Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
COM
Commercial Real
Estate in the US
February 2014
Nick Petrillo
20 International Trade
39 Key Statistics
Industry Definition
21 Business Locations
39 Industry Data
Main Activities
Similar Industries
24 Competitive Landscape
Additional Resources
Industry at a Glance
Industry Performance
29 Barriers to Entry
Executive Summary
30 Industry Globalization
Current Performance
Industry Outlook
39 Annual Change
39 Key Ratios
31 Major Companies
35 Operating Conditions
35 Capital Intensity
14 Supply Chain
36 Revenue Volatility
17 Demand Determinants
38 Industry Assistance
18 Major Markets
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Main Activities
Similar Industries
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Similar Industries
continued
Additional Resources
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Industry at a Glance
Commercial Real Estate in 2014
Key Statistics
Snapshot
Revenue
Profit
Wages
Businesses
$957.4bn 2.4%
3.7%
$135.9bn $261.8bn 2,095,124
Value of private nonresidential construction
% change
There are no
Major Players in
this industry
12
650
600
550
$ billion
Market Share
0
4
500
450
400
12
Year 06
08
10
12
Revenue
14
16
18
350
Year 05
20
07
09
11
13
15
17
19
Employment
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
p. 31
6.3%
10.6%
Value of private
nonresidential
construction
Other activities
Consumer spending
43.6%
12.2%
Construction
Yield on 10-year
Treasury note
Corporate profit
12.4%
Commercial leasing
14.9%
p. 5
Residential leasing
Industry Structure
Mature
Medium
Regulation Level
Medium
Technology Change
Medium
Medium
Capital Intensity
Low
Barriers to Entry
Industry Assistance
Low
Industry Globalization
Concentration Level
Low
Competition Level
FOR ADDITIONAL STATISTICS AND TIME SERIES SEE THE APPENDIX ON PAGE 39
SOURCE:
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SOURCE:
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Low
Medium
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Industry Performance
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Industry Performance
18
600
16
550
14
500
$ billion
12
450
10
400
350
Year 05
07
09
11
13
15
17
19
Year 06
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Renewed demand,
renewed growth
Industry revenue
12
8
% change
Current
Performance
4
0
4
8
12
Year 06
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Renewed demand,
renewed growth
continued
Greater confidence
among construction
firms
Steady recovery
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Industry Performance
Steady recovery
continued
Industry
Outlook
Investment
conditions
As consumers renew
spending, investment in
shopping malls and other
outlets will grow
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Stronger numbers
Service convergence
Threats and
competition
Factors that will likely constrain longterm demand for commercial real estate
include an increase in telecommuting,
teleconferencing and business
management strategies meant to
10
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11
Industry Performance
Threats and
competition
continued
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12
Industry Performance
Life Cycle Stage
20
Maturity
Quality Growth
Company
consolidation;
level of economic
importance stable
15
10
Quantity Growth
Industrial Building
Construction
Commercial Building Construction
0
Land Development
Decline
-5
Shrinking economic
importance
-5
10
15
20
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13
Industry Performance
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14
Supply Chain
44-45
52
54111
99
Consumers in the US
Consumers use commercial real estate firms for housing and storage rentals.
23
Construction in the US
Specialty contractors are used for maintenance purposes and during the construction of
develop buildings.
51
Information in the US
Real estate agents and brokers use newspapers and other media for business and property
advertising.
51114
51121
54111
56172
Construction
Construction activity accounts for an
estimated 43.6% of industry revenue.
Companies in this service segment
include national and international
general contractors (GCs) able to
undertake massive retail, institutional,
entertainment and hospitality projects,
such as shopping malls, hospitals,
sporting arenas and hotel casinos. GCs
also construct multifamily residential
structures. GCs typically assume all the
responsibility for the projects
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15
6.3%
10.6%
Other activities
12.2%
43.6%
Construction
12.4%
Commercial leasing
14.9%
Residential leasing
Total $957.4bn
completion, including hiring
subcontractors and procuring materials.
Most construction contracts are designbid-build, an arrangement in which the
property owner or developer hires the
architect and then accepts bids from GCs
to manage the build-out. During the past
contracts, in which the GC and architect
are the same entity, have become more
popular. As such, commercial
construction has experienced increasing
service convergence, in which larger
construction, consulting and
management services.
