New York State Climate Action

Plan
John Zamurs, Ph.D.
Head, Sustainability &
Climate Change Section
NYSDOT Statewide Policy Bureau
Hudson Valley Climate Change
Network Workshop
Staatsburg, NY
J uly 25, 2011
NYS Climate Action Plan
On August 6, 2009, Governor Paterson signed Executive Order No.
24 setting a goal to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in New York
State by 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050.
The Executive Order also created the Climate Action Council
(CAC) with a directive to prepare a draft Climate Action Plan
(CAP) .
The CAP is to assess how all economic sectors can reduce
greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to climate change, and identify
the extent to which such actions support New Yorks goals for a
clean energy economy.
2
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
M
i
l
l
i
o
n

T
o
n
s

(
C
O
2

E
q
u
i
v
a
l
e
n
t
)
Electric Net Imports Transportation Residential Commercial Industrial Other
1990 Historic
NYSERDA
2025 Forecast
NYSERDA
2050 Goal
80% Reduction
~222 million tons
CO
2
e
Forecast
Range
Baseline Emissions
Governors Executive Order 24 GHG Mitigation and Adaptation
GHG Emission Reductions Required to Meet a 2050 Goal (80X50)
3
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
Governors Executive Order 24 GHG Mitigation and Adaptation
GHG Emission Reductions Required to Meet a 2050 Goal (80X50)
4
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
Governors Executive Order 24 GHG Mitigation and Adaptation
GHG Emission Reductions Required to Meet a 2050 Goal (80X50)
5
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
Governors Executive Order 24 GHG Mitigation and Adaptation
GHG Emission Reductions Required to Meet a 2050 Goal (80X50)
Cumulative Emissions Matter
6
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
CO
2
From Fuel Combustion by
End Use Sector, 2007
7
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
CO
2
From Fuel Combustion by
Fuel Type, 2007
8 www.nyclimatechange.us
New York State Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Source
Category, 1990 2025
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
M
i
l
l
i
o
n

T
o
n
s

C
a
r
b
o
n

D
i
o
x
i
d
e

E
q
u
i
v
a
l
e
n
t
Electricity Generation Net Imports of Electricity
Transportation Residential
Commercial Industrial
Other (Not Fuel Combustion)
277 277
298
305
283
286 292 293
www.nyclimatechange.us
US States: 30 of Top 75 World Emitters
(Year 2000, DOE)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
C
h
i
n
a
R
u
s
s
i
a
I
n
d
i
a
J
a
p
a
n
G
e
r
m
a
n
y
B
r
a
z
i
l
T
e
x
a
s
C
a
n
a
d
a
U
n
i
t
e
d

I
t
a
l
y
M
e
x
i
c
o
K
o
r
e
a

(
S
o
u
t
h
)
F
r
a
n
c
e
I
n
d
o
n
e
s
i
a
A
u
s
t
r
a
l
i
a
U
k
r
a
i
n
e
I
r
a
n
C
a
l
i
f
o
r
n
i
a
S
o
u
t
h

A
f
r
i
c
a
S
p
a
i
n
P
o
l
a
n
d
T
u
r
k
e
y
S
a
u
d
i

A
r
a
b
i
a
P
e
n
n
s
y
l
v
a
n
i
a
O
h
i
o
A
r
g
e
n
t
i
n
a
P
a
k
i
s
t
a
n
I
l
l
i
n
o
i
s
T
h
a
i
l
a
n
d
F
l
o
r
i
d
a
I
n
d
i
a
n
a
N
e
w

Y
o
r
k
V
e
n
e
z
u
e
l
a
T
a
i
w
a
n
L
o
u
i
s
i
a
n
a
M
i
c
h
i
g
a
n
N
e
t
h
e
r
l
a
n
d
s
N
i
g
e
r
i
a
G
e
o
r
g
i
a
U
z
b
e
k
i
s
t
a
n
E
g
y
p
t
N
o
r
t
h

