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Abstract
This article is a treatment on how southern Africa might best develop a regional
response to mitigate the vagaries of globalisation. It opens with a review of
the literature set on regionalism. The authors then explain that in southern
Africa regional interaction is at present best characterised by what is known
as market-driven or open regionalism. Although this form of regionalism
has resulted in both external and internal increases in trade and investment,
it is not sustainable. As a consequence, the authors argue that the South
African government is leading a new thrust within the region in the form of
developmental regionalism that marries the state to the market. After tracking
the theoretical developments of this new departure, they demonstrate clearly
how change is taking place in practice, by looking at the case of regional
electricity generation.
2 Old Regionalism
In the modern era, Europe provides the most successful example of regionalism
at work. Early theories of regionalism were almost entirely Eurocentric, and
many of the ideas which first emerged in response to the European experience
are still influential today. In particular, Haas’s (1958 and 1964) concept of
functional spillover represents a watershed in the development of the literature,
and, as we argue later, is still of central importance to the case of southern African
regionalisation.
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countries to integrate more fully into the global economy through the twin processes
of trade and investment. This is in line with the ‘stepping stone’ argument that
regionalism represents an important step to global economic integration (Bhagwati
1991). This process is driven by the private sector and market forces, hence
‘neo-liberal regional integration shifts emphasis from an imagined historical and
political community to a spontaneous, self-selected and self-interested market-
driven community of states and non-state actors’ (Ideheru 2003: 154).
While market integration and associated theories of open regionalism have
tended to be the predominant forms of new regionalism and have dominated
the debate among regional organisations such as the Southern Common Market
(MERCOSUR) and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), they
have tended to come under fire from analysts for their tendency to over-emphasise
the potential benefits of market reform, without taking into account the often
detrimental effects that rapid liberalisation can produce, especially in developing
countries. Unlike governments, the market is an impersonal force which cannot
be voted out of power because of the harm it causes, and while market forces
certainly hold the potential for significant gains, it should be remembered that when
left to function on their own, they often tend to widen the economic differences
between less and more developed areas (Haarløv 1997: 30). While authors tend
to differ on the degree to which the market or state should be held responsible
for the polarising effects of globalisation, there is general agreement in the post-
Washington Consensus era that a major shortcoming of development policy was
its ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach – the idea that all economies are fundamentally
the same, and that a universal set of good policies exists for all countries, no
matter how big or small (Stiglitz 2003). Thus, it is important to identify actors and
motives, outside of the economic sphere, that have an interest in regionalism.
6 Developmental Integration
The developmental integration model derives from the notion of the developmental
state, and encapsulates the idea of state intervention in markets to promote national
development agendas (Leftwich 1996). Like open regionalism, it is based on the idea
that market expansion can create opportunities for firms to become internationally
competitive, but seeks to redress many of the problems associated with openness.
Specifically, it has been proposed as a corrective to the static character of the
market approach and its sole focus on trade creation and trade diversion, and
open regionalism’s one-sided goal of market liberalisation and tendency to widen
economic differences between lesser and more developed areas. In this sense it
has much more in common with new regionalism than with market-based theories
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of integration. It also goes beyond more popularly accepted theories of the ‘new
regionalism’ in carving out a far greater role for the state. It acknowledges that
social and political forces matter, but that the state is still seen as the driving force
behind regional projects.
The developmental integration approach is characterised by a number of central
propositions. First, the objective of the integration process is economic and social
development – a major departure from other economic models of integration,
with their emphasis on efficiency maximisation (Lee 2002). For countries with
low levels of industrialisation and little productive capacity, increased efficiency
through regional market expansion is often meaningless. Instead, integration
is more likely to further exacerbate underdevelopment by removing the few
remaining barriers protecting domestic industries. Unable to compete on a
level playing field with other regional and international industries, what little
productive capacity a country has is either absorbed by firms with headquarters in
other countries, or migrates elsewhere in the region. While this might result in the
enhancement of total regional efficiency and expansion in production, the reality
is that most of the benefits accrue to those areas of the region which are already the
most developed, and not those most in need of development. In order for domestic
industry to take advantage of expanded markets, productive capacity must first be
enhanced through such measures as improved infrastructure, policy coordination,
state loans, and subsidy incentives.
Since regionalisation often results in a polarising effect between member states
with differing levels of industrial capability, developmental integration includes
the implementation of compensatory and corrective measures to redress the balance
(Lee 2002: 24–27). Such compensatory measures include financial transfer and
tax transfer mechanisms, while corrective measures include planned regional
industrial development, priority loans, improved conditions for development,
and differing reductions on tariffs and common fiscal incentives to invest. This
requires an approach to integration with greater state involvement in economic
and social matters, in order to allocate industry and development funds within a
liberalising regional economy.
