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I. INTRODUCTION
Asian Development Bank (2009) published a report on investing in sustainable infrastructure to improve lives. Since the turn of the century, poverty has been at the centre of all development strategies. In many developing countries, growth is constrained by infrastructure bottlenecks and this is reflected in many investment climate surveys in which infrastructure ranks as the top priority (Estache, 2007). Infrastructure serves as the foundation of economic and social activities and supports the economic and social development of developing countries through various channels. It also facilitates interactions and provides access to goods and services, which then contributes in poverty reduction and eventually leads to economic development.
Further, The World Bank (2005) noted that the Philippines attained important achievements in terms of infrastructure provision, and access to basic infrastructure services tends to be higher than that of its neighbors. The government has also been undertaking critical reforms, such as promotion of private sector participation and power sector restructuring, which are among the most progressive in Asia. Further, preliminary analysis by the World Bank indicates that in the Philippines there is indeed a strong relationship between infrastructure and GDP, and that growth of the infrastructure capital stock has a positive and long-term impact on level of GDP.
However, it is noted that financing infrastructure project and programs entails the need for stable source of funding, thus, deals with serious and significant amount of money. Considering the financial and fiscal constraints of the Philippines, there is a need to have an alternative and external source of funds. Official development assistance (ODA) plays an important part in infrastructure financing. Considering the financial constraints of providing costly infrastructure, the amount being provided is indeed significant. The Philippines then is recognized as one of the top recipients of ODA globally.
With these in mind, this paper therefore aims to establish further connection between Economic Development and Infrastructure Spending with the current trends of providing Official Development Assistance (ODA).
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II. BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
Official Development Assistance (ODA)
The Official Development Assistance (ODA) served as the primary means of foreign aid and transfers between developed and developing countries. According to the official OECD DAC Glossary of Key Terms and Concepts (2013), Official Development Assistance (ODA) is composed of grants or loans to countries and territories on the DAC List of ODA Recipients (developing countries) and to multilateral agencies which are: (a) undertaken by the official sector; (b) with promotion of economic development and welfare as the main objective; (c) at concessional financial terms (if a loan, having a grant element of at least 25%). In addition to financial flows, technical co- operation is included in aid. Grants, loans and credits for military purposes are excluded. Transfer payments to private individuals (e.g. pensions, reparations or insurance payouts) are in general not counted.
On the other hand, World Bank (2013) defined that, Bilateral official development assistance (ODA) commitments are the firm obligations, expressed in writing and backed by the necessary funds, undertaken by official bilateral donors to provide specified assistance to a recipient country or a multilateral organization. Bilateral commitments are recorded in the full amount of expected transfer, irrespective of the time required for completing disbursements. Total sector-allocable aid is the sum of aid that can be assigned to specific sectors or multi-sector activities. Basic social services consists of, primary education, basic life skills for youth and adults and early childhood education, basic health care, basic health infrastructure, basic nutrition, infectious disease control, health education and health personnel development, population policy and administrative management, reproductive health care, family planning, sexually transmitted disease (STD) control including HIV/AIDS, personnel development (population & reproductive health), basic drinking water supply and basic sanitation, and multi-sector aid for basic social services.
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Official Development Assistance in the Philippines
At the height of the Philippine debt crisis in the 1980s, Official Development Assistance (ODA) accounted for nearly half of the countrys external debt. The genesis of the crisis was complex, but among the immediate causes were ODA-funded investments that did not yield the expected economic and social returns and were, in fact, channelled to unproductive and low-priority areas or otherwise lost to corruption. (Tsuda and Deocadiz,1986). In order to prevent such and to provide a proper framework and parameters for programming, monitoring and evaluation of ODA, the Official Development Assistance Act of 1996 or the Republic Act 8182 has been set into law, and its subsequent amendments contained in Republic Act 8555.
