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The document provides an overview of property market trends in Muscat, Oman in Q1 2011. It finds:
- Rental demand remained high for villas in new integrated tourism complexes, while older central housing is renting more slowly. Rents have remained stable except for new apartment completions which may face downward pressure.
- The commercial office market faces oversupply with rents declining up to 50% from 2007/08 peaks and 45% of new space currently vacant.
- Values have stabilized in integrated tourism complexes and demand is increasing for resale properties and rentals as the developments near completion.
- Land transaction volumes were lower in Q1 2011 due to regional instability, while estimated land
The document provides an overview of property market trends in Muscat, Oman in Q1 2011. It finds:
- Rental demand remained high for villas in new integrated tourism complexes, while older central housing is renting more slowly. Rents have remained stable except for new apartment completions which may face downward pressure.
- The commercial office market faces oversupply with rents declining up to 50% from 2007/08 peaks and 45% of new space currently vacant.
- Values have stabilized in integrated tourism complexes and demand is increasing for resale properties and rentals as the developments near completion.
- Land transaction volumes were lower in Q1 2011 due to regional instability, while estimated land
The document provides an overview of property market trends in Muscat, Oman in Q1 2011. It finds:
- Rental demand remained high for villas in new integrated tourism complexes, while older central housing is renting more slowly. Rents have remained stable except for new apartment completions which may face downward pressure.
- The commercial office market faces oversupply with rents declining up to 50% from 2007/08 peaks and 45% of new space currently vacant.
- Values have stabilized in integrated tourism complexes and demand is increasing for resale properties and rentals as the developments near completion.
- Land transaction volumes were lower in Q1 2011 due to regional instability, while estimated land
RESIDENTIAL - RENTAL The first quarter of the year saw healthy and increased activity in the residential leasing sector. Demand was sustained for all types of property, particularly villa options within the new ITC developments. Rentals remained under pressure to some degree owing to corporates generally tightening their housing budget allowances. The move of many companies away from the traditional ex patriate package which included housing allowance to an all in gross salary has resulted in tenants becoming increasingly demanding in terms of value for money. Values for most property types appear to have reached their true levels and further declines from existing rates are not predicted over the next quarter. Values as at end Q1 2011 are reported as
Whilst medium level apartment rentals have held firm over the quarter, there is likely to be some downward pressure throughout the rest of the year owing to the completion of a significant amount of new stock. With some larger companies developing their own staff accommodation, release of formerly rented apartments into the market could potentially result in an oversupply and a consequential softening of rents.
The impact of the new Integrated Tourism Complexes, The Wave and Muscat Hills Golf & Country Club particularly has been significant for the rental market. With both these developments offering high quality housing options in managed communities, rents consistent with those prevailing in more central areas continue to be achievable and demand remains high. As the enhanced facilities of hotels, shopping and recreational amenities are completed in both these developments we predict that there will be healthy rental growth and values will outstrip those of the central areas. Older housing in the traditionally favored areas that has not been upgraded to modern day standards is now failing to rent quickly and vacancy rates are climbing.
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2 Bed Apartment 3 Bed Apartment 3 Bed Townhouse 4 Bed Villa 5 Bed Villa Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Todays Rents (monthly)
2 Bed Apt RO. 400 3 Bed Apt RO. 500 3 Bed Townhouse RO. 850 4 Bed Villa RO. 1150 5 Bed Villa RO. 1500
For quality homes in central areas Excluding ITCs
www.sav-oman.com COMMERCIAL RENTAL As previously forecast, the market is now facing an acute over supply of office space. With the completion of approximately 180,000 square meters of new space over the last 6 months, the market has seen considerable value erosion. Rents have declined by up to 50%from their peak rates of 2007/2008 and much new space continues to lie empty awaiting first occupancy. It is estimated that up to 45%of all new space will remain unoccupied in the medium term and only that space with adequate car parking and high quality facilities will lease even at these deflated rental levels. From an international perspective, Omans commercial market had been intent on positioning itself as a viable alternative location to its neighboring GCC countries. With Muscats rental levels less than 12%of those in Londons West End and approximately 18% of what is payable in Mumbais Nariman point, the economic logic for an inward flow of back of house and administrative functions was sound. However, concurrent with the decline in Omans rentals was the general global economic slowdown which effectively put on hold the targeted major international company growth plans. Choice of office location has traditionally been driven by the prevailing rents in the micro commercial zones throughout the Capital Area. Owing to the current oversupply, it is forecast that this will now change and rents will even out throughout the City and more reflect the quality of space and amenities on offer rather than the location of the space. Several larger corporate relocations over the last year including Bank Muscat to Airport Heights and Omantel to Al Mawelah have shown that the traditional central areas no longer hold the importance they once did. Ghala continues to undergo its transformation from an industrial zone to a viable office location and with some massive campus style developments planned over the medium term including the ambitious Convention Centre development, the outward shift in area preference is likely to continue. Despite the much discussed over suppy, there still remains a relative undersupply of quality new office space in smaller module units. The average office space module currently on offer in Muscat is 260 square whereas the highest demand is for units below 150 square meters. Future developments that can provide such smaller spaces are likely to see acceptable levels of space take up.
RepresentingOmani Rials Per Square meter per month 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Ruwi CBD Qurum Shati al Qurum Al Khuwair Azaiba/Ghala
www.sav-oman.com INTEGRATED TOURIST COMPLEXES - FREEHOLD The impact of the global financial crisis was felt acutely by the ITCs and it is only now, when homes are being occupied that the values are finding their correct levels. With a virtual disappearance of the speculative purchaser the market is now firmly either owner occupier or rental investor based with increasing levels of demand being seen.