The need for the redistribution of gains and the enhancement of productive
capacity suggests a further departure of developmental integration from traditional
economic models, namely the role played by explicit political commitment and
state involvement in the regionalisation process. In contrast to open regionalism,
developmental integration views these factors as the ‘backbone’ of the process
(Mittleman 1999: 48). Both intra- and inter-governmental cooperation is
required to establish adequate redistributive mechanisms and coordinate policy.
For example, a major feature of developmental integration is planned regional
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primarily in the SADC region. In a recent survey, only one non-SADC country,
Kenya, featured in the top destinations (United Nations Conference on Trade and
Development 2005). In 2004, the World Investment Report estimated that South
Africa’s investment in the continent grew to seven per cent of its total FDI abroad
in 2002 (Business Day 1 June 2005). The increase in South African investment
in Africa over the past four years, from three per cent to seven per cent, shows
that although South African investors do not necessarily assess risk in Africa that
differently from overseas investors, there is growing confidence in the region’s
prospects. In addition, the fact that South African companies have made more new
investments in Africa between 2002 and 2005 than in the five years before 2002
suggests that these cross-border investments have yet to peak.
However, neo-liberal reforms on the continent have largely failed to live up to
their promises. Although they have certainly been successful in creating stable
macroeconomic conditions and freer markets in southern Africa they have not been
accompanied by significant increases in FDI or increased growth. A combination
of continued marginalisation from the global economy, and the lack of many of the
conditions necessary for effective market integration, as laid out in the literature,
has meant that open regionalism has largely been to the exclusive benefit of private
companies, and there has been little evidence of trickle-down effects. For SADC,
two key problems may be identified. The first is the lack of significant levels of
intra-regional trade, while the second is the skewed nature of that trade.
In 2003, trade among sub-Saharan African countries accounted for 12 per cent
of sub-Saharan exports, up only three per cent from 1989. The major established
regional arrangements did not contribute to the increases – their shares of
Africa-to-Africa trade were either stagnant or declining between 1989 and
2003 (Economic Commission for Africa 2003: 38). The result has been that the
touted benefits of expanded trade, in accordance with normal trade integration
theory, have failed to materialise. Quite simply, if there is little demand among
regional partners for each other’s goods, then the lowering of barriers to trade will
not, by itself, lead to dramatic increases in volumes of cross-border trade. The
problem is further compounded by other structural weaknesses. Yeats (1998), in
an exhaustive analysis of African and southern African trade, has shown that the
exchange of intra-regional trade preferences does not appear to have the potential
to make an important impact on these countries’ trade, due not only to low levels
of pre-existing trade, but also to the high non-complementarity of the regions’
exports and imports, and the lack of appropriate infrastructure to support this
exchange. He concludes that, given the structural characteristics of typical SADC
countries, liberalisation purely at the regional level will invariably lead to trade
diversion, rather than trade creation. Yeats’s findings support a general consensus
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in the literature that static gains from regionalism are unlikely to have much of an
impact in Africa.
The other major problem for SADC is South Africa’s hegemonic status. It
maintains a trade surplus with every country in SADC, and its economic power
grossly outweighs that of its neighbours. At the sub-regional level, some attempts
have been made to mitigate the negative effects for smaller countries of dependence
on South Africa in the form of the renegotiated Southern African Customs Union
(SACU) agreement, which encompasses South Africa, Botswana, Namibia,
Swaziland and Lesotho, and provides the latter four with a disproportionate share
of tariff revenues (Kirk and Stern 2005; McCarthy 2003). The prospect, however,
of extending a similar arrangement to the SADC-wide level is not a viable option
right now. What is needed is a change in trade patterns – a substantial increase in
intra-SADC trade flows, and a reduction in the trade imbalances between South
Africa and its neighbours.3 And, as the literature has shown, leaving this to the
markets alone is not a viable solution. Increased trade flows will only come about
through increased government support of industries, higher levels of foreign
direct investment and inter-governmental cooperation on major developmental
projects.
