Der in Dnemark lebende emeritierte US-Professor und Friedensaktivist John Scales Ave-

ry fordert die Menschen auf, sich nicht mehr vor der erfundenen terroristischen edrohun!
"u f#rchten, $eil die nur von !efhrlichen realen edrohun!en ablenken soll%
Warum lassen wir uns wie eine Viehherde
in den Abgrund treiben?
Von John Scales Avery
TRANSCEND MEDIA SERVICE, 06.01.14
( h!"##$$$.ranscen%.or&#'s#(014#01#are)$e)*e+n&)%r+ven)l+,e)cale# -
Menschen, %+e vor S+cherhe+sschle.sen an /l.&h01en Schlan&e sehen, %r0n& s+ch %as
2e13hl a.1, $+e e+ne V+ehher%e %.rch 4a.1&aer &er+e*en 5. $er%en. Das Re+sen '+ %e'
/l.&5e.& ha s+ch oal ver0n%er .n% 'ach ,a.' noch S!a6, se+ %+e 7S)Re&+er.n& %+e
An&s'achere+ vor %e' 8o''.n+s'.s %.rch %+e An&s'achere+ vor %e' Terror+s'.s er)
se5 ha9 %+eses Arran&e'en $ar no$en%+&, %a'+ $e+erh+n r+es+&e 2el%s.''en, %+e
*e+ %en So5+ala.s&a*en 1ehlen, +n %+e 8r+e&s,asse 1l+e6en ,:nnen, %+e e+n /ass ohne ;o)
%en +s. A.ch har'lose 2ro6'3er .n% ,le+ne 8+n%er $er%en &e5$.n&en, Sch.he .n%
23rel a.s5.5+ehen, .n% '3ssen s+ch $+e Ver*recher %.rchs.chen lassen. Alle /l.&&0se
$er%en &e%e'3+& .n% $+e V+eh *ehan%el, o*$ohl es *e+ %+ese' A11enheaer $en+&er
.' %+e Verh+n%er.n& von Anschl0&en a.1 Ver,ehrs1l.&5e.&e als .' %as Sch3ren %+11.ser
<n&se vor Terror+sen &eh.
Is %+e ;e%roh.n& %.rch %en Terror+s'.s real, o%er sollen %+e s0n%+&en =arn.n&en vor
Terror+sen, %+e an %as 2e*ell von >3eh.n%en er+nnern, %+e V+eher%e n.r +n e+ne &an5 *e)
s+''e R+ch.n& re+*en? D+e ;e%roh.n& %.rch %en 8l+'a$an%el +s sehr real. =+r,l+ch
*e%roh +s a.ch %+e &lo*ale Versor&.n& '+ &es.n%en 4e*ens'+eln. Schon @e5 ser*en
@0hrl+ch 11 M+ll+onen 8+n%er an 7nerern0hr.n&, %+e vor alle' %.rch Ar'. ver.rsach $+r%.
D+e ;e%roh.n& %er 'enschl+chen A+v+l+sa+on .n% aller 4e*e$esen a.1 %er Er%e %.rch
e+nen ':&l+chen Dr+en =el,r+e& +s real. D+e 2e1ahr, %ass v+ele n+ch erne.er*are Roh)
so11e *al% ersch:!1 s+n% .n% %+e =el$+rscha1 ,olla*+er, *eseh as0chl+ch. A.ch %+e
2e1ahr, %+e von %en r+s,anen S!e,.la+ons&esch01en %er 2ro6*an,en a.s&eh, +s sehr
real. Ne*en %+esen realen 2e1ahren, %+e as0chl+ch .nsere A.,.n1 *e%rohen, +s %+e ;e)
%roh.n& %.rch %en Terror+s'.s versch$+n%en% &er+n&.
