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Research Analysis carried out to understand the Role of Banking Sector in the Development of the Indian Economy
In the context of (Agriculture and Textile) Industry
Originaltitel
Role of Banking Sector in the Development of the Indian Economy In the context of (Agriculture and Textile) Industry by Yogesh Yadav
Research Analysis carried out to understand the Role of Banking Sector in the Development of the Indian Economy
In the context of (Agriculture and Textile) Industry
Research Analysis carried out to understand the Role of Banking Sector in the Development of the Indian Economy
In the context of (Agriculture and Textile) Industry
Of the Indian Economy In the context of (Agriculture and Textile) Industry in last 5 years)
Submitted to: N.R. Institute of business administration Ahmedabad- 380006 2013-2014
Submitted by:
YOGESH YADAV
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N.R. Institute of Business Administration GLS Campus, Mardia Plaza Lane, off, C.G. Road, Ellis bridge, Ahmedabad-
Certificate for Submission of Project Report This is to certify that report submitted by the under mentioned students is in partial fulfilment of the requirement for the completion of "Practical Studies" at the T.Y.B.B.A Semester 6 for the year 2013-2014. Title of the Project: Role of banking sector in the development of the Indian Economy in the context of (Agriculture and Textile Industry in last 5 years)
Director Project Guide External examiner
Date:
Submitted by:
Name: Roll No:
YOGESH YADAV 74
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This is really a matter of pleasure for us to prepare a project report as it was included in our course by the GUJARAT UNIVERSITY. It gave us the opportunity to learn things practically what we learnt enterprise and their impact on the working of the company.
We express our sincere gratitude tour faculty guide Prof. ------------- of our institute and also thankful to our Director Dr. ----------- for her able guidance, continuous support and cooperation throughout our project, without which the present would not have been possible. She continuous guided we till the last word of this project and an excellent guidance to ours. She made numerous valuable suggestion and corrections, which greatly improved the quality of work.
The practical and theoretical knowledge that we have gained from them it help us in enhancing our career and managing things in better way.
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PREFACE
The objective of the practical training is to develop among the student clear cut knowledge about industrial environment and business practice over above theoretical study of management by analysis. The practical experience develops sense of awareness and gives knowledge to analyze real life problems. The main objective of this project study is to help the students to develop ability of research of the products or sectors and practical technique to solve real life problem related to the products .In this grand project report we have tried to analyze the needs of the customers and suggest them the most suitable product solutions, as well as we have also analyzed the brand awareness among the people The project provides an experience which is must have for the management and administration students.
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Index
Chapter No. Topic Page no. 1 Introduction
1.1 Introduction to Banking Sector 1.2 Introduction to Agriculture Sector 1.3 Introduction to Textile Sector 6 10
6 8 8 9 9 - 10 2 Literature Review 11 - 15 3 Objectives of the Study 16 4 Research Methodology
4.1 Significance of the Study 4.2 Analysis of Agriculture Sector 4.3 Analysis of Textile Industry 4.4 Comparison of Agriculture and Textile Industry 4.5 Limitations of Study 17 36
4.1 Introduction to Banking in India A bank is a financial institution that accepts deposits and channels those deposits into lending activities. Banks primarily provide financial services to customers while enriching investors. Government restrictions on financial activities by banks vary over time and location. Banks are important players in financial markets and offer services such as investment funds and loans. In some countries such as Germany, banks have historically owned major stakes in industrial corporations while in other countries such as the United States banks are prohibited from owning non-financial companies. In Japan, banks are usually the nexus of a cross-shareholding entity known as the keiretsu. In France, bank assurance is prevalent, as most banks offer insurance services (and now real estate services) to their clients. Bank a corporation empowered to deal with cash, domestic and foreign, and to receive the deposits of money and to loan those monies to third-parties. Definitions Bank has been defined by various authors, experts and judges. The definitions are given below: (a) Bank is defined as a noun, An establishment for receiving, keeping, lending, or, sometimes, issuing money, and making easier the exchange of funds by checks, notes, etc. the office or building of such an establishment , the fund put up by the dealer in baccarat, out of which losses are paid, the entire monetary pool of a gambling establishment, a common fund of chips, pieces, etc. used in playing a game, as poker or dominoes, a reserve of things for later distribution or use, or a place for this; a store of blood for transfusions, body organs for transplantation, etc., a store or a device for keeping retrievable data a memory bank (b) Business Definition, Bank is a commercial institution that keeps money in accounts for individuals or organizations, makes loans, exchanges currencies, provides credit to businesses, and offers other financial services. An Organization Usually a corporation, chartered by a state or federal government, which does most or all of the following: receives demand deposits and time deposits, honors instruments drawn on them, and pays interest on them;
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discounts notes, makes loans, and invests in securities; collects checks, drafts, and notes; certifies depositor's checks; and issues drafts and cashier's checks Bank is a Financial Institution That is licensed to deal with money and its substitutes by accepting time and demand deposits, making loans, and investing in securities. The bank generates profits from the difference in the interest rates charged and paid. Bank is an Establishment, Authorized by a government to accept deposits, pay interest, clear checks, make loans, act as an intermediary in financial transactions, and provide other financial services to its customers. History of Banking in India The first bank in India, though conservative, was established in 1786. From 1786 till today, the journey of Indian Banking System can be segregated into three distinct phases: Early phase of Indian banks, from 1786 to 1969 Nationalization of banks and the banking sector reforms, from 1969 to 1991 New phase of Indian banking system, with the reforms after 1991
Phase 1
