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The index opened with a small gap-up above the previous candle but trading in a small band, finished 138 points or 0.5% higher. Sensex' gain was attributed to the IT Index, which was up 2.6%. Other sectors ended flat and Bankex lost 1.2%. The action formed a Bull candle, with a tiny 11-point gap-up below its bottom. Small candles can be negative if next day's action weakens / closes below their bottom and gap-area
The index opened with a small gap-up above the previous candle but trading in a small band, finished 138 points or 0.5% higher. Sensex' gain was attributed to the IT Index, which was up 2.6%. Other sectors ended flat and Bankex lost 1.2%. The action formed a Bull candle, with a tiny 11-point gap-up below its bottom. Small candles can be negative if next day's action weakens / closes below their bottom and gap-area
The index opened with a small gap-up above the previous candle but trading in a small band, finished 138 points or 0.5% higher. Sensex' gain was attributed to the IT Index, which was up 2.6%. Other sectors ended flat and Bankex lost 1.2%. The action formed a Bull candle, with a tiny 11-point gap-up below its bottom. Small candles can be negative if next day's action weakens / closes below their bottom and gap-area
Market Outlook Sensex: We said, "Positive bias if today's action strengthens above the candle ... " The index opened with a small gap-up above the previous candle but trading in a small band, finished 138 points or 0.5% higher. Sensex' gain was attributed to the IT Index, which was up 2.6%. Other sectors ended flat and Bankex lost 1.2%. The A/D ratio ended even.
The action formed a Bull candle, with a tiny 11-point gap-up below its bottom. Small candles can be negative if next day's action weakens/closes below their bottom and gap-area. Holding the gap-up area would keep the bias positive ahead of the Rail Budget today. However, watch for sustainable follow-up above Monday's candle as crucial. Exhibit 1: Sensex Daily Candlestick Chart
Global Indices Indices Close Change Change% Dow Jones 17024.21 -44.05 -0.26 Nasdaq 4451.53 -34.40 -0.77 FTSE 6823.51 -42.54 -0.62 DAX 9906.07 -103.01 -1.03 Hang Seng 23539.98 5.85 0.02 Nikkei 15260.61 -116.79 -0.76 SGX Nifty 7807.00 7.00 0.08 * Asian Market at 7:30 am.IST Market Breadth 1715 602 1359 599 102 19 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Advance Decline Unchg NSE BSE
Recommendations for the day 1. Buy Nifty July Future in range of 7770-7775 2. Buy HCL Tech. in range of 1510.00-1512.00 3. Buy LIC Housing Fin. in range of 334.30-334.80 4. Buy Tata Power above 110.25 *All recommendations are of July Future
Daily Calls July 8, 2014 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
CNX Nifty (Cash Levels) Technical Picture Nifty Intraday Short Term Trend Rangebound Up Trend Reversal 7400 Support 7755-7725 7400 Resistance 7830-7860 8100 20 Days EMA 7590 200 days EMA 6659
Nifty Future Recommendations CMP : Comment : Action : Targets : 7805/7825/Higher Stop-loss : 7755.00 Future premium decreased from 31 points to 11. Registers a smaller gain near the crucial 7800- mark.Reverse if fails to reach/sustain above 7810-20 Buy in the range of 7770-7775 7798.60
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 3 Trend Scanner
Positive Trends
Scrip Name Close % Change 10-day SMA Delivery (%) Bajaj Auto Ltd 2302.70 0.15 2299.78 66.90 MAX India Ltd 308.05 4.76 294.79 57.77 LIC Housing Finance Ltd 333.45 1.89 325.26 61.57 HCL Technologies Ltd 1508.50 1.90 1468.37 62.77 PVR Ltd 668.95 0.18 664.64 47.19 NTPC Ltd 161.35 1.77 156.41 49.91
Overbought Stocks Oversold Stocks Stocks rising for 5 days & stochastic overbought Stocks falling for 5 days & stochastic oversold Scrip Name LTP Stochastic Scrip Name LTP Stochastic Bharat Forge 667.85 85.02 Bajaj Hind 29.9 18.87 IOB 83 80.68 UCO Bank 111.9 89.3
Candlestick Patterns Bullish Reversal Pattern Bearish Reversal Pattern Bullish Engulfing Bearish Engulfing Scrip Name Close Scrip Name Close SKF India 1153.5 Vijaya Bank 55.7 Jubilant 203.5 Bullish Candle Bearish Candle Aditya Birla Nuvo 1433.0 Mcdowells 2418.0 Bharti Airtel 345.1 JSW Steel 1236.5 Infosys 3341.0 Ultratech Cement 2552.0 BEML 815.7 LIC Housing Finance 333.5 IDFC 142.1 NTPC 161.4 HCL Technology 1508.0
Note: For Candlestick pattern description refer towards the end of the report.
