Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Lectures on
Official Economic Statistics
Part-1
Government Finance Statistics (GFS)
Balance of Payments Statistics (BOP)
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Professor Tarun Das teaches Public Policy and Research Methodology to the MBA students at
the Institute for Integrated Learning in Management (IILM), New Delhi. Presently, he is working at
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia as Glocom Inc. (USA) Expert on Strategic Planning under an ADB Project
on Governance Reforms in the Ministry of Finance, Government of Mongolia. Earlier he worked
as Economic Adviser in the Ministry of Finance and Planning Commission, Government of India.
For any clarification, contact das.tarun@hotmail.com/ das5delhi@yahoo.co.in
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Professor Tarun Das teaches Public Policy and Research Methodology to the MBA students at
the Institute for Integrated Learning in Management (IILM), New Delhi. Presently, he is working at
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia as Glocom Inc. (USA) Expert on Strategic Planning under an ADB Project
on Governance Reforms in the Ministry of Finance, Government of Mongolia. Earlier he worked
as Economic Adviser in the Ministry of Finance and Planning Commission, Government of India.
These lectures were prepared by the author at the IILM, New Delhi for the training of the Indian
Statistical Service and Indian Economic Service. The lectures have been modified to some extent
to suit the needs of statistical officers from various countries participating the training program at
the UN Statistical Institute of Statistics for Asia and Pacific (SIAP), Chiba, Japan.
The lectures are broadly based on various IMF publications and manuals on these topics. It is
needless to indicate that these lectures express personal views of the author which may not
necessarily reflect the views of the organisations he is associated with. The author is fully
responsible for any omissions or errors in these lecture notes.
Author would like to express his deepest gratitude to Ms. Davaasuren Chultemjamts, Director,
UNSIAP and Dr. Kulshreshtha, Professor (Statistics), UNSIAP for providing an opportunity to
deliver these lectures to the participants of the Third Group Training Course in Analysis,
Interpretation and Dissemination of Official Economic Statistics during 20-24 August 2007 at
UNSIAP, Chiba, Japan.
Author is also grateful to the Ministry of Finance, Government of Mongolia, particularly to Mr.
Batjargal, Director General, Fiscal Policy and Co-ordination Department for granting necessary
permission to deliver these lectures.
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Contents
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Selected References
Lecture notes have been prepared mainly on the basis of the following IMF Publications
and Manuals:
Government Finance Statistics (GFS) 1986
Government Finance Statistics Manual (GFSM) 2001
Government Finance Statistics (GFS) Yearbook 2006
Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual (MFSM) 2007
Monetary and Financial Statistics (MFS): Compilation Guide 2007
International Financial Statistics (IFS)
Balance of Payments Manual 2005
Balance of Payments Statistics Yearbook 2006
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Background
The consultant, an expert in the field of Economic, Financial and Government Statistics will cover select
topics in Economic Statistics, namely: Government Finance Statistics (6 sessions), Monetary and Financial
Statistics (4 sessions), BOP/Rest of the World Sector(6 sessions), and Productivity analysis (4 sessions) by
conducting lecture and workshop sessions during 20-24 August 2007. These lectures form part of the wider
Third Group Training Course in Analysis, Interpretation and Dissemination of Official Statistics, 2007 at
U.N. Statistical Institute for Asia and the Pacific, Chiba.
Objectives
The course aims to strengthen the capability of the national statistical services to take part in the process of
improving their economic statistics and quality of analysis, interpretation and dissemination of official
statistics. The consultant is expected to impart training to help participants understand select topics of the
systems of economic accounts, specifically the system of Government Finance Statistics, Monetary and
Financial Statistics, Balance of Payment Statistics, and Productivity analysis for their countries
Learning Outcome
1. Develop a comprehensive understanding of the basic concepts, analytical framework, database,
methodology, uses, applications and limitations of economic statistics.
2. Develop skills and capabilities for analytical presentation, networking and teamwork through
group workout sessions.
3. More emphasis will be laid on understanding basic concepts, methodology, techniques, and their
uses and limitations for various situations, rather than formal proofs and derivation of formula.
Pedagogy
1. Teaching techniques will consist of formal lectures, case studies, practical and workout sessions,
and preparation and presentation of group project reports.
2. Selected case studies would be given so as to facilitate participants to relate to theoretical concepts
with real life situations in economic analysis, policy formulation and planning. The students would
present and discuss these case studies in the class.
3. Participants will be provided with complete course material well in advance. To make classroom
presentations by the resource person more meaningful and effective, participants are required to
come prepared and collect related information and data from journals, newspapers and websites,
and participate actively in classroom sessions.
4. In order to develop teamwork and networking capabilities, students are encouraged to participate
actively in group discussions and workout sessions.
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Flows and stocks recorded in the GFS system are integrated, which means that all changes in stocks
can be fully explained by the flows. The following relationship is valid for each stock:
S¹ = Sº+ F or F = S¹ - Sº
Types of flows
Flows reflect the creation, transformation, exchange, transfer, or extinction of economic value. They
involve changes in the volume, composition, or value of a unit’s assets, liabilities, and net worth. A
flow can be a single event, such as a cash payment for the purchase of goods, or the cumulative value
of a set of events occurring during an accounting period, such as the continuous accrual of interest
expense on a government bond. All flows are classified as transactions or as other economic flows.