Over the years, the Philippines has created and refined the structures to manage ODA projects and programmes. As a result, the flow of ODA funds is under scrutiny by various agencies from project inception to completion. At the first level, donors are requested to draw up Country Assistance Strategies (CAS), which should be aligned with the Medium-Term Philippine Development Plan (MTPDP) and the Medium-Term Public Investment Programme (MTPIP). The MTPDP is a six-year plan that lays out the development goals and strategies of the country. It is prepared by the NEDA in coordination with other government agencies and stakeholders. The MTPIP is an accompanying document to the MTPDP, containing an ordered listing of priority programmes and projects based on their assessed potential contributions to the development goals set out in the MTPDP. Thus, donors are compelled to streamline and align their assistance to the countrys development priorities and prevented from peddling ODA for activities. (Abrenica, et. al, 2013)
In the case the Philippines, as noted by the National Economic and Development Authority NEDA, Infrastructure support gains the biggest chunk of the amount being received from ODA (averaging 66% from 1990 2006). This is followed by the economic sectors; social spending and others, which more directly affect the MDGs, averaged only 9%. ODA remains an important, although limited, source of funding for infrastructure investment, and some of the more innovative types of social spending (such as conditional cash transfer program or community-driven development).
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Table.1 Source of Infrastructure Funds of the National Government Source: National Economic Development Authority, Public Information Division, 2008
Further, considering the source of Infrastructure Funds of the Philippine Government (Table 1), it suggests that the contribution of foreign transfers through Official Development Assistance (ODA) is indeed significant and relevant for funding, covering 76% of infrastructure projects in the country for the year 2008, as compared to that of the funds coming from the National Budget.
Foreign aid, therefore, through ODA, contributes significantly in the countrys efforts to provide various economic infrastructures in attaining its goals for development and providing public goods and services, to note that the necessary funding and financial constraints are to be considered for such goal to be achieved.
III. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
Foreign Aid and Economic Development
Poverty served as one of the precursors of the concept of providing Aid programs. Kingsbury et. al. (2004) had noted that, the purpose of aid, or why countries give aid, rests on a range of interrelated values about what might be called an international social contract. That is, there is a broad understanding amongst developed countries that, in order for the world to be, or to be seen to be, a moderately equitable place, or at least to alleviate some of the worst suffering, there needs to be some form of international assistance. These programs then served as an idea of alleviating poverty in developing countries; however, issues as to the sustainability and the politics concerned Million Pesos Percentage Share (%) Local Financing 261.17 23.93 Official Development Assistance (ODA) 830.17 76.07 FRANCISCO, GUILLERMO II L. MADEPOL 11292164 DVS531M
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE IN THE PHILIPPINES | 5 must be put into consideration. There are socio-economic implications concerning these programs, the question lies as to the benefits of these capital transfers and whether these programs have actually been of benefit of the receiving states and bodies or it just shows the invisible divide present between the developed and the developing countries.
As in any debate, there have been two general but contending schools of thought with regard to the effectiveness of aid in spurring economic growth in the third world. Critics of foreign aid argue that it has had no effect on and even hurts the third world economies (negative aid-growth correlation). On the other hand, Supporters of foreign aid espouse that on average or in most cases, it has been an effective development tool (positive aid-growth correlation). (McMillan, 2011)
Papenek (1973) and Levy (1988) further noted that aid had a positive impact on growth, hence sparking the debate between among economists and researchers. These analysts believed that aid increases growth by augmenting savings, financing investments, and adding to the capital stock. They argue that aid also helps increase productivity, especially aid in health or education programs. They also consider the transfer of knowledge and technology from rich countries to poor countries to have a positive effect. These transfers from the donating countries gave significant benefits providing goods and services to the developing countries.
On the empirical side of this correlation, there have been many studies on the impact of aid on economic growth. Research, however, is loaded by difficulties in data collection, differences in econometric models, and different views regarding the methods through which aid affects growth. According to Mosley (1987), there seems to be a micro-macro paradox, that is, aid seems to work at micro-level, but there is no evidence of its positive effect at a macro-level. While, Burnside and Dollar (2000) found out that aid is positively correlated with economic growth, but only when it is accompanied by good policies and institutions.
