Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture
session 17th September 2012)
1
The Nature of Conflict as Form of Intellectual Thinking and Studies
I must study politics and war, that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy John Adams (1735-1862)
Question: What are conflict and war? Why do we need to learn about this? Let me frame this question in a wider context: What are the relations between conflict and resolution with the society? War doesnt happen in Malaysia. For God sake, we dont have any armed conflict in this beloved country (except for 20 years ago when our Armed Forces combating the so called Communist terrorist)! Thus, why do we need to learn about conflict? Contrary to the popular opinion (as been usually portrayed through Hollywoods war film such as Rambo trilogy and more contemporary The Expendables!), conflict is not merely an act of warfare, military, explosion, suicide bomber or anything relating to the act of militant. Jeong (2010) explained in his book Conflict Management and Resolution: .... Conflict is mostly popular described as a struggle over values and claims to scarce status, power and resources. Based from above argument, clearly, conflict is all about disagreement among people whether in a society, organization, and company so on and so forth. Nevertheless, conflict may occur when there is any form of human interaction! Conflict is manifested through adversarial social action, involving TWO or MORE actors with expression of differences often accompanied by intense hostilities. You cannot have fights without any contender! Thus, in order to have a conflict, the most important is to find a rival, adversary and contender! Everyday forms of conflict may occur in the society. Sometimes, you may have a dispute with your neighbor over a sound pollution (in P Ramlees film entitled Seniman Bujang Lapok. There was a scene where Ramlee, Sudin and Ajis having trouble with his neighbors such as a guy blow a trumpet in the middle of the night, exactly when they started to memorize the films script),this was a classic example of everyday forms of conflict. Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
2
Approaches to Understanding Conflict Brother will kill brother; spilling blood across the land, killing for religion is something that I dont understand. Megadeth (1990)
Conflict dates from the beginning of human history and will never end. According to the teaching of the Cluster of Abrahamic Religion (Islam, Christian and Judaism), the first human conflict on earth were the clash between Cain and Abel (Qabil & Habil). The former were the first murderer and the later the first to be assassinated. If we analyze this tragedy closely, thus we could understand why the conflict often happens in the society. Please remember: .... Conflict is mostly popular described as a struggle over values and claims to scarce status, power and resources. Based from above argument, clearly, the disputes between Cain and Abel were all about disagreement over scarce status (offering to the God), power (to get marry to beautiful woman) and resources (to control the land etc). Nevertheless, the most important thing is, we should know that conflict is normal to human. However, the most important thing is how to manage and control the conflict from led to full-fledge casualties (For God sake that is why we name this course as Negotiations and Conflict Management). Our survival on this planet hinges on how we manage various features of conflict that is fuelled not only seemingly incompatible interests and values but also by hostilities. The most destructive types of conflict such as interstate and civil wars consist of a coercive, violent mode of confrontation among adversaries. Whereas conflict embraces personal loss and societal destruction, its many features are not limited to physical violence. Non violent forms of struggle are also prevalent in pursuit of different values and scarce resources. In bringing about important social change, resorting to force is neither necessary nor inevitable. Each year, 20-40 armed conflicts of various size rages around the world. Some conflicts have been successfully managed, but others have brought about devastating consequences such as wholesale killing. For instance, the conflict in Southern Thailand, after Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
3
more than a decade in hiatus, the separatist movements once again reignited the fire when the armed forces of Thailand, responsible to the death of more than 70 peoples due to coercive and aggression when they tried to disperse demonstration in Tak Bai, 2004. Thus, the escalation of violence in Southern Thailand 4 provinces (Yala, Narathiwat, Pattani and Songkhla) was something inevitable. The wars in Chechnya have been responsible for the most horrific human rights violations, while civilian populations in Iraq become terror victims and are hostage to religious, sectarian violence unleashed as a consequence of the US invasion. Whereas violence and intractable conflict seem certain to remain a prominent and tragic part of the human condition, some conflicts have been successfully transformed for resolution. Many decades of struggle in Acheh, ended (at least temporarily) with the building of new institutions (such as syariah based law enactment) that transferred governance power to the local. In understanding conflict, it is imperative to examine the sources of discontent and animosity, to identify the phases of evolving relationship between adversaries, and to illuminate the escalation to their struggles and eventual recession of violent cycles to the peaceful resolution of differences. Given the enormity and severity of the consequences of uncontrolled violence, serious attention needs to be devoted to the regulation and management of hostile relations, even if it may take longer to resolve deadly conflict. The methods of intervention in any type of violence have to be associated with understanding the very nature, causes and dynamic of conflict. It covers the decision making process, political systems in social dynamic of human interaction which can be transformed. In analysis we need to include the causes of violent conflict and the interconnectivity in diverse elements within and between conflict systems. At the same time, multiple types of conflict relationship at the inter group, national, international and global level will be discussed in the context of past and current efforts to manage irreconcilable differences.
Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
4
The Nature of Conflict Imagine all the people living live in peace John Winston Lennon (1971) Conflict represent the persistent and pervasive nature of inter group and international competition among disparate interest and values that underlies power dynamics. The comprehension of mass violence and war needs to be based on an understanding of institutional roles besides the psychological and behavioral elements that instigate aggression. The experience of conflict is so basic than its negative effects spread to many aspect of a communitys life. The sources of adversarial relationship are not limited to tangible economic interest or control over power, but also extend to values and identity differences. The antagonism in question may arise from interpersonal tensions between government leaders, labor management issues compromising multinational cooperation and manual workers, disagreement between states on foreign policy directions, or international quarrels over trade imbalances and disparities in decision making power at the international organizations (such as International Monetary Fund and the World Bank). Since conflict is entailed in diverse types of social interactions, its concepts have been applied to a variety of situation. The potential for conflict exist where opposing interest, values, or needs tinge our relationships with others. The latent conditions of conflict eventually translate into multiple forms of enmity in the visible issues. In general, conflict is most popularly described as a struggle over values and claims to scarce status, power and resources. The efforts to attain desired objects become more intense in the absence of agreed rules prescribing their equitable allocation. Peoples expectations alter in response to a shift in their social and economic environment. If governing norms are too rigid to be adjusted to new demands and expectations, such inflexibility breeds resentment utilized for the mobilization of groups that are discontent with the status quo. In conflict situation, the dynamic of actions and counteractions inevitably engage attempts to control the others behavior, often with the intent to injure or Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
5
destroy. In addition, violence may follow an unconstrained attempt to dominate in a fight over power, prestige and material interests. The essential nature of conflict situation is easily understood in terms of the difficulties involved in meeting everyones aspiration simultaneously. Goals and activities become incompatible when ones own interests are threatened by the action of another. Parties to conflict make attempts to prevent each other from achieving desired objectives, in part, owing to perceptions of divergent interest. Tensions essentially emerge due to the pursuit of different outcomes or disagreement on the means to attain the same end. Thus, a conflict situation is represented by perceived goal incompatibilities and attempts to control each others choices, which generate adverse feelings and behavior toward each other. In the end, what is at stake is the relationship itself and how the relationship is defined. If the sources of discontent are left unaddressed, the conflict has the potential to affect negatively an interdependent relationship that is mutually beneficial. The relationships in conflict are often described in terms of an exercise of coercive power. In an generic sense, power provides the ability to compel others to do something and is also the source of peoples ability to exercise control over decision making on valuable positions, limited goods and services. In an adversarial relationship, a coercive process is linked to one partys efforts to change the others objectives and behavior. Thus, power becomes an important element in the struggle for winning a conflict, since it is essential to engendering a desired difference in the targeted persons emotions and behavior. Conflict definition and the curve of conflict Can you put a price on peace? Megadeth (1986) When many people think of conflict, images of war, violence and loss of life come to mind. While these images are at times true, by definition a conflict is simply a disagreement among the people on an issue. Conflict can be small, perhaps one or two adversaries, or they can be large and complex, as among two or more countries. For instance, in the 1994 genocide in Rwanda, could be attributed to hostile tensions which had a root though competition between Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
6
