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Roundtable Discussion
GERMANY: RESPONSE
TO THE CRISIS
Contents
Roundtable Discussion
Speakers around the table
With current M&A and corporate finance related activity in Germany low, this roundtable event
held in Q3 2009 in Munich examined how the German market has reacted to the financial crisis.
The following is an edited transcript of the discussion.
Roundtable Discussion
SL: I agree that you have to try a little harder to find ways to get
to the same spot as before. In addition to the things mentioned,
I should add that structures are now more focussed on earn-
outs or earn-out type constellations. The only way to get around
a situation in which a management team insists that they will
grow a business 50% over the next five years, despite there
having been no growth in the last three years, is to say: let’s put
something in place that rewards you if you manage that, but
that doesn’t punish us if you don’t. You have to now think about
aligning interests and incentivising management over the longer
term rather than a clean deal where everything is wrapped up
from day one.
MB: I think deals are structured in a better way than they were
before. Twelve or 18 months ago, we were more or less asked
to buy very complex businesses with our eyes virtually closed.
Buying a business is different from buying a car, and therefore
the risk should be shared in a more effective way.
Roundtable Discussion
that have expertise and networks in growth industries are well Calls for regulation are coming up because there seem to have
positioned for the next cycle, I say this as it probably can’t get any been some private equity funds that operated in a more secretive
worse than it has been for the last 12 plus months. way towards their LPs than they would have desired. This
arrangement works well as long as the private equity house is
AM: In Germany, you have to be an active investor and take a more reporting good news and sending cheques. It obviously breaks
entrepreneurial role post-deal, fully engaging all the stakeholders down when you have bad news to report. One of the things that
in a company. This means you might have to put in more effort at will come out of this crisis is that private equity funds will have to
portfolio company level, but our clients have told us that you can be a little more transparent with their investors and a lot clearer
achieve better by putting in this effort. It also results in a much on portfolio structure, valuation and overall levels of leverage. LPs
broader strategy and business plan, which can benefit the growth can then continue to feel comfortable with the asset class, even at
of a company. This is obviously to everyone’s benefit. times such as now where it is obviously under pressure.
• Challenges in estimating the Cost of Capital • Should a valuation use current, historical or projected
- Which risk-free rate should be used? multiples?
- What is the proper equity risk premium? • Is the current EBITDA appropriate for applying to the
- How did the collapse in the financial industry affect my multiple?
firm’s beta? • Will the historical peak-to-trough cycle of a company match
• Assessing the reasonableness of financial projections the future peak-to-trough?
- Are the projections aggressive or conservative given the
current environment? Valuation-driving market multiple selections are even more
- How do we treat the Net Operating Losses, a tax asset, of critical if the value falls within the ‘Red Zone’ in which slight
a company? adjustments could dramatically affect a conclusion.
- What is the amount of “new money” necessary for a
company to achieve its business plan?
Senior Debt Second Lien Term Loan / Mezzanine Debt Enterprise Value
Roundtable Discussion
To assess the financial viability of a company, long-term Step 2: Cash Flows Assess Company Liquidity
projected performance needs to be reviewed in conjunction Can cash flows pay debt obligations?
with the current situation. Companies that look solvent today
EBITDA 250
may not be solvent tomorrow. A simple example comparing
two companies with similar free cash flow but different capital Capex: 10
structures demonstrates the importance of not only measuring Taxes 25
the current health of a company but also estimating its future FCF1 215
strength.
Principle Due: 200
Which company is in a Interest Due: 85
1
Free Cash Flow “FCF” = EBITDA - Cash Taxes - Capital Expenditures
2
Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio = FCF/Fixed Charges
(€ in 000s)
Company 2 Step 3: Conclude Which Company is in Better Position?
Enterprise Value €140,000 In the first scenario, Company In the second scenario,
1’s enterprise value exceeds Company 2’s enterprise value
Debt Securities
the outstanding debt but is less than the outstanding
Senior Debt (125,000) Company 1 may not have debt but Company 2 should
Second Lien Term Loan / Mezzanine Debt (100,000) the ability to refinance in the have the ability to service
current environment. upcoming payments.
