REVIEW Saving wild tigers: A case study in biodiversity loss and challenges to be met for recovery beyond 2010 John SEIDENSTICKER Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, National Zoological Park, Washington, DC, USA Abstract Wild tigers are being annihilated. Tiger range countries and their partners met at the 1st Asian Ministerial Confer- ence on Tiger Conservation in January 2010 to mandate the creation of the Global Tiger Recovery Program to double the number of tigers by 2022. Only 32003600 wild adult tigers remain, approximately half of the popula- tion estimated a decade ago. Tigers now live in only 13 countries, all of which are experiencing severe environmen- tal challenges and degradation from the effects of human population growth, brisk economic expansion, rapid urbanization, massive infrastructure development and climate change. The overarching challenge of tiger conservation, and the conservation of biodiversity generally, is that there is insufficient demand for the survival of wild tigers living in natural landscapes. This allows the criminal activities of poaching wild tigers and their prey and trafficking in tiger derivatives to flourish and tiger landscapes to be diminished. The Global Tiger Recovery Program will support scaling up of practices already proven effective in one or more tiger range countries that need wider policy support, usually resources, and new transnational actions that enhance the effectiveness of individual country actions. The program is built on robust National Tiger Recovery Priorities that are grouped into themes: (i) strengthening policies that protect tigers; (ii) protecting tiger conservation landscapes; (iii) scientific management and monitoring; (iv) engaging communities; (v) cooperative management of international tiger landscapes; (vi) eliminating transnational illegal wildlife trade; (vii) persuading people to stop consuming tiger; (viii) enhancing professional capacity of policy-makers and practitioners; and (ix) developing sustainable, long-term financing mechanisms for tiger and biodiversity conservation. Key words: Asia, biodiversity, Global Tiger Recovery Program, Panthera tigris, Tiger Conservation Landscape. Correspondence: John Seidensticker, Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, National Zoological Park, PO Box 37012, MRC 5503, Washington, DC 20013-7012, USA. Email: seidenstickerj@si.edu INTRODUCTION The tiger (Panthera tigris Linnaeus, 1758) is a mem- ber of that small group of animals that have nearly uni- versal instant recognition and enormous public appeal and empathy, the charismatic megafauna (Fig. 1). The tiger was declared endangered in 1969, yet in this Year of the Tiger: 20102011, it is distressing to witness that wild tigers are still being annihilated. The decline of wild tigers and their habitats (Fig. 2) exemplifies the broader crisis of biodiversity loss. There were 3.4 billion people living in the tigers geographical range in Asia in 2008, approximately twice the number of people that were living there 40 years ago when the tiger was first declared endangered (United Nations 2008). Ti- gers now live in only 13 countries (tiger range countries [TRCs]: Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Lao, Malaysia, Myanmar, Nepal, Russia, Thai- doi: 10.1111/j.1749-4877.2010.00214.x 286 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS land and Vietnam), all of which are experiencing profound economic growth. Average per-capita GDP doubled be- tween 1999 and 2006, with expanding markets fueled by increasingly wealthy consumers (United Nations 2007). The effects of rapid urbanization, environmental degradation, increasing demand for natural resources, massive infrastructure expansion and climate change have placed unprecedented pressure on remaining tiger habi- tats and biodiversity (McNeely 1997; Sodhi et al. 2004; Shahabuddin 2010). Nevertheless, the TRCs have committed to stabilizing and recovering their wild tigers. The overarching goal of the 1st Asian Ministerial Conference on Tiger Conserva- tion (AMCTC) held in Thailand in January 2010 was to: Save wild tigers and their principal habitats across Asia and secure the tigers future (AMCTC 2010). During this conference, senior officials and environmental ministers of the TRCs pledged to make commitments and to carry out management interventions to double the number of wild tigers (TX2) over the next 12 years (AMCTC 2010). The challenges are daunting, but can be overcome. In this review, I will sketch the forces that are over- whelming wild tigers, outline challenges and best prac- tices to increase the demand for live wild tigers and to reduce the demand for dead tigers, summarize our under- standing of tiger ecology and the conditions needed to sustain and recovery tiger population and detail the basic program elements of the Global Tiger Recovery Program (GRTP) that has been developed under a mandate from the AMCTC. TIGERS OVERWHELMED Over the past 200 years, wild tiger populations have declined by more than 98% in the Indian Subcontinent (Mondol et al. 2009) and probably by the same percent- age through the rest of the tigers range. Wild tiger popu- lations have declined