Sie sind auf Seite 1von 39

Weekly PriceWatch Report

Issue No.44 - 4th November 2013

CONTENTS
Notes to PriceWatch Report

Confidentiality Statement.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY....

POLYESTER CHAIN

Polyester Staple Fibre.

Polyester Filament Yarn.

Polyester Chips.

10

Purified Terephthalic Acid

11

Mono Ethylene Glycol..

12

Paraxylene

13

Ethylene..

14

NYLON CHAIN.

15

Nylon Filament Yarn


16
Polypropylene 17

Nylon Chips
18

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

Caprolactum..

19

Benzene..

20

ACRYLIC CHAIN..

21

Acrylic Staple Fibre

22

Acrylonitrile.

23

Propylene

24

VISCOSE CHAIN.

25

Viscose Staple Fibre

26

Viscose Filament Yarn.

27

Wood and Cotton Pulp

28

COTTON..

29

WOOL..

30

SPUN YARN..

31

100% Cotton Spun Yarn..

31

100% Polyester Spun Yarn.

32

100% Viscose Spun Yarn..

33

Polyester / Cotton Blended Yarn..

34

Polyester / Viscose Blended Yarn

35

Spandex Yarn.

36

NAPHTHA...

37

CRUDE OIL.

38

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Notes to PriceWatch Report

MARKET TERMS
FOB

Free on Board

CIF

Cost+insurance+Freight

C+F/CNF/CFR

Cost+Freight

FD or Delivered

Free delivery within 300 sq.km

Mainstream offer

Main market offer

Spot

Main market cash transaction

Local

Local main market prices inclusive of all federal and local taxes

Contract

Producers' nominated price for ensuing month

Ex-work

Ex-factory price

Far East Asia

South East Asia

MARKETS BY REGIONS
S. West Asia

Europe

USA
US Gulf

China

Thailand

India

Rotterdam

Korea

Malaysia

Pakistan

ARA

Taiwan

Indonesia

Japan

Phillipines
Singapore

EXCHANGE RATE = US$ 1

CONVERSION RATE

25-Oct

China Yuan

Last 12 Last 6 Oct-13


mths
6.222 wks
6.143 6.142

Indian Rs

57.305 61.530 61.474

Pak Rs.

99.843 106.153 106.314 106.501 106.909

1-Nov

2.204

Pounds/kg

6.133

6.145

7.33

Barrels/Ton

61.625

61.905

299

Gallons/ton

Australian $

1.015

1.054

1.052

1.040

1.057

Euro

0.759

0.735

0.734

0.724

0.741

37.32

Kgs / Maund

355.60

Kgs / Candy

NOTES to Report
Prices covered in this report relate to "Low" of the "Low/High" price range

The Base of Benchmark is the major supplying region in the fibre chain
Value chain pricing intensity is the relation of the product under review with its upstream raw material segment and with its
close substitutes. It is also a conversion cost indicator. For example, naphtha is produced from crude oil, paraxylene from
naphtha, PTA from paraxylene, MEG from ethylene, POY from PTA/MEG, DTY/FDY from POY. Similarly substitute are like viscose
to cotton, acrylic to wool. Another example is the blending of cotton with polyester. In this report value chain pricing intensity,
we have, to the best of our knowledge cross linked the value chain to the immediate upstream and to the closest market term.

Confidentiality Statement
This document is confidential and has been made available to the individual to whom it is addressed on the understanding that its
content and copyrights will not be misused. Reproduction of any part of this work by any process whatsoever without written
permission of YNFX.com is strictly prohibited. The levels are published to use purely as a guide.
All prices in this PriceWatch Report are indicative prices and may vary according to the type of fiber, quality level required.
Information contained in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however YNFX.com will accept no
responsibility or liability for commercial decisions claimed to have been based on the content of the report.

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Executive Summary
Brent down more than US$3 to settle lowest since July
Brent crude oil fell sharply this week end, tumbling by nearly US$3 a barrel, and settling at its lowest point since early July, thus
narrowing its premium over US crude in heavy selling. Meanwhile US crude oil futures also sank to the lowest since June, while
Brent ended with its largest daily percentage loss also since June. The markets shrugged Libya's oil supply outage and focused on
a strong US$ and a supply overhang that set an overall bearish market tone. Concerns over supply from Libya wavered as North
Sea oil fields returned from maintenance. A firmer US$ makes commodities priced in the greenback more expensive for overseas
investors. A report showing US manufacturing sector expanding at its fastest pace in 2-1/2 years in October also strengthened the
dollar to its highest in more than one month. Brent crude for December delivery settled at US$105.91 a barrel, a loss of 2.7
percent, its largest daily percentage loss since June 20. US oil for December settled at US$94.61, posting a fourth straight week of
losses and its longest losing streak since June 2012. It was the lowest settlement price for the US contract since 21 June at
US$93.69.
Polyester Chain: Stable on support of monthly CP settlements
Ethylene prices in Asian markets were down on weak buying sentiment and concerns about easing tight supplies. Prices have
been falling over the past four weeks ending the steady upward movement for 10 weeks in a row across the region. In Europe,
NWE ethylene contract price for November was fully settled at fall of Euro 30 on the month while spot prices were too seen
falling sharply. In US, spot ethylene jumped reaching a 1-month high on increased buying interest. Paraxylene prices in Asia fell on
the week due to a rollover of laycan. Meanwhile, no major settlement was reached for November paraxylene Asian Contract
Price, the fourth month this year that buyers and sellers failed to agree on a single price. European spot price for paraxylene was
assessed down while US spot tanked as talks lowered amid excess supply. MEG prices rose in Asia amid firmer crude. In Europe,
October MEG contract price was fully settled at a fall on September while US MEG contracts also moved down as lower prices in
Asia and a slight decline in US Gulf pricing contributed to fall. Despite falling paraxylene prices Asian PTA markets were flat and
prices generally remained unchanged. With flat PTA markets and rising MEG prices, the polyester chip markets remained gripped
by caution and producers adopted wait-and-watch stance. Semi dull PET chip market was thinly traded for the dearth of enquiries
while super bright chip mirrored SD chip market with sporadic deal done at high levels. Polyester filament yarn markets in Asia
saw some activities boosted by restocking on rigid demand early this month and healthy trend of PTA futures. In China, offers for
POY were revised upward sporadically, and those for FDY and DTY were largely maintained. In Pakistan, DTY market went stable
while Indian POY prices trended lower but producers maintained their offers amid obvious selling indications. Polyester staple
fibre markets went range-bound with short-covering demand emerging at month-end in China. However, prospect about future
was diverged. Prices in India were seen dropping for fourth consecutive weeks given the sluggish tone dominating and the Rupee
weakening further.
Nylon Chain: European benzene at its lowest since end 2011
Asian benzene prices fell amid thin demand from China and weaker downstream SM derivatives prices. Market activities were
mostly focused on December and January cargoes. European benzene market continued its freefall sinking to lowest level since
end 2011, as the appetite for spot volumes remained curbed and traders found it difficult to clear stocks. US spot benzene price
also declined as November contract price settled lower. The softening of benzene saw downstream caprolactum market going
range-bound also due to small change in downstream demand amid expanding supply. Low-end prices softened due to increasing
availability. Nylon chip markets were weak as producers faced high cost pressure while buyers still kept purchases on need-to
basis. In China, producers were running at low capacity, citing high cost pressure, but inventory was around 7-15 days, and run
rate of high-speed spinning chip producers was at around 80% with stable demand and firm prices. The softening of caprolactum
and nylon chip prices continued to support nylon textile yarn market. However, demand for NFY remained lackluster on tight cash
flow and high inventory in downstream textile sectors, and the weakness is expected to last into November.
Acrylic Chain: ASF prices decline after prolonged stability
Asian propylene markets were diverse as prices rose in the Northeast Asian market but declined in Southeast Asia on ample
supply. European spot propylene market fell as November contract price was fully settled at a decrease from October. In US spot
refinery-grade propylene gained as November talks remained firm despite nomination were flat for the month. Acrylonitrile
prices declined in Asia due to an influx of offers for deepsea cargoes, particularly from the US amid limited demand. European
acrylonitrile market saw spot prices fall this week due to weak demand in the market. In US, acrylonitrile export assessment was
steady on the week amid thin trade activity. Acrylic staple fibre prices declined in China after a prolong period of stability. Prices
slipped as October contract settlement and new nominations retreated, which lowered liquidity. October settlements and Nov
nominations were announced down, which dragged talks substantially. Prices in India also retreated, a bit sharper this time.

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Viscose Chain: VSF price down in China, India


Asian viscose staple fibre markets remained weak in corrections and saw prices decline. Downstream players were not active in
procurement, despite lower offers. Weakness lingered over the VSF market in China as both yarn and fabric sectors softened. In
India, VSF markets went softer as downstream yarn producers mainly consumed inventory amid bearish views about the market.
Viscose filament yarn markets in Asia saw marginal changes in prices as producers mostly moved volumes in line with the market
movement. Upstream filament-grade pulp prices remained unchanged this week. In dissolving markets, pulp producers in China
were anxious to sell products, keeping offers firm. Prices of softwood pulp were in the range of US$850-860 a ton.
Cotton: Supply hangover pulls prices down
Cotton prices were under pressure of oversupply across markets. US Cotton futures closed lower as growing supplies drove
investor selling, signaling the end of the speculator-driven rally. The most-active December cotton contract on ICE Futures U.S.
edged down US cents 2.50 on the week and was almost down 18 percent from its August high. The Cotlook A index also lost US
cents 1.05 while the China Cotton Index edged down 10 Yuan a ton. In Pakistan, cotton prices were seen declining every day due
to low demand. The Karachi Cotton Association (KCA) revised down its cotton spot rate by almost PakRs300 per maund exKarachi. In India, cotton prices continued to decline due to poor demand from millers and exporters. Cotton harvest is expected
to reach a historic high this season, but exports are forecast to drop 13.5 percent due to slowing demand from top consumer
China.