Aggregate Equity Value Surplus/(Deficit) -€85,000
Solvency Tests Solvency Tests
Balance Sheet: Pass Balance Sheet: Fail
Cash Flow: Fail Cash Flow: Pass
Duff & Phelps is well positioned to provide a debtor, creditor or security trustee an independent going concern business enterprise
value and expert testimony. We are confident in assessing and defending ‘where the debt breaks’ in connection with negotiations
amongst various stakeholders.
Roundtable Discussion
most Key Jurisdictions impose a strict liability on the legal
representatives of the company in case they sell assets without National legal
such prior consent of the shareholder meeting. Another widely
spread safeguard against the sale of a substantial part of
safeguards against
assets are national provisions according to which a (majority)
shareholder must not act to the detriment of a subsidiary, for
undue financial
instance by instructing the company to sell its core assets even assistance and other
if such sale is not in the best interests of the company. If a
(majority) shareholder or his representatives violate such rules, forms of upstream
they may be held personally liable.
loans/security imposed
b) Distributions to the shareholders
In all Key Jurisdictions the distribution of assets (i.e. profit
by the shareholders to
distributions, buybacks of own shares and reductions of the the target company
share capital) to the company’s shareholders is restricted
by capital maintenance rules. In the event that assets of the Also, Key Jurisdictions contain strict safeguards against
company have been sold to the detriment of the interests undue financial assistance and other forms of upstream
of the remaining shareholders, creditors or employees, the loans, and security imposed by the shareholder to the target
provisions on distribution of assets still contain very strict company.
rules for payments which are effected with the purpose to
distribute the proceeds from such sale to the shareholders. 1. Financial assistance
In particular, the restrictions on the payment of dividends are Financial assistance for the purpose of this article shall mean
very effective. In all limited liability companies falling within the the assistance given by a company for the purchase of its own
scope of the Second Company Law Directive (Directive 77/91/ shares, or the shares of its parent company by an investor.
EEC as amended by Directive 2008/68/EC), a distribution of Such assistance can be given in different ways, for instance
dividends can only be effected if after such distribution both by an advance payment, a direct loan, or a guarantee or other
the registered capital and any mandatory capital reserves are security for a loan by financing banks in order to support the
covered by assets, the book value of which corresponds to investor’s acquisition debt.
such registered capital and mandatory capital reserves. As
such, provisions protect creditors because they are mandatory All Key Jurisdictions implemented the strict restrictions
and cannot be set aside by a unanimous resolution of the on financial assistance of public limited liability companies
shareholders. Such requirements have been fully implemented required by the wording of Art. 23 of the Second Company
into all Key Jurisdictions. Law Directive (Directive 77/91/EEC) prior to its amendment.
Most Key Jurisdictions not only implemented Art. 23, but also
2. Asset stripping and Taxation enacted additional limitations, namely provisions governing
Most European member states levy ordinary tax rates on capital by-passing structures and transactions with the same effect
gains from the disposal of assets and business units, as well as as the transactions listed in Art. 23. Moreover, many Key
certain duties on fair market values of transferred assets. On the Jurisdictions also enacted restrictions on financial assistance
basis of current tax laws, asset stripping strategies are therefore of private limited liability companies, thereby going beyond the
unattractive precisely because they trigger a considerable tax applicability scope of Art. 23 Directive 77/91/EEC. Art. 23 was
burden. Only share deals may provide for an exemption to these recently deregulated by Directive 2008/68/EC, as the European
rules, often due to the participation exemptions introduced in a legislator intended to ease changes in the ownership while at
number of member states. With a view of the lack of attractiveness the same time stipulating strict safeguards protecting both
of asset stripping strategies, European member states have in the shareholders and creditors. As a result, the protection level
past consequently not seen any reason to provide for specific anti for the latter continuous to be high.
avoidance provisions for asset stripping rules.