(c) A transaction is a transfer if one unit provides a good, service, asset, or labor to a second
unit without receiving anything of any value in return, such as government subsidies, grants,
and social assistance benefits to the people.
(d) All taxes and duties are treated as transfers even though the units making these
payments may receive some benefits provided by the government receiving the taxes. Non-
life insurance premiums and claims are also treated as transfers. Non-life insurance
includes social security schemes and employer social insurance schemes for government
employees that do not provide retirement benefits.
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and stocks expressed in monetary terms. Non-monetary transactions can be either two party
transactions or internal transactions, and they can be exchanges or transfers. Barter, in-
kind remuneration, in-kind payments, in-kind transfers are non-monetary
transactions.
(f) Some transactions are not recorded in the form in which they appear to take place. Instead
they are modified to bring out their underlying economic relationships more clearly.
Rerouting, partitioning, and reassignment are the three types of modifications
employed in the GFS system.
(g) Rerouting is required when the actual party to a transaction does not appear in the
accounting records because of administrative arrangements. For example, government
makes contributions directly to the employees’ retirement schemes. For proper accounting
purpose, it is necessary to reroute these payments so that the government is seen as paying
to the employees, who then are deemed to make payments of the same amount to the
retirement schemes.
(h) Partitioning is the division of a single transaction between two parties into two or more
transactions for recording in the GFS. For example, when a government unit acquires a
fixed asset under a financial lease, the periodic lease payments need to be partitioned into
two transactions, a repayment of principal and a payment of interest.
(i) Reassignment is required when a unit acts as an agent for another unit. For example, for
convenience one government unit may collect taxes and then transfers some or all of the
taxes to another government unit. In some cases, the collecting unit retains a small portion
of the tax collected as collection expenses. The amount retained is treated as the sale of a
service by the collecting unit.
The treatment of some activities in the GFS system differs from their treatment in the 1993 SNA. For
example, general government units are non-market producers, because they normally produce goods
and services, and then distribute those goods and services without charge. The production of the
output and its distribution are both non-monetary transactions that must be recorded in the 1993 SNA
to have a complete accounting of production.
The GFS system, however, focuses on the financial activities of government. Because the value of the
output produced and the value of the distribution are equal by definition, there cannot be any change
in the financial position of the government unit involved in transactions. As a result, these transactions
do not need to be recorded in the GFS system. The transactions associated with the production
process, such as compensation of employees and the purchase of goods and services for use in
production, do affect the financial position of the general government unit and are recorded in the GFS
system. Despite different treatments of some activities, both systems include all flows that change
stocks so that all changes in the balance sheet can be explained by the flows recorded.
In general, the transactions of the 1993 SNA that are not recorded in the GFS system include the
following:
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Other economic flow is a change in the volume or value of an asset or liability that does not result
from a transaction. Volume changes are described as (1) other changes in the volume of assets or,
simply, other volume changes, and value changes are described as (2) holding gains and losses. In all
cases, a reference to a change in the volume or value of an asset refers also to changes in liabilities as
appropriate.
(1) Other changes in the volume of assets cover a wide variety of events, which are divided into three
groups viz.
(a) Events that involve the addition to or deletion from the balance sheet of an existing asset or
liability with no changes in its quantity or quality. A few examples are given below;
• A mineral deposit becomes economically exploitable due to technological progress or
rise in market prices.
• Improved access may make commercial harvesting of timber feasible in a particular
forest.
• A construction project might lose its economic rationale before it is completed and is
abandoned.
• A government might grant patent protection to an invention.
• A creditor may decide not to collect a financial claim because of the debtor’s
bankruptcy.
(b) Events that change the quantity or quality of assets. A few example are:
• The discovery of a new deposit of minerals.
• An increase in the quantity of forests and fish stocks from natural growth.
• The partial or complete catastrophic destruction of an asset resulting from a large-scale
unforeseen event, such as a major earthquake or hurricane.
• The exhaustion of a patent over time.
• A unilateral change by an employer in the benefit structure of a retirement scheme.
• A decrease in the quality of an asset resulting from environmental damage, erosion,
deforestation, or unforeseen obsolescence.
• The creation of land by reclaiming it from the sea with the use of sea barriers.
• The seizure of assets by a government unit without full compensation in public interest.
• A change in land-use allowing use of agricultural land for commercial purpose.
(c) Events that lead to changes in the classification of assets. A few examples are:
• Corporation of government telecom department or posts.
• Privatisation and outright sale of a departmental enterprise.
• A conversion of non-monetary gold to monetary gold.
(2) Holding gains and losses on assets and liabilities, together with the corresponding changes in net
worth, arise as a result of changes in the prices of those assets and liabilities, including changes
resulting from exchange rate movements.
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3. GFS 1986
GFS 1986 distinguishes between:
(1) Receipts and payments- This is the first line of distinction for all transactions.
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4. Accounting rules
With the exception of consolidation, the accounting rules of the GFS system are the same as those of
the 1993 SNA. There are also many similarities between the rules used in the GFS system and those
applied by businesses in their financial statements.
