

1

2

2

2

2

3

2

1

4

2

4

6

6

1

2

2

1

2

2

1

2

6

2

2

2

4

3

1

6

3

1

2

1

1

4

5

6

1

4

1

1

1

3

2

2

6

4

2

1

1

2

2

2

2

2

3

3

4

1

5

3

6

1

4

3

3

1

3

4

2

2

2

4

2

4

2

2

3

1

3

1

3

4

1

1

3

1

2

2

1

6

3

4

1

2

2

6

1

1

1

3

4

1

6

1

4

2

2

3

1

5

1

1

1

1

1

1

2

3

4

6

6

2

1

2

5

1

3

2

3

3

6

2

6

1

2

4

6

6

1

3

6

3

4

1

2

1

2.

4

4

1.

7

8

1

3

8

5

2

.

9

6

1

.

6

4

5

1

9

5

2

.

7

2

1

.

7

6

8

2

3

8

2

.

4

1

.

5

5

4

5

6

3

3

.

1

2

1

.

9

4

3

3

6

5

2

.

7

2

1

.

9

6

8

9

2

5

Total

Mean

Mean of

Standard

Deviations

Standard

Deviation

of the

Mean

Theoretical

Standard

Deviation

2

.

3

2

1

.

3

7

5

9

8

4

2

.

1

6

1

.

5

4

5

9

6

2

3

.

1

6

2

.

0

5

5

0

7

5

2

.

4

1

.

6

3

2

9

9

3

2.599801

1.634853

0.334772

.514

3

.

0

4

1

.

5

6

7

3

7

6

3

.

0

8

1

.

8

0

0

9

2

6

3

.

1

6

1

.

9

2

9

5

9

4

2

1

.

5

8

1

1

3

9

2

.

3

6

1

.

5

2

4

2

4

8

3

1

.

9

5

7

8

9

2

.

8

1

.

6

0

7

2

7

5

2

.

1

6

1

.

6

7

5

3

1

1

2

.

9

2

1

.

6

0

5

2

FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION

Bin

Frequency

1.6

0

1.8

2

2

10

2.2

12

2.4

32

2.6

54

2.8

40

3

29

3.2

13

3.4

9

3.6

0

3.8

0

More

0

3

.

2

8

1

.

8

6

0

1

0

8

2

.

9

2

1

.

8

0

0

9

2

6

1

.

9

6

1

.

4

8

5

4

8

5

2

.

6

8

1

.

3

4

5

3

6

2

2

.

6

4

1

.

7

7

6

7

0

1

2

.

6

4

1

.

7

0

4

8

9

5

2

.

5

2

1

.

6

6

1

3

2

5

2

.

8

8

1

.

7

8

6

9

9

2

.

4

1

.

5

2

7

5

2

5

2

.

3

6

1

.

5

5

1

3

4

4

2

.

6

1

.

8

0

2

7

7

6

2

.

6

1

.

5

2

7

5

2

5

2

.

4

8

1

.

5

3

0

7

9

5

2

.

7

2

1

.

7

2

0

4

6

5

2

.

5

6

1

.

2

9

3

5

7

4

2

.

5

6

1

.

4

7

4

2

2

3

2

.

4

8

1

.

8

0

5

5

4

7

3

.

0

4

1

.

8

3

6

6

6

4

frequency

200 samples

2.6

60

2.4

40

20

0

1.6 1.8

2.8

3

3.2 3.4

2.2

3.6 3.8More

1

sample means

The calculated mean for the 200 trials was 2.60, compared to a theoretical 2.55 (a 2%

difference), and a tested mean of 2.44 in part II. The sample standard deviation for part

III was 1.63, compared to a theoretical 2.57, and tested 1.78 in part II. The result from

part III is significantly smaller (a 36% decrease) than the expected, or theoretical

probability. The standard deviation of the sample means in part III was .335, while the

theoretical standard deviation of the mean was .51 (34% difference).

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