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The Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Arbitrage
Pricing Model: A critical Review
When security prices fully reflect all available information, the capital markets are said to be
efficient. In the efficient capital market, security prices adjust very rapidly to new information.
The risk of a portfolio
of a security
depen
ds not only on the standards deviations but also on the
correlation of possible returns (Van Horne, 1989). The capital market line (CMI) expression
deals with the expected return on efficient portfolio investment.
The capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM)
is developed by W.F. Sharpe in 1964. The CAPM is
the basis of modern portfolio theory. The CAPM is a model for determining the required rate of
return on an asset, taking into the risk of the asset. The CAPM is an equilibrium theory of how to
price and mea
sure risk, where beta (
), the measure of risk is at the heart of the CAPM. The
significant contribution of the CAPM is provides a measure of risk of an individual security
which is consistent with the portfolio theory (Weston and Copeland, 1986). It enabl
es us to
estimate the undiversifiable risk of a well
-
diversified portfolio (Weston and Copeland, 1986).
Most
probably
, the most important challenge to the CAPM is the Arbitrage Pricing Theory
9APT). This theory is developed by Stephen R. Ross in 1976. The
APT is a theory of asset
pricing in which the risk premium is based on specified set of risk factors in addition to or other
than correlation with the expected excess return on market portfolio. The APT is based on the
idea that in competitive financial m
arkets, arbitrage will ensure that riskless assets provide the
same expected return (Van Horne, 1989)
The Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Arbitrage
Pricing Model: A critical Review
When security prices fully reflect all available information, the capital markets are said to be
efficient. In the efficient capital market, security prices adjust very rapidly to new information.
The risk of a portfolio
of a security
depen
ds not only on the standards deviations but also on the
correlation of possible returns (Van Horne, 1989). The capital market line (CMI) expression
deals with the expected return on efficient portfolio investment.
The capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM)
is developed by W.F. Sharpe in 1964. The CAPM is
the basis of modern portfolio theory. The CAPM is a model for determining the required rate of
return on an asset, taking into the risk of the asset. The CAPM is an equilibrium theory of how to
price and mea
sure risk, where beta (
), the measure of risk is at the heart of the CAPM. The
significant contribution of the CAPM is provides a measure of risk of an individual security
which is consistent with the portfolio theory (Weston and Copeland, 1986). It enabl
es us to
estimate the undiversifiable risk of a well
-
diversified portfolio (Weston and Copeland, 1986).
Most
probably
, the most important challenge to the CAPM is the Arbitrage Pricing Theory
9APT). This theory is developed by Stephen R. Ross in 1976. The
APT is a theory of asset
pricing in which the risk premium is based on specified set of risk factors in addition to or other
than correlation with the expected excess return on market portfolio. The APT is based on the
idea that in competitive financial m
arkets, arbitrage will ensure that riskless assets provide the
same expected return (Van Horne, 1989)
The Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Arbitrage
Pricing Model: A critical Review
When security prices fully reflect all available information, the capital markets are said to be
efficient. In the efficient capital market, security prices adjust very rapidly to new information.
The risk of a portfolio
of a security
depen
ds not only on the standards deviations but also on the
correlation of possible returns (Van Horne, 1989). The capital market line (CMI) expression
deals with the expected return on efficient portfolio investment.
The capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM)
is developed by W.F. Sharpe in 1964. The CAPM is
the basis of modern portfolio theory. The CAPM is a model for determining the required rate of
return on an asset, taking into the risk of the asset. The CAPM is an equilibrium theory of how to
price and mea
sure risk, where beta (
), the measure of risk is at the heart of the CAPM. The
significant contribution of the CAPM is provides a measure of risk of an individual security
which is consistent with the portfolio theory (Weston and Copeland, 1986). It enabl
es us to
estimate the undiversifiable risk of a well
-
diversified portfolio (Weston and Copeland, 1986).
Most
probably
, the most important challenge to the CAPM is the Arbitrage Pricing Theory
9APT). This theory is developed by Stephen R. Ross in 1976. The
APT is a theory of asset
pricing in which the risk premium is based on specified set of risk factors in addition to or other
than correlation with the expected excess return on market portfolio. The APT is based on the
idea that in competitive financial m
arkets, arbitrage will ensure that riskless assets provide the
same expected return (Van Horne, 1989)
Dr. Monirul Alam Hossain Associate Professor, E-mail: monirulhossain@yahoo.com
The Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Arbitrage Pricing Model: A critical Review
Introduction
When security prices fully reflect all available information, the capital markets are said to be efficient. In the efficient capital market, security prices adjust very rapidly to new information. The risk of a portfolio of a security depends not only on the standards deviations but also on the correlation of possible returns (Van Horne, 1989). The capital market line (CMI) expression deals with the expected return on efficient portfolio investment.
The capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM) is developed by W.F. Sharpe in 1964. The CAPM is the basis of modern portfolio theory. The CAPM is a model for determining the required rate of return on an asset, taking into the risk of the asset. The CAPM is an equilibrium theory of how to price and measure risk, where beta (), the measure of risk is at the heart of the CAPM. The significant contribution of the CAPM is provides a measure of risk of an individual security which is consistent with the portfolio theory (Weston and Copeland, 1986). It enables us to estimate the undiversifiable risk of a well-diversified portfolio (Weston and Copeland, 1986).
Most probably, the most important challenge to the CAPM is the Arbitrage Pricing Theory 9APT). This theory is developed by Stephen R. Ross in 1976. The APT is a theory of asset pricing in which the risk premium is based on specified set of risk factors in addition to or other than correlation with the expected excess return on market portfolio. The APT is based on the idea that in competitive financial markets, arbitrage will ensure that riskless assets provide the same expected return (Van Horne, 1989).
The CAPM and the APT are the theories of how risky assets are priced in market equilibrium. Both the models provide decision makers with estimates of the required rate of return on risky securities. However, both the theories differ from each other in many respects. This article is an attempt to draw contrast and compare between the CAPM and the APT with special reference to their assumptions, implications and practical usefulness.
Assumptions of the CAPM and the APT
The assumption of the CAPM relating to market, investors and assets are as follows:
1. Assumption about the market-
a. There are no taxes and no transaction costs-cost of buying and selling. b. Information is costless and simultaneously freely available to all investors. c. There are many buyers and sellers in the market; so that none can influence security prices.
2. Assumptions about investors-
a. Investors are risk adverse individuals. It is a one period model. Asset returns are defined to be over the next period, and the investors are assumed to be maximizing their returns over a single period (Emmery and Finnerty, 1991). b. Investors have homogeneous expectation about asset returns in the future.
3. Assumptions about assets-
a. There exists a risk-free asset such that investors may borrow or lend unlimited amounts at the risk-free rate. b. The quantities of assets are fixed and all assets are marketable and perfectly divisible.
The assumptions of the APT are as follows (John Wei, 1988):
1. All investors exhibit homogeneous expectations that the stochastic properties of capital assets return are consistent with a linear structure of K factors.
2. Either there are no arbitrage opportunities in the capital markets or the capital markets are in competitive equilibrium.
3. The number of securities in the economy is either infinite or so large that the theory of large numbers are applied.
4. The APT hold in both the multi-period and single period cases.
Both the CAPM and the APT are built on the principle of capital market efficiency. Therefore both the theories posses the assumptions of capital market efficiency. In the case of the CAPM, it considers only single period. On the other hand, the APT considers both multi-period and single period cases. Though consistent with every conceivable prescriptions for the portfolio diversification, no particular portfolio plays a role in the APT (Roll and Ross, 1980). Unlike the CAPM, there is no requirement that market portfolio on mean variance efficient. Both the theories hold that all investors have homogeneous expectations to maximize their returns. In case of the APT, the law of large numbers are used for infinite or large number of securities. But in case of the CAPM, it is used for an accurate approximation of the market portfolio.
Implications of the CAPM and the APT
The CAPM does try to explain the underlying causes of securities, whereas the APT does not. The CAPM is a single factor model: expected return is determined by a single factor systematic risk or beta; whereas the APT is a muli-factor model: expected return is determined by more than one single factor (Lumby, 1980). For the empirical test of the APT, a variety of factors have emerged as possible determinants of actual common security returns and as statistical tool or method called factor analysis has been used to attempt to identify the relevant factors (Emmery and Finnerty, 1991). But the APT does not say what the factors are or why they are economically or behaviorally relevant. The APT simply implies that there is a relationship between security returns and a limited number of factors (Van Horne, 1989). However, these factors cannot be identified easily.
The APT is derived in a completely different way. However, it looks like to the CAPM, except that it has got multiple beta factors. In the CAPM, each assets estimated by regressing its return on the market portfolio return. On the other hand, the APT does not allow us to simply an assets return against arbitrarily determined factors (Weston and Copeland, 1986). Instead, factor analysis must be employed to extract the fundamental factors underlying all security returns.
The APT states that, if there are sufficient securities, it must be possible to construct a diversified portfolio that has zero senility to each factor. Such a portfolio would be effectively risk-free and therefore it should offer a zero risk premium. According to the APT, securities risk premium depends upon two things- the risk premiums associated with each other and the securities sensitivity to each of the factors (Brealy and Myers, 1981). But in case of the CAPM, the risk premium is determined by the product of the market price of risk and the securities systematic (undiversitiable) risk level. This later value is given by the product of the securities total risk and the degree to which the returns on securities are correlated to the returns on the market portfolio. But, if the expected risk premium of each of the portfolios is proportional to the portfolios market risk, then the CAPM and the APT are equivalent (Brealy and Myers, 1981). The APT is very similar to the CAPM in the sense that the expected return of any security is equilibrium will be equal to the risk free rate plus a risk premium. Not only that, the APT is similar to the CAPM in the application of the, model that it can be used in exactly the same way as the CAPM for determining the cost of capital, for valuation and for capital budgeting (Weston and Copeland, 1986).