by at least half over the last decade alone, with the current number estimated to be approxi- mately 32003600 (cubs not included) (GTRP 2010). We are witness to the tigers geographic range collapse. The edge populations (subspecies) were the first to be extirpated: the Bali tiger (P. tigris balica) in the 1940s, the Caspian tiger (P. tigris virgata) in the 1960s, the Javan tiger (P. tigris sondaica) in the 1970s and the South China tiger (P. tigris amoyensis) probably during the 1990s. Dinerstein et al. (2007) estimate that tigers occupied only 7% of their historical range by 2006, based on the tigers historical range constructed by Nowell and Jackson (1996); in the decade from 1996 to 2006 alone, the esti- mated area of tiger range occupancy had declined by 41%. Based on the most recent estimates from TRCs (GTRP 2010), approximately 2000 of the remaining tigers are Bengal tigers (P. tigris tigris) living in the Indian subcontinent. Fewer that 400 of the last island-living ti- gers (P. tigris sumatrae) survive on Sumatra. Peninsular Malaysia is home to approximately 500 Malayan tigers (P. tigris jacksoni). Approximately 300 Indochinese ti- gers (P. tigris corbetti) live in Cambodia, China, Lao, Myanmar and Thailand. No more than 400 adult Amur tigers (P. tigris altaica) inhabit North East China and the Russian Far East, with 95 percent of those living in Russia. Sanderson et al. (2010), in the most comprehensive analysis ever attempted of the present range occupancy of a large, cryptic, terrestrial mammal living at low density, identified 1 185 000 km of occupied and potential tiger habitat remaining in 2006. This had been fractured into 76 units that these scientists called Tiger Conservation Landscapes (TCLs) (Fig. 2). TCLs were defined as areas where: (i) there is sufficient habitat for a least 5 tigers; and (ii) tigers have been confirmed to occur in the past 10 years. A TCL is a contained tiger metapopulation; there is little to no potential for dispersal of tigers between TCLs without habitat recovery. A metapopulation is a collec- tion of populations that is discontinuous in distribution in partially isolated habitat patches where movement of individuals between patches is restricted (Frankham et al. 2010). Roughly half of all TCLs are large enough to sup- port 100 or more tigers, with the 7 largest TCLs offering the potential to support 500 or more tigers. The tiger occupancy data used in the Sanderson et al. (2010) analysis was supplied by on-the-ground observers, gathered over the previous decade, and coupled with re- Figure 1 Adult female tiger (Panthera tigris) in the tropical dry forest habitat in the Panna Tiger Reserve, India, in 2004, before tigers were extirpated from the reserve by poachers. J. Seidensticker 287 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS cent land-cover data. Sanderson et al. also report that poaching pressure on both tigers and prey had depressed tiger populations in most of these landscapes, even in the most protected areas, to far below carrying capacity when compared to historical information. Much of the analysis in Sanderson et al. was undertaken in 20042006, and further observations and consultation with tiger range country experts have led to the horrific realization that there might be no remaining ecologically functioning ti- ger populations (a population so reduced that it no longer plays a significant role in ecosystem function or the popu- lation is no longer viable without direct management interventions) in Cambodia and Vietnam. Furthermore, more than 33% of the TCLs identified in 2006 might have lost their tigers completely, or tiger numbers have been depressed to the point where the populations are probably no longer ecologically functional (GTRP 2010). However, the considerable land cover that remains in some of these landscapes might still support tiger population recoveries if there is good protection of tigers, prey and habitat. Other TCLs will require more intense interventions, such as ti- ger translocations from areas where there are sustainable tiger populations to areas where tigers have been extir- pated but still have adequate prey, or prey numbers can Saving wild tigers Figure 2 Historic and present distribution tiger conservation landscapes. Approximately 2000 adult tigers remain in the Indian subcontinent; fewer than 400 in Sumatra; approximately 500 in Peninsular Malaysia; approximately 300 Indochinese tigers remain in Cambodia, China, Lao, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam; and no more than 400 Amur tigers remain in North East China and the Russian Far East, with 95% living in Russia. Figure courtesy of the WWF-US, the Wildlife Conservation Society and the Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute. 288 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS be recovered. In another recent analysis, Walston et al. (2010) esti- mate there are 2200 tigers residing in 42 source sites (core protected tiger breeding areas) with a total area of 90 000 km. These scientists also recognize that the number of tigers in many of these source sites is depressed well be- low the potential capacity of those sites to support tiger prey