This segment also includes
redevelopment or remodeling work
conducted on existing buildings, which
property owners or developers often
choose over new construction during
market slumps. Occasionally, remodeling
involves altering the type of building (e.g.
it typically involves restoring an existing
premise to its original position within the
restored to a class-A rental through
internal renovations, new external
cladding, installing building automation
and upgrading facilities for modern data
and communication transmission.
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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16
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17
Demand
Determinants
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18
Demand
Determinants
continued
Major Markets
9.2%
6.3%
Accommodation
32.6%
Industrial
Office
10.9%
Municipal and
institutional
18.6%
Residential
Total $957.4bn
The Commercial Real Estate industry
can be divided into six major market
segments: office, retail, hotel and
motel accommodations, residential,
industrial and municipal. On an
aggregate basis, fluctuations in
revenue from each of these segments
are relatively stable since the
industry comprises a wide variety of
firms that offer a diverse group of
products and services. Additionally,
commercial lease contracts are
22.4%
Retail
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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19
Major Markets
continued
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Major Markets
continued
International Trade
Accommodation
The hotel and motel market (i.e.
lodgings or commercial
accommodation) is expected to
generate about 6.3% of industry
revenue in 2014. Over the past five
years, demand for hotel and motel
construction has fallen in response
to contractions in consumers
ability and willingness to spend on
nonessential travel. With slow
income growth and rising
unemployment during the
recession, households were forced
to forgo taking vacations to save
money; likewise, business travel
decreased markedly as businesses
tightened their budgets. With
lower demand for accommodation,
demand for new hotels and motels
stayed low. This market is
expected to remain a minor part of
industry revenue.
20
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21
West
New
England
AK
0.2
Great
Lakes
WA
ND
MT
2.5
Rocky
Mountains
ID
OR
1.2
West NV
0.9
1.6
SD
0.1
WY
0.2
MN
0.1
0.1
Plains
CO
0.5
KY
0.6
OK
0.6
NC
1.9
TN
AZ
NM
2.3
0.4
Southwest
TX
6.9
HI
0.7
2 NH
3 MA
4 RI
5 CT
6 NJ
7 DE
8 MD
0.1
1.4
0.3
3.5
2.7
0.3
SC
Southeast
0.4
MS
AL
0.7
0.9
GA
2.8
0.4
LA
0.7
FL
6.9
0.3
2.3
AR
0.2
1.3
16.6
WV VA
2.6
0.6
1.5
CA
West
2.8
MO
KS
2.1
OH
1.2
4.8
2.8
IN
IL
0.4
UT
PA
2.6
0.5
0.2
1 2
3
NY
13.9
5 4
MI
1.1
IA
NE
0.1
WI
ME
MidAtlantic
9 DC
0.3
Less than 3%
3% to less than 10%
10% to less than 20%
20% or more
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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22
Business Locations
Establishments
(%)
Population
(%)
Employment
(%)
24.9
20.1
10.9
5.6
4.2
17.2
11.1
6.1
25.4
17.0
12.1
3.5
4.7
15.6
15.0
6.6
23.2
20.9
11.2
4.1
4.5
18.3
11.9
5.9
SOURCE: US CENSUS BUREAU
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23
30
20
10
Southwest
Southeast
Rocky Mountains
Plains
New England
Mid-Atlantic
West
Great Lakes
West
The West region is expected to account
for 22.1% of industry revenue in 2014,
making it the second-largest market in
the Commercial Real Estate industry.
This region comprises 17.0% of the US
population and 20.1% of the industrys
establishments. It contains a greater
number of larger real estate service
Share of Revenue
Population
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Business Locations
continued
Southeast
The Southeast region is the thirdlargest market in the Commercial
Real Estate industry, accounting for
about 19.4% of industry revenue.
The number of industry
establishments is reflective of the
regions growing population,
considerable amount of
development activity and
investment in income producing
properties. The region is a strong
destination for baby boomers and
retirees looking for better weather
and warmer climates.
