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Waste Management and Recycling
Sector Overview
M&A volume across the waste management and recycling sector has been generally in line with the broader market despite some year-to-year variations
The waste management and recycling sector has seen significant investment activity from both
strategic and financial buyers over the last several years
key trends and dynamics driving the waste management and recycling (WMR) sector
E-waste recycling
Global market trends for waste management
Waste Management and Recycling
Sector Overview
M&A volume across the waste management and recycling sector has been generally in line with the broader market despite some year-to-year variations
The waste management and recycling sector has seen significant investment activity from both
strategic and financial buyers over the last several years
key trends and dynamics driving the waste management and recycling (WMR) sector
E-waste recycling
Global market trends for waste management
Waste Management and Recycling
Sector Overview
M&A volume across the waste management and recycling sector has been generally in line with the broader market despite some year-to-year variations
The waste management and recycling sector has seen significant investment activity from both
strategic and financial buyers over the last several years
key trends and dynamics driving the waste management and recycling (WMR) sector
E-waste recycling
Global market trends for waste management
Investment banking services are provided by Harris Williams LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC, and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Harris Williams & Co. is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd conduct business. 1 E-Waste Solid Waste Collection Specialty Waste Hazardous Recycling Solid Waste Disposal Specialty Waste Industrial Waste Management and Recycling Sector Overview HW&Co. understands the key trends and dynamics driving the waste management and recycling (WMR) sector. Waste-to-Energy (WtE) Recycled Content Specialty Waste Medical 2 Public Markets Update Data as of October 29, 2013. Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Data as of October 29, 2013. Source: S&P Capital IQ. Comparable Company TEV/LTM EBITDA (Oct. 2008 Oct. 2013) Trading Statistics (TEV/LTM EBITDA) TEV/EBITDA Current Trading Performance Diversified Waste Management and Recycling Waste management and recycling comparables are trading at a 3.2% discount to the S&P 500 but 19.4% above their five-year median. Solid Waste Management and Recycling Recycled Materials Waste-to-Energy S&P 500 9.8x 5.4x 8.4x 8.0x 9.7x Specialty Waste All Waste Management and Recycling Comps 14.6x 5.8x 7.8x 7.6x 8.9x 10.5x 5.6x 8.6x 8.4x 31.6x 3.2x 6.7x 7.5x 16.6x 11.0x 3.8x 7.4x 6.7x 9.5x 9.7x 5.7x 8.1x 9.6x 9.9x 5.8x 8.5x 8.4x 5-Year Min. & Max. 3-Year Median 5-Year Median Current 8.6x 8.9x 9.5x 9.6x 9.7x 9.9x 10.6x 16.6x 0x 5x 10x 15x 20x Metals Processing and E-Waste Waste-to-Energy Diversified Waste Management and Recycling S&P 500 All Waste Management and Recycling Comps Recycled Materials Solid Waste Management and Recycling Specialty Waste 2x 4x 6x 8x 10x 12x Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13 Waste Management and Recycling S&P 500 Metals Processing and E- Waste 12.3x 7.4x 10.3x 10.0x 10.6x 3 August October November November 26 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 Enterprise Value ($ in mm) Q3 2013 Earnings Release Calendar Oct. 29 Nov. 7 Oct. 24 Oct. 17 Oct. 29 Aug. 29 Oct. 31 Oct. 23 Oct. 22 Oct. 24 Nov. 6 Nov. 5 Nov. 7 4 Earnings Update Q3 2013 Half way through the Q3 2013 earnings season, the overall waste management and recycling sector has experienced positive performance over prior periods. Q3 2013 Earnings Update Company Ticker Release Date Location Key Observations LTM Revenue: $466 Y-o-Y: 1.7% LTM EBITDA: $79 Y-o-Y: (7.0%) LTM Net Income: ($46) Y-o-Y: (44.6%) LTM Diluted EPS: ($1.24) Y-o-Y: (60.0%) LTM Revenue: $269 Y-o-Y: 17.0% LTM EBITDA: $12 Y-o-Y: 5.6% LTM Net Income: $2 Y-o-Y: (30.1%) LTM Diluted EPS: $0.09 Y-o-Y: (41.5%) LTM Revenue: $1,892 Y-o-Y: 18.8% LTM EBITDA: $632 Y-o-Y: 25.5% LTM Net Income: $182 Y-o-Y: 13.1% LTM Diluted EPS: $1.47 Y-o-Y: 9.0% LTM Revenue: $2,079 Y-o-Y: 12.0% LTM EBITDA: $624 Y-o-Y: 12.9% LTM Net Income: $303 