and tigers. If the source sites are effectively protected, they estimate that there is the potential to double the num- ber of tigers living in them, to 4400. A second analysis by Dinerstein (2009) identifies 103 867 km in 62 core pro- tected tiger breeding areas in 16 TLCs, which, if fully protected and if habitat and prey are fully recovered, could support 3200 tigers. By adding adjacent protected areas to the analysis, protected areas between which ti- gers could move, the total number of protected areas in- creased to 115 in 135 500 km that could be secured, re- stored and managed to support approximately 4700 tigers (Fig. 3). Without full protection of core breeding sites, there can be no tiger recovery. However, an essential finding from both of the above analyses is that, even with complete protection, core breeding sites/source sites alone cannot reach the goal of doubling the number of tigers. Doubling the number of tigers will require expanding effective pro- tection to entire landscapes where tigers have been greatly reduced in numbers. According to the analysis by Sanderson et al. (2010), there were 36 Class I TCLs defined as having a known tiger breeding population, sufficient prey base, sufficient habitat area to support 100+ tigers, threat levels lower than 50% compared to other TCLs and higher conservation effectiveness compared to other TCLs. A scenario projec- tion by Wikramanayake et al. (2010) of the impacts of continued habitat loss, degradation and fragmentation at the 2006 rate in TCLs illustrates that the number of Class I TCLs will decrease from 16 to only 6 over the next decade, with a 43% reduction in habitat area, confining Figure 3 Of the 1.2 million km of po- tential tiger habitat in Tiger Conservation Landscapes, 62 core protected tiger breeding areas and 115 adjacent protected areas totaling 135 500 km will need to be secured, restored and managed to sup- port approximately 4700 tigers. Reach- ing the target of 7000 adult tigers will require that additional areas be secured. Figure courtesy of the WWF-US. J. Seidensticker 289 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS wild tigers to only 3% of their historic range. However, if connectivity between core areas is improved in these TCLs, there is potential to link core areas within TCLs and also to link adjacent TCLs to create larger landscapes. Across the tiger range, these restored TCLs represent >1. 5 million km 2 of tiger habitat, increasing the range to 10% of the historic range. Although this is a broad-brush analysis, there is potential for improving and restoring habitat connectivity across the tigers range with judicious and strategic habitat restoration, protection, zoning and land management. CHRONOLOGY OF THE CONSERVATION RESPONSE A summary of the best conservation practices and the challenges to be met to increase the demand for live wild tigers and to reduce the demand for dead tigers is pre- sented in Table 1. Mounting threats and challenges to tiger conser- vation The tiger was declared endangered at the 1969 Inter- national Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources meeting in New Delhi, although the critically endangered status of the tiger had been recognized in the Russian Far East dating back to the 1940s (Miquelle et al. 2010a). Today, tigers live in human-dominated land- scapes and our conservation prescriptions and actions have to adjust to these conditions (Seidensticker et al. 1999). There is no wild frontier left in Asia where ti- Table 1 Best practices and conservation challenges to increase demand for live wild tigers while reducing demand for dead tigers, summarized from the Global Tiger Recovery Program (GTRP 2010) to be continued Saving wild tigers 290 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS gers can roam unaffected by human influences (Sanderson et al. 2010). Throughout the 1970s, most TRC worked through es- tablished administrative services (e. g. forestry departments) to initiate programs that included all or part of the following conservation remedies (summarized from Seidensticker 1986, 1997): (i) enforcing moratoriums on sport hunting for tigers; (ii) implementing national policy continued J. Seidensticker 291 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS declarations and laws protecting tigers; (iii) upgrading and expanding existing protected areas; (iv) establishing new protected areas; (v) strengthening administrative support through increased staff allocations, staff training, equipment, and facilities; (vi) putting into effect outreach projects to inform other administrative services, politicians and the public of the plight of wildlife, and the tiger specifically; (vii) carrying out surveys to determine tiger distributions and abundance; and (viii) undertaking basic research projects on tiger habitats, prey needs, and popu- lation structure and dynamics. Many TRCs became par- ties to the new Convention on International Trade in En- dangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora when it came online in the mid-1970s. All have done so today. No wild- life conservation program in Asia has been comparable to the extent and magnitude of the effort devoted