Further, critiques of foreign aid and anti-aid theorists like the Economists Friedman (1958) and Bauer (1972) called for an end in aid, arguing that it is not a necessary requirement for the economic growth of a country. Both Friedman and Bauer assert that foreign assistance to governments is dangerous because it increases the power of the elite in the recipient governments, leads to corruption, thus, eventually hinders economic growth. In particular, Bauer noted that aid FRANCISCO, GUILLERMO II L. MADEPOL 11292164 DVS531M
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE IN THE PHILIPPINES | 6 discourages the growth of private sector investments, encourages public sector-led growth (since aid is in fact money added to government coffers) thereby limiting growth and inhibiting development. The money involved in such transfers is significant and may be prone to misuse and mismanagement leading to corrupt practices. However, McMillan (2011) argues and claims that although Bauer has been a leading critic of foreign aid, his ideas are grounded on very little empirical research and this is the main critique against his published writings.
Infrastructure and Economic Development
Infrastructure is the foundation for a countrys economic and social activities and supports the economic and social development of developing countries through various channels. It can play a vital role to achieve sustainable growth and poverty reduction. For example, basic rural infrastructure can address poverty problems through the direct channel. Large-scale infrastructure can contribute to growth and poverty reduction through the policy channel, but also serve as a pre- condition for realizing the market channel and affect the patterns and quality of growth. There has been increased recognition of the critical role of infrastructure investment for economic growth, as well as its linkages with the provision of social services and the attainment of the Millennium Development Goals. (GRIPS, 2003) The development literature recognizes that infrastructure serves as a catalyst for economic development, by improving access to resources and enhancing the impact of policy intervention (World Bank 1994).
Poverty reduction was recognized as the overarch-ing goal in the United Nations Millennium Declaration of 2000 and the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) that were adopted in 2001 as its roadmap. While poverty itself has multiple aspects, the first goal of the MDGs emphasizes income poverty. Yamada and Ojima (2005) provided an illustration and noted that Infrastructure is thought to contribute to poverty reduction mainly through three channels (Fig.1). FRANCISCO, GUILLERMO II L. MADEPOL 11292164 DVS531M
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Fig.1 Relationship between Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction Source: Yamada, Ojima, et al. (2005)
Yamada, Ojima, et al. (2005) explained the three channels necessary to attain Poverty Reduction. The focus of the study lies in the first channel, by which pertains to poverty reduction through economic growth; efficient infrastructure contributes to economic development as it provides means of productivity reducing transaction costs through modern transport such as roads and public transport, as well as communications systems. Having these sophisticated urban infrastructure and system allows the flow of economy go smoothly amidst densely populated cities and facilitates healthy urban agglomerations. These achievements also improve the investment climate and potential for long-term economic development by attracting foreign direct investments and expanding international trade. Dollar and Kraay (2002) further noted that this sustained economic growth, in turn, contributes to poverty reduction in developing countries; which then supports the argument that foreign aid contributes to economic development, however noting that such growth must be sustainable, therefore having conditions and other implications for it to be fully achieved.
The second channel is the contribution to the distribution of economic growth. Having improved infrastructure facilitates the flow of economy and the interaction between the rural and FRANCISCO, GUILLERMO II L. MADEPOL 11292164 DVS531M
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE IN THE PHILIPPINES | 8 urban areas, both in the context of backward and forward interactions. It plays an essential role in realizing the mechanism of the classic two-sector model of agriculture and industry. Further, the third channel includes direct contributions to the poor. Providing efficient infrastructure makes it easier for the poor to access public goods and services, and allow improved opportunities for livelihood.
The model provided by Yamada, Ojima, et al. (2005) establishes and support the argument that infrastructure investments and projects indeed contribute to poverty reduction, which is the primary goal of economic development. Thus, allowing other indirect effects as reflected in the different channels, where it is as well deemed necessary for attaining the goal.
On another note, in the study conducted by World Bank (2005), for Philippine data from 1985 to 2002, in order to assess whether infrastructure capital stock causes significant effect in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), GDP values were regressed against lagged values of GDP and lagged values of infrastructure capital stock (the stock was constructed from the gross fixed capital formation series). The results show that infrastructure capital stock does indeed significantly Granger-cause GDP. However, evidence of the positive correlation between infrastructure expenditures and GDP growth does not necessarily imply causation. To test whether infrastructure causes growth, a Granger-causality analysis was performed on existing infrastructure and growth data in the Philippines. The intuition behind a Granger-causality test is that if variable X causes variable Y, then changes in X should precede changes in Y. Therefore, the study then suggests that the results were relevant and that infrastructure financing and investment contributes to economic growth in the Philippines.