Y-o-Y: 15.7% LTM Diluted EPS: $3.47 Y-o-Y: 14.9% NasdaqGM:HCCI 10/17/2013 Elgin, IL The Woodlands, TX NasdaqGS:CWST 8/29/2013 Rutland, VT Q3 2013 Performance NasdaqGS:SRCL 10/23/2013 NYSE:WCN 10/23/2013 Lake Forest, IL Casella continues to see the same recessionary trends in the business and the weak regional economy that has plagued the company all fiscal year. Casella made progress on improved pricing of collections, integrating the BBI acquisition, and closure of Maine Energy. Revenue, EBITDA and free cash flow met or exceeded the upper end of WCNs expectations. Volume once again exceeded expectations at over 2% in the quarter, with continued broad-based disposal activity and the addition of R360 driving another quarter of double-digit year-over-year increases in solid waste landfill volumes. Stericycle closed 17 transactions in the third quarter, totaling $60 million in revenue and maintains a pipeline of opportunities worth $100 million. This increase in customer base provides a long-term growth platform for selling multiple services that can more than triple the customers' revenues. Growth in revenue was aided by HCCIs ability to continually add new customers serving 93,000 individual customer locations from 74 branches. Improved efficiency of HCCIs used oil collection routes and its transportation in the Oil Business during the third quarter. 5 LTM Revenue: $19,441 Y-o-Y: 3.8% LTM EBITDA: $3,070 Y-o-Y: 20.0% LTM Net Income: $446 Y-o-Y: 147.6% LTM Diluted EPS: $0.79 Y-o-Y: 169.7% LTM Revenue: $2,020 Y-o-Y: 8.7% LTM EBITDA: $532 Y-o-Y: 1.7% LTM Net Income: $93 Y-o-Y: (143.8%) LTM Diluted EPS: $0.81 Y-o-Y: (144.2%) LTM Revenue: $1,643 Y-o-Y: (0.1%) LTM EBITDA: $418 Y-o-Y: (3.0%) LTM Net Income: $47 Y-o-Y: (19.0%) LTM Diluted EPS: $0.36 Y-o-Y: (15.8%) LTM Revenue: $192 Y-o-Y: 19.9% LTM EBITDA: $66 Y-o-Y: 15.0% LTM Net Income: $29 Y-o-Y: 10.7% LTM Diluted EPS: $1.57 Y-o-Y: 9.1% LTM Revenue: $13,917 Y-o-Y: 2.2% LTM EBITDA: $3,400 Y-o-Y: 2.3% LTM Net Income: $927 Y-o-Y: 7.9% LTM Diluted EPS: $1.98 Y-o-Y: 6.6% ENXTPA:SEV 10/24/2013 Paris, France TSX:BIN 10/24/2013 Ontario, Canada NYSE:CVA 10/24/2013 Morristown, NJ NYSE: WM 10/29/2013 Houston, TX NasdaqGS:ECOL 10/29/2013 Boise, ID Earnings Update (cont.) Q3 2013 Company Ticker Release Date Location Key Observations Q3 2013 Performance In the third quarter, Progressive delivered its highest organic revenue improvement of the past five years. This growth reflects a continuation of the higher construction and demolition volumes that it experienced in the second quarter this year, which have continued to date. Acquired a 1,050-ton-per-day Energy from Waste facility in Camden, NJ for $49 million, which was immediately accretive. Energy sales were lower than expected not because of its production but because of a couple of unusual circumstances related to customers' inability to take its steam and electricity. Suez expects its European waste volumes to drop 3% for 2013E, but expects stabilization in 2014P. Suez continues to close sites in Europe to restructure its waste division the company shut 13 additional sites in Q3 2013. Q3 2013 Earnings Update Strong results were driven by WMs continued focus on increasing revenue growth from yield gains and controlling costs. Margins expanded despite continued headwinds confronting WMs recycling and waste-to-energy businesses and modestly lower volumes. Treatment and Disposal revenue grew at 10% over prior year levels, attributed to continued strength of its project-based work or Event Business. Its Event Business grew 23% during the quarter, led by growth in the commercial sector, which offset U.S. Ecologys softness in the government sector. 6 Overall M&A Activity Global Waste Management and Recycling Middle Market M&A Volume 1,2 For the Quarters Ended Q1 2007 Q3 2013 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 All M&A: 1,711 WMR M&A: 10 All M&A: 1,847 WMR M&A: 21 All M&A: 1,421 WMR M&A: 11 All M&A: 1,795 WMR M&A: 15 All M&A: 1,979 WMR M&A: 14 All M&A: 1,797 WMR M&A: 12 All M&A: (23.1%) WMR M&A: (47.6%) All M&A: 26.3% WMR M&A: 36.4% All M&A: 10.3% WMR M&A: (14.3%) Sources: Thomson Financial SDC database, S&P Capital IQ (1) Includes transactions between $50 million and $1.5 billion in enterprise value. (2) Excludes minority purchases, acquisitions of remaining interest, self-tenders and repurchases.
