BY OLANIYAN STEPHEN OLATOYE MATRIC NO: 070853 A PROJECT REPORT SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF ELECTRICAL AND ELECTRONIC ENGINEERING FACULTY OF ENGINEERING EKITI STATE UNIVERSITY, ADO-EKITI EKITI STATE, NIGERIA IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF THE DEGREE OF BACHELOR OF ENGINEERING IN ELECTRICAL AND ELECTRONIC ENGINEERING APRIL, 2013 CERTIFICATION This is to certify that this project was carried out by Olaniyan Stephen Olatoye with matric number 070853 of the Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, faculty of Engineering, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State Nigeria ________________ _____________ Engr. B. Adebanji Date Supervisor ________________ _____________ Dr. V.S.A Adeloye Date H.O.D (Elect/Elect) ________________ _____________ External Supervisor ii DEDICATION This project is dedicated to Almighty God for giving me the courage to do this work. Also dedicated to my beloved family as a whole. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I give glory and adoration to the most High God for his grace upon my life and helping me so far. My special gratitude goes to my supervisor Engr. B. Adebanji who took time to train and impact knowledge in me. My special thank goes to the head of department Dr. V.S.A Adeloye and all entire staf in the department of electrical and electronic engineering for given me the opportunity to advance academically. My special gratitude goes to my parents pastor and mrs Olaniyan for their fnancial and moral support. My sincere gratitude goes to my sisters and brothers,Olaniyan tosin,Olaniyan yemi,Olaniyan nike, Olaniyan ayo ,olaniyan tayo and every member of the entire family of Olaniyan My acknowledgement would not be complete if I dont express my profound gratitude to my beloved friends Ogunleye foluso folahan(FLAKES), Ajayi dipo timothy(DIPLOMACY), Okafor Christopher, Fasola tosin, okonkwo ike, Oputteh Benson, Avidime jonah, Okoh Raymond, Osi treasure, Bako for being there for me through out my course of study in the iv citadel learning, I have learnt a lot from you guys. I love you all, Thanks. v ABSTRACT Many countries in the world today, are in the verge of deregulating their power industry. Due to the increase in demand of most goods and services, which electricity is not an exemption, appropriate men as should be put in place at meeting this demand. Some of these countries have started improving their electricity industry by introducing deregulation as a prelude to ushering free market competition. This project will presents the deregulation status of the electric supply industry in Nigeria. The historical overview of the Nigeria electric supply industry in Nigeria. The historical overview of the Nigeria electric supply industry will be noted. The motivation and rationale for restructuring the electric supply industry will be presented. The short, medium and long term goals of the deregulation process are presented. The project gives suggestion that will be benefcial to the ongoing privatization and restructuring exercise in Nigeria. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS TITLE PAGE CERTIFICATION ii Dedication iii Acknowledgements iv Abstract vi Table Of Contents vii CHAPTER ONE 1 1.0 Introduction 1 1.1 Statement Of Research Problem 6 1.2 Research Objectives 7 1.3 Signifcance Of The Project 7 1.4 Justifcation 7 1.5 Scope Of The Study 9 1.6 Research Methodology 9 1.7 Defnition Of Operational Terms 9 CHAPTER TWO 12 2.0 Historical Overview Of Electric Supply Industry 12 vii 2.1 General Overview 12 2.1.0 Transmission 13 2.1.1 Voltage Policy Control 13 2.1.2 Frequency Control Policy 13 2.1.3 Distribution 13 2.1.4 Frequency Control 13 2.2 Deregulation And Current Scenario Around The World 18 2.3 Milestones Of Deregulation: 18 2.4 Latin America 18 2.5 The Uk 21 2.6 The Nordic Pool (Norway, Sweden) 24 2.7 Canada 27 2.8 California (Us) 29 2.9 Indian Scenario Of Deregulation 31 2.10The Electricity Act 2003: 32 2.11 Supply And Demand Imbalances 34 CHAPTER THREE 36 3.0 Restructuring Of The Esi: Policy And Status 36 viii 3.1 Needs And Reasons For Restructuring 36 3.2 Power Sector Reform Program 37 3.3 National Electric Power Policy Objectives 37 3.4 Status Of The Restructuring Process 38 3.5 New Power Station 40 3.6 Ipp Initiatives 41 3.7 Billing Collection 41 3.8 Structure Of Deregulated Industry 42 3.9 Diferent Entities In Deregulated Environment 45 3.10The Competition 48 CHAPTER FOUR 50 4.0 Impact Of Electricity Deregulation 50 4.1 Challenges And Opportunities 51 4.1.1 Economic And Social 51 4.1.2 Political 52 4.1.3 Technical 53 4.1.4 Environmental Factors 54 4.2 Opportunities 55 ix 4.3 Efciency And Reliability Of Service 55 4.4 Investment Opportunities 55 4.5 Employment Opportunities 56 4.6 Improvement Of Technical Manpower 57 4.7 Encouragement Of Research 57 4.8 Conclusion 58 CHAPTER FIVE 60 5.0 Conclusion 60 5.1 Recommendation 61 5.1.1 Build, Operate And Transfer Schemes. 62 5.1.2 Build Operate And Own Scheme 63 5.1.3 Transmission 63 5.1.4 Tarif Regulation 65 5.1.5 Market 66 5.1.6 Vandalism 69 5.1.7 Nigeria Electric Power Training And Research Institute (Neptri)71 REFERENCES 74 x CHAPTER ONE 1.0 INTRODUCTION Around the world, electric industries are undergoing extensive restructuring. The trend, which started in the UK and Chile in the 1980s, has rapidly spread too many countries in Latin America, Asia, Europe and Africa. The main motivation and driving forces for restructuring the electric industry in diferent countries are not the same. In some countries, such as the U.K. and the Latin America countries, privatization of the electric has provided a means of attracting funds from the private sector to relieve the burden of heavy burden of heavy government subsidies. In the countries formerly under centralized control (central and eastern Europe), the process follows the general trend away from centralized government control towards increased privatization and decentralization. It also provides a vehicle to attract foreign capital needed in these countries. In the United States and several other countries where the electric industry has for the most part been owned by the private sector, the trend is toward increased 1 competition and regulation J. Duncan Glover, and Mulukutla S. Sarma, Power System Anaylsis and Design, 3rd ed, California: Brooks/Cole 2002. The crisis of public sector managed electricity sector hit the economies of several countries hard and the countries tried various measures of reform with varying degrees of success. The privatization of the power sector is a recent, but internationally widespread trend, which has placed greater reliance on market forces and less dependence on government in the allocation of resources. The privatization of the power sector has been made possible after recognition that the sector could be separated into generation, transmission and distribution sectors and even these sectors could be broken into several companies, without compromising the economic advantages of a vertically integrated government monopoly, which earlier existed in most countries N. Leeparechanon, S. S. Moorthy, R. D Brooks, A. K. David, A review of major factors in restructuring power markets in Developing Countries, Proceedings of the 5 th international conference on advances in power system control, operation. 2 In the restructured environment power sector is no longer based on vertically integrated model. Substantially diferent economic characteristics are recognized in the generation, dispatch, transmission, distribution and supply stages. National, state owned, vertically integrated companies have given birth to many companies in generation and supply, which compete to provide electricity to the industrial consumers and end consumers. Government role has been changed from entrepreneurial role to regulatory one. Competitions among private actors are established as the mechanism to assign resources in generation and supply, with the state regulating dispatch, transmission and distribution activities. Most of the prevailing electricity market follows the model as shown in Figure 1.0. Currently electric power supply in Nigeria is the responsibility of the federal government owned National Electric Power Authority (NEPA), which has been recently restructured into a holding company named Power Holding Company of Nigeria, (PHCN) in preparation for deregulation. NEPA was established in April 1972, with the amalgamation of the former Electricity Corporation of Nigeria (ECN) 3 and Niger Dams Authority (NDA). NEPA supplies electricity power to an estimated four million customers in Nigeria and the Niger Republic, from a combination of hydroelectric dams, coal and gas powered operating source. Like most state-owned enterprises, NEPA has sufered from severe under funding and under-capitalization, inappropriate capital structure, excessive