The Practical Usefulness of the CAPM and the APT
The significant contribution of CAPM is that it provides a measure of the risk of an individual security which is consistent with portfolio theory. It enables us to estimate the undiversifiable risk of a single asset and compare it with the undiversifiable risk of a well diversified portfolio (Weston and Compland, 1986). Practical use of the CAPM requires that estimate of beta for securities should be reliable. It estimates the beta based on historical data are unrelated to actual risk, now or in future, then the CAPM is not a good tool for decision making (Weston and Copeland, 1986). In case of the CAPM, it is very difficult to estimate an accurate beta, because betas tend to change overtime. In addition, the CAPM stresses one-dimensional measure of risk (beta).
Despite the theoretical debate and the difficulty in obtaining accurate betas, some investors use the CAPM, because it systematically relates return with risk and shows how key variables interact (Cooley and Roden, 1986). In any event, the CAPM provides us with an understanding of the investiors behaviour and market dynamics (Cooley and Roden, 1986). The CAPM is useful in that it provides several significant views into the major factors of security price determination, and so it is of direct interest of the decision makers within corporations. Although it involves some unrealistic assumptions and it is not perfect and complete representation of the real would, it is reasonably adequate (Lumby, 1980). The CAPM may not be perfect, but it does appear to give a reasonable approximation of the world and it does have predictive ability. For example, high beta securities tend to be more volatile and produce a higher expected return than low beta securities.
One of the great advantage of the CAPM is its simplicity. But to test the CAPM two problems arise. Firstly, the CAPM is concerned with expected returns and secondly, the market portfolio should include all risky investment, whereas most of the market indexes contain only a sample of common stocks (Brealy and Myers, 1981).
There is a debate about how much improvement can be obtained using the APT rather than the CAPM. The study of Roll and Ross (1980) claimed that the APT is amenable to empirical testing, in a way that the CAPM is no because (i) it is not necessary to test the returns on all assets, nor (ii) there is any special role for the market portfolio. The studies of Chen (1983) and Roll and Ross (1983) seem to suggest that the APT is an improvement over the CAPM, specially when security returns contain some CAPM anomaly. Other studies (e.g., Brown and Weinstein, 1983) of portfolio performance find no significant differences between the APT and the CAPM. Whether the APT should replace the CAPM is subject to much debate. Enough research is required for the determination of whether the APT would replace the CAPM nor not. However, it could be well that the APT will become the principal theory of asset pricing, with the CAPM as a subject of it (Van Horne, 1989).
Conclusion
The CAPM and the APT are built on the principle of capital market efficiency. Both the models state how risky assets are priced in the market equilibrium and they provide decision makers with estimates of required rate of return on risky securities. In spite of their similarities, they differ from various corners in relation to their assumptions, implications, practical use and the like. The CAPM considers one factor the return is determined by a single factor, the securities beta value. Therefore, the CAPM is often referred to as a single-factor model. The APT is called as multi-factor variable and it is derived in a completely different way from the CAPM.
The APT emphasizes the role of the co-variance between asset returns and the exogenous factors, while the CAPM stresses on the co-variance between asset returns and the endogenous market portfolio (John Wei, 1988). The CAPM is a one period model, whereas the APT holds in both the multi-period cases. The CAPM tries to explain the underlying causes of security returns, whereas the APT does not. Certain studies find that the APT has better explanatory power of security returns than does the CAPM. On the other hand, some other studies of portfolio performance find no significant differences between the APT and the CAPM. Whether the APT should displace the CAPM is a subject of much debate. More empirical research is needed in this respect.
Bibliography
Brealy, R and Myer, S (1981) Principles of Corporate Finance. Mc-Graw-Hill.
Cooly, P.L and Roden, P. F (1988) Business Financial Management, Holt, Rinehart and Winston.
Emery, R.D and Finnerty (1991) Principles of Finance with Corporate. Applications. West Publishing Co.
Firth, M and Keane, S.M (1986) Issues in Finance. Philip Allan.
John Wei, K. C (1988) An Asset-pricing Theory unifying the CAPM and APT, The Journal of Finance, September, pp. 881-895.
Roll, R and Ross, S.A (1980) An Empirical Investigation of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, The Journal of Finance, December, pp. 1073-1103.
Van Horne, J. C (1989) Financial Management and Policy. Eight edition, Prentice-Hall International Inc.: London.
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