Double-entry accounting is used for recording flows. In a double-entry system each flow gives rise to
two equal-value entries, traditionally referred to as a credit entry and a debit entry. A debit is an
increase in an asset, a decrease in a liability, or a decrease in net worth. Conversely, a credit is a
decrease in an asset, an increase in a liability, or an increase in net worth. Revenue entries, which
represent an increase in net worth, are recorded as credits. Conversely, an expense refers to a decrease
in net worth and is recorded as a debit.
A balance sheet is a compilation of a unit’s assets, liabilities, and net worth. The fundamental
identity of the balance sheet and of accounting in general is that the total value of the assets
always equals the total value of the liabilities plus net worth. Use of the double-entry system
ensures that this identity is correctly maintained.
Once a flow has been identified, the time at which it occurred must be determined so that the results of
all flows within a given accounting period can be compiled.
With the accrual basis, flows are recorded at the time economic value is created, transformed,
exchanged, transferred, or extinguished. In other words, the effects of economic events are recorded in
the period in which they occur, irrespective of whether cash was received or paid or was due to be
received or paid. In general, the time attributed to events is the time at which ownership of goods
changes, services are provided, the obligation to pay taxes is created, the claim to a social benefit
payment is established, or other unconditional claims are established.
If an economic event requires a subsequent cash flow, such as purchases of goods and services on
credit, then the length of time between the time attributed to an event with the accrual basis and the
time of the cash flow is bridged by recording a receivable or a payable. For example, when a general
government unit purchases goods on credit, it records a debit to an inventory account and a
credit to accounts payable when ownership of the goods shifts. When the cash payment is made,
the general government unit records a debit to accounts payable and a credit to cash.
All events that result in the creation, transformation, exchange, transfer, or extinguishment of
economic value are recorded with the accrual basis in the GFS system. Thus, all non-monetary
transactions are included in statistics compiled on the accrual basis.
With the due-for-payment basis, flows that give rise to cash payments are recorded at the latest times
they can be paid without incurring additional charges or penalties or, if sooner, when the cash
payment is made. If a payment is made after it is due to be paid, then the gap is bridged by recording a
receivable, just as with the accrual basis. If a payment is made before it is due, then no receivable is
necessary.
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With the commitments basis, flows are recorded when a general government unit has committed itself
to a transaction. Normally, this basis applies only to purchases of assets, goods, and services,
including compensation of employees. The time of recording generally is when a purchase order is
issued by the general government unit. Flows for which the commitments basis is not applicable must
be recorded on one of the other three bases. In-kind transactions may or may not be recorded.
With the cash basis, flows are recorded when cash is received or disbursed. Although non-monetary
flows can be recorded, most accounting systems using the cash basis do not record non-monetary
flows because the focus is on cash management rather than resource flows.
b. The reasons for using the accrual basis in the GFS system
The GFS system uses the accrual basis, because the time of recording matches the time of the actual
resource flows. Consequently the accrual basis provides the best estimate of the macroeconomic
impact of government fiscal policy. With the cash basis, the time of recording may diverge
significantly from the time of the economic activities. For example, the interest paid on a zero-coupon
bond would not be recorded until the bond matures, which could be many years.
The accrual basis provides the most comprehensive information because all resource flows are
recorded, including internal transactions, in-kind transactions, and other economic flows, which have
impacts on the balance sheet. In general, accounts using the due-for-payment, commitments, or cash
basis are restricted to monetary transactions.
Payment arrears arise when an obligatory payment is not made by its due-for-payment date. As this
date is always the same or later than the date attributed to a flow under the accrual basis, all arrears
will be included in statistics compiled with the accrual basis. With the commitments basis, the validity
of information on arrears will be the same as with the accrual basis.
Information on cash flows is not lost with the accrual basis. Normally a separate statement of cash
flows is prepared along with accrual basis.
Accounts using the due-for-payment, commitments, or cash basis normally do not differentiate
between expenses and acquisitions of non-financial assets. With the accrual basis, acquisitions of non-
financial assets are recorded separately and the expense of using those assets in operating activities is
Matched with the period of their use rather than the period of their acquisition.
Additionally, the other major macroeconomic statistical systems (national accounts, balance of
payments, and monetary and financial statistics) use the accrual basis. Thus, the joint use of statistics
from two different systems is facilitated greatly by the use of the accrual basis in the GFS system.
Despite the advantages of the accrual basis, its implementation is more difficult than the other bases
and will require more estimates.
Taxes and other compulsory transfers are recorded when the activities, transactions, or other events
occur that create the government’s claim to the taxes or other payments. This time is not necessarily
the time at which the event being taxed occurred. For example, the obligation to pay tax on capital
gains normally occurs when an asset is sold, not when the asset’s value appreciated.
Estimating the revenue from taxes and compulsory social insurance contributions must take many
uncertainties into account. The primary uncertainty is that the government unit receiving the revenue
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is usually not a party to the transaction or other event that creates the obligation to pay the taxes or
compulsory social security contributions. Only those taxes and social security contributions that are
evidenced by tax assessments and declarations, customs declarations, and similar documents, and are
realistically expected to be collected, are considered to create revenue for government units.
If taxes are imposed on specific transactions, they are recorded at the times the underlying
transaction occurs, even though the time may not coincide with the actual payment of the tax.
Examples include sales taxes, value-added taxes, import duties, and estate and gift taxes.