executive interference, and sub-optimality and decision- making. The consequence of this trend is a structural unbalance between electricity power demand (estimated at 10000MW in 2005, forecasted to rise to 20,000MW in 2010), and supply. Although the installed capacity is about 6000MW, the maximum load, ever recorded, was 3083MW. With a 40% generation and distribution losses, the resultant power outages cost the nation an estimated $1 billion per year (2.5% of GDP). Anurag K. Srivastava, Service to Commodity: Which Way to Follow in the Context of Indian Power Sector, Research Paper for ECE 650 at Illinois Institute of technology, 2002. Lack of adequate electric power has caused the collapse of many industries that rely heavily on adequate power supply. Small businesses and heavily machined 4 manufacturers are severely afected by the abysmal performance of NEPA. The people in general are also afected socially, psychologically and physically due to inadequate and unstable power supply. Overall NEPA has contributed in no small way to the stagnation of Nigeria economy. In 1999, a new democratic government was elected into power Nigeria. This regime under the leadership of President Olusegun Obasanjo initiated sweeping reforms across the various sectors of the Nigerian economy. The new administration recognized the fact that National Public Enterprises (NEPA inclusive) have failed to meet public expectation; they consume a large proportion of national resources without discharging the responsibilities thrust upon them. The administration also established the following facts about its NPEs: they fail to allocate these resources efciently; they create economic inefciencies; they incur huge fnancial losses; absorbed disproportionate share of credit especially in the form of Paris and London club loans, as well as domestic loans and advances; and contributed to consistent fscal defcits. As a result the administration 5 has slated most of the NPEs for privatization or/and deregulation. NEPA is one of the key NPEs slated for privatization and deregulation. Sesan A Ayodele, Improving and Sustaining Power (Supply) for Socio- Economic Development in Nigeria, 2003. FIGURE 1.0: Restructured power system 1.1STATEMENT OF RESEARCH PROBLEM Under regulated power system, problems of improper allocation of system usage cost if the participants as well as high tarif on part of the consumers are eminent, this work is thus to provide means of overcoming this problems. 6 1.2RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The objectives of this research are: Firstly, it presents the deregulation status of the electric supply industry in Nigeria. Secondly, it will present the needs and reasons for restructuring of the electric supply industry in Nigeria. Thirdly, to recommend an efcient status of the deregulation process of electric supply industry in Nigeria. 1.3SIGNIFICANCE OF THE PROJECT The signifcance of this project is to : Encourage the entry and full participation of private investors into the power industry in Nigeria. Achieve the stability of price in the electricity market. It gives the suggestion that might be benefcial to the ongoing privatization process in Nigeria power industry. 7 1.4JUSTIFICATION This wok will justify proper allocation of system usage cost thereby providing proper means of compensating the wheeling utilities and the customers. 8 1.5SCOPE OF THE STUDY This study is fundamental at discussing the various methods used in restructuring of the electric supply industry in Nigeria and does not include issues concerning congestion management of such power system. 1.6RESEARCH METHODOLOGY Power system is an interconnection of diferent equipment from the generating station to the end users. This equipment normally form a complex network, hence analyzing such network tends to be cumbersome. For the purpose of this project, reviewing of journals and articles, interviews and collection of data from the National Control Centre Oshogbo are also some of the methodologies used in the project. 1.7DEFINITION OF OPERATIONAL TERMS The defnitions of some of the terms frequently used in this project are given below: 9 i) Customer: end user which purchases the power from the distribution utilities. ii) Deregulation: a system whereby new laws and regulations are introduced to increase competition in a previously monopolized industry. iii) Firm transmission: transmission service that cannot be interrupted for any reason except during an emergency where continuous power delivery is not possible. iv) Monopoly: a market structure in which a single entity controls the production of goods and services which has no close substitute e.g. electricity. v) Network: an interconnected power system consisting of transmission lines and equipments for the transmission of electricity. vi) Producer: owner of the generating station that generates electrical energy. vii) Transmission: process of transporting electrical energy at high voltage from the supply source to the utilities. 10 viii)Transmission provider: the entity responsible for providing transmission services subject to reliability, regulatory and commercial requirement. A transmission provider may or may not be the transmission owner. ix) Vertical integrated utility: a traditional electric utility that has direct control on the generation, transmission and distribution facilities.
11 CHAPTER TWO 2.0 HISTORICAL OVERVIEW OF ELECTRIC SUPPLY INDUSTRY IN NIGERIA 2.1GENERAL OVERVIEW From 1972 to 2005, NEPA, the state owned, vertically integrated monopoly, controlled about 94% of the generation capacity and 100% of the transmission, system operation, distribution and marketing sector of the industry. The transmission lines and generators are interconnected in a common grid, with a single control center. Sesan A Ayodele, Improving and Sustaining Power (Supply) for Socio-Economic Development in Nigeria, 2003. The national electric grid comprises of three hydro and six thermal generating stations with a total installed capacity of 5906MW. Sesan A Ayodele, Improving and Sustaining Power (Supply) for Socio-Economic Development in Nigeria, 2003. The generators types and capacities are presented in table 1. The transmission and distribution networks include: 12 2.1.0TRANSMISSION 5000 kilometres of 330KV lines 6000 kilometres of 132KV lines 23 of 330/132KV sub-stations 91 of 132/33KV sub-stations 2.1.1VOLTAGE POLICY CONTROL 330KV + 5% & -15%, 132KV + 10% & -15% 2.1.2 FREQUENCY CONTROL POLICY 50Hz + 0.4% & - 0.4% 2.1.3DISTRIBUTION 23,753 kilometres of 33KV lines 19,226 kilometers of 11KV lines 679 of 33/11KV sub-stations 543 of 33/0.415KV or 11/0.415KV sub-stations 2.1.4FREQUENCY CONTROL 20, 50Hz: 33KV +/- 10% 13 In addition, there are 1790 distribution transformers and 680 injection sub- stations. Table 2.1: Generation mix of PHCN Generators Total Installed Capacity Types Fuel Location MW Hydro -- Kanji 760 Hydro -- Jebba 570 Hydro -- Shiroro 600 Thermal Natural Gas Afam 709.6 Thermal Natural Gas Delta 912 Thermal Steam Egbin 1320 Thermal Steam and Gas Sapele 1020 Thermal AGO fuel Ijora 60 Total: 5951.6 14 While table 2.1 shows an installed capacity of 5951.6 MW it is sad to note the current available capacity from generators is only about 2536.6MW, less than 50% of the install capacity. The transmission grids are heavily overloaded, because transmission capability was not expanded with increasing MW added to the transmission grid. According to a study done by O.A Komolafe et al the transmission grid is limited to a load supply of 4000MW. This limit includes the efect of Var Injections and Voltage control equipments. If all the available capacity of 5951.6MW is injected into the transmission, total system collapse will occur. Transmission losses are estimated to be 20-30% annually. During the inglorious days of military dictatorship in Nigeria (1983-1999), generation, transmission and distribution apparatus (rotating machines, transformer and others) were operated for several years without the necessary turn around maintenance required to keep them operating efciently and prevent them from collapse. As a result a lot apparatus cannot be operated efciently or outright inoperable. Also substantial amount of the machineries have outlived their useful life, 15 deteriorated beyond repair or rendered obsolete due to better technology. PHCN equipments are subjected to vandalism and theft by group of cabals in diferent part of the country. The hydro power stations sufer from low water level during dry season and the generation output capabilities of thermal stations are often hampered by shortage of fuel. Equipments are expensive to repair, mostly due to their obsolete status. NEPA has always struggled to meet its end of the bargain to supply electricity to its end consumer. NEPA supply electricity through a hostile regime of load shedding and rationing. Power outages occur at high rates and power quality delivered in most area is very low. The frustration caused by inefcacy of NEPA fueled by the lackadaisical attitude of NEPA personnel has lead to a high rate of illegal electricity consumption practices among consumers. Currently, all major newly established privately or even publicly owned commercial/industrial enterprises under take substantial investment in private supply of electricity relying on privately owned generating plants at high costs 16 which tend to aggravate the high cost of production and subsequently the countrys high rate of infation. NEPA is a government ran entity that enjoys a lot of the fnancial transfers, subsidies, grants and tax and import duty waivers from the government. These social incentives from the government were counter productive for NEPAs efciency. It resulted in an under trained and unmotivated manpower and lack of will to operate as a proftable entity. The billing system of NEPA is fraught in two main ways: 1) The tarif does not cover the cost of supplying power to consumers 2) NEPA does not have an efective billing system, which results in widespread under billing. 