Appendix.10 Exhibit 1: 25-34 Age Group Population Exhibit 2: Internet Use Among Age Groups Exhibit 3: Top Sites for Acquiring E-books Exhibit 4: Device Ownership Among U.S. Adults Exhibit 5: Amazon.com 4Q 2010 Financial Statement Exhibit 6: Kindle Advertisement on Amazon.com Exhibit 7: Free Kindle Reading Apps Advertisement on Amazon.com Exhibit 8: Google Adwords Ad Exhibit 9: Advertising on Yahoo! Exhibit 10: Amazon N. American Book Sales by Distribution Channel, 2008E-2015E Exhibit 11: How much Amazon spent on advertising in 2009
Glossary of Terms.16 2
Summary Based on what we know about the e-book market environment, the current competencies of Amazon.com and the targeted customer segment, a value proposition that would attract the 25-34 year- old demographic is best positioned through a mix of online advertising initiatives and increasing e-book offerings. The value in implementing this promotion- and product-focused marketing strategy is to attain a projected customer equity growth of $83,720,369 for Amazons e-books market segment by the year 2015. E-Book Market Environment Early adopters currently reign in the infantile e-book market (see figure 3). However, e-books are gaining momentum, particularly in the last two years. Based on industry research findings by Mintel, between 2008 and 2009, e-book sales jumped 366%. 1 Rapid growth rates in e-book sales are largely attributed to widespread emergence and consumer adoption of e- reader devices. Moreover, new application developments, such as the Kindle app, enable e-book reading and sync-ability across a wide range of platforms such as mobile phones, PCs, and tablets (see exhibit 7). Amazon.coms share of the e-book market hovers between 60-70%. While consumer awareness over e-books continues to grow, Amazon faces increasing competition from new entrants to the market. Key competitors include Apple iBooks and Barnes & Noble Nook. Apple claims to have a 22% market share, while Barnes & Nobles share of the market lies in the 20-25% range. In the face of competition, Amazon focuses on two major points of difference to sway consumers: 1) evoking an e- commerce powerhouse brand imagery association and 2) reinforcing strength in deliverability. Expanding on the notion to differentiate, Amazon uses the e-commerce category as a point of parity to establish a we are the frame of reference 2 message to its customers when they think of buying books (or anything) online. The business model Amazons e-book content market is based on is the agency model in which third party publishers determine the price of the e-books that are sold through Amazons Kindle store. 3 In this sense, Amazon has little control over the actual price of the content it sells through the Kindle store. To encourage e-book adoption on the readership side, Amazon created the Kindle platform which offers a free application for users to retrieve their libraries anywhere. The Kindle app also enables customers to sync and read their e-books across multiple devices. Amazon also seeks to attract new readers by increasing the size of its inventory; the company currently has more than 850,000 titles available in its Kindle store. Needs and characteristics current e-book customer base: A new generation of readers who prefer digital over paper books. 52% of e-book buyers in first period of 2009 between ages 18 and 34.
1 Mintel International Group, Book Retailing US March 2010, p. 22. 2 Kevin Keller, et al., Three Questions You Need to Ask About Your Brand, (Harvard Business Review: September 2002), p. 85. 3 Geoffrey Manne An update on the evolving e-book market: Kindle edition, (March 2011) http://techliberation.com/2011/03/01/an-update-on-the-evolving-e-book-market-kindle-edition-pun-intended/
Books and magazines one of the fastest growing e- commerce sectors in the U.S. posted 17% annual growth from 2008 to 2010. 3
Men accounted for 55% of e-book purchases in 1Q 2009 4
Owners of smart phones, PDAs and e-readers who want to read on the move. Professional and business people who want to keep texts and reading materials on their PCs. Students, academics and researchers who want the capability to search hundreds of pages of a book in seconds. People who cannot wait a few days for physical delivery. Amazon Kindle customer value creation: Amazon Kindle Feature
Customer Value Proposition Device and platform compatibility Ability to download once and read everywhere. One-click shopping Fast, hassle-free way to purchase an e-book.
Instant download Receive e-book in less than 60 seconds. No shipping charges.
Free content Hundreds of classics for free; enables customers to experience e-book reading for free Samples Instantly view a free 1-40 page sample of the e-book.
