Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
(0.24) 0.58
(0.25)
Government responsiveness 0.25
(0.18) 0.54
(0.18)
Postmaterialist values 0.21 (0.21) 0.26 (0.22)
Resources
Male 0.14 (0.09) 0.11 (0.10)
Education 0.17 (0.32) 0.05 (0.33)
Political interest 1.10
(0.15) 1.08
(0.16)
Membership in civic groups 2.04
(0.16) 1.93
(0.17)
News Media
TV news exposure 0.69
(0.37) 0.70
(0.40)
Radio news exposure 0.02 (0.21) 0.01 (0.22)
Newspaper exposure 0.55
(0.23) 0.74
(0.25)
Online news exposure 1.00
(0.32) 0.98
(0.34)
Social network site use
With a Facebook account 0.47
(0.17)
Frequency of Facebook use 0.47
(0.21)
Likelihood ratio
2
447.40
369.53
Pseudo-R
2
(%) 46.3 43.0
N 940 810
Note: Cell entries are Poisson regression coefcients with standard errors in parentheses.
p < .10.
p < .01.
p < .001.
news were more likely to engage in protest. Among grievance effects, lack of trust
in political institutions was the most important driver of protest behavior. Those
with a left-leaning orientation were far more likely to join protests than those with a
right-leaning orientation.
We had also hypothesized (H2) that the positive relationship between Facebook
use and protest was explained by three activities performed on the network:
news consumption, expressing opinions, and socializing with peers. To test these
mediating relationships, we estimated a path model in which frequency of Facebook
use was predictive of all three activities on Facebook, while these activities, in turn,
were predictive of protest. The results of the estimation are displayed in Figure 1,
showing statistically signicant paths only (full results are displayed in Table 2).
As could be expected, using Facebook more frequently meant engaging in all three
of the Facebook activities considered more frequently as well. Most importantly,
using Facebook for news (b = .51, p < .05) and socializing (b = .52, p < .001) was
Journal of Communication 62 (2012) 299314 2012 International Communication Association 307
The Social Media Basis of Youth Protest Behavior S. Valenzuela et al.
0.52***
(0.14)
0.51*
(0.24)
0.34***
(0.05)
0.22***
(0.03)
0.07**
(0.02)
Frequency of
Facebook use
Facebook
for news
Facebook for
self-expression
Facebook for
social life
Protest
behavior
Figure 1 Path model of Facebook use and protest behavior.
Note. Paths are Poisson regression coefcients with standard errors in parentheses (see Table 2
for further details). Only statistically signicant paths are displayed.
p < .10.
p < .01.
p < .001.
positively associated with protest levels. Although Facebook for opinion expression
was not a signicant predictor of protest (b = .16, ns) once all other variables were
taken into account, the three Facebook activities included in the model fully mediated
the direct effects of general Facebook use on protest. This conclusion stems from the
signicant drop in the magnitude of the direct effect of Facebook use on protest (from
b = .47, p < .05 [reported in the last column of Table 1] to b = .23, ns). Thus, in line
with the hypothesis, there was sufcient evidence that mediation was indeed taking
place.
Finally, we examined the association between protest activity and series of
interactions between Facebook use and political ideologies and postmaterialist
values, separately for the total sample and among those with a Facebook account.
Each of these interactions was anticipated to be signicant, indicating a greater
engagement in protest activities among people who were left-leaning and/or held
postmaterialist values (H3). The coefcients displayed in Table 3 offered no support
for this hypothesis. The only signicant interaction was between ideology and
frequency of Facebook use, but it was in the opposite direction of what had been
predicted. The relationship between Facebook use and protest behavior was not
contingent upon political and/or cultural values in this study.
