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This Is Tomorrow

Equity Markets Update


09-13 June 2014
This Is Tomorrow, Equity Markets Update is a research based on new approach to
quantitative analysis in which the goal is to develop better understanding of market
movements and risk management. This is a practical solution and comprehensive
picture of certain security with a view to improve investment performance. It offers a
smart trading capability along with a disciplined approach.
This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 2 | 09-13 June 2014
Table 1: Summary

Market State Trend Strength % Deviation % Favourable Move Unfavourable Move
Symbol Last Strategy Type Bias last current
UP

DOWN

Expected
change
Above
Below
Risk
Daily
Weekly
Unexpected
Move
SPX 1949 BU TN 6 14.97 17.57 2.3 0.5 19381995 B 1885 D 17501900
NDX 3794.5 BU TN 6 18.09 19.70 3.8 0.9 37603940 B 3700 D 35003700
RUT 1165.2 BU
TN
3 5.52 11.4 2.4 0.5 11581193 B 1140 D 1037
GOOGL 566 BU
TN
5 21.08 21.72 4.7 0.3 564593 B 542 D 460550
AMZN 329.6 TR
TN
2 2.86 7.77 3.1 2 323340 B 313 D 280315
AAPL 645 BU TN 6 27.09 31.09 3.8 3.4 623670 B 600 D 560630
FB 62.5 BU SW 3 15.51 14.05 5.6 3.2 60.566 B 56.3 D 5161
MSFT 41.48 BU TN 6 23 24.37 4.8 0.4 41.343.5 B 41 W 39.241.5
HPQ 33.84 BU TN 6 20.15 20.35 4.8 1.0 33.534.9 B 33.1 W 30.533.5
WFC 51.98 BU TN 6 12.8 15.27 2.5 0.7 51.753.3 B 50 W 47.650
BAC 15.59 TR TN 3 -10.07 -6.03 5.1 0.6 15.516.4 B 15.3 W 13.815.3
MO 41.39 BU TN 6 10.44 10.05 5.0 0.7 41.143.5 B 40.3 D 38.541.5
MRK N/A

N/A N/A

JNJ N/A N/A N/A
MMM N/A N/A N/A











This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 3 | 09-13 June 2014


Up-Trend Down-Trend Current Forecast
Symbol Last Short Med Long Short Med Long
Last
Trend
Next
week
Current
month
+3
months
SPX 1949 1885 1850 1700 1840 18031949 19381995 2050 18502150
NDX 3794.5 3610 3722 3150 34143795 37603940 36004000 4140
RUT 1165.2 1140 1190 1065 1145 10821167 11581193 11151250 11701400
GOOGL 566 542 615 465 530 564 511577 564593 615 625
AMZN 329.6 310 313 285 305 337 284330.8 323340 348 380
AAPL 645 600 551 514 511652 623670 585670 585700
FB 62.5 63.9 71.4 54.8 58.7 56.364.34 60.566 59.8 59.872
MSFT 41.48 40.5 39 33 39.1 38.541.6 41.343.5 44 47
HPQ 33.84 33.1 30.1 27.8 31.4 28.7534.1 33.534.9 32.6 35
WFC 51.98 50 46.7 44.8 48.5 46.752.02 51.753.3 49.655 49.756.4
BAC 15.59 15.3 17.4 15 14.8 15.6 14.3715.65 15.516.4 15.316.5 15.817.4
MO 41.39 40.3 38.5 36.3 39.6 33.841.6 41.143.5 45 4447
MRK N/A
JNJ N/A
MMM N/A


This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 4 | 09-13 June 2014
Table3: Demand Supply Study, Probability Distribution (one-month)