Large selection, most priced $9.99 or less; Average subscription is $1 -2.00
Online shoppers seek large selection, bargains and lowest prices. Storage system Books are stored in the cloud, retrievable at any time,
Target Customer Segment: 25-34 year-olds who use 6+ hours of internet on daily basis The population of 25-34 year-olds is expected to accelerate rapidly over the next ten years. We believe that targeting this segment today will help Amazon reap benefits in the near future. The 25-34 age group is dominated by Generation Y, also known as the Millennials, with a sliver of early Generation X individuals. A recent study carried out by the Pew Research Center portrayed the Millennial generation as confident, connected, and open to change. 5 The population of 25-34 year-olds in the U.S. is forecast to increase from 38.7 million in 2010 to over 41 million in 2015. 6
4 Jim Milliot, Among the findings: Amazon now the largest outlet for books; men are driving e-book sales, (July 2009) http://www.publishersweekly.com/pw/print/20090720/2492-new-report-examines-book-market-buyers- .html 5 Millennials: A Portrait of Generation Next (February 2010) http://pewsocialtrends.org/files/2010/10/millennials-confident-connected-open-to-change.pdf 6 Tapping the 25-34-Year-Old Consumerhttp://www.icsc.org/srch/rsrch/researchquarterly/winter0304/25-34.pdf 4
The majority of 25 to 34 year-olds are internet users. They are technology-savvy singles and childless couples who play a significant role in e-commerce. Not only are 25-34 year-olds the most likely to shop online, they also make online purchases more frequently than other age brackets. Moreover, 25-34 year-olds are more likely to use mobile commerce applications, such as using their smartphones to browse and make purchases through the Amazon Kindle mobile store app. 25-34 year-olds also like to use price comparison websites, particularly males in this age group. Amazon.com is in itself a shopping comparison website, which translates as a useful brand recognition tool for attracting 25-34 year old males to the website. Amazon.com is a well perceived brand in e-commerce and has a relatively strong penetration rate in the online retail sphere among the Millennial generation. In a March 2010 Mintel survey of over 1,400 individuals, approximately 52% of 25-34 year-olds reported making a purchase from Amazon.com in the previous month. 52% of e-book buyers in the first period of 2009 were between the ages of 18 and 34. 7
According to a comScore survey, 25-34 year-olds are also the most likely to pay for digital magazines and newspapers specially formatted for e-readers. 8
Key characteristics of 25-34 year-old consumers: Tend to have more consumer confidence Average consumer confidence level is 4.99 with 2.05 average purchase propensity level Have more disposable income and hence, shop more Convenience & price are most important drivers of online purchases Other factors: fast and easy-to-navigate checkout procedures, price comparisons, and free shipping offers 25-34s commonly purchase books online at site like Amazon because they carry rare titles that are difficult to find at an actual store Targeted Value Proposition: Advertise to Attract 25-34 Year-Olds The marketing strategy proposed for Amazon.coms e-book market segment is increase promotion and product strategies to attract and retain customers in the target demographic: 25-34 year- olds in the U.S. who spend 6 or more hours on the internet daily. The timeframe to implement the proposed strategy is 5 years. Based on this strategy to attract and retain 25-34 year-old customers, major indicators to look for include positive movement across two dimensions: 1) Increase in penetration rate of 25-34 year-olds who use 6+ hours of internet daily; 2) Increase in retention rate of 25-34 year-olds who purchase e-books and e-subscriptions through the Amazon Kindle store.
7 http://www.publishersweekly.com/pw/print/20090720/2492-new-report-examines-book-market-buyers-.html 8 http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2010/3/comScore_Releases_Results_of_Study_on_App le_iPad/%28language%29/eng-US 53% 53% of 25-34 year-olds read books as a leisure activity. 5
Marketing Resource Investments Amazon should implement the proposed strategy by focusing on promotion and product. Online advertising is becoming increasingly important as 25-34s are spending more hours on the internet. Increasing e-book and e-subscription inventory levels as well as increasing the number of hard-to-find titles in the Kindle store are two points of parity Amazon can apply to gain an edge over its direct competitors. Promotion: Focus on keyword search advertising and display ads on price comparison websites According to a Mintel study, 25-34s are the most likely to click on any type of online advertisement. 9 Online advertising should be the focus of implementing the proposed strategy to attract customers from the targeted 25-34 demographic. While keyword search ads are limited to a few lines of text, they are powerful advertising tools for lead generation and branding. Search ads, such as Google Adwords, can target specific segments and customers with specific needs (see exhibit 8). It is important for Amazon to integrate interactive features in their advertising. The goal is to create engaging pull ads that beckon users to click on them. For example, Amazon could feature more campaigns such as the fall 2010 online contest for users to submit the best Kindle advertisement. This was a great way to increase public awareness of the Kindle while driving traffic to their website. A major competitive advantage for Amazon is the option of advertising directly on the companys website. In June 2010, Amazon.com received approximately 223 million unique visitors. 25- 34 year-old internet users visiting Amazon.com to browse products or compare prices will automatically be exposed to Kindle display advertisements when visiting the site.
Costs of Promotion: Marketing costs 2.8% of Amazons net sales. Amazon spent an average of $43 million on advertising in 2009 (see exhibit 11). In June 2010, Amazon spent approximately $5.85 million on Google keyword search advertising. 10 According to the American Association of Advertising Agencies, cost considerations to keep in mind when it comes to digital advertising include: Additional and ongoing costs due to dynamic nature of online advertising, which is subject to change frequently. Can be labor intensive as campaigns must be executed across a wide range of digital media Operational expenses when hiring new staff with different skills sets Product: Increase e-book inventory and e-subscription offerings Increasing inventory levels will not only draw-in customers who are looking for products competitors lack, it will also lock-in customers who want to avoid the switching costs of using multiple stores to buy e-books. Similar to Apple iTunes customers, Amazon customers can develop and store their entire e-book library using the Kindle platform. A large offering of products compounded by the easy-to-navigate experience and one-click shopping feature of the Kindle store provide irresistible value for 25-34 year old customers.