Discussion
This article contributes to our understanding of the role of social network sites
in political change in developing democracies. Our analysis of Facebook use and
protest behavior among 1829 year olds in Chile demonstrated that having a
Facebook account and using it frequently were positively and signicantly related
to participation in protests, even after taking into account other known sources
of this type of political action. Controlling for grievances, values, resources, and
308 Journal of Communication 62 (2012) 299314 2012 International Communication Association
S. Valenzuela et al. The Social Media Basis of Youth Protest Behavior
Table 2 Poisson Regressions for Mediation Analysis of Facebook Use on Protest Behavior
Facebook
for News
Facebook for
Self-expression
Facebook for
Social Life
Protest
Behavior
B (SE) B (SE) B (SE) B (SE)
Grievances
Negative economic
evaluations
0.03 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) 0.05 (0.04) 0.27 (0.15)
Condence in public
institutions
0.04 (0.03) 0.11
(0.25)
Government
responsiveness
0.01 (0.02) 0.01 (0.03) 0.08 (0.09) 0.25 (0.17)
Values
Right-wing ideology 0.04 (.03) 0.03 (0.03) 0.05 (0.05) 0.49
(0.18)
Postmaterialist values 0.02 (0.03) 0.03 (0.03) 0.03 (0.06) 0.28 (0.22)
Resources
Male 0.01 (0.01) 0.01 (0.01) 0.12
(0.04) 1.02
(0.15)
Membership in civic
groups
0.07
(0.06) 1.78
(0.17)
News media
TV news exposure 0.02 (0.05) 0.06 (0.06) 0.08 (0.11) 0.58 (0.40)
Radio news exposure 0.18
(0.03) 0.10
(0.07) 0.66
(0.25)
Online news exposure 0.21
(0.34)
Social network site use
Frequency of
Facebook use
0.07
(0.02) 0.22
(0.03) 0.34
(0.24)
Facebook for
self-expression
0.16 (0.26)
Facebook for social life 0.52
(0.14)
Likelihood ratio
2
110.77
102.96
153.39
394.24
Pseudo-R
2
(%) 12.3 11.4 17.0 47.1
N 810 810 810 810
Note: Cell entries are Poisson regression coefcients with standard errors in parentheses.
p < .10.
p < .01.
p < .001.
news media use, the strength of this relationship was comparable to the inuence of
political distrust and leftist ideology on triggering elite-challenging political behavior.
It should be noted, however, that factors such as political interest and membership
in civic groups were more closely related to protest. Facebook use is thus a signicant
tool for youth activism, but by no means the only or even necessarily the most
important one. This is good news in our view because it would be quite troubling
Journal of Communication 62 (2012) 299314 2012 International Communication Association 309
The Social Media Basis of Youth Protest Behavior S. Valenzuela et al.
Table 3 Two-Way Interactions Between Facebook Use, Values, and Ideology
Total Sample
Those With a
Facebook Account
B (SE) B (SE)
Grievances
Negative economic evaluations 0.15 (0.14) 0.19 (0.15)
Condence in public institutions 0.55
(0.24) 0.57
(0.25)
Government responsiveness 0.25
(0.15) 1.07
(0.16)
Membership in civic groups 2.04
(0.16) 1.94
(0.17)
News media
TV news exposure 0.72
(0.37) 0.73
(0.40)
Radio news exposure 0.02 (0.21) 0.01 (0.22)
Newspaper exposure 0.61
(0.23) 0.73
(0.25)
Online news exposure 0.96
(0.32) 0.98
(0.34)
Social network site use
With a Facebook account 0.61 (0.55)
Frequency of Facebook use 0.08 (0.67)
Interactions
With a Facebook Account Values 0.92 (0.79)
With a Facebook Account Ideology 2.01
(0.78)
Frequency of Facebook Use Values 0.65 (0.93)
Frequency of Facebook Use Ideology 0.51 (0.79)
Likelihood ratio
2
454.47
370.28
Pseudo-R
2
47.4 43.2
N 940 810
Note: Cell entries are Poisson regression coefcients with standard errors in parentheses.
p < .10.
p < .01.
p < .001.
if young adults protest behavior was determined by a single technological platform
such as Facebook.