The first bank in India, the General Bank of India, was set up in 1786. Bank of Hindustan and Bengal Bank followed. The East India Company established Bank of Bengal (1809), Bank of Bombay (1840), and Bank of Madras (1843) as independent units and called them Presidency banks. These three banks were amalgamated in 1920 and the Imperial Bank of India, a bank of private shareholders, mostly Europeans, was established. Allahabad Bank was established, exclusively by Indians, in 1865. Punjab National Bank was set up in 1894 with headquarters in Lahore. Between 1906 and 1913, Bank of India, Central Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank, Indian Bank, and Bank of Mysore were set up. The Reserve Bank of India came in 1935. During the first phase, the growth was very slow and banks also experienced periodic failures between 1913 and 1948. There were approximately 1,100 banks, mostly small. To streamline the functioning and activities of commercial banks, the Government of India came up with the Banking Companies Act, 1949, which was later changed to the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 as per amending Act of 1965 (Act
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No. 23 of 1965). The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was vested with extensive powers for the supervision of banking in India as the Central banking authority. During those days, the general public had lesser confidence in banks. As an aftermath, deposit mobilization was slow. Moreover, the savings bank facility provided by the Postal department was comparatively safer, and funds were largely given to traders. Phase 2
The government took major initiatives in banking sector reforms after Independence. In 1955, it nationalized the Imperial Bank of India and started offering extensive banking facilities, especially in rural and semi-urban areas. The government constituted the State Bank of India to act as the principal agent of the RBI and to handle banking transactions of the Union government and state governments all over the country. Seven banks owned by the Princely states were nationalized in 1959 and they became subsidiaries of the State Bank of India. In 1969, 14 commercial banks in the country were nationalized. In the second phase of banking sector reforms, seven more banks were nationalized in 1980. With this, 80 percent of the banking sector in India came under the government ownership. Phase 3
This phase has introduced many more products and facilities in the banking sector as part of the reforms process. In 1991, under the chairmanship of M Narasimham, a committee was set up, which worked for the liberalization of banking practices. Now, the country is flooded with foreign banks Role of Banking in Indian Economy.
4.2 Agricultural Sector A large proportion of the population in India is rural based and depends on agriculture for a living. Enhanced and stable growth of the agriculture sector is important as it plays a vital role not only in generating purchasing power among the rural population by creating on-farm and off-farm employment opportunities but also through its contribution to price stability. In India, although the share of agriculture in real GDP has declined below one-fi fth, it continues to be an important sector as it employs 52 per cent of the workforce. The growing adult population in India demand large and incessant rise in agricultural production. But per capita availability of food, particularly cereals and pulses, in recent years has fallen significantly. As a result, slackening growth of agriculture during last decade has been a major policy concern.
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Three main factors that contribute to agricultural growth are increased use of agricultural inputs, technological change and technical efficiency. With savings being negligible among the small farmers, agricultural credit appears to be an essential input along with modern technology for higher productivity. An important aspect that has emerged in last three decades is that the credit is not only obtained by the small and marginal farmers for survival but also by the large farmers for enhancing their income. Hence, since independence, credit has been occupying an important place in the strategy for development of agriculture. The agricultural credit system of India consists of informal and formal sources of credit supply. The informal sources include friends, relatives, commission agents, traders, private moneylenders, etc. Three major channels for disbursement of formal credit include commercial banks, cooperatives and micro-finance institutions (MFI) covering the whole length and breadth of the country. The overall thrust of the current policy regime assumes that credit is a critical input that affects agricultural/ rural productivity and is important enough to establish causality with productivity. Therefore, impulses in the agricultural operations are sought through intervention in credit.
4.3 Textile Industry Indian Textiles and Clothing Industry The history of textiles in India dates back to the use of mordant dyes and printing blocks around 3000 BC. The diversity of fibres found in India, intricate weaving on its state-of-art manual looms and its organic dyes attracted buyers from all over the world for centuries. India saw the building up of textile capabilities, diversification of its product base, and its emergence, once again, as an important global player. The Indian Textiles Industry has an overwhelming presence in the economic life of the country. Apart from providing one of the basic necessities of life, the textiles industry also plays a pivotal role through its contribution to industrial output, employment generation, and the export earnings of the country. It contributes about 14 per cent to industrial production, 4 per cent to the GDP, and 17 per cent to the country's export earnings. It would provide direct employment to over 35 million people by 2010, which includes a substantial number of people from less privileged sections of society [1]. Mills, power looms and handlooms constitute three independent sectors of the Indian textile industry. The mill sector is organized, mechanized and modernized production of yarn whereas the power loom and handloom sectors have remained technologically backward and stagnant. Almost all the spun yarn made in India come from the organized sector, reflecting the highly capital intensive nature of yarn spinning. Weaving in the mill sector has been
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gradually suffering due to An Analysis of Structure & Growth of the Indian Textile Industry After Phase National Conference on Emerging Challenges for Sustainable Business 2012 18 the competition from the power loom and the trend may continue [2]. The decentralized power looms sector plays a pivotal role in meeting the clothing needs of the country. The power loom industry produces a wide variety of cloth, both grey as well as processed. Production of cloth as well as generation of employment has been rapidly increasing in the power loom sector. There are 22.38 lakh power looms in the country as on 31st December,2009 distributed over approximately 5.03 lakh units. This is about 60.39 percent of the total looms in the world. The power loom sector contributes about 62 percent of the total cloth production of the country, and provides employment to about 55.95 lakh persons during the year 2008-09. As an economic activity, handloom is the 2nd largest employment provider next only to agriculture. The sector with 60.40 percent about 35 lakh handlooms provides employment to 65 lakh persons, of which 60.40 percent are women and 35 percent belong to minority section of the society [3]. The textiles sector is the second largest provider of employment after agriculture. Thus, the growth and all round development of this industry has a direct bearing on the improvement of the economy of the nation. The Indian textiles and apparel industry has an unbalanced structure, 95 % of the industry is the unorganized and only 5 % is the organized. Sector consolidation process in certain segments, to take advantage of economies of scale is necessary. This will generate more employment, as smaller operations affect cost and competitiveness