In principle, income taxes and social contributions based on income should be attributed to the
period in which the income is earned. In practice, some flexibility is permitted. As a practical
deviation from the general principle, income taxes deducted at source, such as pay-as-you-earn taxes,
and regular prepayments of income taxes may be recorded in the periods in which they are paid, and
any final tax liability on income may be recorded in the period in which it is determined.
Income taxes are normally imposed on the income earned during an entire year. If monthly or
quarterly statistics are compiled, indicators of seasonal activity or other appropriate indicators may be
utilized to allocate the annual totals.
Taxes on the ownership of specific types of property are based on the value of the property at a
particular time but are deemed to accrue continuously over the entire year. Similarly, taxes on the use
of goods usually relate to a specific time period as per a license to operate a business.
Some compulsory transfers, such as fines, penalties, and property forfeitures, are determined at a
specific time. These transfers are recorded when the government has a legal claim to the funds, which
may be when a court renders judgment or an administrative ruling is published.
Determining the time of recording for grants and other voluntary transfers is complex because
there may be a wide variety of eligibility conditions. In some cases, a potential grant recipient has a
legal claim only when it satisfies certain conditions. These transfers are recorded when all
requirements and conditions are satisfied.
Dividends and withdrawals from income of quasi-corporations are recorded as of the date on which
they are declared payable or actually take place if no prior declaration occurs.
Transactions in goods and non-financial assets are recorded when legal ownership changes, which
may depend on the provisions in the sales contract. If that time cannot be determined precisely,
recording may take place when there is a change in physical ownership or control. For example, a
change of ownership is imputed to have taken place under a financial lease when the lessee takes
control of the asset.
Transactions in services normally should be recorded when the services are provided. If a service,
such as transportation, is delivered at a specific time, then the transaction is recorded at that time.
Other services are supplied or take place on a continuous basis. For example, operating leasing,
insurance, and housing services are continuous flows and, in concept, are recorded continuously as
long as they are being provided. More practically, the value of the services attributed to a period is
based on the quantity supplied during the period rather than the payments required.
Several other transactions also relate to flows that take place continuously or over extended periods.
For example, consumption of fixed capital accrues continuously over the whole period a fixed asset
is available for productive purposes and interest accrues continuously over the period that the financial
claim exists. Often an interest-bearing financial claim calls for periodic interest payments. These
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payments, however, reduce the liability that has already accrued over the previous period and are not
expense transactions.
Additions to inventories are recorded when products are purchased, produced, or otherwise acquired.
Withdrawals from inventories are recorded when products are sold, used up in production, or
otherwise relinquished. Additions to work-in-progress inventory are recorded continuously as work
proceeds. When production is completed, the production costs accumulated to that point are
transferred to finished-goods inventory.
Transactions in many types of financial assets, such as securities, loans, currency, and deposits, are
recorded when legal ownership changes. In some cases, the parties to a transaction may perceive
ownership to change on different dates because they acquire the documents evidencing the transaction
at different times.
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The general government sector consists of all government units and all
non-market nonprofit institutions that are controlled and mainly
financed by government units. In the GFS system, provision is made for
three main sub-sectors (or levels) of government: Central; state
(provincial or regional); and local. While some countries have all three
sub-sectors; many have only a central government, or central
government and local government sub-sectors.
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GFSM 2001
The GFSM 2001 framework consists of four statements: three based on accrual data
for transactions, other economic flows, and balance sheets; and a fourth based on
cash data.
The Balance Sheet presents the stocks of assets, liabilities, and net worth at the
end of the accounting period. The government’s net worth is defined as the
difference between total assets and total liabilities. Another balancing item that can
be derived from the Balance Sheet is net financial worth, which is defined as total
financial assets minus total liabilities.
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1 Revenue
2 Expense
Net operating balance (1-2=31+32-33)
31 Net acquisition of nonfinancial assets
Net lending/borrowing (1-2-31=32-33)
32 Net acquisition of financial assets
33 Net incurrence of liabilities
STATEMENT OF OTHER ECONOMIC FLOWS
Change in net worth resulting from other economic flows (41+42-43+51+52-53)
41, 51 Change in nonfinancial assets
42, 52 Change in financial assets
43, 53 Change in liabilities
BALANCE SHEET
6 Net worth (61+62-63)
61 Nonfinancial assets
62 Financial assets
63Liabilities
STATEMENT OF SOURCES AND USES OF CASH
1 Cash receipts from operating activities
2 Cash payments for operating activities
Net cash inflow from operating activities (1-2)
31 Net cash outflow from investments in nonfinancial assets
Cash surplus/deficit (1-2-31)
32* Net acquisition of financial assets other than cash
33 Net incurrence of liabilities
Net cash inflow from financing activities (-32*+33)
Net change in the stock of cash (3212+3222) 32*=32-3212-3222
Statement of Sources and Uses of Cash shows the amounts of cash generated and used
in operations, transactions in nonfinancial assets, and transactions involving financial
assets and liabilities, excluding cash itself. The balancing item, net change in the stock of
cash, is the sum of the net cash received from these three sources of cash flows.
