Sie sind auf Seite 1von 172

FROST

& S U L L I VA N

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
An IESA - Frost & Sullivan Report

Supported by the Department of Electronics & Information Technology,


Ministry of Communications & Information Technology
Government of India

Copyright 2014, India Electronics & Semiconductor Association

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Report released by

Shri J. Satyanarayana, IAS

Secretary
Department of Electronics & Information Technology
Ministry of Communications & Information Technology
Government of India

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Copyright 2014, India Electronics & Semiconductor Association

India Electronics & Semiconductor Association


Prestige Terminus II, Unit-G-02, 901, Ground Floor,
Civil Aviation Road, (HAL Old Airport Exit Road),
Konena Agrahara, Bangalore - 560017
Phone: +91 80 4147 3250
Facsimile: +91 80 4122 1866
Email: research@iesaonline.org
Website: www.iesaonline.org

IESA is the premier trade body representing the Indian Electronic System Design and Manufacturing ESDM industry and has represented it since
2005. It has over 200 members - both domestic and multinational enterprises. IESA is committed towards building global awareness for the Indian
ESDM industry and supporting its growth through focused initiatives in developing the ecosystem. This is through publishing credible data,
networking events and alliances with other international associations IESA works closely with the Government as a knowledge partner on the
sector, both at the centre and at the state level.
www.iesaonline.org
The material in this publication is copyrighted. No part of this book can be reproduced either on paper or on electronic media without permission
in writing from the publisher. Requests for permission to reproduce portions of it should be sent to the IESA at the above address.
First print: January 2014
Published by:
India Electronics & Semiconductor Association, Bangalore
Edited by:
Debanjan Sinha, IESA
Designed by:
Cocoon Creative Concepts, Bangalore

COPYRIGHT
All content included in this study, such as text, graphics, logos, images, data compilations, etc. is the property of India Electronics & Semiconductor
Association (IESA). The study is for customers internal use and not for general publication or disclosure to third parties. No part of this study may
be given, lent, resold, or disclosed to non-customers or exploited for any commercial purposes. Furthermore, the Study in its entirety or any part
cannot be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording,
or otherwise, without the prior written consent of IESA.

DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES AND LIMITATION OF LIABILITY


This study is provided by IESA on an as is and as available basis. IESA has provided information that is provided by market participants, survey
respondents and secondary research of publicly available information. IESA takes no responsibility for any incorrect information supplied to us
by market participants (manufacturers or users). Quantitative market information is based primarily on interviews and therefore is subject to
fluctuation. No claims are made for the accuracy or applicability of the information to any specific situation.
IESA makes no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, as to the information, content, materials, etc., included in this study.
The user of the study shall do so at the users sole risk. In the event the user intends taking any steps that could have an adverse effect on the users
business, IESA expressly states that the user should consult its legal, tax or other advisors, in order to protect the interests of the user, which maybe
specific from case to case. It is emphasized that IESA has participated in preparation of this study in an independent manner and should not be
construed as necessarily being reflective of the views or position of any individual member company of the IESA or of the representatives of such
member companies that may serve on the IESAs executive council or other member forums.
To the full extent permissible by applicable law, IESA disclaims all warranties, express or implied, including, but not limited to, implied warranties of
merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. IESA will not be liable for any damages of any kind arising from the use of this study, including,
but not limited to direct, indirect, incidental, punitive, and consequential damages.

Indian ESDM Market


ANALYSIS OF OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
An IESA - Frost & Sullivan Report

Assessment of challenges and identification of steps to develop ecosystem and


increase indigenous value addition for top 25 high priority electronic products
and corresponding components market

Supported by the Department of Electronics & Information Technology,


Ministry of Communications & Information Technology
Government of India

Acknowledgements
The research report on the Indian ESDM industry will be incomplete without acknowledging the contribution of all the
individuals associated with this exercise. These individuals have been untiring in their efforts to bring in their wealth of
experience and knowledge base to add value to the exercise. The research exercise could leverage their acumen and count on
their unwavering support till the stage of its completion.
India Electronics & Semiconductor Association and Frost & Sullivan would wish to thank them wholeheartedly for their valuable
time and guidance whenever we needed them.

MESSAGE
The India ESDM industry presents a huge opportunity and is expected to
emerge as a vital contributor to the nations economy. While we continue to dominate
the high-end semiconductor design space, we are also seeing a major shift in focus
from just design to end-to-end product conception and manufacturing to truly
dominate the global ESDM industry.
The Department of Electronics and Information Technology (DeitY),
Government of India has been actively working towards reviving indigenous
manufacturing in a big way. IESA has also played a prominent role in supporting the
Government in its initiatives.
In order to realize the vision of the ESDM industry, we would need to promote
the opportunities presented by the ESDM industry to attract investments in the sector.
As the electronic products have a pervasive role in all industry verticals, it is desirable
that the industry reports on the market opportunities in key products are carried out,
which would serve as useful reference to the various stakeholders, and, thereby, help
them in taking informed decisions on their plans of investing in India.
The IESA - Frost & Sullivan Report 2014 on the Indian ESDM MarketAnalysis of Opportunity and Growth Plan is a right step in this direction. This report
includes an extensive study and analysis of the top 25 high priority electronic
products and their related components in the Indian ESDM industry. This report also
gives insightful information on resolving the current challenges and the
recommendations to move ahead.
I congratulate DeitY and IESA for putting together this important and timely
report for the benefit of all the stakeholders of the Indian ESDM industry. I am sure it
will help us in achieving our vision of taking India to global leadership in the ESDM
industry.

(KAPIL SIBAL)

Room No : 105, Sanchar Bhawan, 20 Ashoka Road, New Delhi - 110001


Phone: 91-11-23739191, 23372177 Fax: 91-11-23723330

Message
With the Indian ESDM industry is expected to touch the USD 400 billion
mark in the coming decade, the Government of India has identified the
electronics hardware manufacturing sector as a major thrust area for the
country. IESA has done a commendable job of catalysing the growth of the
domestic ESDM industry and is relentlessly working towards this objective.
Taking cognizance of the demands of the economy and the industry, the
Government of India has taken a number of steps to promote the Indian
ESDM industry.
The Department of Electronics & Information Technology (DeitY) and IESA,
as the Knowledge Partner to the Government, have brought out the report on
Indian ESDM Market Analysis of Opportunity and Growth Plan. This report
identifies the top 25 electronics product markets with large opportunities and
draws a roadmap for their growth. It also identifies the major components
used in these products and evaluates strategies to promote their ecosystem
in India.
I am sure that this credible report would be extremely valuable for decision
makers both in the government and the industry. I congratulate DeitY and
IESA for their excellent work in putting together this informative and timely
report.

(J. Satyanarayana)
New Delhi
January 02, 2014

W-11/68/2013-IPHW
January 06, 2014

Message
The Indian ESDM industry is poised for exponential growth. India, as one
of the biggest markets for electronics products, is at a crucial juncture
today. With companies from the world over vying for their share of the pie,
Indian companies today have the opportunity to dominate the global ESDM
landscape by catering to this enormous local demand. Product innovation
and manufacturing are the keys to capturing the market and establishing
market leadership.
In this regard, the IESA-Frost & Sullivan Report on Indian ESDM Market
Analysis of Opportunity and Growth Plan could not have come at a better
time. With awareness about domestic manufacturing at a new high, Indian
decision makers and the investors are looking for credible data on various
products and components that make up the ecosystem. The IESA-F&S
Report conducts an extensive study and SWOT analysis of the top 25 high
priority electronic products and their related components.
This Data is also invaluable for the industry and the investors looking to
capitalize on the opportunities available in the Indian ESDM industry. The
recommendations in the report will also help us to leapfrog the challenges
and quickly respond to market dynamics.
It is indeed heartening to note the single-minded focus that IESA brings
to promote the growth of the Indian ESDM industry through its various
initiatives.
I complement IESA in bringing out this timely report.
Yours Sincerely
New Delhi
January 06, 2014

(Dr. Ajay Kumar)

Table of Contents
Foreword 15
Preface

17

Executive Summary

19

Top 10 Products and Components Markets to Focus for


Near Term Local Value Addition Improvement

33

Mobile Handsets - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

39

Flat Panel Display TV - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

45

Notebooks - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

49

Desktops - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

53

Digital Camera - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

59

Inverters and UPS - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

65

Memory Cards and USB drives - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

71

4W EMS - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

75

LCD Monitor - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

79

Servers - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

85

Base Stations (BTS) - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

91

Power supplies - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

97

Set Top Boxes - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

101

Printers and MFDs - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

107

Router/Switches - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

113

Car Radio - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

117

CFL - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

121

Energy Meters - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

125

Digital Instrument Clusters (DICs) - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

129

Smart cards - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

135

GPON ONT - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

141

Tablets - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

145

LED Lighting - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

151

Payment Terminals - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

157

2W Ignition - Product and Ecosystem Analysis

163

Appendix 167

Foreword

The Indian electronics system design and manufacturing (ESDM) industry is at a huge inflection point.
From being predominantly consumption driven, the Indian ESDM industry has a major potential to
become a design led manufacturing industry. Concerted efforts from both the Government and the
industry are required to propel the Indian ESDM industry into one of the critical GDP contributors
in the near future.
The Indian Electronics and Semiconductor Association (IESA), a premier representative body for the
ESDM industry in India commissioned a full-fledged research in its efforts to map the current status
and future opportunities in the industry. The objective of the report was to establish the current
status of all the value chain components in the ESDM industry and identify the growth trends. This
exhaustive report developed by IESAs consulting partner, Frost & Sullivan, and released in early
2013 is the only authentic detailed report on the overall ESDM industry in India. As a next step, there
was the pertinent need to identify the high growth product markets within the overall electronics
industry and do a deep dive evaluation of the existing ecosystem for these products. This study
would help identify the appropriate initiatives needed for further developing the ecosystem for
these high priority products.
The Department of Electronics and Information Technology (DeitY) has been very active in
formulating and announcing various policy measures aimed at developing the ESDM industry in
India. To ensure the effective implementation of these policies and for directing the focus in the right
direction, this extended analysis of the top 25 high priority electronic products was commissioned
by IESA.
The report on the ecosystem SWOT analysis of the top 25 high priority products covers the following
product markets:
1.

Mobile Phones

14. Printers and MFD

2.

Flat Panel Display (FPD) TV

15. Routers and Switches

3. Notebooks

16. Car Radio

4. Desktops

17. CFL

5.

Digital Cameras

18. Energy Meters

6.

Inverters and UPS

19. Digital Instrument Clusters

7.

Memory Cards and USB Drives

20. Smart Cards

8.

4W EMS

21. PON, GPON ONT

9.

LCD Monitors

22. Tablets

10. Servers

23. LED Lighting

11. Base Stations

24. Payment Terminals

12. Power Supplies

25. 2W Ignition

13. Set Top Box

Preface

IESA is today recognized as the most credible voice of the Indian ESDM industry. As
the knowledge partner to the Government of India and the foremost trade body
representing the interests of over 200 member companies in the Indian ESDM
landscape, IESA regularly undertakes research and publication activities. The IESAFrost & Sullivan annual report on the Indian ESDM industry is one such report that
is much awaited and widely referred by decision makers in the government as well
as the industry.
The IESA- Frost & Sullivan report 2014 is the seventh publication since its inception
in 2005. This year we have conducted an extensive study and SWOT analysis on
the Top 25 high priority electronic products and their related components in the
Indian ESDM industry. As we aggressively promote indigenous manufacturing
and reduction of our dependence on imports, this report aims to uncover the
challenges associated with manufacturing these top 25 electronic products and
associated components domestically.
The findings of the report are interesting. And as always, we have proposed a range
of measures to overcome these challenges and kick-start high-value addition
manufacturing activities in a big way in India.
We sincerely hope that you will find these facts and statistics beneficial for strategic
decision making and join us in taking the right steps to further enrich the Indian
ESDM industry.

Mr. Sanjeev Keskar


Chairman

Mr. PVG Menon


President

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Executive Summary

The Indian electronics system design and manufacturing (ESDM) industry is one of the fastest growing sectors in the country.
Witnessing uninterrupted growth, the ESDM industry in India is globally renowned for its consumption potential. Changing
global landscapes in electronics design and manufacturing capabilities, and cost structures have turned the attention of global
companies towards India. Companies from around the world are looking to build local capabilities in India not just to serve the
resident market but also to cater to overseas markets.
This has resulted in the development of indigenous capabilities across the ESDM value chain in India. The different segments
within the ESDM industry are at varying stages of development. Similarly, various electronics applications markets such as
telecom electronics, automotive electronics, consumer electronics and industrial electronics, are at different stages of ecosystem
development. The focus is currently on providing the necessary impetus to take advantage of the dormant capabilities across the
various electronics markets and developing the missing links so as to make the local ESDM sector globally competitive.
The Indian ESDM industry was estimated to be $68.31 billion in 2012. The impressive guidance between 2011 and 2015 for this
industry is expected to result in a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 9.88 percent. The corresponding size of the industry
by 2015 is anticipated to be $94.2 billion. The following chart illustrates the total ESDM industry market growth:

India ESDM Industry Forecasts (2010-2015)


100

94.20

90
84.16

Revenues ($ Billion)

80

75.61

70
60

59.01

64.61

68.31

2011

2012

50
40
30
20
10
0
2010

2013

2014

2015

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

The ESDM industry in India comprises the following four key components:
1. Electronic Products
2. Electronic Components
3. Semiconductor Design
4. Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS)
Of the above, the first two represent products while the remaining highlight the services opportunities catering to the domestic
and export markets.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

19

Developing the Ecosystem is Crucial for Bridging


the Supply Demand Gap
Much of the domestic electronics consumption in the country is served through imports. This does not bode well for the economic
health of the country in the long term. Electronics imports, which are currently the third highest, next only to crude and gold,
accounted for nearly $30 billion in 2012, and are forecasted to scale past $50 billion in just 3 years. From a detailed assessment of
the electronics market, total market (TM) was estimated to be $44.81 billion in 2012, representing a growth of 7 percent over the
previous year. The TM is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.5 percent and reach revenues of $64.85 billion by 2015. Total domestic
market (TDM) for 2012 was estimated to be $17.07 billion, representing a growth of 11 percent over 2010. Growing a CAGR of 10.4
percent, the TDM is expected to scale to $22.66 billion by 2015.
The chart below represents the TM and TDM forecasts for the Indian electronics market.

India Electronics Product Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


70

64.85

60

TM: 11.5%

57.14

TDM (overall): 10.4%

50.61

50
40

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

39.21

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 12.3%

44.81

41.91

TDM (High value


add): 3.9%

30
20
10

4.12

15.27
3.74

15.44
3.55

17.07
3.62

10.55

11.54

11.89

13.46

14.67

2011

2012

22.68
4.35
18.33

15.57

0
2010

19.47
3.9

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Billion)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Billion)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Billion)

Note: Total market or TM refers to the domestic electronics consumption in India which therefore includes all locally manufactured and locally consumed
products as well as imports.
Total domestic market or TDM refers to the domestic production that caters to domestic demand. Value addition is classified into two broad categories:
1. Low/Medium Value Add: Includes negligible sourcing, minimal design activity, EMS, SKD and CKD assembly; corresponds to value addition of upto 50%
(<20% being low value add and 20%-50% being medium value add)
2. High Value Add: Includes high local sourcing, high levels of indigenous design and complete system manufacturing; corresponds to a value addition
of >50%.