What people did with Facebook mattered as well. Using Facebook for news
and socializing with peers was associated with increased participation in protests,
but using it for self-expression was not. These results are consistent with previous
work showing that the informational and social interactive uses of media can lead
to participatory behaviors, while entertainment uses can drive people away from
collective action (Shah et al., 2009). These ndings also indicate that Facebook can
310 Journal of Communication 62 (2012) 299314 2012 International Communication Association
S. Valenzuela et al. The Social Media Basis of Youth Protest Behavior
successfully allow youth to interweave the private world of family, friends, and
personal life with the public sphere of politics, social movements, and protests, in line
with subactivist practices (Bakardjieva, 2009). Both as a technology and as a space
where people mediate their political interests, Facebook is a resource for creating
a collective agency. Furthermore, by illustrating how Facebook serves multiple
functions, including surveillance, social integration, and deliberative practice, our
ndings counter simple notions of technological determinism.
Considering Chiles economic development and the diffusion of postmaterialist
values among youth, as manifested by students demands around quality-of-life
issues like education and the environment, we expected that the mobilizing potential
of Facebook would be particularly salient for users who share postmaterialist or
leftist political values. However, this was not the case, perhaps suggesting that
individuals need not share a particular cultural or political outlook to benet from
the participatory potential of the online network site.
Online tools such as Facebook are not so much creating new forms of protest as
amplifying traditional forms of protest, such as street demonstrations. Inother words,
activism does not conne itself to separate online and ofine spheres, but instead
online interactions can aid ofine forms of citizen participation. Governments and
political parties, in turn, must take into account what is available on social network
sites as they gauge public opinion and knowledge. The positive links between
Facebook use and protest behavior reported here represent both an opportunity
and a challenge. On the one hand, social network sites seem to reduce the costs of
collective action, enabling citizens to organize themselves more easily and to voice
their concerns more publicly. On the other, there is the risk of furthering inequality if
the population of social media users is skewed toward the technologically savvy and
those with high human, social, and economic capital.
Although our study was conducted a year earlier from the massive student-led
protests that put Chile in the headlines worldwide in 2011, the ndings reported
here provide some clues to understand the surprising impact of the student-led
protests. Political grievances, leftist orientations, political interest, and participation
in civic groups were all found to be strong predictors of protest activity. It is safe
to assume that all of these attributes are more likely to characterize college-bound
youth than other segments of Chilean society, and thus it should not come as
a surprise that students have led the current movement for economic and social
reform. On the other hand, the unique contribution of social network site use for
protest that was extensively probed with 2010 data suggests that growth in usage of
these platforms between 2010 and 2011 could be related to an increase in protest
behavior.
Despite the new insights shed by this study, the analysis has several limitations.
By employing survey data, we are constrained to self-reports of protest activity
and Facebook use, which may yield inaccurate measures due to social desirability
bias. Although Facebook is the dominant social network site in Chile, our ndings
are limited to a single social network application. Additional research is needed to
Journal of Communication 62 (2012) 299314 2012 International Communication Association 311
The Social Media Basis of Youth Protest Behavior S. Valenzuela et al.
produce more detailed ndings that extend across a range of social media. Although
a number of factors could be controlled statistically, the cross-sectional nature of
our data limits our ability to infer causal relationships. Limitations notwithstanding
our study provides an initial foundation for research on the role of social media and
protest behavior in consolidating democracies.
Notes
1 Income was excluded from the analysis because it was found to be highly collinear with
education (r = .44). When replacing income for education in the multivariate analysis,
the results were the same as those reported in the results section.
2 To ensure that Poisson regression was appropriate, negative binomial models were
estimated and contrasted with the Poisson specications. In all cases, the dispersion
coefcient of the negative binomial models was insignicant.
3 We calculated correlations between all the independent variables used in the regressions
to check for collinearity. Nearly all were relatively uncorrelated (mean r = .07, median
r = .04).
