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- A CBS News poll found that Americans are divided on whether children crossing the border illegally should be sent back or allowed to stay for hearings, while Hispanics strongly favor allowing them to stay. More broadly, immigration has risen as a top concern for Americans.
- Hispanics hold more positive views of Democrats and the Democratic party, and plan to vote Democratic in the 2014 midterm elections. However, fewer than half of Hispanics approve of President Obama's handling of immigration.
- Majorities of Americans support legislation to more quickly return immigrant children, but also support temporary housing in their communities. Most see stricter border controls as more effective than working with Central American countries.
- A CBS News poll found that Americans are divided on whether children crossing the border illegally should be sent back or allowed to stay for hearings, while Hispanics strongly favor allowing them to stay. More broadly, immigration has risen as a top concern for Americans.
- Hispanics hold more positive views of Democrats and the Democratic party, and plan to vote Democratic in the 2014 midterm elections. However, fewer than half of Hispanics approve of President Obama's handling of immigration.
- Majorities of Americans support legislation to more quickly return immigrant children, but also support temporary housing in their communities. Most see stricter border controls as more effective than working with Central American countries.
- A CBS News poll found that Americans are divided on whether children crossing the border illegally should be sent back or allowed to stay for hearings, while Hispanics strongly favor allowing them to stay. More broadly, immigration has risen as a top concern for Americans.
- Hispanics hold more positive views of Democrats and the Democratic party, and plan to vote Democratic in the 2014 midterm elections. However, fewer than half of Hispanics approve of President Obama's handling of immigration.
- Majorities of Americans support legislation to more quickly return immigrant children, but also support temporary housing in their communities. Most see stricter border controls as more effective than working with Central American countries.
Immigration, Politics, and a Look at Hispanics in the U.S. July 29-August 4, 2014
50% of Americans think children who have crossed the border into the U.S. illegally should be sent back to their home countries, but 43% think they should stay and wait for an immigration hearing.
Hispanics are more apt to think those children should be allowed to remain in the U.S. while they await a hearing (69%).
More broadly, the percentage of Americans that cites immigration as the countrys most pressing problem has risen from 3% in March to 13% now, although the economy and jobs remains the top issue.
President Obamas job approval rating is higher among Hispanics (54%) than it is among Americans overall (41%). However, just 41% of Hispanics approve of his handling of immigration.
Politically, Hispanics hold far more positive views of the Democratic Party than the Republican party, and plan to vote for the Democratic candidate in their district this fall. 66% think there will be a Hispanic president in their lifetime.
Hispanics are more positive than Americans overall about their opportunities to succeed, and eight in ten Hispanics born outside the U.S. say they feel closer to the U.S. than their native country.
Children Crossing the Border
When asked what should happen to the Central American children who have recently crossed the border into the U.S. illegally, 50% of Americans say they should be returned to their home country as soon as possible, while 43% think these children should stay in the U.S. while awaiting an immigration hearing.
Most Republicans think the children should be returned to their home countries, while most Democrats think they should be allowed to stay and go through a hearing process.
The poll included an additional sample of Hispanics, in order to examine their views more fully. Among Hispanics, fully 69% think the children should stay in the U.S. while awaiting a hearing.
What Should Happen to Children Illegally Crossing the Border? Total Reps Dems Inds Hispanics Should stay while awaiting hearing 43% 30% 55% 43% 69% Should be returned to home country 50 65 38 50 25
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Congress left Washington for summer recess last week without reaching an agreement on how to deal with this issue. Two-thirds of Americans support legislation that would make it easier and faster to send these children back to their home countries. Support for this measure reaches 80% among Republicans, although majorities across the political spectrum support this, as do 54% of Hispanics.
Legislation Making it Easier & Faster to Send Children Back to their Home Countries? Total Reps Dems Inds Hispanics Favor 65% 80% 55% 63% 54% Oppose 28 16 37 29 40
Still, most Americans would support temporary housing in their community to help house children from Central America. Democrats would favor this, but Republicans would not.
Support Temporary Housing in Community for Central American Children Total Reps Dems Inds Hispanics Yes 57% 38% 70% 58% 79% No 40 59 27 39 19
The poll tested views of the effectiveness of two measures to help reduce the number of children entering the U.S. 76% of Americans think stricter border control would be at least somewhat effective, while a smaller majority - 58% - think the U.S. working with Central America to help reduce violence in those countries would be effective.