Some of the key observations include:


65 percent of the current demand for electronics products is met by imports. Imports are likely to grow from $28 billion in 2011
to $42 billion in 2015 in the absence of intervention
High value added manufacturing is likely to be restricted to less than 7 percent in 2015. This represents a cumulative opportunity
loss of $200 billion between 2011 and 2015 in the absence of intervention
Increasing total domestic manufacturing to 50 per cent by 2015 will create additional direct employment for nearly 2 lakh
people
There is a very pertinent need to recognize the ESDM industry as a priority sector and provide a favourable environment for its
growth

20

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Government as an Enabler for the ESDM Sector


The Indian Government, through the Department of Electronics and Information Technology (DeitY), has instituted a number of
forward-looking policies to foster the growth of the Indian electronics ecosystem. These policies are aimed at holistic development
of the ESDM industry by offering specific incentives for the development of each element in the value chain. These forward looking
policy measures include:

National Policy on Electronics (NPE): The objective of the NPE is to create an ecosystem for a globally competitive
ESDM sector in the country by attracting investment of about USD 100 billion and generating employment for around 28 million
people at various levels. The ultimate aim of the policy is for the Indian ESDM sector to develop core competencies in strategic and
core infrastructure sectors like telecommunications, automobile, avionics, industrial, medical, solar, information and broadcasting,
railways, intelligent transport systems, etc.
National Manufacturing Policy (NMP): The government has brought out the NMP to increase the growth of the
manufacturing sector to 12 to 14 percent over the medium term and enable manufacturing to contribute at least 25 percent to
the National GDP by 2022.
Modified Special Incentive Package Scheme (MSIPS): The MSIPS aims to offset cost disabilities and attract
investments in the India ESDM sector through an INR 10,000 crore corpus. Subject to certain investment thresholds, subsidies to the
tune of 20 per cent for SEZ units and 25 per cent for non-SEZ units will be given on capital expenditure along with reimbursement
of excise/CVD.

Setting up semiconductor fabrication units: The Government of India has received the applications of two
consortia (IBM, Jaypee Group, TowerJazz; STMicroelectronics, HSMC) to establish 2 semiconductor wafer fabrication units in Gujarat
and Noida with the aim of operating at 20 nm process node within two years of initial operations and reaching a capacity of at least
40,000 WSPM of at least 300 mm size. Various incentives are being offered by the government to this effect: 25 per cent subsidy
on capital expenditure and growth capital expenditure, reimbursement of CVD and excise duty, exemption from basic customs
duties and 200 per cent deduction on R&D activities, among other incentives such as reimbursement of training costs, deduction
for income tax and various forms of viability gap funding.
Electronic Manufacturing Clusters (EMCs): The government is offering financial support for the development
of EMCs. For greenfield EMCs, assistance will be given up to 50 per cent of the project cost subject to a ceiling of INR 50 crore for
every 100 acres of land. For brownfield EMCs, assistance will be given up to 75 percent of the project cost subject to a ceiling of
INR 50 crore.
Electronics Development Fund (EDF): The EDF aims to create an ecosystem of R&D in electronics in India which
will promote IP generation and large scale manufacturing, while simultaneously fostering the growth of the ESDM ecosystem. The
focus of EDF will largely revolve around small and medium enterprises (SME) in line with the goal of promoting innovation and job
creation.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

21

The chart below captures the salient features of the various government initiatives to promote the Indian ESDM sector.

Indian ESDM Industry: Snapshot of Government Policies

To attract
investment of
USD 100 billion
and generate
employment of
28 million

NPEs mission
is to promote
manufacturing
and R&D across
the value chain,
especially in
strategic
electronics

Aim to reach
20nm process
node within 2 years
of initial phase,
and reach at least
40,000 WSPM of
300 mm

25% subsidy on
capex; CVD and
excise reimbursed;
BCD exempted;
200% R&D
deduction; etc.

IBM, Jaypee,
and TowerJazz;
and STMicro
electronics and
HSMC got approval
in principle
to establish 2
semiconductor
fabs

Financial support
will be offered for
development of
EMCs to aid growth
of ESDM through
innovation and
entrepreneurship

NPEs vision is
to create
a globally
competitive ESDM
ecosystem to
meet the countrys
needs and serve
the international
market.

MSIPS makes
available a corpus
of INR 10,000
crore to attract
investment in
ESDM

20% Capex
subsidy for SEZ
units; 25% Capex
subsidy for non-SEZ
units and CVD/
excise
reimbursed

EDF is a planned
scheme of DEITY to
create ecosystem
of electronics R&D
and promote IP
generation

Focus will largely


be on SMEs in line
with the goals
of promoting
innovation and job
creation

Brownfield: 75 per
cent of project cost
subject to ceiling of
INR 50 crore

Scope of policy
includes:
nanoelectronic,
semiconductor
fab, solar, LED,
LCD, passive
components,
and EMS

Greenfield: 50
percent of project
cost subject to
ceiling of INR 50
crore for every 100
acres of land

Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Identification of High Priority Product Markets


Holistic development of the ecosystem can be the panacea to all of the woes of the Indian ESDM industry. However, application of
the Pareto principle at a broad level suggests that identifying the products that accounts for nearly 80 per cent of the electronics
market revenues and provide the necessary support and incentives required to eliminate the disability costs associated with local
manufacturing/value addition in these products shall enable enormous development in the overall ecosystem. Initiatives aimed at
promoting indigenous value addition in the top 20-25 percent of products is expected to have a cascading effect on the remaining
75-80 percent of the products. In line with the Pareto principle, it is observed that the top 20 product markets accounts for 80
percent of the overall electronics TM revenues for 2012, as indicated by the chart next page.

22

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Indian Electronics Market: Top 20 Products by TM Revenues (2012)
Product

Revenue
% of
Total

Product

Revenue
% of Total

Mobile Phones

38.85%

Base Stations

1.61%

FPD TV

7.91%

Power Supplies

1.28%

Notebooks

5.54%

Set Top Box

1.13%

Desktops

4.39%

Printers and MFDs

1.06%

Digital Camera

2.73%

Routers/Switches

1.05%

Inverters and UPS


Memory cards and
USB drives
4W EMS

2.65%

Car Radio

1.02%

CFL

1.00%

LCD Monitors

2.02%

0.66%

Servers

1.72%

Energy Meters
Digital Instrument
Clusters
Smart Cards

Total of Top 10
Products

70.60%

2012 Electronics Product


TM = $44.81 Billion

2.46%
2.33%

Total of Top 20
Products

0.58%
0.52%
80.52%

Mobile Phones

FPD TV

Notebooks

Desktops

Digital Camera

Inverters and UPS

Memory cards and USB drives

4W EMS

LCD Monitors

Servers

Base Stations

Power Supplies

Set Top Box

Printers and FPDs

Routers / Switches

Car Radio

CFL

Energy Meters

Digital Instrument Clusters

Smart Cards
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Beyond just these top 20 products, it is also essential to identify as high priority those product markets that are currently not
amongst the top 20 in their contribution to the overall revenues, but have growth trends in excess of even these top 20, thus
indicating their potential to be significant product markets by 2015. Identifyingfive such products with significant CAGR trends and
providing them the necessary impetus for ecosystem development is also important for the growthof the ESDM industry. The chart
below highlights five such products across industry segments that have the potential, and hence, deserve the thrust.

Indian Electronics Market: Top 5 Products by with Highest CAGR (till 2015)
Industrial Electronics

Automotive Electronics

LED Lighting (CAGR = 38%)

2W Ignition (CAGR = 10%)

Telecommunications

IT/OA

PON, GPON ONT (CAGR = 120%)

Tablets (CAGR = 54%)


Payment Terminals
(CAGR = 19%)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

23

SWOT Analysis of the 25 High Priority Product Markets


The characteristics of these product markets with regard to the Indian electronics ecosystem vary very widely. Hence, they need to
be evaluated thoroughly with regard to their strengths, weaknesses and growth prospects among other factors in order to gain a
thorough understanding of their unique market dynamics. This report contains detailed evaluation of the market dynamics, current
ecosystem availability, disability factors restricting local value addition and future potential for these 25 high priority products. The
chart below highlights the consolidated strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats for these 25 high priority products.

Consolidated SWOT Analysis of the Ecosystem for the High Priority 25 Product Markets
STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge Consumption Market.

Significant Local Demand as a Influencer for Investment


Attraction

Strong Design and R&D Capability in Select Products Auto electronics, industrial etc.

Rising Manufacturing Costs in China Leading to India as


Alternate Destination

Government Schemes a Good Demand Generator - NKN,


NOFN, tablets for education sector, digitization policy,
broadband push etc.

Government Policies - MSIPS, EMC, local FABs etc Favour


Attracting Manufacturing Investments

Adequately Developed EMS Industry - to be a significant


contributor to ecosystem development.

Export Potential - huge consumption market in ME;


emerging growth markets of North Africa and Latin
America.

Enormous ResidentTalent in Semiconductor Design and


Embedded Software

Existing R&D Capabilities can be Encouraged to Develop


Made in India Products and Generate Local IP

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on Imports for all Critical Components - Semi


battery, LCD displays, electronic components etc

Established Manufacturing Ecosystem in China poses a


Major Threat.

Convoluted Tax and Duty Structure - Imports made


Cheaper than Local Products.

Emergence of other Low Cost Manufacturing Destinations


like Vietnam.

Debilitating FTAs with Thailand, Japan.

Inadequate / Fledgling Ecosystem for Components and


Raw Materials.

Lack of Subsidies/Incentives for Support Industries makes


Local Manufacturing Costlier
Inadequate Domestic Standards andTesting Facilities.
Slow and Delayed Policy Implementation

Infrastructure Inadequacy as Demanded by Certain


Sectors - Electricity, Water, Utilities etc,
Depreciation of the Rupee as a Short Term Threat.

Inadequate Local Product Innovation and IP Creation

Component Ecosystem for the 25 High Priority Product Markets


Research indicates that the most crucial elements for the development and sustenance of a robust ecosystem include:
A healthy consumption economy with export potential
Design, development and R&D capabilities
Availability of raw materials to locally source
Infrastructure adequacy
Favourable policy environment
Availability of necessary skill sets
Local availability of components/raw materials is considered very significant for achieving high local value addition in any
product manufacturing. Moreover local supply of components ensures faster turnaround time and lesser production cost; this
is why globally, component supply/manufacturing is closely located along with product manufacturing locations. Absence of a
component ecosystem is a major disability in electronics product manufacturing. To evaluate the significance of this, the research
did a detailed assessment of the local ecosystem for the top four components in each of the 25 high priority products. The table
below provides a snapshot of the 25*4 matrix.

24

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
S.No
1

Mobile Phone

Memory (22%)

Display (19%)

FPD TV

Display( 50%)

ICs ( 15%)

Notebooks

Display (18%)

Processor (15%)

Component 3
Application Processor /
System on Chip (15%)
Electromechanicals (
15%)
Motherboard (12%)

Desktop

Processor (15%)

Monitor (15%)

Motherboard (12%)

HDD (10%)

Digital Camera

Lens (30%)

Image sensor (15%)

Battery (10%)

Inverter, UPS

Transformer(50%)

Heat sink(10%)

Microcontroller(5%)

Memory Cards,
Drives

Image processor (15%)


Power
Semiconductor(10%)

Flash Memory chip (80%) Microcontroller/ASIC(5%) Crystal Oscillator (5%)

USB connector (5%)

EMS 4 W

Mechanicals - Pump,
Injectors (40-50%)

Microcontroller (10%)

LCD Monitor

Display( 50%)

ICs ( 10%)

Power ( 5%)

10

Servers

Processor (25%)

Electromechanicals (
15%)
Memory (25%)

Motherboard (15%)

HDD (12%)

11

BTS

IC (40%)

Power Amplifier (15%)

Power supply (12%)

Antenna (10%)

12

Power Supplies

Transformer (30-40%)

Power Semiconductor

Rectifier diodes

13

Set Top Box

IC (MPU,Memory,Tuner) PCB

14

Printers & MFDs Photosensitive Drum


Routers /
Software & OS (50%)
Switches

15

Product

Component 1

Component 2

Analogs+Sensors (20%)

Component 4
Camera
Power ( 5%)
HDD (10%)

Fusing Roller

Transformer

PCB
Plastics and
Mechanicals
Lens and scanner

Processor (10%)

Memory (10%)

Electromechanicals

PCB ( 10%)

Power ( 10%)

Transformer (10-15%)
LCD Display and
backlight (15%)

Transistor (10%)

Microcontroller (10%)

LCD (7%)

Power supplies

16

Car Radio

ICs ( 30%)

17

CFL Lamps

Capacitor (20%)

Electromechanicals (
20%)
Glass tube (20%)

18

Energy Meters

System on Chip (20%)

Transformer (20%)

19

Digital
Instrument
Cluster

Stepper motor (20%)

PCB (15%)

20

Smart cards

ICs (62.5%)

21

GPON ONT

PETG/Polycarbonate
body (20%)
Optical Module (35-40%) System on Chip (15%)

22

Tablet

Display (38%)

Memory (10%)

Battery (10%)

23

LED Lights

LED (25%)

Driver (20%)

Heatsink (15%)

24

Payment
Terminals

25

2 W Ignition

Communication Module
LCD/TFT Display (16%)
(16%)
Power semiconductor
Microcontrollers (20%)
(20%)

Software OS (10%)
Power Supply (8%)

Super Capacitor (10%)

Antenna ( wire or
printed) (7.5%)
Memories (5%)
Processor (10%)
Thermal interface
material (7%)

Printers (16%)

Processor (14%)

CDI Capacitors (10%)

Transformer (10%)

The percentage in brackets in the table above indicates the contribution of each component to the overall product bill of materials
(BoM). The most common components that are within the top 4 BoM contributors across these 25 products are the following:
Power devices and semiconductors
Processor
Memory
Printed circuit board (PCB)
LCD display
Transformer

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

25

Semiconductors: As observed, 3 of these top 5 key components (power semiconductor, memory and processor) include

semiconductor chips and devices. Currently, the absence of a local fab implies complete reliance on imports for these components.
The FAB initiative that is expected to usher atleast 2 semiconductor fabs in India in the foreseeable feature shall help in making
these core chips available locally. Given the numerous applications that require processing capability, creating an India-specific
processor design, and fabricating them in local chips shall ensure a significant contribution to the local value addition.