4 Descriptive statistics of all variables and replication data are available from the rst
author upon request.
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314 Journal of Communication 62 (2012) 299314 2012 International Communication Association
Sebastin Valenzuela
Arturo Arriagada
Andrs Scherman
Diego Portales
2010
Facebook Facebook
Facebook
Lancrage dans les mdias sociaux des comportements de protestation des jeunes : le cas du Chili
Sebastin Valenzuela, Arturo Arriagada & Andrs Scherman
La protestation est devenue un moyen central de changement politique au Chili. Nous examinons
lassociation entre lutilisation des mdias sociaux et la protestation des jeunes, ainsi que les
mcanismes de mdiation et de modration de cette association, en utilisant des donnes
denqute recueillies au Chili en 2010. Nous avons dcouvert que lutilisation de Facebook tait
associe de faon significative aux activits de protestation, mme une fois que les dolances
politiques, les ressources matrielles et psychologiques, les valeurs et lutilisation des mdias
dinformation sont prises en compte. Le lien entre lutilisation de Facebook et les activits de
protestation tait plus fort quand Facebook tait utilis pour les nouvelles et la socialisation que
quand il ltait pour lexpression individuelle. Les valeurs postmatrialistes et lidologie
politique nont pas modr lassociation entre lutilisation de Facebook et les protestations.
Mots cls : protestation, jeunesse, Facebook, mdias sociaux, participation politique, Chili
Soziale Medien als Basis jugendlichen Protestverhaltens: Der Fall Chile
Protestaktivitten sind in Chile ein wichtiges Mittel, politische Vernderungen
herbeizufhren. Wir untersuchen den Zusammenhang zwischen der Nutzung sozialer Medien
und J ugendprotesten, sowie die Mediator- und Moderator-Mechanismen fr diesen
Zusammenhang und nutzen dafr Umfragedaten, die 2010 in Chile erhoben wurden. Wir
fanden heraus, dass die Nutzung von Facebook signifikant mit Protestaktivitten
zusammenhing und das dieser Zusammenhang auch dann noch Bestand hatte, wenn politische
Nte, materielle und psychische Ressourcen sowie Werte und Nutzung von
Nachrichtenmedien kontrolliert wurden. Die Beziehung zwischen Facebook-Nutzung und
Protestaktivitt war dann strker, wenn es fr Nachrichten und Sozialbeziehungen
Verwendung fand und nicht fr die Eigendarstellung genutzt wurde. Postmaterialistische
Werte und politische Ideologie moderierten die Beziehung zwischen Facebook-Nutzung und
Protest nicht.
Schlsselbegriffe: Protest, J ugendliche, Facebook, soziale Medien, politische Partizipation,
Chile
:
Sebastin Valenzuela
Catholic University of Chile
Arturo Arriagada and Andrs Scherman
Diego Portales University
. 2010
,
.
, , ,
.
,
.
.
La Base del Comportamiento de Protesta de la J uventud en los Medios Sociales: El Caso
de Chile
Sebastin Valenzuela
Catholic University of Chile
Arturo Arriagada and Andrs Scherman
Diego Portales University
Resumen
La actividad de protesta se ha convertido en central para el cambio poltico en Chile.
Examinamos la asociacin entre el uso de los medios sociales y la protesta de la
juventud, as como tambin los mecanismos de mediacin y moderadores de esta
relacin, usando una encuesta de datos colectada en Chile en el 2010. Encontramos que
el uso de Facebook fue asociado significativamente con la actividad de protesta, an
despus de haber tenido en consideracin las quejas polticas, los recursos materiales y
sicolgicos, los valores y el uso de las noticias de los medios. Esta conexin entre el uso
de Facebook y la actividad de protesta fue ms fuerte cuando fue usado para las noticias y
para socializar que para cuando fue usado como auto-expresin. Los valores pos-
materiales y la ideologa poltica no fueron encontrados que moderen la asociacin entre
el uso de Facebook y la protesta.