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01- JULY-2014
DAILY MCX NEWSLETTER
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09200009266



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BULLION:
Silver prices have gained 7.9% year-to-date in 2014 and rallied 2% last week tracking
gold and growth in industrial demand.
ETF securities Ltd (ETFS) in a weekly report said that on a 12-month basis silver has
ralled 13.1% surpassed only by palladium which rose 30.5%.
Prior to the 2008 crisis, the ratio of gold to silver was about 50. It spiked to near 84
during the 2008/9 crisis and declined to near 32 in 2011. Due to its larger industrial
demand base, absent a stumble in the global economy, the ratio of gold to silver is
likely to continue to decline, ETFS said.




ENERGY:
Shale revolution in North America pushed up oil supplies but disruptions in
conventional oil supplies have prevented prices from coming down, according to a new
report from Bank of America-Merrill Lynch (BofAML).
"From the Libyan civil war to Russian-Ukraine conflict to civil unrest in Venezuela the
the recent clashes in Iaq, oil producing countries around the world are struggling to
grow output. On top of that, geological and engineering challengs have limited supply
growth prospects in Kazakhstan. As a result our most recent medium term projection
of 9.1 mn barrels per day of potential OPEC and non-OPEC supply growth over the next
five years is looking overly optimistic, and we revise it down to 8 mn barrels per day,"
BofAML said.



BASE METAL:
Copper prices are rallying on decline in inventory at London Metal Exchange
(LME) and positive trends in China economy.
Copper for delivery in three months on the London Metal Exchange declined 0.2
percent to $6,933.25 a metric ton at 11:19 a.m. in Tokyo. It touched $6,983.75 on
June 27, the highest price since March 7. The metal is up 4.4 percent this quarter,
the most since the three months to Sept. 30.





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GOLD (5 AUG.)




SILVER (5 JULY.)








BULLION
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 44500, 45000
SUPPORT : - 43800, 43400
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 28000, 28200
SUPPORT : - 27650, 27100
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH


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CRUDEOIL (21 JULY.)






NATURAL GAS (28 JULY)








ENERGY

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 274.00, 278.00
SUPPORT : - 265.00, 260.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 6380, 6430
SUPPORT : - 6300, 6250
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS



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COPPER (29 AUG.)






LEAD (31 JULY.)








BASE METAL
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 128.70, 129.50
SUPPORT : - 127.00, 126.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 430.00, 432.00
SUPPORT : - 425.00, 420.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS



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ZINC (31 JULY.)





ALUMINUM (31 JULY.)




NICKEL (31 JULY.)








OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 1130.00, 1160.00
SUPPORT : - 1110.00, 1090.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 112.00, 113.00
SUPPORT : - 110.00, 109.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 133.50, 134.50
SUPPORT : - 131.50, 130.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS



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GOLD 1226.95
SILVER 21.063
COPPER 3.205
CRUDEOIL 105.56
PALLANDIUM 843.30
PLATINUM 1483.00

USDINR 60.5000
EURUSD 01.3685
USDJPY 101.465
USDCHF 00.8870
GBPUSD 01.7102
USDCAD 01.0671



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