17 2.2DEREGULATION AND CURRENT SCENARIO AROUND THE WORLD 2.3MILESTONES Of DEREGULATION: - 1982 Chile - 1990 UK - 1992 Argentina, Sweden & Norway - 1993 Bolivia & Colombia - 1994 Australia - 1996 New Zeeland - 1997 Panama, El Salvador, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Hondura - 1998 California, USA and several others 2.4LATIN AMERICA From 1980 onwards, a major transformation took place throughout the electric power industry in South America. The frst to begin was Chile, which made modest reorganization eforts in 1980, and privatized 18 Nacional de Electricidad S.A. in 1988, purchased by Endesa (Spain). Endesa along with other utilities purchased stakes in the Chilean electric industry. Over time, government owned power gave way to fve generating companies competing in the main grid. In Argentina, the government separated generation, transmission and distribution in 1991. The two state owned companies were split into almost 40 competing private generator companies, many with only a single power plant. This fragmentation was designed to assure that no one generator had anything approaching dominant position in the marketplace. Transmission assets were sold to private Transcos, and 18 electric distribution companies were created. MAIN FEATURES: Disaggregation of generation, transmission and distribution into separate business sectors. Creation of intense competition in power production through fragmentation of national generating resources into many companies, none of which dominates the market. All generating companies bid into Poolco like structure, 19 essentially centrally dispatched by an independent Poolco operator. There are almost no barriers to the construction of thermal, wind and solar plants. Licenses and government cooperation are required for construction of hydroelectric plants. Licensed, open access operation of power delivery assets, usually having local monopoly franchises limited to power movement, not sales. Local distribution concessionaires are assigned an obligation of supplying electricity to consumers with long-term franchises. RESULTS: Increasing investment in new facilities, especially new generating plants Substantial increase in thermal plant availability Reduction in specifc power consumption of thermal plants and consequent decreases in both spot and contract market prices Service quality improvements, reduction in non-served energy and decrease of system failure probability 20 Reduction in total service losses Considerable consumption growth (40% increases in last fve years) Transmission investments in the period have been moderate, because of the strict economic criteria required for their implementation by interested party. Reduction in non-supplied energy because better transport service quality Reduction of prices since beginning of the process around 50 % Average monthly electricity prices in wholesale market dropped from $60/MWhr to $30/MWhr 2.5 THE UK The most widely quoted example of deregulation is the United Kingdom. The process of privatization in the UK began in February 1988, and in some ways the UK led the world in electric industry deregulation. Great Britain was privatized in three stages, with England and Wales frst, followed by Scotland, then Northern Ireland. MAIN FEATURES: 21 Central Electricity Board was split into four entities, which consisted of two private generating companies, National Power and Power Gen, a government owned generator, Nuclear Electric, and the National Grid Company (NGC), which is the independent transmission system operator. 12 local electricity boards privatized as Regional electric Company (REC), each having monopoly franchise on local power distribution National Grid became National Grid Company (NGC), initially owned by 12 RECs. But now a public traded corporation. Scottish non-nuclear companies, Electricity de France (EdF) and IPPs became the member of pool. Non-franchise customers (earlier > 1 MW, later > 100 KW and now free) have option of choosing their supplier from any RECs, National Power or PowerGen. Pool maintained by NGC REC submit grid forecast to Pool co operator Generator bids are entered into NGCs GOAL program 22 The GOAL program derives half hourly marginal costs The System Marginal Price (SMP) is the price quoted by the most expensive generator which is accepted for dispatch during each half-hourly time slot when transmission constraints are ignored simple unconstrained dispatch New Electricity Trading Arrangements (NETA): In July 1998 the Director General of Electricity Supply (DGES) published a proposals document describing new market based trading arrangements for electricity (NETA). In October 1998 the Government accepted these proposals. The proposals envisaged market-based trading arrangements more like those in commodity markets elsewhere. Forwards and futures markets would operate up to several years ahead, evolving in response to demand. A voluntary Short-term Bilateral Market would operate from at least 24 hours to about 4 hours before real time, allowing participants to fne tune their positions. When the Short-term Bilateral Market closes, a voluntary Balancing Market would open with the National Grid Company, in its role as System Operator, accepting bids for increments 23 or decrements of generation or demand to enable it to balance the system. There would be a settlement process to refect diferences between contract positions and metered volumes of output and to recover other costs to be borne by market participants. A Balancing and Settlement Code would contain a set of rules covering the balancing market, the imbalance price and the settlement system. RESULTS: Stafng at generation plants fell by 60%, while productivity increased almost 75% Improved operating efciency. Prices have fallen for majority of customers with increased reliability 2.6THE NORDIC POOL (NORWAY, SWEDEN) The Swedish electricity sector was never completely centralized or nationalized. Till 1991, the sector was dominated by Vatenfall, which in addition to owning about 50% of the total generation also managed the 24 400 kV and 220 kV transmission lines and some large networks at lower voltage levels, down to the customers. There were about a dozen other large generating companies and 270 distribution companies, which operated the networks at lower voltage levels and often owned their own generation. The Norwegian electricity sector was dominated by small/ medium sized municipality owned power companies, each vertically integrated, i.e., they generated power and transmitted that to their own dedicated customers. Most of the transactions were on a bilateral basis, between the utility and bulk consumers. MAIN FEATURES OF NORWEGIAN DEREGULATED MARKET: Deregulation was created in by the Energy Act of June 1990 and market operation started in May 1992 Restructuring removed the transmission ownership from Stat Kraft, a national utility, and the creation of a new national owned company Stat Nett to be transmission owner, market operator and ISO. Nord pool is not a mandatory pool. Generators and consumers 25 voluntarily decide whether or not they wish to sell or purchase electricity through this market. As a consequence, the majority of electricity is still traded via bilateral contracts between generators and consumers, with the pool serving primarily as a wholesale market for marginal electric supply. There is a future market where weekly fnancial futures contracts ranging from a week ahead to 3 years ahead are traded. Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Administration (NVE) are responsible for monitoring grid operation in Norway and for setting the tarifs for the local distributions companies throughout Norway. MAIN FEATURES OF SWEDISH DEREGULATED MARKET: Passed deregulation legislation in October 1995 and joined existing Norwegian market structure in January 1996 inspired by the Norwegian initiative. Transmission operation was removed from national utility Vattenfall that continues to operate generation, and Svenksa Kraftnat, the national grid owner and ISO, was formed. 26 Nord Pool, a market operator was formed, owned equally by Statnett & Kraftnat, to look over spot and future market for the both countries. Some large retail distributors also generate all or a large fraction of the electricity they distribute. Sydkraft and Stockholm Energi, the two largest distribution ompanies, are the next largest generators after Vattenfall. RESULTS: Prices have declined about 2% for residential & 7% for commercial consumers Service reliability has remained at or near traditionally high levels Management of hydro energy has resulted in no shortages or apparent waste of water resources. 2.7CANADA January 1, 1996 was a turning point for Albertas electric industry since it meant vertically integrated utilities became a thing of the past. Since then, restructuring is moving cautiously, trying to retain the benefts of the existing low cost generators for customers while making 27 the transition to fully competitive market. MAIN FEATURES: New power pool, through which all energy in the province will be traded. The hourly pool price will be the same for buyers and sellers. Competitive bidding for future generation. Utilities will continue to own and operate their existing power plants. However, as these are retired, IPP will be brought on to replace them and meet load growth. This will lead to the generation sector becoming fully competitive. A province-wide transmission grid, which will be administered by the Grid Company of Alberta Inc. (Gridco). It is owned by the four utilities that own transmission facilities in the province and will contract with those individual owners to supply transmission services. An advisory group, the Electric Transmission Council, will represent the interests of consumers and transmission users. 28 2.8CALIFORNIA (US) In the United States, the Federal Energy regulatory Commission (FERC) deregulated the wholesale generation and bulk transmission parts of the electric power industry with its order 888, in April 1996. The wholesale generation market throughout the United States will be competitive, with low barriers to entry and dominance by no one. The transmission grid will be open to access by all qualifed parties. Individual states are free to pursue diferent approaches to how they implement and operate the electric industry in their state, within the FERC guidelines. Naturally, the ffty states are pursuing deregulation in diferent directions. Electricity costs in California were claimed to be about 50% higher than the national average. So, this state has been most aggressive in pursuing restructuring. On March 31, 1998 California became the frst sate to ofer all customers a choice of electric service providers MAIN FEATURES: A power exchange (PX) - a spot market, runs much like a stock market for power, into which both buyers and sellers bid. 29 Unlike some systems, this PX allows only short term (real time, hour and day-ahead) trading. Bilateral trading of power over short or long periods is not only allowed, but also encouraged. Operation of transmission system in an open access manner. Open customer access at the retail level. Postage-stamp pricing implemented on a zonal basis. Congestion management through adjustment of zonal prices. Nuclear power do not bid and contracted ahead of time as must run. Schedule and price are calculated and disclosed. Renewable must be bought as and when available. The ISO will maintain interconnected system operation, monitoring and controlling the system to assure it stays in a secure and stable state all the time. The ISO should provide equitable access for all potential users to reserve the system transmission capability they want. The ISO should satisfy the power shipment needs of all the participants. 30 The ISO provides settlement, billing the users and passing revenues on to the transmission owners. 2.9INDIAN SCENARIO OF DEREGULATION In India, the power sector was mainly under the government ownership (>95% distribution & ~98% generation) under various states and central government utilities, till 1991. The remarkable growth of physical infrastructure was facilitated by four main policies: 1) centralized supply and grid expansion 2) large support from government budgets 3) development of sector based on indigenous resources 4) cross subsidy. In mid 1990s, Orissa began a process of fundamental restructuring of the state power sector. Under the World Bank (WB) loan, the state decided to adopt, what is known as WB-Orissa model of reform. This consisted of a three pronged strategy of: 1) Unbundling the integrated utility in three separate sectors of generation, transmission and distribution, 2) Privatization of generation and distribution companies and, 3) Establishment of independent regulatory commissions to regulate these utilities. Soon afterwards, several other states such as 31 Andhra Pradesh, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan also embarked on similar reforms and also availed loans from multilateral development banks such as WB and Asian Development bank, etc. Meanwhile, some moderate steps were taken towards reforms until the Electricity Bill 2003 was approved by Parliament in May 2003. This unifed central legislation passed after 10 drafts. The Bill now replaces pervious three acts on electricity of 1910, 1948 and 1998 (with their amendments). 2.10 THE ELECTRICITY ACT 2003: The conceptual framework underlying this new legislation is that the electricity sector must be opened for competition. The Act moves towards creating a market based regime in the power sector. The Act also seeks to consolidate, update and rationalize laws related to generation, transmission, distribution, trading and use of power. It focuses on: Creating competition in the industry Protecting consumer interest Ensuring supply of electricity to all area Rationalizing tarif Lowering the cross-subsidization level 32 2.11 SUPPLY AND DEMAND IMBALANCES The pre 1999-generation level of about 1,500MW was much below the estimated demand of 4,500MW. There was about 2,400MW of self- generation in the form of small diesel and petrol generating sets. The Federal and State governments have vigorous policies of connecting local government headquarters and other towns and villages to the National Grid. This coupled with the creation of new States and Local governments transformed additional parts of the so-called rural areas into load centers, thus adding pressure to the already overloaded electricity supply system. The estimated percentage of Nigerians having access to electricity from NEPA is only 36%. The forecasted load for the year 2001 is 4,833.7MW. In order to meet this demand, a generating capacity of about 6000MW is required. Furthermore, the estimated demand for power in 2005 and 2010 are respectively 9780MW and 20,000MW. These will require generating capacities of 12,700MW and 25,000MW by the respective years. Thus it is necessary to fully rehabilitate the existing power stations (which will provide a maximum of 5400MW generating capacity) rehabilitate some critical transmission 33 and distribution lines and their associated substations and add new generating, transmission and distribution capacity to the grid, in the immediate and foreseeable future. Overview of the Power Sector, Ofcial Website of Nigeria Bureau of Public Enterprise, www.bpeng.org 34 CHAPTER THREE 3.0RESTRUCTURING OF THE ESI: POLICY AND STATUS 3.1NEEDS AND REASONS FOR RESTRUCTURING The business of power supply is a very capital-intensive enterprise. The Obasanjo administration wanted to direct its scarce resources to attack poverty through investment in health, education and rural development that will beneft millions of Nigerians, not just a few thousand urban elite that are employed by, or capture the subsidies granted to the public enterprises. From the preceding it is evident that the government cannot fund the needed development of the ESI as outlined above. Reformation of the ESI was a proposed as a way out of the above quagmire. Reform of the ESI is expected to achieve the following. Anurag K. Srivastava, Service to Commodity: Which Way to Follow in the Context of Indian Power Sector, Research Paper for ECE 650 at Illinois Institute of technology, 2002. (i) Attract and encourage private sector participation (ii) Attract capital to fund the sector and 35 (iii) Ensure a level playing ground for all investors. 