Semiconductor Ecosystem Assessment


CHALLENGES
Global hub for VLSI and board
design
Strong third party design
service providers
Huge domestic electronics
consumption market

Very limited IP creation

Fund for Fabless Promotion

Restricted number of Fabless


companies

Encourage ATMP investments


under MSIPS

Inadequate ATMP facilities

Expedite the setting up of 2


Approved Fabs

Absence of Fab

Incentivize local sourcing of Semi

Presence of R&D and design


centres of the top 23 global
semi majors

Local Fabs to fabricate chips in


high demand

STRENGTHS

RECOMMENDATIONS
Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Printed Circuit Board (PCB): India has a good number of PCB manufacturers in the country. However the local capability
is restricted to producing single, dual and multi layered PCBs of upto 8-12 layers. The PCBs needed in most of the 25 high priority
products, especially in telecom, consumer and automotive applications, require complex multi-layered PCBs that are not available
locally, thus necessitating imports. Building on the existing capability, special initiatives need to be targeted to encourage
indigenous design and manufacturing of multi-layered PCBs of upto 64+ layers. This will ensure local sourcing of PCBs for product
manufacturers, thus contributing to higher value addition; this shall also meet the requirements of the local EMS players who
source PCBs in bulk.
PCB Ecosystem Assessment
CHALLENGES
PCB manufacturing capability
exists locally
Strengths in single, dual layers
Capability to do multiple
layers too for less complex
applications
Export market exists

Inability to compete with


Chinese imports on cost
Chinese exporters get 17%
export incentive

High import tariff on PCB


imports. Nil duty on raw material
imports.

Working capital challenges

Interest subsidies/low interest


loans for PCB manufacturers

Excise and customs duty


procedural issues

Quicker, easier reimbursement of


CENVAT
Export subsidies

STRENGTHS

RECOMMENDATIONS
Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

26

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
LCD Displays: In the case of LCD displays, India possesses local design and manufacturing capabilities for some of the end
use products. However, the cost of production of panels and its technology-intensive nature have kept India void of an LCD
display assembling/manufacturing unit hitherto. Other challenges include the existing duty structure which makes importing a
cheaper option for displays. Given the high volume demand anticipated in the various products that consume displays, it becomes
pertinent to grow the ecosystem for LCD displays locally.
LCD Display Ecosystem Assessment
CHALLENGES
Huge consumption demand

Ecosystem doesnt prevail

End use product


manufacturing through OEMS
and EMS exists

Inverted duty structure

Favourable incentives for panel


manufacturing available under
MSIPS

Debilitating FTAs with


Thailand, Japan etc
Infrastructural challenges

Relocation of a brownfield Gen 5


fab
Preferential excise duty for panel
manufacturing; tax rebates.
Hike in import duty of finished
display imports
Fund to encourage local
technology development

STRENGTHS

RECOMMENDATIONS
Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Transformers: Transformers belong to the larger family of wound components. This is a market that is dominated by small
scale indigenous manufacturers as it requires limited infrastructure and inexpensive labour. Consumer and industrial electronics
segments drive the demand for transformers and, owing to cost advantage, transformers are predominantly imported from China,
Taiwan and South Korea. Reliance on import for raw materials, specifically copper, is a major handicap for Indian transformer
manufacturers in achieving faster turnaround time as well as lower production costs.
Transformer Ecosystem Assessment
CHALLENGES
Huge consumption demand
End use product
manufacturing through OEMS
and EMS exists
Local design know how and
manufacturing technology
skills exists

STRENGTHS

Local landed cost of


production high: makes
imports cheaper

Preferential excise duty for


transformer manufacturing: tax
rebates.

Reliance on imports for


copper

Subsidies on logistic costs of


copper import to reduce product
landed cost

Delayed turn around time due


to copper import time

Special interest loans for working


capital for SME

RECOMMENDATIONS
Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

27

Product Specific Recommendations


Each of the 25 high priority product markets has varying levels of developed and underdeveloped ecosystems and while there
are some common initiatives that are required for eliminating the disabilities associated with local value addition across the 25
products, there are certain specific steps that need to be taken product-wise to enable holistic development of an ecosystem
that services the local market and holds export potential as well. Here we summarize some of these key measures that shall help
provide the necessary impetus to these high priority product markets.

Mobile phones
Offering incentives to develop India as a hub for mobile phones batteries
Developing policies to address the disability costs associated with local manufacturing through
- exemption of CVD on imported capital equipment and excise duty on capital equipment sourced locally;
- levying of a tax equivalent to CST on imported mobile phones;
- basic customs duty and CVD exemption from on all imported capital equipment for manufactureof mobile phone parts and
components.
Developing India-specific certifications to ensure quality of products. This would also act as a non-tariff barrier that would
incentivize local manufacturing.

Flat panel TV
Encouraging domestic assembly, including low value add activities,to boost local sourcing and generate employment in the
long run.
Setting up a center for excellence for LCD and LED displaysto encourage indigenous development
Providing incentives under the MSIPs scheme to bring FPD panel assembly activity into India.

Notebooks, Desktops, Servers


Simplification of the reimbursement process for claiming tax credit on input duty paid
Incentivizing manufacturing of motherboard and LCD displays for laptops / desktops by exempting their individual components
from basic customs duty and excise duty, or offering preferential excise duty.

Digital Cameras
Need for Duty restructuring - The CENVAT for digital cameras is around 16% and an excise cess of 2% against an import duty of
10% makes it more expensive to assemble or manufacture locally.
The component ecosystem and technology leadership for this segment being non-existent in India, focus can be on developing
batteries for digital cameras rather than the product itself.

Inverters and UPS


Encouraging local manufacturing by lowering excise duty and making the process of reimbursement of tax credit easier and
quicker.
Making appropriate R&D investment to gain expertise in the design and manufacturing of UPS with high power rating. The
planned EDF corpus of DeitY could be an appropriate way of implementing this measure.
Providing energy star ratings under the aegis of Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE) shall help in fostering growth of solar powered
UPS as well as power efficient UPS and inverters. The higher rated UPS/inverters would have more sophisticated electronics and
semiconductors, thus boding well for the semiconductor market as well.

Memory Cards and USB Drives


Considering the low margins and the magnitude of investment required to set up a flash manufacturing facility, it seems logical
to divert the available resources towards other areas that would offer greater and faster returns on investment.

28

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Automotive sub systems (CDI, Digital Instrument Clusters, 4W EMS, Car Radio)
Setting up of an automotive EMC possibly near Chennai or in the NCR to completely indigenize the manufacturing of 2W ignition
units.
Incentivizing the manufacturing of PCBs and LCD displays by offering preferential excise duties or greater rates of CENVAT credit.
Leveraging the MSIPS and EMC policies to set up an automotive EMC near the Bangalore-Chennai area to indigenize the
manufacturing of instrument clusters.
Attracting investment through the MSIPS policy, preferential excise duties or greater rates of CENVAT to provide impetus for
manufacturemicrocontrollers in the country; the setting up of the two semiconductor fabs in the country would prove to be a
great enabler in this regard.
Setting up a center of excellence for car infotainment needs within an auto electronics EMC to encourage indigenous design
through frugal innovation.
Setting up of auto electronics cluster under EMC either in Chennai or Pune with facilities such as incubation center to promote
innovation research, testing laboratories and all other essential infrastructure.

LCD Monitor
Encouraging LCD manufacturing by offering preferential excise duty rates and facilitating easier reimbursement of tax credit.
Investing in R&D for new display technologies to hedge against any investment made in TFT LCD display fabrication.
Encouraging local sourcing of electromechanical components, SMPS transformers and the plastic enclosures used in the
assembly of LCD monitors by offering tax credits for vendors who source these components locally.
Encouraging competencies in the manufacture of LCD displays, especially for tablet and laptop applications. This would require
investment in generation 5 fabs, which are mostly being used for these end user applications. Also, generation 5 fabs are
growing at only 3 percent a year while higher generation fabs are clocking almost 26 percent annual growth. This could mean
that relocationof a generation 5 fab to a brownfield location could be done at an affordable level of investment.

Base stations (BTS)


Incentivizing indigenous IP with preference in government procurement.
Exploring India-specific standardsfrom a security standpoint.
Decreasing the in-land freight costs from 17 percent to about 4 percent through subsidies to reduce costs for indigenous
manufacturing and encourage local value addition.
Encouraging domestic manufacturers to build their capabilities to design and develop power supplies and antennae used in the
BTS.

Power supplies
The component duty currently ranges between 12.36 to 16.85 percent which is considered high for the industry especially since
the Indian market is a price sensitive market. Offering subsidies for manufacturers who manufacture in bulk volumes.
Ensuring continual availability of copper through the year at subsidized prices to reduce the overall cost of the components.
Setting up regional level testing labs for testing imported goods.

Set top boxes


Indigenous manufacturers need pay a sales tax in addition to local VAT (~12.5 percent) that makes locally manufactured products
more expensive than imported STBs. Issuance of Form C to alleviate the payment of sales tax in addition to local VAT.
Increasing the import duty for STBs would help create a level playing field between global suppliers and indigenous
manufacturers; it has been observed that the hike in the same during 2012-13 budget was not sufficient for this purpose.
Export subsidies to create mini clusters for remote manufacturing of the various components that go into a set top box including
RCA cables, remote control and passive components.
Optimizing the tax structure being levied on the DTH industry and cable operators to alleviate the operational challenges being
faced by them.
Offering special low interest loans would help sustain growth and increase the amount of domestic value addition.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

29

Printers and MFDs


Offering tax credits on R&D activity in high-end laser printing and MFDs. The government could also facilitate the formation of
joint ventures between indigenous players and global OEMs to take advantage of latent manufacturing capabilities; there could
be export opportunities to the Middle East, Sri Lanka, and Africa due to Indias geographical location.
Incentivizing local value addition for components such as transformers, PCBs and cabling, that are currently being manufactured
in India, by offering preferential excise duties and greater CENVAT credit for suppliers.

Routers/switches
Creation of funds for local technology know-how development and incentivizing local IP generation
Focusingon promoting local manufacturing of components such as complex PCBs for routers by either offering preferential
excise duty rates for the manufacturing of complex PCB designs or offering greater rates of CENVAT.
Prioritizing /inviting investment in PCBs manufacturing under the MSIPS scheme and offer associated benefits to those investors.

CFL
Reducing VAT for CFL manufacturing to zero per cent across all states
Developing ISI certifications to standardise manufacturing of CFLs in the country.

Energy meters
Development of standards for manufacturing of smart meters, create a R&D fund for innovations in smart meters, and also create
opportunities for manufacturing of key individual components such as communication modules and transceivers.
Incentivizing export duty and establishing India as an export hub by encouraging product modifications suiting international
requirements
Setting up an R&D fund for smart meters to encourage SME manufacturers to invest in innovation
Incentivize manufacturing of communication modules and transceivers
Global marketing support for cash-strapped SME suppliers

Smart cards
Incentivizing software development and customization services
Creation of indigenous standards that are application specific with the aim to ensure higher security in the smart cards consumed
in the country.
Setting up of subsidized testing facilities for EMV compliance
The Indian ecosystem has enormous skillset availability in the software and integration part of smart cards which could be
incentivized through offering appropriate R&D deductions.
Encouraging local sourcing of plastic (PETG) by offering preferential excise rates when raw materials are locally sourced.

GPON ONT
Creating supportive policies like reduced excise duties to encourage domestic manufacturing.

Tablets
Repealing the levy of SAD individual electronic components or individual components of LCD monitors and motherboards.
Incentivizing the manufacture of motherboard and LCD monitors by exempting their individual components from basic customs
duty and excise duty, or offering preferential excise duty.
Simplifying the reimbursement process for claiming tax credit on input duty paid
Creating a centre of excellence for tablets to consolidate the different design efforts in the private and public sectorsto develop
world-class commercial Made in India tablets.

LED Lighting
Restrictive tax structure with a high VAT of 14.5 percent obstructs LED lighting penetration. Reduction in the VAT and a uniform
VAT structure across all states will increase penetration.
Mandating BIS technical specifications to standardize manufacturing processes and products. Imported LED lamps should also
be tested rigorously to prevent dumping of goods in the local market.

30

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Payment terminals
Funds allocation for providing domain training in the payment industry for people in the manufacturing sector of POS and
payment enabling products.
Offering funds to enable the Indian IT entrepreneurs to develop the EMV Kernel targeting various emerging platforms including
Android
Setting up of Accredited Labs for EMV Certification and PCI-PTS test facilities and provide easy, cost effective and productamortizable testing access to device manufacturers.
Current excise is 14 percent while customs duty is 12 percent. Reduction in sales, VAT and excise duty to attract more manufacturers
to consider local manufacturing.
Encouraging the usage of no frills debit cards with no surcharge; Tax rebate to merchants if at least 50 per cent of their transactions
in value terms are through cards.
Introduction of standards for products available in the market to increase customer confidence and allow manufacturers to build
scale simultaneously.

The chart below illustrates some common recommendations beyond the specific observations product-wise listed above for
ecosystem development of the high priority products.

Funding for R&D and


Indigenous Technology
Development Centres
of Excellence

Offering Tiered CENVAT


credit based on value
addition trends

Developing and
Mandating Indigenous
Standards for
all Products and
Components

Creation of non tariff


Import Barriers

Reduction in Excise
Duties; Increase in
Abatement rate

Common
Recommendations

Provision of subsidies /
Low interest loans to
SME Manufacturers

Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Conclusions
The top 25 high priority products are significant contributors to the overall electronics consumption in India. Providing a favourable
environment for developing the ecosystem for these in the country can contribute to high value adding local manufacturing of
these products. Continuing domestic consumption, changing global supply chain dynamics and the slew of policy measures to
support indigenous manufacturing are positively influencing local electronics design and manufacturing; and the time now is
most opportune. Ensuring hassle-free implementation of the new initiatives and taking corrective measures on restrictive policies
shall go a long way in building confidence in the Indian business environment among global companies and usher manufacturing
investments into the country. Having identified the 25 high priority products and also studied the ecosystem SWOT for each
of these, the next steps entail addressing the challenges for ecosystem development for these 25 products, which implies
addressing the issues for 80 percent of the electronics market in India. Developing the ecosystem for local design, development
and manufacturing for 80 percent of the electronics market locally will suffice to make India a prominent leader in the $1.8 trillion
global electronics market.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

31

The chart below captures the key messages from the research on the ecosystem SWOT of the high priority 25 products:
Key Messages: 25 High Priority Products Ecosystem SWOT
Top 25 high priority products account for 82% of overall electronics consumption in India.
The top 5 alone account for 60% of the overall electronics consumption.
69% of local consumption of the top 25 priority products currently met through imports.
Local production to cater to the same 31% local demand in 2015 too in the absence of intervention.
Inadequate components/raw materials ecosystem, convoluted tax and duty structure, debilitating FTAs, inadequate
domestic product standards, lack of local IP, procedural hurdles in availing policy benefits are the challenges
to the ecosystem development for the priority products.
Power electronics/supply, Processor, LCD Display, Memory and PCB feature among the top 4 components
contributing to the product BoM across majority of the top 25 high priority products. Initiatives are needed
to build ecosystem for these components locally.
Effective and speedy policy implementations, incentivizing component ecosystem, restructuring tax/duty structures,
imposing non tariff trade barriers, developing indigenous standards are some of the measures identified to promote
ecosystem development for the high priority 25 products.

