Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
=
=
where N
A
is the number of aspects and N
I
is the number of
technical impact parameters.
Secondly, the failure probabilities of all technical impact
parameters (IP
i
) are added to reach the failure probability FP:
=
=
=
= =
I
A
I
N
1 i I A
N
1 j
j
N
1 i
i
N N
A
P I FP
5.3.3 DEFECT SPECIFIC CRITICALITY RANGE
The minimum (R
min
) and the maximum (R
max
) values of the
dielectric failure probability for each particular PD defect (risk
range) can be estimated. For example, a protrusion can
produce a breakdown in a short time because of a lightning
overvoltage influencing this defect. A void however can only
produce a breakdown after years of ageing and after changing
into an electrical tree. Therefore a void may have a criticality
range up to the medium risk only, whereas the protrusion is
always on the high risk level [2, 18]. However, insufficient
information is available to define the exact values at this
moment. The total failure probability (TFP) is calculated by
the following equation:
( ) C
N
R R R TFP
I
A
I A
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
\
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
\
|
+ =
=
=
N
1 i
N
1 j
j
min max min
N
A
1 1
Examples of calculation to estimate the total failure
breakdown TFP are in section 6. The defined settings in these
calculation sheets are based on the experience of the WG
Members. They are not fixed and can be adjusted according to
the experience of the user.
5.4 ESTIMATION OF THE CONSEQUENCES
The estimation of the consequences should be done in
parallel to the calculation of the dielectric failure probability.
The consequences are costs, social-economic and safety
implications. A determination of the consequences is possible
by the application of several non-technical impact parameters
like for example: experience with defects on installed type of
GIS, PD affected component (time to repair, spare parts
availability), outage costs (repair costs of the affected
component or possible damages of further components, costs
of non-delivered energy), liability costs due to third party
damages, penalties coming from customer contracts,
importance of station, system redundancy, public image of the
company, personal injuries in case of an outage and
environmental aspects.
The different information is often available within the
utilities and some of the costs are well known from
experience. Other parameters are generally not financially
assessable and they depend on public and company
requirement. However, the estimation of the consequences
must be done by the utility or asset manager. Otherwise a
proper risk assessment is not possible.
5.5 RISK DIAGRAM
The final risk can be estimated by an adapted Farmer
diagram [19, 20], whose axes are the two independent factors
failure probability of the identified PD defect and
consequences, which are both scaled in a percentage range
(Figure 7).
The consequences are normalized on the maximum
economical consequences in case of a major failure of the
diagnosed switchgear. As an example, lines connecting
different failure probability and certain level of consequences
are chosen to divide the spanned space of the diagram into
three areas of three different risk levels that depend on the
individual utility strategy. In the risk diagram the low,
medium and high risk areas are marked. Each area involves
different actions (Table 4).
For the same dielectric failure probability (points A and B),
different estimation of the consequences can change the risk
assessment area and finally actions to be performed by utility
(Figure 7-b). In time the failure probability can also change,
e.g. a mobile particle moved to a harmless location, and for
the same estimated consequences the risk area can be shifted
from yellow one (point C) to the green one (point A).
a) b)
Figure 7. Risk diagram for PD defects in GIS.
(1)
(2)
(3)
IEEE Transactions on Dielectrics and Electrical Insulation Vol. 20, No. 6; December 2013 2171
Table 4. Utility actions for different risk level.
Risk area Action to be performed
Low Normal maintenance strategy is followed
Medium
Maintenance intervals are reduced, defect development
under observation
High
Immediate intervention of the human expert:
- inspection of the compartment with defect
- replacement of the relevant component (life
extended)
- replacement of the complete switchgear as it reaches
end of life
6 EXAMPLES OF RISK ASSESSMENT
BASED ON PD DIAGNOSTICS
6.1 VOID IN A SF
6
/AIR-BUSHING
During on-site testing of a 145 kV GIS, some PD signals
were detected at U= 220 kV by the UHF method with the PD
coupler close to a SF
6
/air-bushing. The adjacent PD coupler
located in the busbar registered no PD activity. The PRPD
pattern changed with time, but the characteristic features were
always the same (Figure 8) and similar to the known
laboratory PD pattern of epoxy-impregnated SF
6
/air-bushing
traced by switching operations (Figure 9).
Figure 8. PRPD pattern. Figure 9. PRPD pattern.
(U = 176 kV, f= 97 Hz) (f = 50 Hz, void)
It was suspected that transport damage was the reason of
the defect. The calculation of dielectric failure probability was
performed (Figure 10).
Figure 10. Calculation of dielectric failure probability
The dismantled bushing was subjected to a PD routine
test (according to IEC 60270) and the PD background level
of 1.5 pC was not exceeded up to the full test voltage, so
there had been no damage caused during transport. The
SF
6
/air-bushing was then refitted on-site and tested again.
The PD patterns were reproducible and thus correlated with
an apparent charge of less than 1.5 pC. Due to the low PD
level and the positive service experience with the related
type of SF
6
/air-bushing by the manufacturer and the utility,
there was no objection to put the SF
6
/air-bushing into
operation. There was no further objection for the last 14
years.
6.2 MOBILE PARTICLE IN A 275 KV BUSBAR
The acoustic signature in Figure 11 was recorded in 1997 at
a 275 kV busbar. The acoustic signal showed fluctuating
amplitudes and weak phase correlation that indicated a
bouncing particle. However, both the acoustic amplitudes and
the elevation/flight times were limited, thus the particle was
characterized as small and harmless. The particle is still
present in the GIS, and the busbar has been tested regularly to
observe if the particle is active/moving in service. The
calculation of the dielectric failure probability for the
described defect is presented in Figure 12.
Figure 11. Acoustic signature for a small, harmless particle in a 275 kV
busbar.
Figure 12. Calculation of dielectric failure probability
2172 U. Schichler et al.: Risk Assessment on Defects in GIS Based on PD Diagnostics
6.3 FLOATING ELEMENT CORONA SHIELD IN
DISCONNECTOR IN 400 KV GIS
The activity of PD signal was detected by UHF
measurements (Figure 13) and started to increase in
magnitude. A very large number of alarms were triggered by
the signal, in multiple phases at multiple locations throughout
the GIS, indicating that the signal amplitude was very large
and defect close to a circuit breaker in the yellow phase. The
signal indicated the presence of floating element and the
dielectric failure probability was calculated (Figure 14). The
section was switched out and the signal stopped. Site work
was performed on the corona shield in the disconnector and
the section brought back into service with no activity.
Figure.13 PD pattern acquired with UHF measurements.
Figure 14. Calculation of dielectric failure probability.
7 CONCLUSIONS
The report gives recommendations and guidelines for the
application of PD measurement techniques on site and in service.
The recommendations are mainly given to utility but also to third
party consulting companies and to GIS manufacturers. It is
underlined the necessity of high sensitivity of PD measurement
to detect and locate insulation defects, but the present limits of
interpretation of the results of the PD measurements, as related to
the criticality of the defects, is also noted.
Not all PD defects detected in service are critical and will lead
to failure in short time. The PD measurements have to be
repeated to observe the PD signal behaviour in time. The
remedial actions can be scheduled and perform together with the
regular maintenance activity. In many cases the actions cannot
be limited only to PD measurements but will request to adopt
the detailed risk assessment analysis.
The proposed risk assessment procedure based on PD
diagnostics combines technical and other parameters (e.g. social
and economical) and will support test engineers, engineers at
condition monitoring departments and asset managers.
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