Considering the different perspectives as to correlation and causality between infrastructure and economic growth, this leads to the argument that infrastructure funding needs to be monitored as to the efficiency of implementation and execution, which then requires necessary and sufficient policies and mechanisms.
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IV. SYNTHESIS
Analysis of Facts and Figures
The amount received by the Philippines coming from the Official Development Assistance (ODA) is deemed significant and necessary to provide infrastructure projects as part of the governments goals for economic development. Without the ODA, infrastructure projects may actually fall short than that of the current infrastructure spending. The World Bank (2005) estimates that the middle-income countries in East Asia will, on average, need to spend over 5% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on infrastructure to meet their needs over the next 10 years. While, as per figures presented by the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA), the Philippine government only spent P249 billion (2.4 percent of GDP) in 2012 and P250 billion (2.6 percent) in 2011, which falls below the suggested 5% benchmark. Infrastructure spending in the Philippines is already lower than that of the suggested sustainable and efficient spending, and that is with the major contribution of the ODA.
World Bank (2005) further noted that in 2003, the annual Official Development Assistance (ODA) disbursements for infrastructure projects implemented by national government agencies constituted 37% of national government capital expenditure on infrastructure. Furthermore, according to the National Economic and Development Authority or NEDA (2012), as of 31 December 2012 the total amount of the grants portfolio is US$2.9 billion covering 400 ongoing projects. Australia (US$ 934.87 million or 32.79%), USA (USAID and MCC for a total of US$ 852.18 million or 29.89%), and the United Nations (UN) System (US$ 316.51 million or 11.10 percent) are the leading providers of grants in the Philippines.
Total net commitment for the year 2012 was the second lowest among the reported net commitments during the past ten years. The commitment level for project loans (US$6,888 million) comprising the CY 2012 portfolio was also the second lowest within the ten-year period, with the lowest registered in CY 2011 (US$6,858 million). Despite yearly fluctuations in net commitment FRANCISCO, GUILLERMO II L. MADEPOL 11292164 DVS531M
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE IN THE PHILIPPINES | 10 level, the trend within the past decade showed a general decline in net commitment: from about US$11 billion worth of net commitment in CY 2003 to about US$8 billion in CY 2012. (Fig 2)
Fig 2. Historical Net Commitment in US$M (2003 -2012) Source: National Economic and Development Authority (2013)
With the significant amount of money being received by the Philippines, majority or 58.8% (US$5,186 million) of the net commitment received goes to Infrastructure Projects and Programs. For other sectors: Social Reform and Community with 19.2% (US$1,692 million), Agriculture, Agrarian Reform and Natural Resources with 17% (US$1,496 million), Governance and Institutions Development with 3.8% (US$332 million), and Industry, Trade and Tourism with 1.3% (US$115 million). (Table 2)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Program 788 210 410 1370 2231 2131 1941 1718 1742 1932 Project 10200 10365 9508 8130 7539 8102 7899 8216 6858 6888 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 T o t a l
N e t
C o m m i t m e n t s
( i n
U S $
M i l )
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Sector Net Commitment (US$ M) Share (%) Infrastructure 5,186 58.8 Social Reform and Community Development 1,692 19.2 Agriculture, Agrarian Reform and Natural Resources 1.496 17.0 Industry, Trade and Tourism 115 1.3 Governance and Institutions Development 332 3.8 TOTAL 8,821 100
Table 2. Net Commitment by Sector (CY 2012) Source: National Economic and Development Authority (2013)
Key Issues and Policy Implications
The World Bank (2005) noted that the Philippines has attained important achievements in infrastructure provision, and access to basic infrastructure services tends to be higher than that of its neighbors. The government has also been undertaking critical reforms, such as promotion of private sector participation and power sector restructuring, which are among the most progressive in Asia. However, infrastructure deployment has not kept up with high population growth and rapid urbanization, with serious consequences for the countrys competitiveness and in particular for its growth and poverty reduction targets, including the Millennium Development Goals.