to saving the tiger. By the late 1980s, many new challenges, not addressed initially by authorities engaged in saving the tiger, were emerging to confound tiger conservation efforts. The overarching challenge of tiger conservation and the con- servation of biodiversity generally, is that there this is insufficient demand for the survival of wild tigers living in natural landscapes. This allows the criminal activities of poaching wild tigers and trafficking in their deriva- tives to flourish and tiger landscapes to be diminished. Therefore, to save the tiger, wild tigers must be turned from an economic liability into a living asset. The underlying complexities obstructing tiger conservation, and the conservation of Asian biodiversity in general, have been sketched out by McNeely (1997), Damania et al. (2008) and Kawanishi and Seidensticker (2010): once highly centralized, political power was be- ing more broadly shared with regions and provinces within nations. This confounded top-down programs di- rected by central governments, such as those instituted in 1973 in India through Project Tiger, with the enthusi- astic support of Prime Minister Indira Ghandi as its very powerful patron (Task Force, Indian Board for Wildlife 1972). In addition to increasing demand for tiger parts and products, there was a surge in demand for timber and plantation agricultural products, such as palm oil, lead- ing to the wide-scale conversion of forests (Sohngen et al. 1999). These new global demands were added to lo- cal demands for land and resources from tiger forests. These expanded economic priorities lowered governmen- tal priorities for conservation, including saving the tiger. The institutions supporting tiger conservation were also weak and weighed down with inadequately trained man- power and insufficient resources, and were ill-prepared to take on wildlife and forest protection and the mentoring responsibility for creating sustainable livelihoods for lo- cal people who were displaced by some tiger conserva- tion programs (Barrett et al. 2001). Most protected areas designated for tigers still had (and still have) substantial numbers of people living in them engaged in unsustain- able activities (Narain et al. 2005). The widespread deci- mation of tiger prey in many tiger forests, and in pro- tected areas themselves, became apparent (Redford 1992; Robinson & Bodmer 1999). Tiger poaching was being driven by demand for tiger parts and products from far beyond the boundaries of tiger reserves, or even TRCs themselves, but by newly wealthy markets in Asia, and globally (Mills & Jackson 1994; TRAFFIC 2008). Con- trolling these global markets was not possible through local law enforcement acting alone; a global response was required. Findings from the newly-founded academic discipline of conservation biology have shown that long-term per- sistence of extinction-prone species, such as tigers, re- quires areas that are much larger than most of those ini- tially demarcated as protected areas in the TRCs (Seidensticker 1986, 1987; Dinerstein & Wikramanayake 1993; Soule & Terborgh 1999). As Damania et al. (2008, 9) have stressed: With large and permeable boundaries, an exclusive reliance on punitive approaches and plan- ning will not suffice. The evidence suggests that a con- servation model that resists development and growth will be overwhelmed and undermined by the forces it opposes. A new paradigm for conservation must rec- ognize that those who live with the tiger determine its fate. Learning how this can be achieved remains a for- midable challenge. By the mid-1990s, the tiger had been declared doomed by many in the international media because of a major surge in poaching that was detected when indi- vidually recognizable tigers disappeared from supposedly well-protected areas like Chitwan National Park in Nepal and Ranthambhore Tiger Reserve in India (Kenney et al. 1995). We were into the throes of this so-called second tiger crisis in February 1997 when the Tigers: 2000 sym- posium was held at the Zoological Society of London (Seidensticker et al. 1999). At this meeting, it was reaf- firmed that: (i) persistent hunting of tigers and their prey, and the trade in tiger parts and products required ongoing and greatly enhanced individual, institutional and organi- zational commitments along the whole demand chain from source site, to consumer, to reducing demand driven by cultural traditions, and that meeting this challenge required a local and an international response; and (ii) reserved Saving wild tigers 292 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS Table 2 Summary of tiger ecology and conservation needs J. Seidensticker 293 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS lands, such as tiger reserves and national parks, are es- sential to protect tiger breeding populations. Without this core stabilizing force, we would be building tiger conser- vation efforts on quicksand. However, we appear to have reached a threshold in the effective performance of the protected area conservation systems, because some pro- tection systems have reached the financial and human re- source limits that TRCs are willing to provide (Holloway 1978). A