THE DAILY BRIEF

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Monday 11.30.2009

CURRENT MARKET SENTIMENT

Will the Dubai update or Black Friday be catalysts. The three days rolling pivot has
retreated from 10431 to 10401 implying a
enough to reverse investors’ sentiment?
possible peak. The battle to stop the tide from
Despite the Dubai effect, the indices were flat
turning negative will be determined if the
for the week, Dow finished at 10310 and the
weekly pivot of 10346 (Dow) and 1096 (S&P)
S&P unchanged. From the economic front,
are not taken.
ISM Manufacturing Index, ISM Non-Mfg
Index and Initial Claims are the week’s main

PRISM CALL

A conditional UAE standby and increases in .5% sales of Black Friday, none of these were good
enough to hold the futures in positive territory overnight. Therefore, the second move is likely to be
the move that yields the greatest profit. Investors will be checking the pulse of the selling pressure
before diving in. The first move may be choppy. Be cautious!

ECONOMIC CALENDAR INDU & SPUZ TECHNICALS

TIME INDICATOR RANGE EXPECTATION PRIOR ACTUAL INDICES S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2

Chicago
9:45 50.0 to INDU
Purchasing 53.3 54.2 10110 10195 10331 10468 10552
AM 57.0 (DOW)
Manager
SPUZ
(S&P) 1072 1080 1094 1162 1115

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 FOREIGN MARKETS NEWS

SYY Sysco mentioned positively in

MARKET PRICE
 %
Barron's (26.83 )
FTSE 5208.93 36.80 -0.7
PEP Pepsi mentioned positively in
DAX 5638.45 47.16 -0.83 Barron's (62.30 )

HANG SENG 21821.5 687.00 3.25 MON Monsanto mentioned

positively in Barron's (79.50 )
NIKKEI 9345.55 264.03 2.91

DF Dean Foods mentioned

CHINA 3195.301 99.036 3.2 positively in The Trader - Barron's
(16.07 )

DOW STOCKS TO WATCH COMMODITY PRICES BoJ hints market support possible –
Reuters
STRONG WEAK COMMODITY PRICE

FRO Frontline: Best positioned to
MCD XOM benefit from tanker market
OIL 76.01 0.04 recovery - FBR Capital (26.66 )
MRK DD
X U.S. Steel raised to Conviction
HD CAT
GOLD 1170.7 3.50 Buy from Buy by Goldman- DJ
T HPQ (43.05 )

FCX Freeport-McMoRan cut to

Buy from Conviction Buy at
UPGRADES & DOWNGRADES Goldman- DJ (84.14 )

Goldman Sachs raises the U.S.

STOCKS UPGRADED
Steel sector to Attractive from
BROKERAGE Neutral. The firm also raised AK
COMPANY RATINGS CHANGE PRICE TARGET
FIRM
Steel (AKS) price target to $23
Market Perform » from $22; Commercial Metals
Deere (DE) Wells Fargo
Outperform (CMC) price target to $17 from
American Eagle Lazard Capital $16; Gerdau AmeriSteel (GNA)
Hold » Buy $22 price target to $9 from $8;
(AEO) Mkts
Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) price
$52 » target to $16 from $15and
AFLAC (AFL) Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
$60 Reliance Steel & Aluminum (RS)
$64 » price target to $43 from $42.
Genzyme (GENZ) Citigroup Hold » Buy
$63 TWX Time Warner ests and tgt
$39 » increased to $38 at Collins Stewart
Abercrombie (ANF) FBR Capital Mkt Perform » Outperform
$46 (30.85 )
Robert W. $25 »
US Bancorp (USB) Neutral » Outperform LVS Las Vegas Sands share tumble
Baird $29 on debut - AFP (15.79 )
STOCKS DOWNGRADED
AEO American Eagle upgraded to
BROKERAGE Buy at Lazard Capital Mkts due to
COMPANY RATINGS CHANGE PRICE TARGET
FIRM
valuation & sales trends
Outperform » Mkt accelerating; tgt $22 (15.03 )
Baidu.com (BIDU) Bernstein
Perform

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 EARNINGS

UNH UnitedHealth affirms FY09 and FY10 outlook ahead of investor conference on Dec 1 (29.44 )

AMZN Amazon.com reports November is already the best sales month ever for Kindle (131.74 )

MRVL Marvell: Roth is expecting strong Q3 but subdued Q4 and 1Q10 (15.63 )

LLY Eli Lilly: FDA approves Cymbalta for maintenance treatment of Generalized Anxiety Disorder (36.90 )

AIG American Intl tgt cut to $12 from $20 at Bernstein (33.30 )

BEN Franklin Resources downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Pali (108.97 )