M+ll+onen Menschen h.n&ern. J0hrl+ch ser*en M+ll+onen Menschen an 5. verh3en%en
o%er he+l*aren 8ran,he+en. A.ch an 8r+e&s1ol&en ser*en M+ll+onen Menschen. 2e'es)
sen an %+esen Aahlen +s %+e An5ahl %er von Terror+sen &e:een B!1er versch$+n%en%
,le+n. So&ar +' Ver&le+ch '+ %en @0hrl+ch *e+ Ver,ehrs.n10llen 2e:een 10ll s+e ,a.' +ns
2e$+ch.
Der Terror+s'.s +s e+ne er1.n%ene ;e%roh.n&. Der '+l+0r+sch)+n%.sr+elle 8o'!leC (s.
h!"##%e.$+,+!e%+a.or&#$+,+#M+l+DCEDA4r+sch)+n%.sr+ellerF8o'!leC - ha s+e nach %e'
8alen 8r+e& als Ersa5 13r %+e %a'+ ensch$.n%ene ,o''.n+s+sche ;e%roh.n& er1.n)
%en. D+e error+s+sche ;e%roh.n& $.r%e +ns5en+er, %a'+ a.ch $e+erh+n @0hrl+ch %+e ,a.'
vorsell*are R+esens.''e von 1.G00.000.000.000 Dollar (1,G ;+ll+onen Dollar- +n %+e R3s)
.n&s+n%.sr+e 1l+e6en ,ann.
1#4
Friedenspolitische Mitteilungen aus der
US-Militrregion Kaiserslautern/amstein
!" ##$/%& ' %()#%)%&
Deshal* $+r% %en Menschen, %+e s+ch $+e e+ne V+eher%e *ehan%eln lassen, '+ %e' er1.n)
%enen Terror+s'.s An&s e+n&e@a&. =+e $ar %as ':&l+ch? Ers nach %en Anschl0&en a'
11.0H.(001 *e&annen s+ch %+e Menschen vor Terror+sen 5. 13rchen. 8:nne %as An&s )
e+n@a&en n+ch %as e+&enl+che A+el %+eser Anschl0&e &e$esen se+n, $e+l s+ch %+e Men)
schen %anach le+cher 'an+!.l+eren, +hrer ;3r&erreche *era.*en .n% +n 8r+e&e &e&en
(A1&han+san .n%- %en Ira, re+*en l+e6en? Es &+* s+chhal+&e ;e$e+se %a13r, %ass v+ele
e+n1l.ssre+che Re&+er.n&sverreer schon +' Vora.s 3*er %en Anschla& a.1 %as =orl% Tra)
%e Cener +n1or'+er $aren .n% nach&ehol1en ha*en, .' %as Desaser ':&l+chs &ro6 5.
'achen. D+ese ;e$e+se s+n% +' Inerne ver13&*ar. >+er s+n% e+n+&e 4+n,s %a5."
h!"##$$$.ranscen%.or&#'s#(01E#1(#H11)eC!los+ve)ev+%ence)eC!ers)s!ea,)o.#
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=+ll 'an .ns $+e V+eh %.rch an%ere er1.n%ene ;e%roh.n&en +n e+nen ne.en 8r+e&
re+*en? =elche ;e%roh.n& soll vo' Iran a.s&ehen? D+eser Saa ha se+ 'ehr als e+ne'
Jahrh.n%er ,e+nen se+ner Nach*arn an&e&r+11en, $.r%e a*er o1 sel*s an&e&r+11en. B*)
$ohl Israel E00 .n% %+e 7SA a.sen%e Ao'$a11en ha*en, $ollen s+e .ns $e+s'achen,
%as 5+v+le Ao'!ro&ra'' %es Irans *e%rohe .ns. 8ann %as e+ne reale ;e%roh.n& se+n,
o%er sollen $+r a.ch +n %+ese' /all $+e%er '+ e+ner er1.n%enen ;e%roh.n& $+e V+eh +n
e+ne *es+''e R+ch.n& &er+e*en $er%en?
