LCC PTX Ups

Notes
Any Will pass evidence will say that piecemeal will pass. This is no longer CIR. Although the 1NC evidnce
says that. If there is a piecemeal debate, just say, yes its piecemeal, Obama key to passing every
measure.

Key warrant for the 1NC ev is that the GOP just added Rebecca Tallent to their bipartisan commission on
immigration shifting their views on CIR
Will Pass
1NC
CIR will pass - TOA now and Obama PC key - Rebecca Tallent changes the game
Latino Post 12/5 [Latino Post, Credible news source, http://www.latinopost.com/articles/1771/20131205/immigration-reform-2013-
senate-majority-leader-harry-reid-thinks-boehner-will-cave-in-on-reform-bill.htm, Immigration Reform 2013: Senate Majority Leader Harry
Reid Thinks Boehner Will 'Cave In' on Reform Bill, 12/5/13, 12/6/13, CW]

Despite the continued obduracy of House Republicans in regard to immigration reform, Senate Majority Leader Harry
Reid still has hope that a comprehensive immigration reform bill will pass in the House. He told a local paper on
Tuesday that he thinks House Speaker John Boehner is "going to cave in," according to ABC News. "I think there's going to be
so much pressure on the House that they'll have to pass it," Reid told the Las Vegas Sun editorial board Tuesday. "This
is an issue that isn't going to go away," he continued. "It's here. We have 11 million people here who are not going to be sent
back to their country of origin. They can't do that. They can't do it fiscally. They can't do it physically. It's nearly impossible." The
Senate passed an immigration reform bill last summer, but the House of Representatives has not acted on it. While the reform bill will most
likely not pass before the end of the year, Boehner said that an immigration bill is "absolutely not" dead. "Is
immigration reform dead? Absolutely not," Boehner said last month. "I believe that Congress needs to deal with this issue. Our committees are
continuing to do their work. There are a lot of private conversations that are underway to try to figure out, how
do we best move on a common-sense, step-by-step basis to address this very important issue ... because it is a very important issue."
Yesterday, Boehner said that he has hired Rebecca Tallent, the director of immigration policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center, as his main source
of information about immigration issues. The addition of Tallent, who is an immigration policy expert, could mean
Republicans have renewed their shift toward immigration reform. Tallent also served as Sen. John McCain's (R-Ariz.)
chief of staff. McCain was one of the Senate's bipartisan "Gang of Eight" immigration reform team.
2NC UQ Wall
Mo cities, mo pressure GOP will pass CIR
Latino Post 12/3 [Latino Post, Credible news source, http://www.latinopost.com/articles/1674/20131203/immigration-reform-2013-
more-cities-pass-measures-welcoming-immigrants.htm, Immigration Reform 2013: More Cities Pass Measures Welcoming Immigrants,
12/5/13, 12/6/13, CW]

