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Why is in silico ADMET needed? libraries are then run through the HTS to find hits
Traditionally, drugs were discovered by testing com- around which further, more focused, series are designed
pounds synthesized in time-consuming multi-step and synthesized in a next round.
processes against a battery of in vivo biological screens. As the capacity for biological screening and chemical
Promising compounds were then further studied in synthesis have dramatically increased, so have the
development, where their pharmacokinetic properties, demands for large quantities of early information on
metabolism and potential toxicity were investigated. absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion
Adverse findings were often made at this stage1 (FIG. 1), (ADME) and toxicity data (together called ADMET
with the result that the project would be halted or re- data). Various medium and high-throughput in vitro
started to find another clinical candidate — an unac- ADMET screens are therefore now in use. In addition,
ceptable burden on the research and development bud- there is an increasing need for good tools for predicting
get of any pharmaceutical company. these properties to serve two key aims — first, at the
Today, this paradigm has been re-worked in several design stage of new compounds and compound
ways. The testing of drug metabolism, pharmaco- libraries so as to reduce the risk of late-stage attrition;
kinetics and toxicity is today done much earlier; that is, and second, to optimize the screening and testing by
*Pfizer Global Research
before a decision is taken to evaluate a compound in the looking at only the most promising compounds.
& Development, PDM, clinic. However, the rate at which biological screening
Sandwich, Kent CT13 9NJ, data are obtained has dramatically increased, and Drug-like properties. Which properties make drugs dif-
UK. (ultra)high-throughput screening (HTS) facilities are ferent from other chemicals? A number of studies have
‡
Pfizer Global Research & now common at large pharmaceutical companies and been performed with the aim of answering this question
Development, Discovery
Research Informatics, at specialized biotechs2. In response to these develop- (for examples, see REFS 3–6). A particularly influential
2,800 Plymouth Road, ments, a new approach to chemistry — combinatorial example — the analysis of the World Drug Index
Ann Arbor, Michigan chemistry — has been adopted to feed these highly (WDI)5, which lead to Lipinski’s ‘rule-of-five’ — identi-
48105, USA. efficient hit-finding machines. Combinatorial chem- fies several critical properties that should be considered
Correspondence to H.v.d.W.
e-mail: han_waterbeemd@
istry makes it possible to synthesize large series of for compounds with oral delivery in mind. These prop-
sandwich.pfizer.com closely related libraries of chemicals using the same erties, which are usually viewed more as guidelines rather
doi:10.1038/nrd1032 chemical reaction and appropriate reagents. Such than absolute cutoffs, are molecular mass <500 daltons
Box 2 | The need for good data Hydrogen bonding. The hydrogen-bonding capacity of a
drug solute is now recognized as an important determi-
Clearly, larger databases of marketed drugs are required to establish more robust models nant of permeability. In order to cross a membrane, a
to predict various ADME properties, including drug–drug interactions. Several drug molecule needs to break hydrogen bonds with its
published ADME data sets are available for data modelling13,36,47,105–107, but the quality of aqueous environment. The more potential hydrogen
the data and the number of available training examples remain important issues. In the bonds a molecule can make, the more energy this bond-
future, service providers such as Cerep, Novascreen and Cyprotex will be able to offer breaking costs, and so high hydrogen-bonding potential
larger data sets with which to build more robust models.
is an unfavourable property that is often related to low
In a recent symposium, the question of whether the Internet can help as a resource
permeability and absorption.
to collect relevant ADME data was addressed108. The current opinion is that there are
Initially, ∆logP — the difference between octanol/
some good and well-maintained websites available, but unfortunately also many of
water and alkane/water partitioning — was used as a
questionable use in research owing to a lack of control of data quality or reference to
the original data. measure for solute hydrogen-bonding, but this tech-
nique is limited by the poor solubility of many com-
pounds in the alkane phase. A variety of computational
approaches have addressed the problem of estimating
There is continued interest in developing and hydrogen-bonding capacity, ranging from simple hetero-
improving log P calculation programs, and there are atom (O and N) counts, the consideration of molecules
many such programs available. Most calculation in terms of the number of hydrogen-bond acceptors
approaches rely on fragment values, although simple and donors, and more sophisticated measures that take
methods based on molecular size and hydrogen-bonding into account such parameters as free-energy factors30
indicators for functional groups to calculate log P values and (dynamic) polar surface area (PSA)31. The latter
have also been shown to be extremely versatile22. are easily calculated, and it is now believed that a
However, log P values can only be a first estimate of single minimum-energy conformation is sufficient to
the lipophilicity of a compound in a biological environ- compute the PSA, instead of the more computation-
ment. For partition processes in the body, the distribu- ally demanding and time-consuming dynamic polar-
tion coefficient D (log D) — for which an aqueous surface-area calculation31. A fast fragment-based
buffer at pH 7.4 (blood pH) or 6.5 (intestinal pH) is algorithm for PSA has been reported32, which allows
used in the experimental determination — often pro- PSA calculations to be implemented in virtual screen-
vides a more meaningful description of lipophilicity, ing approaches.
