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Jet P.H. Shu


Advisor, Science & Technology
DoIT, MOEA
Dec. 12
th
, 2013
Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy
and
Technology Development Strategy
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Contents
I. Awareness of Human-Induced Climate Change

II. Regulation Pull Vs. Technology Push for Global
Auto CO2 Emission Control

III. Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy

IV. Status Report on Taiwan Cleaner Auto Propulsion
System Development

V. Conclusion Remarks
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I. Awareness of Human-Induced Climate
Change
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Decade Extreme Weather (1)
Natural Variability? Human-Induced?
Or
Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013
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Decade Extreme Weather (2)
Natural Variability? Human-Induced?
Or
Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013
Decade Extreme Weather (3)
Decade Extreme Weather (4)
This TRMM 3-D image of Super-Typhoon Usagi on Sept. 19 shows heavy rain (red) at the base of
the eyewall. The lightning flashes (ring of small orange dots) are displayed at 5 km altitude.
That's near the freezing level in tropical cyclones and near the top of the heavy precipitation.
Image Credit:
NASA/Owen Kelley
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Decadal Global Combined Surface-air
Temperature Measurement
Surface-air temperature over land and sea-surface temperature (C) obtained from the
average over the three independent datasets maintained by the K Met Office Hadley
Centre and the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, in the United Kingdom
(HadCRU), NOAA-National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and the US NASA-GISS.
The horizontal grey line indicates the long-term average value for 19611990 (14C).

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The Warmest Decade (2001~2010) Since 1850
The first decade of the 21st century was the
warmest decade recorded since modern
measurements began around 1850.
Above-average precipitation, including year 2010
that broke all previous records.
94% of countries reporting had their warmest
decade ever in this decade and no country
reported cooler than the long-term average.
Marked by dramatic climate and weather extremes
such as;
European heat-wave of 2003,
2010 floods in Pakistan,
Hurricane Katrina in the United States of America
(USA),
Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar,
Melting arctic ice,
And long-term droughts in the Amazon Basin,
Australia and East Africa,
Sea levels were said to have risen about twice as
fast as the trend in the last 100 years.
Natural Variability of
the Climate System
Human Induced
Climate Change
Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013
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Human-Caused Climate Change is Trending in just one
Direction - upward
Unlike these natural back-and-forth oscillations, human-caused
climate change is trending in just one direction. This is because
atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous
oxide and other greenhouse gases are increasing steadily, due
to human activities.

2010 Increase since pre-
industrial times
1991-2000 2001-2010
Carbon
dioxide
389 ppm 39% 361.5 ppm 380 ppm

Methane 1,808 ppb 158% 1,758 ppb 1,790 ppb

Nitrous
Oxide
323.2 ppb 20% 312.2 ppb 319.7 ppb
Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013
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Is 400ppm CO2 Milestone the Trsehold of the
Human-Induce Climate Change?
Record 400ppm CO2 milestone 'feels like we're moving into another era Ralph
Keeling, son of renowned climate scientist Charles David Keeling, reflects on
the meaning of carbon emissions reaching record atmospheric levels on
11 May 2013.
CO2 is one of GHG, and it caused the global warning, and we have to do
something to reduce the CO2 emission.
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II. Regulation Pull Vs. Technology Push for
Global Auto CO2 Emission Control
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Carbon Dioxide Emissions from
World and Taiwan
Why CO2 emission matters to us?
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World Transport Energy Use by Mode
1971-2009
SOURCETechnology Roadmap, Fuel Economy of Road Vehicles, OECD/IEA, 2012.
Transport energy use is the major contributor to global CO2 emission.
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Global ST & Engineering Efforts to
Improve Vehicle Fuel Economy Roadmap
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III. Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy
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III-1. Vehicle Emission Control Program - Focus on
Vehicle Fuel Economy Regulation
CO2 Emission Control
Taiwan Energy Consumption Structure
(by Sector)



12% of Taiwan Total Energy Consumed by Transportation Sector.


Million LOE
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SourceTAIWAN EPA , 2010, Study on low carbon vehicle CO
2
emissions reduction control strategies,
EPA-99-FA13-03-A001
Taiwan on-road Vehicles Greenhouse Gas
(GHG) Emission in 2009
Taiwan Motor Vehicle Emission
Controls Before 2000
Why not do it again!
All vehicle OEMs are improving the powertrain efficiency (>65% of vehicle energy
loss) to meet global carbon regulations; 4l/100km or <95gm/km by 2020.
In 2015, Taiwan LDVs Fuel Consumption standard will be 17km/l (15% tougher), and
in 2025 will be up 40% more to 24.3km/l (close to 4l/100km of global marks).
Ref. Source: ICCT(The International Council on Clean Transportation)MSL/ITRI(2012/7)
Meeting Challenging CO2 Emission
Requirements (95 gm/km & 4 l/100 km)
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IV. Status Report on Taiwan Cleaner Auto
Propulsion System Development
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Taiwan Clean Propulsion System
Initiative
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IV-1. Green Vehicle STI Program Focus on
Research Institute Technology Development
Research Institute Efforts to Develop
Clearner Propulsion System
Ref. ITRI
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Taiwan Motorcycle Technology Readiness
Meeting Emission Regulation
SOURCEITRI MSL
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IV-2. Green Vehicle STI Program Focus on
University Basic Research & Advanced Technology Development
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Advanced Engine Research Center
Kao Yuan University (1/2)
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Advanced Engine Research Center
Kao Yuan University (2/2)
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Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center
National Taipei Tech University (1/3)
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Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center
National Taipei Tech University (2/3)
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Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center
National Taipei Tech University (3/3)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (1/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (2/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (3/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (4/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (5/6)
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Advanced Power Research Center
National Taiwan University (6/6)
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IV-3. Electric Vehicle Demonstration Program Focus on
Policy
Vehicle/Infrastructure/Users Behavior, Business Model
Industry Development
Innovation Platform
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Fuel Efficiency Comparison on ICE, HEV, and AEV
Hybrid Electric
(HEV)
All Electric
(AEV)
Internal
Combustion Engine
(ICE)


Source: 2010/03/17
2020 xEV Volume to 13 Millions
Global EV Market Projection
A
n
n
u
a
l



k

u
n
i
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s

1,000 units/yr
xEV Development Trend and Technology
Readiness
Key Successful Factors:
Win-Win Business Model
Policy
Infrastructure
Reliable technologies
Reasonable Return on Investment
Clean Environment
Efficient Transportation



Under
Developing
Production






Engine
Tech
Upgrading
EV Tech Development
Clean Air Zone
Running
Chassis
EV Platform
Fleet & Demonstration
- Shuttle / Delivery / Touring -

Fleet Operation
EPS
Battery
Electricity
Supply
Business
Model
Fleet
Management
Industry Government
I
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&

S
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I
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&

I
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Auxiliary
Transmission
Charger
Interface Standard Plot
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Taiwan EV Demonstration Program
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Building EV Re-fueling Infrastructure
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Building EV Industrial Ecosystem
Source: TARC, MOEA
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IV. Conclusion Remarks
With cooperative efforts from Academia, Research Institute,
Industry, and Government Agencies, we have high
confidence to meet stringent fuel economy in Taiwan;
17km/l for LDV in 2015.

To build xEV innovation platform and industry ecosystem
are our long-term goals to break the most stringent barrier
of 25km/l fuel economy in 2030.

Taiwan is a very beautiful island in the world, and with the
sense of responsibility to minimize the human-induced
climate change is golden rule for each engineers.

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