Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario February 24, 2014 Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario Foley and Green Wage Patterns: What are they? How can we interpret them? Paper gives careful and detailed description of available evidence Despite serious data problems, interesting patterns are documented and a tentative picture emerges Focus is on education, but major differences in male and female patterns are also documented Important feature special to Canada may be the effects of a resource boom, but how will this play out in the future? Neither canonical simple skill model, nor computer driven task model t well for Canada Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario Foley and Green Human Capital and Inequality Paper discusses role of human capital in inequality mainly through decomposition approach to within and between education group inequality in wages Within group inequality is very large and very important for explaining changes over time Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario Foley and Green Implications for Human Capital Policy and Inequality Implications for potential impact of human capital policy, based on papers interpretation of the evidence discussed with respect to two areas Early childhood targeted programs: paper provides an interesting discussion related to heterogeneity and skill types - a complicated issue to predict effects on inequality University: based on the interpretation of the evidence, paper suggests that simple expansion of the number of BAs cannot be counted on as a policy to reduce inequality and emphasizes caution Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario Foley and Green Comments I: A Simple Human Capital Prices and Quantities Lens Wages for different individuals may vary because of: Variation in amounts/types of human capital they have to rent or sell Variation in the rental rates or prices they receive for what they have to rent or sell Question: Is source of inequality (changes) mainly due to: Inequality (changes) in per capita quantities/types of human capital supplied Variation in rental rates or prices paid to rent human capital Role of Human Capital Policy depends on answer Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario Foley and Green Comments II: Decomposition into Prices and Quantities Useful addition for policy: a decomposition of the wage patterns into quantities/types and prices - not easy Within group inequality (changes) may be largely quantity inequality (changes): makeup of groups changes over time Paper reference to downward wage rigidities for older lower skill workers: possible price rigidity in Canada for this group (Bowlus and Robinson) Evidence of downward pressure on the high skill price from an immigration shock over the 1980-2000 period (BR) consistent with Aydemir and Borjas Male-female wage (change) differences? A large part quantity due to longer planned labour market period? Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario Foley and Green Comments III: Policy Areas Discussed in Foley and Green Child targeted: special interventions discussed in paper vs. broader nancing and school production function policies: Policy shifts to province wide nancing (Ontario) equalizing? Are policy choices for school production functions creating differences between males and females? Between cohorts (Green and Riddell)? Can they affect inequality by aiming for more equal outcomes? University: Are new marginal students different quantity/type? (BR) Are they really more similar to, say, college students? Cascade or appropriate allocation? University vs college: Canadas greater emphasis on college (vs. US) more equalizing? Why do we have this policy? What do we know about its effects on inequality? Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario Foley and Green Comments IV: Expanded View of Human Capital Policy Areas Immigration/human capital policy link - to bring in more human capital (quantity), but can also affect inequality via skill price effects - magnitudes unclear Evidence from US: mobile immigrants protect less mobile native born from local labour market shocks Training or retraining issues: Increased turnover/mobility investigated as source of increased inequality for US - specic capital issues. Evidence for Canada? Evidence (Stephen Jones) that emphasis shift in policy for displaced workers from re-training to job search assistance for existing (even if declining demand) skill may be benecial - transferability between different but close occupations Chris Robinson University of Western Ontario Foley and Green