2. Upstream loans/security which the AIFM needs to fulfil towards the representatives of
All Key Jurisdictions contain a variety of limitations on the employees of a target company, provided the AIF managed
upstream loans/security to a parent company or a third party by such AIFM hold a controlling influence, as further defined in
which do not qualify as financial assistance. Upstream loans the AIFM-Directive Proposal. The term significant divestment of
for the purpose of this article are post-acquisition loans which assets is not defined in the AIFM-Directive Proposal. The AIFM-
the target company grants to its parent company and which do Directive Proposal stipulates that the Member States shall
not qualify as financial assistance. The term upstream security ensure that the AFIM includes into the annual report of each
encompasses security for a loan which a third party has granted AIF a statement on significant divestment of assets. The AIFM
to the parent company. The national safeguards in place shall provide such annual report and hence, the statement
comprise (i) restrictions on related party agreements, (ii) the on significant divestment of assets to all representatives of
requirement that the granting of the loan/security must comply the employees of the company concerned, no later than four
with the target company’s corporate purpose and interest, (iii) months following the end of the respective financial year.
the prohibition to affect the non-distributable reserves when
granting the loan/security, (iv) the test whether the claim This envisaged disclosure requirement vis-à-vis the
against the borrower is fully realisable and (v) the necessity to representatives of the employees does not seem to be
point out the reasons for granting the loan/security. necessary. Most Key Jurisdictions not only contain similar
requirements with respect to the annual report, but also
3. National legal safeguards against secret stake building in comprise disclosure requirements which relate to specific
listed target companies cases of asset disposals. Hence, the employees will be
All Key Jurisdictions contain provisions in order to protect listed informed about such transactions before, or immediately after,
companies against secret stake building, in particular through they have been executed. This level of protection is significantly
notification requirements. Such provisions also govern secret higher than a mere disclosure of a significant divestment of
stake building through certain financial instruments. As a general assets in the annual report, which subsequently has to be made
rule, the aforementioned national provisions are based on the available to the employees’ representatives.
implementation of the Transparency Directive (Directive 2004/109/
EC) and its substantiating Directive 2007/14/EC. According to Moreover, all Key Jurisdictions have implemented the so-called
Art. 13 (1) Directive 2004/109/EC, certain financial instruments Acquired Rights Directive (Directive 2001/23/EC dated March
also have to be considered for the purpose of the voting rights 12, 2001 on the approximation of the laws of the Member States
thresholds. In some Key Jurisdictions, this also includes cash relating to the safeguarding of employees’ rights in the event of
settled equity swaps. Furthermore, certain Key Jurisdictions also transfers of undertakings, businesses or parts of undertakings
require shareholders reaching certain voting right thresholds (e.g. or businesses); or have adopted similar provisions which
10 %) to disclose their intentions and plans for the company. provide for the transparency vis-à-vis the employees in certain
cases of a transfer of assets which entangles a transfer of
Transparency employees.
requirements with
respect to a significant
divestment of assets vis-
à-vis the employees