3.2POWER SECTOR REFORM PROGRAM There was a regime change from oppressive and dictatorial military regime to a democratic government in 1999. The new government made it a source of priority to overhaul the ailing power sector. The administration chose privatization as a cardinal economic program to address the problems of the power sector. The National Council on Privatization (NCP) empowered a 23 member Electric Power Sector Reform Implementation Committee (EPIC) to develop recommendations to promote the policy goals of total liberalization, competition and private sector led growth of the electricity sector. EPIC came up with a 64-page document titled National Electric Power Policy Statement, to serve as a guideline for the restructuring and deregulation of NEPA. 36 NATIONAL ELECTRIC POWER POLICY OBJECTIVES Salient parts of the National Electric Power Policy are available in this document. Overview of the Power Sector, Ofcial Website of Nigeria Bureau of Public Enterprise, www.bpeng.org STATUS OF THE RESTRUCTURING PROCESS To provide the legal framework for the restructuring of ESI, the Electric Power Sector Reform bill was signed into law on the 11 th of March 11 2005. The bill seeks to provide for the formation of successor companies to take over the functions, assets, liabilities and staf of the National Electric Power Authority, develop competitive electricity markets; establish the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission; provide for the licensing and regulation of the generation, transmission, distribution and supply of electricity; enforce such matters as performance standards, consumer rights and obligation; provide for the determination of tarifs; and to provide for matters connected with or incidental to the foregoing. O.A Komolafe, M.O Omoigui, A. Momoh, 37 Reliability Investigation of the Nigerian Electric Power Authority Transmission Network in a Deregulated Environment, 2003 IEEE. An Initial Holding Company (IHC) has been incorporated as provided for in the act. The name of the IHC is Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) Plc and it was incorporated on 31 May 2005. The Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) PLC has taken over all NEPA assets and liabilities. PHCN has 18 successors companies from the old NEPA. NEPA was divided into its generation plants, transmission operations and distribution centers. The successors companies consist of 6-generation companies (GENCO), 1 transmission company (TRANSYCO) and 11 distribution companies (DISCO). The GENCO companies are: Egbin Electric Power Business Unit (EEPBU) - located in Egbin, Lagos Niger Hydro Power Business Unit (NHPBU)- This comprises of Kainji hydro Power station and Jebba Hydro Power Station. Shiroro Hydro Power Business Unit (SHPBU) - Located in Shiroro Delta Electric Power Business Unit (DEPBU) - Located at Ughelli. 38 Sapele Electric Power Business Unit (SEPBU) - Located at Sapele AFAM Electric Power Business Unit (AEPBU) - Located at Afam, Rivers State. The DISCO companies are: Abuja Distribution Business Unit (ADBU) Benin Distribution Business Unit (BDBU) Eko Distribution Business Unit (EkDBU) Enugu Distribution Business Unit (EnDBU) Ibadan Distribution Business Unit (IbDBU) Ikeja Distribution Business Unit (IkDBU) Jos Distribution Business Unit (JDBU) Kaduna Distribution Business Unit (KdDBU) Kano Distribution Business Unit (KnDBU) Port Harcourt Distribution Business Unit (PDBU) Yola Distribution Business Unit (YDBU) 39 The single TRANSYSCO, Tran Sysco New Business Unit, TNBU will be responsible for the erstwhile Transmission Sector and System Operations Sector of National Electric Power Authority. 3.5 NEW POWER STATION As part of the requirement to meet the increase in future demand of electricity power, three new power plants are being added to three of the GENCO companies: a 335 MW power plant is being built at Egbin (EEPBU); a 414MW power plant is being built at Shiroro (SHPBU); and a 335 MW power is being built at Sapele (SEPBU). The total added generation would be 1084MW. 3.6IPP INITIATIVES PHCN in particular, the Generation Sector is undertaking some reform measures in line with the global trend of independent power producers (IPP) participation in electricity industry. The reforms include Disinvestments, Unbundling and Power Purchase Agreements (PPA). A number of power purchase agreements are have been implemented by IPPs. The frst of such to be executed is the 270MW power purchase 40 agreement with ENRON/AES at Egbin in Lagos state. It sells the 270MW power to PHCN grid for onward use to end consumers. Such other schemes are being implemented in some part of the country. 3.7BILLING COLLECTION The amount of money paid for electric consumption has improved tremendously from the pre 1999 era. Money remitted for electricity has been increasing since 2002. In 2003 57,010,038,577.76Naira was collected from customers and in 2004 71, 056,937, 231.60Naira was remitted by consumers. This is an increase of 24.64% in one year. Background Information, Ofcial website of Power Holding Company of Nigeria, http://www.nepanigeria.org /background.html The increase is a result of involving private sector in the bill collection scheme. 3.8STRUCTURE OF DEREGULATED INDUSTRY Figure 3.0 shows the typical structure of a deregulated electricity system with links of information and money fow between various 41 players. FIGURE 3.0 The confguration shown in the fgure is not a universal one. There exist variations across countries and systems. A system operator is appointed for the whole system and it is entrusted with the responsibility of keeping the system in balance, i.e. to ensure that the production and imports continuously match consumption and exports. Naturally, it was not required to be an independent authority without involvement in the market competition nor could it own generation facilities for business. This system operator 42 is known as Independent System Operator (ISO). Referring to fgure 3.0, there is no change as compared to fgure 1.0 so long as energy fow is concerned. Customer does its transactions through a retailer or transacts directly with a generating company, depending on the type of a model. Diferent power sellers will deliver their product to their customers (via retailers), over a common set of T & D wires, operated by the independent system operator (ISO). The generators, T & D utility and retailers communicate ISO. Mostly, customer communicates with the retailer, demanding energy. The retailer contacts the generating company and purchases the power from it and makes it transferred to its customers place via regulated T & D lines. The ISO is the one responsible for keeping track of various transactions taking place between various entities. In the regulated environment, the electricity bill consisted of a single amount to be paid towards the generation, transmission and all other costs. But, in the restructured environment, the electricity price gets segregated into the following: 43 1. Price of electrical energy 2. Price of energy delivery (wheeling charges) 3. Price of other services such as frequency regulation and voltage control, which are priced separately and charged independently but may or may not be visible in the electricity bills. 3.9DIFFERENT ENTITIES IN DEREGULATED ENVIRONMENT The introduction of deregulation has brought several new entities in the electricity market place, while on the other hand redefning the scope of activities of many of the existing players. Variations exist across market structures over how each entity is particularly defned and over what role it plays in the system. However, on a broad level, the following entities can be identifed as shown in the fgure 3.1. 44 FIGURE 3.1 1. Genco (Generating Company): Genco is an owner-operator of one or more generators that runs them and bids the power into the competitive marketplace. Genco sells energy at its sites in the same manner that a coal mining company might sell coal in bulk at its mine. 2. Transco (Transmission Company): Transco moves power in bulk quantities from where it is produced to where it is delivered. The Transco owns and maintains the transmission facilities, and may perform many of the management and engineering functions required to ensure the system can continue to do its job. In most deregulated industry structures, the Transco owns and maintains the transmission lines under monopoly franchise, but does not operate them. That is done by Independent System Operator (ISO). The Transco is paid for the use of its lines. 3. Disco (Distribution Company): It is the monopoly franchise owner- operator of the local power delivery system, which delivers power to individual businesses and homeowners. In some places, the local distribution function is combined with retail function, i.e. to buy 45 wholesale electricity either through the spot market or through direct contracts with gencos and supply electricity to the end use customers. In many other cases, however, the disco does not sell the power. It only owns and operates the local distribution system, and obtains its revenues by renting space on it, or by billing for delivery of electric power. 