M&A volume across the waste management and recycling sector has been generally in line with the broader market despite some year-to-year variations. Rebound in volume after sluggish 1H. All M&A: 7.9% WMR M&A: 110.0%
All M&A: (9.2%) WMR M&A: (14.3%) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 7 Metalico Neville / Metalico OmniSource Southeast / Steel Dynamics Allied Waste Industries / Republic Services EnviroServ Holdings / Absa Capital Private Equity Harold Lemay Enterprises / Waste Connections Indeck Maine Energy / Covanta Holding Republic Services, Certain Assets / Waste Connections Swire SITA Waste Services/ Suez Environnement Company Potrero Hills Landfill / Waste Connections Clean Harbors Industrial Services Canada / Clean Harbors MedServe / Stericycle Veolia ES Waste-to-Energy / Covanta Holding Corporation Sanipac / Waste Connections Waste Services / Progressive Waste Solutions Greenstar Environmental / Biffa Group US Liquids of Louisiana / R3 Treatment Seaway / US Ecology WSN Environmental Solutions / Suez Environnement Company Healthcare Waste Solutions / Stericycle Griffin Industries / Darling International EnGlobe / ONCAP Intechra Group / Arrow Electronics Touchstone Wireless Repair and Logistics / Brightpoint Interstate Waste Services, Certain Assets / Action Environmental FCR and Blue Mountain Recycling / HarbourVest Partners Choice Environmental Services / Progressive Waste Solutions Hudson Valley Waste Holding / Waste Connections Oakleaf Waste Management / Waste Management Alaska Pacific Environmental Services Anchorage / Waste Connections Palko Environmental / Gibson Energy Energy Products of Idaho / Outotec WCA Waste Corporation / Macquarie Infrastructure Partners ECS Refining / All Metals Thermo Fluids / Nuverra Veolia ES Solid Waste, US Operations / Advanced Disposal Services Badlands Energy / Nuverra R3 Treatment / Waste Connections Choice Environmental Services / Progressive Waste Solutions Covanta Delaware Valley / Covanta EnergySolutions / Energy Capital Partners EnviroWaste Services / Cheung Kong Infrastructure Holdings Greenstar / Waste Management Caraustar Industries / H.I.G. Capital Befesa Medio Ambiente / Abengoa Met-Pro / CECO Environmental May Gurney / Kier Group Synagro Technologies / EQT Partners Proactiva Medio Ambiente / Veolia Environnement AVR / Cheung Kong (Holdings) Evergreen Oil / Clean Harbors ecoATM / Outerwall Oilfield Water Lines / NGL Energy Partners Terra Renewal Services / Darling International Rothsay / Maple Leaf Foods Siemens Water Technologies, Two Oil Waste Treatment Units / FCC Metal Management / Sims Metal Management Waste Industries USA / Goldman Sachs Oakleaf Waste Management / New Mountain Capital PSC Metals / Icahn Enterprises Evergreen Tank Solutions / Odyssey Investment Partners Allied Waste Industries Inc., Solid Waste Landfill and Collection Assets / Veolia ES Solid Waste Rizzo Environmental / Kinderhook Industries Teleplan International / Gilde Buy Out Partners JWC Environmental / Windjammer Capital RiverRoad Waste Solutions / Charterhouse Equity Clover Technologies Group / Golden Gate Capital Summit Energy & Liquid Logistics / Waste Management Liberty Tire Services / American Securities GFL Environmental / Roark Capital Group Waste Pro USA / Roark Capital Group Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Key M&A Activity The waste management and recycling sector has seen significant investment activity from both strategic and financial buyers over the last several years. Notes: (1) Size of circle represents relative transaction value. (2) Includes WMR acquisitions between 2007 and YTD 2013 with reported and estimated transaction values above $50 million. (3) Proactiva Medio Ambiente / Veolia Environnement is a pending transaction.