Tas0chl+ch $er%en $+r %a'+ a.1 e+nen &e10hrl+chen A*&r.n% 5.&er+e*en. Es *eseh %+e
reale 2e1ahr, %ass e+n '+l+0r+scher An&r+11 a.1 %en Iran es,al+er .n% %en Dr+en (.n% le5)
en- =el,r+e& a.sl:s. Da s+ch %er ;e&+nn %es Ersen =el,r+e&es *al% 5.' 100. Mal @0hr,
sollen $+r .ns %aran er+nnern, %ass %+ese ,aasro!hale /e.ers*r.ns '+ e+ner *e&ren5)
en Sra1a,+on Nserre+chs &e&en ser*+sche Na+onal+sen *e&onnen, s+ch %ann a*er rasch
a.s&e$e+e ha .n% .n,onroll+er*ar &e$or%en +s.
Der M+lere Bsen +s *ere+s e+ne sehr 5ersr+ene Re&+on, +n %er %+e 7SA .n% Israel n+ch
*eson%ers *el+e* s+n%. 8:nne e+n An&r+11 a.1 %en Iran n+ch a.ch e+nen A.1san% +n Oa,+s)
an a.sl:sen, %er A.1s0n%+schen %+e M:&l+ch,e+ verscha11en $3r%e, %en Iran '+ !a,+sa)
n+schen Ao'$a11en 5. .ners35en? A.6er%e' s+n% so$ohl Ch+na als a.ch R.sslan%
re.e Ver*3n%ee %es Irans. Ver'.l+ch $3r%en a.ch s+e +n %en 8on1l+, h+ne+n&e5o&en.
Ch+na ,:nne '+ se+nen &ro6en Dollarreserven %en 7SA 5.'+n%es &ro6en $+rscha1l+ )
chen Scha%en 5.13&en. A.6er%e' $+r% %.rch %+e Sra6e von >or'.5 e+n 2ro6e+l %er
$el$e+en Nlrans!ore a*&e$+c,el. E+n 8on1l+, a' Oers+schen 2ol1 $3r%e %+e Nlrans)
!ore so!!en .n% %en Nl!re+s eC!lo%+eren lassen. D+e $+rscha1l+chen /ol&en $0ren ,aa)
sro!hal.
=+r sollen .ns n+ch 'ehr $+e V+eh '+ er1.n%enen ;e%roh.n&en +n e+ne sehr &e10hrl+che
R+ch.n& re+*en lassen. =+r sollen %+e realen ;e%roh.n&en 13r %+e 'enschl+che A+v+l+sa+ )
on er,ennen .n% '+ vere+nen 8r01en vers.chen, s+e noch a*5.$en%en.
V+eh ,ann 'an re+*en, 4:$en lassen s+ch n+ch so le+ch *0n%+&en. E+n Shelley)2e%+ch
(s. h!"##%e.$+,+!e%+a.or&#$+,+#OercyF;yssheFShelley - en%e '+ %e' Sa5" PIhr se+% v+ele.
D+e s+n% n.r $en+&e.P (s. h!"##$$$.aro1e.ro!e.co'#shelley#sheQ.h' -
Dr% John Scales Avery arbeitet f#r das &'A(S)*(D-(et"$erk und ist ein emeritierter
Professor des +%)% ,rsted--nstitutes .s% h!"##en.$+,+!e%+a.or&#$+,+#>ansFChr+s+anF
DCEDHLrse%FIns+.e / der Universitt 0o1enha!en% *r ist 2orsit"ender der dnischen
(#4
Pu!$ash-3ru11e .s% h!"##$$$.!.&$ash.%e# / und der dnischen Friedensakademie% *r
hat am Massachusetts -nstitute of &echnolo!y, an der University of )hica!o und an der
University of 4ondon theoretische Physik und theoretische )hemie studiert und "ahlrei -
chen #cher und Artikel #ber $issenschaftlichen &hemen und so"iale Probleme ver5ffent-
licht% Sein 6#n!stes 7erk ist auf"urufen unter htt1899$$$%learndev%or!9dl9)risis:;-Aver-
y%1df %
(=+r ha*en %en Ar+,el ,o'!le 3*erse5 .n% '+ Er&0n5.n&en .n% 4+n,s +n 8la''ern
versehen. =e+ere In1or'a+onen 3*er %en A.or s+n% a.15.r.1en .ner h!"##en.$+,+!e)
%+a.or&#$+,+#JohnFScalesFAvery9 %+e =e*s+e %es TRANSCEND MEDIA SERVICE +s .n)
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Are We *eing +ri,en !i-e .attle?