Hutus and Tutsis over a fertile land for producing coffee beans that could generate a major source of income to every tribe respectively. Furthermore, the conflict between more countries also took place during the 2 nd
World War. Germany developed a mutual armed coalition with Japan and Italy (Axis), whereas their adversaries, such as US are in coalition with Britain and USSR (Allies). 1
Hence, conflict could be happen with a few or large number of adversaries. Human beings cannot exist without conflict. It is a natural and normal part of life and human interaction. When a communication to settle a conflict is constructive, conflict has its benefits. It could stimulate dialogue, discovery, new understanding, fairer and more socially solutions and stronger relationship. However, when a communication is breakdown and the hell breaks loose! If this is happening, conflict can lead to separation, hostility, civil strife, terrorism and war. Major problems arise when conflict become violent or intractable. Intractable conflict refers to a particular type of conflicts that divides large groups of people and is accompanied by large scale violence. Lund (1996) provides us with an explanation of violent conflict in his book entitled Preventing Violent Conflict: a Strategy for Preventive Diplomacy with the curve of conflict.
1 The 2 nd World War has erupted from 1939-1945 between the Axis and the Allies. The Axis led by Germany, Japan and Italy, whereas the Allies spearheaded by US, UK, France and USSR. As recorded, the casualties of war exceed more than 100,000 people. The 2 nd World War also paved a way to the Cold War (1945-1989). Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
7
(Lund: 1996) Durable (Warm) Peace Durable or warm peace involves a high level of reciprocity and cooperation, and the virtual absence of self defence, measures among parties, although it may include their military alliance against a common threat. A positive peace prevails based on shared values, goals and institutions (democratic political system & rule of law), economic interdependence and a sense of an international community. Positive peace have a deep relations to a theoretical framework based on the idea of Immanuel Kant (1724-1804). 2 His thought on perpetual peace deeply influenced the modern concept of international relations, which was the Democratic peace theory. The Democratic peace theory explains every country which founded with the strong respect to democratic value and the rule of law will never wage a war against another. For example, US and UK is a democratic country, thus, because of shared similarity, the countries will never wage a war against another respectively. This was the reason overtly used by the Bushs regime to legitimize the US led allies invasion to Iraq on 2003, in order to democratize and liberate Iraq from tyranny of Saddam Hussein. However, according
2 Immanuel Kant (1724-1804) was a German philosopher, who researched extensively on philosophy of enlightenment at the end of 18 century. His scholarly works entitled the Critique of Pure Reason (1781) had inspired and influenced many notable contemporary philosophers, to name a few, such as Michel Foucault, Jurgen Habermas and Karl Popper. Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
8
to this theory, each democratic country will never wage a war against another, unless the country has change to more totalitarian in political and foreign policy outlook. 3
Stable (Cold) Peace Stable (cold) peace is a relationship of strained communication and limited cooperation (e.g trade), within the overall context of order and national stability. Value or goal differences exist and no military cooperation is established, but dispute are generally worked out in non violent and predictable ways. The prospect for war is slow. If disputes remain unresolved and tensions continue to rise, the conflict may overtime enter a phase known as unstable peace. For instance, Malaysia and Indonesia relations, once upon a time ago (2005) have reached to this level of situation over the dispute of Pulau Sipadan and clash between Malaysian Royal Navy and Indonesian Navys frigate while daily patrolling around Sulawesi (KD Renchong vs KRI Tedung Naga). However, Malaysia and Indonesia had managed to avoid any armed crisis, due to diplomatic skills performed by both countries leaders. Unstable Peace Unstable peace exist when tension and suspicion among parties run high, but violent is either absence or only sporadic. Initiatives taken to defuse tension during a period of unstable peace are termed Preventive Diplomacy and Conflict Prevention, whose objectives include reducing tension, resolving dispute and heading off crises. If the efforts are successful, tensions will subside. An example of unstable peace is the relationship between India and Pakistan over Kashmir territory or Malaysia and Philippines during the period of formation of Malaysia in 1963. While at times the relationship rises to crisis, the overall status is an unstable peace. If preventive diplomacy and crisis prevention are not successful, tension may continue to rise through various types of confrontation and the relation may reach the phase of crisis. Crisis