The Wave Muscat Good occupancy levels are now achieved with the exception of release 4 which is ongoing. Rental demand is high and re sale activity for completed product is sustained. Demand is likely to increase upon completion of the marina boulevard and when the hotel presence is achieved. Values currently attainable: 2 Bedroom Apartment RO. 140,000 sale / RO. 800 pcm rental 3 Bedroom Townhouse RO. 160,000 sale / RO. 900 pcm rental 4 Bedroom Villa RO. 230,000 +sale / RO. 1,400 +pcm rental 5 bedroom Villa RO. 285,000 +sale / RO. 1,750 +pcm rental
Muscat Hills Golf & Country Club Phase one handovers are complete and occupancy is fast underway. Despite a slow start from a leasing perspective, word has quickly spread about this unique family orientated lifestyle community and space take up is now rapidly gaining pace. Prevailing values commence from: 2 Bedroom Apartment RO. 135,000 sale / RO. 600 +pcm rental 4 Bedroom Villa A and B RO. 300,000 sale / RO. 1,450 +pcm rental 5 bedroom Villas C & D RO. 420,000 +sale / RO. 1,700 +pcm rental Yield returns from property at Muscat Hills have evened out and now show an approximate 5.5%gross return to value. Based on original purchase price off plan, the properties are showing their owner investors upwards of 10% gross return per annum.
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Original Purchase Price Current Value Apartments Penthouses Villas Gross Yields in percentage
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Jebel Sifa and Salalah Beach by Muriya Tourism are fast approaching their hand over stages with expected first occupancy by the year end. Developments still earmarked for launch in 2011-12 include, Naseem aSabba, Omagine and Saraya Bander Jissah. However, taking into account the current economic conditions it is considered highly likely that developers will delay their launches as long as possible until market conditions are more favorable.
0 2 4 6 8 10 Original Purchase Price Current Value Apartment Townhouses Villas 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 The Wave Muscat Hills Jebel Sifah 2 Bed Apartment 3 Bed Villa 4 Bed Villa Todays sale values from:
2 Bed Apt Muscat Hills RO. 135,000 1 Bed Apt The Wave RO. 65,000 2 Bed Apt The Wave RO. 120,000 2 Bed Apt Jebel Sifah RO. 150,000 4 Bed Villa Muscat Hills RO.350,000 4 Bed Villa The Wave RO. 285,000 4 Bed Villa Jebel Sifah RO. 550,000
Above represent starting prices Rental yields have settled at approximately the same levels as Muscat Hills although they differ significantly between the different phases, representing the steep value increases seen over the period the development was sold off plan. Demand remains particularly high for 2 bedroom apartment units with good views from both a sale and rental perspective.
www.sav-oman.com LAND VALUES Land transaction levels were depressed throughout the period with significantly lower levels of transaction activity as compared to normal quarters. The regional and domestic disturbances over this period lead to a substantial decrease in commercial mortgage loan applications as the market adopted a wait and watch policy. Values as at end Quarter 1 are estimated as: Area Land Value Per Square meter (Omani Rials) Area Land Value Per Square meter (Omani Rials) Residential Commercial Residential Commercial High Low High Low High Low High Low Muttrah 140 75 280 150 Al Khuwair 275 150 650 300 Muscat Area 140 75 200 150 Al Ghoubra South 190 140 600 300 CBD 750 600 Al Ghoubra North 230 150 600 300 MBD 500 450 Bousher 220 65 400 220 Wadi Kabir 160 100 350 180 Al Azaiba North 300 150 600 350 Wattayah 250 120 750 350 Al Azaiba South 500 200 Al Amrat 50 5 150 100 Ghala 500 200 Qurum 280 200 600 280 Ghala Industrial Area 300 150 Shatti Al Qurum (Al Sarooj) 500 400 650 500 Al Seeb 150 45 350 180 MSQ 350 280 650 400 Al Khoud 150 70 500 200 Madinat Al Ilam 350 280 650 400 Al Hail 160 70 350 150 Qurum Commercial Center 850 750 Al Mawaleh 130 70 380 150 Muna Heights 250 150 Al Rusayl 150 45
Prices in Omani Rials per square meter For further information please contact
PO Box 947 Postal Code 118 T: +968 24 692 151 F: +968 24 692 515 muscat@sav-oman.com
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Muscat Hills Golf & Country Club Fully furnished Apartment For Rent RO.1000 pcm
The Wave 5 Bedroom villa with pool For Rent RO.1,700 pcm
Shati al Qurum 1 Bedroom Furnished Apartment For Rent RO. 650 pcm
Ghubrah North 7 Bedroom Villa For Rent RO.1,100 pcm Qurum Heights 4 bedroom villa with pool . For Rent RO. 1,500pcm
Medinat Sultan Qaboos 5 Bedroom Villa For Rent RO.1,600 pcm
Muscat Hills Golf & Country Club 2 Bedroom frontline apartment For Sale RO. 135,000 stc Bar al Jissah - Dusk Zone 4 Bedroom villa on cliff top For Sale RO. 650,000 stc
Muscat Hills Golf & Country Club 4 Bedroom villa with pool For Sale RO. 350,000 stc
Azaiba 18 th November Street Prime retail showrooms For Rent From RO. 1,600 pcm
Shatti al Qurum Quality New Build Office space For Rent RO 8 psm pcm
Ghala Heights Grade A Office space For Rent RO. 8 psm pcm
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To view the extensive collection of properties Savills has available for sale in the worlds most sought after resort locations, please visit: www.savills.co.uk/abroad
This property insight has been prepared for general information purposes only. Savills Oman does not warrant the information herein is accurate in all detail and third parties should not reply upon any content when making decisions of a financial nature related to the property market.