Arizona has been viewed as hostile to undocumented immigrants ever since the passage of the the controversially austere SB 1070 law, which
allows frequent checks for residents' citizenship papers or visas. Yet, liberal-leaning Tucson is pushing back against the "papers, please" law by
voting to change how police implement the immigration status checks during law enforcement stops, a provision upheld by the Supreme Court
when the rest of the bill was struck down in June 2012, due to the vote, minors may not be questioned without a guardian or attorney present,
and people who report a crime can do so without being subject to having their immigration status checked. The city wants to work with the
law, but also wants to ensure that they're "not doing the work of border patrol," said Regina Romero, a Tucson City Council member. Tucson
is one of a number of cities that are becoming more welcoming to immigrants and pushing for
immigration reform, according to The Christian Science Monitor. Chicago's Office of New Americans is
implementing a new plan to incorporate the city's half-million foreign-born residents to encourage
economic growth. In Dayton, Ohio, programs are being implemented to lure immigrants into new
neighborhoods where there are empty houses. And Chattanooga, Tenn. is helping connect their growing
immigrant population with local agencies to smooth community integration. "The pendulum's
swinging the other way now," says Frank Bean, chancellor's professor of sociology and director of the Center for Research on
Immigration, Population and Public Policy at the University of California, Irvine. From January to June in 2013, 43 states and the District of
Columbia passed laws or resolutions related to immigration, most of which seek to make life easier and encourage integration into American
society. In October, California passed a series of pro-immigration measures, including one that hinders the ability of federal authorities to
deport illegal immigrants. Immigration experts say that the change in policies and outlook reflects the reality that immigrants are vital to the
nation's economic sustainability. Now, with immigration reform stalled in the GOP-controlled House of
Representatives after a bill passed in the Senate in June, municipalities are deciding to address
immigration issues on their own. Professor Bean said that a major reason why municipalities are welcoming immigrants is because
of the need for blue-collar workers. He said there is a reduction in low-skilled workers, so "towns are noticing that they need these [foreign-
born] workers." Groups such as the Atlanta-based nonprofit Welcoming America promote an inclusive environment for immigrants. Since 2009,
the group has worked to increase understanding between immigrants and their new communities. This past summer, it signed 22 municipalities
onto an initiative that aims to build welcoming communities. Meanwhile, immigrants and immigration advocates are
still waiting on the passage of the comprehensive immigration reform bill, which advocates are hoping
will pass in the House in 2014.
CIR will pass Midterm votes prove the GOP must discuss CIR before the end of the
year
RSN 11/20 [RSN, Right Side News, http://www.rightsidenews.com/2013112033492/us/homeland-security/immigration-reform-news-
and-impact-on-us-homeland-security-november-20-2013.html, Immigration Reform News and Impact on US Homeland Security November 20,
2013, 11/20/13, 11/21/13, CW]

Gang of Eight leader Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) remains confident that Congress will pass "compreh6ensive" immigration
reform, even after Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) announced that the House will never conference with his 1,200 page amnesty bill passed by
the Senate in June. "I still think it's possible this year," Schumer declared at the Washington Ideas Forum hosted by The
Atlantic. (Washington Times, Nov. 14, 2013) "But if it's not, I think we have a real good chance to do it in the first half of next year.... If I had to
bet money, we're going to have an immigration reform bill on the president's desk." (Id.) Schumer claims Republicans need to
address immigration in order to be successful in the 2014 elections. "They have to do something, and
the Republican leadership in the House knows that Speaker Boehner knows that," Schumer said. (Id.) "At the
same time, they can't do it without Democrats," Schumer said, predicting that House GOP leadership will "come
to its senses and realize that we have to fix our immigration system in a bipartisan way." (Id.) "We're
going to get something done," Schumer proclaimed. (Capital, Nov. 14, 2013) A top House Republican essentially
confirmed Schumer's belief that the House will address immigration before next November's
elections. "Between now and the [2014] election I think the House will take up immigration in a piece-by-piece approach," Rep. Greg
Walden (R-OR), the chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee, told reporters at a Christian Science Monitor breakfast.
(Huffington Post, Nov. 15, 2013) "It's a matter of timing, in part because of everything else that hasn't been
done yet with the whole government funding issue and all of that has eaten up a lot of time. So my guess
is it will happen later next year," Walden said. (CQ Today, Nov. 15, 2013) However, Walden reiterated that the House will only consider
piecemeal bills rather than following the Senate's "comprehensive" approach. "The American people are skeptical of big, huge comprehensive
bills," Walden said. (Id.) "And we are looking at real reform that's done a piece at a time, step by step, so that you can have it be transparent so
that people can have a chance to actually understand each step of the way and how it's sequenced." (Id.)
2NC Obama Key to pressure
Obama key to pressure key CIR passage
UPI 11/29 [UPI, credible news source, http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2013/11/29/Obamas-visit-fasting-immigration-reform-
activists-in-Washington/UPI-46251385754947/?spt=rln&or=3, Obamas visit fasting immigration reform activists in Washington, 12/6/13,
11/29/13, CW]