However, despite these achievements, The Global Competitiveness Report 20122013 by the World Economic Forum (2012) placed the Philippines in the 98 th rank out of 144 countries in terms of Quality of Overall Infrastructure; supporting the claim of The World Bank (2005) that the overall state of infrastructure in the country has not kept up with rapid population growth and urbanization, and has emerged as a key impediment to the Philippines economic competitiveness. FRANCISCO, GUILLERMO II L. MADEPOL 11292164 DVS531M
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE IN THE PHILIPPINES | 12 The World Bank further noted in their study several key issues that the country is facing such as low current spending in infrastructure, inefficient use of existing resources, poor environment caused by corruption, lack of long-term planning and coordination, and lack of framework to support suitable financing. The key issues presented justify the poor performance of the Philippines in terms of competitiveness as to Quality Infrastructure.
The issues presented by the World Bank, relies heavily in the performance of the government in attaining to its goals, acting according to their functions and being accountable for their responsibilities and obligations to the public. Resources through the Official Development Assistance (ODA) are available, and it is just the matter of execution and implementation to where the funding will go through and be put at.
With these, there is a need to consider that although there is a correlation between Infrastructure and Economic Development, there is no guaranteed basis for its causality for such to occur. Although through Infrastructure Financing through the Official Development Assistance (ODA) contributes significantly to the sources of funding, the causality of such depends heavily in the implementation and execution of infrastructure projects and programs, supported by the sound and effective policies and institutions as well as the essence of good governance. Indeed, If a bureaucracy became increasingly more responsible as an agent for the implementation of public policies, then chances for development would be enhanced. (Riggs, 1966) Involving the amount at stake in the transfer, and the responsibility to provide goods and services to the public, the government must properly act accordingly to its functions and obligations.
V. CONCLUSION
The amount being received by the Philippines as a recipient of Official Development Assistance (ODA) is significant, being the source of 76% of the funding for Infrastructure projects for the year 2008. This percentage and amount is vital for the government to provide projects across the nation; however, considering the arguments presented by the anti-aid critiques Friedman and Bauer that foreign aid increases the power of the elite in the recipient governments, leads to corruption and hinders economic growth which is then reflected in the performance of the country in the Global FRANCISCO, GUILLERMO II L. MADEPOL 11292164 DVS531M
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING IN THE CONTEXT OF OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE IN THE PHILIPPINES | 13 Competitiveness Report and the study conducted by The World Bank, implies that the anti-aid theories may have a point and basis considering the current scenario. If not addressed properly, the results and implications presented by the anti-aid theories may actually be realized rather than the aim of having sustainable economic development. Further, the need to have supporting efficient policies and systems are supported by the studies of Burnside and Dollar (2000), they noted that aid is positively correlated with economic growth, but only when it is accompanied by good policies and institutions. These theories presented by both sides, then, can be applied to the current scenario in the Philippines, leading to further applications and proper policy directions.
Indeed, we can conclude that in order to solve these issues and achieve developmental goals, good governance supported by stable institutions and effective policies is necessary; thus, is deemed essentially part of their responsibility as part of the government. On another note, we can as well conclude that just like any resource present, these opportunities for funding coming from foreign aid must be utilized and managed properly.
Within the term ODA, the word assistance is present, denoting that there is one party that is willing to support and another that is willing to receive. However, in this case, relying entirely in Foreign Aid suggests that a country is merely unstable and not sustainable to its endeavours. It is also necessary to recognize that Foreign Aid is not always present; governments must recognize that such financing opportunities are temporary and are subject to several conditions bound by agreements, impressions and relationships between the donor countries, agencies and the receiving country. The government must figure out how to fund these projects and programs using internal revenue and other sources other than that of Foreign Aid.
Given the significant and essential contribution of foreign aid through the ODA in Infrastructure financing in the Philippines, there is indeed a necessity to address and recognize such to promote efficient and sustainable economic development amidst various internal issues of the state and with the critiques implied by the downfalls of Globalization. Infrastructure therefore contributes and is critical to Economic Development in various channels; thus, its effect and causality and achievement of the goals relies heavily in the implementation and execution of the projects and programs by the government.
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