Private-sector-led expansion into Africa and southern Africa has also delivered
mixed results. On the one hand, South African investment clearly has some positive
effects, such as increasing revenue generation for governments, transferring
technology and business skills, ensuring the reindustrialisation of some economies
through the acquisition and revitalisation of over-regulated and inefficient state-
owned enterprises, creating employment, introducing good corporate practice,
and boosting investment confidence from other foreign investors who have piggy-
backed on South African FDI (Business Day 1 June 2005). On the other hand, South
Africa is often accused of economic neo-colonialism. The growing perception
that South African companies act in a high-handed manner and prey on weaker
domestic industries, has resulted in something of a backlash in SADC and the
rest of Africa. This poses a significant challenge to the South African government
to manage increasingly negative attitudes towards South African business on the
continent. Where contracts were once easy to win, they are now much harder, and
include strict provisions on equity and local partnerships. This begs the question
of what form regional strategy will take, given the growing realisation that open
regionalism alone is not sufficient.
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indicates that a saving of some US$3 billion can be achieved through coordinated
planning.
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export of power to other member states connected to the power pool, as well
as countries outside the pool in northern Africa and Europe. With its current
projected levels of capacity, South Africa should be a net importer of electricity.
If the country is able to source more electricity from beyond its borders, this will
hopefully go some way towards alleviating the chronic trade imbalances between
SACU and the rest of SADC, and encourage other forms of regional trade in
which non-SADC countries have significant comparative advantages.
13 Conclusion
While the main purpose of this article has been to provide a literature review of
regional theory which is of relevance to the dynamic process of new regionalism
in southern Africa, the idea has also been to suggest that we are likely to see a
particular ‘way forward’ for southern African regionalisation that is quite different
from what has taken place over the past decade or so.
A point which has been repeatedly driven home throughout this discussion, is
that regionalism in Africa has yet to live up to its promise. Whether it has been
the failure of older inward-looking schemes, or the inability of African countries
to take advantage of newer outward-looking ones, the point is that regionalism
in Africa, in all its manifestations, seems to have always been approached in the
wrong way. Despite past failure, though, there is still consensus that regionalism
is an important and viable strategy for achieving development, and African
leaders and governments still espouse it as an important goal. Policy documents
for NEPAD and the AU consistently refer to the need to promote regional and
African economic strategies, yet there is little in them which lays down guidelines
on how this is supposed to occur.
One tried and tested strategy has been to promote regionalism through the
integration of markets. In southern Africa, as in many other places, there is a strong
case for saying that over the past decade or so regional strategy has been driven by
the idea of ‘ever-expanding circles of free trade’ – the idea of open regionalism.
The message has been simple: liberalise regional barriers to trade and investment,
set loose the forces of the market, and watch the regional economy grow. This
article has reviewed the theory behind such a move and demonstrated why, in the
case of Africa and southern Africa, such a narrow focus on trade and investment
is simply not enough. It might be true that open regionalism has been good for the
private sector, especially in South Africa, but if the government is serious about
a regional development strategy, then regionalisation can no longer continue in
this way. Continued reliance on the forces of the market to bring about regional
development on its own will ultimately result in increased antipathy from other
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African states towards South African business, and will do little to boost the low
levels of existing intra-SADC trade and investment.
However, this article has also shown that SADC might best be termed a ‘two-
track organisation’, since it has followed strategies rooted in the theory of
development integration while still managing to adhere to a neoliberal agenda.
Cooperation in the southern African power sector has been examined in order
to demonstrate how explicit political cooperation in a common technical sector
between countries can promote a regional agenda, even during security tensions
between member states. This is not a new idea; it is the same premise on which
the old theories of functionalism and neo-functionalism in Europe are based.
Theoretical and practical antecedents exist for what we suggest may be an
increasingly important element of regional initiatives in southern Africa.
In the future, it seems likely that we will see greater cooperation between
southern African governments in technical sectors, especially in infrastructure,
power, water and telecommunications. South African industry and expertise will
play a central role, and a key feature will be the involvement of South African
parastatals in regional projects, specifically companies like Eskom, Transnet
and oil company SASOL. The priority is to now make these organisations more
competitive and efficient, with the purpose of using them as engines for future
growth.
In the past, South Africa adhered strictly to a neoliberal mode, but with the
change to an investment model via parastatals in southern Africa, this could be the
blueprint for investment in SADC. The beauty of such a move is that the South
African government controls both sides of the spill-over effect. On the one hand,
by heavily involving parastatals and driving economic rationalisation, it can more
tightly control how the spill-over effect occurs. Also, side payments in the form
of new forms of employment might help ease pressure on the government from
its coalition partners, and major regional infrastructural projects will certainly
create a large number of jobs. At the same time, government reaps the benefits of
political integration in the form of greater policy credibility and the furtherance of
a crucial element of the pan-Africanist vision – the consolidation of the southern
African region and the establishment of a strong regional entity which provides a
model for the rest of Africa.