especially for ionizable compounds. However, in our
experience, programs that can reliably predict log D are Permeability. Efforts have been undertaken to predict
scarce at present. the permeability of compounds through Caco-2 cells,
which serve as a model for human intestinal absorption,
Solubility. The first step in the drug absorption process in an approach called membrane-interaction quantita-
is the disintegration of the tablet or capsule, followed by tive structure–activity relationships (MI-QSAR)33. But
the dissolution of the active drug. Obviously, low solu- one could ask the question, “Why model the model of
bility is detrimental to good and complete oral absorp- human absorption?”. A more direct approach is to
tion, and so the early measurement of this property is of model processes that would address ‘pure’ measures of
great importance in drug discovery. Reflecting this need, permeability. These include octanol/water partitioning,
rapid, robust methods reliant on turbidimetry and liposome partitioning, retention on immobilized arti-
nephelometry have been developed to efficiently measure ficial membranes (IAM), the parallel artificial mem-
the solubility of large numbers of compounds6,26. brane-permeability assay (PAMPA) and binding to
NEURAL NETWORKS Ideally, only soluble compounds would be synthe- liposomes measured by surface-plasmon-resonance
Neural networks are sized in a drug-discovery programme. Predictive solu- (SPR) biosensors.
computational models that are
bility methods — for example, neural networks —
based on the principles of the
functioning of the brain. They might assist in this effort. However, at present, no Prediction of ADME and related properties
can be used to model nonlinear approaches are robust enough to accurately predict low Absorption. For a compound crossing a membrane by
relationships between dependent solubility. Many current predictive solubility programs27 purely passive diffusion, a reasonable permeability
(biological endpoint to be use training data from different laboratories with varying estimate can be made using single molecular properties,
predicted) and independent
(molecular and structural
quality and different experimental conditions. Hopefully, such as log D or hydrogen-bonding capacity. However,
descriptors) variables. Examples by measuring many compounds under standardized besides the purely physicochemical component con-
include back-propagation and conditions, current predictive models can be improved28. tributing to membrane transport, many compounds are
self-organising maps (SOM; affected by biological events, including the influence of
also called Kohonen neural
pKa. As ionization can also affect the solubility, transporters and metabolism (further discussed in later
networks).
lipophilicity (log D), permeability and absorption of a sections). Many drugs seem to be substrates for trans-
RECURSIVE PARTITIONING compound, approaches have been developed for the porter proteins, which can either promote or hinder
OR DECISION TREES rapid measurement of pKa values of sparingly soluble permeability. In particular, the combined role of
A supervised learning method drug compounds. Using experimental data reported in cytochrome P450 3A4 (CYP3A4) and P-glycoprotein
producing a tree-structured
series of rules to predict a
the literature, several approaches have been used to (P-gp) in the gut as a barrier to drug absorption has
particular property using a set of develop pKa calculators. Programs include ACD/pKa been well studied34. Currently, no theoretical SAR basis
molecular descriptors as input. (ACD), Pallas/pKa (Compudrug) and SPARC29. exists to account for these effects.
descriptors for predicting ATPase activity as the size of THREE-DIMENSIONAL-QSAR P-gp model was generated using
the molecular surface, polarizability and hydrogen- the Catalyst program71. This model allows qualitative
bonding potential68. rank-order and predicts IC50 values for P-gp inhibitors.
Some initial attempts have also been made to under- Other transporters potentially involved in limiting
take P-gp modelling69. Using the primary sequence of the oral uptake of drugs include the MDR-associated
human P-gp and a low-resolution structure, a pseudo- proteins MRP1 and MRP2, and the recently discovered
receptor has been constructed and attempts have been breast-cancer-resistance protein (BCRP). It is important
made to model its interaction with MDR modulators. to expand our knowledge about these transporters, with
A P-gp pharmacophore model consisting of two hydro- a view to developing better tools for the prediction of
phobic points, three hydrogen-bond-acceptor points and oral uptake. Other transporters could also have a key
one donor point was reported70. In another approach, a role in hepatic uptake72 and in order to understand their
Table 2 | Sources for commercial ADMET software 154 drugs, models were generated that correctly pre-
dicted the percentage of drug bound in plasma for ~80%
Company/Institute Software product URL
of the test compounds with an average error of ~14%
Data providers
(REF. 78). A generic model to predict drug-association
Cerep Bioprint www.cerep.fr constants to human serum albumin (HSA) using a
Cyprotex Cloe PK www.cyprotex.com pharmacophoric-similarity concept and PLS was
Novascreen Profile www.novascreen.com reported using a data set of 138 compounds79.