4 12 33 68 84 Last 84 68 33 12 4

SPX
2130 2050 2000 1995 1975 1949 1942 1922 1910 1890 1850
S S3 P S5 S3 D3 B3 D3 D3 P R D
NDX
4150 4140 4077 3990 3940 3794.5 3780 3738 3722 3707 3700
P S13 OB S12 S S D4 B4 P RW UT D5 B5 D1 R
RUT
1340 1280 1215 1193 1181 1165.2 1160 1158 1153 1144 1092
S S P S1 S1 P B2 D3 D3 B3 D RW R
GOOGL
625 614 608 590 578 566 563 559 550 544 535
S S2 S S S D6 B6 D7 D7 B7 D D R
AMZN
362 348 343 340 337 329.6 325 323 313 310 303
S S5 OS W S1 S S2 D4 B4 D D RW UT D
AAPL
710 680 667 652 649 645 644 633 623 600 580
S S S P S P D2 B2 D5 B5 D10 R D10
FB
71.4 69.8 66.2 64.9 63.9 62.5 62 61.4 60.5 59.8 56.3
S3 S1 S2 D10 B10 P R D15 B15 D15 D15 B15 D15 R
MSFT
47 45.4 44 42.5 41.65 41.45 41.3 41 40.5 40.3 39.8
S3 D3 S3 D4 P UT D6 B6 P RW D16 B16 D3 D3 OS
HPQ
37.7 37.05 35.8 34.95 33.95 33.8 33.65 33.50 33.1 32.6 31.2
S5 OB S S2 D5 P R B5 D8 B8 D9 B9 UT RW D3 R D7 P
WFC
56.8 55 54.4 53.3 52.7 52 51.85 51.7 50.8 50 49.65
S3 S5 S2 S2 S1 B5 D3 D3 B5 OS W B5 UT RW D5 R
BAC
17.4 16.5 16.2 15.85 15.6 15.55 15.5 15.3 15.2 14.8 14.3
S3 S4 S1 D4 P D6 B6 UT RW D R D P
MO
47 44.7 43.3 42.4 41.6 41.4 41.2 40.7 40.3 40.10 39.55
S D D S P B4 D5 B5 D10 W B10 UT R D3 D5 R OS
MRK
N/A

JNJ
N/A

MMM
N/A




This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 5 | 09-13 June 2014
Table 4: Price Forecast
1W +1W 1M +1M 3M +3M 6M +6M 9M +9M 1Y +1Y 2Y +2Y 5Y +5Y High/Low Price Estimate
SPX
1900 1900 1900 1840 1840 1800 1800 1800 1780 1780 1780 2000
1995 2000 2050 2050 2050 2050 2150 2150 2150 2250 2250 2500 3000
NDX


RUT
1115 1115
1190 1190 1250 1250
GOOGL
558 535 580
590 615 615
AMZN
292.3 292.3 310
330 330 340
AAPL
585 585 585 585
645 645 645 670 670 670 670 700
FB
59.8 59.8
72 72 72 72 85 85 85 93
MSFT
40 40 40.35
44 44 44 47 47 47 47 47 47 48 52 75 0.026(t+100)+38.97
HPQ
32.9 33 33.4 33.8 34.8 35.2 36.1 36.5 37 37.9 38.3 43.2 0.0202(t+121)+30.11
35.5 37 37 37 37.6 37.6 39 39 41 42 47.8 54 0.0789(t+44)+28.74
WFC
49.6 49.6 49.6 50.6 51 51.3 51.6 52 52 53 55 57 63 69 0.0152(t+132)+46.95
55 55 55 55 55 56.4 56.4 56.4 56.4 58.3 60 66 80 150 180 0.0292(t+198)+44.83
BAC
14.8 14.8 15.6 15.6
16.5 16.5 16.5 17.4 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 22 24 39 52
MO
39.6 39.6 39.6
43.5 45 45 45 45 47 62 80 106
MRK
55 55 55 55 57.8
58.9 61 61 61 61 81
JNJ