Effective in Reducing Number of Children Crossing the Border? U.S. working with Central America Stricter border control to reduce violence there Very 37% 18% Somewhat 39 40 Not very 12 19 Not at all 8 17
Hispanics Views of the President
Hispanics overwhelmingly voted for Democrat Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012, and they give him a positive overall job rating in this poll 54% of Hispanics approve of the job he is doing as President.
President Obamas Job Rating Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Approve 41% 54% 38% Disapprove 50 33 53
But Hispanics arent as positive about the Presidents handling of immigration. Fewer than half approve of the job hes doing on that issue (41%), although thats still higher than the rating the President receives from non-Hispanic Americans.
President Obamas Handling of Immigration Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Approve 31% 41% 29% Disapprove 57 53 58
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The Political Parties
According to the poll, Hispanics are more inclined to identify themselves as Democrats than Republicans, so perhaps not surprisingly, they hold much more favorable views of the Democratic Party (57%) than the Republican Party (27%). More than six in 10 Hispanics have an unfavorable view of the Republican Party.
Views of the Political Parties (Among Hispanics) Democratic Party Republican Party Favorable 57% 27% Not favorable 32 62
Most Hispanics (64%) prefer a bigger government that provides more services, while Americans overall (including non-Hispanics) prefer a smaller government with fewer services.
Majorities of Hispanics would like to see both parties (but especially the Republican Party) do more to address the needs and concerns of Hispanics.
Political Parties and Needs & Concerns of Hispanics (Among Hispanics) Republican Party Democratic Party Should do more 71% 56% Should do less 4 3 Doing enough already 21 38
But do partisans think they should do more to reach out to Hispanics? Just 27% of self-identified Republicans think their party should do more, compared to 42% of Democrats who say that about their own party.
Republican Party and Needs & Concerns of Hispanics Total Reps Should do more 45% 27% Should do less 11 15 Doing enough already 34 47
Democratic Party and Needs & Concerns of Hispanics Total Dems Should do more 30% 42% Should do less 14 5 Doing enough already 48 47
Hispanics also see the Democrats as doing a better job than the Republicans on some key issues. They choose the Democratic Party as doing a better job on immigration and the economy, as well as sharing their values. On the issue of national security, Hispanics rate the parties somewhat more evenly.
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Issues: Which Party Will Do a Better Job On? (Among Hispanics) Democratic Republican Sharing your values 56% 26 Immigration 55% 24 The economy 50% 32 National security 40% 36
Voting and the Midterm Elections
Voter registration rates are lower among Hispanics compared to the public overall. About half of Hispanics in the poll (51%) are registered to vote, and 53% of them say they will definitely vote in the elections for Congress this November. Among registered voters nationwide, 68% say they will definitely vote this fall.
And they would overwhelmingly choose a Democratic candidate. Among Hispanic registered voters, 54% would vote for the Democratic candidate in their congressional district if the election were held today, while 23% would support the Republican.
But Hispanic voters arent especially enthusiastic about voting this November; 56% say they are less enthusiastic compared to past Congressional elections.
Enthusiasm about Voting in November (Among registered voters) Total Hispanic voters More 36% 29% Less 49 56 The same (vol.) 12 11
Hispanic voters are also less likely to be paying attention to news about the 2014 elections, at least so far. 50% of Hispanic voters are currently paying at least some attention to the campaign, compared to 64% of voters overall.
Attention to the Campaign (Among registered voters) Total Hispanic voters A lot 25% 21% Some 39 29 Not much 21 23 None 14 26
More than half of Americans think there will be a Hispanic president in their lifetime, and Hispanic Americans are even more likely to think that 66% believe that will happen.
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Will There be a Hispanic President in your Lifetime? Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Yes 57% 66% 55% No 35 30 36
Immigration: A Rising Concern
In the wake of the large number of Central American children crossing the U.S. border, the percentage of Americans who volunteer immigration as the countrys most pressing problem has spiked since the spring, and is now second, after the economy and jobs.
13% volunteer immigration as the nations top problem, up from just 3% in March, and it is now at a level of concern not seen since 2006, when immigration reform was being hotly debated in Washington.
Most Important Problem Facing the Country Now 3/2014 5/2006 Economy/jobs 22% 30% 15% Immigration 13 3 12 Health care 5 7 4
Among Hispanics, 22% say immigration is the most important problem facing the country; almost as many as cite the economy and jobs (27%).