9 Mintel International Group, Attitudes to Internet and New Media Marketing US October 2010, p. 28. 10 Heres How Much Big Companies Spend Advertising on Google Search, (Sept. 2010) http://www.businessinsider.com/big-companies-spend-on-google-search-2010-9 6
Customer Equity Growth Potential Assuming a 5.9% growth in the total number of 25-34 year-olds who use 6+ hours of internet daily; if penetration rate increases by 28% and retention rate increases by 6%, Amazon should expect to see a growth in customer equity of approximately $83.7 million in 2015. See the tables below. Key Estimated Values Now (2010) Future (2015) N (Number of 25-34 year olds in the U.S. who use internet for 6+ hours daily) U.S. 25-34 year-old population in 2010 = 38.9 million; in 2015 = 41.2 million 11
% of U.S. 25-34 year-olds using 6+ hours of internet daily = 53% 12
20,617,000 21,836,000 PR (Penetration Rate) 52% (see appendix chart ___ for more details) 80% AMPC (Annual Margin Per Customer - based on avg. # of books purchased at $9.99 annually) Assuming 5 books purchased each year
5(9.99) x 5.1% 13 = $2.55 Assuming 5 books purchased each year
5(9.99) x 5.1% = $2.55 RR (Retention Rate) 80% 86% i (Discount Rate) (assume industry standard) 12% 12%
11 According to U.S. Census numbers, summary at http://www.icsc.org/srch/rsrch/researchquarterly/winter0304/25-34.pdf 12 According to poll of 539 random users at http://www.makeuseof.com/tag/poll-long-spend-internet-day/ 13 Operating margin derived from 2010 Amazon.com income statements http://phx.corporate- ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9NDExMzM4fENoaWxkSUQ9NDIxNzkxfFR5cGU9MQ==&t=1 7
Figure 1: Amazon e-books SWOT diagram Established reputation as leading online retailer Early entrance to e-book market Ease of use, 1-click shopping Instant delivery Compatibility with other devices Large selection (over 850,000 titles available) and cheap prices Uses AZW e-book format Not compatible with library e-book formats E-book market still in early adoption phase Based on agency model (i.e. publishers define e-book prices) Attract e-commerce customers in the 25-34 year-old age bracket Target 25-34 year-olds who spend 6+ hours on internet daily Target 25-34 travelers and commuters Use Kindle platform to create a lock-in system among buyers Weaknesses Opportunities Growing number of competitors: Barnes&Noble Nook store Apple iBooks store E-Books.com Google eBookstore Free pirated e-books Threats Strengths
Figure 3: E-Book Adoption Process Laggards Late Majority Early Majority 25-34 year olds, mostly male internet users Early Adopters 8% of U.S. population read e-books E-book market is currently in this phase Innovators 45-55 and 65+ age range People with vision and arthritis problems "The Chasm" Cross the chasm by capturing 25-34 demographic E-Book Adoption Process
Late 1990s to early 2000s
By end of 2015 Figure 4: 5 Cs of Amazon Kindle 5Cs of Amazon Kindle Customers Internet-saavy consumers who like to compare prices Desire large selection and low prices Want fast and free shipping Complementors Publishers, content providers News sites that publish stories on Amazon Amazon customers, product reviewers Search Engines e-book device makers/providers Competencies The Amazon network Strong brand awareness High internet traffic with thousands of unique visitors daily Fulfillment services Cloud computing allows complementors to use as much or as little storage capacity as required without paying overheads or management costs Large selection Price comparison shopping Competitors Other e-book content providers (i.e. Barnes&Noble, Apple iBooks, ebooks.com) Pirated e-books Other leisure activities Changing Context Increasing number of competitors Mobile e-commerce applications growing source of revenue stream More people participating in e-commerce
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Source: Consumers show growing satisfaction with e-Books, Publishers Weekly, 257 (15): 5, April 12, 2010. ISSN: 0000-0019 Exhibit 4: Device ownership among U.S. adults
Amazon Kindle A software, hardware and network platform developed by Amazon.com that uses wireless connectivity to enable users to shop for, download, browse, and read e-books, newspapers, magazines, blogs, and other digital media. Barnes & Noble Nook An electronic-book reader developed by Barnes & Noble. Electronic Book (e-book) A text and image-based publication in digital form produced on, published by, and readable on computers or other digital devices. Generation X The generation born between 1965 and 1976. iBooks E-book application by Apple Inc. Primarily recieves content in the ePub format. Millennials (Also known as Gneration Y or Echo Boomers.) The generation born between 1977 and 1994.
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