110 115 130 140 270
MMM





This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 6 | 09-13 June 2014
Table 5: Scenario Analysis
Cycle SPX NDX RUT GOOGL AMZN AAPL FB MSFT HPQ WFC BAC MO MRK JNJ MMM
Grand
From 62.5 41.45 33.8 51.98 15.55 41.55 57.8 101.4
To 175 87 67 120 37 63 101 150
% 180.0 109.9 98.2 130.9 137.9 51.6 74.7 47.9
Primary
From 1949 1165 62.5 41.45 33.8 51.98 15.55 41.55 57.8 101.4
To 3000 1800 93 60 54 80 25 54 80 130
% 53.9 54.5 48.8 44.8 59.8 53.9 60.8 30.0 38.4 28.2
Intermediate
From 1949 3736 1165 645 62.5 41.45 33.8 51.98 15.55 41.55 57.8 101.4
To 2490 4150 1340 710 72 50 42 66 20 48 64.8 115
% 27.8 11.1 15.0 10.1 15.2 20.6 24.3 27.0 28.6 15.5 12.1 13.4
Secondary
From 1949 3736 1165 571 312.5 645 62.5 41.45 33.8 51.98 15.55 41.55 57.8 101.4
To 2130 3995 1200 609 337 677 71.4 47 37 60 17.4 44.5 61.1 109.5
% 9.2 6.9 3.0 6.7 7.8 5.0 14.2 13.4 9.5 15.4 11.9 7.1 5.7 8.0
Minor
From 1938 1160 325 633 41.45 33.8 51.98 15.55 41.55 99
To 2050 1200 337 670 44 35.8 55 16.5 43.5 104
% 5.7 3.4 3.7 5.8 6.2 5.9 5.8 6.1 4.7 5.1
Correction
From 4140 55 16.5
To 3500 52.8 15.8
% -15.5 -4.0 -4.2
Correction
From
To
%
Trading
From 1938 60.5 41.3 33.65 51.6 15.6
To 2050 71.4 44 35.8 53.3 16.5
% 5.8 18.0 6.5 6.4 3.3 5.8
Trading
From 64.9 34.95 52 15.9
To 71.4 37.7 55 17.4
% 10.0 7.9 5.8 9.4

This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 7 | 09-13 June 2014
Table 6: Summary of trend analysis results

SPX The short-term uptrend is headed toward to 1950. A short-term correction is likely to take place up to 1909. The first sign of change in current up-
trend is when SPXs closing price is below 1900.
NDX


RUT

The recent short-term uptrend is headed toward to 1200 during June; however a slight decrease in price may take place (1115-1126).

GOOGL


AMZN


AAPL


FB

The recent down-trend is over (72.654.7).A closing price above 63.9 suggests a strong rally up to 71.4.

MSFT


HPQ Evidence suggests that a trading range may be formed between 32.4 and 33.9 for a while. A daily close above 33.9 will signal a continuation of the
current uptrend which may be stretched up to 38.
WFC


JNJ


MO

The current bull market will likely be on course during June. A short-term correction may take place within the coming two weeks. Strong demands
are clustered around 40 and 40.65.
MRK It is expected that the current rise (54.456.95) continues up to 58.8 over the next three weeks (3.5%). Strong demand and supply is seen around
55.2 and 58.5 respectively. Before a next rally is started, a trading range between 55 and 61 is predicted.
BAC Mid-term downtrend is halt. A rise up to 16.5 is expected over June.

MMM



This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 8 | 09-13 June 2014
Appendix
Underway-Ongoing, the closing price above(Uptrend side)/below (Downtrend side) this level is forecast over next 3 months
Underway-Ongoing, the closing price above(Uptrend side)/below (Downtrend side) this level is forecast over next week
New Data is required
Already is ended
It is forecast that the trend will be triggered within the coming 3 weeks
It is forecast that the trend will be ended within the coming 3 weeks

1800: it is predicted that the security will fall up to the specified figure.
1800: it is predicted that the security will rise up to the specified figure.
1800: the closing price below this level is expected.
1800: the closing price above this level is expected.
18001900: the closing price between two figures is forecast.
18001900: the expected low and high that is expected over the period
19001800: the expected low and high that is expected over the period

Bias
+6 +5 +4 +3 +2 +1 0 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6
SU SD MU MD SU SD LU LD SU SD MU MD SU SD

Short-term: less than 3 weeks, Medium-term: less than 3 months, Long-term: less than 9 months
Trend=TN, Short-Correction=SC, Mid-Correction=MC, Side-way=SW, Top Out=TO, Bottom Out=BO
Bearish=BE, Bullish=BU, Correction=CO, Trading=TR, Hold=HD, Look to new Data=ND
UP-TREND=UT, DOWN-TREND=DT, RISK=R, Worst Case Scenario= W, Supply=S, Demand=D, Pivot=P,
Sell Limit=S, Sell Stop=S,Buy Limit=B,Buy Stop=B
Overbought=OB, Oversold=OS

This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 9 | 09-13 June 2014







Research Analyst: Rayan Massah
Email Contact: rayan.massah@gmail.com




This Is Tomorrow, Financial Markets Updateis a research based on new approach to quantitative
analysis in which the goal is to develop better understanding of market movements and risk management.
This is a practical solution and comprehensive picture of certain security with a view to improve
investment performance. It offers a smart trading capability along with a disciplined approach.
This Is Tomorrow
FINANCIAL MARKETS UPDATE