Strategic Recommendations
Aim to meet 50 percent of demand for 25 high priority products by local high value added manufacturing by 2018
Address >20 percent of the disability cost in producing the high priority products locally by normalizing duty structure and cost of
working capital
Provide subsidies / low interest loans to address working capital issues for SME manufacturers.
Focus on Energy meters, 2W EMS, LED lighting, payment terminals, inverters/UPS, CFL and smart cards for the short term. Existing
moderate value addition, high demand potential,and existing indigenous IP/design capability make them viable targets.
Focus on developing key components rather than the product itself for the following products - Mobile phones (battery/adaptor), FPD
TV (LCD panels), laptops (battery) and digital camera (battery) products where feasibility to develop a key component is more viable
and recommended than the product itself.
Focus on developing ecosystem for key components PCB, Memory, Processor, LCD Displays, Power Devices and Transformers.
Provide a single window system for quick clearance of applications under the MSIPS and EMC policies.
Skill Development Council to focus on developing skill sets needed in the ecosystem for the 25 high priority products.

32

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Top 10 Products and Components Markets to Focus


for Near Term Local Value Addition Improvement

This report provides a comprehensive ecosystem assessment of the top 25 electronic products that account for 82 percent of the
overall electronic products consumption and provides directions on steps needed to create viable ecosystems for these priority
products. The report also evaluates critical components that make up the bill of materials (BoM) of the high priority products
and provides similar prescriptive recommendations on the measures to create and build local ecosystems for these contributing
components. Research indicates according immediate priority and attention to a limited set of 10 products and components
including Energy Meters, Inverters & UPS, Smart Phones, LED Lighting, Smart Cards, Payment Terminals, 2W EMS, PCB, LCD Displays
and Transformers leveraging upon their existing ecosystem strengths shall result in marked increase in indigenous electronics
manufacturing in the next 2 years itself. Current limitations to high value addition and steps needed to improve the local ecosystem
for these 10 products/components are illustrated below.

ENERGY METERS

OPPORTUNITY SIZE

TM ($ B)

TDM ($ B)

2012

0.3

0.35

2015

0.3

0.35

Top 4 Components (BoM Contribution


SoC

Transformer

LCD Display

Super Cap

Strengths
High consumption demand
Product design capability
Anti tamper technology
design IP

Opportunities
Government policies like
R-APDRP
Focus on energy
conservation
India as export hub
Smart meters

Weakness
Import for critical
components
Complex tendering system at
utilities departments

Threats
Companies that use reference
designs and launch cheap
products

STRATEGIC
RECOMMENDATIONS

1. A regional level single point testing laboratory to conduct all tests for the local and imported meters.
2. Incentivizing the export duty can boost exports
3. With an expected shift towards smart meters, preparing for the future by investing in R&D especially in development
of relays by leveraging R&D tax credits
4. Notification of Preference Market Access
5. Notification of safety standards by Department of Electronics and IT
6. Product Specifications also need to be defined to prod indigenous manufacturing

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

33

INVERTERS, UPS

OPPORTUNITY SIZE

TM ($ B)

TDM ($ B)

2012

1.11

0.95

2015

1.56

1.37

Top 4 Components (BoM Contribution


Transformer

Power Semi

Heat Sink

Microcontroller

Strengths
Robust domestic demand
Manufacturing ecosystem
exists
Expertise and supporting
industries strength

Opportunities
Surging demand for banking,
education sector
Policies such as MSIPS
Export potential

Weakness
Lack of subsidies for SMEs
Lack of design expertise for
high power rating UPS
Lack of scale

Threats
Established ecosystem in
China
Infrastructure inadequacy

STRATEGIC
RECOMMENDATIONS

1. Excise duty should be lowered to 6 per cent at least; reimbursement of tax credit should be made easier
2. Design and manufacturing of UPS of higher rating (> 10KVA) encouraged by allocating R&D funds from EDF corpus
3. Formalize practicum programs between industry and engineering institutions to promote grassroots level interest
in design and technical activities
4. Developing port and logistics infrastructure to facilitate copper imports, leading to shorter lead times
5. Export incentives should be given for the export of inverters; extension of the zero duty EPCG is beneficial in this
regard

SMART PHONES

OPPORTUNITY SIZE

TM ($ B)

TDM ($ B)

2012

17.41

3.84

2015

23.67

4.09

Top 4 Components (BoM Contribution


Memory

Display

Application
Processor / SoC

Camera

STRATEGIC
RECOMMENDATIONS

Strengths
Replacement Demand and
Rural Demand
Local chip design strengths
Application develeopment
strengths
EMS capabilities

Opportunities
Impending 4G roll out
Gaining prominence of
local OEMs
India as export hub
Policies such as MSIPS

Weakness
Reliance on import for chip,
display and PCB
Negligent product design
capabilities
Limited skill set
Debilitating tax structure

Threats
Established ecosystem in
China
Infrastructure inadequacy
Emergence of other low cost
manufacturing destinations

1. Imposing trade and non-trade barriers to bar low cost/unbranded imports


2. Imposing mandatory certifications that necessitate local manufacturing
3. Incentives / fund for fabless companies to generate mobile SoC / processor IP
4. Creation of cluster under EMC with incubation cnter for Smart phone design
5. Provision of low interest loans to Indian companies to address working capital issues and encourage product
development
6. Bring under FPS scheme and encouraging exports

34

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
LED LIGHTING

OPPORTUNITY SIZE

TM ($ B)

TDM ($ B)

2012

0.17

0.04

2015

0.44

0.20

Top 4 Components (BoM Contribution


LED

Driver Circuit

Heat Sink

Thermal interface

STRATEGIC
RECOMMENDATIONS

Strengths
High consumption demand
Product design and R&D
capability
Local EMS capability in LED
light manufacturing

Opportunities
Increasing adoption in Govt,
commercial and industrial
sectors
Policies such as MSIPS
Companies positioning India
as export hub for ME

Weakness
Lack of testing facilities
High Initial cost
Absence of national technical
standards Lack of incentives
to attract major firms

Threats
Established ecosystem in
China
Preference for trading over
manufacturing
Debilitating duty structure

1. Reduction and a uniform VAT structure across all states will increase penetration.
2. Exemption for capital goods for LED light manufacturers
3. More testing facilities to be established spread across the three regions in the country. Setting up of design houses
both for product and components.
4. Increase product awareness.
5. DEITY to mandate technical specifications . Government support to mandate new/ secondary roads to be replaced
with LED fittings.
6. Setting up of a brownfield cluster under EMC at Hyderabad with infrastructure including Test Lab, Tool room etc
7. Setting up fund for LED driver and controls R&D and innovation.
8. Provision of low interest loans for LED lighting SME manufacturers for working capital
9. Setting up LED fab to have complete backward integration
10. Mandating LED Lighting usage in Street lighting, railways etc by Government

SMART CARDS

OPPORTUNITY SIZE

TM ($ B)

TDM ($ B)

2012

0.21

0.13

2015

0.52

0.57

Top 4 Components (BoM Contribution


Chip

PETG

Software OS

Antenna

Strengths
Robust demand from Govt
and Banking
S/W, on card and off card
technology capabilities
R&D focus

Opportunities
Anticipated high demand
from Govt projects
Escalating manufacturing
costs in China
PMA for smart cards

Weakness
Reliance on import for chip
No local IP
Expertise in security and
anti-theft technologies

Threats
Inability to penetrate IP
strengths of US and France
companies
Infrastructure inadequacy

STRATEGIC
RECOMMENDATIONS

1. Leveraging export subsidies and considering product manufacturing under the EPCG scheme will benefit
manufacturers in importing machinery at subsidized prices and exporting huge volumes.
2. Inverted duty structure needs to be amended
3. More India specific application oriented standards need to be evolved, like SCOSTA
4. Setting up of a fund for R&D in smart cards and providing the same for SMEs
5. Make Use of contactless cards mandatory in banks

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

35

PAYMENT TERMINAL

OPPORTUNITY SIZE

TM ($ B)

TDM ($ B)

2012

0.11

0.0058

2015

0.22

0.011

Top 4 Components (BoM Contribution


Communication module

LCD/TFT

Processor

Printers

STRATEGIC
RECOMMENDATIONS

Strengths
Growing consumption
demand
Presence of local design
houses
Huge retail market favouring
uptake
Availability of raw materials
like sheet metal, plastics

Opportunities
Increasing transactions using
PoS; Emerging e-tail
Significant rise in debit/credit
cards usage, micro ATMs
Financial inclusion programs

Weakness
Reliance on import for critical
components
High certification costs and
lack of testing labs
Penetration levels still low

Threats
Capital intense nature high
costs for EMV and PCI-PTS
certifications
Established manufacturing
ecosystem in China

1. Funds allocation for providing domain training in the payment Industry for people in the manufacturing sector of
POS and payment enabling products.
2. Funds to enable the Indian IT entrepreneurs to develop the EMV Kernel targeting various emerging platforms
including Android.
3. Setting up of Accredited Labs for EMV Certification and PCI-PTS test facilities and provide easy, cost effective and
product amortizable testing access to device manufacturers.
4. Current excise is 14% while customs duty is 12%. Reduction in sales, VAT and excise duty would attract more
manufacturers to consider local manufacturing.
5. Encouragement for the usage of no frills debit cards with no surcharge and creating awareness about usage of the
same is pertinent. Tax rebate to merchants if at least 50 per cent of his transactions in value terms are through cards
needs to be mooted.

EMS 2W
OPPORTUNITY SIZE

TM ($ M)

TDM ($ M)

2012

210.4

210.4

2015

308.1

308.1

Top 4 Components (BoM Contribution


Microcontroller

Power Semi

CDI Capacito

Transformer

STRATEGIC
RECOMMENDATIONS

Strengths
Mature product market
Established ecosystem
Design IP held in India
Excellent R&D, testing ,
manufacturing processes
Skillset availability

Opportunities
Untapped rural market for
2 wheelers
ECU replacement for CDI
Policies such as MSIPS

Weakness
Reliance on import for chip,
display and PCB
Exports currently low
Market getting
commoditized

Threats
Emission norms making
current products obsolete
High utility costs in
manufacturing units
impacting production

1. Export-friendly policies and support structure to boost the Exports (a) To utilize Extension of Interest Subvention
Scheme (b) An additional interest subvention of 2% for those exporters who repay on a timely basis (c) Exports be
brought back under priority sector lending and a separate cap be put on exports, within 40% norms
2. Extension of Focus Product Scheme to drive exports
3. Setting up of incubation center for automotive electronics within a cluster under EMC scheme at Chennai or Pune.
4. Reliance on imports for most of the critical components chips, displays and PCBs - to be checked by developing
domestic semiconductor ecosystem and upgrading the PCB making capabilities
5. An ECU for 2W (ECUs only used in 4W presently) is being conceptualized may make CDIs redundant in 4-5 years
time - thus to provide product development support in the form of R&D exemptions for domestic companies along
with providing preferential excise duty, greater CENVAT rate

36

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Steps to promote indigenous ecosystem for


the key components include:
Printed Circuit Board (PCB)
Imposing high import tariff; Nil duty on raw materials imports
Interest subsidies / low interest loans; Quicker reimbursement of CENVAT
Provision of export subsidies
Elimination of inverted duty structure
Imposing anti dump duty / safeguard duty

Transformers
Incentivising component imports by providing tax rebates for local manufacturers.
Setting up of local design houses and leveraging R&D tax credit will attract global OEMs
to invest in local manufacturing of components.
Streamlining continual availability of copper through the year at subsidized prices.
Preferential excise duties of 2 %; facilitate quicker reimbursement of tax credits
Offering greater CENVAT credit for local sourcing
Developing infrastructure to facilitate copper imports, leading to shorter lead times
Promote establishment of manufacturing clusters using EMC and MSIPS policies; solicit
investment from VCs too

LCD Display
Relocation of a brownfield Gen 5 fab
Offering of preferential excise duties or offering greater rates of CENVAT
credit
Hike in import duty of finished panel imports
Fund to encourage local display technology development

Steps to Promote Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS)


Ecosystem
India has been home to all the major EMS companies including Flextronics, Foxconn, Elcoteq, Jabil Circuits, and Sanmina as well
as numerous home-grown EMS companies. EMS companies have hitherto been offering hardware solutions only. In recent times
there is seen a marked shift towards total solutions provision by acquiring capabilities to offer design and software services also
as part of their portfolio. Indias EMS market which was worth $3.01 billion in 2011 is expected to grow at a CAGR of 27.8 percent
till 2015. The market is expected to reach revenues of $8.02 billion by 2015. It is interesting to note that Services account for ~10
percent of the overall EMS market revenues.
The fostering of the EMS industry is crucial for Indias local electronics manufacturing to reach appreciable levels. The EMS industry
currently faces challenges of inadequate supply chain, logistic connectivity and lack of Government support. Initiatives taken to
alleviate these, will pave way for an energized EMS industry in the country.
In the ensuing years, India is expected to gain some of the EMS opportunities lost by China to other low cost destinations.
Indias EMS industry focus is expected to be on creating a solid ecosystem and supply chain for electronics manufacturing.
Mandating all EMS activity under defence contracts to be mandatorily carried out in India under the Defence Offset Scheme is
seen as a need.
Recent trends indicate that an increasing number of engineering and design activities are also being outsourced to EMS
companies and they are becoming ODMs (Original Design Manufacturers). They also provide final system integration and
logistical support.
The advent of policy initiatives such as the development of EMC is expected to propel OEMs usage of EMS services in the
coming years. However, reduction in eligibility threshold to Rs 10 crores (present capex is Rs 100 crs) for availing benefits under
M-SIPs is very pertinent to enable increased investments in this space.
CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

37

Common Conclusions for the Near Term Focus Products/Components


Indian electronics industry has over the years grown in stature for its inherent strengths in fundamental R&D and consumption. The
missing link to the industry triangle is manufacturing. Indias electronics manufacturing has remained in obscurity due to multiple
reasons including scale impediments, infrastructural inadequacy, absence of large scale manufacturing ecosystems, proactive IP
orientation as well as debilitating tax and duty regimes. Recent policy initiatives to offset these disabilities clearly indicate the
identification of electronics manufacturing as a priority sector. Electronics manufacturing gains significance in that it can help
bridge a rapidly burgeoning trade imbalance while also create enormous employment opportunities for the skilled, semi-skilled
and unskilled labourers. From a strategic lens, it thus becomes prudent to evaluate Indian electronics manufacturing deficiencies
and develop capabilities that address the shortcomings as also strategize the short, medium and long term development plan for
promoting local electronics manufacturing ecosystem.
Key drivers for making India a globally attractive electronics manufacturing destination include competent costs, talent abundance,
quality focus, world-class infrastructure and business friendly environment. Of these, efforts have already been taken to improve
the countrys infrastructure apart from moderate initiatives in quality enhancement and skill set development that needs continued
acceleration. It becomes pertinent for newer policy measures to address/offer:
Subsidies and/or tax and duty restructuring to alleviate the cost differential arising from higher logistics cost and higher
transformation cost
Inclusion of Focus Product Scheme for select priority products in efforts to promote exports and extension of the scheme to all
EHTPs/SEZs
Encouragement for R&D and IP generation through fund allocation and setting up of incubation centres within the EMC scheme
clusters with sector focus
Setting up of Incubation Centres for Industry Verticals; priority products like Smart Energy Meters, Inverters & UPS, CFL, LED
Lighting and Energy Efficient products to be the areas of focus for these centres
Provision of viability gap funding (VGF) for the priority products and components to be explored and implemented.
Resolution of working capital issue through provision of low interest/special loans; Encouragement to financial institutions to
offer the same by declaring electronics as a priority sector
Simplification of processes involved in availing policy benefits as well as processes involved in setting up and functioning of
businesses creation of business friendly socio-political environment

38

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Mobile Handsets - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Only Assembly

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

136.35 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 3.7%

Local Value Addition

Low No Sourcing; Only Box Assembly

Top 4 Components

Memory, Display, Application Processor/SoC, Camera

Component Ecosystem

Negligible; Predominantly Imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential; Export


Opportunity
a. Focus on product IP and design
b. Top 4 Components do not have much potential for
indigenization (global capacities, lack of local infrastructure
etc)

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

c. Impose trade and non trade barriers on imports


d. Impose certifications mandating local manufacturing
e. Develop ecosystems for peripherals, battery, electro
mechanical connectors, plastics etc

Market and Opportunity


Driven by replacement sales, proliferation of smart phones and multi SIM mobiles, and a rapidly growing rural mobile subscription
base, the sales of mobile phones in India is continuing its buoyant journey. Mobile phone shipment volumes in the country are
anticipated to grow from 198 million units in 2012 to 269 million units by 2015 growing at a CAGR of 10.9 per cent. Despite the
high consumption volumes, local manufacturing has been hitherto restricted. Further Nokias global manufacturing consolidation
strategy is expected to contain their local production volumes in the future. However, the increasing investments in local
manufacturing by competitors like Samsung and the proposed investments by other indigenous manufacturers are expected to
maintain flat growth in the local production volumes. Indigenous manufacturing volumes of mobile phones were estimated to be
136 million units in 2012 and are poised to scale to 152 million units by 2015 growing at a CAGR of 37 per cent.