4. Resco (Retail Energy Service Company): It is the retailer of electric power. Many of these will be the retail departments of the former vertically integrated utilities. Others will be companies new to the electric industry that believes they are good at selling services. Either way, a resco buys power from gencos and sells it directly to the consumers. 5. Independent System Operator (ISO): The ISO is an entity entrusted with the responsibility of ensuring the reliability and security of the entire system. It is an independent authority and does not participate in the electricity market trades. It usually does not own generating resources, except for some reserve capacity in certain cases. In order to maintain the system security and reliability, the ISO procures various 46 services such as supply of emergency reserves, or reactive power from other entities in the system. 6 Customers: A customer is entity, consuming electricity. In deregulated markets, the customer has several options for buying electricity. It may choose to buy electricity from the spot market by bidding for purchase, or may buy directly from a genco or even from the local distribution company. 3.10 THE COMPETITION In a deregulated environment, two levels of competition exist, rather, encouraged. At what can be termed as wholesale level, gencos produce and sell bulk quantities of electric power. Power is typically sold in bulk quantities to other companies or very large industrial customers, through some deregulated power market mechanism. The gencos bid their power at the marketplace so as to maximize their profts. Locally, retail delivery is accomplished by retailers, who compete for the business of the consumers in the area by ofering low price, good service and additional service features. These are the companies buying power at the wholesale level and arranging for transport to each 47 community where they do business, so that they have power to divide up and sell to individuals locally. Thus, a restructured, completely competitive electric industry is a sandwich of competition above and below a power delivery system. This structure can be conveniently divided into wholesale and retails levels. The important thing to note is that the power delivery i.e. transmission and distribution remains the monopoly franchise. This is shown in fgure 3.2. FIGURE 3 48 CHAPTER FOUR 4.0IMPACT OF ELECTRICITY DEREGULATION The driving force of the reform program is to improve the quality and reliability of the electricity supply through special customer service arrangement, the introduction of new prepayment methods which will allow people to choose and monitor how much they wish to spend on electricity each month. Power industries and small businesses will also be positively impacted through the creation of reliable and afordable electricity which will consequently lead to economic development in the country. Although, the power reform may lead to removal of many cross subsidies and hence increase the price of electricity for small businesses and domestic consumers. Stable and reliable electricity will help in the increase of establishment of new businesses as the operational costs would be reduced and there would be no need for individuals or organizations to invest on costly backup systems. 49 Also, reforms in the power sector have the potential to afect the lives in diferent ways which consequently improves the efciency and fnancial soundness of the power sector. The reforms can attract new investors of fll up government resources to be used in expanding access provided there is an efective demand. Power sector reforms will however introduce market driven private sector participation that may encourage utilities to focus in providing electricity to communities that are not viable and proftable. 4.1CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES In a developing economy such as Nigeria, power sector reforms pose great challenges not only to the government that initiated the program but also to the entire populace who are the consumers of energy and to the newborn Power Holding Company of Nigeria which parades itself as a better alternative to the obsolete National Electric Power Authority. These challenges can be broadly classifed into four; Economic and Social, Technical, Political and Environmental. 50 4.1.1ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL As said earlier, the primary aim of the power sector reforms by the Federal Government is to enhance the efciency of the nations power sector and also to make it afordable and available to consumers. In other words, this means generating more power to the national grid and renewing power plants and transmission lines all in a bid to ensure the achievement of these goals. 4.1.2 POLITICAL The political atmosphere of the country has to be conducive to help the power sector open itself to key players within and outside the country. This means that there is a need to create and ensure a level playing feld for all stakeholders in the emerging power sector reforms if the desired objectives of the reform program are to be achieved. The IPPs therefore expect a serene political environment before they can agree to invest their money. Majority of the IPPs would like to construct their plants within the Niger Delta Area where the sources of energy needed to run their plants are guaranteed. However, the present hostile environment in the Niger Delta predicated by armed ethnic military and 51 youth restiveness will defnitely scare away intending power investors. This brings to fore the need to sustain the nations democratic structures with the view of ensuring government policy stability. By so doing, they envisaged comprehensive National Energy Policy that will take care of conservation, storage, consumption, construction and distribution and will be sustained when it becomes operational. 4.1.3 TECHNICAL Power cannot be generated in isolation so it is important that it is generated with recourse to the strength of the existing transmission line capabilities as well as how the power could be used for the overall interest of both the PHCN and the consumers. The former emphasizes the need for transmission line and substantial re-enforcement and construction of additional transmission lines in order to ease evacuation of energy especially in areas where the IPPs cluster as a result of proximity to energy sources. The latter calls for establishment of the Demand Side Management program by the PHCN. Demand-side management programs usually consist of the planning, implementing, and monitoring activities of electric utilities that are designed to 52 encourage consumers to modify their leveland pattern of electricity usage. Instead of building new power plants to respond to increasing customer demand, electricity producers can also endeavor to minimize their customers demand for power by ofering special programs for homeowners, businesses, institutions and industry. To determine the success of such programs, the costs and benefts of DSM opportunities should be directly compared with the costs and benefts of building new power plants and transmission lines. 4.1.4 ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS The nature of the environment determines the nature of power plant to be built in a given locality. For instance, a city which already has cement industry and chemical industry may frown at hosting thermal power plant because of high level of Carbon monoxide (CO) emission. In order to guard against this scenario, the government has established an Environmental Inspection Agency - the National Environmental Standards and Regulations Enforcement Agency - to monitor and regulate the extent of damage caused by pollution to the environment and the inhabitants. Again, the IPPs may be confronted by high 53 compensation fees for economic trees, properties and right of ways in their quest to erect a power plant in any given city. These high compensation fees may run in millions and can invariably pose as a deterrent to potential IPPs. 4.2OPPORTUNITIES The previous section has enumerated the enormous challenges involved in the government power sector reforms. Here, the opportunities derivable from such laudable steps in terms of efciency and reliability of services, investment opportunities, employment opportunities, Transfer of technical manpower and encouragement of research will be discussed. 4.3EFFICIENCY AND RELIABILITY OF SERVICE Proper implementation of the reform program will promote efciency and growth in the power sector. The reform will lead to improved electricity services as it will encourage private sector participation and investment in the electricity industry. The evidence can be seen in the form of better telecommunication services in the country 54 brought about by the private sector participation in the provision of Global System for Mobile Communications services. 