CAT Caterpillar announces acquisition of JCS Co., Ltd. (57.45 )

BA Dubai crisis threatens Airbus and Boeing, too - BusinessWeek Online (52.45 )

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Symbol S7 S6 S5 S4 S3 S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7
Sectors
SPX 1050.11 1058.41 1063.54 1071.84 1080.14 1082.70 1085.25 1093.57 1101.88 1104.43 1107.00 1115.30 1123.60 1128.73 1137.03
INDU 9889.17 9973.59 10025.74 10110.15 10194.57 10220.64 10246.61 10331.13 10415.66 10441.62 10467.70 10552.11 10636.53 10688.68 10773.09
NDX 1688.19 1702.34 1711.09 1725.25 1739.40 1743.78 1748.13 1762.31 1776.48 1780.84 1785.21 1799.37 1813.52 1822.27 1836.43
XBD 106.06 107.17 107.85 108.95 110.06 110.40 110.74 111.84 112.95 113.29 113.63 114.73 115.84 116.52 117.62
BKX 41.04 41.50 41.78 42.25 42.71 42.85 42.99 43.46 43.92 44.06 44.20 44.67 45.13 45.41 45.88
TRAN 3724.39 3762.07 3785.36 3823.05 3860.73 3872.38 3883.97 3921.71 3959.44 3971.04 3982.68 4020.37 4058.05 4081.34 4119.03
OIX 640.01 649.45 655.27 664.71 674.15 677.06 679.96 689.41 698.86 701.76 704.67 714.11 723.55 729.37 738.81
OSX 175.07 177.97 179.75 182.64 185.54 186.43 187.32 190.21 193.11 194.00 194.89 197.78 200.68 202.46 205.35
XNG 468.02 475.02 479.35 486.36 493.36 495.53 497.68 504.70 511.71 513.87 516.03 523.04 530.04 534.37 541.38
CYC 721.96 733.30 740.31 751.65 762.99 766.49 769.98 781.34 792.69 796.18 799.69 811.03 822.37 829.38 840.72
UTY 380.81 383.82 385.68 388.69 391.70 392.63 393.55 396.57 399.58 400.51 401.44 404.45 407.46 409.32 412.33
DRG 292.94 295.71 297.42 300.19 302.96 303.82 304.67 307.44 310.22 311.07 311.92 314.69 317.46 319.17 321.94
RLX 385.26 388.96 391.25 394.95 398.65 399.80 400.94 404.64 408.35 409.49 410.63 414.33 418.03 420.32 424.02

Tradeables

SPY 105.33 106.11 106.59 107.36 108.14 108.38 108.62 109.39 110.17 110.41 110.65 111.42 112.20 112.68 113.45
DIA 99.86 100.48 100.86 101.47 102.09 102.28 102.47 103.08 103.70 103.89 104.08 104.69 105.31 105.69 106.30
QQQQ 41.55 41.91 42.13 42.48 42.84 42.95 43.06 43.41 43.77 43.88 43.99 44.34 44.70 44.92 45.27
QLD 48.84 49.71 50.25 51.13 52.00 52.27 52.54 53.42 54.29 54.56 54.83 55.71 56.58 57.12 58.00
IWM 54.50 55.13 55.51 56.13 56.76 56.95 57.14 57.76 58.39 58.58 58.77 59.39 60.02 60.40 61.02
OIH 111.72 112.73 113.36 114.38 115.39 115.71 116.02 117.04 118.05 118.37 118.68 119.70 120.71 121.34 122.36
XLE 54.71 55.10 55.34 55.73 56.12 56.24 56.36 56.75 57.14 57.26 57.38 57.77 58.16 58.40 58.79
FAZ 18.76 19.19 19.45 19.87 20.30 20.43 20.56 20.98 21.41 21.54 21.67 22.09 22.52 22.78 23.20
FAS 62.40 64.03 65.05 66.68 68.31 68.82 69.32 70.96 72.60 73.10 73.61 75.24 76.87 77.89 79.52
SRS 8.50 8.67 8.77 8.93 9.10 9.15 9.20 9.36 9.53 9.58 9.63 9.79 9.96 10.06 10.22
SDS 34.33 34.83 35.13 35.63 36.13 36.28 36.43 36.93 37.43 37.58 37.73 38.23 38.73 39.03 39.53
USO 35.36 35.89 36.23 36.76 37.29 37.46 37.62 38.16 38.70 38.86 39.03 39.56 40.09 40.43 40.96
SKF 23.70 24.06 24.28 24.64 25.00 25.11 25.22 25.58 25.94 26.05 26.16 26.52 26.88 27.10 27.46

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