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GS is undertaken in a porous sandstone or carbonate with an overlying impermeable caprock. CO2 injections could induce seismicity / earthquakes or limit commercial capacity. Fracking limits availability of secure storage and may threaten caprock above existing storage reservoirs.
GS is undertaken in a porous sandstone or carbonate with an overlying impermeable caprock. CO2 injections could induce seismicity / earthquakes or limit commercial capacity. Fracking limits availability of secure storage and may threaten caprock above existing storage reservoirs.
GS is undertaken in a porous sandstone or carbonate with an overlying impermeable caprock. CO2 injections could induce seismicity / earthquakes or limit commercial capacity. Fracking limits availability of secure storage and may threaten caprock above existing storage reservoirs.
CHIEF GEOLOGIST RECS, BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA, JUNE 4, 2014 Red: Oil and Gas Reservoir Storage Potential Cream: Sedimentary Basin Storage Potential Light Blue: Saline Reservoirs Blue Dots: US EGUs (dot proportional to emissions)
Map generated on http://www.natcarbviewer.com/ USGS/NETL: Carbon Storage Potential: 500 Years. . Geologic Carbon Storage - Secure? 3 http://esd.lbl.gov/IMG/research/projects/induced_seismicity/ injection_related_seismicity.jpg
http://www.tulane.edu/~sanelson/images/lakenyos.gif Lethal CO2 releases? Frac shale caprock? Induced Seismicity? Leakage to water sources? Four Common Arguments Against Security of Geologic Carbon Storage 1. CO2 could catastrophically leak (Lake Nyos). 2. CO2 injections could induce seismicity/ earthquakes or limit commercial capacity. 3. Shale development-related fracking limits availability of secure storage and may threaten caprock above existing storage reservoirs. 4. CO2 injection could frack reservoir and caprock. 1. Catastropic Leakage: Cited as Evidence: Lake Nyos, Tragedy Lake Nyos in Cameroon 1,746 deaths from CO2 asphyxiation. Active volcanic area; 682 deep lake, a few hundred years old. Volcanic CO2 dissolved progressively into lake bottom thermocline / supersaturated the cold water. Aug 21, 1986, rockslide resulted in sudden exsolution of CO2 & killing as far away as 25 km. Lake level lowered, lake changed from blue to rust color Prior to Nyos, Aug 15 1984, Lake Monoun, 37 Dead 5 Is This a Valid Analogy!and What Makes a Killer Lake? Magma release CO2 in large volumes. Deep tropical lake--wind cannot mix like in a shallow lake. Cold water in deep lake can concentrate CO2. Disturbance such as a landslide, seismicity trigger. GS is undertaken in a porous sandstone or carbonate with an overlying impermeable caprock. CO2 is injected into a deep (>2,500 ft) semi porous rock formation that restricts permeability and flow. In a GS field, at the first sign of unexpected CO2 migration, a warning could be relayed to a control facility though a comprehensive subsurface monitoring program & shut down operations in that area. 6 2. Storage and Induced Seismicity USGS Earthquake hazard map >NETL Carbon Sequestration Atlas of the United States and Canada; note minimal overlap.
>65 % of US storage resource in weak, aseismic rocks of the Gulf Coast S Hovorka, TX BEG 7 Zoback & Gorelick PNAS Perspectives There is a high probability that earthquakes will be triggered by injection of large volumes of CO2 into the brittle rocks commonly found in continental interiors. Because even small- to moderate-sized earthquakes threaten the seal integrity of CO2 repositories, . . . large- scale CCS is a risky, and likely unsuccessful, strategy for significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions. www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1202473109 8 Response by MIT (Juanez et al, PNAS) The vast majority of earthquakes are much deeper than CO2 storage reservoirs. Sedimentary cover is rarely a source of significant earthquakes. Hydrocarbon reservoirs have existed for millions of years in regions of intense seismic activity. Site selection is key. Evidence for Injection-Related Seismicity: NAS (Hitzman et al 2012) EOR: none (~1 gT injected in 4 decades. ) Why? pressure management via production. Brine injection/disposal (4Gt fluid injected per year): Few. Recent notable exceptions are OH, TX, AKFrac wastewater. CCS: none (caveat: 1 project = inadequate database!)