Stocks hitting 52 week high Scrip Name LTP Aban 856.8 BEL 2271.5 DHFL 408.05 HDFC Bank 841.75 IRB 265.75 TCS 2488
Global Currencies Spot Close Prev.close % Chg Rupee (|) 60.015 59.735 -0.47 Dollar Index 80.207 80.218 -0.02 Euro 1.361 1.361 0.01 British Pound 1.715 1.713 0.11 Japanese Yen 101.770 101.860 0.09 Australian ($) 0.939 0.937 0.16 Swiss Franc 0.893 0.894 0.02
Global Treasury Yields
Closing Yield (%) Previous Yield (%) India 10 year 8.69 8.69 US 10 Year 2.62 2.61 EURO 10 Year 1.25 1.27 GBP 10 Year 2.73 2.76 JPY 10 Year 0.56 0.57
Commodities US Dollar
Close Prev. Close %Chg Gold 1319.21 1319.94 -0.06 Copper 21.0365 21.0519 -0.09 Brent Crude 110.10 110.24 -0.13
Exhibit 3: HCL Technologies (HCLTEC) Daily Bar Chart
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research HCL Technologies (HCLTEC) July Future
CMP 1515.95 Comment : Action : Targets : 1531/1541/Higher Stop-loss : 1499.50 Trendline breakout in the daily chart and price taking support at the 13 days EMA and 14 periods RSI giving buy signal in the daily chart Buy in the range of 1510.00-1512.00
Price taking support near 13 days EMA in the daily chart and trendline breakout signalling continuation of the bullish trend in the short term RSI in rising trend taking support at its nine periods average in the daily chart thus validates up trend in price 13 days EMA
Source: Bloomberg , ICICIdirect.com Research LIC Housing Finance(LICHF) July Future
CMP 335.55 Comment : Action : Targets : 340/343/Higher Stop-loss : 331.50 Recent trading range breakout in the daily chart with rise in volume and price taking support at the 21 days EMA in the daily chart Buy in the range of 334.30-334.80
Recent trading range breakout in the daily chart and price rise with rise in volume indicating further upsides in coming sessions Price rise with rise in volume suggesting larger participation in the direction of trend ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 6 Exhibit 5: Tata Power (TATPOW) Daily Candlestick Chart . Source: Bloomberg , ICICIdirect.com Research Tata Power (TATPOW) July Future
CMP 110.00 Comment : Action : Targets : 112.30/113.50/Higher Stop-loss : 109.10 Trendline breakout with a bulllish gap up price action in the daily chart and taking support at the 21 days EMA in the daily chart and RSI giving buy signal in the daily chart Buy above 110.25
Trendline breakout with a rising gap in the daily chart and price taking support at the 21 days EMA signalling bullish trend after recent sideways corrective price action RSI giving buy signal taking support at its nine periods average in the daily chart
21. Days EMA ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 7
Previous Days Performance Scrip Product Strategy Recommended Price Targets SL Gain/Loss %* Comment Nifty Future Buy In range of 7755-7760 7790/7810/+ 7740.00 - No trade HDFC Bank Future Buy In range of 864.50-865.50 876/882/+ 858.50 -0.75 Stoploss triggered Petronet LNG Future Buy above 179.00 182/183.8/+ 177.20 2.70 Target 2 achieved Jain Irrigation Future Buy In range of 128-128.50 131/132.40/+ 126.80 - No trade * Return Opportunity
Nifty Points gained for the day: 0 points Gains over last 64 days: 147 points
Stock profits: Avg 0.98% per trade (Cum. Profits over last 64 days:75.60%)
Strike Rate for the day: 1/2 (Cum strike rate over 64 days: 77/140
NOTE: The follow-up and performance review table of the strategies indicates the profit opportunity that was available in the strategies. Individual profits may vary, depending upon the entry and exit price and stop losses ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Please execute the recommendation within the levels provided in the report Once the recommendation is executed, it is advisable to keep strict stop loss as provided in the report Avoid entering into the recommendation in the first 5 minutes of trade If the recommendation opens near the target levels due to gap up/gap down opening, then the recommendation is considered not initiated The recommendations are valid only for the day and should be squared off by the end of the day Only stocks in derivatives segment have been considered for daily trading Medium to long-term prospects of a stock does not have any bearing on the daily view Trading Portfolio allocation