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Chapter 2 Literature Review
The research will study the role of banks in development of various sectors by sanctioning credit to the sectors like Agriculture and industries. The deployment of credit is observed in the agriculture for past 7 years; beside this the research in Industrial sector is limited to that of Textile Industry which will also be assessed on the data from last 7 years. This data consists of the number of accounts in each of the sector and credit deployed by the different banks in past years. In this way it will give us the idea about the deployment of credit by the banks to the concerned sector which leads to the development of those sectors. Moreover the research will be also concerned with the output of the textile industry in past years to see that how efficiently the credit is utilized for the development of the industry. The study will be analyzed with the help of statistical tools like correlation or regression on basis of the variables like output, credit deployment etc. The agriculture sector will determine the representation of data with the help of direct finance and indirect finance by Private sector as well as scheduled commercial banks. The Textile industry will be interpreted into different parts like Cotton Textile, Jute and other natural fibres, Handloom and Khadi and other Textile products. This will be guide by the credit from private and scheduled commercial banks.
Impact of agriculture credit India has systematically pursued a supply leading approach to increase agricultural credit. The objectives have been to replace moneylenders, relieve farmers of indebtedness and to achieve higher levels of agricultural credit, investment and agricultural output. Among earlier studies, Binswanger and Khandker (1992) found that the output and employment effect of expanded rural finance has been much smaller than in the nonfarm sector. The effect on crop output is not large, despite the fact that credit to agriculture has strongly increased fertilizer use and private investment in machines and livestock. High impact on inputs and modest impact on output clearly mean that the additional capital investment has been more important in substituting for agricultural labor than in increasing crop output.
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Between bank nationalization in 1969 and the onset of financial liberalization in 1990 bank branches were opened in over 30,000 rural locations which had no prior presence of commercial banks (called un-banked locations). Alongside, the share of bank credit and savings which was accounted for by rural branches raised from 1.5 and 3 percent respectively to 15 percent each (Burgess and Pande, 2005). This branch expansion was an integral part of Indias social banking experiment which sought to improve the access of the rural poor to cheap formal credit. The estimates suggested that a one percent increase in the number of rural banked locations reduced rural poverty by roughly 0.4 percent and increased total output by 0.30 percent. The output effects are solely accounted for by increases in non-agricultural output a finding which suggests that increased financial intermediation in rural India aided output and employment diversification out of agriculture. In a detailed paper, Mohan (2006) examined the overall growth of agriculture and the role of institutional credit. Agreeing that the overall supply of credit to agriculture as a percentage of total disbursal of credit is going down, he argued that this should not be a cause for worry as the share of formal credit as a part of the agricultural GDP is growing. This establishes that while credit is increasing, it has not really made an impact on value of output figures which points out the limitations of credit. In another study, Golait (2007) attempted to analyse the issues in agricultural credit in India. The analysis revealed that the credit delivery to the agriculture sector continues to be inadequate. It appeared that the banking system is still hesitant on various grounds to purvey credit to small and marginal farmers. It was suggested that concerted efforts were required to augment the flow of credit to agriculture, alongside exploring new innovations in product design and methods of delivery, through better use of technology and related processes. Facilitating credit through processors, input dealers, NGOs, etc., that were vertically integrated with the farmers, including through contract farming, for providing them critical inputs or processing their produce, could increase the credit flow to agriculture significantly. In general, it is difficult to establish a causal relationship between agriculture credit and production due to the existence of critical endogeneity problem. However, Sreeram (2007) concluded that increased supply and administered pricing of credit help in the increase in agricultural productivity and the well being of agriculturists as credit is a sub-component of the total investments made in agriculture. Borrowings could in fact be from multiple sources in the formal and informal space. Borrowing from formal sources is a part of this sub-component. With data being available largely from the formal sources of credit disbursal and indications that the formal credit as a proportion of total indebtedness is going down, it becomes much more difficult to establish the causality. He also stated that the diversity in cropping
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patterns, holding sizes, productivity, regional variations make it difficult to establish such a causality for agriculture or rural sector as a whole, even if one had data. Finally, he argued that mere increase in supply of credit is not going to address the problem of productivity, unless it is accompanied by investments in other support services. In the present study, we take a re-look at the problem by quantitatively assessing the impact of institutional credit expansion on agriculture. As it is already mentioned, the recent trends in agricultural growth and development have shown a sharp deceleration in the agricultural sector despite an overall impressive growth of Indian economy is a major cause of concern today. Thus, it led to intense debate in the country, both in academic and policymaking circles. In the recent period, many arguments have come up analyzing the potential impact liberalisation on farming community. There are two groups of people explained the reasons for poor performance of agriculture in the post reform era. One group of people, Gulati, Kelly and Narayanan, S. claimed that the slow pace of agricultural liberalization (domestic and external) is responsible. Another group, Sen and Patnaik blames the withdrawal of state support to agriculture and the integration of agriculture into global markets, due to liberalization pressures. The two groups have advocated an increased role for either markets or the state as the solution.
