Issued: Wednesday, Nov 25, 2009 Updated daily by 9 AM

Ytd Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue

Predictive Service Areas
Nov 24 Nov 25 Nov 26 Nov 27 Nov 28 Nov 29 Nov 30 Dec 01

SC01 - Eastern Sierra      2 2 

SC02 - Central Sierra      2 2 
SC03 - Southern Sierra   2 2  2 2 
SC04 - Sierra Foothills      1 1 1
SC05 - Central Valley   2  2 2 2 2
Legend:    2  2 2 2
SC06 - Central Coast Interior
Fuel Dryness SC07 - Central Coast  2 2 2  2 2 2
Moist - Little or no risk for large fires. SC08 - South Coast  3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SC09 - Western Mountains  2 2 2 2 3 3 3
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the
absence of a "High Risk" event. SC10 - Eastern Mountains  3 3 3 3 3  3
SC11 - Southern Mountains  3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Very Dry - Low/Moderate risk of large
fires in the absence of a "High Risk" SC12 - Lower Deserts   2 2 2 2 2 2
event. SC13 - Eastern Deserts  3 3 3  3 3 3
SC14 - Central Mojave  2 2 3  3 3 3
High Risk Days SC15 - Upper Deserts  3 3 3  3 3 3
At least a 20% chance of a "Large Fire" SC16 - Northern Deserts        
due to a combination of either "Dry" or
"Very Dry" fuel dryness and an Ignition
Trigger. High Risk Days will include a Weather Discussion:
symbol indicating the type of trigger ***LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH TO EAST WINDS OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
event. THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING***
Surface high pressure centered over Idaho will maintain locally strong and gusty north to east winds over
At least a 20% chance of a new "Large the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California through Thursday morning.
Fire" or significant growth on existing Winds will continue to be mainly 12 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph over the wind prone areas. A
fires due to a combination of either "Dry" ridge of high pressure aloft will also continue to build into California from the Pacific Ocean bringing a little
or "Very Dry" fuel dryness and a Critical warmer temperatures and very low humidity to most of the region through Thursday. Temperatures over
Burn Environment. High Risk Days will the warmer valley locations will stay in the 80s and minimum humidity will stay in the single digits and
include a symbol indicating the type of teens. A Pacific trough will move inland into the Pacific Northwest bringing cooler temperatures and higher
trigger event. humidity to the region Friday and Saturday. A ridge of high pressure will build into California from the
Pacific Ocean bringing a warming trend and very low humidity Sunday through early next week. There will
Ignition Trigger be locally strong and gusty northerly winds over the south coast of Santa Barbara and over the Grapevine
Friday night through Saturday morning and there is still a potential for widespread strong and gusty north

Lightning - Defined differently in each
to east winds over the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California Saturday
Predictive Service Area. See "Product
through Monday morning. At this time, winds still look to be 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph over
Description and Explanation Page" for
the wind prone areas. END/Shameson
details.

Critical Burn Environment Fire Potential Discussion:

Windy and Dry - Defined differently in
The potential for large fire will continue to increase over Southern California through Thursday due
W to gusty offshore winds, low humidity, and warm temperatures. There will not be a high risk for large
each Predictive Service Area. See
fire because winds will not be strong or widespread enough to meet the criteria. The potential for large fire
"Product Description and Explanation
will decrease Friday as temperatures cool, humidity increases, and winds become onshore. The large fire
Page" for details.
threat will increase over Southern California once again Saturday through Monday due to strong offshore
winds and low humidity. At this time, winds still look to be widespread and strong so if future
models continue to advertise this event at current strength “High Risk” days will be added to some
Southern California PSA’s for Sunday when winds will be at their strongest. The potential for large
fire will be low over Central California through early next week. Expect IA activity to be light to moderate
through early next week.

CWCG Preparedness Level:

CWCG Preparedness Level 3, MACS Mode 2
NOTICE: Forecast for the following PSA's may be
unavailable or unrepresentative of actual
conditions due to missing observations from the
stations listed below:
EASTERN SIERRA
Owens Valley Ca Additional Links
Walker California
PDF Version of this page
CENTRAL SIERRA
Shaver Californ National Map
7-Day ERC, F10, and F100 Projections
SOUTHERN SIERRA
Cedar Grove Ca 7-Day Temperature and Humidity Projections
Park Ridge Cali Product Description and Explanation Page
Sugarloaf

SIERRA FOOTHILLS
Mariposa Califo
Fancher Creek C
Catheys Valley

CENTRAL COAST MTNS & VLYS

Hernandez Calif
Parkfield Calif

SOUTH COAST
Case Springs Ca

SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS

Fawnskin

DESERTS
Yucca Valley Ca