It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various technical research products. Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation. For example: The Daily Calls product carries 3 to 4 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 13 Recommended Trading Portfolio allocation
Allocations Return Objective Products Product wise allocation Max allocation in 1 stock Number of Calls Frontline Stocks Mid-cap stocks Duration
Techno Funda 15% 5-10% 1-2 Stocks 10% and above 15% and above 6 Months
Technical Breakout 15% 5-10% 1-2 Stocks 10% and above 15% and above 3-6 Months
Cash in Hand 10% - - - - -
100%
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 14 Candlesticks Glossary: Candlestick patterns describe the market sentiment for the specified period. Some of the formations suggest reversal of sentiment (trend) and, therefore, are important for a chart reader. By themselves, the patterns do not carry any price target but only an indication of change in market behaviour. More importance needs to be given to the placement of the pattern within larger trend
Bullish Engulfing Line: A potential bottom reversal pattern. This pattern typically appears at the culmination of a decline or downtrend. The market falls, and a black candle forms (ideally a small black candle). Next, a white real body wraps around the prior sessions black body. Low of the pattern becomes short term support for prices
Piercing Line: Potential bottom reversal pattern. A black body forms in the downtrend. The market continues moving south on the next sessions open but that session culminates in a white real body that closes (e.g. pierces) than half way or more into the prior black body. Lowest low between two candles is referred to as technical support for prices
Hammer: A candlestick line which, during a downtrend, has a very long lower shadow and small real body (black or white) at the top end of the sessions range. There should be no, or a very small, upper shadow. Pattern suggests buying support during declines and needs confirmation in terms of sustainability of prices above head of the Hammer in following session
Bearish Engulfing Line: Potential top reversal signal. This two candlestick pattern emerges during a rally. A black candle real body wraps around a white real body (classically a small white candle) Highest high between two candles becomes resistance level for prices for future reference
Dark Cloud cover: A dark cloud cover forms a top reversal pattern. The first session should be a strong, white real body. The second sessions price opens over the prior sessions high (or above the prior sessions close). By the end of the second session, it closes near the low of the session and should fall well into the prior sessions white body. Pattern suggests that market has a poor chance of rising immediately
Shooting Star: A single candlestick line during a rally in which there is a small real body (white or black) at the bottom end of the session's range and a very long upper shadow. The candle line should also have little or no lower shadow. Pattern suggest the trouble for prices overhead
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
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Pankaj Pandey Head Research pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No 7, MIDC Andheri (East) Mumbai 400 093 research@icicidirect.com
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