Sie sind auf Seite 1von 5

SMK. ST.

FRANCIS
MATHEMATICS (M) (PAPER 2)
TRAIL EXAMINATION
2013

Section A (45 marks)
Answer all questions in this section

1. The number of hand phones that are sold in week by 15 representatives in a
town is as follows:
5, 10, 8, 7, 25, 12, 5, 14, 11, 10, 21, 9, 8, 11, 18
a) Find the median, lower quartile and upper quartile for this distribution. (3marks)
b) Draw a box plot to represent the data. (3marks)


2. The table below shows the number of audiences according to age, in years, that
watch a horror film for a session at a mini theater.
Age, x Frequency
15x18
18x21
21x27
27x33
33x39
39x45
14
38
44
16
6
2

a) Plot a histogram for the data above. (3 marks)
b) Plot a cumulative frequency curve for the data above. From the curve, estimate
the median and the interquartile range. (3 marks)
c) If there were 8 audiences between the age of 15 to 17 that were mistakenly
entered into the age group of 18 to 20 years, calculate the real median. (3 marks)


3. The following table indicates the age, x years and the price, RMy 10
3
, for 8 cars
of the same model in a second-hand car shop.
x 2 8 3 9 6 5 6 3
y 100 15 72 16 36 34 30 68
i) Find the equation of the regression line y on x in the form of y=a bx, where
a and b is accurate to 2 decimal places. (3 marks)
ii) Explain the value a and b that you obtain. (2 marks)
iii) Estimate the price of a car of the same model of age 7 years. (2 marks)

4. The probability distribution of the number of typing errors in a page of
documents in an office is given in the following table.
Number of errors Probability
0
1
2
3
4
5
0.01
0.10
0.25
0.25
0.30
0.09

i) Find the probability that at least 2 errors happen in one page of
document. ( 3marks)
ii) Find the mean number of typing errors in one page of document. (2 marks)

5. A discrete random variable X has the cumulative distribution function given by:
F(x) = {





where k is a constant.
a) Find the value of the constant k. (2 marks)
b) Find P(X2), P(X=2) (3 marks)
c) Write out the probability distribution of X. (4 marks)



6. Market research has shown that approximately 30% of the households in a
certain city uses brand A washing powder rather than brand B washing powder.
A random sample of 50 households was asked what they used.

a) What is the expectation of the number of households that use brand A washing
powder? (2 marks)
b) What is the probability that exactly 4 households use brand A
washing powder? (3 marks)
c) How large a sample would be needed for the probability of it containing
at least one household that uses brand A washing powder to be greater
than 99%? (4 marks)

Section B [15 marks]
Answer any one question in this section

7. Using the quarterly profits in bellow table:
Year quarter 1 2 3 4
2001
2002
2003
26
32
34
44
56
58
100
120
122
46
50
52

a) Find the trend using the moving average method. (5 marks)

b) Find the quarterly seasonal variation values using the
multiplicative method. (5 marks)

c) Predict the amount of profit for the first and the second
quarters of 2004. (5 marks)




8. The table below shows the value of the variable y corresponding to eight
accurately specified values of the variables x.
x 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
y 8.5 15.0 27.5 35.0 28.0 37.0 46.0 37.0

a) Plot a scatter diagram for the data. (2 marks)

b) Calculate the Pearson correlation coefficient r between x and y. (5 marks)

c) Comment on value of r with respect to the scatter diagram in (a). (1 mark)

d) Find the equation of the least squares regression in the form y = a + bx,
where a and b are constant. (4 marks)

e) Estimate the values of y for x = 0, 10, 20, 30, where appropriate.
Give a reason why it is inappropriate to estimate the values of y
for the other given values of x. (3 marks)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Prepared by Verified by


.....
( En Lee Kon Lee ) ( En N. Rajendran A/L Nallatamby)
GPK. Tingkatan Enam















9. An insurance company finds that 8% of the people who are insured with the
company against a certain risk claims within a year.
a) Calculate the probability that at least one out of two randomly selected
people who are insured against the risk makes a claim within a year
b) Calculate the probability that at least 3 out of 60 randomly selected people
who are insured against the risk make claims within a year. Comment on the
validity of the probability model you use.
c) Using an approximate probability distribution, estimate the probability that
at least 12 out of 100 randomly selected people who are against the risk
make claims within a year. Justify your use of this approximation.