Mobile Handsets Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


25

23.67

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

21.19
20

15

19.41

17.41

16.35

15.28

TM: 9.7%
TDM (overall): 2.3%
TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 2.3%
TDM (High value
add): NA

10
HVA-TDM : TM

4.23

4.5

0
2010

2011

3.88

3.84
2012

2013

3.88

4.09

2014

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

39

Mobile Handsets: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

165.93

49.91

92.69

2011

182.00

54.60

101.40

2012

197.74

47.72

88.63

2013

216.17

48.15

89.41

2014

240.92

50.43

93.66

2015

269.46

53.26

98.91
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The mobile phone value chain comprises various component and subsystem suppliers, technology licensors and application
developers and the downstream service providers and retailers. The advent of smart phones has catapulted the value of the core
chips including the processor and memory. It has also brought to prominence the value of the software in a mobile phone. It is
interesting to note that in most current mobile phones, the value of manufacturing of mobile components is equal to the value of
manufacturing of the mobile phone itself.
The mobile phone value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

System
Integrators

Downstream

Baseband
RF transceiver

Core Chips

Application
processor
Power
Management

Display

Memory

Battery

Camera

Peripherals

Connectivity

Electro
Mechanicals

Operating
System

Mobile
Phones

N/W
Operators
Consumers
Retailers

Software

Applications

R&D, design, technology licensors

40

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
India is flooded with competition from foreign suppliers and indigenous players. Besides the top 4 to 5 players who control almost
70 per cent of the market in India, there are numerous indigenous players with varying capabilities. Most of these indigenous
suppliers currently utilize the services of contract manufacturers in China and do limited design activity in-house. Market leaders
such as Samsung and Nokia do only the last level low value adding assembly locally. Activities such as PCB assembly, mounting
the casing are handled locally, while the board with the key components mounted is imported into the country. Thus there is
negligent local sourcing resulting in extremely low local value addition.
The table below captures the capability in India across the mobile phone value chain.

Category

Product

Local Supply

Core Chips

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

Battery

Imports; Local
Supply

Display

Only Sales
Offices, Total
Imports

Components
and Sub
systems

Company Names

Level of
Local Value
Add

Remarks

No

Qualcomm,
Mediatek, Nvidia,

NA

Though design capability


exists there is no local
realization of IP

Yes

Adit Infotech,
Maxotel, Celltalk,
JPW, AR Industries
etc

Medium

Numerous SMEs design and


manufacture batteries; design
value addition is limited. Local
supply accounts for 12-15% of
demand; predominantly in the
after market.

Local
Local IP
Manufacturing Capability
No

Yes

No

No

Samsung, AUO,
Chimei Innolux, LG
, Sony, Numerous
Chinese suppliers

NA

Peripherals

Partial
(Adaptors
manufactured
locally)

Yes

Yes

Salcomp, UKB, JPW,


Celltalk, Maxotel,
SSR Group,

High

Electro
Mechanicals

Yes

Yes

Yes

Perlos

High

Software

Yes

Yes

Yes

OEM

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

Yes

Nokia, Samsung, LG

Low

EMS

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

Yes

Flextronics,
Foxconn

Low

Mobile
Phones

Numerous SMEs design and


manufacture batteries; design
value addition is limited. Local
supply accounts for 15% of
demand; predominantly in the
after market.
Fragmented supply base;
Numerous small players;
difficult to gauge market
supply volumes.

High

Analysing the mobile phone value chain in India, it is observed that the presence of a sustained and growing demand for mobile
phones is a key strength for the industry apart from an established EMS ecosystem for mobile phone manufacturing. However
the current limitation is that the EMS vendors are engaged only in box level assembly. Critical challenges include inadequacy
of feeding industries as most components / raw materials are currently imported. The import of chipsets and display,the most
crucial components, presents a huge void in the ecosystem and contributes significantly to the disability costs for mobile phone
manufacturing.
Rising costs of manufacturing in China is seen as an opportunity for some of the indigenous manufacturers who are currently
outsourcing their design and manufacturing to China to instead invest in local facilities. The possibility of Chinese mobile phone
manufacturers themselves looking at investing in Indian manufacturing facilities is yet another huge opportunity for the ecosystem
to develop. Policy initiatives such as MSIPS are expected to boost manufacturing investments while the prevailing tax structure is
seen as debilitating and needing immediate corrective measures.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

41

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge consumption demand

Impending 4G roll outs to drive sales of handsets

Replacement sales driving demand for higher priced


smart phones

Gaining prominence of local OEMs such as Micromax,


Karbon etc and their gaining ground in the Smartphone
segment.

Chip design single chip solutions for handsets have


been completely developed in India
Mobile application development numerous application
developers
Well developed EMS industry capabilities for mobile
phone manufacturing

India as a export hub for servicing ME, North Africa and


Europe countries.
New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local
manufacturing investments.

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components


chips, displays and PCBs

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in


neighbouring China.

Excise duty hike in mobiles priced over Rs. 2000


constrains local manufacturing of these in-demand
handsets

Emergence of other low cost manufacturing destinations


like Vietnam.

Limited or negligent product design activities locally;


Limited IP generation

Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and


other utilities uninterrupted availability

Limited availability of necessary skill sets

Component SWOT
The component ecosystem for mobile phones is extremely diverse in line with the wide range of prices of mobile phones. While
components such as display, battery, memory and core chips are common for price point mobiles, the cost and capacity of these
components vary depending on the features and applications supported by the mobile phones. The top 4 components that
contribute to majority of the mobile phone bill of materials (BoM) irrespective of the phone type or price are:
1. Memory
2. Display
3. Application Processor / System on Chip (SoC)
4. Camera
2 of the top 4 components for mobile handsets are semiconductor devices. The absence of fabrication facilities in India forces
reliance on imports of these components. However, there is design acitivity that happens locally in the SoC and processor space
as the key suppliers of these chipsets have huge captive design centers in the country. Even complete design tape outs have been
generated for some of these chips from the local design centers.
The second most expensive component is displays;this is yet another component that doesnt have a supporting ecosystem
locally. Globally the displays market is dominated by a handful of Korean and Taiwanese companies. Technology competitiveness
acts as a high entry barrier which has ensured that globally the competition remains niche. The constantly evolving touch reflexes
and the demand trend for high resolution in mobile phones make it difficult to build new capability in India. Further more the local
demand volumes for such devices do not justify such an investment.
Camera is the fourth component for which there is currently negligible ecosystem in India from the design as well as the
manufacturing perspective. Optics are the most crucial element of mobile camera design and this expertise is not well recognized
in India, leading to the heavy reliance on imports.
Of all the components of the Mobile BoM, it is thus the electromechanicals, peripherals, battery and software that have higher
probability of increased local value addition; however, the contribution of these to the mobile BoM is tertiary in nature.

42

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Product

Major Suppliers

Local Supply
/ Imports

Local Manufacturing/
Design/Assembly

Local
Capacities

Challenges to Local
Manufacturing

Memory

Toshiba, Samsung,
Hynix, Micron

Imports

NA

NA

Excess global capacities;


Absence of fab currently;
Very dynamic technology

Imports

NA

NA

Even for local assembling,


the display is imported as
a panel and assembled.
Globally a very niche
market dominated by
handful of players. Entry
barriers high.

Qualcomm,
Samsung, Mediatek,
Nvidia, Allwinner

Imports

Negligible a few
suppliers have
design centres in
India

NA

Absence of fab currently

Toshiba,
STMicroelectornics,
Omnivision, Sharp

Imports

NA

NA

Absence of local know-how


and optics expertise

Display

Samsung, AUO,
Chimei Innolux, LG
, Sony, Numerous
Chinese suppliers

Application
Processor

Camera

Strategic Conclusions
General
For local manufacturing to become cost competitive compared to destinations like China, it is essential for the Government to offer
fiscal sops that help in equalizing the disability costs associated with local manufacturing. These, amongst others, include:
Differential duty regimes for locally manufactured and imported handsets
Levying a tax equivalent to CST on imported mobile phones
Trade barrier to imports; Countries such as China and Brazil have been able to successfully grow their local mobile phone
industry through similar practices. Since mobile phones are not part of the ITA list, trade barriers can be imposed to grow local
manufacturing

IP development
There are numerous captive and third party design houses contributing to chip design for mobile devices. However, none of
the IP is realized locally as all the patenting is done overseas. Through support for fabless companies, encouragement needs
to be provided for IP generators to develop mobile SoCs and mobile processor designs whose IPs are realized in India. This will
contribute to incremental value addition and revenue generation opportunities through licensing.

Component ecosystem
All imported capital equipment for manufacturing of mobile phone parts and components should be completely exemptedfrom
CVD. Likewise capital equipment sourced locally should be exempt from excise duty. This would encourage the manufacturing of
mobile phones parts and would promote the growth of the component ecosystem.

Product manufacturing
Despite numerous indigenous brands claiming to do their own design and development, in reality, most of these brands source
designs from Taiwan/China and develop their products. This does not contribute to actual value addition. Hence, the sops and
incentives offered need to be linked to value addition generation so as to ensure total ecosystem growth.China has been able
to bring in foreign investment and attract all leading mobile phone manufacturers to set up facilities in China by mandating
standards and certifications such as the CCC (compulsory China certification mark) for all the mobile phones that are sold in China.
Similar non-tariff barriers can be imposed in India which favour or necessitate local manufacturing.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

43

Current Limitation
a. Lack of import barriers
Tax Structure

Value Addition

b. Lack of favourable duty structure


for capital equipment import
a. Promotion alike to pure play
manufacturers and traders
b. Absence of local IP realization

Component
Ecosystem

44

a. Reliance on imports

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


Trade and non trade barriers
Imposing mandatory certifications that necessitate local
manufacturing
Incentives to be targeted at manufacturers contributing to
value addition and not those who source designs and assemble
overseas.
Incentives, financial support to fabless companies to generate
mobile SoC/process IP
Chips and Display core components absence of capability
limits any ecosystem development plans for these.
Focus can be to grow the peripherals, battery, electromechanicals and plastics ecosystems

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Flat Panel Display TV Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Only Box Assembly

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes


and Growth

1.93 million units (2012); CAGR (20122015) 56.6%

Local Value Addition

Very low

Top 4 Components

Display, ICs, Electro-mechanicals, Power Components

Component Ecosystem

Not Available

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential; Export Opportunity


a. Restructuring of Tax and Duty Structure
b. Redressal of SAD and Abatement rate issues

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

c. Interest linked subsidies for value added manufacturing


d. Definition of Indigenous Standards for Local FPD TVs

Market and Opportunity


Digitization of broadcast, reduced replacement cycles and increased affordability is driving growth in the Indian Flat Panel Display
(FPD) TV market. The advent of Internet-Ready and Smart TVs has altered the characteristics and dynamics of the TV market.The
FPD TV market comprises LCD, LED, Plasma, 3D, and Smart TVs.Of the different types, LCD TVs have achieved greater proliferation
in the Indian market. The increasing affordability of LCD TVs coupled with their better performance, smaller size, and wider options
has resulted in their replacing CRT TVs. Growth is expected to be driven by enhanced purchasing power, digital broadcast (DTH,
IPTV, STB cable) transition as well as consumer awareness of FPD TVs. Indias growing upper middle class that has already moved
from CRT to LCD TVs is now driving the shift towards LED TVs. The huge rural populace on the other hand, is projected to be the
greatest source of LCD TV demand till 2015.
Research estimates that the FPDTV market in India was valued at US $3.55 billion in 2012 and is likely to grow at a compound
annual growth rate of 23.7 per cent by 2015.The total market (TM) for FPD TV in India in 2012 was 6.48 million units and the total
domestic manufacturing (TDM) volumes was 1.93 million units for the same year.

Flat Panel Display TV Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


7.00

6.40

6.00

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 54.9%

3.55

3.00

TDM (overall): 49.1%

4.62

4.00

1.00

TM: 23.7%

5.50

5.00

2.00

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

2.74

1.75

0
0.67

0.39
2010

2011

3.30

1.59

1.06
2012

HVA-TDM : TM

2.36

2013

2014

TDM (High value


add): NA

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

45

FPD TV: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local Sales (Million units)

2010

2.90

0.65

2011

4.80

1.17

2012

6.48

1.93

2013

8.98

3.09

2014

11.50

4.94

2015

14.38

7.41
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
Domestic assembly is a low value-add activity as LCD panels are imported and only final leg assembly is performed here. The
import-heavy nature of the FPD TV market has resulted in it being vulnerable to volatile currency conditions. For FPDTVs, 2012 was
a turbulent period when increasing raw material costs and depreciation of the rupee added pressure to the prevailing conditions.
This trend has continued much into 2013 as the rupee has reached never-before lows of INR 64 against the US $. This has resulted
in increase in prices of FPD TVs by 5 to 15 per cent from different manufacturers.
Import duty on LCD panels was eliminated in the 2012-13 Budget, which led to anticipation of increased domestic assembly.
However, Indias Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) with countries such as Thailand are proving to be a restricting factor, as some key
manufacturers have built up capacity for FPD TV manufacturing in these locations and the FTA allows them free access to the
Indian market.
The value chain for FPD TV market is depicted in the chart below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers
Driver IC

Downstream

Manufacturing / Assembly

Core Chips

BLUE
Glass Substrate
Polarizer

Core
Components

General
Trade
OEMs

Consumers
Modern
Trade

Color Filter
Chemicals
PCB, Passives

Other
Components

Liquid Crystal

R&D, design, technology licensors

46

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
All major suppliers of FPD TV globally,such as Samsung, LG, Sony, Sharp etc., have local presence and are the dominant players in
the Indian market too. Indigenous brands such as Videocon, Onida, etc., also offer their FPD TVs in the Indian market. Samsung and
LG are involved in low level last mile assembly activity in India apart from a few indigenous brands such as Intex. The rest import
them as finished products. Even the assembling activity in the country is very low value add and is just box assembly.
The table below depicts the capabilities across the FPD TV value chain in India.