There are many other arguments came up arguing in this line showing multi dimensions of the crisis. In the light of above discussion, we now try to look at the reasons addressed by different authors in explaining crisis. They are variety of reasons put forward in the literature, sum of them are discussed below. Vakulabharanam (2008, 2005) argues that the state had offered various input subsidies, especially in the provision of fertilizers, electricity and credit. It had provided infrastructural support (primarily in irrigation and electricity) and extension services to cultivators. It had also provided minimum support prices for agricultural output. The policies after 1990, unevenly withdraw this support to the farming community. The reduction of domestic support in terms of subsidy and credit on the one hand and drastic price fall of agricultural commodities in the international market on the other hand led to distress in the farming class. Chandet, al (2007) and Chand (2005, 2004) argues, the main factors which led to a slowdown in agriculture at national level after 1996-97 are: (a) decline in the area under cultivation, which seems to be a result of expanding urbanization and industrialisation, (b) deterioration in the terms of trade for agriculture, (c) stagnant crop intensity, (d) poor progress of
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irrigation and fertiliser, (e) Decline in supply of electricity to agriculture, and (f) slowdown in diversification. Mishra Srijit (2007) and Reddy and Mishra(2008), Crisis in agriculture was well underway by the 1980s and economic reforms in the 1990s have only deepened it the major reasons brought out in the light of agricultural distress are vagaries of nature (primarily, inadequate or excessive water),lack of irrigation facilities, market related uncertainties such as increasing input costs and output price shocks mainly commercial and plantation crops due to agricultural trade liberalisation, unavailability of credit from institutional sources or excessive reliance on informal sources with a greater interest burden and new technology among other. Zhang and Dardis (1991) investigated the determinants of the textile export performance of 27 major textile exporting countries. The authors measured export performance by a countrys gross exports and net exports. They used static and dynamic models for the analysis. Their independent variables were physical capital, technologicalcapital, human capital, unit labour costs, and domestic apparel production. He found that in his study the more the stock of physical capital and the higher the level of human capital, the more were the gross and net exports of textiles, and the more the domestic apparel production, the less were the gross and net exports of textiles. United States International Trade Commission (2001)Found that India is also a leading cotton yarn manufacturer. There are over 1,500 spinning units (38,000 million spindles and 400,000 rotors) and 280 composite mills that are vertically integrated from spinning to finished fabric. Thousands of smaller spinning units, around 200 exclusive weaving units, and an estimated An Analysis of Structure & Growth of the Indian Textile Industry after Phase National Conference on Emerging Challenges for Sustainable Business 2012 1,700,000 power mills are also in operation. In addition to the rich supply of natural fibres, India also has a robust capacity in man-made fibre production and has global-scale production. India is one of the top exporters of man-made yarns and fabrics in the world and stands third in the production of filament yarn). Therefore, India isself-sufficient for fabric supplies and has little need to import fabrics, either natural or synthetic, for apparel manufacturing Gherzi (2003) , NIFT (1999 ) reported that in the initial phase of the post-MFA era since 1 January 2005, the textile and clothing exports of China and India should have grown much faster than what earlier happened under the transition period since 1 January 2004, despite any WTO- consistent import curb measures that the affected developed countries would likely institute. As the same time, the actual growth of the textile and clothing exports from these countries would have been dependent on how far these countries could manage their own export capabilities and competitiveness and to what extent they were successful in identifying and exploiting
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the opportunities; but, Indias trade past in not an encouraging indicator of its ability to corner available trade gains for itself China presumed to be a better bet. International Labor Organization (2005) opined that the competitiveness of the Indian textile and apparel industry in the world market is dependent on several factors. One of the most important factors is comparative advantage gained from its labor- abundant economy. Labor costs in India are among the lowest in the world. Another important factor is the rich supply of raw materials. India is the third largest cotton producer in the world, with 25 percent of the worlds cotton-growing acreage, which is the fourth highest in the world, and accounts for 15 percent of world cotton output following the USA and China. India is also the second largest producer of silk, the largest producer of jute, and one of the largest production bases for cotton/denims and blends of linen.
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Chapter 3 Objectives of Study
The study is limited to the role of banking & its contribution to the agriculture sector and textile industry. Following can be determined as prime objectives of the study. 1) To analyze the contribution of banking assistance in agriculture and development of agriculture.
2) To analyze the contribution of banks in industrial sector with reference to textile industry and development of textile industry.
* These objectives are to be fulfilled by relating the assistance of banking credit with reference to the performance by the each sector in terms of output.
Research Questions
The research questions can be directly linked to the objectives of the study. To be more specific let us look at some important questions which leads to the study of these sectors. 1) What is the role of banking in Indian Economy in context to development of Agriculture sector?
2) What is the role of banking in Indian Economy in context to development of Textile Industry?
