RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 DEFINITION OF RUNOFF: Runoff may be defined as that portion of the precipitation as we as any other fow contribution that enters the natura surface stream or channe! "hus it is a fow coected i!e!# output from the draina$e basin in a $i%en unit of time! It is one of the different phases of hydroo$ica cyce! "he runoff from a catchment in any specified period is the tota amount of water that fows into the natura stream and is e&pressed as' (i) Miimeters (or centimeters) of water o%er the entire catchment area (aso caed as draina$e basin) or (ii) In hectare*meters or sometimes in cubic meters of water per unit area of the catchment or draina$e basin! Rainfa is +nown as the main contributor to the $eneration of surface runoff! "herefore there is a si$nificant and uni,ue reationship between rainfa and surface runoff! -hen precipitation fas towards the earth# a portion of it is retained by the %e$etation as .interception/# stored in the depressions of the $round as .depression stora$e/ and as .soi moisture/ 0art of the precipitation reaches the under$round as .infitration/! -hen a these re,uirements are satisfied the e&cess precipitation spreads and co%ers the soi surface with a fim of water caed as .surface detention/ and fows o%er the and surface as .o%erand fows/ and enters the (natura) channe and fows as surface .runoff/! "he water retained as interception# depression# stora$e and soi moisture (i!e!# capiary water) constitutes .basin rechar$e/! "he surface runoff may consist of the foowin$ two portions! (i) O%erand fow that fows o%er the surface (i!e!# surface runoff) to 1oin the nearby channe! (ii) Inter*fow which is the portion of the precipitation that infitrates into the soi and fows ateray in the surface soi to an ad1acent channe! "his is further 2 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING cassified as prompt interfow (with minimum time a$) and deayed interfow! "he part of the precipitation that percoates into the $round throu$h the soi to 1oin the .$round water/ is caed as $round water runoff! "he o%erand fow and interfow are usuay combined to$ether to form direct runoff! 1.2 CLASSIFICATION OF RUNOFF: Dependin$ upon the time deay between the precipitation and the runoff# the runoff may be cassified into' (i) Direct runoff (ii) 2ase fow which is deayed fow from the catchment that 1oins the natura channe as $round water fow 1.3 METHODS OF ESTIMATING RUNOFF: "he %arious methods of indirect measurement of runoff may be cassified as foows' (1) Rational Mt!o" Rationa method is we +nown as one of the basic approach to compute stormwater fows from rainfa by reatin$ pea+ runoff to rainfa intensity throu$h a proportionay factor! -hen the first fow rate or dischar$e formua was estabished# the rainfa intensities were not considered as a si$nificant factor! where# Q 3 cacuated fow rate (m 4 5s)# C 3 runoff coefficient# I 3 rainfa intensity (mm5h)# A 3 area of catchment in%o%ed (ha)! 3 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING Athou$h the method can be considered as the most reiabe approach in estimatin$ the desi$n storm pea+ runoff# e&perience has shown that it ony pro%ides satisfactory resuts on sma catchments of up to 67 hectares ony! (2) #$ Unit H$"%o&%a'! Mt!o": "he Unit 8ydro$raph (U8) of a draina$e basin is defined as a hydro$raph of direct runoff resutin$ from one unit of effecti%e rainfa which is uniformy distributed o%er the basin at a uniform rate durin$ the specified period of time +nown as unit time or unit duration! "he unit ,uantity of effecti%e rainfa is $eneray ta+en as 9mm or 9cm and the outfow hydro$raph is e&pressed by the dischar$e ordinates! "he unit duration may be 9 hour# : hour# 4 hours or so dependin$ upon the si;e of the catchment and storm characteristics! 8owe%er# the unit duration cannot be more than the time of concentration# which is the time that is ta+en by the water from the furthest point of the catchment to reach the outet! Fi$ure 9 shows a typica unit hydro$raph! Fi&(% 1 T$'i)al Unit H$"%o&%a'! 4 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING CHAPTER 2 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING 2.1 INTRODUCTION: Rainfa runoff modes (RRMs) are standard toos routiney used today for hydroo$ica in%esti$ations in en$ineerin$ and en%ironmenta science! "hey are appied to e&tend stream fow time*series in space and time to e%auate mana$ement strate$ies and5or catchment response to cimate and5or and use %ariabiity for the cacuation of desi$n foods as oad modes in+ed to water ,uaity in%esti$ations for rea*time food forecastin$ or to pro%ide boundary conditions for atmospheric circuation modes! -hie food modein$ is of primary interest# such modes aow studyin$ the interactions between surface water and $roundwater and the unsaturated ;one! "he rainfa *runoff process is a hi$hy compe&# noninear# and dynamic physica mechanism that is e&tremey difficut to mode! "his chapter presents an approach that combines data and techni,ue# to de%eop inte$rated modes of the rainfa runoff process! "he $eneric $uideines outine a procedure for appyin$ a hydroo$ica mode! "his can be summarised as occurrin$ in four phases' 9! 0ro1ect mana$ement# :! 0robem definition# 4! Option modein$# 5 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING <! =ompare Options and seect the best! "his deas ony with probem definition and option modein$ because the first and ast phases are discussed sufficienty for the purpose of rainfa*runoff modein$ in the $eneric $uideines! A further reason is that rainfa*runoff modein$ is usuay ony a part of a ar$er hydroo$ica modein$ pro1ect! "his section describes the process of de%eopin$ a rainfa*runoff mode' 2.2 COLLATE AND RE*IE+ DATA "he amount and ,uaity of data a%aiabe to de%eop a mode shoud be determined! "his can infuence the seection of modes# the performance criteria# and the approach to caibrate modes! A bare minimum data set sufficient to ma+e an appro&imate estimate of mean annua catchment yied woud incude catchment area aon$ with spatia and tempora characteristics of rainfa and potentia e%apotranspiration (0E")! A comprehensi%e data set woud incude on$*term streamfow measurements and rainfa and 0E" data coected at one or more ocations within the catchment aon$ with and use co%era$e# %e$etation co%er and imper%ious area information# incudin$ chan$es o%er time! "he ,uaity of the data shoud be re%iewed prior to usin$ to detect errors# non* stationary if any# and understand uncertainties that may infuence estimates! 