Category

Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

Display

No

No

No

LG, Samsung, Sharp,


NEC Display

NA

Imported as
part of finished product

No

Himax Technologies,
Orise Technology,
Sitronix Technology,
Raydium
Semiconductor

NA

Imported as
part of finished product

ICs

Components
and Sub systems

No

No

Electro
mechanicals

No

Yes

No

Medium

Power components

No

Yes

No

Medium

OEM

No

No

No

LG, Samsung, Sony

NA

Indigenous
players

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

No

Videocon, Onida

Low

FPD TV

Through
design capability exists
there is no
local relation
of IP
Through
design capability exists
there is no
local relation
of IP
No local manufacturing
value addition
Low manufacturing value
addition

FPD TV manufacturing is very technology intense and dynamic. Apart from continuous advancements in panel component
technologies, the FPD panel manufacturers themselves are moving towards 8.5 and 10 generation fabs. The sophistication in
infrastructure and the supply channels required for FPD TV manufacturing require decades of development. It is improper to
expect such ecosystem development in India within a few years to bring in FPD TV manufacturing.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the FPD TV market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge consumption demand

LCD Panel manufacturing opportunity to build atleast


this capability

All major global suppliers have local presence (sales) and


few in assembly
Increasing consumer awareness on FPD technology
driving sales

Encouragement for MNCs such as Sony, Sharp to bring


in atleast last leg assembling activities to India

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Totally absent ecosystem

Inverted duty structure that favours finished product


imports

No local supply of any component except may be some


tertiary or non critical components

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

FTAs with countries like Thailand

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

47

Component SWOT
The core top 4 components within the FPD TV BoM are:
1. Display
2. ICs
3. Electromechanicals
4.

Power components

These 4 components together constitute roughly 80 to 85 per cent of the BoM of FPD TVs, with displays and ICs accounting for
nearly two-thirds of the total BoM by themselves. There is totally nil indigenous capability of these 2 critical components in India.
Korea, Taiwan and Japan dominate the global market for capacity and supply of the core components for FPD TVs. The proposed
and on-going expansion plans of the key suppliers of these components indicate the lack of requirement to set up manufacturing
facilities in new destinations like India.

Strategic Conclusions
General
Despite the high domestic volumes and the opportunities for exports, the possibility of ushering FPD TV manufacturing into India
is a distant dream.

Product manufacturing
The focus can rather be on encouraging more domestic assembly, even if it is a low value add activity, as it can potentially result
in local sourcing and employment generation in the long run. One element within the FPD TV value chain that can be promoted
for indigenous activity is the panel assembly. Incentives under the MSIPs scheme are favourable to bring in FPD panel assembly
activity into India and this needs to be encouraged for the contribution it can make to local value addition. There are several
disability costs today that make imports of panels more attractive and these needs to be addressed through corrective tax and
duty reforms.
Current Limitation

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Reduction of excise duty

Tax Structure

a. Imports cost effective compared to


indigenous assembly for panels and TVs

b. Lowering of indirect taxes which currently account for


22% of transaction value
c. SAD to be eliminated
d. CENVAT credit to be made available to manufacturers

48

Value Addition
& Component
Ecosystem

a. No activity at all

Financial and
other Incentives

a. Lack of low interest loans / financing for


FPD TV or Panel manufacturers

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

a. Promotion of indigenous capability for LCD Panels


under MSIPs
a. Provision of interest linked subsidies
b. Abatement rate to be increased from the current 30%
to 45% to decrease the pressure on manufacturers

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Notebooks - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

No; finished product imports

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

N/A

Local Value Addition

Low No Sourcing

Top 4 Components

Processor, Display, Battery, Memory

Component Ecosystem

Negligible; predominantly finished product imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

Medium; Huge local market; Robust growth Potential;


Possible export opportunity

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

a. Reimbursement of tax credit to be made easier for


encouraging investment in manufacturing
b. Motherboard and LCD display to be offered preferential
basic duty and excise duty rates

Market and Opportunity


The market for notebooks/laptops was estimated to be worth US$ 2.48 billion in 2012, and projected to grow at about 9.4 per
cent during the period 20112015. A rapidly growing substitution trend favouring notebooks over desktops has been observed
in recent years. This effect has been further precipitated by the advent of tablets that have taken on the mantle of portable
computing device of choice from laptops. The laptop market is also expected to be driven by the needs of the IT industry, SMBs,
and by government procurement particularly in the short term. In fact, government procurement of laptops has been a key driver
of this market recently. The tenders floated by the Uttar Pradesh and Tamil Nadu governments cumulatively contributed almost
1.5 million units to the market.
Though tablets have begun to eat into the market share of laptops, their USP is the easy access to and consumption of online
content; they lack the computing power of laptops. This is expected to sustain demand for laptops as personal users and corporate
users move away from using desktops and move towards using laptops. Since all laptops sold in the Indian market are imported
as finished goods, their prices are very prone to fluctuations in currency value. The recent depreciation in the value of the Indian
Rupee has led to laptop vendors mulling price hikes in order to cover their increased expenses. Lenovo, Dell, HP and Acer account
for almost two-thirds of the laptop market. Indigenous player HCL also has a small but significant presence in the market.

Laptops Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


3282

35000

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

3000

2973

2713

2500

2480

2287

2107

TM: 9.4%
TDM (overall): NA
TDM (Low/Med
value add) : NA

2000

TDM (High value


add): NA

1500
HVA-TDM : TM

1000
500
0

2010

2011

2012

0
2013

0
2014

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)
Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

49

Laptops: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

3.63

0.00

0.00

2011

4.07

0.00

0.00

2012

4.56

0.00

0.00

2013

5.15

0.00

0.00

2014

5.83

0.00

0.00

2015

6.65

0.00

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The laptops sold in the Indian market are all imported as finished products into the country. Since the laptop is a closed-box
product, even low value added assembly at the market destination doesnt make business sense. Hence, laptops are imported
pre-configured into the country. However, the absence of a supporting ecosystem for electronics manufacturing and the fact that
volumes are not growing fast enough have been strong enough reasons for companies to not invest in manufacturing facilities in
the country.
The laptops value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers
Keyboard /
Touchpad

Downstream

Assemblers

Input / Output

LCD screen;
speakers
Enterprises

Motherboard;
Memory; Processor
CPU

Hard disk / Casing

Laptops

Consumers

Video card; Sound


card; Network card
Government
Operating System
Software
Applications
R&D, design, technology licensors
Despite the strength in design capabilities, there is no local realization of IP. However, Indian design skills are quite valued and
there is considerable value added in the design activity that happens out of India. Intel, NVIDIA, AMD and Microsoft, among others,
execute a large amount of their R&D activity in India. The design aspect of the value chain is definitely a huge strength for the
Indian electronics ecosystem. However, it lacks an institutionalized process to make that strength work for the country in terms of
realizing local IP, etc.

50

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The table below captures the capability in India across the laptops value chain.
Category

Components and
Sub systems

Laptops

Product

Local Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company
Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

Processor

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

No

No

Intel, AMD

NA

Though design capability


exists there is no local realization of IP

Display

Imports

No

No

Samsung

NA

Motherboard

Imports /
Local Supply

Yes

No

Pegatron,
ECS, Gigabyte, MSI,
Foxconn

NA

HDD

Imports

No

No

Seagate,
Thoshiba

NA

Software

Yes

NA

No

Dell, Intel,
Microsoft

Med

OEM

Yes

No

No

HP, Dell,
Lenovo, Acer,
HCL

NA

EMS

No

No

No

Both captive design centres and design through


service model

NA

The Indian laptop market exhibits great local demand, which will also be well sustained in the medium term. However, since the
market is import heavy, it is subject to the vagaries of currency fluctuation which creates business uncertainties for laptop vendors
and price uncertainties for consumers. Government procurement of laptops will drive the market in the short term, while any
increase in the computing power of tablets or the emergence of a disruptive form factor in the portable space could eat into the
market for laptops fairly quickly.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the laptops market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge consumption demand for laptops

Decline in desktop sales leading to demand for laptops,


for computing power

Well developed design skills

Escalating manufacturing and labour costs in China


could drive investment to India

Government procurement and decline of desktops


to drive market for the short term

New policy aspects such as EMC could encourage local


assembly investments

Indian user segments are becoming more computer


savvy - education, etc.
Well developed EMS industry - capabilities for
mobile phone manufacturing

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Absence of supporting industries to support assembly


of laptops locally

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in China and


East Asia

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components


and for assembly

Rate of technological change could see laptops being


phased out in favour of tablets or other disruptive form
factors

Limited IP generation
Import heavy market pushes Indian market behind on
global product launch timelines

Import heavy market could worsen Indias import bill if


left unchecked

Market subject to currency fluctuation

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

51

Component SWOT
The biggest contribution to the BoM in terms of dollar value in a laptop is accounted for by the display and the processor, which
account for 15 per cent each. Next comes the motherbaord and the HDD, which alongwith the display and processor,could account
for almost two-thirds of the total BoM of a laptop. In short, the top 4 components that contribute to majority of the laptop bill of
materials (BoM) are:
1. Display
2. Processor
3. Motherboard
4. HDD
Since laptops are imported in finished product form for the most part, none of these components are locally sourced.

Strategic Conclusions
General
The reimbursement process for claiming tax credit on input duty paid should be made easier and faster so that companies do not
have to contend with uncertainties of receiving reimbursement. This would encourage companies to invest in manufacturing with
confidence and peace of mind. The reimbursement process could be moved to an online portal for greater convenience.

IP development
A large amount of design activity is carried out at the established IT firms such as HCL and Infosys and the captive design centres
of Intel and AMD, but there is no local IP held in the country. Encouraging the growth of fabless design companies and software
development firms through start-up capital seeding and, possibly through the mooted EDF corpus, could lead to the generation of
indigenous IP in the short to medium term. The application of regional language software could provide opportunities considering
the expected penetration of computing and connectivity in semi-urban and rural areas; the idea of setting up central government
grants for such software development activity at the NITs should be considered.

Component ecosystem
The manufacturing of motherboards and LCD displays for laptops should be incentivized by exempting their individual components
from basic customs duty and excise duty, or offering preferential excise duty. Likewise, sheet metal fabrication and plastic moulding
are fairly mature technologies in India; hence, the manufacturing of laptop enclosures could also be incentivized too.

Product manufacturing
The challenges that are inherent to the assembly of laptops is that all of the supporting industries need to be present in close
proximity so that the finished product can be assembled optimally and shipped to market destinations in its finished form.
Unlike desktops, it doesnt make sense for laptops to be shipped in knocked-down unit fashion and then assembled at market
destinations. Considering that the Indian laptop market is import heavy and a fairly sizeable one too, it causes considerable stress
on the countrys import bill. Hence, it would be wise to look elsewhere in the electronics ecosystem to address this issue; tablets,
for example. However, if a decision to invest in the manufacturing of laptops is indeed taken, then the electronics ecosystem
for laptops should be incentivized in a holistic manner to foster the growth of all the supporting industries that are needed to
manufacture/assemble laptops in one location.
Current Limitation
Tax Structure

Value Addition

52

Convoluted process of claiming tax credit

Lack of feeding activities

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


Reimbursement process should be made easier
to encourage investment in manufacturing and
ensure peace of mind for manufacturers
Manufacturing of motherboard and LCD displays
should be offered preferential basic duty and
excise duty rates; also enclosures

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Desktops - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Only assembly

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

6.4 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 4.0%

Local Value Addition

Low Negligible sourcing; only box assembly

Top 4 Components

Processor, Monitor, Motherboard, Hard Disk Drive

Component Ecosystem

Negligible; predominantly imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

High; Sizeable local market; Sustained demand potential; Export


opportunity
a Optimize tax structure and reimbursement process
b. Rationalize customs and excise duties
c. Incentivize manufacturing for motherboards, LCD displays,
cabinets and enclosures
d. Utilize EMC and MSIPS schemes to promote cluster
development for manufacturing of components

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

Market and Opportunity


The Indian desktop market was estimated to have been worth about $1.97 billion in 2012, and to grow at approximately 0.4 per
cent in the period 20112015. The increasing adoption of laptops, due to the relative decrease in prices in recent years and the
ability to harness computing power on-the-go, has led to predictions that desktops will cease to be relevant in this era of mobile
computing. However, the disruptive influence of tablets upon the consumption of online contentand to a smaller extent, the
creation of contentis due to impact the market for laptops.
India has got one of the lowest penetration of computers in the world (less than 15 per cent); while the A class cities already possess
high penetration rates of computers in households, B and C class cities lag behind in this regard. The rising usage of online bill
payments, registration for government schemes and ID, and consumption of online content is bound to increase penetration of
desktop computers in these cities. This penetration could further increase with increase in efficiency of broadband services and
rollout of 4G services.

Desktops Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


2500
CAGR (2011 - 2015)

2000

1943 0

1973 0

1968

1978

1993

2008 0

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 0.4%

1500

1000

TM: 0.4%
TDM (overall): 0.4%

TDM (High value


add): NA

1973

1943

1968

1978

1993

2008
HVA-TDM : TM

500

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

53

Desktops: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

5.95

5.95

0.00

2011

6.20

6.20

0.00

2012

6.41

6.41

0.00

2013

6.66

6.66

0.00

2014

6.92

6.92

0.00

2015

7.20

7.20

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
Assembly of desktops is a widespread activity in India, and more than 60 per cent of the desktops sold in country are locally
assembled. Companies like Dell, HCL, and Wipro assemble almost all of their desktops within the country. Acer and HP also assemble
the majority of their desktops locally. Since desktops have to transported by sea, transportation of disassembled modules and
assembly of final goods at the destination is preferable to importing final goods as finished products.
There is no indigenous IP held with regard to desktops. However, since desktops are designed based on open architecture, assembly
at destination is made easier which also shortens the time-to-market. Also, some organizations, such as banks, have rigorous
purchasing processes that might require pre-shipment inspection and pre-delivery testing which is made easier if assembly
happens locally. Local value addition is limited to the assembly, testing, and packaging of desktops though, and in some instances,
local sourcing of certain components. However, in the last few years, local sourcing of components is reported to be on the wane
because of a convoluted duty structure that increases business complexity for manufacturers importing individual components for
assembly; for example, import for finished mother boards attracts only CVD while import of individual components for motherboard
manufacturing attracts CVD and an SAD of 4 per cent that will be refunded after raising a reimbursement claim for the same. This
increases upfront costs for manufacturers apart from the uncertainty over the reimbursements. This is particularly relevant during
times of currency depreciation when costs can increase drastically for such imports. Such factors discourage entities from making
significant investments in manufacturing facilities considering the relatively thin margins that this industry operates on.
India possesses considerable competency in design; substantial design activity is carried out in IT firms such as Infosys, Wipro
and HCL. These design activities range from basic motherboard design to high-end server design. However, most of their work
is executed for MNCs and there is possibly no local IP held. CPU testing is also carried out fairly extensively in India, as is final
configuration, testing, and delivery to customers. With respect to design alone, even though design development of desktop
happens in parts and on different teams, the contribution of Indian talent could possibly be pegged at 15 per cent of overall
design. The reputation of Indian design talent is considerable but the country lacks an institutionalized process to metamorphose
it into tangible IP that could contribute to the economy. The overall value addition in terms of dollar value is about $ 6 (inclusive of
margin), though the amount of activity in terms of resources used is fairly high.