The recent AIFM-Directive Proposal, mentioned at the
beginning of this article, sets forth certain information
obligations with respect to a significant divestment of assets,
Roundtable Discussion
Historical data
Top 20 German M&A transactions, Q1-Q3 2009
Ranking Announced Status Target company Target Target Bidder Bidder Seller Seller Deal
date sector country company country company country value
(€m)
1 Jun-09 C Hypo Real Estate Holding AG Financial Germany SoFFin Germany 2,960
(81.00% stake) Services
2 Mar-09 C Daimler AG (9.10% stake) Industrials Germany Aabar United Arab 1,954
& Investment PJSC Emirates
Chemicals
3 Jan-09 C Commerzbank AG (25.00% Financial Germany SoFFin Germany 1,770
stake) Services
4 May-09 P VNG-Verbundnetz Gas AG Energy, Germany EnBW Energie Germany EWE AG Germany 1,200
(47.90% stake) Mining & Baden-
Utilities Wuerttemberg
AG
5 Jun-09 P E.ON AG (13 hydro power Energy, Germany Oesterreichische Austria E.ON AG Germany 1,000
plants in Bavaria) Mining & Elektrizitaets-
Utilities wirtschaft AG
6 Jan-09 C RWE Westfalen Weser Ems Energy, Germany RWE AG Germany Municipal communities Germany 800
AG (20.03% stake) Mining & (Germany)
Utilities
7 Feb-09 C Danisco Sugar A/S (Anklam Consumer Germany Suiker Unie Netherlands Nordzucker AG Germany 730
factory)
8 Feb-09 C Mitteldeutsche Energy, Germany J&T Finance Czech NRG Energy Inc; URS USA 404
Braunkohlengesellschaft Mining & Group AS; Republic Corporation
mbH Utilities Severoceske Doly
9 Jul-09 C IDS Scheer AG TMT Germany Software AG Germany 401
10 Aug-09 C Deutsche Schiffsbank AG Financial Germany Commerzbank Germany HypoVereinsbank AG Germany 400
(12.00% stake) Services AG
11 Aug-09 C Porsche Automobil Holding Industrials Germany Qatar Holding Qatar Piech family (private Germany 390
SE (5.00% stake) & LLC investors); Porsche
Chemicals family (private investors)
12 Apr-09 P Stadtwerke Bremen AG Energy, Germany EWE AG Germany Freie Hansestadt Germany 360
(25.90% stake) Mining & Bremen (City of Bremen)
Utilities
13 Apr-09 C DAWAG Real Estate Germany Meravis Germany Vereinte Germany 360
Wohnungsbau- Dienstleistungs-
und Immobilien gewerkschaft
GmbH
14 Sep-09 C BRAHMS AG Pharma, Germany Thermo Fisher USA HBM BioVentures AG Switzerland 330
Medical & Scientific Inc
Biotech
15 Jun-09 P Stadtwerke Bremen AG Energy, Germany EWE AG Germany Freie Hansestadt Germany 320
(25.10% stake) Mining & Bremen (City of
Utilities Bremen)
16 Sep-09 P Easycash GmbH Business Germany Ingenico SA France Warburg Pincus LLC USA 290
Services
17 Jun-09 C RMG Group Industrials Germany Honeywell USA Triton Partners United 286
& International Inc Kingdom
Chemicals
18 Feb-09 C Hanseatische Verlags- TMT Germany Verlagsgesell- Germany Axel Springer AG Germany 263
Beteiligungs AG (23.00% schaft Madsack
stake); Kieler Nachrichten GmbH & Co KG
(24.50% stake); Leipziger
Verlags-und Druckerei GmbH
& Co. KG (44.90% stake);
Luebecker Nachrichten
GmbH (49.00% stake)
19 Jul-09 P Infineon Technologies AG TMT Germany Golden Gate USA Infineon Technologies Germany 250
(Wireline Communications Capital AG
business)
20 Aug-09 C Kalle GmbH Industrials Germany Silverfleet Capital United Montagu Private Equity Germany 213
& Partners LLP Kingdom GmbH
Chemicals
C = Completed; P = Pending; L = Lapsed
1 Sep-09 C BRAHMS AG Medical, Germany Thermo Fisher USA HBM BioVentures Switzerland 330
Pharma & Scientific Inc AG
Biotech
2 Sep-09 P Easycash GmbH Business Germany Ingenico SA France Warburg Pincus USA 290
Services LLC
3 Jun-09 C RMG Group Industrials & Germany Honeywell USA Triton Partners United 286
Chemicals International Inc Kingdom
4 Jul-09 P Infineon Technologies TMT Germany Golden Gate Capital USA Infineon Germany 250
AG (Wireline Technologies AG
Communications
business)
5 Aug-09 C Kalle GmbH Industrials & Germany Silverfleet Capital United Montagu Private Germany 213
Chemicals Partners LLP Kingdom Equity GmbH
