The

AllWeatherWinners
System
MichaelCarr
www.lucrativeportfolio.com
Foreword
FirstlyabigthankyouforsigninguptoreceivetheAllWeatherWinners
system.
Itisastraightforwardsystemtofollowandcanbeusedallyearround,
throughbothracingseasons.
AllWeatherWinnershasbeenprovenprofitablesince2010.
Imsureitwillprovetobeagreatadditiontoyourownbettingportfolio,just
asithasbeentomyown.
BestRegards,
Michael
SystemOverview
Thissystem,asthenamesuggests,focusesspecificallyonAllWeather
racing.Wewillbefocusingonthefavouritesintheseraces,andall
selectionswillbebackedtowin.
Inthe3yearsofproofingfrom20102012inclusive,wehaveseenthe
followingresults:
Bets:943
Wins:363
38.49%StrikeRate
AnindustrySPprofitof9,708(to100levelstakes)
ABetfairSPprofitof11,820(to100levelstakes)
Usingadvisedstakingmethodswehavebeenabletomultiplytheseprofit
levelsmanytimesover.
SystemRules
Aswithanyhorseracingsystem,wehaveasetofrulestofollowinorder
tofindourselections.AnadvantageforAllWeatherWinnersisthatallthe
rulesareeasyandstraightforwardtofollow.
Wewilllistthesystemrulesbelow,andtheninthefollowingpageswillgo
intomoredetailonthereasoningbehindtheserules,andhowtoapply
them:
1.TheracemustbeonanAllWeathersurface
2.Wearefocusingonthefavouriteintherace
3.Theracemustbeclass5orlower
4.ThehorsemusthavethetopOfficialRating(OR)initsrace
5.Exclude2yearoldhorses
6.ThehorsemustbeMale
7.Thehorsemustberacingwithin1classofitslastrace
8.Ourhorse'slastracemusthavebeenahandicap
Nowwewillshowyoutheeasiestorderandhowtoapplytheserules.
1.TheracemustbeonanAllWeathersurface
Applyingthisrulefirstmeanswecanquicklyestablishifthisisgoingtobe
anobetday.
Wehave5allweathertracksintotalforUKandIrishracingtheseare
listedbelow:
LingfieldPark
KemptonPark
Southwell
Wolverhampton
Dundalk
WewillneedtoheadtotheRacingPostwebsitetocheckwhetherthere
areanyAllWeathermeetingsonagivenday,sogoto:
http://www.racingpost.com/cards
Onthispage,simplyscrolldownthepagetoseewherethedaysmeetings
arebeingheldat.
Ifnoneofourallweathertracksappearonthislist,itissafetoassume
therearenoAllWeathermeetingsforthatday,andsonosystem
selections.
2.Wearefocusingonthefavouriteintherace
Wearefocusingonthefavouritestoensureahighstrikerate,andreduce
thelengthoflosingruns.Ourfirsttworulesgohandinhandasthestats
showfavouritesontheAWhavewonahigherpercentageofthetimethan
ontheturf.
Interestinglystandardtofastistheonlytypeofgoingthathasproduceda
profittolevelstakeswithfavouritesoverthelast3yearperiod.
Thereareplentyofwaystocheckwhichhorseisthemarketfavourite.Two
oftheeasiestwebsitestouseare:
Anoddscomparisonwebsitesuchashttp://www.oddschecker.com
Abettingexchangesuchashttp://www.betfair.com/exchange
AlthoughIhavetakenthesescreenshotsinthemorningwhenthereisnot
agreatdealofmoneyinthemarket,wecanalreadyseethatBoroughBoy
isthefavouriteinthisrace.
PleasenotewewanttofindaCLEARfavouriteinanygivenraceraces
withjoint/cofavourites,orhorsesatthetopofthemarketwithcloseodds
shouldbeexcluded,asthefavouriteintheseracescanquiteeasily
changethroughouttheday.
3.Theracemustbeclass5orlower
Favouritesinthelowerclassesofracingtendtobemoreclearcutfrom
theremainderofhorses,andthereforeperformbetterasaresult.Higher
classesofracingarealotmorecompetitivecausingadropinthestrike
rateofthefavourites.Wecanseethisusingthehistoricaldatafor
favouritessince2010:
Class6AWraces36%strikerate
Class5AWraces37%strikerate
Class4AWraces31%strikerate
Class3AWraces25%strikerate
Class2AWraces26%strikerate
SobacktotheRacingPosttoseewhatclassour7.20Wolvesraceis.If
weclickonourraceinthecards,apagelikethiswillappear:
Afterthenameoftherace,theclassoftheracewillbedisplayedin
brackets,whichIhavecircledinred.
4.ThehorsemusthavethetopOfficialRating(OR)initsrace
Anotheraidtokeepingthestrikeratehigh,andthereforethesystem
profitable.41%offavouritehorseswithtopORgoontowintheirrace.
Forthisrulewewillneedtogointotheracedetails,soagainintheRacing
Post,clickonanyofthequalifyingracesandyouwillbefacedwitha
screensimilartothis:
Iprefertousetheataglancecardtabasopposedtothestandardcard
asyoucanseemoredetailusingthiscard.TheOfficialRatingfiguresare
showninredovaltotherightofthescreenshot.