2.3 SETTING UP AND #UILDING A MODEL "he catchment characteristics are considered aon$ with the +nowed$e on data a%aiabe and any other information a%aiabe to the modeer! "he rainfa*runoff mode chosen is conceptuaised and an initia parameter set is identified! -hen the mode is first set up consideration shoud be $i%en to a constraints which are imitin$ and their effects on the modein$! >ection ? pro%ides more detais associated with this step! 2., CALI#RATION AND *ALIDATION 6 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING Mode caibration is a process of systematicay ad1ustin$ mode parameter %aues to $et a set of parameters which pro%ides the best estimate of the obser%ed streamfow (in the case of rainfa*runoff modes)! "he term @%aidationA# as appied to modes# typicay means confirmation to some de$ree that the caibration of the mode is acceptabe for the intended purpose! In the conte&t of rainfa runoff modein$# %aidation is a process of usin$ the caibrated mode parameters to simuate runoff o%er an independent period outside the caibration period (if enou$h data is a%aiabe) to determine the suitabiity of the caibrated mode for predictin$ runoff o%er any period outside the caibration period! It is a %ery common situation in a pro1ect that in%o%es rainfa runoff modein$ for fow time series to be re,uired for se%era catchments or sub catchments within the mode domain and for data to be a%aiabe from two or more stream fow $au$es to faciitate caibration and %aidation! At ocations where $au$ed fows are a%aiabe and fow estimates are re,uired# two options are a%aiabe to the modeer' (9) "he rainfa runoff modes may be caibrated independenty for each $au$ed catchment! In this case# independent parameter sets wi be deri%ed for the rainfa runoff modes of each catchmentB or (:) A 1oint caibration may be performed# with rainfa runoff modes caibrated with consistent parameters to fit to the $au$e records from two or more $au$es! In this case# a sin$e set of rainfa runoff mode parameters wi be produced for a of the catchments that represent a compromise to fit the fows at a of the $au$es within that $roup! =aibration of a rainfa runoff mode normay in%o%es runnin$ the mode may times# triain$ different %aues of parameters# with the aim of impro%in$ the fit of the mode to the caibration data! =aibration can be faciitated' Manuay# with the modeer settin$ the parameter %aues# runnin$ the mode to inspect the resuts and then repeatin$ this process many timesB Usin$ automated optimisation# with an optimiser a$orithm runnin$ the mode hundreds or thousands of times with different parameter %auesB or 7 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING Usin$ a hybrid approach of automated optimisation phases# interspersed with manuay impemented trias of parameter sets! 2.- CLIMATIC DATA: =imatic data is the most important dri%er of any rainfa runoff modein$ process! "he caibration and %aidation of modes aso in%o%es comparison to obser%ed streamfow data! =hec+s shoud therefore be performed on the input data and the comparison data set for caibration and %aidation to be used in rainfa runoff modein$ before any attempt is made to appy or caibrate the modes! In%esti$ations into data to be used for rainfa runoff modein$ incude chec+s of' >tationarity of the data time series # i!e! has there been any systematic or step chan$e in the statistica properties o%er the time of data coection# and if so whyB >patia coherence of data# i!e!# is the data consistent with re$iona spatia and tempora patterns and trendsB Accuracy of the spatia ocation of the $au$in$ siteB =onsistency in the approach used to date and time stamp the data# particuary for data pro%ided by different a$enciesB 0rocedures use for spatiay interpoation of point obser%ations to $ridded data estimates or estimated series across catchment areas e!$!# time series pots at different e%es of tempora a$$re$ation# ran+ed pots# residua mass cur%es# doube mass cur%es# etc! One ma1or factor which wi appy across a types of time series data used is that the time base must be +ept consistent so that the data appies to the same time period! 2.. CATCHMENT DETAILS: (1) Lo)ation o/ &a(&0 (0t%a1/lo23 %ain/all an" 4a'o%ation): "he streamfow recorded at the catchment outet is a combined response to the spatia distribution of rainfa and e%aporation across the catchment! "here are uncertainties 8 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING associated with the streamfow measurements due to ratin$ cur%e errors as we as due to e&trapoation outside the imits of the ratin$ cur%e! "here is spatia %ariabiity in rainfa (and to smaer e&tent e%aporation) across a catchment which is not captured when underta+in$ umped catchment modein$ usin$ a sin$e rain $au$e! "here mi$ht be probems with the ocation of the rain $au$e in terms of capturin$ a representati%e rainfa for a the rainfa e%ents especiay for catchments with hi$h rainfa $radients! (2) To'o&%a'!$ an" Cat)!1nt A%a0: >i;e of catchment may ha%e an effect to the runoff $eneration in terms of the runoff efficiency (%oume of runoff per unit area)! "he ar$er the si;e of the catchment# the ar$er is the time of concentration and the smaer the runoff efficiency! "he and use characteristics aso contributed for the surface fow process whereby the infitration e&cess fow is the main process in terms of runoff $eneration on de$raded and whie saturation e&cess o%erand fow is more ree%ant for a$ricutura and! "he catchment area for a catchment represents the contributin$ area to the catchment outet where the streamfow is measured! "he catchment boundaries (and the correspondin$ catchment area) can either be deri%ed from topo$raphic map ayers or usin$ the catchment di$ita ee%ation mode (DEM) and a standard pac+a$e! It is usuay easier to determine catchment area for the catchments ocated in steeper terrain compared to those ocated in %ery fat areas (especiay when usin$ DEM)! (3) Soil t$'0: A catchments rainfa*runoff response is reated to the soi types in the catchment! "he surface soi characteristics determine the infitration rates and so the contributions from different fow components (surface runoff# throu$h fow and base fow)! >ois information can be obtained from any sois fied wor+ that has been underta+en in the catchment or from ar$e scae soi properties maps! In most practica appications of conceptua rainfa*runoff modes# soi information is sedom directy used as input in the caibration process because the inherent spatia %ariabiity in soi properties within a catchment is typicay sufficienty ar$e that it has been difficut to demonstrate statisticay robust reationships between conceptua mode parameters and soi properties! (,) *&tation: Land co%er5%e$etation co%er in a catchment can often be correated with the amount of interception stora$e5oss and actua e%apotranspiration in a catchment! "he and co%er 9 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING across the catchment can be deri%ed from ar$e scae %e$etation mappin$ based on sateite ima$ery or remotey sensed data! Ce$etation co%er data has not typicay been used e&picity in directy determinin$ rainfa runoff mode parameters# athou$h there ha%e been some recent studies which ha%e demonstrated the importance of catchment and co%er in rainfa* runoff mode caibration and for predictions in un$au$ed basins! (-) +at% Mana&1nt In/%a0t%()t(%: -ater mana$ement infrastructure within a catchment can aow humans to ma+e %ery substantia modifications to fows within a catchment! -ater mana$ement infrastructure may incude ar$e dams# farm dams and off stream stora$es# e&tractions# man*made canas or di%ersion pipeines and dischar$es from sewa$e treatment pants! Locations of these infrastructures shoud be identified where they e&ist within the catchment so that their potentia impact on stream fows may be assessed! Recorded fows at the catchment outet may re,uire ad1ustment to aow for the infuence of water mana$ement infrastructure ocated upstream of each of the fow $au$in$ ocations! 