Countries will use different approaches for compiling statistics in accordance with the
GFSM 2001 framework. The approaches will vary according to the country’s accounting
and budgeting practice, and the amount of resources devoted to the process. Most
governments currently use a cash basis of recording in their accounting and budgeting
systems. Some have started to use an accrual basis of recording and others use various
stages along a wide spectrum between cash and accrual. The GFSM 2001 analytic
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framework, though conceived from an accrual perspective, can be used to present data
generated by a variety of accounting practices.
Cash Reporting
The majority of the 133 countries that report cash data for publication in the Government
Finance Statistics Yearbook (GFSY) will, most likely, continue to do so for the
foreseeable future. Beginning with the 2003 GFSY, the historical cash data that were
reported in accordance with the 1986 methodology are published in the GFSM 2001
framework. The conversion of the historical cash data to the framework of the GFSM
2001 results in a number of coverage and classification gaps.
8. Valuation
All flows and stocks should be valued at the amounts for which goods, assets other than cash,
services, labor, or the provision of capital are in fact exchanged or could be exchanged for cash. These
values are referred to as current market prices or values.
Current market values of stocks are available for assets and liabilities that are traded in active
markets, most commonly certain financial assets and their corresponding liabilities. Current market
values of other assets and liabilities need to be estimated in a manner similar to non-monetary flows.
Some financial assets and liabilities, such as bonds, have a nominal value as well as a current market
value. Transactions in these assets and liabilities, however, should be valued at the prices actually paid
and not at their nominal value. Similarly, the stocks of such assets and liabilities should be valued at
their current market value when recorded on the balance sheet.
Another type of actual transaction that may require a valuation adjustment occurs when a unit sells an
item and does not receive the corresponding payment for an unusually long time. If the amount of
trade credit extended in this way is large, then value of the sale should be reduced by means of an
appropriate discount rate and interest should be accrued until the actual payment is made.
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Flows expressed in a foreign currency are converted to their value in the national currency at the
rate prevailing when they take place, and stocks are converted at the rate prevailing on the balance
sheet date. The midpoint between the buying and selling rates should be used.
The values of flows that are not already expressed at their current market value, such as barter
transactions, must be estimated. In addition, current market values for many stocks will not be
readily available and must be estimated. There are various estimation methods, as described below,
and the choice of particular method depends on the circumstances and available information.
• Values of transactions can be estimated on the basis of values taken from markets with
similar transactions. The values of financial assets can be estimated using market transactions
of similar assets.
• Flows and stocks involving fixed assets can be valued using the market price for similar new
goods, properly adjusted for consumption of fixed capital.
• If there is no similar market, values of goods or services may be derived from market prices
of similar goods or services by making adjustments for quality differences.
• The values of flows and stocks of assets can be estimated on the basis of their historical or
acquisition cost, adjusted for all changes occurred since their purchase or production, such as
consumption of fixed capital, holding gains or losses, depletion, exhaustion, degradation,
unforeseen obsolescence, and exceptional losses.
• Goods and services can be valued by the amount that it would cost to produce them currently.
• Assets can be valued at the discounted present value of their expected future returns. This
method is used for many financial assets, natural assets, and intangible assets.
Contingencies
Contingencies are conditions or situations that may affect the financial position of the general
government depending on the occurrence or nonoccurrence of some future events. For example, a
government guarantee of a loan may result in an expense if the debtor defaults, but it will not be
known whether the expense will incur, when it will occur and by how much until a default occurs.
GFS 2002 follows the 1993 SNA by not treating any contingencies as financial assets or liabilities
because they are not unconditional claims or obligations. However, contingencies are presented
as memo items.
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9. Derived measures
Derived measures consist of aggregates and balancing items. They are important analytic tools that
summarize the values of flows or stocks that have been individually recorded in the GFS system.
Aggregates are summations of elements in a class of flows or stocks. For example, tax revenue is the
sum of all flows classified as taxes. Balancing items are economic parameters obtained by subtracting
one aggregate from another aggregate. For example, the net operating balance is obtained by
subtracting the total expense aggregate from the total revenue aggregate. Net worth is equal to total
assets less total liabilities.
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Taxes
Comprise: Total tax revenue [A.IV] minus social security contributions [A2.].
Note(s): The GFSM 1986 tax revenue category social security contributions [A2.] is classified to
the GFSM 2001 category social contributions [12]. Apart from the exclusion of social
contributions and a few changes to the descriptors of certain types of taxes, the GFSM 2001
classification of taxes is virtually identical to the GFSM 1986 classification of taxes.
Social Contributions
Grants
Other Revenue
Comprise: Total nontax revenue [A.V] minus contributions to government employee pension and
welfare funds within government [A11.] plus capital transfers from nongovernmental sources
[A16.].
Note(s): These GFSM 1986 categories serve as a proxy for other revenue [14], because they
include cash surpluses from departmental enterprise sales to the public. In the GFSM 1986, these
receipts are classified as entrepreneurial and property income (“dividends”), i.e., on a net basis.
According to the GFSM 2001 methodology, the gross revenues of market establishments are
classified to the various subcategories of other revenue.
2 Expense
Compensation of Employees
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Note(s): The accrual concept consumption of fixed capital [23] does not exist in the GFSM 1986
cash system and will show as being “not available” when GFSM 1986 cash data are classified to
the detailed GFSM 2001 tables.
Subsidies
Grants
Comprise: Current and capital transfers to other levels of national government [C3.2 and C7.1.1]
Plus current and capital transfers abroad to governments, international organizations, and to
supranational authorities [C3.5.1-2 and C7.2.1-2].
Note(s): The breakdown of these GFSM 1986 categories do not allow for a complete
classification to the GFSM 2001 subcategories of grants, because no distinction is made between
grants to foreign governments and grants to international organizations. Additional country-
specific information is needed to distinguish between grants to foreign governments [261] and
those to international organizations [262].
Social Benefits
Other Expense
Comprise: Current transfers to nonprofit institutions [C3.3] plus other current transfers abroad
[C3.5.4]10 plus domestic capital transfers to nonfinancial public enterprises [C7.1.2], to financial
institutions [C7.1.3], to other enterprises [C7.1.4], and other domestic capital transfers [C7.1.5]
plus other capital transfers abroad [C7.2.4].
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Note(s): These GFSM 1986 categories serve as a proxy for the GFSM 2001 category other
expense [28], because data on property expense other than interest are not separately available in
the GFSM 1986. Additional country-specific information is needed to classify property expense
other than interest—which is included in other purchases of goods and services [C1.3]—as other
expense [28]. 1
In the GFSM 2001, the results of transactions in a particular category of assets can be presented
as either total acquisitions and total disposals, or the “net acquisition” of a particular asset. The
net acquisition of inventories is referred to as “changes in inventories”. Transactions in fixed
assets, valuables, and nonproduced assets are summarized as acquisitions, disposals, and
consumption of fixed capital. The accrual concept consumption of fixed capital does not exist in
the GFSM 1986 cash system.
Comprise: Acquisition of fixed capital assets [C4.], purchases of stocks [C5.], and purchases of
land and intangible assets [C6.].
Note(s): Because the GFSM 1986 expenditure categories do not provide for the separate
classification of purchases of valuables, no data can be reclassified to the GFSM 2001 category
acquisition of nonfinancial assets: valuables [313.1]. Additional country specific information is
needed to do so.
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Budget Accounts
Plan and non-plan expenditure- If any project or program is approved by the Planning
Commission as a part of the National Five Year Plan or Annual Plan, expenditure for that
project or program is called Plan Expenditure and all other expenditures are classified as
Non-Plan Expenditures.
7. Developmental and non-developmental- Internationally, expenditures are classified as
Developmental and Non-Developmental Expenditures. Any expenditure which leads to
higher production and economic development is called developmental expenditure; all
others are classified as Non-Developmental expenditures.
There is no one-to-one correspondence among these classifications.
Cross-Classification of expenditure in Budget 2006-07 (Rupees billion)
Type Plan Non-plan Total
Revenue 26% 61% 87%
Capital 5% 8% 13%
Total 31% 69% 100%
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Classification of expenditure
Classification of receipts
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• FRBM Act 2003 and FRBM Rules 2004 came into force w.e.f. 5 July 2004.
• The Act mandates the Central govt to eliminate revenue deficit by March 2009
and to reduce fiscal deficit to 3% of GDP by March 2008.
• Under section 7 of the Act, the central govt is required to lay before both houses
of Parliament Medium Term Fiscal Policy Statement, Fiscal Policy Strategy
Statement and Macro Economic Framework Statement along with the Annual
Financial Statement and Demand for Grants.
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Given data on Indian Budget 2007-08, estimate the following in Rs.billion and express
these as percentage to GDP:
(a) Revenue deficit
(b) Capital deficit
(c) Budget deficit
(d) Gross Fiscal Deficit
(e) Gross Primary deficit
(f) Net lending
(g) Net interest payments
(h) Net Fiscal Deficit
(i) Net Primary deficit
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1. The following table provides the Fiscal Statements for Mongolian General
Government sector for the year 2003 (Jan-Dec) as per GFS Accounting standards.
However, it has the following two limitations: (a) It does not estimate the
Consumption for Fixed Capital, and (b) It does not provide the Statement for Cash
Balance for 2003 (in the table cash balance is given for 2002).
2. Estimate depreciation expenses (i.e. consumption of fixed capital) by taking broad
categories of assets and assuming expected life of assets. Then rework
GFS Accounts for Mongolia General Government (GG) 2003 in Billion MNT
Billion B. Statement of sources and Billion
A. Statement of govt operations MNT uses of cash (2002) MNT
1 Cash receipts from
1. Revenue 599.94 operating activities 489.77
2. Expense 465.85 11 Taxes 287.27
GOB Gross operating balance (1-2) 134.09 12 Social securities 54.93
Less Consumption of fixed capital 0 13 Grants 19.31
NOB Net operating balance 134.09 14 Other receipts 128.26
2 Cash payments for
31 Net acquisition of nonfinancial assets 139.02 operating expenses 402.92
NLB Net lending/ borrowing (NOB-31) -4.93 21 Compen. of employees 112.1
32 Net acquisition of financial assets 54.86 22 Purchase of goods/services 163.93
33 Net incurrence of liabilities 63.22 24 Interest 20.04
NLB Statistical discrepancy 3.43 25 Subsidies 8.79
Statement of other economic flows 26 Grants 0.62
Balance sheet 27 Social Benefits 90.62
6 Net worth -449.42 28 Other payments 6.82
CIO Net cash inflow from
61 Nonfinancial assets 1306.79 oper.activities 86.85
31.1 Purchases of
62 Financial assets 0 nonfinancial assets 99.65
63 Liabilities 1756.21 31.2 Sales of nonfinan. assets 0
31 Net cash outflow from
investments in nonfinancial 99.65
assets
CSD Cash surplus/ deficit -12.8
32x Net acquisition of
fin.assets,excl.cash 37.04
321x Domestic 36.74
322x Foreign 0.3
323 Monetary gold and SDR 0
33 Net incurrence of liability 65.36
331 Domestic -16.86
332 Foreign 82.22
NFB Net cash inflow from
financial activities 28.32
NCB Net change in the stock
of cash 15.52
CSD Statistical discrepancy 0
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Assignment
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Balance of Payments-
Basic Concepts and Analytical Framework
Analytical framework
The linkage between key aggregates of accounts of the total economy and balance of
payments flows can, by the use of symbols, be summarized algebraically within a
savings/investment framework.
S = I + CAB
S – I = CAB
S – I + (NKT – NPNNA) = CAB + NKT–NPNNA = NFI
(NKT – NPNNA = balance on the capital account of the balance of payments)
Balance sheet accounts for the total economy and domestic institutional sectors depict the
level and composition of the stock of assets and liabilities at the beginnings and ends of
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appropriate reference periods. The difference between the sum of assets and the sum of
liabilities equals the net worth of the economy and the sectors.
The interrelationship between the internal and external sectors of an economy can be seen
in greater detail by distinguishing between the private and government sectors. Private
saving and investment (Sp and Ip) and government saving and investment (Sg and Ig)
are identified:
Use of the definition of the current account from equation (1) then gives:
This equation shows that, if government sector dissaving is not offset by net saving on
the part of the private sector, the current account will be in deficit. More specifically,
the equation shows that the budgetary position of the government (Sg-Ig) may be an
important factor influencing the current account balance. In particular, a sustained current
account deficit may reflect persistent government spending in excess of receipts, and
such excess spending suggests that fiscal tightening is the appropriate policy action.
Where
NKA = net capital and financial account (i.e., all capital and financial transactions
excluding reserve assets)
RT = reserve asset transactions
This equation shows that the current account balance is necessarily equal (with sign
reversed) to the net capital and financial account balance plus reserve asset transactions.
This relationship shows that the net provision, as measured by the current account
balance, of resources to or from the rest of the world must—by definition—be matched
by a change in net claims on the rest of the world.
Where
TB = trade balance
SIB = service and income balance
TRANB = current transfer balance
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Transactions
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ACCOUNTING PRINCIPLES
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Other flows
(i) Changes between opening and closing positions that are not
due to transactions or revaluations. Examples are unilateral
write offs of claims by creditors, reclassification of assets,
monetization and demonetization of gold, and other events.
Changes in financial claims and liabilities arising from the
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Positions
P¹ = Pº+ F or F = P¹ - Pº
Where Pº = values of a specific position at the beginning of an accounting period
P¹= values of a specific position at the end of an accounting period
F = Net value of all flows during the period that affected that particular position.
C. Accounting System
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In the case of the flows in financial assets and liabilities, the terms “net
changes in assets” and “net changes in liabilities” are used to reflect
the nature of the financial flows, which are recorded on a net basis
separately for each financial asset and liability. For both assets and
liabilities, a positive change indicates an increase in positions and a
negative change indicates a decrease in positions.
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The international accounts use the accrual basis for determining the
time of recording of flows, as it matches the time of recording with the
timing of the events giving rise to the actual resource flows. With the
cash basis, the time of recording may diverge significantly from the
time of events and transactions to which the cash flows relate. The
due-for payment basis will usually record transactions after the
resource flows have taken place, although the long delays caused by
cash basis would, in most cases, be reduced. The timing of the
commitment basis will precede the actual resource flows.
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The accrual basis is consistent with the way transactions, other flows,
and main economic aggregates (balance on goods and services, net
lending/net borrowing) are defined. It is also close to the business
accounting.
Application to Goods
Goods on consignment (that is, goods intended for sale but not
actually sold when the goods cross the frontier) should be recorded
only at the time economic ownership changes. Goods under financial
lease arrangements are considered to change economic ownership at
the inception of the lease.
Application to services
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E. Valuation
1. Valuation of transactions
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Concepts on Values
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•Nominal value refers to the amount the debtor owes to the creditor,
which comprises the outstanding principal amount including any
accrued interest.
• Historic cost, in its strict sense, reflects the cost at the time of
acquisition, but sometimes it may also reflect occasional revaluations.
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currency in which the value of flows and positions is fixed, and thus
determines the currency denomination. The currency of settlement
may be different from the currency of account.
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In the case of flows in financial assets and liabilities, the term “net”
may have dual meanings (summing all debits and credits for a financial
asset type or a liability type and netting of an asset against a liability).
• Title of some derived measures also uses the term “net”. They are
“net lending/borrowing” and “net international investment position”.
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G. Symmetry of Reporting
H. Derived Measures
– Balance on goods
– Balance on services
– Balance on goods and services
– Balance on primary incomes
– Balance on secondary incomes
– Current account balance
– Net lending/borrowing
– Changes in net IIP arising from other flows
– Net international investment position.