6 Jan.ary (014
*y John Scales Avery
As $e san% +n l+ne 1or sec.r+y chec,s a a+r!ors, $e 'ay have he %+s+nc 1eel+n& ha $e
are *e+n& her%e% l+,e cale. A+r ravel has chan&e%, an% has *eco'e %+s+ncly less !lea)
san, s+nce he 1ear o1 error+s' re!lace% he 1ear o1 co''.n+s' as he eCc.se ha &over )
n'ens &+ve 1or %+ver+n& colossal s.'s o1 'oney 1ro' %es!eraely nee%e% soc+al &oals o
he *oo'less !+ o1 $ar. Innocen &ran%'ohers, an% he+r &ran%ch+l%ren, are reR.+re% o
re'ove he+r shoes an% *els. Everyone +s reae% l+,e a cr+'+nal. I +s a h.'+l+a+n& eC!er+ )
ence. =e 'ay $ell 1eel l+,e %.'* %r+ven cale9 an% he !.r!ose o1 he chara%e +s no so
'.ch o !reven a+rl+ners 1ro' *e+n& sa*oa&e% as + +s o ,ee! he +%ea o1 error+s' 1resh
+n o.r '+n%s.
Is he hrea o1 error+s' real? Br +s + l+,e he *ar,+n& o1 a %o& %r+v+n& a her%? The hrea o1
cl+'ae chan&e +s very real +n%ee%. The hrea o 1..re &lo*al 1oo% sec.r+y +s real oo. Al )
rea%y 11 '+ll+on ch+l%ren %+e every year 1ro' 'aln.r++on an% !overy)relae% ca.ses. The
hrea o h.'an c+v+l+5a+on an% he *+os!here !ose% *y a !oss+*le Th+r% =orl% =ar +s real.
The hrea o1 eCha.s+on o1 non)rene$a*le reso.rces an% econo'+c colla!se +s real. The
%an&ers assoc+ae% $+h o.r .nsa*le 1rac+onal reserve *an,+n& syse' are also real. ;e)
s+%e hese all oo real hreas o o.r 1..re, he hrea o1 error+s' +s van+sh+n&ly s'all.
M+ll+ons sarve. M+ll+ons %+e yearly 1ro' !revena*le %+seases. M+ll+ons %+e as a conse)
R.ence o1 $ars. Co'!are% $+h hese n.'*ers, he oal co.n o1 error+s v+c+'s +s van+s)
h+n&ly s'all. I +s even +nv+s+*le co'!are% $+h he n.'*er o1 !eo!le ,+lle% yearly +n a.o)
'o*+le acc+%ens.
Terror+s' +s an +nvene% hrea. B.r '+l+ary +n%.sr+al co'!leC +nvene% + o a,e he !lace
o1 he hrea o1 co''.n+s' a1er he en% o1 he Col% =ar. They +nvene% + so ha hey
$o.l% *e a*le o con+n.e s!en%+n& 1,G00,000,000,000 %ollars each year on ar'a'ens,
an a'o.n al'os oo lar&e o *e +'a&+ne%.