Spun yarn: Slowdown in exports to China impacts spun yarn prices


Pure cotton yarn market sentiment was stable but trading was subdued across markets. In China, domestic low-priced yarn was
traded in scattered volume due to production halts. Trading for high-count yarn was healthy amid a price rise in raw materials. In
India, yarn export prices fell sharply in line with a lack of demand and a fall of cotton prices. The domestic yarn market was also
depressed, as the fabric production for festive season has been completed. Offers for spun polyester yarn were steady despite
falling PSF prices. In China, spun polyester yarn prices held stable with decent liquidity. In India, the rebound of the rupee did not
help India's yarn exporters and market participants are expecting exports to recover after Diwali, as PSF prices were seen falling
consistently in October. Viscose spun yarn markets were subdued as VSF prices continued to soften across markets in Asia.
Transaction for 10s and 30s spun viscose yarn was passable. Viscose spun yarn markets in China were mute while they were weak
in Pakistan, due to fall in exports to China. Blended yarn market sentiment barely changed as selling activity was poor for
polyester-cotton yarns. In India, polyester-cotton prices (65-35) dropped more than 10% as demand from China weakened for a
few weeks, partly due to the surging competition from Pakistan, where prices rose lesser in US$ terms in the recent weeks. In
China, blended spun yarn prices were stuck at the same levels during the week amid depressed atmosphere. In Pakistan, local
buyers were less interested in ordering yarns at current prices due to the decline of textile sales.

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Polyester Chain
October-13

Asia (CFR)
US$/ Ton
Euro/ Ton
low
high
low
high
Crude Oil

778

Naphtha

Europe (Del)
US$/ Ton
Euro/ Ton
low
high
low
high

571

767

587

799

563

USA (Del)
US$/ Ton
Euro/ Ton
low
high
low
high

760

558

Paraxylene

1,416

1,417

1,040

1,040

1,329

1,329

Ethylene

1,336

1,338

981

982

1,389

PTA

1,027

1,032

754

757

905

MEG

1,049

1,051

770

772

Polyester chips

1,240

1,320

910

969

1,791

1,887

736

540

760

558

976

976

1,396

1,020

1,025

1,022

1,033

750

758

948

1,247

1,306

1,372

1,300

1,007

955

1,284

1,254

943

921

1,300

1,370

1,895

1,940

1,391

1,424

PSF
1.2/1.5D SF

1,420

1,470

1,043

1,079

1,910

2,690

1,390

1,950

2,303

2,380

1,691

1,748

6D solid (fiber fill)

1,240

1,340

910

984

1,720

2,180

1,250

1,580

2,017

2,116

1,481

1,554

75D POY

1,500

1,570

1,101

1,153

2,777

2,909

2,039

2,136

75D textured

2,159

2,185

1,585

1,604

3,174

3,659

2,330

2,686

150D POY

1,430

1,480

1,050

1,087

1,910

2,370

1,390

1,720

2,535

2,645

1,861

1,942

150D textured

1,680

1,740

1,234

1,278

2,260

2,750

1,640

2,000

2,821

3,174

2,071

2,330

1000D conventional

1,850

1,900

1,358

1,395

2,150

2,890

1,580

2,100

2,887

3,086

2,120

2,266

PFY

Benchmark ratio: Asia = 100


PTA

1.00

1.00

0.88

0.92

1.34

1.26

MEG

1.00

1.00

1.22

1.19

1.35

1.83

1.62

1.62

1.85

1.85

3.34

1.43

1.54

1.2/1.5D SF

1.00

1.00

75D POY

1.00

1.00

PET chip / PTA+MEG

1.15

1.18

Value Chain pricing intensity


2.48

POY / PTA+MEG

1.21

1.26

1.72

1.88

POY / Polyester chip

1.21

1.19

1.07

1.26

1.47

1.50

DTY / POY

1.44

1.39

1.18

1.16

1.11

1.20

3000
3500
2500
3000

2000

1000
500

500
500
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O

PTA

MEG

PSF

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

POY

USA
USA

3000
2500

2500
2000
2000
1500
1500
1000
1000

1500

3000
3500

EUROPE
EUROPE

2500
2000
2000
1500
1500
1000
1000
500
500

PTA
PTA

MEG
MEG

PSFPSF

POYPOY

J
F
M
M
A
A
M
MJ
J
AJ
S
A
O
S
N
O
D
NJ
DF
M
AJ
M
F
MJ
AJ
A
MS
OJ

2500
US$/MT
US$/MT

US$/MT

3000

US$/MT
US$/MT

ASIA

JJ
FF
M
M
A
MA
MJ
JJ
AJ
S
OA
NS
D
O
J
N
F
MD
AJ
MF
MJ
J
AA
M
S
OJ

3500

PTA
PTA

MEG
MEG

PSF
PSF

POY
POY

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Polyester Staple Fibre

In China, mainstream prices for 1.4D direct-melt-spun PSF in Jiangsu and


Zhejiang closed at 9.75-9.85 Yuan a kg (US$1.59-1.61 a kg), down US cent 1 on
the week while the same in Fujian & Shandong was at US$1.59-1.61 a kg. In
Pakistan, prices in Karachi were flat at PakRs.183-188 a kg, or US$1.71-1.76 a
kg. In India, PSF prices softened further by INR0.50 to INR103.75 per kg, or
US$1.68 per kg, down US cents 2 from last week.

2.5

Polyester Staple Fibre

2.0

1.5

1.0
US$ / Kg

Polyester chain went stable this week on support of monthly contract price
settlements, and staple fibre market went range-bound. With short-covering
demand emerging at month-end in China, liquidity increased a bit compared
with last week, though most deals were concluded in smaller volumes.
However, prospect about future market was diverged. Prices in India were
seen dropping for fourth consecutive weeks given the sluggish tone
dominating and the Rupee weakening further. PSF markets are likely to remain
under downward pressure in coming week.

J F M A M
1.4D/38mm China

2013

2012

(US$/Kg)

Product Specs

Market

Term

Last 12 mths

Min
Virgin fibre

1.4D/38mm SD

China

Del

1.5 D/38mm SD

Pakistan

Local

1.4 D/38mm SD

India

Local

Max

1.59

1.87

Prev 6 wks
Min
1.59

1.69
1.61

1-Nov

% YoY

1.63

1.60

1.59

-5.6

1.72

1.72

1.71

-2.4

1.80

1.69

1.68

-6.6

1.47

1.47

1.46

-9.4

1.61
1.92

1.68

1.76
1.64

25-Oct

Max

1.71
1.90

1.68

1.78

1.75

Re-cylced
3-dimensional-crimp hollow 615D

East China

Main

1.46

1.66

1.46

1.56

1.47

Value Chain pricing intensity


Taiwan / ROK 1.4D/38mm SD / Cotlook A index
India 1.5 D/38mm SD / Cotlook A Index

0.78

1.04

0.82

0.91

0.91

-7.7

0.89

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Polyester Filament Yarn

In China, POYs 75/72 was pegged at US$1.76-1.77 a kg, rolling over from last
week, while 75/36 was steady at US$1.71-1.74 a kg. 75/72 DTY prices, in
Shengze were at US$2.26-2.31 a kg, unchanged from last week. In Pakistan,
DTY prices for 150/48/0 intermingled were pegged at PakRs100-107 per pound
or US$0.94-1.00 a pound. In China 50/24 FDYs were pegged at US$1.82-1.86 a
kg, down US cents 7 while 150/96 FDYs were at US$1.63-1.66 a kg, down US
cents 2. In India, POY 130/34 prices were at INR 121.06 a kg or US$1.96,
unchanged from previous week while 250/34 was at INR117.95 or US$1.91 a
kg.

3.50

Polyester POY

3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
US$ / Kg

The polyester filament yarn markets in Asia saw some activities boosted by
restocking on rigid demand early this month and healthy trend of PTA futures.
Sales/production ratio for PFY was reportedly passable in China, with numbers
at 100% or slightly higher at most producers. In Jiangsu, offers for POY were
revised upward sporadically, and those for FDY and DTY were largely
maintained. In Pakistan, PFY market went stable, with discounts ongoing in
firm deals. In India, PFY prices trended lower but producers maintained their
offers amid obvious selling indications.

F M

75D POY China

M J

O N

2013

2012

(US$/Kg)

Product Specs
POY 75D/36F
POY 75D/72F
POY 114/108
POY 130/34
FDY 50D/24F
FDY 63D/24F
DTY 75/24/0
FDY 75D/36F
FDY 150D/96F

Market
Shengze
Shengze
India
India
Shengze
Shengze
Pakistan
Changshu
Changshu

Term
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

1.68

1.69

1.99

1.74

2.15

1.86

2.08

1.96

2.09

1.82

2.04

1.80

2.46

2.37

1.99

1.79

1.96

1.63

1.79

-7.1

1.79

1.76

1.76

0.0

1.89

1.87

1.86

-12.4

2.08

1.97

1.96

-5.0

1.94

1.89

1.82

-5.8

1.92

1.81

1.81

-2.7

2.41

2.38

2.37

3.0

1.84

1.81

1.79

-5.1

1.71

1.65

1.63

-8.3

2.39

1.88
1.63

1.71

1.84

2.37
1.78

1.71

1.89

1.91
2.26

1.72

1.99

1.96
1.80

% YoY

1.88

2.00
1.82

1-Nov

1.76

2.02
1.86

25-Oct

Max

1.71

1.82
1.73

Min

1.95

1.78
1.72

Prev 6 wks

1.82
1.66

Figure in italic is average for the period

contd/-

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Polyester Filament Yarn (contd..)