Revenue
(%)
Establishments
(%)
Population
(%)
Employment
(%)
16.6
13.9
6.9
6.9
4.8
13.7
9.7
8.6
6.8
3.5
12.1
6.3
6.1
8.1
4.2
14.6
9.4
8.5
7.6
3.8
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24
Competitive Landscape
Concentration in
this industry is Low
Enterprises (%)
93.9
4.0
1.2
0.7
0.1
0.1
SOURCE: US CENSUS BUREAU AND IBISWORLD
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25
Competitive Landscape
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
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26
Competitive Landscape
Wages
In 2014, total wages (including in-house
employees salaries, subcontractor
payments and commissions) are
estimated to account for 63.3% of
revenue. Though most service industries
included in the commercial real estate
sector pay employees on a salary basis,
leads subcontractor payments to take up
a large portion of the average cost
structure. As such, in-house wages
account for 27.3% of revenue, while
subcontractor wages make up 33.5% of
the total. Additionally, because real estate
agents and brokers are typically paid on a
100% commission basis, their wages
comprise a third wages segment and
account for an estimated 2.5% of total
industry revenue.
Employment costs are slightly higher
than 2009 levels of 61.0%. Steadily
increasing property values have directly
Industry Costs
(2014)
17.7
14.2
100
Profit
Wages
Purchases
Depreciation
Marketing
Rent & Utilities
Other
80
Percentage of revenue
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued
60
46.4
63.3
40
20
10.0
6.3
5.5
12.0
2.1
3.1
9.0
4.2
4.9
1.3
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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27
Competitive Landscape
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued
Basis of Competition
Level & Trend
Competition in
this industry is
Medium and the
trend is Increasing
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28
Competitive Landscape
Basis of Competition
continued
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29
Competitive Landscape
Basis of Competition
continued
Barriers to Entry
Level & Trend
Barriers to Entry
in this industry are
Medium and Steady
External competition
Work-from-home programs and
telecommuting, e-commerce,
videoconferencing and other internetbased services are increasingly hurting
the demand for commercial real estate.
The ability to work remotely has
allowed firms to downsize office space,
decreasing the amount of space
necessary to run their businesses. The
rise in e-commerce has also hurt
demand for retail space, as Americans
increasingly elect to buy goods online
instead of making purchases at
traditional brick-and-mortar stores.
E-commerce has also improved supply
chain management, allowing firms to
cut inventories, which reduces the need
for warehouse space.
Level
Medium
Low
Mature
Low
Medium
Medium
Low
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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30
Competitive Landscape
Barriers to Entry
continued
Industry
Globalization
Globalization in
this industry is
Low and the trend
is Increasing
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31
Major Companies
Other Companies
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32
Major Companies
Other Companies
continued
CBRE Inc.
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33
Major Companies
Other Companies
continued
healthcare facilities.
The Americas division comprises two
distinct groups: advisory services and
outsourcing services. The advisory
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Other Companies
continued
34
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35
Operating Conditions
Capital intensity
Economy
Commercial
Real Estate
Information, Communications,
Mining, Finance and Real
Estate. To increase revenue
firms need superior debt
management, a stable
macroeconomic environment
and a sound investment plan.
Commercial Building
Construction
Industrial Building
Construction
Construction
Capital Intensive
Labor Intensive
Commercial Real
Estate
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Old Economy
Agriculture and Manufacturing.
Traded goods can be produced
using cheap labor abroad.
To expand firms must merge
or acquire others to exploit
economies of scale, or specialize
in niche, high-value products.