Finally, we can argue that the South African-led strategy has the potential
to mitigate the core restraints that are marginalising Africa in general. Core
development projects like the Inga dam on the Congo River will bring much-
needed investment into the region, primarily through international financial
institutions (IFIs), but also increasingly through commercial institutions. The
IFIs are intent on bridging the equality gap within the SADC region, and this
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is a sure way to create the necessary trade flows that are so skewed in South
Africa’s favour. Second, the constraints on trade that are in place through the
institutional bias within the World Trade Organisation (WTO) can be reduced by
creating more intra-regional trade. By developing a whirlpool effect within SADC,
southern Africa can play a more strategic game with the developed countries in
terms of its strategic minerals. Given the interest and ever-increasing investment
by China, SADC can trump OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and
Development) intransigence on agricultural subsidies and finesse better terms of
trade through the WTO. Third, by creating a stronger internal market across the
region, southern Africa can finally settle the problem of small markets that has
been such a stigma or legacy of colonialism.
NOTES
1. Regional initiatives are certainly nothing new to Africa. Two of the oldest regional
organisations, the Southern African Customs Union and the East African Community,
can trace their roots to the beginning of the twentieth century, while early post-Second
World War efforts saw the creation of the Southern Rhodesian Customs Union in 1949;
the African Common Market linking Algeria, Egypt, Ghana, Guinea, Mali and Morocco
in 1962, and in the same year, the Equatorial Customs Union of Central African States,
joining Cameroon, the Central African Republic, Chad, Congo and Gabon. Two of the
historically more important African regional organisations, the Organisation of African
Unity and the East African Community (comprising Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda)
began in 1963 and 1967 respectively, and 1975 saw the establishment of the Economic
Community of West African States (ECOWAS) which was intended to create a single
economic bloc extending across 15 states. In 1980, the OAU formulated the Lagos Plan
of Action, which promised to bring about an African Common Market by 2000.
2. This figure represented only three per cent of South Africa’s global foreign direct
investment (FDI), as many South African firms are still investing predominantly in
Europe, the United States and Asia. But the figure does exclude significant investments
over the past four years, including the expansion of the Mozal aluminium smelter
(US$2,2bn); the laying of the Sasol pipeline (US$1,2bn) in Mozambique; the AngloGold
Ashanti merger (US$1,4bn); and the continental expansion of banks, retailers and
telecommunications companies such as MTN and Vodacom.
3. There is certainly scope for this to occur – a study undertaken by the International Trade
Centre of UNCTAD has determined that significant potential for increased trade exists
between SACU and the non-SACU SADC countries. However, this would require
SACU countries to source competitive products from their neighbours instead of the
US and the EU.
4. Gerrit Olivier of the University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa,
5. The Maputo Corridor provides a good example of what can be achieved with partner-
ships between the public and private sector, political will, and commercial demand for
services. Started in August 1995, the corridor involves upgrading road and rail links
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between South Africa and Mozambique and dredging the port of Maputo. The corridor
has spurred other developments such as the Mepanda-Unca hydro-electric project on
the Zambezi River, to be developed at a cost of US$200 million to supply electricity
to Mozambique. Another is the joint venture effort involving the electricity utilities of
Mozambique, Swaziland and South Africa, to supply power to the new Mozal plant
in Mozambique through the construction of two 440 Kv lines at an estimated cost of
$105 million. The Mozal Aluminium Smelter plant is a huge investment valued at $1.3
billion. In total, the Maputo Corridor has 180 projects at an estimated cost of $7 billion.
Already, $2 billion has been committed with 8 000 new jobs. There are numerous spin-
offs to both the formal and informal, sector resulting in increased incomes. The corridor
is considered a model for other development corridors in the region. The fact that the
project has been able to move so quickly from conceptualisation to actualisation is
testimony to the momentum of projects driven by partnerships between the public and
private sectors, and political commitment at the highest level.
6. Botswana Power Corporation (BPC); Electricidade de Mocambique (EDM); Angola’s
Empresa Nacional de Electricidade (ENE); Electricity Supply Commission of Malawi
(Escom); South Africa’s Eskom; Lesotho Electricity Corporation (LEC); Namibia’s
NamPower; Swaziland Electricity Board (SEB); the Democratic Republic of Congo’s
(DRC) Société Nationale d’ Electricité (SNEL); Tanzania Electric Supply Company
(Tanesco); Zimbabwe Electricity Supply Authority (ZESA) and Zambia Electricity
Supply Corporation (ZESCO).
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