10 11 NAS Study (2012) TX Barnett brine disposal wells with highest injection rates associated with minor seismicity. 12 (Frohlich, 2012)
Data from NSF USArray Seismic project from 2009-2011 designed to detect M1.5. Hypothesis: injection may activate critically- stressed optimally oriented (NE/SW normal faults.
Solution: Geologic/ geophysical investigation. Knowing the subsurface. Major Seismic Events Typical in Brittle Basement Rocks, Not Cover Rocks.
Shaw & Shearer, Science, 1999 Courtesy B. Hager, MIT 13 Example CA 1987 Whittier Narrows earthquake, LA Related: Commercial Scale Geologic Storage Infeasible? Economides (2009, 2010) 2009* and 2010** papers by petroleum engineers from the University of Houston and Texas A&M University called into question widely held assumptions about the underground storage capacity for CO2 !our finding is that CO2 can occupy no more than 1% of the pore volume and likely as much as 100 times less. renders geologic sequestration of CO2 a profoundly non- feasible option for the management of CO2 emissions. 14 *M.J. Economides, and C.A. Ehlig-Economides, Sequestering Carbon Dioxide in an Closed Underground Volume. SPE 124430, 2009 **Ehlig-Economides, C.A. & Economides, M.J. 2010. Sequestering carbon dioxide in a closed underground volume, Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering, 70, 123-130. Economides. Bad Assumption? Assumption: A storage volume must be geologically closed on all sides, bound by permeability barriers, and nearly saturated by formation fluids. A geologically unrealistic assumption used by reservoir engineers for small fields. A storage volume must be overlain by an impermeable cap, but does not need to be closed laterally or below to be secure. The assumption of no-flow boundaries on all sides leads to the next incorrect assumption that the only way to fill the available pore volume with CO2 is to increase injection pressure in the formation until it approaches the fracture pressure limit. 15 Closed vs. Open System & Mitigation 16 Pressure management via brine production Most geologic systems are not closed Some have small-but non-zero permeability. LBNL: Studies of Pressure Buildup and Brine Displacement in Idealized Subsurface Systems (2012) RECS Why Zoback & Gorelick, Economides Jumped the Gun on Condemning CCS. NRC Paper: Understanding of seismicity from large scale CO2 injection is too immature to come to conclusions. Eliminating regions of the US without site specific investigations premature. IBDP injections nearing 1 Mt with a second well goal of 5 Mt. Zoback: Utsira Formation (Sleipner): example of a less brittle accommodating reservoir. The Gulf Coast similar. Ignores substantial storage potential in depleted oil and gas fields with pressure management & stacked saline storage. Pressure buildup can be managed-including injection rates, location and completion of injection wells, water extraction. Geologic storage utility to manage? Rightly points out the importance of site screening to avoid areas that pose unacceptable risk. 3. Shale Development Risks Caprock Integrity & Eliminates Most Storage Potential.
18 Elliot & Celia *2D* analysis- shale/GS overlay. 60% of saline aquifer areas overlap w/shale potential Elliot and Celia (2012) 19 RECS Vertical Separation and Multiple Seals Provides Storage Security. 20 What Learn from Elliot & Celia: Maintaining vertical separation between unconventional shale operations (current or preexisting) and GS resources will ensure independent seal above storage formation. Importance of comprehensive geologic characterization and risk analysis in advance of sequestration or shale gas operation. Regulators must carefully manage areas with existing or a history of multiple resource use. 21 RECS 4. Public Conflates CO2 Injections with Fracking. Public misunderstanding of fracking and CO2 injections for storage or EOR. Fracking purpose is to generate artificial pore space in very tight rock that has virtually no natural pore space. CO2 EOR or storage seeks to maximize the CO2 contact with reservoir