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The first decade of the 21st century was The Warmest Decade recorded since modern measurements began around 1850. Marked by dramatic climate and weather extremes such as; European heat-wave of 2003, 2010 floods in Pakistan, Hurricane Katrina. - 94% of countries reporting had their warmest decade ever in this decade and no country reported cooler than the long-term average.
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20131212 Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy and Technology Development Strategy
The first decade of the 21st century was The Warmest Decade recorded since modern measurements began around 1850. Marked by dramatic climate and weather extremes such as; European heat-wave of 2003, 2010 floods in Pakistan, Hurricane Katrina. - 94% of countries reporting had their warmest decade ever in this decade and no country reported cooler than the long-term average.
The first decade of the 21st century was The Warmest Decade recorded since modern measurements began around 1850. Marked by dramatic climate and weather extremes such as; European heat-wave of 2003, 2010 floods in Pakistan, Hurricane Katrina. - 94% of countries reporting had their warmest decade ever in this decade and no country reported cooler than the long-term average.
Advisor, Science & Technology DoIT, MOEA Dec. 12 th , 2013 Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy and Technology Development Strategy 2 Contents I. Awareness of Human-Induced Climate Change
II. Regulation Pull Vs. Technology Push for Global Auto CO2 Emission Control
III. Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy
IV. Status Report on Taiwan Cleaner Auto Propulsion System Development
V. Conclusion Remarks 3 I. Awareness of Human-Induced Climate Change 4 Decade Extreme Weather (1) Natural Variability? Human-Induced? Or Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013 5 Decade Extreme Weather (2) Natural Variability? Human-Induced? Or Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013 Decade Extreme Weather (3) Decade Extreme Weather (4) This TRMM 3-D image of Super-Typhoon Usagi on Sept. 19 shows heavy rain (red) at the base of the eyewall. The lightning flashes (ring of small orange dots) are displayed at 5 km altitude. That's near the freezing level in tropical cyclones and near the top of the heavy precipitation. Image Credit: NASA/Owen Kelley 8 Decadal Global Combined Surface-air Temperature Measurement Surface-air temperature over land and sea-surface temperature (C) obtained from the average over the three independent datasets maintained by the K Met Office Hadley Centre and the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, in the United Kingdom (HadCRU), NOAA-National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and the US NASA-GISS. The horizontal grey line indicates the long-term average value for 19611990 (14C).
9 The Warmest Decade (2001~2010) Since 1850 The first decade of the 21st century was the warmest decade recorded since modern measurements began around 1850. Above-average precipitation, including year 2010 that broke all previous records. 94% of countries reporting had their warmest decade ever in this decade and no country reported cooler than the long-term average. Marked by dramatic climate and weather extremes such as; European heat-wave of 2003, 2010 floods in Pakistan, Hurricane Katrina in the United States of America (USA), Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar, Melting arctic ice, And long-term droughts in the Amazon Basin, Australia and East Africa, Sea levels were said to have risen about twice as fast as the trend in the last 100 years. Natural Variability of the Climate System Human Induced Climate Change Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013 10 Human-Caused Climate Change is Trending in just one Direction - upward Unlike these natural back-and-forth oscillations, human-caused climate change is trending in just one direction. This is because atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and other greenhouse gases are increasing steadily, due to human activities.
2010 Increase since pre- industrial times 1991-2000 2001-2010 Carbon dioxide 389 ppm 39% 361.5 ppm 380 ppm
Methane 1,808 ppb 158% 1,758 ppb 1,790 ppb
Nitrous Oxide 323.2 ppb 20% 312.2 ppb 319.7 ppb Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013 11 Is 400ppm CO2 Milestone the Trsehold of the Human-Induce Climate Change? Record 400ppm CO2 milestone 'feels like we're moving into another era Ralph Keeling, son of renowned climate scientist Charles David Keeling, reflects on the meaning of carbon emissions reaching record atmospheric levels on 11 May 2013. CO2 is one of GHG, and it caused the global warning, and we have to do something to reduce the CO2 emission. 12 II. Regulation Pull Vs. Technology Push for Global Auto CO2 Emission Control 13 Carbon Dioxide Emissions from World and Taiwan Why CO2 emission matters to us? 14 World Transport Energy Use by Mode 1971-2009 SOURCETechnology Roadmap, Fuel Economy of Road Vehicles, OECD/IEA, 2012. Transport energy use is the major contributor to global CO2 emission. 15 Global ST & Engineering Efforts to Improve Vehicle Fuel Economy Roadmap 16 III. Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy 17 III-1. Vehicle Emission Control Program - Focus on Vehicle Fuel Economy Regulation CO2 Emission Control Taiwan Energy Consumption Structure (by Sector)
12% of Taiwan Total Energy Consumed by Transportation Sector.