Most Important Problem Facing the Country Total Hispanics Economy/jobs 22% 27% Immigration 13 22 Health care 5 5
When asked specifically about illegal immigration, majorities of Americans, including Hispanics and non-Hispanics, say it is a very serious problem for the country.
How Serious a Problem is Illegal Immigration for the Country? Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Very 62% 56% 63% Somewhat 22 26 22 Not very/at all 14 17 13
In addition, most think its very important for the President and Congress to address the issue by the end of the year.
Importance of Congress & Pres. Obama Addressing Illegal Immigration by Years End? Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Very 59% 63% 58% Somewhat 25 20 26 Not very/at all 13 14 14
Americans continue to support legal status for illegal immigrants who are currently in the U.S., including more than half who support a path to citizenship. But that percentage rises to 70%
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among Hispanics; just half of non-Hispanics favor a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants currently in the U.S.
What Should Happen to Illegal Immigrants in the U.S.? Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Stay, apply for citizenship 54% 70% 51% Stay legally, no citizenship 11 17 10 Required to leave 30 9 34
While Americans think securing the border should take priority over addressing the status of illegal immigrants already in the country, Hispanics are more divided.
Which Should be a Higher Priority? Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Securing the border 59% 44% 62% Addressing status of illegal immigrants 31 47 28
Large majorities, including 93% of Hispanics and three in four non-Hispanics, support a path to citizenship for those who came to the U.S. illegally as children if certain requirements are met.
Path to Citizenship for Illegal Immigrants Who Came to U.S. as Children? Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Favor 76% 93% 73% Oppose 19 6 21
And while 38% of Americans think in general immigrants improve U.S. society in the long run, far more Hispanics (60%) think immigrants have a positive impact.
In the Long Run, Immigrants Coming to the U.S. Make Society Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Better 38% 60% 35% Worse 28 12 30 Not much effect 21 20 22
Hispanics See Opportunities in the U.S.
Hispanics have a mostly positive outlook regarding their own opportunities to succeed in the U.S, and are optimistic about the future for the next generation of their family. Those born outside the United States are particularly so.
55% of Hispanics say their opportunities to succeed in life are better than their parents generation, compared to 42% of Americans overall.
Compared to your Parents, your Opportunities to Succeed are ------------- Hispanics --------------- Total All Not Born in U.S. Born in U.S. Better 42% 55% 60% 48% Worse 32 19 14 24 Same 24 24 23 25
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Similarly, Hispanics (40%) are more inclined than the public at large (23%) to feel better about their familys future.
Familys Future Compared to Your Life Today ------------- Hispanics --------------- Total All Not Born in U.S. Born in U.S. Better 23% 40% 45% 33% Worse 50 30 25 36 Same 23 26 25 27
Hispanics born outside the U.S. feel a strong connection to America. By an overwhelming margin, these Hispanics say they feel closer to the U.S. than to their native country.
Which Do You Feel Closer To? (among Hispanics born outside the U.S.) United States 80% Country where you were born 13
Other Issues
Since the Affordable Care Act was enacted in 2010, more Americans have disapproved than approved of it, but more than half of Hispanics (52%) support the health care law.
Opinion of the 2010 Health Care Law Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Approve 41% 52% 41% Disapprove 50 36 53
Hispanics are somewhat less permissive than Americans overall when it comes to the issue of abortion. While about a third (36%) of Americans think abortion should be generally available, this drops to a quarter (26%) among Hispanics. Also, just 26% of Americans overall think abortion should not be permitted, rising to 42% among Hispanics.
Abortion Should Be Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Generally available 36% 26% 38% Available under stricter limits 34 30 35 Not permitted 26 42 24
Hispanics are more in step with a majority of Americans on the issue of same sex marriage. More Hispanics think same-sex marriage should be legal (50%) than not legal (44%).
Same-Sex Marriage Should Be Total Hispanics Non-Hispanics Legal 53% 50% 54% Not legal 40 44 39
As is the case with the public overall, younger Hispanics are more likely than those who are older to support same-sex marriage.
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Among Hispanics, views on these issues differ depending on whether they were born in this country, or immigrated here from somewhere else. Those born in the U.S. are more supportive of abortion rights and same-sex marriage. On the health care law, Hispanics born outside the U.S. are more likely to approve of it, while those born here are more divided.