Product Specs
DTY 75D/36F
DTY 75/48/0
DTY 75D/72F
DTY 75D/144F
DTY 150/48/0
DTY 150/48/INT
DTY 150D/288F
DTY 300/96 INT
DTY 300/96/0
1000D/192F high stretch, low
shrink
1000D/192F high stretch
1000D/192F high stretch, low
shrink

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

Market
Shengze
Pakistan
Shengze
Changshu
Pakistan
Pakistan
Changshu
Pakistan
Pakistan
China Main Port
Shanghai
Shanghai

Term
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
FOB
FOB
FOB

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

2.12

2.13

2.46

2.37

2.36

2.25

2.41

2.31

2.21

2.04

2.32

2.06

2.22

2.02

2.18

2.04

2.12

1.98

2.06

2.00

1.95

1.92

2.05

1.98

1.99

2.38

3.0

2.28

2.26

2.27

-1.6

2.33

2.31

2.32

-2.2

2.07

2.05

2.05

-5.6

2.24

2.07

2.07

-9.5

2.02

2.02

2.02

-5.7

2.07

2.05

2.05

-3.6

2.01

1.99

1.98

-4.4

2.00

2.00

2.00

-2.4

1.92

1.92

1.92

1.1

1.98

1.98

1.98

-3.4

2.00

1.90
1.80

2.38

1.99

2.00
1.72

2.41

2.06

2.05
1.90

-2.6

2.02

2.10
1.96

2.13

2.12

2.10
2.02

2.14

2.06

2.24
2.02

2.20

2.31

2.14
2.06

% YoY

2.26

2.33
2.04

1-Nov

2.39

2.27
2.20

25-Oct

Max

2.16

2.37
2.17

Min

2.26

2.19
2.26

Prev 6 wks

1.92
1.98

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Polyester Chips
2,500

Polyester Chips
2,000

1,500

1,000
US$/Ton

With PTA markets almost flat this week and rising MEG prices polyester chip
markets remained gripped by caution this week and producers adopted waitand-watch stance. Semi dull PET chip market was thinly traded for the dearth
of enquiries. Super bright chip markets mirrored SD chip market with sporadic
deal done at high levels amid overall insipid atmosphere. CDP chip market
fluctuated in weakness, reflecting the lack of buying interest in the
downstream segment. There is a strong likelihood that the markets will remain
range bound in coming week in line with raw material sector.

J F M A
Taiwan FOB

A S
2013

O N D
2012

In China, semi dull chip was offered at 9,050-9,150 Yuan a ton (US$1,475-1,490
a ton), unchanged from last week while super bright chips mainstream offers
were at 9,100-9,300 Yuan a ton (US$1,480-1,515 a ton), up US$15 from last
week at eh upper end of the price range. CDP chip mainstream offers were at
10,300-10,350 Yuan a ton (US$1,675-1,685 a ton), up US$30 from previous
week. Asian marker, the FOB Taiwan/Korea for semi-dull, continuous spinning
fibre grade chip prices was at US$1,650 a ton, rolling over from last week.
(US$ / Ton)

Product Specs

Market

Term

Cont polymerised (SD, fil grd)

China

Local

Super bright, fil grade

China

Local

CDP

China

Local

Semi-dull, fibre grade

Taiwan / ROK

FOB

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

1,473

1,786

1,588
1,481

1,786

1,473

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

1,529

1,476

1,473

-7.6

1,594

1,484

1,481

-7.5

1,708

1,647

1,676

-5.2

1,700

1,650

1,650

-2.9

1.66

1.64

1.64

1.62

1.62

1.60

1.49

1.47

1.46

1.45

1.45

1.43

Max

1,481
1,533

1,874

1,749
1,600

Min
1,503

1,603
1,638

Prev 6 wks

1,638
1,671

1,775

1,683

1,650
1,679

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.45

Taiwan-Korea SD chips/ Korea FOB PTA

1.66

1.54
1.42

Taiwan-Korea SD chips/ Korea FOB MEG

1.63
1.77

1.59
1.36

China SD fil gr chips / China mainstream PTA

1.39
1.50

1.56
1.60

1.50

1.45

China SD fil gr chips / China mainstream MEG

1.60

1.43
1.46

1.66

1.40
1.43

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

10

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Purified Terephthalic Acid


1,700

Purified Terephthalic Acid

1,400
1,100
800
500
US$/ Ton

Despite falling paraxylene prices Asian purified terephthalic acid markets were
assessed flat week on week. Prices generally remained unchanged this week as
the negotiation for November contract price started during the week. In US
terephthalic acid price was heard set at a decrease from September, following
last week's settlement of the US paraxylene contract. PTA markets in H1
November may be gentle and stable, but if no positive factors show later, the
prices may again step onto to the downward path, also dragged by soft
feedstock.

F M A

M J

Korea/ Taiwan FOB

O N D

2013

2012

Asian PTA markers remained flat week on week to be assessed at US$1,0001,002 a ton CFR China while South Asian numbers were at US$1,007-1,012 a
ton. Midweek spot PTA CFR China was at US$999.60-1,001.6 a ton while CFR SE
Asia was heard at US$1,003-1,005 a ton. CFR South Asia was assessed at
US$1,030-1,032 a ton. Formula-derived October US terephthalic acid price was
set at US cents 62.42 per pound a US cent 1.14 decline from September.

(US$/ Ton)

Product Specs

Market

Term

Offers

Korea/ Taiwan

FOB

Goods in bonded areas

China

CIF

Imported goods

China

CIF

China

Main

China

Local

Domestic producers

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

1,007

1,199

1,097
1,005

1,200
1,190

1-Nov

% YoY

1,060

1,007

1,007

-8.0

1,005

1,065

1,010

1,005

-9.0

995

1,050

995

1,010

-7.3

1,053

1,000

1,000

-8.6

1,252

1,215

1,204

-6.8

0.73

0.72

0.73

0.71

0.70

0.71

1,024
1,204

1,094
1,204

1,007

25-Oct

Max

1,033

1,088
1,000

Min
1,032

1,100
995

Prev 6 wks

1,000
1,025

1,410

1,289

1,204
1,232

Value Chain pricing intensity


0.70

Korea FOB / Korea FOB paraxylene

0.77

0.72

0.75

0.70

0.73
0.68

China mainstream / China spot paraxylene

0.72

0.72
0.71

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

11

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Mono Ethylene Glycol


2,000

Mono Ethylene Glycol


1,500
1,000
500
0
US$/Ton

Mono ethylene glycol prices rose in Asian markets on the week amid firmer
crude. The markets moved within a tight range this week, and retreated from
last week earlier this week. Midweek saw sporadic short-covering activities as
the market was faltering. European October MEG contract price was fully
settled at a fall on September. US MEG contracts also moved down to open
November as lower prices in Asia and a slight decline in US Gulf pricing
contributed to fall. MEG markets will still be weak in corrections in case of no
significant support.

M A

2013

Taiwan / Korea FOB

D
2012

Asian MEG markers rose US$10 week on week to be assessed at US$1,0351,037 a ton CFR China and US$1,030-1,032 a ton CFR Southeast Asia. Early in
the week, offers were maintained in the range of US$1,020-1,030 a ton against
bids at around US$1,010-1,020 a ton and talks hovering around US$1,0201,030/ton. European October MEG contract price was fully settled at Euro 985
a ton (US$1,357 a ton) FD NWE, representing a fall of Euro 53 on September. In
US, MEG contracts moved down US cent 1 to open November as lower prices
in Asia and a slight decline in US Gulf pricing contributed to decrease.
(US$ / Ton)

Product Specs

Market

Term

Front month offer

Korea/Taiwan

FOB

Goods in bonded areas

China

CIF

Buying ideas

China

CIF

Mainstream

China

CIF

MEGlobal's nomination

Asia

CFR Asia

Shell's nomination

Asia

CFR Asia

Sabic's nomination

Asia

CFR Asia

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

938

1,230
1,235

1,072
940

1,220
1,187
1,310

1,073

1,020

1,030

-4.5

1,035

1,080

1,045

1,035

-4.6

1,020

1,070

1,035

1,020

-4.7

1,025

1,068

1,025

1,035

10.0

1,220

1,220

1,220

1,220

-3.9

1,230

1,230

1,215

-4.3

1,200

1,200

1,200

-7.0

0.82

0.77

0.78

0.77

0.73

0.75

1,220
1,310

1,219
1,100

% YoY

1,049

1,212
1,090

1-Nov

1,046

1,059
1,100

1,020

25-Oct

Max

1,062

1,062
937

Min
1,051

1,062
950

Prev 6 wks

1,215
1,228

1,310

1,198

1,200
1,200

Value Chain pricing intensity


0.77

Korea FOB / Korea FOB ethylene

1.02

0.86
0.73

China mainstream CIF / NE Asia CFR ethylene

0.83

0.77
0.79

0.93

0.73
0.76

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

12

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Paraxylene

Asian paraxylene markers fell US$5 day on day and US$12 on the week to be
assessed at US$1,387-1,388 a ton FOB Korea and US$1,411-1,413 a ton CFR
Taiwan/China. The Northwest European spot price was assessed US$20 lower
on the week at US$1,290 a ton FOB ARA. In US, paraxylene spot price tanked
US$60 week on week to an assessment of US$1,290 a ton FOB USG as markets
pegged spot in the range of US$1,270-1,300 a ton, as demand waned. October
US paraxylene contract price was settled down Us cents 2 at US cents 73.50
per pound.

Product Specs

Market
Korea
Europe
China
Taiwan

Exxon's nomination

Asia

Term
FOB
FOB
Spot
CFR
Contract

2,500

Paraxylene
2,000

1,500

1,000
US$/Ton

Paraxylene prices in Asian markets fell week end and were also lower on the
week due to a rollover of laycan. Meanwhile, no major settlement was reached
for November paraxylene Asian Contract Price, the fourth month this year that
buyers and sellers failed to agree on a single price. European spot price for
paraxylene was assessed down as the market was heard longer and trades
were done at lower levels. In US, spot paraxylene tanked week on week, as
talks lowered amid excess supply. October US paraxylene contract price was
also settled down.