Million LOE 19 SourceTAIWAN EPA , 2010, Study on low carbon vehicle CO 2 emissions reduction control strategies, EPA-99-FA13-03-A001 Taiwan on-road Vehicles Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emission in 2009 Taiwan Motor Vehicle Emission Controls Before 2000 Why not do it again! All vehicle OEMs are improving the powertrain efficiency (>65% of vehicle energy loss) to meet global carbon regulations; 4l/100km or <95gm/km by 2020. In 2015, Taiwan LDVs Fuel Consumption standard will be 17km/l (15% tougher), and in 2025 will be up 40% more to 24.3km/l (close to 4l/100km of global marks). Ref. Source: ICCT(The International Council on Clean Transportation)MSL/ITRI(2012/7) Meeting Challenging CO2 Emission Requirements (95 gm/km & 4 l/100 km) 22 IV. Status Report on Taiwan Cleaner Auto Propulsion System Development 23 Taiwan Clean Propulsion System Initiative 24 IV-1. Green Vehicle STI Program Focus on Research Institute Technology Development Research Institute Efforts to Develop Clearner Propulsion System Ref. ITRI 26 Taiwan Motorcycle Technology Readiness Meeting Emission Regulation SOURCEITRI MSL 27 IV-2. Green Vehicle STI Program Focus on University Basic Research & Advanced Technology Development 28 Advanced Engine Research Center Kao Yuan University (1/2) 29 Advanced Engine Research Center Kao Yuan University (2/2) 30 Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center National Taipei Tech University (1/3) 31 Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center National Taipei Tech University (2/3) 32 Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center National Taipei Tech University (3/3) 33 Advanced Power Research Center National Taiwan University (1/6) 34 Advanced Power Research Center National Taiwan University (2/6) 35 Advanced Power Research Center National Taiwan University (3/6) 36 Advanced Power Research Center National Taiwan University (4/6) 37 Advanced Power Research Center National Taiwan University (5/6) 38 Advanced Power Research Center National Taiwan University (6/6) 39 IV-3. Electric Vehicle Demonstration Program Focus on Policy Vehicle/Infrastructure/Users Behavior, Business Model Industry Development Innovation Platform 40 Fuel Efficiency Comparison on ICE, HEV, and AEV Hybrid Electric (HEV) All Electric (AEV) Internal Combustion Engine (ICE)
Source: 2010/03/17 2020 xEV Volume to 13 Millions Global EV Market Projection A n n u a l
k
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1,000 units/yr xEV Development Trend and Technology Readiness Key Successful Factors: Win-Win Business Model Policy Infrastructure Reliable technologies Reasonable Return on Investment Clean Environment Efficient Transportation
Under Developing Production
Engine Tech Upgrading EV Tech Development Clean Air Zone Running Chassis EV Platform Fleet & Demonstration - Shuttle / Delivery / Touring -
Fleet Operation EPS Battery Electricity Supply Business Model Fleet Management Industry Government I n t e r f a c e
&
S t a n d a r d s
I n c e n t i v e
&
I n f r a s t r u c t u r e
Auxiliary Transmission Charger Interface Standard Plot 45 Taiwan EV Demonstration Program 46 Building EV Re-fueling Infrastructure 47 Building EV Industrial Ecosystem Source: TARC, MOEA 48 IV. Conclusion Remarks With cooperative efforts from Academia, Research Institute, Industry, and Government Agencies, we have high confidence to meet stringent fuel economy in Taiwan; 17km/l for LDV in 2015.
To build xEV innovation platform and industry ecosystem are our long-term goals to break the most stringent barrier of 25km/l fuel economy in 2030.
Taiwan is a very beautiful island in the world, and with the sense of responsibility to minimize the human-induced climate change is golden rule for each engineers.