Strategic Deals Private Equity Deals Enterprise Value N/A 0 Transactions 1-2 Transactions 3-4 Transactions 4+ Transactions Quarterly Heat Map 8 Sub-Sector Overview Sub-Sector Key Observations Sentiment Rising population and increased manufacturing due to the economic recovery have pushed waste generation in the U.S., growing at a 1.9% CAGR from 243.6 million tons in 2009 to 262.7 million tons in 2013E. MSW generation per person has steadily increased from 2.68 pounds per person per day in 1960 to 4.4 pounds per person per day in 2011. Waste collection services revenue is expected to increase at a 2.3% CAGR from $47.1 billion in 2012 to $51.6 billion in 2016P. Positive momentum marks the trajectory of the waste management and recycling sub-sectors. Solid Waste Collection Recycling Solid Waste Disposal Despite the increase of waste generated in the U.S., the increase in recycling rates has lead to the steady decline in the number of landfills from 7,924 in 1988 to 1,908 in 2010, but recent trends show an increase in size of landfills as older, less efficient landfills are replaced by larger, more efficient facilities. Disposal of waste to a landfill has decreased from 90% of the amount generated in 1980 to under 65% of MSW in 2011. Waste treatment and disposal services revenue in the U.S. is estimated to grow at a 3.3% CAGR from $16.0 billion in 2012 to $18.3 billion in 2016P. Alongside evolving consumer preferences and regulatory changes, technological advancements like single-stream recycling and all-in-one mixed-waste processing have helped grow recycling and material recovery rates. The recycling rate in the U.S. has increased from less than 10% of MSW generated in 1980 to close to 35% in 2011, indicating an increase in infrastructure and market demand for recycling. U.S. recycling facilities revenue is estimated to grow at a 4.0% CAGR from $5.6 billion in 2012 to $6.5 billion in 2016P. 9 Sub-Sector Overview (cont.) Sub-Sector Key Observations Sentiment Large waste management businesses have begun to diversify their traditional business models by acquiring companies in specialized waste services industries, including oil and gas. Global industrial waste recycling and services market is expected to grow at a 10% CAGR from 2012 to 2016P. Oil and gas companies are expected to increase environmental, health, and safety (EHS) spending by 60% from $35 billion in 2011 to $56 billion in 2030P, driving demand for industrial waste solutions. Specialty Waste Industrial Specialty Waste Hazardous Hazardous waste generation trends have fluctuated between 2001 and 2009, but the amount generated has roughly stayed constant while the portion of waste that was disposed of increased by 2.1 million tons. The oil & gas, petrochemical, and manufacturing renaissance is driving increased demand for hazardous waste services. The growth of new industries like e-waste recovery and solar energy will also help to grow hazardous waste collections in the U.S. as new types of waste are classified as hazardous. E-Waste More than half of the United States has some form of e-waste regulation or disposal ban enacted, with many still considering laws. Due to the growing adoption and shorter lifecycles of electronics, the Consumer Electronics Association estimates Americans own approximately 24 electronic products per household. The global e-waste recycling market is expected to grow from $10.0 billion in 2012 to $18.0 billion in 2017P, representing a 12.5% CAGR. 10 Sub-Sector Overview (cont.) Sub-Sector Key Observations Sentiment Specialty Waste Medical Proper disposal of medical waste is imperative to reduce the risk of cross contamination and the spread of infection currently over 90% of medical waste in incinerated to aid this effort. U.S. EPA regulates the air emissions for medical waste incinerators and in May passed amendments aimed at further minimizing emissions. The U.S. medical waste management market is expected to grow at a 5.4% CAGR from $3.1 billion in 2013E to $4.0 billion in 2018P, driven by the growing demand of the pharmaceutical industry and the aging population. Recycled Content Nearly 170 million tons of annual building construction, renovation, and demolition derived wastes account for nearly 60% of the nations non-industrial, non-hazardous solid waste generation. The sustainable building materials industry is expected to grow at a 17.6% CAGR from $21.0 billion in 2012 to $40.0 billion in 2016P, driven in part by the implementation of LEED v4. Demand for post-consumer plastic is expected to rise 6.5% per year to 3.5 billion pounds in 2016P. Waste-to- Energy Current challenges in waste management, including unsustainable landfilling, methane gas emissions, growing waste volumes, and lack of space, are fueling the growth in the WtE market, which is expected to reach $7.4 billion in 2013. While the U.S. is making strides in growing its WtE market, in 2011 only 11.7% of municipal solid waste was used to create energy as opposed to the E.U. where 22.0% went to create energy. The global WtE market is expected to grow from $6.2 billion in 2012 to $29.2 billion in 2022P, representing a 16.8% CAGR. 11 Sub-Sector Review Solid Waste Collection Solid Waste Collection News Rising population and increased manufacturing due to the economic recovery have pushed waste generation in the U.S., growing at a 1.9% CAGR from 243.6 million tons in 2009 to 262.7 million tons in 2013E. MSW generation per person has steadily increased from 2.68 pounds per person per day in 1960 to 4.4 pounds per person per day in 2011. Organic materials continue to be the largest component of MSW with paper and paperboard accounting for 28% and yard trimmings and food waste combined accounting for 28%. Recent technological advancements like single-stream recycling and all-in-one mixed-waste processing have catered towards consumer preferences and helped grow collection rates. Waste collection services revenue is expected to increase at a 2.3% CAGR from $47.1 billion in 2012 to $51.6 billion in 2016P. $41.7 $44.5 $47.1 $48.3 $49.6 $50.6 $51.6 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014P 2015P 2016P U.S. Waste Collection Services Revenue 2010 2016P