Hispanics Views on the Issues (Among Hispanics) Total Born in the U.S.? Hispanics Yes No Abortion should be. Generally available 26% 36% 18% Under stricter limits 30 35 25 Not permitted 42 28 54 Opinion of the ACA Approve 52% 46% 56% Disapprove 36 42 30 Same-Sex Marriage should be Legal 50% 62% 40% Not legal 44 34 54 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This poll was conducted by telephone from July 29 - August 4, 2014 among 1,344 adults nationwide. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News by SSRS of Media, PA. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones.
Additional interviews were conducted with Hispanics, to yield a sample size of 426. The Hispanic oversample consisted of callbacks to Hispanic respondents who had previously completed a survey as part of a random sample, and interviews with respondents whose telephone numbers were likely to fall in high-incidence Hispanic areas on landline exchanges and cell phone rate centers.
The weighting of the Hispanic sample consisted of non-response corrections for the callback numbers (to account for systematic differences between those completing and those not completing the callback interview), and a weighting adjustment to ensure that Hispanics in high-incidence areas were not overrepresented in the data.
The Hispanic and non-Hispanic samples were weighted separately to match their groups population characteristics such as gender, age, education, region, marital status and phone use based on recent U.S. Census estimates. The samples were then combined in proportion to their size in the population, and weighted to standard parameters of the total U.S. adult population.
The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups may be higher. The margin of error for the sample of Hispanics is 6 pts and 4 pts for Non-Hispanics. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
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CBS News National Poll Immigration, Politics, and a Look at Hispanics in the U.S. July 29 August 4, 2014
Q1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
Q15. Compared to your parents' generation, do you think in general your opportunities to succeed in life are better than theirs, worse than theirs, or about the same as theirs?
Q21. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2014 election campaign a lot, some, not much or no attention so far?
REGISTERED VOTERS Total Hisp NonHisp Jun14d % % % % A lot 25 21 25 28 Some 39 29 40 37 Not much 21 23 21 23 No attention 14 26 12 12 Don't know/No answer 1 1 1 *
Q22. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2014 election for Congress in November would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for Congress?
Q23. If the 2014 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
Q24. Compared to previous Congressional elections, this year are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?
May14c More enthusiastic 36 29 37 38 Less enthusiastic 49 56 49 45 Same (vol.) 12 11 12 14 Don't know/No answer 3 3 3 2
Q25 & Q36 BLANK
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Q27. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican Party or the Democratic Party is more likely to do a better job handling immigration issues?
TOTAL RESPONDENTS Total Hisp NonHisp May14c* Republican Party 38 24 41 42 Democratic Party 41 55 39 42 Both (vol.) 1 2 1 1 Neither (vol.) 8 9 8 7 Don't know/No answer 12 10 12 7 *Registered voters
Q28. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican Party or the Democratic Party is more likely to do a better job on the economy?
Q29. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican Party or the Democratic Party is more likely to do a better job handling national security?
Apr06a* Republican Party 46 36 47 42 Democratic Party 33 40 32 35 Both (vol.) 3 4 2 6 Neither (vol.) 8 7 8 6 Don't know/No answer 11 13 11 11 *wording change: would do a better job handling a national security crisis?
Q30. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican Party or the Democratic Party comes closer to sharing your values?
Republican Party 38 26 41 Democratic Party 45 56 43 Both (vol.) 3 2 3 Neither (vol.) 7 9 6 Don't know/No answer 7 7 7
Q31 BLANK
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Q32. Do you think the Republican Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of Hispanics, less to address the needs and concerns of Hispanics, or is it doing enough already?
TOTAL RESPONDENTS Total Hisp NonHisp % % % Should do more 45 71 41 Should do less 11 4 13 Doing enough already 34 21 37 Don't know/No answer 10 4 10
Q33. Do you think the Democratic Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of Hispanics, less to address the needs and concerns of Hispanics, or is it doing enough already?
Should do more 30 56 25 Should do less 14 3 16 Doing enough already 48 38 50 Don't know/No answer 8 3 9
Q34. Do you think the United States will have a Hispanic president in your lifetime, or not?
Q36. Generally, do you think immigrants coming to the United States make American society better in the long run, make American society worse in the long run, or dont you think immigrants coming to the U.S. have much of an effect on American society one way or the other?