54

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers
Keyboard /
Touchpad

Downstream

Assemblers

Input / Output

Monitors;
Speakers

Motherboard;
Memory; Processor

Enterprises
CPU
Desktops

Hard disk / Casing


CPU
Video card; Sound
card; Network card

CPU

CD Drive; Printer;
Modem

Consumers

Government

Operating System
Software
Applications

R&D, design, technology licensors

The MNCs currently import units in L6 configuration which doesnt contain the CPU, memory and hard disk; the balance comprises
of power supply, motherboard, etc. and arrives in pre-fabricated from outside India. The final configuration of desktops happens
in India. However, indigenous companies HCL and Wipro perform grounds up assembly of desktops, with either local sourcing or
the import of individual components depending on availability and business ease. Entities present in the unorganized market in
India also perform grounds up assembly; they account for about 60 per cent of the consumer market. The enterprise business for
desktops is completely handled by the organized sector, i.e., large MNCs and indigenous companies.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

55

Table below captures the capability in India across the desktop value chain.

Product

Local Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company
Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

Processor

Imports

No

No

Intel, AMD

NA

Though design capability exists


there is no presence of local IP

Monitor

Imports/
Local Supply

Yes

No

TPV, LG,
Samsung

Low

Motherboard

Imports/
Local Supply

Yes

No

Pegatron, ECS,
Gigabyte, MSI,
Foxconn

Low

Hard disk

Imports

No

No

Seagate,
Toshiba

NA

OEM

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

No

Dell, HP, HCL,


Wipro, Acer

Low

Integrators

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

No

NA

Low

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Desktops

Local motherboard assembly used


to be operational; shut down now

Unorganized sector that operates


in the B2C space

Currently, local manufacturing is not competitive globally due to a number of disability factors. In the light of latent manufacturing
strength for certain products, inclusion of those products under ITA-1 has constrained the growth of local manufacturing due to
the availability of imported goods. Also, domestic volumes are not growing fast enough for entities to invest in manufacturing
on a large scale. MNCs invested in assembly facilities early on as they needed to be closer to their market; this also indicates their
confidence in the manufacturing capability present in the country. However, the absence of a business environment in which local
manufacturing can thrive has led to the suppression of local manufacturing capabilities.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the desktop market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Consistent demand expected, especially in B and C


class cities

Active role of government in fostering electronics


manufacturing

Manpower skills available, both vocational and


skilled

Rising manufacturing and labour costs in China driving


manufacturers towards alternative destinations

Government schemes and policies expected to


foster growth

India as a export hub for servicing Middle East and


African countries

Better quality and increased penetration of


connectivity

Rising entrepreneurial spirit among recent grads

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Negative influence of INR depreciation

Well established manufacturing ecosystems in China and


East Asia

Convoluted duty structure causes complexity in business


execution
Limited or nil IP generation; lack of incentives for
indigenous design activities
Lack of wholesome supporting ecosystem for complete
manufacturing

56

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Rate of technology change introduces unpredictability in


investment decisions
Emergence of disruptive models/form factors of
computing devices
Infrastructure inadequacy of power, clean water, and
other utilities

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Component SWOT
The biggest contribution to the BoM in terms of dollar value in a dektop is accounted for by the monitor which costs US$80
approximately (excluding software costs). Next comes the processor which costs anywhere between US$60 and 110, followed by
the hard disk and the motherboard that both cost in the range of US$40. On the motherboard, the semiconductor components
and the PCB are most critical. Considering a BoM of US$40 for the motherboard, it can be estimated that the chipset costs about
US$12, the PCB costs about US$6.5, and that the overall semiconductor cost is about US$20 including the peripheral chips.
In short, the top 4 components that contribute to majority of the desktop bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Processor
2. Monitor
3. Motherboard
4. Hard disk
The motherboard is being manufactured in India, and indigenous players in particular source about 20 to 25 per cent of their
requirements locally. Monitors are being made by LG and Samsung; HCL also manufactures monitors locally. Of course, processors
for desktops are sourced from either Intel or AMD. The top suppliers for hard disks are Seagate and Toshiba. However, the situation
with regard to hard disk is slightly on the balance currently due the shift in technology and enterprise business models, i.e., the
shift towards cloud computing and centralized servers, and the movement in technology towards solid state drives. Hence, entities
are presently thinking twice before investing in manufacturing facilities for mechanical hard drives and there are also questions
about consumer adoption of mechanical hard drives in the future, given the advantages of using solid state drives.
With regard to value addition, the major activities that happen are either soldering or testing of components and the financial
value of these activities is quite less. Over all, the manufacturing value added is about 10 per cent, including margins.

Strategic Conclusions
General
The levying of SAD should be repealed at the very least on individual components of LCD monitors and motherboards. Also,
the reimbursement process should be made easier and faster so that companies do not have to contend with uncertainties of
receiving reimbursement. The reimbursement process should be moved to an online portal and there should be no restrictions
on the number of times reimbursements can be claimed. Also, reimbursements should be directly transferred to merchants bank
accounts. The increased liquidity and trust factor arising from these measures could help companies transact more or make greater
investments. The present rate of abatement should also be raised from 25 per cent to reflect the rise in costs of doing business.
SAD could be levied on finished product imports of motherboard and LCD monitors, for which a nascent manufacturing ecosystem
exists in India.

IP development
A large amount of design activity is carried out at the established IT firms such as HCL and Infosys and the captive design centres
of Intel and AMD, but there is no local IP held in the country. Encouraging the growth of fabless design companies and software
development firms through start-up capital seeding and possibly through the mooted EDF corpus could lead to the generation of
indigenous IP in the short to medium term. The application of regional language software could provide opportunities considering
the expected penetration of computing and connectivity in semi-urban and rural areas; the idea of setting up central government
grants for such software development activity at the NITs should be considered.

Component ecosystem
The manufacturing of motherboards and LCD monitors should be incentivized by exempting their individual components from
basic customs duty and excise duty, or offering preferential excise duty. Decrease in tax revenues could be offset a little through
smaller hikes in sales tax or through offering greater rates of CENVAT credit on excise duties.The Indian manufacturing ecosystem
possesses competencies in the manufacturing of these products, which incidentally also are the top two BoM contributors
to desktops in terms of dollar value. These products also have applications in almost every electronics product. Once local
manufacturing of these products is encouraged by exempting them from/ granting them preferential excise duties, it is very
possible that investment will flow in and spur organic growth of the value chain. Likewise, sheet metal fabrication and plastic
moulding are fairly mature technologies in India; hence, the manufacturing of cabinets and enclosures for use in desktops could
also be incentivized through preferential excise duties and exemption from additional duties.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

57

Product manufacturing
The assembling of desktops is already being carried out both by global OEMs and by indigenous players like HCL and Wipro. India
has held back from discussing the ITA II due to the fact that the government recognizes the need for encouraging the growth
of the nascent manufacturing capabilities in the country. If India were not to sign the ITA II, it could potentially push companies
into investing in high-value added manufacturing in the country. Coupled with the wholesome basket of policy initiative being
enacted by the government, this could also lead to the flourishing of downstream activities and lead to the establishment of a
thriving product ecosystem.

Current Limitation

Tax Structure

Value Addition

Component Ecosystem

58

a. Inverted duty structure


b. Low rate of abatement

a. Lack of supporting industries


b. Absence of product design/IP generation

a. Reliance on imports
b. Demand volumes

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Simplify reimbursement of SAD
b. Increase rate of abatement to reflect rising costs
of doing business
a. Incentivize manufacturing of PCBs, monitors,
cabinets, and enclosures for desktops by giving
preferential excise rates
b. Utilize MSIPS and Electronics Manufacturing
Clusters scheme effectively to promote
manufacturing clusters for these components
a. Increase CENVAT credit for locally sourced
components/raw material
b. Increase basic duty for imports and reduce sales
tax for finished goods

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Digital Camera - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/
Assembly/Design

Nil; finished product imports

Local Manufacturing/Assembly
Volumes and Growth

Nil

Local Value Addition

Nil- No Sourcing; No Assembly

Top 4 Components

Lens, Image processor, Image sensor, Battery circuit

Component Ecosystem

Negligible; Only Imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

Medium; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential


a. Top 4 Components do not have much potential for indigenization (global
capacities, lack of local infrastructure etc)

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Renew FTA for finished good imports


c. Encourage passive components manufacturing locally to encourage assembly
level activity

Market and Opportunity


Increase in creation and sharing of digital content, increase in spending power and reduction in average selling prices is driving the
digital camera market. Digital camera shipment volumes in the country are anticipated to grow from 4.2 million units in 2012 to 7.5
million units by 2015 growing at a CAGR of 21.3 per cent. Despite the high consumption volumes, there is no local manufacturing
or assembly activitySony used to operate a plant in Haryana ten years ago that was shut down due to issues with the supply of
raw material. Though, the digital camera market in India is still very attractive, the growth of smartphones is now affecting the
market in India. Growing competition over the past few years has led vendors to launch feature-rich cameras at affordable price
points. The competitive landscape for the digital camera players has undergone a major shift with reduction in prices. Prices of
digital cameras in India have dropped extensively, especially in P&S segment, and a further 20 to 30 per cent price reduction is
expected to be seen over the coming years. This will further bring tremendous opportunities for players to increase their market
share in the Indian digital camera market.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

59

Digital Camera Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


1.8

1.8

TM: 18.9%

1.4

1.4

TDM (overall): NA
TDM (Low/Med
value add) : NA

1.2

1.2
1.0
0.8

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

1.6

1.6

TDM (High value


add): NA

0.9
0.66

0.6

HVA-TDM : TM

0.4

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

0.2
0

2010

2011

2012

0
2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

Digital Camera: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

2.10

NA

NA

2011

3.00

NA

NA

2012

4.20

NA

NA

2013

5.00

NA

NA

2014

6.25

NA

NA

2015

7.50

NA

NA
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

60

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Industry SWOT
The digital camera value chain comprises of various component and subsystem suppliers, assemblers and the downstream
retailers and consumers. The lens technology and manufacturing process is the most crucial element in the manufacture of a
digital camera. Japan holds the highest number of patents in this regard and hence presents a formidable barrier to exploring that
segment in terms of design or manufacturing. The coating technology on the lens involves a high level precision and currently
India does not have the skill set availability to implement this process. Also the quality and availability of raw material varies from
country to country and currently India does not possess the right quality-availability mix required to manufacture the components
of a camera. The digital camera value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Assemblers

Downstream

Image Sensor
Motor Driver
Image Processor

Memory
Digital Camera OEM

Capacitor

Consumers
Digital Camera EMS

Battery pack
Lens

Audio interface
Peripherals
LCD controller

R&D, design, technology licensors

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

61

There are no manufacturers of digital cameras in the country and India is flooded with competition from foreign manufacturers.
Besides the top 3 players who control almost 95 per cent of the market in India, there are other foreign players with varying
capabilities. All of them import the digital camera as a finished product resulting in no local value addition. From an Indian
ecosystem standpoint, with regard to components, all the core chips, LCD display, battery pack, sensors, lens etc., are imported
while only a limited amount of local capability exists for the peripherals and LCD drivers.
The table below captures the capability in India across the digital camera value chain.
Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Product

Local Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company Names

Level of
Local Value
Add

Remarks

Image sensor

Imports

No

No

Samsung, Canon,
Toshiba, AOF

NA

Lack of high quality raw


materials

Memory

Imports

No

No

AOF, Canon, Foba,


etc

NA

Battery Pack

Imports

No

No

Electra, AOF, Foba

NA

Lens

Imports

No

No

AOF, Canon,
Tamron, Olympus

NA

Image Processor

Imports

No

No

Canon, Sony,
Toshiba

NA

NA

LCD Controller,
Capacitor,
peripherals

Imports

No

No

AOF, Unorganized
players

OEM

Yes

No

No

Canon, Nikon, Sony

NA

EMS

No

No

No

NA

NA

Japan holds the highest


number of patents; no
design capability

Local manufacturing
capability exists, but no
OEM prefers to do any
kind of assembly activity
locally

Digital
Camera

62

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Analysing the digital camera value chain in India, it is observed that the presence of sustained and growing demand for digital
camera is a key strength for the industry. The absence of supporting industries is a critical challenge for the country; most electronic
components are imported too. This inhibits the business case for local manufacturing of digital cameras. The Indian electronics
ecosystem can potentially execute low level assembly for digital cameras; however, the duty structure for individual components
is high and prohibits OEMs to consider investment in local manufacturing. The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the
digital camera market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge consumption demand

Paradigm shift towards Digital world. Increasing


adoption of digital cameras.

Shift in trend from Point and shoot camera to DSLRs


especially from the younger population

Manufacturing and labour costs in China driving


manufacturers to invest in facilities in India

Component design components like resistors,


capacitors, battery circuits can be designed in India
Skillset availability for component and product design

India as a export hub for servicing ME, North Africa and


Europe countries

Well developed EMS industry to carry out assembly


activity

New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local


manufacturing investments

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for the entire product no product


assembly or component imports

Smartphones hurting Digital camera sales

FTA imports through Thailand and Japan posing a huge


hindrance for local manufacturing
Limited or negligent product design activities locally;
No IP generation
Limited availability of necessary skill sets

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in countries


like China, Japan, Korea etc.
Well explored technology - Japan holds the highest
patents for lens technology, no new development
possible
Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and
other utilities uninterrupted availability

Component SWOT
The component ecosystem for digital camera is extremely diverse in line with the wide range of prices of digital cameras. While
components such as lens, image sensors, battery pack, processors, memory, etc., are common for all types of cameras, the cost and
capacity of these components vary depending on the features and applications supported by the camera. The top 4 components
that contribute to majority of the Digital camera bill of materials (BoM) irrespective of the type or price are:
1. Lens
2. Image processor
3. Image sensor
4. Battery
Currently most of the digital cameras are imported as finished goods. The top players possess established manufacturing
infrastructure in countries like China, Japan, and Korea. OEMs such as Canon possess manufacturing competencies across all
stages of the value chain. Other players outsource parts of their manufacturing to contract manufacturers in China and other Asian
countries.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

63

Strategic Conclusions
General recommendations
The CENVAT for digital cameras is around 16% and an excise cess of 2% against an import duty of 10% makes it more expensive to
assemble or manufacture locally. Over and above, the current situation in India is such that the FTA with Thailand and Japan makes
it easy for most OEMs to import them as finished goods,thus making it inutile to develop an ecosystem for the same.