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Chapter 4 Research Methodology
Research Objectives: The objectives are clear and defined. The relation between output and credit deployment is to be analyzed to see how the specified sectors are developing. Data Collection: We are using Secondary data available from the prime institutions and data collection agencies. The data is acquired from the statistical data of deployment of credit by reserve banks and The Handbook of Indian Statistics. We are using these secondary data for our research and these data are approved and are very reliable as they are obtained by national level recognised institutions. Table 57 Direct Institutional Credit to Agriculture (by Monetary Policy Department, RBI) Table 17 Agricultural Production of food grains. (by Ministry of Agriculture) IBEF Report on Agriculture (August 2013) Annual Reports by Indian Horticulture Department for fruits & vegetables output. Indian Horticulture Database 2011. Financial Year-wise, Variety-wise Production of Cloth (Ministry of Textiles)
Data Analysis Tools The research consists of two different sectors and we will use certain statistical tools like correlation and Graphical Representation of data to determine the relation between variables of the sectors under the study. For better understanding we will look at how statistical tools will determine the performance of sector with respect to the credit allocated by banks. Method: Co-relation In statistics, dependence is any statistical relationship between two random variables or two sets of data. Correlation refers to any of a broad class of statistical relationships involving dependence.
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We will use two major aspects which are credit deployment and output or growth rate in each sector, namely Agriculture and Textile Industry as variables for the determining correlation between two variables which will be deployment of credit to the determined sector and production/output from those sectors. In this way we will study the correlation of credit and output in each sector for the period of past 5 years.
Graphical Presentation: Graphical presentations are the simplest form for presenting a data and it is very easy to understand as well. The set of data will be plotted on the graph to see the changing trend in the number of years specified. Most prominently the bar chart will represent the data and explanation will be given at the end besides this the growth rate in credit and the sector will be determined by line graph to show the changing trend in the years. Each Graph and tabular data will be explained and important contents will be listed accordingly.
List of Commodities in Each Sector: In Agriculture Sector: Food grains: Cereals (Wheat, Rice, other coarse cereals) & Pulses Fruits & Vegetables: All Major Fruits & Vegetables under Horticulture Department
In Textile Industry: Three major varieties of cloth Cotton cloth (Voile, Twill etc) Non Cotton Cloth (Polyester, Silk, Rayon etc) Other Blended cloth (Dobby, Spandex, Velvet etc)
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4.1 Significance of the Study
Following are the significance / benefits of the study: To see how the credit is allocates to the different sectors in the country. To determine role of banking in development of economy with reference to the specified sectors. To show the emphasis of banking sector on the major sectors in the economy. To analyze the deployment of credit by the banks to the agriculture sector and the outputs of the agriculture sector. To analyze the deployment of credit by the banks to the Textile Industry and the outputs of the Textile Industry To know about the output of different products under the sector Comparing credit disbursement and the development of the sector year wise To know whether the variables are positively or negatively correlated so that credit and growth rate can be related Side by Side comparison of the variables in agriculture as well as Textile sector. To know the emphasis laid out on the important sectors of the economy To know how efficiently the credit deployed to the sector is used for the development of the sector.
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Research Analysis 4.2 Analysis of Agricultural Sector Here the data of past 5 years are represented in tabular as well as graphical form. This data shows agricultural output which contain both vegetables and food grains, Moreover the disbursement of credit to agricultural sector and its development are also shown.
Output of Vegetables and fruits in past 5 years in India (in million tonnes) Year Production of Fruits & Vegetables Growth in Production 2009-10 205 3.54% 2010-11 215 4.88% 2011-12 232 5.10% 2012-13 241 3.73% 2013-14 268* 11.20%* Source: Indian Horticulture Database Economic Times *The data for the year 2013-14 are expected on the current production basis.
Bar graph representing the production of fruits & vegetables
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Production of Fruits & Vegetables Production X axis = Years Y axis = Production of fruits and Vegetables in million tonnes
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Explanation: The above table and diagram represents the data regarding the production of fruits and vegetables combined in the past 5 years. The X axis represents the no. Of years while the Y axis represents the production of fruits and vegetables. Since 2009 the production has been positive in terms of growth. It was 205 million tonnes in 2009-10 which gradually kept increasing to 215, 226, 257 & 268 million tonnes in the following years up to 2013-14. Which means the production of vegetables and fruits have a significant growth from 2009-10.
Output of Food grains in past 5 years (in million tonnes) YEAR CEREALS PULSE Total 2009-2010 203.45 14.66 218.11 2010-2011 226.25 18.24 244.49 2011-2012 242.2 17.09 259.29 2012-2013 236.92 18.45 255.36 2013-2014 243.43 19.77 263.20
Bar Chart showing output of food grains from 2009-2014
Explanation: The above table and chart shows the total food grains produced in the past five years from 2009-2014. The X axis represents the no. Of years while the Y axis represents the production of food grains in million tonnes. In this scenario the production of food grains in the year 2009 was 218.11 million tonnes, which 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 Total Foodgrains Produced Total Foodgrains Produced X axis = Years Y axis = Production of food grains (in million tonnes)
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increased gradually in the year 2010-11 and 2011-12 to 244.49 and 259.29 million tonnes. There was a dip in the production of the food grains in the years 2012-13 as compared to previous year as it came down from 259.29 million tonnes to 255.36 million tonnes. But later in 2013-14 the estimations have shown a rise in production which is set to be achieved up to 263.20 million tonnes.