2.5 FLO+ DATA: Reiabe measurements of streamfow data are critica for successfuy caibratin$ a rainfa*runoff mode to a catchment! "he streamfow data for a the $au$ed ocations can be obtained from the respecti%e state $o%ernment water mana$ement a$encies! =onsiderations in chec+in$ streamfow data incude' "he a$ency coectin$ the data and the ,uaity assurance procedures (if any) impemented by that or$anisation durin$ data coectionB Reiabiity of the ratin$ of e%es to fows for the $au$eB "he accuracy# e&tent and currency of cross sections sur%eyed at the $au$e site! (>ur%eyed cross sections may ony e&tent to the top of the stream ban+ and $au$in$ for fows e&tendin$ onto the foodpain may use a cross section that is inaccurate)B Ce$etation and substrate materia for the channe bed# channe ban+s and foodpain and the infuence of assumptions made about these on $au$ed fowsB "he ratio of the hi$hest fow outputs to the hi$hest fow that the $au$e has been rated forB 8ow hydrauicay stabe (%ariabe o%er time) the ratin$ site isB 10 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING E&amination of potentia bac+water effects for the site from infuences that are downstream of the site# such as stream confuences# brid$e crossin$s# cu%erts# dams or weirsB 8ysteresis effects eadin$ to different fow rates for the same recorded e%e on risin$ and fain$ imbs of hydro$raphsB 8ow we maintained the $au$in$ site and instrumentation used for measurin$ water e%es has beenB Any chan$es to the $au$in$ instrumentation o%er timeB "he en$th of time since the ast ratin$ at hi$h fowsB Len$th of record at the siteB A%aiabiity of ,uaity codes with the fow data recordB 0roportion of missin$ dataB "rends in when data is missin$ from the record and how this mi$ht infuence any infiin$ proceduresB and If there are a number of $au$es cosey ocated that basicay represent the same catchment the data sets may be abe to be combined to $i%e a on$er record for the site! Assessment of the abo%e factors wi inform whether the data is usefu in caibration of the mode# independent %aidation of the mode or whether the data shoud be i$nored! 2.6 RAINFALL DATA: Rainfa*runoff modein$ sti depends hea%iy on the records from point rain $au$es# both recordin$ rain $au$es $i%in$ estimates of rainfa intensities at time steps of one hour or better and daiy rain $au$es! Recordin$ rain $au$es become more important# but they are more e&pensi%e to operate and much fewer in number! "hus it may sti be necessary to use daiy $au$es to $et an estimate of the tota %oume of rainfa o%er a catchment# usin$ the nearest recordin$ rain $au$e to $i%e an appropriate idea of the distribution of rainfa in time# the storm profie! Rain$au$e*measured %oumes may be sub1ect to error! In particuar# they depend on the desi$n of the rain$au$e in reation to wind conditions at the site and rainfa intensities! "he best desi$n is thou$ht to be a rain$au$e with the orifice set at $round e%e and 11 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING surrounded by an anti*spash $rid but this is not aways practica# particuary in en%ironments with fre,uent snow! A %ariety of desi$ns of wind shied ha%e been used in different countries to try to miti$ate this wind effect! "he wind effect can be ar$eB estimates of reductions of up to :7D ha%e been reported at windy sites for $au$es ony 47cm abo%e the $round compared to $round*e%e $au$es! 2.7 E*APOTRANSPIRATION: "he measured pan e%aporation data can be obtained for a the ocations with the e%aporation $au$es instaed! Modein$ re,uires potentia e%apotranspiration (0E")! "here are a number of methods to con%ert pan e%aporation to 0E" incudin$! "hese use cimatic %ariabes in the con%ersion cacuation incudin$ soar radiation# temperature# %apour pressure# and wind speed which are recorded at some pan recordin$ stations but not a! "his further imits the networ+ a%aiabe to draw data from! -hen a the re,uired data is a%aiabe the con%ersion cacuations wi use the records but often some %ariabe is missin$ and estimates of that %ariabe are made and used! -here there is no data for the cimatic %ariabes# cacuated pan to 0E" con%ersion factors from a nearby station can be used to deri%e 0E" from pan e%aporation! =ommony the spatia products ha%e interpoated ayers for a ran$e of cimatic factors and the spatia 0E" ayer is cacuated from data in these ayers rather than interpoatin$ 0E" cacuated at recordin$ stations! 2.18 RAINFALL RUNOFF PROCESSES Apart from recordin$ and5or forecastin$ rainfa itsef# the ne&t most important probem is understandin$ and forecastin$ the runoff $enerated by the rainfa! "his difficut probem has attracted enormous amounts of attention and effort around the word! 2.18.1 Fa)to%0 a//)tin& %(no// (1) Rain/all 0recipitation# whether it occurs as rain or snow# is the potentia source of water that may run off the surface of sma watersheds! "he e&tent of the storm and the distribution of rainfa durin$ the storm are two ma1or factors# which affect the pea+ rate of runoff! "he 12 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING storm distribution can be thou$ht of as a measure of how the rate of rainfa (intensity) %aries within a $i%en time inter%a! (2) Ant)"nt Moi0t(% Con"ition "he runoff from a $i%en storm is affected by the e&istin$ soi moisture content resutin$ from the amount of precipitation occurrin$ durin$ the precedin$ fi%e days (antecedent moisture condition)! (3) +at%0!" A%a "he watershed area or area drainin$ water to the point of interest is usuay determined from a topo$raphic map or scaed aeria photo$raph accompanied by a fied re%iew ocatin$ manmade features that ha%e di%erted the fow of water! (,) Soil0 Apart from rainfa characteristics such as intensity# duration and distribution# there are other specific factors which ha%e a direct bearin$ on the occurrence and %oume of runoff! "he most common factor is the soi type! Due to the %ariation of runoff production# different studies ha%e been conducted accordin$ to particuar soi conditions! In $enera# the hi$her the rate of infitration# the ower the ,uantity of stormwater runoff! Fine*te&tured sois such as cay produce a hi$her rate of runoff than do course* te&tured sois such as sand! >ites ha%in$ cay sois may re,uire the construction of more eaborate draina$e systems than sites ha%in$ sandy sois! (-) S(%/a) Co4% "he type of co%er and its condition affects runoff %oume throu$h its infuence on the infitration rate of the soi! Faow and yieds more runoff than forested or $rass and for a $i%en soi type! >ome of the intercepted moisture is so on$ drainin$ from the pant down to the soi that it is withhed from the initia period of runoff! Ce$etation has a si$nificant effect on the infitration capacity of the soi! A dense %e$etation co%er shieds the soi from the intense raindrop impact which e%entuay wi cause a brea+down of the soi a$$re$ate as we as soi dispersion with the conse,uence of dri%in$ fine soi partices into the upper soi pores! Ce$etation# incudin$ $round itter# forms numerous barriers aon$ the path of the water fowin$ o%er the surface of the and# which sows the water down and reduces its pea+ rate of runoff! =o%erin$ areas with imper%ious materia reduces surface stora$e and infitration and thus increases the amount of runoff! (.) Ti1 Pa%a1t%0 13 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING "ime is the parameter that is used to distribute the runoff into a hydro$raph! "he time is based on the %eocities of fow throu$h se$ments of the watershed! "he sope of the and in the watershed is a ma1or factor in determinin$ the %eocity! "wo ma1or parameters are time of concentration (" c ) and tra%e time of fow throu$h the se$ments (" t )! (5) Sto%a& in t! +at%0!" On %ery fat surfaces where pondin$ or swampy areas occur throu$hout the watershed# a considerabe amount of the surface runoff may be retained in temporary stora$e# thus reducin$ the rate at which runoff wi occur! >tora$e areas may be created to reduce the rate of runoff in an urbani;in$ area! "hese can be effecti%e