($ in billions) Source: IBIS World. Bloomberg is leading New Yorks move into separated food waste collection, and just announced it will reach up to 100,000 households by 2014. GreenBiz NYCs Business Integrity Commission has proposed a 15% increase in the citys rate cap for commercial waste haulers, which would be the first rate increase since 2008. Waste Age 2012-2016P CAGR: 2.3% Sentiment 247.3 249.7 254.6 255.4 251.3 243.6 249.9 255.5 258.2 262.7 230 235 240 245 250 255 260 265 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E Historical U.S. Solid Waste Generation 2004 2013E
(Million Metric Tons) 2009-2013E CAGR: 1.9% Source: IBIS World. In its efforts to privatize waste collection services, Detroit is looking to establish a five-year agreement to expand single-stream recycling collection across the city. Waste & Recycling News 12 $15.2 $15.6 $16.0 $16.4 $17.0 $17.7 $18.3 $13 $14 $15 $16 $17 $18 $19 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014P 2015P 2016P 7,924 6,326 5,386 3,558 3,091 2,314 1,967 1,767 1,767 1,754 1,812 1,908 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Sub-Sector Review Solid Waste Disposal Solid Waste Disposal News Despite the increase of waste generated in the U.S., the increase in recycling rates has lead to the steady decline in the number of landfills from 7,924 in 1988 to 1,908 in 2010, but recent trends show an increase in size of landfills as older, less efficient landfills are replaced by larger, more efficient facilities. Disposal of waste to a landfill has decreased from 90% of the amount generated in 1980 to under 65% of MSW in 2011. Food waste, which accounted for approximately 15% of MSW in 2011, represents a significant opportunity in the solid waste market as its applications for waste-to-energy fuel and composting materials are further utilized. Waste treatment and disposal services revenue is estimated to grow at a 3.3% CAGR from $16.0 billion in 2012 to $18.3 billion in 2016P as the population rises, manufacturing rebounds from the economic recovery, and the WtE market continues to grow. U.S. Waste Treatment & Disposal Services Revenue 2010 2016P
($ in billions) Source: IBIS World. Tipping fees at America's landfills are inching higher, but only enough to keep pace with inflation, according to a new survey from Waste & Recycling News. Waste & Recycling News The amount of out-of-state solid waste that ended up in Virginia one of the top states for importing waste fell about 3.4% in 2012. Waste & Recycling News North Carolinas governor signed a bill that loosens environmental regulations for landfills and an executive order allowing local officials to protect against any leaks from waste trucks. Waste Age 2012-2016P CAGR: 3.3% Sentiment Number of U.S. Landfills 1988 2011
1988 2011 CAGR: -6.0% Source: U.S. EPA. Landfill emissions of methane fell 30.3% from 1990 to 2011, partially attributed to a 21% decrease in the disposal of compostable materials and an increase in the amount of landfill gas that's being collected. Waste & Recycling News 13 $5.1 $5.4 $5.6 $5.9 $6.2 $6.2 $6.5 $3 $4 $5 $6 $7 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014P 2015P 2016P Sub-Sector Review Recycling Historical U.S. Waste Stream Trends 2010 2016P
($ in billions) U.S. Recycling Facilities Revenue Recycling News While the amount of municipal solid waste has steadily increased since 1960, Americans have shifted to recycling their waste. An example of this shifting consumer preference is the increase in curbside recycling programs from 8,875 in 2002 to 9,800 in 2011. The recycling rate in the U.S. has increased from less than 10% of MSW generated in 1980 to close to 35% in 2011, indicating an increase in infrastructure and market demand for recycling. U.S. recycling facilities revenue is estimated to grow at a 4.0% CAGR from $5.6 billion in 2012 to $6.5 billion in 2016P. Alongside evolving consumer preferences and regulatory changes, technological advancements like single-stream recycling and all-in- one mixed-waste processing have helped grow recycling and material recovery rates. 1960 2011
94% 93% 90% 84% 71% 65% 6% 7% 10% 16% 29% 35% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2011 MSW Waste Generated % Discarded to Landfill % Recycled The overall recycling rate for steel was 88% in 2012 with nearly 84 million tons of steel recycled, the Steel Recycling Institute announced. Waste & Recycling News On course to double its recycling rate to 30% by 2017 and save at least $60 million annually, New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg unveiled a new public information campaign "Recycle Everything" to remind everyone how easy it can be to make a measurable difference. Waste & Recycling News In 2005, 20% of recycling communities used single-stream, but by 2010, that had grown to 64%. The Huffington Post 2012-2016P CAGR: 4.0% Source: U.S. EPA. Source: IBIS World. Sentiment 14 Historical E-Waste Generation and Recycling Trends E-Waste Laws