J F M A
Korea FOB

Prev 6 wks

Min

Max

1,372

1,699

1,387

1,592

1,290

1,724

1,411

1,724

1,411

1,750

1,420

1,500

N D
2012

Min

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

1,463

1,399

1,387

-9.5

1,380

1,310

1,290

-12.8

1,487

1,423

1,411

-12.0

1,487

1,423

1,411

-9.4

1,580

1,580

1,420

-160.0

1.61

1.54

1.48

1.83

1.74

1.70

Max

1,448

1,525
1,400

A
2013

1,338

1,525
1,399

1,424

1,424
1,399

(US$ / Ton)

Last 12 mths

1,290

1,448

1,565

1,553

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.48

Korea FOB / Japan CFR naphtha

1.75

1.48

2.13

1.70

1.63
-

SE Asia CFR / Japan CFR naphtha

1.70

Europe FOB / Rotterdam naphtha

1.94

1.54

1.76

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

13

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Ethylene
2,000

Ethylene
1,500
1,000
500
0

US$/Ton

Weak buying sentiment pulled down ethylene prices in Asian markets and
concerns about tight supplies eased. Ethylene prices have been falling over the
past four weeks ending the steady upward movement for 10 weeks in a row
across the region. Softening was more visible in the past week. In Europe, NWE
ethylene contract price for November was fully settled at fall of Euro 30 on the
month while spot prices were too seen falling sharply. In US, spot ethylene
jumped on the week reaching a 1-month high on increased buying interest.
Production margins also climbed hitting their highest level for October.

F M A M J
Korea FOB

A S O N D
2013
2012

Asian ethylene markers, the CFR Northeast Asia fell US$25 week on week to be
assessed at US$1,374-1,376 a ton while the CFR Southeast Asia slipped US$5
during the week to US$1,429-1,431 a ton. Spot ethylene assessments in
Europe was at Euro 985-990 a ton FD NWE, down Euro 20 over the week while
CIF NWE values were at US$1,245-1,250 a ton CIF Mediterranean. European
ethylene contract price for November was fully settled at Euro 1,195 a ton FD
NWE, down Euro 30 from October. US spot ethylene jumped 2 cents/lb week
on week, assessed Friday at 49.25-49.75 cents/lb FD USG after reaching a 1month high of 50.75 cents/lb FD USG.

Product Specs

Market

Term

NW Europe

CIF

NW Europe

FD Spot

US Gulf

FD Phy.

NE Asia

CFR

SE Asia

CFR

Korea

FOB

(US$ / Ton)

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

1,090

1,540

1,340
1,105

1,564
1,493
1,424

% YoY

1,380

1,290

1,245

-7.1

1,330

1,468

1,387

1,330

-10.8

959

1,124

1,041

1,085

-8.8

1,359

1,424

1,399

1,374

3.0

1,469

1,434

1,429

11.3

1,364

1,329

1,324

1.16

1.12

1.10

1.61

1.58

1.53

1.95

1.85

1.75

1,389
1,469

1,429
1,449

1,322
1,079

1-Nov

1,039

1,285
1,142

1,245

25-Oct

Max

1,402

1,241
1,154

Min
1,310

1,401
959

Prev 6 wks

1,369

1,228

1,289
1,328

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.07

Korea FOB / Japan CFR naphtha

1.30

1.15
1.21

SE Asia CFR / Japan CFR naphtha

1.14
1.61

1.44
1.64

NW Europe FD Spot / Rotterdam naphtha

1.91

1.10
1.53
1.57

2.11

1.75
1.85

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

14

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Nylon Chain
October-13

Asia
Euro/Ton
low
high
571

US$/Ton
low
high
778

Crude Oil
Naphtha

767

Europe
US$/Ton
Euro/Ton
low
high
low
high
799
587

563

760

558

USA
US$/Ton
Euro/Ton
low
high
low
high
736
540
760

558

Benzene

1,254

1,255

921

922

1,200

1,201

881

882

1,238

1,238

909

909

Caprolactum

2,372

2,384

1,742

1,750

2,477

2,667

1,819

1,958

2,160

2,160

1,586

1,586

Polyamide Chips

2,680

2,718

1,968

1,996

8,045

8,375

5,907

6,149

NFY
POY 15D

7,427

7,582

5,400

5,500

DTY 15D

9,367

9,918

6,800

7,200

DTY 40D hoseiry


40D warpknit

5,929

6,259

4,300

4,550

POY 70D

4,849

4,959

3,520

3,600

5,510

5,642

4,000

4,100

5,951

7,604

4,369

5,583

6,325

7,097

4,600

5,150

7,824

8,375

5,745

6,149

4,276

5,091

3,100

3,700

4,628

5,069

3,398

3,722

3,570

3,989

2,600

2,900

4,077

5,730

2,994

4,208

70D weaving tube

3,400

3,550

2,496

2,607

DTY 70D/68F
70D/24F weaving

3,350

3,400

2,460

2,496

Indl Yarn 840D

3,250

4,000

2,386

2,937

BCF 1200D

Benchmark ratio: USA = 100


Caprolactum
70D weaving (tube)

0.57

0.47

0.93

0.74

1.00

1.00

840D, Industrial

0.70

0.79

0.92

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.75

1.74

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.14

70D NFY / CPL

1.43

1.49

5000

ASIA

4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O
CPL
PA chips
NFY

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

2.06

2.22

4500
4000

EUROPE

3500

US$/Ton

1.90

1.13

US$ /Ton

1.89

Chip / CPL

US$ /Ton

CPL / Benzene

4500
4000
3500

3000

3000

2500

2500

2000

2000

1500

1500

1000

1000
J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O
CPL
NFY

15

USA

J FMAM J J A S O N D J FMAM J J A S O
CPL
NFY

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Nylon Filament Yarn


The softening of caprolactum and nylon chip prices continued to support nylon
textile yarn market. However, demand for NFY remained lackluster on tight
cash flow and high inventory in downstream textile sectors, and the weakness
is expected to last into November. In case of staple fiber, cord fabric and
fishing-net yarn sectors, buying interest will also be stable on the back of lean
inventory, despite lusterless terminal demand. Given a long feedstock market,
cost may soften further and NFY sentiment is likely to weaken further.

7.00

Nylon Filament Yarn


6.00
5.00
4.00

US$/ Kg

3.00

In China, the mainstream prices for nylon filament FDY 70D/24F SD were in the
range of US$3.87-3.91 per kg in China, down US cents 2-4 from last week while
40D/12F FDY FD were at US$4.31-4.47 a kg, unchanged from previous week.
DTYs 70D/24F were pegged at US$4.12-4.39 a kg, rolling over from last week
while 30D/10F DTY prices were steady at US$5.13-5.29 a kg.

F M A

M J

70D/24F China local

O N D

2013

2012

(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs

Market

Term

DTY 30D/10F SD

China

Local

DTY 70D/24F SD

China

Local

FDY 40D/12F SD

China

Local

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

4.91

5.34

5.14
4.03

Min
5.04

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

5.14

5.14

5.13

-0.5

4.15

4.13

4.12

-1.6

4.32

4.32

4.31

0.8

1.54

1.51

1.54

1.76

1.75

1.76

Max

5.07
4.29

4.07
4.11

4.11
4.18

Prev 6 wks

4.46

4.25

4.23
4.26

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.45

China DTY 70D / China SD chip local

1.55

1.51

1.90

1.71

1.51
1.69

China DTY 70D / China caprolactum mainstream offer

1.76

1.52
1.73

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

16

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Polypropylene
Asian polypropylene prices edged down in Far East Asia this week but were up in India in a largely stable market. The PP raffia and
injection markers were assessed at US$1,505 a ton CFR Far East Asia, down US$5 from last week. In North Africa, polypropylene
market was balanced this week as prices closed at US$1,515-1,520 a ton CFR, unchanged from last week. In Europe,
polypropylene market saw prices fall this week amid weak demand as they closed the week at Euro 1,190-1,195 a ton FD NWE.

US polypropylene contract prices for November were still expected to fall, although likely not to the extent originally expected by
some. North American prices for polypropylene dropped in October as seasonal demand declined. Regional prices were down US
cents 2 cents per pound, after prices were flat in September. In Latin America, buying interest was weak with few offers heard in
the polypropylene market this week. Prices were stable in Brazil and Peru with co-polymer at US$1,645-1,655 a ton CFR Peru.

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

17

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Nylon Chips
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000

Nylon Chips
1,000
US$/Ton

Nylon chip markets were weak this week as producers faced high cost pressure
while buyers still kept purchases on need-to basis. In China, producers were
running at low capacity, citing high cost pressure, but inventory was around 715 days, and run rate of high-speed spinning chip producers was at around
80% with stable demand and firm prices. Downstream, nylon textile yarn
makers were running at around 80% capacity with inventory worth 20-30
days. Downstream demand is expected to remain sluggish and thus, the nylon
chip market sentiment will hold stable in coming weeks.

MJ J
SE Asia FOB

OND
2013

2012

Offers for Taiwan-origin chips were down US$10-50 to US$2,680-2,720 a ton


while South Korea-origin chips were traded at US$2,630 a ton. In China, bright
conventional spinning nylon-6 chips were pegged at 18,000-19,500 Yuan a ton
(US$2,930-3,175 a ton), down US$5 from last week. Semi-dull chips of
different qualities from producers were at 20,000-21,000 Yuan a ton (US$3,2553,420 a ton), unchanged from last week.

(US$ / Ton)

Product Specs
SD high speed spinning

Market
SE Asia

Term
CIF

SD high speed spinning (Taiwani) China

CIF

SD high speed spinning

China

Local

Conventional Spng Chips

China

Local

Nylon 66 wet chips (EPR27)

Henan Shema

Ex work

Nylon 66 dry chips (FYR27D)

Henan Shema

Ex work

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

2,600

2,870
2,900

2,722
3,061

3,519
3,344

% YoY

2,700

2,700

2,680

-1.8

2,680

2,730

2,730

2,680

-4.3

3,255

3,287

3,261

3,255

1.6

2,929

3,058

2,935

2,929

-1.2

3,832

3,832

3,824

0.5

3,832

3,832

3,824

0.5

1.15

1.14

1.15

1.05

1.01

1.05

2,995
3,832

3,708
3,640

1-Nov

3,272

3,061
3,640

2,650

25-Oct

Max

2,705

3,243
2,892

Min
2,675

2,691
2,620

Prev 6 wks

3,659
3,717

3,832

3,711

3,659
3,717

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.11

SE Asia SD chip / SE Asia caprolactum CFR

1.23

1.15
0.94

China SD chip local / China caprolactum offer price

1.05

1.11
1.13

1.10

1.01
1.02

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

18

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Caprolactum
As benzene prices softened downstream caprolactum market went rangebound this week also due to small change in downstream demand amid
expanding supply. Low-end prices softened due to increasing availability. In
downstream segment demand was flat as demand for conventional chips was
weak with inventory at chip producers was around 7-15 days while nylon
textile yarn makers were running at around 80-90% capacity with inventory at
20-30 days worth. Caprolactum markets are expected to soften as supply will
increase, combined with flat demand.