Table showing credit deployment to agriculture and its development Year Credit Deployed (in billions) to Agriculture Growth in Credit Food grains output Vegetables produced Growth Rate of Agriculture 2009-10 2228.93 14.31% 218.11 7685120 1.04% 2010-11 2667.57 19.68% 244.49 7428103 7.03% 2011-12 3659.35 37.18% 259.29 7802629 3.65% 2012-13 4172.55 14.02% 255.36 8343001 1.91%
2013-14 -- -- 263.20 6890384 -- Note: Blank cells means that data is not yet available.
Bar Graph determining credit deployed to agriculture
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Credit Deployed to Agriculture (in billions) Credit Deployed (in billions) X axis = Years Y axis = Credit Deployed to Agriculture in (Rs billions)
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Line Graph showing trends between growth in credit deployed and agricultural growth
Explanation: The above table and graphs shows different variables like credit deployment, growth in credit and growth rate of the agricultural sector. In the first graph the X axis represents no. Of years while Y axis represents the production of food grains and in the second graph the X axis represents the no. Of years while Y axis represents the Growth rate and Growth in Credit to agriculture sector. The credit deployed to the agriculture sector has been gradually increasing from 2009 to 2013. The growth in agriculture from 200-10 to 2012-13 is 14.31%, 19.68%, 37.18% and 14.02% respectively. As compared to 2009-10 the total credit deployment has increased from 2228.93 billion to 4172.55 billion in the year 2012-12. On the other side growth rate of agriculture sector for the years 2009-10 to 2012-13 are 1.04%, 7.03%, 3.65% and 1.91% respectively. This shows that total production has been increased year by years.
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Growth in Credit Growth Rate X axis = Years Y axis = Trends of Growth in credit and Agriculture Growth Rate.
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Reasons for fluctuation in Growth Rate of Agriculture Sector:
The agriculture growth rate has been very fluctuating even though the regular increase in deployment of banking credit. Let us understand why. 1. The exports in these sectors are not performing well regularly, and we have seen that export growth is not up to the mark. 2. The prominent reason is also the climate condition. Bad monsoon is always a threat in case of Agriculture. Thats what happened in the years 2012-13, Several droughts and irregularity in monsoon has hindered the production of food grains and there was dip in production as compared to last year. 3. The Lack of transparency in the govt. Department and moreover corruption regarding the deployment of funds to the farmers. 4. Devaluation of the value of currency which has decreased gross earnings from the exports and import of technologies tends to be costlier. 5. Natural Calamities across the nation, one of the prime examples is flood in Bihar and Kedarnath situations.
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Correlation coefficient between growth in credit deployed and agriculture growth: Year Growth in credit Growth rate 2009-10 14.31% 1.04% 2010-11 19.68% 7.03% 2011-12 37.18% 3.65% 2012-13 14.02% 1.91%
Now taking growth in credit as x which is dependent variable and taking Growth rate of agriculture sector as y which is independent variable, Lets calculate the correlation coefficient of the data Year Growth in credit (x) Growth Rate (y) xy x y 2009-10 14.31 1.04 14.8824 204.7761 1.0816 2010-11 19.68 7.03 138.3504 387.3024 49.4209 2011-12 37.18 3.65 135.707 1382.352 13.3225 2012-13 14.02 1.91 26.7782 196.5604 3.6481 Total 85.19 13.63 315.718 2170.991 67.4731 N=4
Karl Pearsons correlation coefficient method
r = 5(315.718)-(85.19)(13.63) 5[2170.991-(7257.34)] 5[67.4731-(185.78)]
Correlation coefficient (r) = 0.293674
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When the correlation process is carried out, it is meant to show that how strongly the two variables are connected. The correlation can be from -1 to 1 and higher the value of the correlation means that values are highly dependent and related to each other and vice versa. Zero describes that there is absence in the correlation between the variables. One of the variables should be dependent and other might be an independent variable. This means there is positive relation between the growth in credit and agricultural growth rate, which specifies that credit disbursement, has contributed to the development of agricultural sector. *Here growth in credit acts as a dependent variable and growth rate of agriculture in independent variable.