AswecanseeBoroughBoyhasthehighestrating.
Onethingtonotehereisourhorsestillqualifiesasaselectionifthereare
otherhorsesintheracewiththesameofficialrating,aslongasnoother
horsehasahigherOR.
5.Exclude2yearoldhorses
2yearsistheyoungestageahorsecanraceat,andassuchmanyof
thesehorsesareeitherfirsttimerunnersorotherwiseinexperienced.This
iswhywehaveexcludedthesefromourselections.
Fromthesamepageasbeforewecanchecktheageofourhorseas
longasitis3yearsorolderitpassesthisrule.
6.ThehorsemustbeMale
ThestatisticsshowthatmalehorsesperformbetterontheAWthantheir
femalecounterpartsafterapplyingthepreviousrulesmalehorsesshowa
levelstakeprofitof32points.Femaleshowevershowamassive52points
losstolevelstakes.
Weneedtodelvealittledeeperintotheindividualhorsedetailstofindthis
information,sofromthecurrentpageintheRacingPost,clickonour
favouritehorsesnametoloadupanewwindowlikethis:
Againtherelevantinformationhasbeenhighlightedinred.Itisthelast
letterinthiscircleweareinterestedin,asthisiswhattellsusthehorses
gender.Allthedifferentnotationsareshownbelow:
HORSES&COLTS
bc.........baycolt....
chc......chestnutcolt
grc.....greycolt
bg........baygelding
chg......chestnutgelding
grg......greygelding
bh.........bayhorse
chh......chestnuthorse
grh.....greyhorse
FILLIES&MARES
bf....bayfilly
grf.....greyfilly
chf....chestnutfilly
bm.....baymare...5yearsandolder
chm...chestnutmare
grm....greymare
WecanseeBoroughBoyisaGelding,whichmeansitismale,andsothis
horsequalifiesunderthisrule.
Basicallywejustwanttoavoidhorsesthathaveanformnotation.
7.Thehorsemustberacingwithin1classofitslastrace
Commonsensedictatesthatahorsegoingup2ormoreclassesisoften
goingtostrugglewiththehigherlevelofcompetition,atleastfirsttimeout.
Horsesrunninginasimilarclassasthepreviousracewillmostlikelybe
wellwithintheircomfortzone,andwillperformwellasaresult.
Wecangetthisinformationfromthesamepageasourlastrule.Thelist
showsourhorsespreviousraces,andinthehighlightedareawecansee
theclassofthelastraceitranin.
BoroughBoyspreviousracewasclass5,whichisthesameastodays
raceandsoagainitqualifies.Onemoreruletogo...
8.Ourhorse'slastracemusthavebeenahandicap
Thisisaninterestingfinalangleforoursystem,butneverthelessan
effectiveone.Ahorseisfirstallowedahandicapratingonceithasruna
minimumof3races.Thisappliestobothflatandjumpsracingseparately.
Sothereisanelementofincreasedexperienceatthetrackfromhorses
whohavepreviouslyruninhandicaps.Ihaveacoupleofadditional
theoriesinthisareaincludingthecreationofvaluethroughhandicapping,
andweightsadvantagesofpreviouslyhandicappedhorses.Butillnot
boreyouwiththeintricatedetails
Goingthroughthebacktestingforthisrule,ithasprovedtoaprofitable
angle.Withtheothersystemrulesapplied,horsespreviouslyracingin
nonhandicapsshowalossof8.28points.Notthatsubstantial,but
comparedwithhorseswhosepreviousracewasahandicapthisshowsa
massiveprofitof73.7points.
Wecanactuallyuseourpreviousscreenshotagain,asthetypeofraceis
showndirectlyaftertheraceclass.
WearelookingspecificallyaHcnotationhere,andaswecanseeinthe
aboveexample,BoroughBoyslastracewasindeedahandicap.
BoroughBoyhasqualifiedasanAllWeatherWinnersselection
underoursystemrules.
Afterthedaysraces,wewilltakealooktoseehowourselection
performed.
Aswecansee,BoroughBoywentontowinhisracewithrelativeease.
RecommendedStaking
Althoughthissystemwillproducegreatprofitstolevelstakes,we
encouragetheuseofaprogressivestakingplan.
Progressivestakingiswhenweincreaseourstakesasourbettingbank
increases,andreduceourstakeswhengoingthroughalosingperiod.This
canbeadvantageousasweaccelerateourprofitswhenthesystemis
performingwell,andreduceourlossesduringlosingruns.
Witha38.49%strikeratewecanbealittlemoreaggressivethanwith
lowerstrikeratesystems,thereforewerecommendthefollowing:
3%Stakeplan,compoundedmonthly.
Thismeanswetakeourbettingbankatthestartofeachmonth,and
multiplythisby0.03.Thiswillbeourstakeperbetforthatmonth.Atthe
start,ofthenextmonth,againwemultiplyournewbankbalanceby0.03to
getanewstakeperbetforthatmonth.Heresanexampletoclarify:
Bettingbank:1000
1000x0.03=30
Stakeperbet:30
Usingaprogressivestakingplanwillallowustoincreasetheprofits
generatedfromthesystemexponentially.