landscape conservation paradigm for tigers The new conservation paradigm, highlighted at the symposium, was that for tiger conservation be successful in the long term it had to be approached from the broader landscape perspective (see Sanderson et al. 2002). Popu- lations of tigers and their prey must be managed at a land- scape scale that includes core areas of protection, buffer zones, dispersal corridors, sustainable management and protection of selectively logged forests (Linkie et al. 2008; Rayan & Mohamad 2010), and the restoration of degraded lands, coupled with initiatives through which the conser- vation of tigers directly or indirectly meets the needs of local people. This ecological approach to conserving ti- gers recognizes not only their genetic distinctiveness across their range but also behavioral, demographic and ecological distinctiveness. It recognizes the value of ti- gers as top predators in ecosystems and their role as um- brella species for conservation of other species and eco- logical processes. It recognizes the need to provide in- centives to local people who live near tigers to protect tigers and tiger prey. In retrospect, I believe that there was no first or second tiger crisis. We have witnessed the unfolding catastrophe of a magnificent predators steady slide to extinction. Ti- ger conservation actions to date might have slowed the tigers downward slide, but it continues. WHAT TIGERS NEED We need a clear understanding of what tigers need to persist and recover for us to be able to identify and priori- tize our response to the conservation challenges that keep emerging. The first scientific study of wild tigers was not published until 1967. George Schaller, the author of that work, noted that, until then the natural history of the tiger has been studied predominately along the sights of a rifle (Schaller 1967, 221). Since then, our knowledge of tiger life history, ecology, behavior and population dy- namics has continued to expand. The basics of the tigers ecology and conservation needs are summarized in Table 2. In what follows, I highlight the factors controlling tiger density and population resilience. What controls tiger numbers? Monitoring data have established that tiger densities vary naturally in response to differing prey densities by a factor of approximately 40, from fewer than 0.5 per 100 km (tigers 1 year of age or older) in the temperate forest of the Russian Far East and some tropical rain forests to more than 20 per 100 km in the prey-rich floodplain savannahs and riverine forests of Nepal and India (Carbone et al. 2001; Karanth et al. 2004; Karanth et al. 2006; Barlow et al. 2009; Miquelle et al. 2010b). In the absence of tiger poaching, prey abundance determines tiger num- bers (Karanth et al. 2004). The conservation implications of these ecological dif- ferences in the capacity of different biomes and the pro- ductivity of various habitats within biomes to support ti- ger prey are immense, as Miquelle et al. (2010b) point out. For example, the largest strictly protected area in the Russian Far East is 4000 km, yet it supports fewer than 30 tigers, half of which regularly use areas outside the boundaries of the reserve (Miquelle et al. 2010b). A simi- lar-sized reserve in prey-rich Indian floodplains or moist tropical forest would support 800 tigers in an ideal setting. These ecological statistics indicate that tiger recovery in the Russian Far East will require very large landscapes with strict protection of prey and tigers beyond the pro- tected areas themselves. The numbers also indicate that viable tiger populations could be conserved in core areas in prey-rich habitat in the Indian subcontinent. Unfortunately, most are <1000 km, and fewer yet contain a majority of the optimal habi- tat needed to support a large number of breeding female tigers (Ranganathan et al. 2008). The Indian subcontinent is packed with people and Indian tiger reserves have thou- sands of people living inside them (Narain et al. 2005). This reality necessitates a landscape approach to connect smaller core protected areas nested within larger land- scapes (Gopal et al. 2010). Therefore, the natural ecologi- cal parameters and the impacts of human-dominated land- uses have combined, conspired and pushed us to pursue a landscape approach to conserving tigers. What controls the probability of tiger population persistence? The eventual fate of tiger populations depends on the extent and character of the environments in which they live and the human social and political structure in which they are embedded (Walker & Salt 2006). Resilience is the ability of a particular animal population or ecological Saving wild tigers 294 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS system to absorb stress or changes, such as poaching pressure, habitat quality deterioration and fragmentation, and still retain its basic function and structure and persist. For example, if tigers occurred as a single population, or better, as 3 large populations for redundancy, that totaled 3600 adult tigers, we would be less concerned because larger populations are more resilient, both genetically and demographically, than small, fragmented