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4.3 Analysis of Textile Industry The data will represent product wise output of the textile sector in past 5 years, along with the growth in each type of product and combined growth. The data also represents disbursement of credit to textile industry in past 5 years and development and growth of textile industry in past 5 years. Production of different types of cloth and growth rates in past 5 years (in mill sq meters): Year Cotton Cloth Blended Cloth Synthetic (Non cotton) Total Quantity Growth Rate of Textile Secotr Qty. Growth Rate Qty. Growth Rate Qty. Growth Rate 2009-10 28790 7% 7769 15% 22438 9% 58996 9% 2010-11 31201 8% 8135 5% 21663 -3% 60999 3% 2011-12 30570 -2% 8468 4% 20567 -5% 59605 -2% 2012-13 33871 11% 9283 10% 18812 -9% 61966 4% 2013-14 23421 5% 6617 9% 12039 -5% 42077 3% *Note: Data for 2013-14 is up to November 13, and growth rate is calculated as per the previous year up to November month. Data source (Ministry of textiles, India) Charts Showing output and growth rate of textile industry:
X axis = Years Y axis = Production of cloth in (million sq. Meters)
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Total Output of Textile Industry Total Quantity
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X axis = Years Y axis = Growth rate of Textile industry Explanation: The above table and charts represent different variables of the textile sector like cloth wise and total production of textile sector and also the growth rate of the textile sector. In the first graph the x axis represents no. Of years while the Y axis represents the total production of cloth and in the second graph, the X axis represents no. of years while Y axis represents the growth rate of textile industry. The total production in the year 2009-10 was 58996 million sq. Meters which increased to 60999 in 2010-11. Later it dropped to 59605 in the year 2011-12 but increased further in the years 2012-12 to 61966 million sq. Meters. For the years 2013-14 the data show is up to Nov 2013 and the growth rate is calculated with previous year up to November month only. Table Showing Credit Deployment and Development of textile sector Year Credit Deployed (in billions) Growth in Credit Total Output of Textile Industry Growth Rate of Textile Industry 2009-10 1097 19.31 58996 9% 2010-11 1300 18.51 60999 3% 2011-12 1435 10.38 59605 -2% 2012-13 1646 14.70 61966 4% 2013-14 1893 15.01 42077 3%
Graph showing Deployment of credit to Textile sector in past 5 years
X axis = Years Y axis = Credit Deployed to Textile industry in (Rs billions)
Explanation: The above table and graph specifies the deployment of credit in the past five years from 2009-10 to 2013-14. The X axis represents the no. Of years while the Y axis represents the credit deployed to textile industry in billions. The credit has been continuously increasing year after year. In 2009-10 the credit deployed to textile industry was 1097 billion which gradually increased to 1300, 1435, 1646 and 1893 in the years 2010-11, 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2013-14 respectively. From the years 2009- 10 the credit deployed is almost doubled from 1097 billion to 1893 billion in 2013- 14. Besides this the growth rate trend has also been presented in the billion line graph for the growth percent in deployment of credit and that of the Textile Industry growth rate.
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Credit Deployed to Textile Industry (in billions) Credit Deployed (in billions)
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Graph showing trends of growth in deployed credit and textile growth rate
X axis = Years Y axis = trends of growth in credit and growth rate if textile industry. Reasons for difference in Growth rate of Textile Industry: 1) The textile industry relies heavily on the export sector and from past few years the Indian textile industry might be losing its edge in global market. 2) The competition in the International market has really gone up as the country like China and Bangladesh are increasing there share in international market. 3) From past few years the production of blended cloth is decreasing because China is providing synthetic cloth like silk at a comparatively low cost than India. 4) Besides this economy of leading countries plays an important role in exports. 5) Devaluation of currency in the serious problem for the exporters.
Correlation coefficient between growth in credit deployed and agriculture growth: Year Growth in credit Growth Rate 2009-10 19.31% 9% 2010-11 18.51% 3% 2011-12 10.38% -2% 2012-13 14.70% 4% 2013-14 15.01% 3% -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Growth in Credit Growth Rate
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Now here the growth in credit will be and it is a dependent variable and growth rate of textile industry is y which is independent variable. Year Growth in credit (x) Growth Rate (y) xy x y 2009-10 19.31 9 173.79 372.8761 81 2010-11 18.51 3 55.53 342.6201 9 2011-12 10.38 -2 -20.76 107.7444 4 2012-13 14.7 4 58.8 216.09 16 2013-14 15.01 3 45.03 225.3001 9 Total 77.91 17 312.39 1264.631 119 N=5 Karl Pearsons correlation coefficient method
r = 5(312.39)- (77.91)(17) [5(1264.631)-6069.970] [5(119)-(289)}
Correlation coefficient (r) = 0.853192
When the correlation process is carried out, it is meant to show that how strongly the two variables are connected. The correlation can be from -1 to 1 and higher the value of the correlation means that values are highly dependent and related to each other and vice versa. Zero describes that there is absence in the correlation between the variables. One of the variables should be dependent and other might be an independent variable. This means there is positive relation between the growth in credit and Textile growth rate and correlation is relatively very high, which specifies that credit disbursement, has contributed to the development of Textile sector. *Here the growth in credit is dependent variable and Textile growth rate is independent variable.
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4.4 Comparison of Agriculture and Textile Sector Deployment of Credit (in billions) Year Credit deployed to Agricultural Sector Credit deployed to Textile Sector 2009-10 2228.93 1097 2010-11 2667.57 1300 2011-12 3659.35 1435 2012-13 4172.55 1646 2013-14 -- 1893
X axis = Years Y axis = credit deployed to Agriculture and Textile Industry (in billions). Explanation: The above table and bar diagram shows the side by side comparison of the deployment of credit to agriculture and Textile industry. The X axis represents no. Of years while the Y axis represents the credit deployed to Agriculture and Textile Industry in Billions. As the agriculture is the priority sector and thus more credit is directed towards the agriculture sector but both the sectors have registered growth in credit deployment every year. The credit to agriculture has increased from 2228.93 to 4172.55 billion from 2009-10 to 2012-13, on the other hand credit to textile has increased from 1097 to 1646 billion from 2009-10 to 2013-13 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Credit deployed to Agricultural Sector Credit deployed to Textile Sector
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Growth in Agriculture and Textile sector: Year Agriculture Growth Rate Textile Growth Rate 2009-10 1.04% 9% 2010-11 7.03% 3% 2011-12 3.65% -2% 2012-13 1.91% 4% 2013-14 4.5%* 3% The * means expected growth rate
X axis = Years Y axis = trends of Agriculture Growth Rate and Textile Growth Rate Explanation: The above table and the line graph are showing the growth rate comparison between agriculture and textile sector from the year 2009-10 to 2013-14. In the above graph the X axis represents the no. of years while the Y axis represents the trends of Agriculture and Textile Growth rate. However the growth rates of agriculture have been positive throughout but have different trends. In textile sector there was negative growth rate ascertained in the year 2011-12, other than this the growth rates are positive. The agricultural sector recorded its lowest growth rate in 2009-10 which is 1.04% while its highest was in 2010-11 which is 7.03%. For textile sector the lowest growth has been the negative value in the year 2011-12 which is -2% and highest is 9% in 2009-10. The line graph represents the trend between these five years for both the sector. -4.00% -2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Agriculture Growth Rate Textile Growth Rate
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Reasons for stability in Textile Industry over Agriculture
The textile industry as compared to agriculture sector is more capable financially because it can use different sources of Industrial Finance.