4.4 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES The power sector reform has the ability to massively expand the personal share ownership in Nigeria. It is believed that over 800,000 shareholders can be created after privatization of NEPA. This is a welcome development which enables capital formation and economic growth. It reduces the reliance of public enterprises on the government for fnance. Unbundling of NEPA makes the successive companies to easily raise funds through the capital market once the necessary investor confdence has been developed; thus changing their growth and expansion of their business outft. 4.5 EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES The power sector reform will in the long run create a reasonable employment opportunities to Nigerians. This is because; the companies that are expected to participate will look for both skilled and unskilled labour in the task of executing their businesses. It is expected that when 55 the reform is fully implemented, many graduate engineers and technologists roaming the streets in search of unavailable jobs will fnally heave a sigh of relief as most of them will be absorbed by the emerging independent power producers. 4.6 IMPROVEMENT OF TECHNICAL MANPOWER Subsidiary companies that will compete in the power sector, which some of them must be foreign companies have to come with their expatriate. These companies in a bid to set up their operational structure will impact knowledge and skill in areas of demand side management, power system protection and planning, voltage collapse and stability, co- generation, etc to Nigerians through their foreign expatriate. This area of technology transfer if well tapped by Nigerians will go a long way in bridging the gap between the developed and developing nation in terms of technology advancement. 4.7 ENCOURAGEMENT OF RESEARCH Privatization brings about competition and allows management of privatized companies full freedom to realize their optimum potentials. 56 In order for any company to take a lead over the other, her product must be second to none. Such excellence in quality of product could only be achieved through research. With the emerging power sector reform, other sources of renewable energy such as wind, solar and biomass are expected to be explored. For instance in UK, prior to privatization of electric sector, coal and gas turbines were widely used. With privatization, research was conducted in combined heat and power plants. With the eventual success in the research, generation companies rose from 10 to 32 while supply companies rose from 16 to 34 in 1990 because of new innovations in the feld. Defnitely, the new owners of the privatized NEPA will embark on research, motivated by a diferent set of imperatives as new rules, more professional standards, new performance criteria and better training will emerge. 4.8 CONCLUSION This chapter has highlighted the on-going Federal Government of Nigeria Power Sector Reform Program. The challenges as well as the opportunities inherent in such reform program have been discussed. It is envisaged that the Power sector reform program will improve the 57 stability of electricity supply, improve cost recovery, increase the availability of investment capital, usher in competitive energy market, break the monopoly enjoyed by NEPA and also provide jobs for both technical and non-technical graduates. To improve cost recovery and the fnancial health of utility systems in developing countries, there is increasing pressure to price electricity at its marginal cost and allow Independent Power Producers to sell power to the grid. Several models of regulation have also emerged through the reforms, ranging from independent commissions that conduct a broad range of planning and regulatory functions to bodies within government that primarily manage generation dispatch and fx tarifs. Reforms have also afected the quality of power in Africa through special customer service arrangements. New prepayment methods have allowed poor people to choose and monitor how much they wish to spend on electricity each month. The point to therefore note in this reform is that it will boost the confdence of intending investors which will yield the expected enhanced efciency, quality and availability of power supply and usher in the expected technological revolution of the country. 58
CHAPTER FIVE 5.0CONCLUSION This paper has presented the status of the deregulation process of the Electric Sector Industry (ESI) in Nigeria is presented in Nigeria. It started by presenting the global overview of the deregulation exercise in pioneering countries. The general reasons why countries opt for deregulation were presented. The state of the ESI, pre 1999, under the control of the state owned National Electric Power Authority (NEPA) was presented. It was noted that like most state-owned enterprises, NEPA sufered from severe under funding and under-capitalization, inappropriate capital structure, 59 excessive executive interference, and sub-optimality and decision- making. The motivation and rationale for restructuring the ESI were discussed and the short, medium and long-term goals of the deregulation process were presented. Also presented are the law and act enacted by the Nigerian Government to aid in the deregulation cum privatization exercise. Suggestions that might be benefcial to the ongoing privatization process were given in the paper. The paper suggested that proper due diligence should be taken in the adoption of a market structure for the ESI. BOT, BOO, BOT_ITP are recommended as ways to get private funding for building of generators and transmission. Review of electric tarif was suggested as being paramount to the privatization exercise and a proactive step was advocated for the prevention of power equipment vandalism and theft. An institute named Nigeria Electric Power Training and Research Institute (NEPTRI) is proposes to serve as meeting point for Power 60 engineers, technicians, scientists and students to work together on coming up with solutions pertaining to Nigeria ESI problems. 5.1RECOMMENDATION From the preceding it can be concluded that the Electric Power Sector Reform Bill as addressed most of the issues pertaining to privatization of state owned power companies. However some recommendations are provided in this subsection that might beneft and aid the privatization exercise. 5.1.1Build, Operate and Transfer Schemes. In the reform bill, the existing generators are to be contracted through a Rehabilitate, Operate and Transfer (ROT) schemes. This is a very good idea, because it puts the generators in private hands that have experience and the technical know how to operate the generator. The same principle should be applied for generators being built under Build Operate and Transfer scheme (BOT). BOT is a form of project fnancing, wherein a private entity receives a franchise from the public sector to fnance, design, construct, and operate a facility for a specifed period, 61 after which ownership is transferred back to the public sector. During the time that the project proponent operates the facility, it is allowed to charge facility users appropriate tolls, fees, rentals, and charges stated in their contract to enable the project proponent to recover its investment, and operating and maintenance expenses in the project. The BOT scheme will provide the funds needed to build new generation plants and will save the government from investing in the project. The private entities that build also beneft because they are allowed to recover their investment cost and make some proft before transferring the business back to government. However after restructuring to a competitive market, the ownership of some generation plants may be transformed to private ownership and become new IPPs or new GENCOs. 5.1.2 BUILD OPERATE AND OWN SCHEME A Build Operate and Own (BOO) schemes can also be implemented. BOO schemes are similar to BOT but the private entity owns the power plant forever. The BOO generation can be converted to GENCOs or IPPs after restructing depending on the capacity. BOO 62 options will attract private developers faster than the BOT scheme, because they will not be required to transfer their investments to some else in the near future. 