C
a
r
o
l
i
n
a
K
e
n
t
u
c
k
y
A
l
a
b
a
m
a
K
a
z
a
k
h
s
t
a
n
C
o
l
o
m
b
i
a
M
i
s
s
o
u
r
i
M
a
l
a
y
s
i
a
B
e
l
g
i
u
m
T
e
n
n
e
s
s
e
e
M
M
t
C
O
2
e
State/Nation
GHG Emissions by Nation or State
Data Source: CAIT 4.0, WRI, all gases/sources, year 2000, excluding
10 www.nyclimatechange.us
Climate Action Council
DEC, NYSERDA, Ag & Mkts, DED, DHCR, DOT, PSC, MTA, LIPA, NYPA,
DASNY, DOS, DOB, DSO & Govs Counsel
Power Supply
and Delivery
Residential,
Commercial
and Industrial
Agriculture,
Forestry and
Waste
Transportation
and Land Use
Adaptation
Vision 2050
Integration
Advisory Panel
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
Technical Work Groups
Power Supply and Delivery (PSD)
Heat and power generation and distribution;
Residential, Commercial and Industrial (RCI)
Energy efficiency & conservation, industrial process
Transportation and Land Use (TLU)
Vehicle efficiency, alternative fuels & system efficiency
Agriculture, Forestry, and Waste Management (AFW)
Land protection, forest restoration, sustainable forest management,
bioenergy, sustainable wood products, waste reduction, recycling
Adaptation (ADP)
Responses to potential threats to public health and safety, communities,
resources, industries from climate change
12
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
Coverage Of Issues
All GHGs
All sectors
All potential
implementation
mechanisms
State and multi-state
actions
Short and long term
actions
Key externalities
13
Source: www.nyclimatechange.us
Disclaimer
14
Transportation documents
A Vision for New York States
Transportation and Land use Sector in 2050
Transportation and Land Use Technical
Work Group Policy Options Document
15
2050 Transportation Vision
Healthy, active, sustainable communities
Walkable, bikeable development patterns
Spatially connected jobs and housing
Attractive, convenient, affordable, dominant
mode public transportation
Zero or low carbon personal cars
16
2050 Transportation Vision
Other modes powered by alternate fuels
(electricity, hydrogen, biofuels)
Freight movements optimized to minimize
greenhouse gases
Municipal Plans and zoning recognize
priority growth areas and conform to land
use and transportation plans to support
economies of scale for public transportation
17
NYS Climate Action Plan
Transportation Policy Options
Vehicle Technology and Operations
Vehicle Incentives and Disincentives
Fleet Incentives and Disincentives
Alternative Fuel Measures
Vehicle and Fuels R&D (NQ)
TSM (NQ)/TDM/ Congestion Pricing
NQ Not Quantified
18
NYS Climate Action Plan
Transportation Policy Options
High Speed Rail (NQ) and Transit
Freight Strategies
Priority Growth Centers
Transit Oriented Development
Location Efficient Land Use
Intergovernmental/Regional Proposals(NQ)
19
Elements of Vehicle Technology
Operations
In 2035 nearly all new LDV are (near)zero
emissions (PHEVs, biofuels, hydrogen fuel
cell)
Implement statewide eco-driving program
Maintain/expand CANY and 511NY
HDV freight vehicle technology
improvements
20
Elements of Vehicle Incentives
and Disincentives
Feebate system for all new LDV purchased
in 2015
Vehicle registration fees based on ghg
emissions, rather than weight
Emission based tolling
21
Elements of Fleet Incentives and
Disincentives
Revolving loan fund program for fleet
owners (incl. school buses) to replace 3% of
fleet per year between 2015 and 2050.
22
Elements of Alternative Fuel Related
Measures and Infrastructure
Reduce carbon intensity of transportation
fuels of at least 10% by 2020.
23
Elements of Transportation
System Management
HOV lanes
CleanPass program
Traffic-calming measures
Improved traffic flow measures
Bicycle/pedestrian measures
24
Elements of Transportation
Demand Management
Ridesharing/online ridesharing matching
Car sharing
Park and ride lots
Parking pricing (on-street and off-street)
Employer based programs (telecommuting,
staggered work hours, compressed work
weeks)
25
Elements of Transportation
Demand
Congestion pricing in NYC metro area and
other urban areas in NYS.
26
Elements of Transit
Goals:
- reduce VMT growth rate to 0% by 2030
- reduce VMT by 10% of 2030 by 2050
- switch SOV travel upstate from 80% in
2010 to 50% in 2050
- switch SOV travel downstate from 50%
in 2010 to 20% in 2050
27
Elements of Transit
Strategies to attain goals:
-BRT
-Rail extensions
-Increase rail throughput
-Traction power reduction
- Smart card technology
-Expand park and ride lots
-Bike/ped initiatives
28
Elements of High Speed Rail
In NYS and Northeast Corridor
3 hour trip Bos to DC
Shift from air to rail
Continue to develop HSR in Empire Corridor
Undertake major investment study for HSR in
Northeast Corridor
29
Elements of Freight Strategies
Freight villages/urban distribution centers
Off-peak goods movement
Incentivize trailer on flat car routes
Prescreening at vehicle inspection stations
Dedicated clean truck lanes
Feeder barge container service
Marine highways to promote short-sea
shipping
30
Elements of Priority Growth
Centers
By 2030, 50% of new construction will be
in priority growth centers
Prioritize infrastructure and other funding to
priority growth areas
Planning grants for open space preservation
Prioritized permit and SEQRA review for
smart growth projects
31
Elements of Transit Oriented
Development
BRT in all urban areas
In MTA service area, 65% of new
development within close proximity and
accessible to transit
Public education and outreach
Tax credit/exemption for retail/development
within mile of transit hub
32
Elements of Location-Efficient
Land Use
Location efficient mortgage program
Gown/town land use synergies
Local food policy/urban agriculture
State economic development assistance for
jobs in close proximity to homes of
projected workforce
33
Elements on Intergovernmental
Proposals
Transportation Climate Intitiative
RGGI for land use
-municipal planning actions
- scoring/certification system
RGGI for transportation
-carbon impact test for transportation projects
-auction for emissions from transport sector
-regional pricing strategies
-inter-region freight initiatives
Federal Advocacy Program
34
Potential Revenue Mechanisms
CO2 emission based feebates
CO2 emission based registration fees
CO2 emission based tolls
Congestion Pricing
VMT tax
Fuel tax
Pay-as-you-drive insurance
Parking pricing
Freight fees 35
Analysis Results
36
Vehicle Technology 16.9 $7,894
Vehicle Incentives 2.4 ($2,382)
Fleet Incentives 0.8 ($751)
Alternative Fuels 8.5 $6,677
TDM 3.3 ($31,638)
Transit 6.1 $25,041
Freight 0.8 NQ
Priority Growth Centers 0.4 ($1,575)
TOD 0.7 ($4,959)
Location Efficient Land Use 1.5 ($11,186)
Total 41.4 ($12,879)
(2011-2030)
Emission Strategy GHG Reductions Net Present Value
(MMtCO2e) Cost/Savings
(Million $2005)
Next Steps
Analyze/address comments
Analyze strategy bundles
- intra-sector
- inter-sector
Direction from Governors Office
www.nyclimatechange.us
37
Questions?
John Zamurs, Ph.D.
(518) 457-5646
jzamurs@dot.state.ny.us