TNO Pharma www.pharma.tno.nl/
Volume of distribution. The volume of distribution,
together with the clearance rate, determine the half-life
of a drug and therefore its dose regimen, and so the
effects on pharmacokinetics it might be necessary to early prediction of both properties would be of great
model them. For example, some modelling work on the benefit. When the logarithm of the volume of distribu-
peptide transporter (PepT1) and the apical sodium- tion is plotted against log D, a scatter plot is obtained
dependent transporter (ASBT), which might be and no correlation is observed. However, when these
involved in active drug uptake, has been reported73. data are corrected for plasma-protein binding, the
resulting plot of the logarithm of the unbound volume
Dermal and ocular penetration. Although much atten- of distribution (log Vdu; BOX 1) against log D reveals a
tion has been given to oral absorption models, some clear linear trend, with log Vdu increasing at higher
drugs are administered through alternative routes, such lipophilicities23. This can be used as a simple guide in
as the skin or eye. For many years, QSAR models have modifying and optimizing the Vdu.
been developed to predict the optimal percutaneous Recently, an approach for predicting volume of dis-
penetration74 (a recent example is given in REF. 75). These tribution values has been presented that used experi-
models resemble oral absorption and BBB models, and mental distribution coefficients at pH 7.4 in
often employ very similar properties and descriptors. The octanol/water, the ionization constant (pKa) of the
existing transdermal models are typically a function of compounds and measured plasma-protein-binding
the octanol/water partition coefficient and terms that data80. In principle, this approach could be fully compu-
have been associated with aqueous solubility, including tational, as predictive models are available for log P and
hydrogen-bonding parameters, molecular weight and pKa, and models for plasma-protein binding are under
molecular flexibility. Commercial models for the predic- development, as described above. Several groups are
tion of solute-permeation rates through the skin are avail- exploring such fully computational models.
able, for example, the QikProp and DermWin programs.
However, it seems that there is little difference between Clearance. Clearance is an important pharmacokinetic
the commercially available models and models published parameter that defines, together with the volume of dis-
in the literature. Most, if not all, of the published skin- tribution, the half-life, and thus the frequency of dosing,
permeation models have been constructed from various of a drug. For a series of adenosine A1 receptor agonists,
compilations of published skin-permeation data sets. not only their clearance, but also their volume of distribu-
tion and protein binding, could be predicted using the
Plasma-protein binding. It is generally assumed that multivariate PLS technique81. As pointed out by the
only free drug can cross membranes and bind to the authors, further improvements might be obtained using
intended molecular target76, and it is therefore impor- nonlinear models, such as neural networks, although the
tant to estimate the fraction of drug bound to plasma application of neural networks is still a relatively new
proteins. Drugs can bind to a variety of particles in the data-modelling method in the field of pharmacokinetics.
blood, including red blood cells, leukocytes and platelets, It was concluded from an exploratory study using
in addition to proteins such as albumin (particularly neural networks in addition to multivariate techniques
acidic drugs), α1-acid glycoproteins (basic drugs), that human hepatic drug clearance was best predicted
lipoproteins (neutral and basic drugs), erythrocytes and from human hepatocyte data, followed by rat hepato-
α,β,γ-globulins. cyte data. In the studied data set, however, animal in vivo
A tentative sigmoidal relationship is observed data did not significantly contribute to the predictions82.
between plasma-protein binding (in percentage of drug However, only a rather limited data set was used in this
bound or unbound) and log D at pH 7.4 (REF. 23). As study, and generalizations from these results should be
there is a considerable scatter of the data around these made with caution at this stage. This study also demon-
sigmoidal trends, adding further descriptors might lead strates that computational predictions can be successful
to better predictive models. One attempt in this direc- if the models can use experimental data as part of their
tion is based on 107 descriptors and uses a technique input. Obviously, however, these models can then only
called genetic function approximation (GFA)77. For a set be used at stages in the drug discovery process where
of 80 compounds, a QSAR with 12 descriptors and a such experimental data are being generated.