5.1.3TRANSMISSION A crucial element in ESI restructuring is the confguration of the transmission entity. Since the Transysco New Business Unit TNBU is going to have a natural monopoly, it needs to be regulated to ensure impartial and efcient use of the assets by providing non-discriminatory access to promote fair competition among GENCOs and DISCOs. A regulatory body should be formed to monitor the activites of the TNBU. GENCOs and DISCOs should be involved in the activities of the regulatory body. They should representatives to represent and monitor their interests in this regulatory body. The transmission facilities should be expanded along with load growth. The amount of expansion needed can be determined by adequate planning, via load growth forecast. Also Flexible AC Transmission devices can also be used to increase the available power fow on transmission lines. If TNBU is short of funds for expansion, it 63 can enter into an agreement with an Independent Transmission Project IPP facilitator. This will be in form of Build Operate and Transfer BOT. The investor will be the owner of the lines until the agreed time for transfer to TNBU. The IPP-BOT will provide a way of attracting private investors who will be guaranteed return on their investment, while TNBU gets the control and ownership of the line after the scheduled time. 64 5.1.4TARIFF REGULATION A long-term electricity market structure needs to be established in which multiple operators provide services on a competitive basis to the broadest range of customers. Under such a regime, competitive market forces would be the best determinant of the appropriate and sustainable levels of prices charged by various carriers for their services. Currently, Nigerian power prices to retail consumers are very low on the average; and seriously unbalanced. In addition, much electricity is unbilled and collection rates are low so that only 40-45% of revenues corresponding to these artifcially low prices is actually received. For the restructuring process to work in the short and long term, changes must be made to tarif to refect the cost of operation. NERC should establish tarif regulation rules for dominant operators providing basic and essential services to the public and to other, non-dominant operators. In this regard, the Commission should determine appropriate defnitions and criteria for identifying an operators dominance in a service market, and the essential nature of the services provided. 65 NERC should establish a price limit during the transition period, so that dominant operators in the ESI during the period will not practice price discrimination. After deregulation, market forces should be allowed to determine the price of electricity. Electricity service tarifs should in all cases be cost-oriented, refecting the actual cost required by operators to provide the services in question, including a reasonable rate of return on capital; Tarif setting rules must be transparent to both operators and their customers, with stable, predictable, and understandable standards for current prices and for changes to those prices over time; Electricity service tarifs should generate sufcient revenues for regulated operators to compensate for their investments, while also seeking to be as afordable as possible to the broadest rang of potential service customers; distribution zones that cannot be expected to be viable under sound business practices. 5.1.5MARKET It should be noted that number of developing countries are on a fast-paced plan to implement restructuring, despite the fact that the benefts from restructuring are yet to prove themselves in the more 66 developed countries such as the United States, Western Europe, and Australia. National Electric Power Policy, Adopted by the Electric Power Sector Reform Implementation Committee and Approved by the National Council on Privatization, Nigerian government document, 2001. There is a also tendency for developing countries to adopt the structures implemented in the pioneering western countries were without a critical appraisal of their suitability in the local context. H. Rudnick, J. Zolezzi, Electric sector deregulation and restructuring in Latin America: Lessons to be Learnt and possible ways forward , IEE proceedings on generation, transmission and distribution, Vol. 148, No. 2, March 2001, pp. 180-183. Selecting an appropriate market structure for the Nigeria ESI is of crucial importance to realize the benefts of deregulation. A wrong market structure might produce an adverse efect on the ESI sector. The following recommendations are suggested based on the situation of the Nigeria ESI. 67 1.Since Nigeria is expected to have double-digit growth rates, the ESI requires a market, which will provide an attractive investment environment and encourages new investments in the generation sector. 2.The market should be designed to refect the electric power situation in Nigeria and the market should not be adopted from another countries market. 3.A complex market structure should be avoided and simple market structure should be implemented. 4.The day ahead and hour ahead real time market structures should be avoided in Nigeria for now. The current control center at Oshogbo cannot handle the frequent changes in generation supply required by these market models. Weekly or Monthly markets should be adopted initial. When the generation level increases enough to supply the total demand and the transmission capacity is sufcient to transmit power to every distribution nodes, then the control center and generators should be upgraded for Automatic Generator Control 68 (AGC) functionality. With AGC functionality the hour and day ahead forward market can then be adopted. 5.The transmission capacity must be sufcient enough. Congestion in the transmission must be minimized. A market mechanism for managing transmission congestion is not recommended because of its complexity. 6.The adopted market structure should not rely on unsupervised negotiated procurements, closed biddings and other opaque activities in order to avoid corruption and favouritism. Vandalism Vandalism and theft of power apparatus causes unnecessary disturbances in the system. The efort to curb the activities of power equipments should be strengthened. This will save the Business units from unnecessary costs of replacing stolen equipments and apparatus. A committee should be formed to study the modus operandi of the vandals and give necessary recommendations to counter their illegitimate action. Vandals and thief caught should be dealt with 69 severely. Pictures of caught criminals should be displayed on billboards across the nation to serve as deterrent to other potential power vandals. It is a well-known fact that some of the stolen power equipments are resold back in power equipment market. The government should pass a law that will require all power equipments to be marked with a unique identity and ensure the movements of power apparatus are monitored. For instance if a power equipment is imported it should be a given a unique identity and entered into a government registry of power apparatus. The manufacturer, country of manufacture and other relevant data should be stored in this registry. If the same equipment is sold, the sale process should also be recorded. This will ensure that equipment in service and market can be accounted for. Entities who cannot account for the source of their equipments should be punished adequately under the law. Another way is to put radio frequency identifcation (RFID) tags on power equipments. If the power equipments are disturbed the RFIDs send signals to a local monitoring station and preventive action can be taken immediately against the power vandals immediately. 70 Research should be sponsored at Nigeria Universities to look at ways of combating sabotage acts of the vandals and thieves. Nigeria Electric Power Training and Research Institute (NEPTRI) Research and Development is a very important component needed for a viable power industry. The government should induce the formation of a research and training institute. The institute should serve a meeting point for power engineers, technicians, scientists and students to work together on coming up with solutions pertaining to Nigeria ESI problems. This institute can be called Nigeria Electric Power Training and Research Institute (NEPTRI). NEPTRI should be implemented as follows: 1. It should be multi-located at all tertiary institutions with department of electrical engineering. 2.The government and key ESI companies should fund power research at this institutions 3.Each of the institutions should focus on research in particular area that will be benefcial to the Nigeria ESI. 71 4.Research should be carried with active involvement and participation of ESI companies engineers and technician. 5.ESI companies should send some of their stafs to assist in research work at the institutions on regular basis 6.ESI companies should also serve as NEPTRI facilities themselves NEPRTI should perform the following functions: 1.Carry out research and development in power systems improvement: a. Power Quality Research b. Power Management Research c. Power System Stability Research d. Power System Control Research e. Testing of equipments for ESI companies f. 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