populations. However, fragmentation is the norm for the remaining wild tigers, with the fragments now dispersed through- out their once-vast range (Sanderson et al. 2010). Small populations are highly vulnerable to ecological and an- thropogenic stressors of habitat loss and degradation, and poaching (Soule & Terborgh 1999). Poaching can decimate or eliminate a tiger population, despite high prey densities (Gopal et al. 2010). Popula- tion modeling by Chaperon et al. (2008) illustrates that while high prey numbers are essential to sustain tiger populations, prey recovery efforts will not be sufficient if tiger mortality rates reach or exceed 15%. Even a popula- tion with 15% mortality among the breeding females re- quires more than 80 breeding females to remain viable. However, if the survivorship of the breeding females ap- proaches 100%, tiger populations can grow at an annual rate of approximately 20%. This dynamic has been well exemplified in the population extirpations in many parts of the tiger range, including from protected areas in Bali and Java, Indonesia (Seidensticker 1987) and, more recently, in Cambodia, Lao, Thailand and Vietnam, and from some of Indias premier, but small tiger reserves (Gopal et al. 2010; GTRP 2010). When the network of protected areas was developed in tiger habitat over the last half century, most of the pro- tected areas were nestled in landscape matrices that in- cluded suitable tiger dispersal routes to other sites. Today, many of these same protected areas have been isolated as islands in a sea of land-use areas and infrastructure that stop or greatly restrict tiger dispersal. This has enormous negative implications for the tigers long-term persistence, not only in tiger landscapes, but even within protected areas themselves (Sanderson et al. 2010; Seidensticker et al. 2010). Dispersal in the Nepal tiger population has been stud- ied in detail by Smith (1993). Dispersal is the movement of a tiger from where it was born to its first or subsequent breeding site. Dispersal plays a critical role in tiger popu- lation dynamics because recruitment into a local popula- tion is strongly supported by immigration from adjacent populations, while many of the populations own offspring emigrate to other areas. In the terminology of metapopulation dynamics, source tiger populations are those in which the number of young produced exceeds mortality. Population sink areas are those in which mor- tality exceeds reproductive output; they are not self-sus- taining and rely on immigration from source populations to persist. However, these population sink areas can also serve as dispersal corridors for tigers, usually young adults, as they move between source populations. Sink areas are also important in allowing sub-adults and other non-terri- tory holding adults in source populations to disperse, and minimize intra-sexual conflict that can disrupt the social structure. Infanticide is a significant disruptive factor when adult males are unable to disperse out of small, isolated source sites and have to fight for limited territorial spaces. These dynamics are summarized in Table 2. RECOVERING TIGER POPULATIONS To address the looming biodiversity crisis and to make tigers the face of biodiversity, the World Bank, the Glo- bal Environmental Facility, the Smithsonian Institution and other partners launched the Global Tiger Initiative (GTI 2009) in June 2008. Since then, the GTI has become an alliance of governments, including all 13 TRCs, inter- national organizations and civil society, coordinated by a small GTI Secretariat hosted by the World Bank. The alli- ance was deepened at a global workshop in Nepal in Oc- tober 2009, at which the partners shared best practices and developed the Kathmandu Recommendations for scal- ing up those best practices to achieve real conservation progress on the ground (GTI 2009). This led to the AMCTC in Thailand in January 2010, where the Hua Hin Declaration committed TRCs to accelerating priority na- tional actions and charged the international community with undertaking efforts to support the TRCs where is- sues transcend national boundaries, with an emphasis on stopping the illegal wildlife trade (AMCTC 2010). The Hua Hin Declaration required commitments to: (i) policy changes and other activities to make critical habitats and core areas that support tiger source populations inviolate with no economic development permitted; (ii) identify buffer zones and corridors for tiger conservation and en- sure their integrity through assessment of proposed infra- structure and other land-altering economic development and appropriate mitigations (such as Smart Green Infrastructure, Quintero et al. 2009); (iii) mainstream ti- ger concerns through sectoral integration; and (iv) foster trans-boundary TCL management to benefit tigers. The Hua Hin Declaration also set the global goal of doubling the number of wild tigers by 2022, and endorsed the plan for a Tiger Summit to be held in Russia. J. Seidensticker 295 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS After a series of National Consultations during which TRCs developed their National Tiger Recovery Priorities, the partners met in Bali