4,000

Caprolactum
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000

US$/Ton

1,500

Asian caprolactum markers, the Far East Asia and South East Asia were in the
range of US$2,340-2,350 a ton, down US$20 from last week. In China,
mainstream trading prices for low-end caprolactum were at 17,500-17,700
Yuan a ton (US$2,850-2,880 a ton) for solid, while bulk liquid were around
17,200-17,500 Yuan a ton (US$2,800-2,850 a ton). Sinopec issued November
nomination at 18,600 Yuan a ton (US$3,025 a ton), while DSM Nanjings
nomination was at 19,100 Yuan a ton (US$3,110 a ton). Some contracts were at
US$2,450 a ton at high-end.

Product Specs

Market
FE Asia
SE Asia

From Japan
From East Europe

China
China
China

DSM Nomination

CFR Asia

Term
CFR
CFR
CIF
CIF
Mainstr
eam off
Contract

J F M A
SE Asia CFR

Prev 6 wks

Min

Max

2,170

2,500

2,340

2,500

2,340

2,550

2,390

2,500

2,340

3,242

2,799

3,286

3,108

2,334

O N D
2012

Min

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

2,390

2,360

2,340

2.6

2,390

2,360

2,340

2.6

2,420

2,420

2,420

-3.2

2,390

2,360

2,340

4.0

2,993

2,918

2,799

-0.8

3,163

3,163

3,108

3.2

1.92

1.92

Max

2,373

2,926
2,813

2,403

2,330
2,701

2,373

2,419
2,170

J
2013

2,373

2,334
2,320

(US$ / Ton)

Last 12 mths

2,170

2,927
3,150

3,071

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.53

SE Asia CFR / SE Asia benzene FOB

1.99

1.84

1.78
-

FE Asia CFR / Taiwan benzene CFR

1.89
-

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

19

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Benzene
Benzene prices fell in Asian markets amid thin demand from China and weaker
downstream SM derivatives prices. Most market activities were focused on
December and January cargoes. European benzene market continued its
freefall this week, as the appetite for spot volumes remained curbed and
traders found it difficult to clear stocks. Prices sank to lowest level since end
2011. US spot benzene price also declined week over week, assessed as
November contract price settled lower. Latin American benzene markets
tracked the falling energy and prices fell week on week.

2,000

Benzene

1,500
1,000
500

Asian benzene marker, the FOB Korea declined US$27.50 to US$1,226.501,227.50 a ton week on week, neutralizing the rise posted in the preceding
week. In Europe, spot barges were assessed at US$1,176.50-1,177.50 a ton
FOB Rotterdam while the CIF ARA values were heard at US$1,166.50-1,167.50
a ton, both down US$3 from last week. Meanwhile benzene contract was fully
settled at a decline of Euro 78 a ton. In US, spot benzene price sank US cents 6
week over week, assessed at US cents 407.95-408.05 a gallon for November
while contract price was settled US cents 27 lower at Us cents 410 a gallon.
Latin benzene was assessed US$17 down at US$1,159-1,161 a ton FOB Brazil.

Product Specs

Market

Term

Korea

FOB

US Gulf

FOB

Rotterdam

FOB

ARA, Europe

CIF

SE Asia

FOB

US$/Ton

Min

Max

1,195

1,479

1,319
1,549
1,534

A S
2013

O N D
2012

Prev 6 wks
Min
1,227

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

1,279

1,254

1,227

-7.3

1,286

1,235

1,220

-17.9

1,252

1,180

1,177

-14.1

1,242

1,170

1,167

-14.2

1,290

1,226

1.64

1.63

1.59

1.65

1.59

1.61

1.56

1.54

1.57

1.49

1.48

Max

1,217
1,174
1,208

1,524

1,329
1,186

1,246

1,339
1,164

F M A
Korea FOB

1,258

1,345
1,174

(US$ / Ton)

Last 12 mths

1,217

1,164
1,198

1,478

1,226
1,260

1,316

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.56

Korea FOB / Asia crude CFR

1.96

1.58

1.95

1.59

1.72
1.55

SE Asia FOB / Asia crude

1.62
1.62

1.72
1.51

US Gulf FOB / US Light crude

1.94

1.45

Rotterdam FOB / European Brent

1.68

1.51
1.56

1.69
1.93

1.45
1.51

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

20

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Acrylic Chain
October-13

Asia
US$/ton
low
high

Euro/ton
low
high

778

571

Crude Oil
Naphtha

767

Propylene

Europe
US$/ton
Euro/ton
low
high
low
high
587

799

563

760

1,380

1,012

1,013

1,415

1,115

1,039

3,510

2,250

540

736
760

558

1,378

Acrylonitrile

USA
US$/ton
Euro/ton
low
high
low
high

819

558

1,287

1,298

945

953

2,550

2,730

2,850

2,004

2,093

0.25

0.26

ASF
ASF 1.5-3.0D

2,350

2,410

1,725

1,770

3,100

Benchmark ratio: Europe = 100


Propylene
Acrylonitrile
ASF 1.5-3.0D

Value Chain pricing intensity


ACN / Propylene
ASF / ACN
0.21

0.22

4500
4000

Asia

3500

0.28

US$/Ton

US$ /Ton

ASF / Wool Aus. EMI

0.32

4500
4000
3500

3000

3000

2500

2500

2000

2000

1500

Europe

1500
J F MAM J J A S ON D J FMAM J J A S O
ACN
ASF

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O
ASF

21

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Acrylic Staple Fibre


4.00

Acrylic Staple Fibre

3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
US$/ Kg

Acrylic staple fibre prices declined this week in China after a prolong period of
stability. Prices slipped as October contract settlement and new nominations
retreated, which lowered liquidity. October settlements and Nov nominations
were announced down, which dragged talks substantially this week. Demand
was still lackluster and bullish signs were hard to emerge as buyers were
cautious and preferred to hold back buying for now. Sentiment is likely to
remain the weak due to low demand support as players will focus on inventory
and acrylonitrile prices.

F M A

M J

1.5D/38mm Taiwan FOB

O N D

2013

2012

Offers for regular ASF was at US$2.35-2.40 a kg. while Japan-origin goods were
at US$4.03 a kg, both flat at previous weeks level. In China, offers for 1.5D
staple and 3D staple were respectively pegged at 17.45- 17.80 Yuan a kg
(US$2.84-2.90 a kg) and 17,150-17,400 Yuan a kg (US$2.79-2.83 a kg). In
Pakistan, 1.2D fibre was pegged at PakRs.300 a kg unchanged from last week
or US$2.81 a kg. In India, producers prices retreated INR 7 to INR 265 a kg or
US$2.67 a kg, down US cents 13 including weak INR.

(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs

Market

Term

1.5D/38mm

China

Mainstr
eam off

1.5D/38mm

Taiwan

FOB

1.5D/38mm

India

Local

0.9D

India

Local

1.2D

India

Local

3D tow

India

Local

3D wet spin

China

Mainstr
eam off

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

2.66

2.91

2.82
2.30

2.60
3.09
3.09
3.09

2.91

2.91

2.84

6.6

2.35

2.35

2.35

2.35

0.0

2.67

2.81

2.79

2.67

-3.4

2.67

2.81

2.79

2.67

-3.4

2.67

2.81

2.79

2.67

-3.4

2.81

2.79

2.67

-3.4

2.88

2.88

2.79

6.1

1.60

1.60

1.56

1.29

1.29

1.29

2.77
3.09

2.82
2.62

% YoY

2.77

2.82
2.55

1-Nov

2.77

2.82
2.55

2.84

25-Oct

Max

2.35

2.82
2.55

Min
2.89

2.40
2.55

Prev 6 wks

2.67
2.77

2.88

2.78

2.79
2.86

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.33

1.5D/38mm China / North China ACN self lifting

1.75

1.57
1.25

1.5D/38mm Taiwan / NE-SE Asia ACN CFR

1.34

1.56
1.58

1.44

1.27
1.28

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

22

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Acrylonitrile
3,000

Acrylonitrile
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
US$/Ton

Asian acrylonitrile prices declined this week due to an influx of offers for
deepsea cargoes, particularly from the US amid limited demand. European
acrylonitrile market saw spot prices fall this week due to weak demand in the
market. In US, acrylonitrile export assessment was steady on the week amid
thin trade activity. No firm bids, offers or deals were heard this week. Market
fundamentals could hardly give a clear guidance and limited confirmed deals
depressed sellers confidence, despite high offers at ports. With firm cost
support and limited cargo arrivals will lend some power to the market and
prices may slightly fluctuate in coming week.

F M A
China CFR

M J

A S
2013

O N D
2012

Asian acrylonitrile markers were up US$10-40 with CFR Far East Asia at
US$1,864-1,866 a ton, down US$10 from last week while CFR Southeast Asia
marker fell US$40 at US$1,839-1,841 a ton. European acrylonitrile prices were
down US$5 assessed at US$1,790-1,795 a ton CIF Mediterranean. US
acrylonitrile export prices assessment remained flat over the week at US$1,6901,710 a ton FOB USG.