sediment traps as we as food detention structures if eft permanenty in the watershed! Generay the foowin$ processes are usuay identified as ta+in$ pace' E E%apotranspiration at the surface E >urface infitration E O%erand fow E Unsaturated ;one fow E >aturated ;one fow ($roundwater) =onse,uenty# artificia conduits au$mentin$ any natura channes are constructed to con%ey e&cess rainfa away from critica areas ,uic+y and efficienty! >uch water can of course be stored effecti%ey in detention areas dependin$ on the capacity of the (downstream) conduits and natura channes! Infitration of rainfa in an urban area is by definition imited# thou$h en$ineers now reco$nise that there is considerabe %aue in artificiay ma&imisin$ the infitration of rainwater in order to imit the cumuati%e surface runoff# whie ensurin$ that conse,uent $roundwater e%es do not ad%ersey affect the foundations of urban structures! CHAPTER 3 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELS 3.1 DEFINITION OF RAINFALL9RUNOFF MODEL: "he best mode# is aways that which achie%es the $reatest reaism with the east parameter and mode compe&ity! 14 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING Mode can aso be understood as a system of inter*reated components and the reationships between them! "he system anaysis in%o%es the brea+in$ down its compe&ity into simpe mana$eabe subsystems connected by fows of causaity# matter# ener$y or information! "he purpose of systems anaysis is to ma+e compe& systems more easiy understood! -atershed modes simuate natura processes of the fow of water# sediment# chemicas# nutrients# and microbia or$anisms within watersheds# as we as ,uantify the impact of human acti%ities on these processes! >imuation of these processes pays a fundamenta roe in addressin$ a ran$e of water resources# en%ironmenta# and socia probems! 3.2 CLASSIFICATION OF RAINFALL9RUNOFF MODELS: Modes are normay characteri;ed or cassified to hep describe and discuss their capabiities# stren$ths# and imitations! "here is no uni%ersa method to characteri;e rainfa* runoff modes# and modes ha%e been cassified in se%era ways dependin$ on the criteria of interest! From the abo%e references fi%e cate$ories are chosen and are presented beow' 9) E%ent and =ontinuous >imuation Modes# :) =onceptua and 8ydrodynamic Modes# 4) Lumped and Distributed 0arameter Modes# and <) Modes with Fitted# 0hysicay Determined# or Empiricay Deri%ed 0arameters! ?) =hanne fow routin$ modes One common cassification scheme not incuded beow is the differentiation between deterministic and stochastic modes! Deterministic modein$ is simpy a cate$ory of stochastic modein$ that disre$ards the uncertainties in the mode# its parameters# and its inputs! 1) E4nt an" Contin(o(0 Si1(lation Mo"l0 Rainfa*runoff modes are either e%ent modes or continuous simuation (=>) modes! E%ent modes typicay estimate the runoff from an indi%idua storm e%ent# i!e!# describin$ a reati%ey short period within the hydroo$ic record! E%ent modes ordinariy e%auate a partia set of the hydroo$ic processes that affect the watershed' infitration# o%erand and channe fow# and possiby interception and detention stora$e! Most e%ent 15 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING modes use a constant time inter%a# whose %aue may typicay ran$e from minutes to se%era hours! =ontinuous simuation modes operate for a sustained period that incudes both rainfa e%ents and interstorm conditions! "o e$itimatey e%auate the stream fow durin$ interstorm periods# continuous simuation modes shoud incude additiona hydroo$ic properties such as e%apotranspiration# shaow subsurface fow# and $round*water fow! Aso crucia to these modes is an accountin$ of the soi moisture and how it reates to chan$es in infitration! "he => time inter%a can be daiy# houry# subhoury# or %ariabe! Modes that pro%ide ony daiy simuation are not ordinariy usefu for stormwater appications! For an e%ent mode# the initia conditions (antecedent soi moisture# stream and reser%oir e%es# etc!) must either be sub1ecti%ey assi$ned by the user# caibrated with some type of error*reduction procedure# or appro&imated by an e&terna procedure! -hen an e&picit accountin$ procedure and the past cimatoo$ica record are used to estimate the initia conditions# the function of the e%ent mode can approach that of a => mode! In modein$ a on$ period that contains a number of foods of %arious ma$nitudes# the appication of => modes pro%ides more opportunities to compare mode resuts with obser%ed runoff! A on$ caibration period with a %ariety of hydroo$ica conditions increases confidence in mode resuts! E%ent modes are typicay appied to fewer storms# but increased confidence can be $ained by caibratin$ the mode to as many storms as possibe! 2) Con)'t(al an" H$"%o"$na1i) Mo"l0 "he cate$ori;ation describes the types of e,uations used in the mode to describe the hydroo$ic processes! "hese cate$ories of modes are identified as' 9) F2ac+*bo&F or transfer functions# :) =onceptua modes# and 4) 8ydrodynamic modes! 2ac+*bo& modes rey upon a statistica correspondence between the mode input (rainfa) and mode output (runoff) without reation to any underyin$ physica processes! =onceptua modes are described as Fmodes which are formuated on the basis of a simpe arran$ement of a reati%ey sma number of eements# each of which is itsef a simpe representation of a physica reationship!F "his definition is sufficienty broad enou$h to incude hydrodynamic modes# but conceptua modes usuay represent an intermediate e%e of component sophistication! 8ydrodynamic modes ** sometimes aso termed 16 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING physicay based modes ** are aso simpifications of reaity and ha%e a certain amount of empiricism! 8owe%er# these modes are $eneray based on the most recent physics*based understandin$ of the hydroo$ic processes that contro the runoff response in the watershed In reaity# the boundaries between conceptua and hydrodynamic modes are fu;;y! Indi%idua modes wi normay combine both conceptua and hydrodynamic components! Not a hydroo$ic properties can be represented by hydrodynamic components# which force a modes to ha%e some conceptua and empirica aspects! "he predominant manner in which the components are modeed resuts in the o%era cassification! 3) L(1'" an" Di0t%i:(t" Pa%a1t% Mo"l0 In umped conceptua modes the parameters and %ariabes represent a%era$e %aues o%er the entire catchment! "herefore# the description of the hydroo$ica processes cannot be based directy on the e,uations that are supposed to be %aid for the indi%idua soi coumns! As a resut the e,uations are semi empirica# but sti with a physica basis! "he mode parameters cannot usuay be assessed from fied data aone# but a ha%e to be obtained throu$h the hep of caibration! "hese modes operate with different but mutuay interreated stora$es representin$ physica eements in a catchment! "he mode of operation may be characteri;ed as a boo++eepin$ system that is continuousy accountin$ for the moisture contents in the stora$es! "he hydroo$ic parameters used in the rainfa*runoff modes can be represented in either a umped or distributed manner! "he umpin$ method a%era$es the tota rainfa# its distribution o%er space# soi characteristics# o%erand fow conditions# etc! for the entire watershed# i$norin$ a fow*routin$ mechanisms that e&ist within it! "he e&pectation is that any minor detais of the rainfa*runoff process wi be inconse,uentia# resutin$ in an Fa%era$eF food condition! Athou$h certain umped parameters may impicity represent physica attributes of the hydroo$ic system# they cannot be e&pected to ha%e any direct physica interpretation! Lumped modes can be made to beha%e more i+e distributed parameter modes by adoptin$ a detaied database and di%idin$ a watershed into %ery sma sub watersheds! Distributed parameters both describe the $eo$raphica %ariation of parameters across the watershed and discriminate between chan$es in the hydroo$ic processes that occur throu$hout the watershed! In a fuy distributed mode# the hydroo$y of each sma eement of the watershed is distincty simuated to incude the hydroo$ic interactions with borderin$ eements! In reaity# parameters in the distributed modes ha%e to be umped to a sma de$ree 17 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING to match the $rid scae used for computations! In addition# the fittin$ of distributed# hydrodynamic modes to obser%ed streamfow at present is usuay accompished throu$h the simpification and caibration of certain parameters! "herefore# without a sufficienty detaied database# a distributed mode effecti%ey may deteriorate into a umped system mode! A third approach simuates the hydroo$ic processes for a discrete number of and use and soi types! A and use and soi type combination# termed a hydroo$ic response unit (8RU)# may occur in numerous ocations in the same watershedB howe%er# the hydroo$ic response is modeed for this combination ony once# and this response is assumed to be homo$eneous for a ocations ha%in$ that 8RU! "he 8RU parameter approach is used in many rainfa*runoff modes! Dependin$ on how the watershed is partitioned# either the hydroo$ic response from each 8RU is assi$ned to indi%idua eements throu$hout the watershed# or the responses from se%era 8RUs are prorated and a$$re$ated to represent the umped response from a sub watershed! -ithin the framewor+ of any indi%idua mode# the e%e of distribution can be user*controed! It has been stated that the appropriate e&tent to which a modeer chooses to distribute the parameters shoud depend upon the ob1ecti%es of the study and the a%aiabe data# time# and money! Many studies su$$est that distributed parameter modes are desirabe because they ha%e the $reatest potentia for use in describin$ and use chan$e# water*,uaity modein$# and forecastin$ on un$a$$ed watersheds! "hese ad%anta$es assume that the parameters of distributed modes are more physicay reaistic than the umped mode parameters# which shoud be the case when the mode is we desi$ned! Distributed parameters ha%e the potentia to be physicay interpreted and# when this is the case# $reater confidence can be paced in the use of the mode! One reason that distributed parameter modes ha%e not seen widespread use is the a%aiabiity of detaied databases! Future impro%ements in data ac,uisition# incudin$ the appication of $eo$raphica information systems (GI>)# wi i+ey ead to more e&tensi%e use of distributed and 8RU parameter modes! ,) Mo"l0 2it! Fitt"3 P!$0i)all$ Dt%1in"3 o% E1'i%i)all$ D%i4" Pa%a1t%0: 0arameters for rainfa*runoff modes can be 9) Fitted throu$h caibration# :) Determined from fied measurements# or 4) Empiricay fi&ed! 18 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING One $roup of empirica modes are statisticay based usin$ statistica methods such as ARIMA (Autore$ressi%e Inte$rated Mo%in$ A%era$e)! Another $roup of empirica modes are based on the unit hydro$raph mode (or appyin$ the principes of unit hydro$raph)! "he third $roup of empirica modes are data*dri%en modes usin$ methods such as artificia neura networ+s# mode trees# nearest nei$hbour method# e%outionary a$orithm# support %ector machines# etc! Fitted parameters# set in the caibration process# typicay ha%e no itte or no physica interpretation! 0hysicay determined parameters are deri%ed from measurabe watershed characteristics such as sope# channe width# hydrauic conducti%ity of sois# etc! Measured %aues may not aways produce the best resuts when used directy in a mode! "hus# some physicay determined parameters may be ad1usted durin$ the caibration process and are not necessariy e,ua to the measured %ariabes! 2ut to maintain the physica reationship these parameters shoud be simiar in ma$nitude and beha%ior to the measured %aues! "he use of fitted %ersus physicay determined parameters is a ma1or issue in the appication of rainfa*runoff modes! Fitted parameters are ess i+ey to be consistent from one data set to another# and modes that use these parameters are ess appropriate for e&trapoation! In $enera# umped modes and most conceptua modes use fitted parameters! 8owe%er# it has been indicated that fitted parameters cannot reiaby be transferred for use on un$a$ed watersheds! "hus# empiricay deri%ed parameter methods are often used with the umped conceptua modes for un$a$ed sites! Distributed and ,uasi*distributed conceptua modes can use a combination of fitted# physicay determined# and empirica parameters! Distributed hydrodynamic modes primariy use measured or physicay determined parameters# with some empiricay deri%ed parameters! Empiricay deri%ed parameters are de%eoped by the re$ression anaysis of either fitted or physicay determined parameters! Empiricay deri%ed parameters may %ary in the amount of physica interpretation that can be associated with their %aues! "his cate$ory of parameters incudes the >oi =onser%ation >er%ice (>=>) runoff cur%e numbers that were de%eoped for estimatin$ rainfa osses on un$a$ed watersheds! Many of these empiricay fi&ed reationships are re,uired for parameteri;ation of seected components in a modes# incudin$ the modes that are more physicay based! In physicay*based distributed modes processes are represented by one or more partia differentia e,uations and e,uations and parameters are distributed in space! "he 19 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING principa mode of operation of a physicay*based distributed mode is iustrated in the foowin$ fi$ure! =ontrary to the umped conceptua modes a physicay*based mode does not consider the water fows in an area to ta+e pace a few stora$e units! Instead# the fows of water and ener$y are directy cacuated from the $o%ernin$ continuum (partia differentia) e,uations# such as the >aint Cenant e,uations for o%erand and channe fow# Richard/s e,uation for unsaturated ;one fow and 2oussines,/s e,uation for $roundwater fow! Distributed modes are appied to catchments with compe& channe networ+# %aryin$ spatia distribution of and use# soi type and %e$etation co%er# with compe& a,uifer system beow the soi surface# etc! (-) C!annl /lo2 %o(tin& 1o"l0 8ydroo$ica and hydrodynamic approaches to channe fow routin$ can usuay be shown to ha%e a common basis in the >t! Cenant e,uations# and thou$h them to the physica properties of the ri%er channe and its foodpain! As a conse,uence# appication to un$au$ed ri%er channes has a natura physica basis! 8owe%er# e%en for the most refined hydrodynamic ri%er mode# channe $eometry simpification and the inherenty empirica nature of rou$hness normay means there is benefit in mode caibration for $au$ed sites and transfer of the e&perience $ained for appication to un$au$ed reaches! 8ydroo$ica approaches combine simpe mass baance water stora$e accountin$ with a simpified momentum e,uation in+in$ channe stora$e to water e%e or fow! "he simpifications in%o%ed can ma+e the in+s to channe properties ess direct in physica terms# but can ease practica appication and the buidin$ up of e&perience for use in modein$ un$au$ed reaches! >imper hydroo$ica approaches are normay preferred where bac+water infuences from tides# ri%er contros and confuences are not dominant! "he hydrodynamic approach is sometimes distin$uished by modes pro%idin$ estimates of both ri%er fow and e%e for situations where there is no uni,ue reation between these two ,uantities! 8owe%er# the distinction between hydroo$ica and hydrodynamic (hydrauic) approaches is ar$ey artificia with a spectrum of e%es of simpification! A popuar method of hydroo$ica routin$ is the one in which reach stora$e is a inear function of a wei$hted combination of the reach infow and outfow! It is possibe to reate this bac+ to the underpinnin$ >t! Cenant e,uation and in this way estabish reations with channe properties appicabe to un$au$ed reaches! "here are different ways of doin$ this eadin$ to different %ariants! 20 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING 3., MODEL CALI#RATION3 *ALIDATION3 AND *ERIFICATION: =aibration# %aidation# and %erification are the three crucia steps for the proper appication of a mode! =aibration is the process of modifyin$ mode parameters to reduce the error between the simuated streamfow and some portion of the obser%ed fow record! Mode %aidation tests the abiity of the mode to estimate runoff for periods outside that used to caibrate the mode! Mode %erification in%esti$ates the ran$e of conditions o%er which the mode wi produce acceptabe resuts! In norma appication of a mode to a $a$ed watershed# caibration is often the ony procedure of the three that is foowed! Mode %aidation and %erification are often not considered practica! If essentia information about these two procedures is to be obtained# then it is normay up to the mode de%eopers and researchers! >ome e&panation of mode %erification is especiay important for appications to un$a$ed watersheds when caibration and %aidation cannot be achie%ed! Associated with the procedures of caibration# %aidation# and %erification are three separate issues in%o%in$ mode appication' fe&ibiity# di%er$ence# and e&trapoation! Mode fe&ibiity describes the capabiity of a mode to caibrate for a %ariety of different watersheds and fow conditions! Mode di%er$ence defines the reati%e accuracy of the mode between the caibrated period and the %aidated period! Mode e&trapoation is the use of a mode to describe hydroo$ic conditions outside of the ran$e used for caibration and %aidation! "hese three issues are discussed beow in conte&t with other concerns reated to caibration# %aidation# and %erification! CHAPTER , APPLICATION OF RAINFALL9RUNOFF MODELS "he tas+s for which rainfa*runoff modes are used are di%erse# and the scae of appications ran$es from sma catchments# of the order of a few hectares# to that of $oba modes! "ypica tas+s for hydroo$ica simuation modes incude' modein$ of $au$ed catchments (e!$! modein$ of ri%er beha%iour# rea*time food forecastin$# ad1ustin$ and e%auation of water resource mana$ement)B runoff estimation of un$au$ed catchmentsB effects of ri%ers/ acti%ity (erosion# sedimentation)B prediction of catchment response to chan$ed conditions (e!$! and use chan$e# cimate chan$e) and water ,uaity in%esti$ations 21 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING (e!$! nutrients# mi$ration of microbes# sainity and a+ainity of sois# acid precipitation# nonpoint source poution)! In contemporary practise# rainfa*runoff modes are standard toos routiney used for hydroo$ica in%esti$ations in en$ineerin$ and en%ironmenta science! Aso the topic of watershed mana$ement $ains an increased attention! >ome of the modes are aso empoyed in miitary operations ,.1 MODELING APPROACHES: "he approaches used for rainfa * runoff modeling, over a wide range, 4 methods from black-box models to very detailed deterministic/conceptual models. The determonistic conceptual models need a thorough understanding of the physics involved a large amount of data for calibration and validation purposes and are computationally demanding. There is m abundance of literature available in the area of rainfall- runoff modeling using deterministic conceptual methods. Recently, artificial neural networks !""s# have been proposed as efficient tools for modeling complex physical systems. The application of !""s to the field of rainfall runoff modeling, which is popularly known as hydro informatics, started in the $%%&s. "he choice of a particuar rainfa*runoff mode# the types of input# and modein$ approach are functions of both the desired products of the modein$ effort and the compe&ity of the watershed! Fi%e approaches are identified for ,uantifyin$ infre,uent food e%ents and their fre,uencies! "hese approaches are based on a combination of precipitation inputs into the hydroo$ic mode and fre,uency anaysis! "he first three approaches (fre,uency anaysis# continuous modein$ with historica precipitation# and desi$n storm modein$) are commony used! ,.1.1 C!annl /lo2 %o(tin& 1o"l0 =hanne fow routin$ modes are used to transate a fow hydro$raph from an upstream site to one downstream! -here the downstream fow infuences this transation %ia bac+water contro# this situation is treated separatey here under hydrodynamic ri%er modes! A modeed ri%er reach is normay sub*di%ided into sub*reaches with nodes at their boundaries! Assi$nin$ a boundary node to a tar$et un$au$ed ocation pro%ides a simpe e&e of the use of a channe fow routin$ mode as an indirect modein$ approach for un$au$ed forecastin$! Un$au$ed atera infows commony brin$ further compe&ity and essen forecast accuracy! >impe scain$ methods or rainfa*runoff modes may be used to represent such un$au$ed atera infows! A esser form of @un$au$ed probemA is where ony ri%er e%e measurements are a%aiabe and a sta$e*dischar$e reation cannot readiy be estabished %ia a current meterin$ fied pro$ramme! "he sta$e*dischar$e reation may be embedded within the channe fow routin$ mode and its form and parameters caibrated aon$ with those of the routin$ mode! >ome channe fow routin$ modes can be in+ed directy to the >t! Cenant e,uations of 22 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING open channe fow and throu$h them to the properties of the ri%er channe and its foodpain! "his can pro%ide a direct basis for appication to un$au$ed sites but# on account of the simpifications in%o%ed# is i+ey to benefit $reaty from e&perience $ained in modein$ simiar ri%er reaches that are $au$ed! =hanne fow routin$ modes ha%e a common basis in the >t! Cenant e,uations and their simpification! "his pro%ides a forma in+ to channe properties# concernin$ $eometry and resistance (rou$hness)# and a sound basis for appication to un$au$ed channe reaches! >impifications of representation and of channe $eometry# to$ether with the essentiay empirica nature of rou$hness# means that there wi normay be benefit in mode caibration at $au$ed sites and transfer of this e&perience to un$au$ed sites! "his appies e%en for the most refined hydrauic modes! ,.1.2 Floo" 1a''in& tool0 Food mappin$ toos faciitate the mappin$ of water e%es continuousy o%er an area so the un$au$ed ocation is most typica! "he too may ser%e whoy as a %isua dispay faciity with the information mapped deri%in$ from obser%ed (remotey*sensed ima$ery) and5or modeed sources! "he mappin$ too may be pro%ided as an intrinsic component of a 9*D or :*D hydrodynamic ri%er modein$ system! "here is a de%eopin$ opportunity for area*wide hydroo$ica modes to map inundation e&tent and depth at an indicati%e e%e and with UG co%era$e! "he ri%er fow %oume aon$ the entire ri%er networ+ can aso be mapped in intensity*coded ine