President Barack Obama and first lady Michelle Obama Friday visited with a group of fasting immigration activists on the National
Mall. The president, who has repeatedly called for an overhaul of U.S. immigration laws, praised the
activists for their "sacrifice and dedication" during their 17-day-old "Fast for Families." "The president told them
that it is not a question of whether immigration reform will pass, but how soon," a White House statement
said. "He said that the only thing standing in the way is politics, and it is the commitment to change
from advocates like these brave fasters that will help pressure the House to finally act." The Obamas talked with fasters, including
organizers Eliseo Median and Dae Joong Yoon, for about 30 minutes. Vice President Joe Biden, Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack , Secretary of
Labor Tom Perez and Senior White House Adviser Valerie Jarett are among the administration officials who have visited with the activists during
their fast which continued over the Thanksgiving holiday. Michelle Obama tweeted earlier this week: "As families begin to gather for
Thanksgiving. I'm thinking of the brave #Fast4Families immigration reform advocates. We're with you. -- mo" A bipartisan immigration reform
bill passed by the U.S. Senate has failed to be called for debate in the Republican-controlled House. It calls for an eventual path to citizenship
for immigrants in the country illegally while stepping up border security.
Wont Pass
2AC
Obama PC low now ACA killed it all
Forbes 12/1 [Forbes, Credible news outlet, http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2013/12/01/george-w-bushs-hurricane-katrina-has-
nothing-politically-on-obamas-aca/, 12/6/2013, 12/1/13, CW]

The Affordable Care Act isnt Obamas political version of Hurricane Katrina, its worse. Although strikingly
similar from a political standpoint, Obamas ownership and depleted political capital make this threat far
greater to his presidency. If realized, Obamas would become the latest administration to discover that second terms have become
amazingly fickle things. Upon winning a second term, a president appears to have both validation and a mandate. However, even under the
best of circumstances, lame duck status comes quickly in a nation forever hurrying to move on. Recently, second-term administrations have had
anything but the best of circumstances. Americas last five second-term administrations Bush II, Clinton, Reagan, Nixon, and Johnson each
had major crises that hurt, what had started so positively. Late in August 2005, Hurricane Katrina battered New Orleans. Flood waters killed
many, left homeless hundreds of thousands, and gave the nation days worth of shocking pictures that seemed to come from another country.
Fairly or unfairly, the administrations response was deemed slow and incompetent. While New Orleans slowly recovered, George W. Bush
never seemed to. Now, at almost the same point in his second term, the ACA looks to be DOA, and its disastrous rollout looks to engulf this
administration. As Katrina did to the previous administration, the problems of the ACAs rollout seem to have somehow
caught this administration unaware and unable to respond. While Katrina had a greater severity in human terms, the
ACAs failed rollout may have greater severity in political terms. First, its failure is expansive. Rather than confined to one area of the
country with the rest of the nation merely observing, as with Katrina the ACAs impact is nationwide. Nor is the ACAs
failure limited to one thing. More than just a failed web system, it has increased premiums, cancelled
policies, and shockingly low sign-ups. And its problems may well get worse, once patients, medical procedures, and billing are
involved. If the plane has this many problems on takeoff, what will happen once its airborne? However one views the response, the Bush
administration had no hand in Katrina itself. Contrastingly, the ACA is all Obama to the extent that he embraced the
name Obamacare. And Obamacare has remained the starkest of partisan issues from passage until today. Republicans opposed it
then, and oppose it now just having shut the government down over it. Unlike Bush, who had several tax cuts, education reform, and
successful military actions in Afghanistan and Iraq, Obama has no surplus of positive accomplishments to offset the
ACAs rollout. This is THE accomplishment for this president. Obama did not come into the ACAs
rollout with political capital to spare. Obama is the first president, since FDR in 1944, to win reelection by a smaller popular vote
percentage than in his previous election. And he is the first president (since such records have been kept), to see his popular vote percentage
fall, while winning reelection to a second term. Now well into his fifth year in office, things have not improved. Gallup recently released a
comparison of two-term presidents at the point where Obama is now. Obamas 44.5% approval rating was ahead of Nixon (at 31.8% with
Watergate), Johnson (at 41.8% with Vietnam), and GW Bush (at 43.9% with Afghanistan, Iraq, and Katrina). However, Obama did not have
those deeply negative events pushing his approval rating down. Rather, he was already there, despite being widely acknowledged to have just
won a high-profile fiscal fight.