correlation coefficient r = 0.91 between measured and
predicted serum-albumin binding data was obtained77. Half-life. The half-life of a drug is a hybrid concept that
Using the multiple computer-automated structure eval- involves clearance and volume of distribution, and it is
uation (M-CASE) program and protein-affinity data for arguably more appropriate to have reliable estimates of
these two properties instead. Nevertheless, neural net- lead to issues related to the polymorphic nature of some
works have been used to predict drug half-life values of of these enzymes and to drug–drug interactions.
antihistamines83. Unfortunately, the method relied on QSAR and molecular modelling approaches for
topographical coding of the molecule using an in-house predicting metabolism could have an increasingly
program, and also involved a number of strongly inter- important role as a possible alternative to in vitro
correlated calculated properties such as log P, pKa, mol- metabolism studies. In silico approaches to predicting
ecular mass and molar refractivity. metabolism can be divided into QSAR and three-
dimensional-QSAR86 studies, protein and pharma-
Physiologically based pharmacokinetic modelling. cophore models87,88 and predictive databases. Some of
There are several approaches to pharmacokinetic the first-generation predictive-metabolism tools
modelling, including empirical, compartmental, clear- currently require considerable input from a computa-
ance-based and physiological models. In the latter, full tional chemist, whereas others can be used as rapid
physiological models of blood flow to and from all filters for the screening of virtual libraries, for exam-
organs and tissues in the body are considered. Such ple, to test for CYP3A4 liability 89.
physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models Perhaps the most intellectually satisfying molecular
can be used to study concentration–time profiles in modelling studies are those based on the crystal struc-
individual organs and in the plasma84,85. In the future, ture of the metabolizing enzymes (FIG. 2). Historically,
we expect that PBPK models will be linked to absorp- these structure-based models have relied on crystal-
tion modelling, as discussed above, and the first examples structure information from bacterial homologues87,88.
of this type of linkage are Cyprotex’ Cloe PK and However, the crystal structures of the more relevant
Simulations Plus’ GastroPlus. mammalian cytochrome P450s have been announced
Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD)- (CYP3A4 and CYP2C9) and the structure of CYP2C5
modelling links dose–concentration relationships (PK) is publicly available.
and concentration–effect relationships (PD). This Early predictions of the vulnerability to metabolism
approach facilitates the description and prediction of of certain positions in the molecule might help to elimi-
the time course of drug effects resulting from a certain nate metabolic liabilities. An example of such an
dose regimen. Further progress in understanding approach is the use of reaction energetics to develop a
PK/PD relationships and the availability of specialized predictive CYP3A4 metabolism model90. Another pro-
software not further discussed here, in combination gram, called MetaSite (Cruciani, G.; abstract presented
with advanced PBPK modelling, will greatly enhance at Euro QSAR 2002), is based on a pharmacophore
our capability to perform reliable PK predictions in representation obtained from interaction fields for the
humans. The linkage of absorption simulation and protein structure and a pharmacophoric fingerprint for
PBPK models will bring us closer to a full simulation of the potential substrate.
drug disposition, one that will hopefully be based on Several approaches that use databases to predict
only a few properties that can be readily measured in metabolism are available or under development91,
vitro and/or computed. including expert systems, such as MetabolExpert
(Compudrug), META (MultiCASE) or Meteor
Metabolism. Several aspects of metabolism are relevant to (Lhasa), and the databases Metabolite (MDL) and
drug discovery, including the rate and extent of metabo- Metabolism (Accelrys)92. Ultimately, such programs
lism (turnover), the enzymes involved and the products might be linked to computer-aided toxicity prediction
formed, each of which can give rise to different concerns. on the basis of quantitative structure–toxicity relation-
The extent and rate of metabolism affect clearance, ships and expert systems for toxicity evaluation such as
whereas the involvement of particular enzymes might DEREK (Lhasa) and MultiCase.
Optimization problem
Transporters
Cytochromes P-450 Others
P-gp MRP OATP OCTP Which P-450? Which conjugate? Paracellular Transcellular
Type II
PXR CAR AHR binding Mechanistic
Figure 3 | An analysis of the crucial ADME processes for which predictive models are available or are being developed11.
This figure does not suggest a logical flow in ADME studies, but rather tries to group the problem areas for which predictive
models could be of help.
In silico prediction of toxicity issues systems. The primary emphasis of the current software
Toxicity is responsible for many compounds failing to packages is carcinogenicity93 and mutagenicity, although
reach the market and for the withdrawal of a signifi- some packages do also include models and/or know-
cant number of compounds from the market once ledge bases for other end-points, such as teratogenicity,
they have been approved. It has been estimated that irritation, sensitization, immunotoxicology and neuro-
~20–40% of drug failures in investigational drug toxicity. There is currently an unmet need for in silico
development can be attributed to toxicity concerns predictive toxicology software94,95 for other end-points
(for example, as shown in FIG. 1)1. important in drug development, such as QT prolon-
The existing commercially available in silico tools for gation96,97, hepatotoxicity and phospholipidosis98.
forecasting potential toxicity issues can be roughly
classified into two groups. The first approach uses Drug–drug interactions. Patients often receive several
expert systems that derive models on the basis of medications at the same time, and if the drugs involved
abstracting and codifying knowledge from human compete for the same enzymes to be metabolized, or if
experts and the scientific literature. The second the same transporters are involved in transporting the
approach relies primarily on the generation of descrip- drugs across membranes, this can lead to undesired
tors of chemical structure and statistical analysis of the effects with possibly even fatal results. Therefore, during
relationships between these descriptors and the toxico- drug development, new chemical entities intended for
logical end-point. Recent reviews have compared and use as a new drug are now often screened in vitro for
contrasted the commercially available in silico toxicology potential drug–drug interactions.
software93–95. As has been previously mentioned, the The quantitative prediction of such interactions has
most important part of any in silico approach is the been attempted in a system called Q-DIPS (quantitative
quality of the underlying data used to develop the models drug interactions prediction system)99. Another approach
(BOX 2). The limited availability of public-domain toxi- is the SimCYP project at the University of Sheffield, which
cology data has limited the number of toxicological integrates human physiological, anatomical and genetic
end-points forecasted by the commercially available information with human in vitro data, and which can
Hydrogen-bonding Clearance
capability
IC50 Toxicity
Figure 4 | Towards prediction paradise. As more and more robust models for the crucial endpoints in the drug discovery process
become available, we will increasingly be in a position to map out the potential qualities of a new chemical purely from its molecular
structure and appropriate descriptors using a suite of predictive models. These range from models for simple physicochemical
properties, such as hydrogen bonding-capability, molecular mass, solubility and lipophilicity (log D), to models for ADME properties,
such as percentage drug absorbed and bioavailable, clearance, volume of distribution and half-life, to complex endpoints, such as
the binding (IC50) to the molecular target of the new drug, its required dose and toxicity potential.
biotechnology industry, in silico approaches will would be a combination of models for log D, solubil-
inevitably find their place. As expressed recently, “the ity, permeability, CYP3A4 metabolism and efflux and
insilicoids are coming and will save the world”103. influx mediated by transporters such as P-gp.
During the next few years, the range of models will A recent report on in silico technology estimates
further expand to include, for example, metabolism that by 2006 ~10% of pharmaceutical R&D expendi-
by non-P450 enzymes, models for various trans- ture will be on computer simulation and modelling, a
porters, predictors for volume of distribution, plasma figure set to rise to 20% by 2016. It seems clear that as
protein binding, and so on (FIG. 3). The ability to con- a whole, the pharmaceutical R&D landscape will fur-
tinuously adapt and refine the existing models by ther change104, and that computational ADMET will
building on larger and higher-quality data sets will be be part of this change.
crucial to the success of the in silico approaches. In the next 10 years or so, building on what is
FIGURE 4 outlines the key parameters in the prediction already starting in several companies, the degree of
of a safe drug given in an acceptable dose, which it is automation in traditional drug metabolism depart-
ultimately hoped will be reliably obtainable from mol- ments will continue to increase, and fully automated
ecular structure and appropriate descriptors using a medium- and high-throughput in vitro assays will be
suite of predictive models. used alongside in silico modelling and data interpreta-
Today, most models are rule-based and may use tion. Whereas ADME today stands for absorption, dis-
descriptors that are not easily understood by the tribution, metabolism and excretion, in the future we
chemist and not easy to translate into better molecular might instead speak of the ‘automated decision-making
structures. Clearly, there is a need for a new generation engine’ (FIG. 5). There could well be two types of ADME
of mechanism-based models that will provide the technology in the future: the early discovery paradigm
required understanding and which can be successfully (based on in vitro and in silico approaches) and the reg-
used for prediction and simulation of ADMET proper- ulatory one (close to today’s approach). In any case,
ties. Such second-generation predictive models could there is much basic science that needs to be done first,
be combinations of models (that is, meta-models) for making this an especially exciting time to be involved in
the partial processes; for example, oral absorption ADMET prediction and drug discovery.
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