6 Aug-09 P Aleo Solar AG Industrials & Germany Robert Bosch GmbH Germany HANNOVER Germany 192
Chemicals Finanz GmbH;
Marius Eriksen
(private investor)
7 Jul-09 C LEWA GmbH Industrials & Germany Nikkiso Co Ltd Japan Deutsche Germany 172
Chemicals Beteiligungs AG;
Quadriga Capital
Services GmbH
8 Jun-09 P Neumayer Tekfor GmbH Industrials & Germany AXA Private Equity; USA 172
Chemicals Barclays Private
Equity Ltd; Fifth Third
Bancorp; Gartmore
Direct Fund II Scottish
LP; ING; Landesbank
Baden-Wuerttemberg;
Nationwide Private Equity
Fund LLC; NIBC Bank NV
9 Apr-09 P TMD Friction Holdings Industrials & Germany Pamplona Capital United TMD Friction Luxembourg 100
GmbH Chemicals Management LLP Kingdom Luxembourg Sarl
10 Aug-09 C Actebis Holding GmbH Business Germany Droege Capital GmbH Germany ARQUES Germany 93
Services Industries AG
11 Jul-09 C CeDo Folien und TMT Germany Rutland Fund II United Delton AG Germany 61
Haushaltsprodukte GmbH Kingdom
12 Jan-09 C ddp Deutscher Industrials & Germany BLUO SICAV SIF Luxembourg ARQUES Germany 30
Depeschendienst GmbH; Chemicals Industries AG
Evotape S.p.A; Rohner
AG; The BEA Group
13 Aug-09 P Hallhuber GmbH Consumer Germany Change Capital Fund United Stefanel GmbH Italy 25
II LP Inc Kingdom
14 Apr-09 C Heinrich Berndes Consumer Germany Palace Park United CFC Industrie Germany 23
Haushaltstechnik GmbH Investments Ltd Kingdom Beteiligungen
& Co. KG (34.30% stake) GmbH & Co KGaA
15 Jul-09 C Samas GmbH & Co KG Consumer Germany Innovation Change Germany Samas NV Netherlands 20
(94.00% stake) GmbH; Samas GmbH &
Co KG (MBO Vehicle)
16 Mar-09 C innovatis AG Pharma, Germany Roche Diagnostics Ltd Switzerland Ventizz Capital Germany 15
Medical & Partners Advisory
Biotech AG
17 Feb-09 C Integrata AG (91.04% Business Germany Cornerstone Equity USA Logica plc United 15
stake) Services Investors Kingdom
18 Sep-09 P EliteMedianet GmbH TMT Germany Tomorrow Focus AG Germany Burda Digital Germany 13
(36.93% stake) Ventures GmbH;
EliteMedianet
Beteiligungs GbR
19 Mar-09 C Pro2 Anlagentechnik Industrials & Germany Deutsche KWK- USA Alkane Energy plc United 9
GmbH Chemicals Gesellschaft mbH Kingdom
20 Jan-09 C Meade Instruments Consumer Germany Bresser GmbH Germany Meade USA 9
Europe GmbH & Co. KG Instruments
Corporation
C = Completed; P = Pending; L = Lapsed
Roundtable Discussion
German M&A trends
All German M&A German buyouts
Period Volume Value(€m) Avg. deal size Period Volume Value(€m) Avg. deal size
(€m) (€m)
Q1 2004 132 11,591 88 Q1 2004 22 1,276 58
Q2 2004 157 16,455 105 Q2 2004 28 6,886 246
Q3 2004 140 10,359 74 Q3 2004 28 5,806 207
Q4 2004 183 19,066 104 Q4 2004 40 5,250 131
Q1 2005 134 14,810 111 Q1 2005 25 2,596 104
Q2 2005 149 38,950 261 Q2 2005 33 8,293 251
Q3 2005 183 13,670 75 Q3 2005 40 5,702 143
Q4 2005 196 26,740 136 Q4 2005 44 8,911 203
Q1 2006 155 26,375 170 Q1 2006 41 2,178 53
Q2 2006 151 10,428 69 Q2 2006 44 4,663 106
Q3 2006 177 18,720 106 Q3 2006 40 5,609 140
Q4 2006 198 27,641 140 Q4 2006 58 14,605 252
Q1 2007 173 14,693 85 Q1 2007 38 6,213 164
Q2 2007 156 31,450 202 Q2 2007 35 7,124 204
Q3 2007 174 24,943 143 Q3 2007 38 4,058 107
Q4 2007 174 12,215 70 Q4 2007 39 2,105 54
Q1 2008 143 4,983 35 Q1 2008 34 1,566 46
Q2 2008 154 16,886 110 Q2 2008 48 10,831 226
Q3 2008 155 48,384 312 Q3 2008 37 3,242 88
Q4 2008 113 14,271 126 Q4 2008 17 193 11
Q1 2009 115 6,616 58 Q1 2009 16 63 4
Q2 2009 96 7,411 77 Q2 2009 17 303 18
Q3 2009 92 3,662 40 Q3 2009 17 662 39
Total 3,500 420,319 Total 779 108,135
60 14,000
50,000
200
12,000
50
40,000
value of deals ( m)
value of deals ( m)
number of deals
10,000
number of deals
150
40
30,000 8,000
30
100
6,000
20,000
20
4,000
50
10,000
10 2,000
0 0 0 0
26%
12%
8,000
30
7,000
25
6,000
value of deals ( m)
number of deals
20 5,000
15 4,000
3,000
10
2,000
5
1,000
0 0
volume value( m)
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