in July 2010 to endorse the con- cept of the GTRP, which is built on the National Tiger Recovery Priorities and associated Global Support Programs. The GTRP will be launched at an unprecedented Heads of Governments Tiger Summit in November 2010, hosted by Russian Prime Minister Putin in Saint Peters- burg with the strong support of World Bank President Robert Zoellick. These milestones, and the GTRP (2010), are a result of all 13 TRCs and the international community working together for the first time on a cooperative platform, shar- ing knowledge and experience and developing a collabo- rative program to achieve a global goal. There has never been a comparable comprehensive, costed-out, range- country-driven effort to save a species and the valuable ecosystems in which it lives for the benefit of current and future generations of people. The GTRP will support scaling up practices already proven effective in one or more TRC that need wider policy support, usually resources, and new transnational actions that enhance the effectiveness of individual TRC actions. The GTRP is built on the foundation of robust National Tiger Recov- ery Priorities developed by each TRC that are grouped into 10 themes: strengthen policies that protect tigers, landscape protection, scientific management and monitoring, community engagement, cooperative man- agement of international tiger landscapes, help TRCs eliminate the huge transnational illegal wildlife trade, persuade people to stop consuming tigers, enhance pro- fessional capacity of policy-makers and practitioners, and develop sustainable long-term financing mechanisms for conservation. The broad outline of the GTRP (2010) is as follows: 1. The unrelenting poaching pressure to supply the in- creasing demand for tiger parts and products, driven by increased wealth in the global tiger-consuming sec- tor (Gratwicke et al. 2008; TRAFFIC 2008), requires full attention by all TRCs and globally to enforce ex- isting laws and to create effective demand-reduction mechanisms. Attempts at demand reduction have only been partially effective to date. This goes concurrently with providing effective protection to tigers by increas- ing management effectiveness in protected core areas, increasing the extent of protected core tiger habitats, such as has recently been done for the Hukaung Val- ley Tiger Sanctuary in Myanmar (Wildlife Conserva- tion Society 2010) and the Banke National Park in Nepal (DNPWC 2010), and linking protected core ti- ger habitats with corridors that enable tigers to move between the core habitats. 2. Pockets of poverty surround and are embedded in TCLs. Programs are required to address the eco- nomic needs of communities living around wild ti- ger populations and to gain local support for con- servation through participatory engagement in sus- taining natural resources as well as development of sustainable alternative livelihoods. 3. Tiger range countries own economic development goals, which might entail achieving 10% per annum, are driving landscape transformations, and are over- whelming the institutional architecture (protected area systems, governance and resourcing) established in the 1970s to protect tigers. The old conservation architec- ture requires remodeling, and the old strategies need a paradigm shift to meet the current and emerging challenges. This necessitates capacity building, new knowl edge-shari ng pl at forms and i mproved governance. 4. The challenge of managing core protected areas is in restricting uses inside the areas and stabilizing threats outside the areas that spill in. However, even within protected areas, conflict with humans is a significant cause of tiger and human mortality (Gurung et al. 2008). Significant mortality occurs when tigers range beyond the borders of core protected areas, and this requires mitigating carnivore persecution on the edges of protected core areas and in buffer zones (Woodroffe & Ginsberg 1998; Miquelle et al. 2010b). 5. Although the goal in tiger conservation is to create core protected areas that are buffered and linked to other core protected areas, in fact, many people live within their borders and these people rely on resources from these areas for their livelihood. Most Indian ti- ger reserves and protected area systems in Bhutan, In- donesia and Malaysia are examples. The conservation challenge is to reduce the human footprint in the pro- tected core breeding areas. This is fully recognized by the TRC in the GTRP (2010). Some countries have proposed a process of voluntary resettlement where the social context will allow it to occur or, alternatively, more refined zoning to shield breeding female tigers from human intrusions. 