(US$/Ton)

Product Specs

Market

Term

North China

Self
lifting

China

CFR

US Gulf

FOB

Europe

CIF

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

1,839

2,341
2,050
2,010

1,722
1,595

2,212

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

2,283

2,283

2,262

23.0

1,850

1,820

1,820

10.3

1,760

1,690

1,690

6.3

1,800

1,795

1,790

7.2

1.36

1.36

1.28

1.25

1.28

6.28

Max

1,820
1,830

1,797
1,470

Min
2,246

2,116
1,650

Prev 6 wks

1,690
1,722

1,990

1,770

1,790
1,798

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.27

SE Asia CFR / SE Asia propylene CFR

1.51

1.29

1.54

1.24

1.70

1.28

6.86

6.28

1.37
1.19

China CFR / China propylene CFR

1.31

1.31
1.28

Europe / NW Europe propylene FD

1.26

1.46
5.59

US Gulf / USA propylene spot

6.30

1.28
6.28

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

23

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Propylene

Asian propylene marker, the FOB Korea was assessed up US$10 at US$1,3991,401 a ton while FOB Japan was pegged at US$1,389-1,391 a ton. The South
East Asian market was down US$10 at US$1,374-1,376 a ton. Spot propylene
market in Europe saw prices close at Euro 1,032-1,037 a ton FD NWE, down
Euro 9 from last week. The NWE November contract price for propylene fully
settled at Euro 1,080 a ton FD NWE representing a decrease of Euro 30 from
October. In US, spot chemical-grade propylene was US cent 3.50 lower on the
week, to be assessed at US cents 56.25-56.75 per pound delivered.

2,000

Propylene
1,500
1,000
500

US$/Ton

Propylene markets in Asia were diverse this week as prices rose this week in
the Northeast Asian market but declined in Southeast Asia on ample supply. In
Europe, spot propylene market fell this week as November contract price for
propylene was fully settled at a decrease from October. In US spot refinerygrade propylene gained this week as November talks remained firm despite
nomination were flat for the month. In Latin America, some ongoing propylene
turnarounds in key countries are set to resume production in the coming week.
The market is stable with supply and demand in balance.

0
D

F M A

M J

Korea FOB

O N D

2013

2012

(US$ / Ton)

Product Specs

Market

Term

Korea

FOB

Japan

FOB

Taiwan

CFR

SE Asia

CFR

China

CFR

Chemical grade

NW Europe

FD

Chemical grade

NW Europe

CIF

Chemical grade

USA

Spot

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

1,212

1,405
1,403

1,296
1,257

1,459
1,434
1,469
1,437

1,389

1,399

8.2

1,359

1,389

1,384

1,389

1,419

1,454

1,449

1,454

1,374

1,434

1,384

1,374

1,429

1,469

1,459

1,469

1,393

1,437

1,437

1,393

1,325

1,325

1,296

1,361

1,317

1,240

1.83

1.79

1.78

1.30

0.08

1,413
1,325

1,120
1,102

1,399

1,450

1,232
892

% YoY

1,414

1,371
1,019

1-Nov

1,440

1,328
1,279

1,369

25-Oct

Max

1,378

1,358
1,199

Min
1,386

1,312
1,179

Prev 6 wks

1,255
1,281

1,631

1,330

1,240
1,301

Value Chain pricing intensity


1.58

SE Asia / Asia crude CFR

1.86

1.73
0.98

NW Europe / European Brent

1.82
1.31

1.17
0.07

USA / US light

0.09

1.78
1.30
1.30

0.11

0.08
0.08

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

24

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Viscose Chain
October-13

Asia
US$/ton
low
high
Second cut linters
Cotton pulp staple gr

Euro/ton
low
high

439

439

323

323

1,069

1,069

785

785

866

866

636

636

2,089

2,089

1,534

1,534

Europe
US$/ton
Euro/ton
low
high
low
high

USA
US$/ton
Euro/ton
low
high
low
high

Cotton pulp fil gr


Wood pulp staple gr

VSF
1.5D/38mm

VFY
120D Bright

5,467

4,014

120D Dull

5,516

4,050

300D Bright

3,748

2,752

300D Dull

3,797

2,788

Benchmark ratio: Asia = 100


Wood pulp staple gr

1.00

1.00

1.5D/38mm

1.00

1.00

Value Chain pricing intensity


VSF / Wood pulp

2.41

2.41

VSF / Cotton pulp

1.95

1.95

VFY / Wood pulp

6.31

VFY / Cotton pulp fi gr

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

25

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Viscose Staple Fibre


5.00

Viscose Staple Fibre

4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
US$/ Kg

Viscose staple fibre markets remained weak in corrections in Asia and saw
decline in prices. Downstream players were still not active in procurement,
despite low offers from producers. Weakness lingered over the VSF market in
China while both yarn and fabric sectors softened. In India, VSF markets went
softer as downstream yarn producers consumed raw material inventory amid
bearish views about the market while export market scaled down a bit. Given
the incremental inventory as a result of low sales and reduced trading volumes
VSF prices are expected to remain range bound at low levels in the coming
weeks.

J F M A M J
1.5D/38mm China local

S O N
2013

D
2012

In China, mainstream discussions for medium-end goods were at about 12.70


Yuan a kg (US$2.07 a kg), with the low end at 12.50-12.60 Yuan a kg (US$2.032.05 a kg). Most high-end prices were at 13.00-13.20 Yuan a kg (US$2.12-2.15
a kg). In Pakistan, 1.5D VSF prices were stable at PakRs235 a kg or US$2.20 a kg
in the Karachi market. In India, VSF prices were down INR 2.50 at INR 136-143
kg or US$2.20-2.31 a kg, down US cents 5 from last week.

(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs
1.2D bright bleached
1.2D dull
1.5-2.0D bright bleached
1.5-2.0D dull
1.5-2.0D spun shades
1.5D/38mm
1.5D

Market
India
India
India
India
India
China
Pakistan

Term

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

Produce
rs offer

2.09

Produce
rs offer

2.16

Produce
rs offer

2.06

Produce
rs offer

2.12

Produce
rs offer

2.06

Local
Local

2.23

2.76

2.31

2.63

2.20

2.70

2.26

2.58

2.20

2.39

2.07

2.64

2.12

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

2.34

2.28

2.23

-16.3

2.42

2.36

2.31

-16.2

2.31

2.25

2.20

-16.4

2.37

2.31

2.26

-16.3

2.31

2.25

2.20

-14.6

2.11

2.10

2.07

-8.2

2.21

2.21

2.20

-16.8

6.74

6.51

6.23

3.36

3.35

3.30

Max

2.29

2.52

2.37

2.40

2.26
2.32

2.47
2.43

2.26

2.20
2.08

Min

2.66

2.43

2.07

Prev 6 wks

2.09

2.33

2.18

Value Chain pricing intensity


4.96

1.5D/38mm China local / Second cut linters

6.74

5.88
2.86

1.5D/38mm China local / Imported wood pulp

3.18

6.23
6.62

3.41

3.30
3.34

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

26

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Viscose Filament Yarn


8.00

Viscose filament yarn markets in Asia saw marginal changes in prices as


producers mostly moved volumes in line with the market movement. Later in
the week, prices remained flat, and producers basically sold at that level.
Downstream buyers also showed limited interest in buying. Upstream filamentgrade pulp prices remained unchanged this week. Filament-grade pulp was at
US$920-930 a ton. In India, VFY markets were was mostly steady and prices
rolled over. Overall, the VFY markets are likely to remain weak in coming week.

Viscose Filament Yarn

7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
US$/Ton

3.00

F M A M J
300 D China

A S
2013

O N D
2012

In China, 120D first-class VFYs were offered at 35.00-36.00 Yuan a kg (US$5.715.87 a kg), second-class at 34.00-34.50 Yuan a kg (US$5.54-5.63 a kg) and third
class at 33.00-33.50 Yuan a kg (US$5.38-5.46 a kg). In India, 100D bright VFY
was pegged at INR 398-400 a kg, or US$6.43-6.46 a kg, down US cents 3 from
previous week due to weak INR while 450D was traded at INR 246-248 a kg or
US$3.97-4.01 a kg, down US cents 2 for similar reason.
(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs
100D bright
150D bright
150D bright
300D bright
300D dull

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

Market
India
India
China
China
China

Term
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local

27

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

5.98

6.43

6.62

5.72

6.77

5.94

4.76

3.72

4.79

3.77

4.26

% YoY

6.51

6.46

6.43

-9.2

5.79

5.74

5.72

-9.5

5.98

5.98

5.97

-11.8

3.78

3.78

3.78

-20.6

3.83

3.83

3.82

-20.1

5.95

4.20
3.76

1-Nov

5.75

6.36
3.71

25-Oct

Max

6.47

6.17
5.91

Min

7.41

6.92
5.32

Prev 6 wks

3.74
3.79

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Wood and Cotton Pulp


2,000

Wood Pulp
1,500

1,000

500
US$/Ton

Softwood pulp market remained firm this week as longshoremen strike


impacted some regions and producers more than others. NBSK contract
business prices gradually moved towards the earlier announced US$970 level
and several producers have separately announced a further increase from 1
November. This hike is typically in the range of US$20 a ton bringing
commodity NBSKP gross contract price to US$990 a ton. The US NBSK pulp
index moved up US cents 96, or by 0.10%, to close at US$962.57 a ton. In
Europe, the NBSK Index was at US$887.34 a ton, up US$4.12 (Euro 644.07,
down Euro 1.37). In China, the BHKP Index closed the week at US$657.37 a
ton, up US$0.59 from previous week.
In dissolving markets, pulp producers in China were anxious to sell products,
but they kept offers firm at 6,600 Yuan a ton (US$1,075 a ton) or below
supported by raw materials. No news was heard regarding the anti-dumping
investigation for dissolving pulp in October in China. Prices for softwood pulp
were in the range of US$850-860 a ton. Offers for dissolving pulp were above
6,800 Yuan a ton (US$1,110 a ton) and actual trading prices were raised to
6,600 Yuan a ton (US$1,075 a ton).