form! >impe $eomorphoo$ica reations on channe $eometry in+ed to $rid*to*$rid fow routin$ modes and D"Ms pro%ide the modein$ support to such products! (9) Animated spatia dispays of obser%ed and modeed water e%es are usefu to depict the spatia e&tent and se%erity of food inundation! It is common for some form of GI> (Geo$raphica Information >ystem) to be used to pro%ide this functionaity! "he de$ree to which the GI> itsef is used for inference of mapped information or an e&terna mode or obser%ations wi depend on the detai of the appication! (:) -hie food mappin$ toos are commony used with 9*D# :*D and 4*D hydrodynamic mode outputs# there is aso $reat scope to use distributed hydroo$ica forecastin$ mode outputs to produce spatia maps of ri%er fow# food inundation and reated ,uantities o%er time! >ome eary prototypin$ of these opportunities has been done usin$ the Grid*to*Grid hydroo$ica mode! Mode outputs in $ridded form are e&ported to 8HRAD and dispayed as 23 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING animated ima$es of ri%er fows propa$atin$ down the modeed ri%er networ+ aon$ with fieds of soi moisture deficit and oca runoff! Aso# time*series hydro$raphs can be e&tracted and %iewed for any ocation ($au$ed or un$au$ed) down the ri%er networ+! Further wor+ eadin$ to operationa impementation is recommended here! CHAPTER - THE ROLE OF REMOTE SENSING (RS)3 GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION S;STEM (GIS) AND DIGITAL ELE*ATION MODEL (DEM) RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING "he %ery ,uic+ de%eopments in R> and GI> technoo$y ha%e payed a critica roe of appication of R> and GI> in watershed modein$ in $enera and rainfa runoff modein$ in particuar! "he reason is that R> and GI> ha%e contributed critica information as input of the modes! Actuay nowadays# we hardy find any rainfa runoff modes that do not utiise R> and GI> data! >e%era scientists ha%e introduced R> and GI> as powerfu toos in rainfa runoff modein$! 24 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING -eather radar is a $round*based form of remote sensin$ confi$ured for rainfa measurement! "here are other important forms of monitorin$ by remote*sensin$ that are sateite*based! >ome ha%e aready been commented on# especiay as a source of ee%ation and and co%er data! -hist these datasets are often considered static# there is now increasin$ a%aiabiity of time*history spatia datasets of eaf area inde&# snow co%er# area of food inundation and surface soi moisture! "hese ha%e ree%ance both to the monitorin$ and modein$5forecastin$ of un$au$ed areas! An e&citin$ prospect is the abiity to remotey sense ri%er e%e (and width) from which to de%eop fow dischar$e estimates! A combination of G0> ($oba positionin$ system) technoo$y and a tethered foatin$ buoy has been in%esti$ated in fied trias and throu$h computer simuation of anticipated sateite position systems! A system# usuay computer based# for the input# stora$e# retrie%a# anaysis and dispay of interpreted $eo$raphic data! "he database is typicay composed of map*i+e spatia representations# often caed co%era$es or ayers! "hese ayers may in%o%e a three dimensiona matri& of time# ocation# and attribute or acti%ity! A GI> may incude di$ita ine $raph (DLG) data# Di$ita Ee%ation Modes (DEM)# $eo$raphic names# and*use characteri;ations# and ownership# and co%er# re$istered sateite and5or area photo$raphy aon$ with any other associated or deri%ed $eo$raphic data! GI> processin$ becomes a critica step in hydroo$ic modein$ since it contributes to $eneratin$ mode parameter distribution in spatia manner! In these appications# the GI> processin$ steps such as data storin$# map o%erayin$# map anaysis etc! ha%e heped to deri%e hydroo$ic parameters from soi# and co%er# rainfa maps etc! -ith respect to GI> processin$ products# Di$ita Ee%ation Modes (DEM) are more important in rainfa runoff modein$! "he de%eopment of DEM processin$ a$orithms as we as ree%ant softwares to e&tract hydroo$ic information from DEM is increasin$ and ma+es it widey appied! 25 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING 26 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING CHAPTER - CASE STUD; DISTRI#UTED RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELING P(:li0!" #$' Diip Gumar# Ra1ib Gumar 2hattachar1ya P(:li0!" in' Internationa Iourna of Earth >ciences and En$ineerin$ I>>N 7JK<*?J7<# Coume 7<# No 7L >0L# October :799# pp! :K7*:K? "he present study de%eops a distributed approach to simuate the rainfa runoff process of a catchment! "he catchment area has been di%ided in to the numbers of di%isions e,ua to the numbers of rain $au$e station! "he rainfa in a particuar rain $au$e is considered as uniformy distributed o%er the entire sub catchments! >patiay distributed catchment characteristics ha%e been obtained from the J7 m resoution >R"M di$ita ee%ation data! A ump mode is aso de%eoped usin$ a%era$e rainfa of the catchment! In case of ump mode# a%era$e rainfa is cacuated usin$ thessian poy$on method! In order to estimate runoff from rainfa e%ents# oss rate or infitration parameters for the basin ha%e to be cacuated# which is a basic input for further rainfa runoff modein$! "he infitration capacity of the basin depends on the and use and soi property! 8orton/s and Green*Ampt e,uations are most commony used e,uations for estimation infitration of a basin! =ur%e Number (=N) method is aso a widey used method for estimatin$ infitration characteristics of the watershed# based on the and use property and soi property! "herefore the estimation of infitration parameters or cur%e number of the basin is made initiay! An in%erse mode is formuated and so%ed for estimatin$ the cur%e numbers for the ump and distributed modes! METHODOLOG;: HEC9HMS Mo"l: 8E=*8E=*8M> is hydroo$ic modein$ software de%eoped by the U> Army =orps of En$ineers 8ydroo$ic En$ineerin$ =entre (8E=)! It is desi$ned to simuate the precipitation runoff processes of watershed systems in a wide ran$e of $eo$raphic areas such as ar$e ri%er basins and sma urban or natura watersheds! In 8E=*8M># the base fow 27 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING mode is appied both at the start of simuation of a storm e%ent# and ater in the e%ent as the deayed subsurface fow reaches the watershed channes! "hree aternati%e modes of base fow such as ..constant monthy %aryin$ %aue//# ..e&ponentia recession mode//# and ..inear reser%oir %oume accountin$ mode// are incuded! STUD; AREA AND DATA USED: O4%4i2 o/ 0t("$ a%a: =onsiderin$ the and and water probems and the a%aiabiity of hydroo$ica# meteoroo$ica# soi# and other coatera data# the Ran$anadi watershed was seected as the study area for the present study# as shown in fi$ure :! "he study area is ocated between J<M7:N4<F E on$itude and :KM9<N79F N atitude in the 2rahmaputra Ri%er basin of India! It has an area of 9#J:7!L6 +m: encircin$ fi%e sub watershed# namey Ha;ai# 0in$ro%e# Did# Man$io# 0epron$! A these fi%e are rain$au$e stations# which are considered as outet ocation of sub watershed in the study! A$ain for this study# Ran$anadi dam site was ta+en as the main outet of the watershed which is ocated at J4M<<N:6FE on$itude and :KM:<N4:FN atitude! Data a)<(i0ition: "he data used in this study were (a) daiy rainfa data of the fi%e rain$a$e stations (Ha;ai# 0in$ro%e# Did# Man$io# and 0epron$!) for the 4*year period (:77LO:776) (b) daiy dischar$e data of the watershed at main outet for the 4* year period (:77LO :776) (c) di$ita Ee%ation Mode (DEM) of the Ran$anadi