E-Waste News More than half of the United States has some form of e-waste regulation or disposal ban enacted, with many still considering laws. Due to the growing adoption and shorter lifecycles of electronics, the Consumer Electronics Association estimates Americans own approximately 24 electronic products per household. Consumers and businesses now have more options to recycle their e- waste local community recycling events or pickups, online buyback websites, and new technologies such as ATM-like machines located in shopping centers. Data security is an important consideration for consumers and businesses when disposing of their electronic devices this service is a valuable competitive advantage for certain e-waste businesses. The global e-waste recycling market is expected to grow at a 13.2% CAGR from $9.8 billion in 2012 to $18.3 billion in 2017P. 1 Sub-Sector Review E-Waste U.S. General Services Administration announces new guidelines banning all federal agencies from disposing of e- waste in landfills. U.S. General Services Administration Study finds that 25% of all e-waste handlers directly engage in exporting and 41% reported being reasonably certain some portion of their materials was later exported by another organization. U.S. International Trade Commission E-Waste Law Proposed E-Waste Law No E-Waste Law Source: National Center for Electronics Recycling. 10.0% 13.7% 18.3% 18.8% 19.6% 24.9% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 2000 2005 2007 2009 2010 2011 Total E-Waste Generated E-Waste Trashed E-Waste Recycled Percent Recycled The U.S. House introduced an electronic waste recycling bill prohibiting the exporting of some e-waste to avoid improper disposal. Waste360 The EU recently adopted new rules on e-waste, which requires all member states to enact collection targets of 45% of electronic equipment sold starting in 2016, and a target of 65% of equipment sold or 85% of electronic waste generated by 2019. GreenBiz 2000 2011
(Thousands of Tons) Source: U.S. EPA. (1) Transparency Market Research. Sentiment 15 Sub-Sector Review Specialty Waste Industrial Industrial Specialty Waste News More than 860 trillion cubic feet of shale gas sit under American soil, which means more waste. In the tri- state region of PA, OH, and WV, the waste from shale gas drilling has gone from 0% in 2008 to 6% in 2012. Waste & Recycling News
Large waste management businesses have begun to diversify their traditional business models by acquiring companies in specialized waste services industries, including oil and gas. As regulations continue to become more specific towards certain industries, the industrial specialty waste sector will continue to grow and see investment from larger waste management firms looking to enter this attractive niche. Global industrial waste recycling and services market is expected to grow at a 10% CAGR from 2012 to 2016P, partially driven by the increase in sources of industrial waste generation. 1 Oil and gas companies are expected to increase environmental, health, and safety (EHS) spending by 60% from $35 billion in 2011 to $56 billion in 2030P, driving demand for industrial waste solutions. Its no secret that those in the solid waste management business are increasingly viewing oil and natural gas field wastes as a business growth opportunity. Casella Waste Systems is one of those companies looking to expand their traditional business model. Waste & Recycling News Global EHS Spending by Oil & Gas Companies
N.A. E&P Waste Treatment, Recycle, and Disposal Expansion
($ in billions) $35 $56 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 2011 2030P 2011-2030P Growth: 60% The drilling waste management market is estimated to grow from over $4 billion in 2013 to nearly $8 billion by 2018, at a CAGR of over 10%. Markets and Markets Source: Equity Research. (1) TechNavio. Source: Lux Research. Sentiment Waste Management is acquiring two energy services companies in a push to expand its environmental service offerings to oil and gas industry customers in the Bakken shale formation. Waste & Recycling News 16 Sub-Sector Review Specialty Waste Hazardous Hazardous Specialty Waste News California is embarking on a new push to cut hazardous waste landfill disposal in half by 2025, but also wants to allow expansion of one such hazardous waste site. Waste & Recycling News
U.S. Hazardous Waste Generation Management
Hazardous waste generation trends have fluctuated between 2001 and 2009, but the amount generated has roughly stayed constant while the portion of waste that was disposed of increased by 2.1 million tons. The oil & gas, petrochemical, and manufacturing renaissance is driving increased demand for hazardous waste services. Of the disposal methods, underground injection is the most popular, increasing from 90.7% of hazardous waste produced in 2001 to 91.2% of hazardous waste produced in 2009. Other methods include landfill, land treatment, and incineration in the U.S., no new landfills have been permitted in the past 18 years and no new incinerators have been constructed in the past 16 years. The growth of new industries like e-waste recovery and solar energy will also help to grow hazardous waste collections in the U.S. as new types of waste are classified as hazardous.