D J F M A M J
Wood pulp Imported
Staple Grade China CIF

A S O N D
2013
2012

(US$/ Ton)

Product Specs
Second cut linters
Cotton pulp staple grade

Market
China
China

Imported wood pulp staple grade China


Wood pulp staple grade

Brazil

Term
CIF
CIF
CIF
CIF

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

430

1,172

1,067

915

1-Nov

% YoY

456

447

456

-2.6

1,071

1,071

1,069

-7.5

950

860

870

869

860

-7.5

980

900

900

900

900

-5.3

438
1,069

886
880

25-Oct

Max

431

1,093
850

Min

574

482
1,057

Prev 6 wks

866
900

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

28

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Cotton
200

Cotton futures closed down this week as growing supplies drove investor
selling, signaling the end of the speculator-driven rally that lifted cotton to US
cents 94 highs earlier this year. The most-active December cotton contract on
ICE Futures U.S. edged down US cents 2.50 on the week to settle at US cents
76.58 per pound. The December contract is almost down 18 percent from its
August high of US cents 93.72. The Cotlook A index also lost US cents 1.05
closing the week at US cents 84.90 while the China Cotton Index lost 10 Yuan
at 19,649 Yuan a ton.

Cotton
150
100
50

Cts/ pound

F M A

M J

Cotlook 'A' Index


CFR

A
2013

O N D
2012

In Pakistan, cotton prices have been declining every day due to low demand
and a continuous decline in the commoditys price on the New York cotton
market. The Karachi Cotton Association (KCA) revised down its cotton spot rate
by almost PakRs300 per maund this week to Rs6,705 per maund ex-Karachi.
Cotton prices in India continued to decline due to poor demand from millers
and exporters. Cotton harvest is expected to reach a historic high this season,
but exports are forecast to drop 13.5 percent due to slowing demand from top
consumer China.

(US cents /lb)

Product Specs

Market

Term

Cotlook 'A' Index

Far East Asia

CFR

American PIMA -Col 3, leaf 3, st


46

USA

Spot

American PIMA -Col 3, leaf 3, st


44

USA

Spot

New York Futures

USA

Futures

China Cotton Index

China

Spot

Grade 3, staple 1-1/32"

Pakistan

Spot

Bunny/Brahma

India

Spot

Shanker 6

India

Spot

MCU-5

India

Spot

Last 12 mths

Prev 6 wks

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

Min

Max

Min

Max

79.40

97.10

84.90

93.15

85.95

84.90

5.7

163.00

160.00

163.00

47.5

150.00

153.00

52.2

85.66

79.08

76.58

-2.5

145.43

145.43

145.08

7.7

85.46

79.97

76.25

2.6

100.99

89.65

85.74

6.1

99.95

86.96

83.48

4.5

102.23

86.57

89.13

89.58
110.50

163.00

100.50

153.00

117.81
69.58

93.40
145.43
87.34
100.99
99.95
102.23

90.60

76.25
85.74

95.06

86.95
79.22

141.38

80.91

89.16
76.08

85.66

143.71

80.02
77.59

153.00

85.66

140.36
74.31

135.00

140.50

82.22
134.65

145.00

150.50

127.81

83.48
93.26
86.57

97.83

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

29

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Wool
16

Wool

14
12
10
8
6
4
US$/ Kg

The Australian wool market was almost stable steady this week with a firm
tone towards the end of the week. The EMI eased back Aus cents 3 to close the
week at Aus$10.95. In US$ terms, with currency depreciating, the EMI was
down US cents 15 to US$10.36. The North index saw the most loss of US cents
17, with South following at US cents 15. West Index was down US cents 14. 21
to 23 micron wools were firm to unchanged, with the better style and strength
lots up. Fine to broad merino wool offering recovered while most sought after
lots were the better styles. Crossbreds also firmed, and oddments were lower.

F M A

AWEX EMI Australia Spot

O N D

2013

2012

Among major microns, 26-micron lost the most with prices down US cents 20
ending the week at US$7.39 a kg while 22-micron and 18-micron were down
US cents 12-13 at US$11.37 a kg and US$12.07 a kg, respectively. 23 micron
was down US cents 4 at US$11.39 a kg. Merino carding continued falling with
losses this week at US cents 14 to US$7.68 a kg.
(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs

Market

Term

AWEX EMI

Australia

Spot

AWEX EMI

North Australia

Spot

AWEX EMI

South Australia

Spot

AWEX EMI

West Australia

Spot

18-Microns

South Australia

Spot

22 Microns

South Australia

Spot

23 Microns

South Australia

Spot

26 Micron

South Australia

Spot

Merino Carded

South Australia

Spot

Last 12 mths
Min
9.11

12.07
11.71

7.49

10.45

10.89

10.73

10.55

-5.4

10.16

10.59

10.35

10.20

-4.1

11.06

10.76

10.62

-3.6

12.51

12.19

12.07

-14.2

11.81

11.50

11.37

1.1

11.74

11.43

11.39

2.7

7.73

7.59

7.39

-16.2

7.93

7.82

7.68

18.6

10.33
12.19

10.44
10.75

14.83

11.99
12.20

12.88

11.23
11.49

12.58

11.12
11.38

8.81

8.02
6.45

-4.6

10.66

11.29
7.32

10.36

10.47

11.40
9.42

10.50

10.28

12.60
9.52

10.72

11.86

10.71
10.57

% YoY

Max

10.36
9.18

1-Nov

Min

10.71
9.00

25-Oct

Max

10.51
9.28

Prev 6 wks

7.35
7.54

7.93

7.55
7.76

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

30

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

100% Cotton Spun Yarn


5.0

100% Cotton Spun Yarn


4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
US$/ Kg

100% cotton yarn market sentiment was stable but trading was subdued this
week. In China, trading volume for 21s and 32s remained passable, but that for
other specs were not. Domestic low-priced yarn was traded in scattered
volume due to production halt and production reduction. Trading for highcount yarn was healthy amid a price rise in raw materials, but trading volume
for regular specs was limited. In India, yarn export prices fell sharply in line
with a lack of demand and a fall of cotton prices. The domestic yarn market
was also depressed, as the fabric production for festive season has been
completed.

J F M A M
40/1 Cotton yarn

A S
2013

O N

D
2012

In Shandong, selling targets for OE 21s were pegged at 16.00 Yuan a kg


(US$2.60 a kg) and 18.00 Yuan a kg (US$2.93 a kg) respectively amid high
inventories. In Jiangsu, 32s and 40s were priced at 32.50 Yuan a kg (US$5.29 a
kg) and 34.00 Yuan a kg (US$5.53 a kg), respectively. In India, 30s carded
cotton prices fell to US$3.40 a kg FOB India as of end October in effective
transactions. 30/1 combed yarn was pegged at US$3.45 a kg, down US cents 20
over previous week.

(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs
21/1 carded cone
21s
21s/2
30/1 carded cone
32s cone
40s
40s carded weft 100% cotton
40s cone

Market
Pakistan
China
China
Pakistan
Pakistan
China
India
Pakistan

Term
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local

60/1 carded cone

Pakistan

Local

60s carded

India

Local

100s combed

India

Local

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

2.82

Prev 6 wks
Min

3.20

2.96

4.16

3.51

4.21

4.20

3.60

3.35

3.82

3.67

4.37

4.36

3.91

3.34

4.83

4.47

4.14

4.50

3.86

3.04
3.34

5.4

3.52

3.52

3.51

5.1

4.21

4.21

4.20

3.9

3.46

3.35

3.46

6.0

3.77

3.73

3.67

16.0

4.37

4.37

4.36

3.4

3.84

3.36

3.34

-1.4

4.52

4.50

4.48

3.9

4.06

3.88

3.86

-6.3

5.31

5.26

5.23

-16.2

3.47

4.52
4.13

3.03

4.36

3.47
4.20

3.04

3.73

4.30
3.11

3.08

3.38

3.63
4.22

% YoY

4.20

3.44
3.16

1-Nov

3.52

4.14
3.27

25-Oct

3.03

3.47
4.04

Max

4.50

4.14
3.62
4.04
4.84
5.68

3.92
6.24

5.23
5.28

Figure in italic is average for the period


Ex Mill Prices

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

31

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

100% Polyester Spun Yarn


Offers for spun polyester yarn were steady this week, despite falling polyester
staple fibre prices. Given short-covering demand from downstream yarn mills,
some traders were building up inventory and liquidity is likely to expand in
coming weeks. In China, spun polyester yarn prices held stable with decent
liquidity. In India, the rebound of the rupee did not help India's yarn exporters.
Market participants however expect that exports could recover after Diwali, as
PSF prices were seen falling consistently in October.

10

100% Polyester Spun Yarn

8
6
4
2

In China, prices of 40s and 50s were at 15.10-15.60 Yuan a kg (US$2.46-2.54 a


kg) respectively while PSF 1.4D 38mm were ranged bound, with central price at
around 9.75 Yuan a kg (US$1.59 a kg). Mainstream prices for 32s yarn were at
14.10-14.20 Yuan a kg (US$2.29-2.31 a kg) in Qianqing, Zhejiang. In India,
export price for 100% polyester spun yarn was pegged at US$1.90 a kg for
20/2, down US cents 15 while 30/1 was at US$2.35 a kg, also down US cents
15.

US$/ Kg

0
D

J F M A M
32s Polyester yarn

A S
2013

O N D
2012

(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs

Market

Term

21s

China

Local

32s

China

Local

45s

China

Local

50s

China

Local

60s

China

Local

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

2.04

2.26

2.16
2.24

2.44
2.58

2.63

1-Nov

% YoY

2.18

2.12

2.12

1.1

2.31

2.35

2.32

2.31

1.9

2.46

2.50

2.46

2.46

2.0

2.65

2.58

2.57

0.7

2.62

2.59

2.57

-3.5

2.48
2.71

2.62
2.57

2.12

25-Oct

Max

2.33

2.49
2.47

Min
2.14

2.33
2.40

Prev 6 wks

2.57
2.60

2.69

2.57
2.60

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

32

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

100% Viscose Spun Yarn

In China, offers for spun viscose yarn in Xiaoshan and Shaoxing for weaving
yarn 30s were down by 300 at 17.50-17.60 Yuan a kg (US$2.85-2.86 a kg). In
Pakistan, the Faisalabad yarn market remained silent and most of the buyers
stayed on the sidelines. 30s spun viscose yarn was pegged at US$3.54 a kg,
down US cents 3 while 40s was at US$3.70 a kg, down US cents 4. In India,
export price for 30/1 was at US$2.55 a kg while 40/1 was pegged at US$2.80 a
kg, both down US cents 25 from previous levels.