rock. EPA Class VI rule contains an injection pressure limit of 90% of rock strength. CO2 EOR pressure is managed though production. Site screening: Depleted O&G reservoirs tat have been carelessly fracked in the past must be avoided. EPA Water and Air Regs: Managing Groundwater Contamination and Atmospheric Leakage Risk. 23 1. Greenhouse Gas Reporting Rule Subpart RR & UU 24 Greenhouse Gas Reporting Rule (FR V. 75 No. 230, December 1, 2010 at 75065) EPA Subpart RR home page: http://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/reporters/subpart/rr.html GHG Reporting Rule Subparts (EPA, 2013) 25 CO 2 source Facility Fence line Geologic Formation CO 2
received CO 2
produced CO 2
entrained in fluids CO 2
injected CO 2
surface leakage, if any EL& V EL& V M M M Key M = Meter EL&V = Equipment Leaks and Vented Emissions
Subpart PP- CO 2 Supply Subpart UU- CO 2 Received Subpart RR- CO 2 Sequestered Subpart RR Monitoring , Reporting and Verification MRV plan 1. RR is optional for EOR: operator must Optin to GS 2. RR Requires monitoring, reporting, verification plan (MRV). 3. Identify active and maximum monitoring area (MMA). 4. Identify surface leakage pathways (EOR focus: wells). 5. Must provide a strategy for CO2/ leakage detection. 6. Must undertake baseline measurements (pre-injection conditions). 7. Must follow calculation methodologies and accounting & report annually. As of 2013, no reporting under RR. Existing projects have R& D exemptions. 8. Must continue post injection monitoring until no risk of leakage (to the atmosphere; UIC class II, VI regulate risk of leakage to ground water) 26 Underground Injection Control (UIC) Rules Class VI geologic sequestration wells ensure protection of underground sources of drinking water. For more information on the UIC Class VI rule. water.epa.gov/type/groundwater/uic/ wells_sequestration.cfm. EOR Storage is also permitted under well Class II; (must opt in to RR.) Subparts RR / UU fulfill a complementary goal--to quantify the total amount of CO2 sequestered and to confirm that it remains sequestered and is not emitted to the atmosphere. 27 UIC Program Well Classes II, VI 28 Oil and Gas Geologic Storage 151,000 EOR wells (80%) Brine Disposal Wells (20%) EPA does not require Class VI for EOR storage except if there is increased risk for USDWs 29 Rough Comparison of UIC Class II & Class VI Requirements
RECS Class II-VI transition Under the Safe Drinking Water Act rules promulgated in 2010, 75 Fed. Reg. 77,230 (Dec. 10, 2010) an EOR owner or operator operating under a Class II permit must obtain a Class VI Geologic Sequestration permit at the point when both (1) the primary purpose of the ongoing carbon dioxide injection activity changes from the recovery of the oil (or gas) resource, to the long-term storage/ sequestration of carbon dioxide, and (2) that change increases the risk of endangerment to USDWs compared to business-as-usual Class II operations. 40 C.F.R. 144.19(a). Storage Regulations Gaps? Subpart RR is for reporting mass balance of stored CO2 and CO2 emitted to the atmosphere. Subpart RR does not enforce emissions reductions nor does it penalize facilities where releases to the atmosphere. Similarly, Underground Injection Control (UIC) rules are solely for aquifer protection from injected fluids, in this case CO2 for storage purposes. Clear and predictable Class II-VI transition criteria lacking. While Subpart RR and UIC program rules are complementary, no integrated package of rules exists in the U.S. that would deem a volume sequestered or stored. 31 EOR-Storage Storage with Pressure Management 32 After Hill, Hovorka, Melzer (2012); Original chart: Sue Hovorka. Some Advantages to Managing MRV/Risk in EOR Settings 33 Well Integrity: Key to Ensuring Storage Integrity in EOR fields Geologic system held hydrocarbons for millions of years. In old fields, numerous wells may penetrate the confining zone. The wells must be proven up to be plugged and abandoned. Several fields have been surprised by leakage of injectate and brine through abandoned wells in old fields in recent years: Anadarkos Salt Creek Field; Denburys Tinsley and Delhi LA Fields. Operators should focus on abandoned well integrity in CO2 EOR and storage projects. This is where UIC class II principally falls short in groundwater protection. UIC Class VI requires an area of review (AoR) identified by computational modeling and corrective action of wells penetrating the confining zone that are inadequately P&Ad. 35 JAF01981.CDR Zone of Efficient Sweep Purchased CO 2 Anthropogenic and/or Natural Sources Injected CO 2 Immobile Oil Immobile Oil Recycled CO 2 from Production Well CO Stored in Pore Space 2 CO Dissolved (Sequestered) in the Immobile Oil and Gas Phases 2 Driver Water Water Miscible Zone Oil Bank Additional Oil Recovery CO2 CO2 CO 2 -EOR Technology: A Closed-Loop System Advanced Resources International Permian Basin Whiting North Ward Estes Field 2014 US EOR Operations & Sources Kuuskraa and Wallace. OGJ,April 7, 2014 OGJ: US EOR Surveys Project Continued CO2 EOR Growth Kuuskraa and Wallace. OGJ,April 7, 2014 Linking CO 2 Supplies with CO 2 -EOR Demand 40 Sources: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2011 for CO2 emissions; NETL/Advanced Resources Intl (2011) CO2 demand. The primary EOR markets for excess CO 2 supplies from the Ohio Valley, South Atlantic and Mid-Continent is East/West Texas and Oklahoma. 4.2 0.3 Pacific 0 0.2 0.2 7.4 14.2 4.3 2.0 6.3 3.7 3.7 0.2 2.3 1 3 B c fd
1 9 B c fd
0.2 3.6 8.0 - 0.6 4.2 4.2 0.3 8 Bcfd Region Captured CO2 Supplies* CO2 Demand Excess CO2 Supply Net CO2 Demand (BMt) (BMt) (BMt) (BMt) New England 0.2 - 0.2 Middle Atlantic 2.3 0.2 2.1 South Atlantic 7.4 0.2 7.2 East North Central 4.2 0.6 3.6 West North Central 6.3 2.0 4.3 East South Central 3.6 0.2 3.3 West South Central 4.3 14.2 9.9 Mountain 3.7 3.7 Pacific 0.3 4.2 3.8 Total 32.2 25.3 20.8 13.7 ROZ "Fairways" 8.0 8.0 JAF2012_035.XLS Captured CO2 Supplies and CO2 Demand * Capture from 200 GW of coal-fired power plants, 90% capture rate. CO 2 Demand by EOR (Bmt) Captured CO 2 Emissions (Bmt) Jackson Dome 40 Source: ARI CO2 Demand Will Require Captured Sources. DiPietro /DOE 2012 Oil & Gas Capacity for CO2:
1) Residual Oil Zones (ROZ):
New Frontier for CO2 Sinks: Residual Oil Zones (ROZ). Naturally waterflooded zones with remaining oil saturation below the main pay zone (MPZ). Recoverable with CO2 EOR methods. 44 Legado Resources (K-M) ROZ development, Permian Basin How Residual Oil Zones Form Permian Basin /San Andres Fm. 45 ROZ produced with same methods as CO2 EOR. Total, Primary, Waterflood, Main Pay and ROZ CO2 Performance (the Concept of "Brownfield" Quaternary Oil) 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Year A n n u a l i z e d
O i l
P r o d u c t i o n
i n
b o p d TOTAL OIL - bopd Proj Primary-bopd Proj Waterflood-bopd Main Pay EOR Baseline Quat 2.0 Oil - bopd Quat 3.0 Oil - bopd Primary Production Peak Tertiary CO2 Production Peak Secondary Production Peak Quaternary CO2 ROZ Production Peak* Primary Cum = 125 mm bbls Secondary Cum = 325 mm bbls Tertiary Cum = 200 mm bbls Projected Quaternary Cum = 300 or 200 mm bbls * The Actual Shape of Quaternary Phase Production will be Dependent on the How Well the MPZ Serves as an Analog to the ROZ Response & the Availability of Ample and Af f ordable CO! Oil & Gas Capacity for CO2:
2) Stacked Storage in Oil & Gas Reservoirs Stacked Saline Storage Saline and EOR at One Facility Existing Infrastructure Reservoir knowledge and capacity Existing Surveillance tools Multiple caprock seals RECS 50 3D Denbury - interpretation Tip Meckel BEG Cranfield west-east cross section
T u s c a l o o s a
F m
Tuscaloosa D-E reservoir Oil-water contact (OWC) Tuscaloosa confining system Interpretation Tip Meckel BEG Lateral Stacked Storage, SECARB/GCCC Project, Denbury Cranfield Field, MS.
lateral brine storage below OWC Vertically Stacked Oil and Saline Reservoirs, Frio Formation, TX 52 Courtesy Sue Hovorka / after Bill Ambrose, TX BEG/Gulf Coast Carbon Center For More Information: 53 Bruce Hill Clean Air Task Force (603) 383 640 bruce@catf.us