(15-14) Clark Property Management is responsible for the 4 maintenance, rental,

and day-to-day operation of a large apartment complex on the east side of New
Orleans. eorge Clark is especially concerned abo!t the cost pro"ections for
replacing air conditioner compressors. #e wo!ld like to sim!late the n!mber of
compressor fail!res each year o$er the next %& years. 'sing data from a similar
apartment b!ilding he manages in a New Orleans s!b!rb, Clark establishes a
table of relati$e fre(!ency of fail!res d!ring a year as shown in the following
table)
N!mber of *.C. Compressor
+ail!res
Probability ,-elati$e +re(!ency.
& &.&/
0 &.01
% &.%2
1 &.%3
4 &.%&
2 &.&4
/ &.&0
#e decides to sim!late the %&-year period by selecting two-digit random n!mbers
from the third col!mn of 5able 02.2, starting with the random n!mber 2&.
Cond!ct the sim!lation for Clark. 6s it common to ha$e three or more consec!ti$e
years of operation with two or fewer compressor fail!res per year7
(15-15. 5he n!mber of cars arri$ing per ho!r at 8!ndberg9s Car :ash d!ring the
past %&& ho!rs of operation is obser$ed to be the following)
N!mber of Cars *rri$ing +re(!ency
1 or less &
4 %&
2 1&
/ 2&
4 /&
3 4&
; or more &
5otal %&&
,a. <et !p a probability and c!m!lati$e probability distrib!tion for the $ariable of
car arri$als.
,b. =stablish random n!mber inter$als for the $ariable.
,c. <im!late 02 ho!rs of car arri$als and comp!te the a$erage n!mber of arri$als
per ho!r. <elect the random n!mbers needed from the first col!mn of 5able 02.2,
beginning with the digits 2%.
Table 15:5 First Column
2
%
1
4
3
%
/
;
;
3
;
/
1
1
2
&
3
3
;
&
2
&
%
4
4
2
3
0
/
/
4
4
1
&
2
;
/
4
/
&
/
&
3
&
2
1
/
;
1
4
(15-16) Comp!te the expected n!mber of cars arri$ing in Problem 02-02 !sing
the expected $al!e form!la. Compare this with the res!lts obtained in the
sim!lation.
(15-17) -efer to the data in <ol$ed Problem 02-0, which deals with #iggins
Pl!mbing and #eating. #iggins has now collected 0&& weeks of data and finds
the following distrib!tion for sales)
#ot :ater #eater <ales Per :eek N!mber of :eeks 5his N!mber :as
<old
1 %
4 ;
2 0&
/ 02
4 %2
3 0%
; 0%
0& 0&
00 2
,a. -esim!late the n!mber of stocko!ts inc!rred o$er a %&-week period
,ass!ming #iggins maintains a constant s!pply of 3 heaters..
,b. Cond!ct this %&-week sim!lation two more times and compare yo!r answers
with those in part ,a.. >id they change significantly7 :hy or why not7
,c. :hat is the new expected n!mber of sales per week7