10

100% Viscose Spun Yarn

8
6
4
2
0
US$/ Kg

Viscose spun yarn markets were subdued this week as VSF prices continued to
soften across markets in Asia. However, transaction for 10s and 30s spun
viscose yarn was passable. Viscose spun yarn markets in China were mute, and
downstream yarn producers were not active in procurement. In Pakistan,
viscose spun yarn market activity is weak, due to a fall of exports to China.
Spinners expected demand to rebound after the yarn fair in China, but the
continuous depression resulted in a fall of yarn demand. It is expected that
viscose spun yarn sentiment will be corrected in the coming weeks.

D J FMA M J J A S ON D
30s Viscose yarn

2013

2012

(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs

Market

Term

10s

China

Local

20s

China

Local

30s

China

Local

40s

China

Local

50s

China

Local

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

2.52

2.76

2.63
2.68

2.92
3.08

3.28

1-Nov

% YoY

2.56

2.54

2.52

-5.9

2.68

2.70

2.69

2.69

-3.2

2.85

2.88

2.85

2.85

-1.8

3.13

3.13

2.99

-2.1

3.22

3.18

3.12

-7.5

2.86
3.22

3.08
3.12

2.52

25-Oct

Max

2.69

2.92
2.99

Min
2.55

2.76
2.84

Prev 6 wks

2.99
3.04

3.40

3.12
3.19

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

33

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Polyester / Cotton Blended Yarn


10

Polyester/Cotton Yarn

8
6
4
2
0
US$/ Kg

Market sentiment for blended yarns barely changed this week. Selling activity
was poor for polyester-cotton yarns. In India, polyester-cotton prices (65-35)
dropped more than 10% as demand from China weakened for a few weeks,
partly due to the surging competition from Pakistan, where prices rose lesser
in US$ terms in the recent weeks. In China, blended spun yarn prices were
stuck at the same levels during the week amid depressed atmosphere. In
Pakistan, local buyers were less interested in ordering yarns at current prices
due to the decline of textile sales.

D J FMA M J J A S ON D
30s 65/35 PC yarn

2013

2012

In China, Shandong based Uni-Lucky Textile pegged polyester-cotton (40/60)


21s yarn and 50/50 yarn at 20.90 Yuan a kg (US$3.40 a kg) and 20.00 Yuan a kg
(US$3.25 a kg) respectively amid high inventory pressure. In India, export price
for polyester-cotton (52/48) 20/1 was pegged at US$2.75 a kg, down US cents
20 from previous levels while 30/1 was at US$2.90 a kg. Polyester-viscose
(65/335) 30/1 was at US$2.70 a kg, unchanged from previous week while 40/1
was down US cents 10 at US$2.80 a kg.

(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs
16s 65/35
21s 65/35
32s 65/35
30s 65/35
45s 65/35
60s 65/35

Market
China
China
China
India
China
China

Term
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

2.71

2.86

3.02

3.01

3.21

3.20

3.83

3.72

3.41

3.38

3.60

3.59

3.56

2.87

2.87

2.86

5.7

3.02

3.02

3.01

3.8

3.21

3.21

3.21

4.8

3.83

3.73

3.73

4.9

3.41

3.39

3.38

4.2

3.60

3.60

3.60

1.3

3.77

3.33
3.09

% YoY

3.21

3.56
2.97

1-Nov

3.01

3.15
3.22

25-Oct

Max

2.87

2.97
3.01

Min

2.87

2.81
2.90

Prev 6 wks

3.40
3.60

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

34

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Polyester / Viscose Blended Yarn (65/35)


(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs
18/1
20/1
20/1
24/1 Bright
30/1
30/1
40/1
40/1

Market
Pakistan
Pakistan
India
Pakistan
Pakistan
India
Pakistan
India

Term
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local
Local

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

2.63

2.64

2.95

2.70

3.26

2.94

2.78

2.49

2.89

2.49

3.26

2.94

3.52

2.95

3.55

3.10

3.35

2.64

-5.2

2.78

2.77

2.76

-2.4

3.09

2.95

2.95

-9.8

2.53

2.50

2.49

-10.4

2.89

2.81

2.89

12.0

3.09

2.95

2.95

-9.8

3.28

2.96

2.95

2.5

3.42

3.12

3.12

-9.0

3.00

3.05
3.09

2.65

2.67

3.10
2.80

2.66

2.51

2.61
2.83

% YoY

3.00

2.67
2.49

1-Nov

2.74

3.10
2.49

25-Oct

Max

2.65

2.82
2.83

Min

2.90

2.77
2.68

Prev 6 wks

3.12
3.22

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

35

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Spandex Yarn
(US$ / Kg)

Product Specs

Market

Term

20D Bright Dry Spun

China

Local

20D Bright Melt Spun

China

Local

30D Bright

China

Local

40D Bright

China

Local

40D Bright Warp Knitting

China

Local

70D Bright

China

Local

140D Bright

China

Local

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

7.61

9.62

8.72
9.07

9.46
8.15
7.83
8.48

6.91

9.62

8.55

9.60

26.2

9.43

9.46

9.82

9.44

0.9

8.13

8.15

7.60

8.14

9.2

7.81

7.83

6.65

7.81

14.6

8.46

8.48

7.44

8.46

21.3

7.66

6.81

7.65

12.2

7.66

6.65

7.65

17.7

8.47
7.66

7.64
7.65

7.15
6.50

% YoY

7.81

7.58
6.82

1-Nov

8.14

7.18
6.98

9.59

25-Oct

Max

9.44

7.73
6.52

Min
9.61

9.32
7.31

Prev 6 wks

7.66

7.64
7.65

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

36

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Naphtha
1,500

Naphtha
1,000

500

0
US$/Ton

With support from strong demand, naphtha margin in Asia reached 7-1/2month high of USUS$130.78 a ton this week. Japan's Mitsui Chemicals bought
a cargo for H2-December delivery, at two-digit premiums to Japan quotes on a
C&F basis. Malaysia-based Lotte Chemical Titan decided, however, to withdraw
a purchase tender for H2-December cargoes due to a lack of offers and after
Formosa bought naphtha for H1-December arrival at a premium of US$5-7 a
ton to Japan quotes. This reflected a sharp hike in prices as Formosa paid a
discount of US$1-3 a ton for cargo scheduled for H2 October previously.

F M A

Japan CFR

J
A
2013

O N D
2012

Sentiment in the European naphtha market was boosted mid week by rising
demand from Asia, with the arbitrage east opened from the Mediterranean as
well as from northwest Europe. However, the gasoline/naphtha spread turned
negative for first time in 2013. The front-month spread was pegged at minus
US$2.50 a ton on Friday, having touched a 33-month low of minus US$2.75 a
ton Thursday, down from US$6.25 a ton Wednesday. It had briefly turned
negative in early November 2012.

(US$ / Ton)

Product Specs

Market

Term

Last 12 mths
Min

Max

826

1,041

Prev 6 wks
Min

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

941

909

936

-3.4

770

751

758

-2.1

770

753

758

0.8

776

753

774

0.7

Max

909

Japan

CFR

Rotterdam

Barges
FOB

Mediterranean

Cargoes

Singapore

Cargoes

Far East

CFR Bid

NA

NA

NorthWest Europe

Swap bid

NA

NA

919
661

925
805

631

779

718
685

751
759

734

753
761

820

741

753
764

Value Chain intensity


1.13

Japan CFR / Asia crude CFR

1.30

1.17

0.97

0.94

0.95

0.95

1.20
0.84

Rotterdam FOB / European Brent


Med. cargoes / European Brent

0.90
0.97

1.21

0.95

0.95

0.95

0.95

0.95

0.95

1.00

0.98

1.00

0.95

0.90

Singapore cargo / Asia crude CFR

1.18

1.19

0.92
0.80

1.21

0.95
1.03

0.96
0.98

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

37

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Crude Oil
150

Brent crude oil fell sharply this week end, tumbling by nearly US$3 a barrel,
and settling at its lowest point since early July, thus narrowing its premium
over US crude in heavy selling. Meanwhile US crude oil futures also sank to the
lowest since June, while Brent ended with its largest daily percentage loss also
since June. The markets shrugged Libya's oil supply outage and focused on a
strong US$ and a supply overhang that set an overall bearish market tone.
Reports showed US manufacturing sector expanding at its fastest pace in 2-1/2
years in October strengthened the US$ to its highest in more than one month.

Crude Oil
100

50

US$/bl

0
D

F M A

US Light

A
2013

O N D
2012

Brent crude for December delivery settled at US$105.91 a barrel, a loss of 2.7
percent, its largest daily percentage loss since June 20. US oil for December
settled at US$94.61, posting a fourth straight week of losses and its longest
losing streak since June 2012. It was the lowest settlement price for the US
contract since 21 June at US$93.69.

(US$ / Barrel)

Product Specs

Market

Term

Europe brent

IPE

Spot

US Light

USA

Spot

OPEC

Middle East

Wt.
average

NYMEX Future

USA

Futures

Asia

Far East

CFR
Spot

Last 12 mths

Prev 6 wks

Min

Max

Min

Max

98.09

118.10

107.82

110.30

108.63
85.71

108.77

96.41
97.23

114.50

105.98
85.88

108.67

96.48
96.27

111.35

104.60

25-Oct

1-Nov

% YoY

107.82

108.38

-0.4

97.57

96.80

12.7

106.36

106.14

0.2

97.77

96.93

12.9

105.25

105.13

3.0

109.01
96.80

103.14

100.80
106.14

107.32

106.60
96.93

103.12

100.77
105.13

107.08

106.21

Figure in italic is average for the period

Weekly PriceWatch 4th November 2013


FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY

38

www.YnFx.com
Tel: 91 22 66291000 | Fax: 91 22 22023563

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen