Memorandum

To: Alex Mooney for U.S. Congress

Fr: Gene Ulm and Trip Mullen
Date: August 19, 2014
Re: West Virginia 2
nd
Congressional District Survey Key Findings
The following memorandum is based on a survey of 400 likely voters completed in West
Virginias Second Congressional District on behalf of the Alex Mooney for U.S. Congress
campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee. The survey was completed by
Public Opinion Strategies August 10-12, 2014 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.
Democrats will likely have a ten-point advantage in party registration. Twenty-five percent of the
interviews were conducted via cell phone.
Alex Mooney has a twelve-point lead on the ballot.
Alex Mooney currently leads Nick Casey 40% 28%, with third-party candidates Ed
Rabel capturing eight percent (8%) and Davy J ones at five percent (5%). Nineteen
percent (19%) are undecided. Mooney leads Casey among Independents by a 26-point
margin, 47% 21%.
Despite the Democrats advantage in party registration, this districts strong REPUBLICAN
leanings will put the wind at Mooneys back and make it very difficult for Casey to close the
gap:
The Republican candidate holds a built-in 19-point advantage on the generic
Congressional ballot (51% 32%).
President Obama is nothing short of a boat anchor to Casey:
President Obamas approval rating is a net 45-points negative (27% approve 72%
disapprove), with 58% of voters strongly disapproving of the job he is doing as President.
Fifty eight percent (58%) prefer a Congressional candidate who will be a check and
balance to the President and Democrats in Congress.
Almost seven-in-ten voters (68%) oppose Obamacare, with 55% strongly opposed.
Please do not hesitate to call with any questions.