3 As Kant (1991:73) put it the concept of freedom is derivative of external right or restriction of each individuals freedom, so that it harmonizes with the freedom of everyone else..and public right is the distinctive quality of the external laws which make this constant harmony possible. From this standpoint, Kant argued that the harmonization of wills through public right, when all citizen learn to harmonize their will by acting in accordance with moral imperatives, transcended the limits of the private right of individual. This philosophical opinion deeply influenced the formation of the democratic peace theory later on in the International Relations Studies. Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
9
Crisis is tense of confrontation between armed forces that are mobilized and ready to fight and may engaged in threat and occasional low level skirmishes without having exerted any significant amount of force. The probability of the outbreak of war is high. Initiatives taken to diffuse tension during a period of crisis are termed Crisis Diplomacy and Crisis Management, whose objectives include containing crisis and stopping violence or coercive behavior. If the efforts of crisis diplomacy are not successful, the potential of large scale outbreak of war may enter the phase of war. For instance, in October 16-28, 1962, US and Cuba (with the backup from USSR) in a confrontation for more than 12 days. Failure in a covert operation led by CIA, to overthrow Fidel Castro, paved a way for Cuba to ask for USSR protection in military. The USSR-Cubas government, secretly begin to build a base for a medium-range and intermediate-range ballistic nuclear missile. Cuba effort to build a nuclear weapons base causes anxiety to the White House, due to its potential to threaten USs national security. John F Kennedy (the then President of US), ordered naval blockade to every ship sail to Cuba (Commercial or war ship). The Naval blockade has proven effective to dismantle and reduce the potential of war (Eventually, USSR canceled their intention to supply missiles to Cuba). War War is sustained fighting between organized armed forces (Mafia, Yakuza, Cosa Nostra- gangster style of gang fights could not be considered as war, even though sometimes it would be referred as war by the police). It may vary from low intensity continuing conflict or civil anarchy to all out hot war. Once significant use of violence or armed forces occurs, conflicts are susceptible to entering a spiral of escalating violence. Each side feels increasingly justified to use violence because the other side is doing so, the threshold to armed conflict or war is especially important. If an effort at peacemaking and peace enforcement is successful, fighting will subside. There may be a ceasefire, which may help reduce tensions and move the relationship from a state of war back to a state of crisis. At this point, efforts to keep the conflict from re-escalating are typically called Peace keeping and termination. As any conceptual model, the curve to some extent simplifies a complex reality. None of the five phases represent a natural state of relations between two countries or within a country, and the course of an actual conflict will not follow a tidy bell Post Lecture Notes for KPB 3123 Negotiations and Conflict Management (1 Lecture session 17th September 2012)
10
curve. However the curve of conflict reminds us that few, if any, violent conflict suddenly erupt out of nowhere. They have precursors in less violent and even non violent disputes and tensions. Interventions are generally most effective when addressing disputes before they erupt into violence. For instance, the 2 nd World War erupted when Germany invaded Poland in 1939. In fact, tensions in Asia Pacific blew to war phase when Japan assaulted USs naval base at Pearl Harbour. References Chanteur. J. 1992. From War to Peace. Westview Press. Colorado Jeong, H.W. 2010. Conflict Management and Resolution. New York: Routledge Kamarulzaman Askandar (Editor). 2004. Management and Resolution of Inter-State Conflicts in Southeast Asia. SEACN.USM