6. The landscape conservation strategy allows tigers to exist as a collection of ecologically and genetically linked sub-populations or a metapopulation that con- fers more robustness and resilience to withstand threats and stressors generated by people. However, many ti- ger core breeding populations are for the most part no Saving wild tigers 296 2010 ISZS, Blackwell Publishing and IOZ/CAS longer embedded in a larger landscape of tiger-friendly habitat. Instead, they are usually isolated or tenuously connected to other habitat. Therefore, the new GTRP strategy emphasizes securing, and restoring where necessary, the habitat corridors that help to connect the core breeding populations. The basic premise of landscape conservation and metapopulation manage- ment is to increase the ecologically and genetically functional size of tiger populations. It is recognized that failure to do so now will result in further isolation of the core breeding populations contained within and between TCLs because of the rapid rate at which habitat is being converted, degraded and fragmented in fast- developing Asia. Deferring action for another decade, or even 5 years, is not an option anymore. The AMCTC recognized that all of the above requires sustainable financing beyond existing country and inter- national investments, without which wild tigers will not be saved (GTRP 2010). Conservation of endangered spe- cies vulnerable to poaching is an especially costly exer- cise (Damania et al. 2008). The funds needed above what the TRCs are already expending total approximately $50 million per year over for the next 5 years. The incremen- tal funds needed for tiger recovery vary between 40 and 60%, with the exception that India has determined it does not require additional financing beyond what is now be- ing allocated (GTRP 2010). To overcome this resource deficit, the battle to save tigers requires forming new alliances. Although funds to specifically manage and conserve tiger landscapes are few, many donors invest large sums in improving the live- lihoods of local community through sustainable manage- ment of forests and natural resources. The foundation of sustainability of natural resources and forests is healthy ecosystems. Tigers are a barometer of ecosystem health. Tigers are the face of biodiversity conservation in general. TRCs, conservation organizations and global partners can form alliances and partnerships to leverage and strategi- cally channel funds invested by these donors for better landscape management that benefits people and tigers. CLOSING COMMENTS All of the best efforts of the past are not working to save tigers. At best, they have only slowed the rate of their decline. The GTRP (2010) recognized that recovering wild tigers requires a multifaceted approach that includes: (i) changing the conversation about tiger conservation, and bring many more voices into the discussion on saving wild tigers; (ii) confronting and overcoming the enormous asymmetry between the resources fueling economic and infrastructure development and poaching, on the one hand, and the limited resources that conservationists can mus- ter on the other; (iii) boosting our human capacity to ad- dress the host of problems that must be solved to save wild tigers; (iv) creating the political influence and social clout to effect changes in perceptions and policies to make live wild tigers living in the wild worth more than dead tigers; and (v) generating sustained financing to support biodiversity conservation. Achieving the vision to double tiger numbers in the next 12 years requires concomitant management interven- tions at the source sites and in the surrounding landscapes. The battle to save tigers is at a stage where it has to be fought at multiple fronts. For tigers to survive in the long term, tigers and their prey must be protected and man- aged at a landscape scale that includes protection of source sites, buffer zones, dispersal corridors and the restoration of degraded lands, coupled with initiatives through which the conservation of tigers directly and indirectly meets the needs of local people. Concurrently, this strategy re- quires the suppression of the demand that drives tiger poaching. In addition, it requires a sustained political will to support these conservation efforts. As we lose tigers from ecosystems, it means the condi- tions in those ecosystems are eroding. The ecosystems themselves lose their resilience to natural and human- caused change. The ecosystem services that tiger forests provide to people are compromised. Lacking the tigers umbrella, other biodiversity will be at great risk and erode too. We will have failed to leave the legacy of magnifi- cent wild tigers to our children. Who among us wants to be remembered for that? ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I thank the anonymous reviewers who provided very helpful input and comments on the manuscript. I have been engaged in tiger conservation efforts since 1972 and have benefited from many discussions with colleagues over those years. The Smithsonian has provided a platform of support during this time and I have been constantly en- couraged to continue this work. Recently, the insights from the experts and senior officials from TRC have been invaluable in defining and refining a collective response to the tiger crisis and linking this to biodiversity conser- vation generally. My colleagues at the Global Tiger Ini- tiative Secretariat in the World Bank, and our senior advisers, have been in constant discussion regarding how to save tiger from their multiple perspectives. Wild tiger will be lost if we maintain the status quo. 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