Q38. How serious a problem do you think the issue of ILLEGAL immigration is for the country right now--very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious?
Dec10a % Very serious 62 56 63 58 Somewhat serious 22 26 22 26 Not too serious 10 9 10 11 Not at all serious 4 8 3 4 Don't know/No answer 1 1 1 2
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Q39. Which of these comes closest to your view? 1. Abortion should be generally available to those who want it. 2. Abortion should be available but under stricter limits than it is now. 3. Abortion should not be permitted.
TOTAL RESPONDENTS Total Hisp NonHisp Feb14c % % % % Generally available 36 26 38 38 Available but limits 34 30 35 40 Should not be permitted 26 42 24 21 Don't know/No answer 3 2 3 2
Q40. From what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the health care law that was enacted in 2010? (If Approve, ask:) Do you strongly approve or somewhat approve? (If Disapprove, ask:) Do you somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove?
Q42. How important do you think it is for Congress and Barack Obama to pass legislation addressing illegal immigration by the end of this year--is that very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important?
Very important 59 63 58 Somewhat important 25 20 26 Not very important 7 7 8 Not at all important 6 7 6 Don't know/No answer 3 3 2
Q43. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the U.S.? 1 They should be allowed to stay in the U.S and eventually apply for citizenship), 2 They should be allowed to stay in the U.S. legally, but not be allowed to apply for citizenship or 3 They should be required to leave the U.S.
May14c Stay & apply for citizenship 54 70 51 51 Stay in the U.S. legally, but not apply 11 17 10 15 Required to leave the U.S. 30 9 34 29 Don't know/No answer 5 4 5 4
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Q44. Which should be the higher priority now Securing the nations border, or Addressing the status of illegal immigrants currently in the U.S.?
TOTAL RESPONDENTS Total Hisp NonHisp May14c % % % % Securing the border 59 44 62 55 Addressing status 31 47 28 37 Both (vol.) 5 7 5 4 Neither (vol.) * * * 1 Don't know/No answer 4 2 4 3
Q45. In general, do you favor or oppose providing a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants who were brought to the US as children if they meet certain requirements such as going to college or joining the military, and not having a criminal record?
Q46. How much have you heard or read about the number of unaccompanied children from Central America who have been illegally coming across the border into the U.S. a lot, some, or not much?
A lot 50 57 49 Some 28 25 29 Not much 19 14 20 Nothing at all 2 3 2 Don't know/No answer 1 1 1
Q47. What do you think should happen to the unaccompanied children from Central America who have been illegally crossing the border into the U.S.? They should be allowed to stay in the U.S. while awaiting an immigration hearing, even if it takes a long time, or they should be returned to their own country as soon as possible.
Allowed to stay 43 69 39 Returned to their home country 50 25 54 Don't know/No answer 7 5 7
Q48 BLANK
Q49. Under current U.S. policy, children from Central America who enter the U.S. illegally go through a legal process and hearing to determine whether or not they can stay in the U.S. Would you favor or oppose new legislation making it easier and faster to send children back to their home countries?
Q50. Would you favor or oppose temporary housing in your community for unaccompanied children from Central America while they wait for an immigration hearing?
Q51. How effective do you think stricter enforcement at the U.S. border would be in reducing the number of unaccompanied children entering the U.S. illegally very effective, somewhat effective, not very effective, or not at all effective?
Very effective 37 31 38 Somewhat effective 39 39 39 Not very effective 12 13 12 Not at all effective 8 11 8 Depends (vol.) * 1 * Don't know/No answer 4 6 3
Q53. How effective do you think the U.S. working with leaders of Central American countries to curb violence there would be in reducing the number of unaccompanied children entering the U.S. illegally very effective, somewhat effective, not very effective, or not at all effective?
Very effective 18 33 15 Somewhat effective 40 38 41 Not very effective 19 14 20 Not at all effective 17 12 18 Depends * 1 * Don't know/No answer 5 3 5
Q54-Q62 Released separately
Q63. Do you feel closer to the United States or to the country in which you were born?
Closer to the United States 80 Closer to the country born 13 Don't know/No answer 7
Unweighted Weighted Margin of error Total Respondents 1,344 3 pts
Total Hispanics 426 200 6 pts Total Non-Hispanics 905 1,127 4 pts