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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36
Operating Conditions
Capital Intensity
continued
Technology
& Systems
Level
The level of
Technology Change
is Medium
Level
The level of
Volatility is Medium
Volatility vs Growth
1000
Revenue Volatility
Hazardous
Rollercoaster
100
10
1
0.1
Stagnant
30
10
Blue Chip
10
30
50
70
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37
Operating Conditions
Revenue Volatility
continued
The level of
Regulation is
Medium and the
trend is Steady
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38
Operating Conditions
Industry Assistance
Level & Trend
The level of
Industry Assistance
is Low and the
trend is Steady
Residential segment
Governmental programs, principally
administered by the Department of
Housing and Urban Development or
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39
Key Statistics
Industry Data
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
Industry
Revenue Value Added
($m)
($m)
886,763.0 436,339.3
950,245.6 447,088.4
960,006.6 447,233.7
932,404.7 430,250.9
851,639.3 374,082.9
781,012.9 317,312.9
791,547.7 337,488.3
816,256.9 349,840.1
901,902.3 408,489.9
957,363.6 427,451.9
1,005,333.5 428,113.7
1,045,099.1 457,475.2
1,080,031.7 468,969.3
1,109,981.2 477,353.4
1,146,202.7 495,756.2
1/33
1/33
3/1304
3/1304
Establishments
2,430,622
2,485,426
2,410,176
2,219,777
2,143,995
2,101,895
2,105,422
2,084,743
2,167,604
2,169,428
2,230,890
2,243,414
2,295,260
2,302,483
2,356,321
1/33
3/1303
Employment Exports
5,498,039
-5,733,190
-5,669,167
-5,408,438
-5,119,786
-4,899,166
-4,874,463
-4,893,050
-5,184,005
-5,280,609
-5,475,475
-5,606,345
-5,757,067
-5,856,484
-6,014,117
-1/33
N/A
5/1304
N/A
Imports
---------------N/A
N/A
Wages
($m)
245,685.3
257,989.5
256,192.4
244,702.4
229,304.2
219,686.3
222,713.9
228,217.9
248,853.2
261,828.0
273,493.4
281,968.2
290,860.1
297,298.0
306,610.1
1/33
3/1304
Industry
EstablishRevenue Value Added
ments
Enterprises Employment Exports
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
7.2
2.5
2.3
1.9
4.3
N/A
1.0
0.0
-3.0
-4.7
-1.1
N/A
-2.9
-3.8
-7.9
-8.1
-4.6
N/A
-8.7
-13.1
-3.4
-2.3
-5.3
N/A
-8.3
-15.2
-2.0
-1.6
-4.3
N/A
1.3
6.4
0.2
0.2
-0.5
N/A
3.1
3.7
-1.0
-1.1
0.4
N/A
10.5
16.8
4.0
3.6
5.9
N/A
6.1
4.6
0.1
-0.2
1.9
N/A
5.0
0.2
2.8
2.6
3.7
N/A
4.0
6.9
0.6
0.3
2.4
N/A
3.3
2.5
2.3
2.2
2.7
N/A
2.8
1.8
0.3
0.1
1.7
N/A
3.3
3.9
2.3
2.2
2.7
N/A
3/33
15/33
27/33
25/33
22/33
N/A
213/1304
388/1304 875/1303 910/1303 575/1304
N/A
Imports
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Wages
(%)
5.0
-0.7
-4.5
-6.3
-4.2
1.4
2.5
9.0
5.2
4.5
3.1
3.2
2.2
3.1
5/33
210/1304
Enterprises
2,387,815
2,432,312
2,317,666
2,128,863
2,078,867
2,044,917
2,048,805
2,025,288
2,098,289
2,095,124
2,150,627
2,157,529
2,205,144
2,208,120
2,257,688
1/33
3/1303
Annual Change
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
Key Ratios
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
IVA/Revenue
(%)
49.21
47.05
46.59
46.14
43.93
40.63
42.64
42.86
45.29
44.65
42.58
43.77
43.42
43.01
43.25
23/33
352/1304
Imports/
Demand
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Exports/
Revenue
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Revenue per
Employee
($000)
161.29
165.74
169.34
172.40
166.34
159.42
162.39
166.82
173.98
181.30
183.61
186.41
187.60
189.53
190.59
18/33
832/1304
Wages/Revenue
(%)
27.71
27.15
26.69
26.24
26.93
28.13
28.14
27.96
27.59
27.35
27.20
26.98
26.93
26.78
26.75
9/33
370/1304
Employees
per Est.
2.26
2.31
2.35
2.44
2.39
2.33
2.32
2.35
2.39
2.43
2.45
2.50
2.51
2.54
2.55
26/33
1148/1303
Domestic
Demand
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Average Wage
($)
44,685.99
44,999.29
45,190.48
45,244.56
44,787.85
44,841.57
45,689.94
46,641.24
48,004.04
49,582.92
49,948.80
50,294.48
50,522.27
50,763.91
50,981.73
10/33
627/1304
Share of the
Economy
(%)
3.07
3.06
3.01
2.90
2.59
2.15
2.24
2.26
2.60
2.65
2.57
2.65
2.62
2.59
2.63
1/33
3/1304
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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40
Industry Jargon
IBISWorld Glossary
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
IBISWorld Glossary
continued
41
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