The textile industry is run by business houses which have their own source of capital other than banking assistance which in case of agriculture, the farmers do not have much of finance of their own.
The return on investment in Textile Industry is comparatively higher than agriculture, most of the times it is hard to cover the investment in the agriculture sector.
Both Textile industry and Agriculture depends on the climatic conditions, but dependence of agriculture sector on climate is too much and progress is often shackled by weather conditions.
Textile Industry in India is mostly depended on the Export earnings and it is the prime focus to earn higher profits from export, moreover Indias textile export is progressive.
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Chapter 5 Findings
The banking sector is very important and backbone for finance in different sectors. The banking sector has been deploying credit regularly to major sectors of Indian economy to help their development The agriculture sector has been developed very much in past decades due to banking assistance. The agriculture sector is receiving major share of finance from banks and financial institutions The growth rate in Agriculture sector, though positive is very fluctuating The growth of agriculture sector is much affected by other factors than just banking finance. There is positive correlation between the credit disbursement and growth of Agriculture sector. The textile industry is one of the fastest and one of the major industries in India. There is regular increase in banking credit for Textile Industry. The textile industry contrasting to agriculture depends on the different sources of Industrial Finance rather than just banking credit. The exports are the major part of textile industry as India is one of the major countries in textile production. The Textile industry has much higher correlation between the growth rate and credit disbursement as compared to agriculture sector. Both Agriculture and textile industry are affected by different factors which may block their development.
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4.5 Limitations of the study
Limitations of Secondary Data
Relevance Are the data up to date? If the data are being used as supplemental data, are the data relevant to your own study? Are the units of measurement and population similar to your primary data units? Are the definitions and concepts that form the basis of the data the same? Is there a logical relationship between the secondary data and the primary data? And finally, are the objectives, scope, and nature of the primary and secondary data the same? It is often necessary to read the original research study and avoid using the data at face value. Availability and Sufficiency Do the secondary data exist? For example, data related to computer usage by the general public would be almost nonexistent 20 years ago. Are the data available for public use? Sometimes the data are only available within an organization, or there is a charge for the data. Are there enough data to make them a useful supplemental source? For example, if a study is done on 25 girls suffering from eating disorders, it might not be appropriate to generalize. It is more appropriate to generalize a study that includes 10,000 girls across the United States. Validity and Reliability Are the secondary data valid and reliable? Do the data represent what was supposed to be measured? How complete and accurate are the data? Have the data been altered? Sometimes we are not looking at the original data results but at numbers that have been manipulated in some way for another purpose. Because they are secondary data, it is important to always check to see that they were obtained from an original source and not from a source where the data might have been altered. Insufficient Secondary data may be located which is relevant, accurate and available, but incomplete for the purposes of closure.
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Limitations of the Study:
We have analyzed data of only past five years.
There might be deficiency in the data of the sectors because of availability.
We have not indulged in any type to tests like t test, chi square test to verify the research.
We have not collected the data from original institute like (ATIRA) for collective data of Textile Sector.
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Chapter 6 Conclusions
We have concluded as per our mentioned objectives regarding the role of banking sector in development of the Agriculture and Textile industry. As per the analysis of each sector we have found that, The agriculture sector mostly depends on the credit from banks and due to regular increase in banking credit the agriculture has been growing regularly, so it is right to say that deployment of credit has resulted into better development of the agriculture sector. The textile Industry is more financially sound than agriculture and it has other sources of funds but banking assistance is also must and we have seen regular increase in banking credit to textile sector and also growth and development of textile industry because of credit deployed by the banks.
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Chapter 7 References
For our reference we have used numerous statistical data, books and websites in order to make self understanding reports. Following are the sources of information:
For Definitions/ History & Statistical Tools: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banking_in_India Search Engine: Google and Bing http://www.rbi.org.in http://www.ibef.org Book on: Research Methodology by Deepak Chawla & Neena Sondhi
For Data regarding the sectors http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/ RBI Publications http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/PublicationsView.aspx?id=15138 http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/PublicationsView.aspx?id=15170 http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/AnnualPublications.aspx?head=Trend%20and%20Progress%20of%20 Banking%20in%20India http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/bs_viewcontent.aspx?Id=2240 http://texmin.nic.in/ermiu/pdata/prod_var_cloth.asp
Reference note of Promotion of Textile Industry (No. 4/RN/Ref./2013) http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/bs_viewcontent.aspx?Id=2240 Ministry of Textiles Agricultural produce market committee (APMC) report Research reports on Agriculture and Textile industry for literature