So he !eo!le, he %r+ven cale, have *een 'a%e o 1ear error+s'. >o$ $as h+s %one? I
$as easy a1er H#11. Co.l% + *e ha he !.r!ose o1 he H#11 %+saser $as o 'a,e !eo!le
E#4
1ear error+s', so ha hey co.l% *e 'ore eas+ly 'an+!.lae%, 'ore eas+ly %e!r+ve% o1 he+r
c+v+l r+&hs, 'ore eas+ly %r+ven +no a $ar a&a+ns IraR? There +s sron& ev+%ence ha 'any
h+&hly !lace% &overn'enal 1+&.res ,ne$ $ell +n a%vance% ha he =orl% Tra%e Cener
$o.l% *e aac,e%, an% ha hey 'a%e he %+saser '.ch $orse han + oher$+se $o.l%
have *een. Th+s ev+%ence +s ava+la*le on he Inerne. >ere are a 1e$ l+n,s"
h!"##$$$.ranscen%.or&#'s#(01E#1(#H11)eC!los+ve)ev+%ence)eC!ers)s!ea,)o.#
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h!"##$$$.yo..*e.co'#$ach?vIe)$KcJA)e0
Are $e *e+n& %r+ven l+,e cale +no anoher $ar, *y anoher 1a,e hrea? Is Iran really a
hrea? I +s a co.nry $h+ch has no aac,e% any o1 +s ne+&h*ors 1or a cen.ry, alho.&h +
has 1reR.enly +sel1 *een aac,e%. Israel has E00 n.clear $ea!ons, an% he 7S has 'any
ho.san%, ye hey cla+' ha IranSs c+v+l+an n.clear !ro&ra' +s a hrea. Is + a real hrea, or
are $e *e+n& %r+v+n&, l+,e cale, *y a 1alse hrea.
The !rec+!+ce o$ar%s $h+ch $e are *e+n& %r+ven +s very %an&ero.s +n%ee%. There +s a real
%an&er ha a '+l+ary aac, on Iran co.l% escalae .nconrolla*ly +no =orl% =ar III. As $e
a!!roach he 100h ann+versary o1 he sar o1 =orl% =ar I, $e sho.l% re'e'*er ha h+s
caasro!h+c con1la&ra+on $as sare% as a l+'+e% o!era+on *y A.sr+a o !.n+sh he Ser )
*+an na+onal+ss, *. + escalae% .nconrolla*ly
The M+%%le Eas +s alrea%y a %ee!ly ro.*le% re&+on, an% + +s a re&+on +n $h+ch he 7S an%
Israel canno *e sa+% o *e .n+versally !o!.lar. M+&h no an aac, on Iran +n++ae a revol.)
+on +n Oa,+san, h.s hro$+n& Oa,+sanSs n.clear $ea!ons +no he con1l+c on he s+%e o1
Iran? /.rher'ore, *oh Ch+na an% R.ss+a are sa.nch all+es o1 Iran. Oerha!s hey $o.l%
*e %ra$n +no he $ar. A he very leas, Ch+na $o.l% cera+nly %o econo'+c %a'a&e o he
7S *y 'eans o1 +s lar&e %ollar hol%+n&s. /.rher'ore, '.ch o1 he $orl%Ss s.!!ly o1 o+l
1lo$s hro.&h he Sra+ o1 >or'.5. A con1l+c +n he re&+on $o.l% !ro*a*ly so! h+s 1lo$
an% sen% !erole.' !r+ces hro.&h he roo1. The econo'+c conseR.ences $o.l% *e %+sa)
sro.s.
4e .s so! *e+n& %r+ven l+,e cale *y +nvene% hreas. 4e .s +nsea% loo, a he very real
%an&ers ha hreaen h.'an c+v+l+5a+on, an% %o o.r .'os o avo+% he'.
Bne can her% cale, *. one canno her% l+ons. As Shelly sa+%, TUe are 'any. They are
1e$.V
John Scales Avery, Ph%D% is a member of the &'A(S)*(D (et$ork and Associate Pro-
fessor *meritus at the +%)% ,rsted -nstitute, University of )o1enha!en, Denmark% +e is
chairman of both the Danish (ational Pu!$ash 3rou1 and the Danish Peace Academy
and received his trainin! in theoretical 1hysics and theoretical chemistry at M%-%&%, the Uni -
versity of )hica!o and the University of 4ondon% +e is the author of numerous books and
articles both on scientific to1ics and on broader social <uestions% +is most recent book is
htt1899$$$%learndev%or!9dl9)risis:;-Avery%1df%
www)lu/tpost--l)de
V0S+"1 Wol/gang 2ung3 Assenmacherstr) 4$3 565(7 Kaiserslautern
4#4