U.S. Hazardous Waste Disposal by Practice While solar power is a far less polluting energy source than coal or natural gas, many panel makers are nevertheless grappling with a hazardous waste problem. Associated Press Chinas Green Fence aims to avoid receiving hazardous waste or medical waste, which would reject the whole shipment received. Waste & Recycling News 24.6 20.1 28.8 27.6 24.8 19.5 16.1 23.7 24.3 21.6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Generated Disposed 2001 2009
(millions of tons) 2001 2009
(millions of tons) Source: Environmental Business Journal. Source: U.S. EPA. Sentiment 17.68 14.48 21.75 22.44 19.67 1.78 1.60 1.92 1.85 1.90 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Underground Injection Landfill/Surface Impoundment Land Treatment/Land Application 17 Sub-Sector Review Specialty Waste Medical Medical Specialty Waste News Global Medical Waste Market Competitive Landscape
Proper disposal of medical waste is imperative to reduce the risk of cross contamination and the spread of infection currently over 90% of medical waste in incinerated to aid this effort. U.S. EPA regulates the air emissions for medical waste incinerators and in May passed amendments aimed at further minimizing emissions. The U.S. medical waste management market is expected to grow at a 5.4% CAGR from $3.1 billion in 2013E to $4.0 billion in 2018P, driven by the growing demand of the pharmaceutical industry and the aging population. Globally, the medical waste management market is expected to reach $10.3 billion in 2018P, representing a 4.9% CAGR from $8.1 billion in 2013E. Stericycle is one of the largest competitors in the medical waste management industry with approximately 14% global market share. U.S. Medical Waste Management Revenue Hospitals in two Australian states have recycled 33,000 pounds of PVC waste, turning it into industrial hoses and non-slip floor mats. Environmental Leader Citing growing community concern, Utah Gov. Gary Herbert has ordered the state Department of Health to conduct a detailed study of a medical waste incinerator in North Salt Lake City. The Republic GlaxoSmithKline hopes to collect 100,000 used respiratory inhalers through a new collection program being offered to community-based retail pharmacies in 31 U.S. markets. Currently, inhalers may not be recycled by curbside recyclers, and therefore likely go to landfills, GSK said. Environmental Leader Government shutdown halts EPA hazardous waste and medical waste investigation at site of warehouse fire in Detroit.MLive.com As of Q2 2013 2013E 2018P
($ in billions) Source: Markets and Markets. Sources: Frost & Sullivan, Stericycle. Sentiment $3.1 $4.0 $0 $1 $2 $3 $4 $5 2013E 2018P 2013E-2018P CAGR: 5.4% Stericycle, 14% Onsite Management and Other Competitors, 86% 18 2.4 2.5 3.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 2006 2011 2016P Sub-Sector Review Recycled Content Recycled Content Waste News U.K. project to turn business waste from tenants including a food grade plastic recycling business, a gasification plant, and an anaerobic digestion plant into green roof material. GreenBiz.com
As pressure builds from special interests for the federal government to ditch its preference for LEED certification of buildings, the latest version of LEED has been approved, making it more powerful than ever. Members of the US Green Building Council voted overwhelmingly (85%) to include Cradle to Cradle certification in LEED V4. Sustainable Business News China's "Green Fence" crackdown on dirty scrap materials has reduced imports of plastic waste by 5.5% in the first four months of the year, a significant change for a country long-used to double-digit increases in recycled materials flowing in. Waste & Recycling News U.S. Post-Consumer Plastic Demand
The explosive demand for recycled content is driven by changing consumer preferences and the growing amount of waste. The supply of post-consumer plastic has proven challenging for businesses but recent changes in regulation, the emergence of public-private and business-to-business partnerships, and improving technology and waste stream management are helping to mitigate roadblocks in the supply chain. I n addition, demand for post-consumer plastic is expected to rise 6.5% per year to 3.5 billion pounds in 2016P. Nearly 170 million tons of annual building construction, renovation, and demolition derived wastes account for nearly 60% of the nations non-industrial, non-hazardous solid waste generation. The sustainable building materials industry is expected to grow at a 17.6% CAGR from $21.0 billion in 2012 to $40.0 billion in 2016P, driven in part by the implementation of LEED v4. U.S. Sustainable Building Materials Manufacturing Revenue $13.1 $16.2 $21.0 $25.0 $31.3 $36.1 $40.0 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014P 2015P 2016P 2010 2016P
($ in billions) 2012-2016P CAGR: 17.6% 100% recycled plastic vehicle bridge, made from 80% post consumer plastic and 20% recycled car bumpers and dashboards, holds strong in Ohio. Earth Techling
2006 2016P
(Billion of Pounds) 2011-2016P CAGR: 6.5% Source: IBISWorld. Source: Freedonia. Sentiment 19 Sub-Sector Review Waste-to-Energy (WtE) Composition of Municipal Solid Waste Waste-to-Energy Plants Capacity in the U.S.