Ri%er basin was ac,uired from the >R"M >ite! P%'a%ation o/ 1o"l in'(t0: 28 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING "he rainfa records for fi%e rain$au$e stations are a%aiabe! "hese rain$au$e stations are Ha;ai# 0in$ro%e# Did# Man$io# and 0epron$! For the distributed mode the rainfa records obser%ed at a particuar rain$au$e station is consider as uniformy distributed o%er the entire sub catchment! "his distributed rainfa records are directy used in the mode de%eoped usin$ distributin$ approach! "hesian poy$on method is used for this purpose! Fi$ure 4 shows the thesian poy$ons! For the umped mode a%era$e rainfa was cacuated Fi&(% 2 Cal)(lation o/ "i0t%i:(t" %ain/all 'att%n :$ t!0ian usin$ -M> (web map se%ice)! "he >R"M di$ita ee%ation data is used to deineate the catchment watershed and $eneration of stream networ+! Fi$ure ? shows the DEM of study 29 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING area and water fow direction# which is cacuated usin$ "O0AP! "he watershed area has been further sub di%ided into the number of rain $au$e station a%aiabe in the watershed! "here are fi%e rain$au$e stations a%aiabe in the Ran$anadi catchment! "he sub watersheds are shown in the fi$ure <! 2asin processin$ modue of -M> was used for the $eneration of bac+$round map fie of the study area which in turn was used as an input to the 8E=*8M> mode (Fi$!?)! "he other mode input i+e =N of watershed is assumed for caibration purpose# as shown in tabe 9! "abe : shows the basic mode input which is described earier! 30 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING Fi&(% 3 St%a1 nt2o%= o/ t! 0t("$ a%a (Di0t%i:(t" a''%oa)!) Cali:%ation an" *ali"ation o/ t! Mo"l0 "he successfu appication of a hydroo$ic watershed mode depends on how we the mode is caibrated# which in turn depends on the technica capabiity of hydroo$ica mode as we as the ,uaity of input data! 8E=*8M> watershed mode were caibrated usin$ daiy rainfa data (Ian! to December) and stream fow data of 9!? years (Ian!:77LOMay:77K)! "he ob1ecti%e of the mode caibration was to match simuated %oumes# pea+s# and timin$ of hydro$raphs with the obser%ed ones! For simuatin$ stream fow by the 8E=*8M> mode# the >=> unit hydro$raph transform method was used to compute direct surface runoff hydro$raphs# the >=> cur%e number oss method to compute runoff %oumes# and the constant monthy method was used for base fow separation! Initia abstraction (Ia)# >=> a$ time# and Mus+in$um constant (GQR) were considered as 8E=*8M> caibration parameter! "hese mode parameters were estimated usin$ the optimi;ation a$orithm a%aiabe in 8E=* 8M>! After each parameter ad1ustment and correspondin$ simuation run# the simuated and obser%ed stream fow hydro$raphs were %isuay compared! 31 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Cali:%ation %0(lt0 o/ HEC9HMS: "he rainfa runoff data recorded in the Ran$anadi catchment ha%e been used to caibrate and %aidate the de%eoped mode! "he $eomorphoo$ic information of the catchment has been e&tracted from the >R"M di$ita ee%ation data! "abe 4 shows the initia and optimi;ed parameters of the ump approach! >imiary tabe < shows the parameters of the distributed approach! It is cear from these tabes that the %aues of the caibrated parameters for the mode %ary from sub watershed to sub watershed! "hese parameters ha%e been optimi;ed usin$ the optimi;ation toos a%aiabe in 8E=*8M># as discussed earier! "he %ariation in Ia %aues is attributed to the %ariation in antecedent moisture condition (AM=) o%er the years and the %ariation in >=> a$ time is attributed to the %aryin$ obser%ed stream fow o%er the years! P%/o%1an) 4al(ation (0in& &%a'!i)al in"i)ato%0 Cisua chec+in$ of obser%ed and simuated stream fow hydro$raphs# a comparison of the obser%ed stream fow hydro$raph with the simuated one by 8E=*8M> as Lumped modein$ approach as we as by Distributed modein$ approach as shown in Fi$!<*K! It is apparent from these fi$ures that athou$h there is a simiar trend between the obser%ed and simuated stream fow hydro$raphs# the pea+s of the two hydro$raphs do not match reasonaby at ean period of rainfa! As discussed earier that an ob1ecti%e functions is a mathematica too to measure the $oodness of fit between the obser%ed and $enerated hydro$raphs! "o find the owest ob1ecti%e function %aue and optimum parameter %aues are the main ob1ecti%es behind our optimi;ation tria! "he uni%ariate $radient method computes and ad1usts one parameter at a time whie oc+in$ the other parameters! Aternati%ey# the Neder and Mead method e%auates a parameters simutaneousy and determines which parameter to ad1ust! "he 32 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING search a$orithms are aso +nown as optimi;ation methods! "he optima ob1ecti%e function %aue is cosed to ;ero! Fi&(% , Si1(lat" *0 O:0%4" St%a1 /lo2 H$"%o&%a'! Fi&(% - Si1(lat" *0 O:0%4" St%a1 /lo2 H$"%o&%a'! /o% l(1'" 1o"llin& a''%oa)! "(%in& 4ali"ation
33 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING Fi&(% . Si1(lat" *0 O:0%4" St%a1/lo2 H$"%o&%a'! Fi&(% 5 *a%iation o/ o:>)ti4 /(n)tion "(%in& "i0t%i:(t" Con)l(0ion0: 2ased on the anaysis of the resuts obtained in this study# the foowin$ concusions coud be drawn' 34 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING 9! 2ased on the statistica and $raphica indicators used in this study# it was found that the 8E=*8M> Distributed approach simuated daiy stream fow is better than the Lumped simuated stream fow! :! Athou$h there is a reasonaby $ood matchin$ between obser%ed and simuated stream fow hydro$raphs for both 8E=*8M> Distributed and 8E=*8M> Lumped modein$ approach# the hydro$raphs do not match we for ean period of rainfa season! O%era# it is concuded that the 8E=*8M> mode is reiabe for estimatin$ infitration parameters and for simuatin$ daiy stream fow in the Ran$anadi Ri%er basin of North* Eastern India! "herefore# the use of 8E=*8M> mode may be used for future studies on hydroo$ica modein$ in this basin! It may aso be noted that ony three years of rainfa runoff data are used in the study! For modein$ purpose these sma duration data may not be suitabe! 35 RAINFALL RUNOFF MODELLING CHAPTER . REFERENCES S9T =how C"# Maidment DR# Mays L- (9J66) Appied 8ydroo$y! McGraw 8i# New Hor+# U>A S:T >ubramanya# En$ineerin$ 8ydroo$y S4T Geith I! 2e%en# Rainfa*Runoff Modein$' "he 0rimer S<T Da%id >! 2owes# 0! Enda ON=onne# Recent Ad%ances in the Modein$ of 8ydroo$ic >ystems S?T "horsten -a$ener# 8oward -heater# 8oshin Ci1ai Gupta# Rainfa*Runoff Modein$ In Gau$ed And Un$au$ed =atchments SLT Diip Gumar and Ra1ib Gumar 2hattachar1ya# @Distributed Rainfa Runoff Modein$A# October :799# Internationa Iourna of Earth >ciences and En$ineerin$# I>>N 7JK<*?J7<# Coume 7<# No 7L >0L# pp! :K7*:K? SKT M! Rusin Anwar# @"he rainfa*runoff mode usin$ of the watershed physica characteristic approachA# December :799# Internationa Iourna of =i%i Q En%ironmenta En$ineerin$ II=EE*IIEN> Co' 99 No' 7L S6T Iai Ca;e# 0hiip Iordan# Richard 2eecham# Andrew Frost# Gre$ory >ummere# @Guideines for Rainfa*Runoff Modein$' "owards 2est 0ractice Mode AppicationA# December :799# e-ater =ooperati%e Research =entre SJT GatarUna DVubW+o%W# @Rainfa*runoff modein$' Its de%eopment# cassification And possibe appications# A="A GEOGRA08I=A UNICER>I"A"I> =OMENIANAE# Co! ?<# :797# No! :# pp! 9K4*969 S97T N$uyen 8on$ Xuan# @Rainfa runoff modein$ in the can e catchment# >ai$aon ri%er basinA# March :77L# Internationa institute for $eoinformation science and earth obser%ation# Enschede!# Netherand!