AD MARKET UPDATE JULY 2014

AD market

The AD market has grown rapidly since 2010, reaching the
current 154 MW electrical equivalent capacity (between
electricity and biomethane) from 145 plants
1
. The increase
in capacity each year since 2010 has been in the range 26-
32 MWe-equivalent (across 20-30 new plants each year).
2014 should be a big year, with capacity increasing by a
larger amount than this due to uptake of biomethane (see
biomethane section below), as well as significant growth in
the number of electricity plants
2
.







1
As of May 2014. For the latest figures, visit http://adbiogas.co.uk/members-area/market-analysis/
2
Includes electrical capacity supplying biomethane plants. Non-sewage sector only.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Pre-2004 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
T
o
t
a
l

M
W
-
e
l
e
c
t
r
i
c
a
l

e
q
u
i
v
a
l
e
n
t
Cumulative and annual capacity increase (MW electrical-equivalent)
Electrical-equivalent capacity increase in year Cumulative electrical-equivalent capacity









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Market profile




The following shows the current number of agricultural and waste based plants (as well as
on-site industrial organic wastes) and capacity represented by each of these sectors:



0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Cumulative number of waste and farm-based plants
Farm-based Waste-based Farm- and waste-based
Agricultural
50%
Industrial
18%
Municipal/
commercial
waste
32%
Percentage number of operational
plants by sector
Agricultural
36%
Industrial
21%
Municipal/
commercial
waste
43%
Percentage capacity of operational
electricity/ CHP plants broken down by
sector









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Future Development








0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Farm-based plants with
planning
Waste-based plants with
planning
Farm- and waste-based
plants with planning
Unknown with planning
M
W
e
Capacity of plants with planning permission
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
ADBA Current annual feedstock use by sector
(Mtpa)**
Total potential use with 50% of planned plants
with planning permission
Total potential use with 100% of planned plants
with planning permission
M
i
l
l
i
o
n

w
e
t

t
o
n
n
e
s
Current feedstock use and feedstock use if plants with planning permission are
constructed
Agricultural feedstocks Municipal/ commercial feedstocks *** Industrial feedstocks**









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Biomethane to grid

In addition to the 4 already
commissioned (3 under the RHI),
we are aware of a further 37 in the
pipeline, which could deliver 10-15
plants to the RHI this year and a
further 15 next year. These include
food waste, agricultural, sewage
and industrial effluent treatment
plants.

Biomethane in transport