Waste-to-Energy News Current challenges in waste management, including unsustainable landfilling, methane gas emissions, growing waste volumes, and lack of space, are fueling the growth in the WtE market, which is expected to reach $7.4 billion in 2013. Consumers and businesses are recycling more biogenic waste (e.g. food waste and yard clippings) and discarding more non-biogenic waste (e.g. plastics and metals), which has a higher heat content, making it a more efficient fuel to produce electricity. While the U.S. is making strides in growing its WtE market, in 2011 only 11.7% of municipal solid waste was used to create energy as opposed to the E.U. where 22.0% went to WtE plants. The global WtE market is expected to grow from $6.2 billion in 2012 to $29.2 billion in 2022P, representing a 16.8% CAGR.
As of 2011 (MW)
2005 2010
(Heat Content) 1-25 26-100 101-200 201-300 300+ Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration. 57% 57% 54% 54% 51% 50% 43% 43% 46% 46% 49% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Biogenic Non-Biogenic Massachusetts plans to ban commercial food waste in 2014. The plan would require any entity that disposes of at least one ton of organic waste per week to donate or repurpose the food starting July 1, 2014. Waste & Recycling News
New York landfill adds another engine to a facility that utilizes landfill gas to create electricity. Waste & Recycling News Global waste incineration markets will more than double in value by 2022 to $16.8 billion, according to a new study. GreenBiz Source: U.S. EPA. Sentiment 20 Disclosures Harris Williams & Co. (www.harriswilliams.com) is a preeminent middle market investment bank focused on the advisory needs of clients worldwide. The firm has deep industry knowledge, global transaction expertise, and an unwavering commitment to excellence. Harris Williams & Co. provides sell-side and acquisition advisory, restructuring advisory, board advisory, private placements, and capital markets advisory services. Investment banking services are provided by Harris Williams LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC, and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Harris Williams & Co. is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd conduct business. THIS REPORT MAY CONTAIN REFERENCES TO REGISTERED TRADEMARKS, SERVICE MARKS AND COPYRIGHTS OWNED BY THIRD-PARTY INFORMATION PROVIDERS. NONE OF THE THIRD-PARTY INFORMATION PROVIDERS IS ENDORSING THE OFFERING OF, AND SHALL NOT IN ANY WAY BE DEEMED AN ISSUER OR UNDERWRITER OF, THE SECURITIES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS OR OTHER INVESTMENTS DISCUSSED IN THIS REPORT, AND SHALL NOT HAVE ANY LIABILITY OR RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY STATEMENTS MADE IN THE REPORT OR FOR ANY FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS OR OTHER FINANCIAL INFORMATION CONTAINED OR ATTACHED AS AN EXHIBIT TO THE REPORT. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE MATERIALS PROVIDED BY SUCH THIRD PARTIES, PLEASE CONTACT US AT +1 804- 648-0072. The information and views contained in this report were prepared by Harris Williams & Co. (Harris Williams). It is not a research report, as such term is defined by applicable law and regulations, and is provided for informational purposes only. It is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy. The information contained herein is believed by Harris Williams to be reliable but Harris Williams makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. Harris Williams and/or its affiliates may be market makers or specialists in, act as advisers or lenders to, have positions in and effect transactions in securities of companies mentioned herein and also may provide, may have provided, or may seek to provide investment banking services for those companies. In addition, Harris Williams and/or its affiliates or their respective officers, directors and employees may hold long or short positions in the securities, options thereon or other related financial products of companies discussed herein. Opinions, estimates and projections in this report constitute Harris Williams judgment and are subject to change without notice. The financial instruments discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, and investors must make their own investment decisions using their own independent advisors as they believe necessary and based upon their specific financial situations and investment objectives. Also, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form or by any means, or redistributed, without Harris Williams prior written consent. Copyright 2013 Harris Williams & Co., all rights reserved.