Financial Account
The financial account of the SNA shows the net acquisition of financial assets and the net
incurrence of liabilities. Transactions in financial assets and liabilities for each
institutional sector and the total economy encompass those among domestic sectors and
those related to the rest of the world. Consolidated domestic flows cancel each other so
that transactions for the economy as a whole are (i) accounted for by transactions vis-à-
vis the rest of the world and (ii) equal to flows shown in columns for the rest of the
world. In the balance of payments, transactions (from the viewpoint of the compiling
economy) in the financial account of the capital and financial account correspond to
entries in columns for the financial account of the rest of the world, but changes in assets
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of the rest of the world represent changes in liabilities for the compiling economy and
vice versa.
The concept of residence used in this Manual is identical to that used in the SNA. The
concept is not based on nationality or legal criteria, although it may be similar to concepts
of residence used for exchange control, tax, and other purposes in many countries. The
concept of residence is based on a sectoral transactors center of economic interest.
Moreover, country boundaries recognized for political purposes may not always be
appropriate for economic purposes.
The sectors of an economy are composed of two main types of institutional units: (i)
households and individuals who make up a household and (ii) legal and social entities,
such as corporations and quasi-corporations (e.g., branches of foreign direct investors),
nonprofit institutions, and the government of that economy. These institutional units must
meet certain criteria to be considered resident units of the economy.
Residence of Enterprises
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General Government
General government agencies that are residents of an economy include all departments,
establishments, and bodies located in the economic territory of an economy’s central,
state, and local governments and all embassies, consulates, military establishments, and
Other entities, which are located elsewhere, of an economy’s general government.
The standard components of BOP are comprised of two main groups of accounts: The
current account pertains to goods and services, income, and current transfers. The
capital and financial account pertains to (i) capital transfers and acquisition or disposal
of nonproduced, nonfinancial assets and (ii) financial assets and liabilities.
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1. Current Account
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1.
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1. Two-Gap Model
Y=C+I+X–M (1)
Y=C+S (2)
Y = Income, C = Consumption, I = Investment, S = Savings, X = Exports, M = Imports
Equating equations (1) and (2) we get
C+S=C+I+X–M OR (S – I) = (X – M ) (3)
Savings - Investment gap (or Resource Gap on the domestic account) equals current
account balance (CAB).
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T - (PubExp + PubInv) = Public sector balance = Taxes minus Public expenditure minus
public investment
Thus we get:
Current account balance = Private sector balance + Public sector balance
Exercise-1: The following data relate to Indian economy for the year
2003-04
Items (Rupees billion)
1.GNP 27459
2.Public Expend (PubExp) 3121
3.Private Expend (PvtExp) 17353
4.Public Invest (PubInv) 1802
5.Private Invest (PvtInv) 5680
6.Public savings (PubSav) 284
7.Private savings (PvtSav) 7695
8.Taxes less subsidies (T) 2402
9.Exports of goods & services (X) 4078
10.Imports of goods and services (M) 4434
Workout Session- 1:
Given above data, estimate the following:
1. GDP at current market prices
2. Net factor income from abroad
3. Current account balance
4. Private Investment-Savings gap
5. Public Investment-Savings gap
6. Overall Investment-Savings gap
7. Private account balance
8. Public account balance
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A. Current Account – Account is closed by the end of the year. These are non-asset
transactions and have no future obligations.
B. Capital Account- Account is not closed within a year and has future obligations. It
consists of financial flows, which can be grouped into debt flows and non-debt creating
financial flows. Debt has attendant obligations for repayment of principal (amortization)
and payment of interest charges. Amortization appears on capital account while interest
charges appear on current account. Similarly non-debt financial flows appear on capital
account, while dividends, royalties etc. appear on current account.
Current Account
Capital Account
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2. The following data relate to the Balance of Payments Situation of India during
2005-06
2. Workout Session-2
Given above data, estimate the following for Indian BOP in 2005-06:
1. Trade balance
2. Non-factor services balance
3. Net invisibles
4. Current account balance
5. Non-debt creating financial flows
6. Debt creating financial flows
7. Total capital flows
8. Overall balance of payments
9. Build up of foreign exchange reserves
10. Foreign exchange reserves at the year-end
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Exercise-3
India's Balance of Payments (US$ Million)
Items 2006-
07
1 2
Merchandise Exports 127,090
Merchandise Imports 191,995
Software services receipts 31,300
Software services payments 2,502
Business services receipts 31,065
Business services payments 28,951
Transfers receipts 28,861
Transfers payments 1,446
Foreign Direct Investment, net 8,437
Portfolio Investment, net 7,062
Investment income receipts 8,574
Investment income payments 12,856
External Assistance, net 1,770
Ext.commercial borrowing, net 16,084
NRI Deposits, net 3,895
Short-term Credits, net 3,275
Other capital inflows 4,421
Travel receipts 9,423
Travel payments 7,235
Transportation receipts 8,069
Transportation payments 8,857
Insurance receipts 1,200
Insurance payments 641
Government n.i.e. receipts 273
Government n.i.e. payments 417
Employee's compensation, net -564
Memorandum items:
Foreign exchange reserves at 162650
the beginning of the year
GDP at current mp 892930
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