IP Development - Design
The biggest challenge in terms of component manufacturing is the lack in design and skillset availability to develop lens and
coating technology. From a design perspective, a well laid ecosystem in neighbouring countries restricts Indias chances of building
indigenous capability, especially when the volumes do not warrant the need for local design.

Component ecosystem - Raw material


Inadequacy of raw materials in India does not support manufacturing of the digital cameras or its BoM components in the country.
In spite of our strengths in plastic, sheet metal and peripherals manufacturing, the risk associated with importing the lens and
battery pack is very high and hence manufacturers prefer to import finished goods rather than investing in local manufacturing
especially when there is no favourable taxation policy.

Product manufacturing
Unless there is a renewal with the FTA, not much can be done with the product market. Developing an entire ecosystem for digital
camera manufacturing is not very viable with Japan holding most patents for lens technology, the highest BoM component of a
camera. Also, the tax limitations of excise duty higher than import duty make the situation difficult for product manufacturing.
Hence it is best suited to divert the available resources towards other areas that would offer greater and faster returns on investment.
Current Limitation
Tax
Structure

a. The situation has gone overboard. Unless there is a


renewal of the FTA policy, not much can be done with
respect to the product market.

Value
Addition

a. Lack of Feeding Industries


b. Absence of Product Design/IP Generation
c. Lack of Semiconductor fabs

a. With respect to Design and R&D, India did not invest


in any segment of the value chain. Too late to invest in
feeding industries.

a. Reliance on imports
b. Demand Volumes
c. Lack of high quality raw materials

a. Although, India has it sown strengths in packaging, sheet


metal and plastic manufacturing, importing the lens or
battery pack is highly risk associated

a. Invert duty structure


b. Lack of regulations to develop skillset and
design capability in specific to lens and
coating technology

a. Currently Japan holds the highest number of patents in


lens technology which prohibits India from exploring
such an option, thereby throwing off a policy initiative for
labour reforms or skillset development

Component
Ecosystem
Policy
Initiatives

64

Solution to Promote Ecosystem

a. Cenvat of 16% and an Excise cess of 2%


against an import duty of 10%
b. FTA with Thailand and Japan through
which most OEMs import the product as
a finished good

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Inverters and UPS - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Manufacturing; components imported depending on business


requirements

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

8.16 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 12.4%

Local Value Addition

Inverters: High; UPS: Medium

Top 4 Components

Transformer, Power devices/Mosfet, Heat sink, Microcontroller

Component Ecosystem

Strong presence; unable to compete with price of Chinese-made


components

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

High; Huge local market; Available manufacturing and design


competency; Export opportunity
a. Government should reduce excise and simplify tax claim procedure

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Government should exempt import duty on components and


aid indigenous players in innovating
c. Incentivize R&D activity in higher power UPS through utilizing
EDF corpus

Market and Opportunity


The inverter and UPS market in India was estimated to be worth US$ 1,189 million in 2012 and grow at about 9.7 per cent during
the period 20102015. The manufacturing ecosystem for these products is quite mature while technological requirements of UPS
manufacturing are greater than the manufacturing and design capabilities present in India currently. Some of the major players
in the inverters market are Luminous, Sukam, and Microtek; in the UPS market, the major players are APC, Eaton, and Emerson.
Steady demand from the home and SOHO segments is expected to buttress the growth of the inverter market. The unorganized
segment has a large share of the inverter market, though its share has been declining lately due to enhanced consumer awareness.
Unorganized players source their products in knocked-down units from East Asia, which do not compare favourably with locally
produced products in their quality and reliability. However, their input costs have increased on account of levying of duties on the
import of lead and lead products. Also, organized players have strengthened their distribution networks, thus posing a formidable
challenge to the unorganized players. Due to frequent power failures, inverters, specifically sub-5 kVA inverters, are increasingly
being used in applications like emergency lighting, elevator backup systems and other non-critical systems. The demand for
inverters is seasonal, peaking during the summer due to frequent power outages. This situation, especially in the southern states,
has contributed to the sharp rise in demand. The enforcement of pollution control norms is likely to support the substitution of
generator sets with inverters of similar capacity. The market is also witnessing the entry of consumer durables players.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

65

Inverters and UPS Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


1600

1565

1400
1200
1000

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

1415
1289
1189

1112

1124
0

TM: 8.9%
TDM (overall): 9.7%

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 9.7%

TDM (High value


add): NA

800
600

949

970

1033

1127

1242

1372
HVA-TDM : TM

400

2011

0%

200

2013

0%

2015

0%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

Inverters and UPS: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

7.72

7.19

0.00

2011

7.92

7.34

0.00

2012

8.67

8.16

0.00

2013

9.63

9.12

0.00

2014

10.81

10.27

0.00

2015

12.20

11.58

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

66

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Industry SWOT
The domestic manufacturing of inverters possesses medium value addition; all the electronics components are mostly imported.
Various companies present in the Indian industry leverage their local competencies and global supply to serve the domestic
market. India is more or less self-sufficient in the manufacturing of inverters. The most valuable component inside of an inverter is
the transformer and India possesses considerable capabilities for their manufacture. Such capabilities could enable the country act
as an export hub to countries such as Philippines, Vietnam, Sri Lanka etc.
With regard to UPS, some companies possess local competencies and choose to take advantage of it after considering their global
supply chain options as well. Lower power UPS (5 to 10 KVA) are mostly imported from China, and in some cases from Europe. Some
manufacturing of lower power UPS happens domestically as well. Higher power UPS are imported invariably from Europe or their
home bases. These mostly arrive in the finished product form, or in some cases may arrive in knocked-down units too wherein they
are assembled locally. The more critical technological requirements of higher power UPS require companies to source from their
home bases and R&D facilities.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Assemblers

Transformer

Power devices /
MOSFET

Heat sink

Microcontroller

Capacitors

Resistors

Downstream

Consumers
Inverters / UPS

Cooling system

Inductors

Enterprises

PCB
Power module

Power connectors

R&D, design, technology licensors

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

67

The table below captures the capability in India across the inverters and UPS value chain.

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Transformer

Yes

Yes

Power devices/
Mosfet

Partial

Heat sink

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

No

High

Though design capability exists there


is no local realization of IP

No

No

NA

Partial

Yes

No

NA

Microcontroller

Partial

No

No

NA

Other active
and passive
components

Yes

Yes

No

High

Enclosures

Yes

Yes

No

High

Though design capability exists there


is no local realization of IP

MNCs

Yes

Yes, low to
medium value
addition

No

Low to
Medium

Depending on technology
requirements, make or import decision
is made

Indigenous
players

Yes

Medium value
addition

Partial

High

Components are imported, assembly


happens locally

Inverters/UPS

Company
Names

Though design capability exists there


is no local realization of IP

India doesnt possess end-to-end capabilities of designing UPS with higher power ratings. With regard to manufacturing, robust
design expertise is an imperative for higher power UPS; the product lifecycle is high (approximately 4 years), the investment
needed is huge, as is the risk of implementation. Also, it is not economical to set up manufacturing of higher power UPS due to the
relatively small market size.

68

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the inverters and UPS market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Robust domestic demand for inverters and UPS

Escalating manufacturing and labour costs in China


could encourage local manufacturing

Comprehensive manufacturing ecosystem and


expertise for inverters

India as a export hub for servicing ME and North Africa

Fairly developed manufacturing competencies for


UPS

New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local


manufacturing investments

Availability of supporting industries

Further strengthening supporting industries would


entrench manufacturing competency

Rude health of corporate sector buttressing growth


of UPS market

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for products requiring greater


technical expertise

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in China

Lack of subsidies to encourage supporting industries;


tax benefits, etc.
Lack of design expertise for UPS of higher power ratings

Emergence of other low cost manufacturing destinations


like Vietnam.
Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and
other utilities uninterrupted availability

Lack of scale makes it difficult to compete with Chinese


products on price

Component SWOT
Many companies in the Indian electronics ecosystem import transformers and heat sinks from overseas though they are
manufactured in India since indigenous players are unable to compete with the cost of importedproducts. The same trend is
observed in PCB supply too. All semiconductor components are imported from East Asia.
The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the inverter/UPS bill of materials (BoM) irrespective of the phone type or price
are:
1. Transformer
2. Power semiconductors
3. Heat sink
4. Microcontroller

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

69

Strategic Conclusions
General
Information technology is a prime driver of the inverter and UPS market. Opportunities for UPS will open wherever there is a need
for unlimited power at constant frequencythis indicates that all critical applications in the corporate sector will need UPS to
fulfil their purpose. Also, usage of UPS is directly related to productivity which can act as a driver across industries. It would be of
great benefit to the economy of the country if we possessed holistic manufacturing competency of such a product. Hence, local
manufacturing should be encouraged by lowering excise duty and making the process of reimbursement of tax credit easier and
quicker to promote business confidence.

IP development
The government should seek to gain expertise in the design and manufacturing of UPS of high power rating (> 10 KVA) by investing
appropriately in R&Dthe EDF corpus could be an appropriate way of implementing this measure, especially considering the
need for higher capacity UPS for cloud servers and large scale enterprise operations. Alternatively, the government could formalize
practicum programs between industry and engineering institutions, which could lead to innovative design solutions and IP
generationthis could also help develop interest in core design activities among students.

Component ecosystem
The country does possess competencies in the manufacturing of PCB transformers. However, Indian manufacturers find it difficult
to compete with cheaper Chinese products. Indigenous manufacturers also do not possess enough scale to compete with the
Chinese who are able to price their products lower due to their economies of scale. The government could aid local players in
this regard by offering preferential excise duties and facilitating quicker reimbursement of tax credits. Also, the manufacturing of
transformers involves the import of copper, which affects lead time. Developing port and logistics infrastructure could go a long
way in decreasing the lead times of manufacturers and making indigenous products more attractive in the marketplace for OEMs.

Product manufacturing
The steady demand from the PC market and frequent power outages will continue to drive the market for home UPS and inverters.
Also, niche areas like cloud computing require reliable power supply to fulfil their performance guarantees and hence requite
quality UPS of higher power ratings. Export incentives should be given for the export of inverters since the country possesses a
holistic product ecosystem, and export opportunities are available in destinations like Sri Lanka, Philippines, Africa, etc. To this
effect, the extension of the zero duty EPCG benefit to all sectors could be a huge boost in this regard as it would aid manufacturers
in capacity expansion.
Current Limitation
Tax Structure

Component
Ecosystem

Value addition

70

a. No preferential excise duty rates


b. Convoluted tax exemption claim procedure

a. Lack of impetus to increase value addition

a. Lack of expertise in UPS of higher power


ratings

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


Government should set preferential excise duty
rates and also simplify the procedure for
claiming tax exemption.
Considering the rude health of the inverter
component ecosystem, even import duties
on these components could be reduced to
zero to have them compete against Chinese
products, to help them innovate on cost while
maintaining quality
Government should incentivize R&D activities in
this area through using the EDF corpus, so that
the ecosystem can add competencies across
the value chain for higher power UPS

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Memory Cards and USB drives Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Imported as finished products

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and


Growth

Nil

Local Value Addition

Nil

Top 4 Components

Flash memory chip, Microcontroller, Crystal oscillator, USB connector

Component Ecosystem

None; all imports in form of finished product

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion;


Why

Low to medium; Huge local market; High growth potential; Critical role
played in end user applications
a. Focus on eliminating grey market through levying CVD and
eliminating dumping, ensuring reliability of products in the market

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Deliberate thoroughly on pros and cons of establishing flash


memory manufacturing facilities while assessing other investment
opportunities in the electronics ecosystem

Market and Opportunity


The proliferation of digital content has created a surge in demand for storage devices. The flash memory market (memory cards
and USB drives) was estimated to have been worth US$ 1.1 billion in 2012 and is expected to grow at about 11.7 per cent over
the period 20112015. The magnitude of data being generated by imaging platforms and computing applications both in the
enterprise and consumer segment has grown manifold. These factors continually emphasize the need for reliable storage media
which should also be easily accessible and portable. The growth of social media and the sharing of content on social media websites
have also greatly influenced the demand for memory cards used in mobile phones and digital cameras. In a fairly short period of
time, the Indian market has been become fairly mature in the usage of flash memory. The most popular configurations are 4 GB, 8
GB, and 32 GB memory cards that are utilized in smartphones and digital cameras. Despite recent hikes in prices of flash memory,
the market is expected to grow driven by the robust smartphone and tablet market and increasing demand for consumer storage
in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities. USB 3.0 drives are estimated to be increasingly adopted in consumer storage by early adopters, while USB
2.0 drive might still find takers among the value conscious purchasing segment untilprices drop.

Memory cards and USB drives Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)
1.6

1.59

1.4

TM: 11.7%

1.40

1.2

TDM (overall): NA%

1.24

1
0.8

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

1.10

1.02

0.93

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : NA%
TDM (High value
add): NA

0.6

HVA-TDM : TM

0.4

2011

0%

0.2

2013

0%

2015

0%

2010

2011

2012

0
2013

0
2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

71

Memory cards and USB drives: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

48.20

0.00

0.00

2011

55.70

0.00

0.00

2012

63.07

0.00

0.00

2013

74.64

0.00

0.00

2014

88.60

0.00

0.00

2015

106.09

0.00

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The Indian electronics ecosystem possesses no competencies with regard to the manufacturing of flash memory. Fabrication
of memory chips and the assembly of flash memory cards is a highly complex and intricate process that requires considerable
investment. Almost all of the global flash memory suppliers are based in East Asia and the US, countries that possess mature
semiconductor fabrication capabilities: Samsung, Toshiba, Micron Technology and Hynix, among others are prominent makers
of flash memory. Since assembly of flash memory cards and drives is an intricate process and the finished products are not bulky
as well, all of the flash memory cards and drives consumed in the Indian market are imported as finished products. An additional
challenge to setting up flash memory fabrication facilities in India is that the business model revolves around low margins and
high volumes. Considering the excess global capacity of flash memory fabrication, it does not present an attractive business case
for investment in the Indian electronics ecosystem. However, manufacturers are investing capital in upgrading their equipment
to implement smaller process nodes at the global level. Costs and power required per chip can then be reduced and memory
densities can be increased. It is expected that 32+ GB configurations will comprise about 60 per cent of flash memory shipments,
beginning 2014.
The value chain of memory cards and USB drives is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers
USB connector plug

Flash memory chip

Microcontroller

Crystal oscillator

LEDs

Write protection
switch

Secondary
memory chip

Drive casing

Assemblers

Memory cards
/ USB drives

Downstream

Consumer
Electronics
Personal
data storage

R&D, design, technology licensors

72

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Recently, the government has opened a process of anti-dumping investigation with regard to imports of USB flash drives
manufactured in China, Chinese Taipei and South Korea. The notification states that there is prima facie evidence to show that
the normal value of USB flash drives being manufactured in these countries is significantly higher than the export price to India,
indicating presence of a dumping margin. If proven, the government could impose CVD on USB flash drives which would go a long
way in eliminating the grey market.
Table below captures the capability in India across the flash memory value chain.
Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company
Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

Flash memory
chip

No

No

No

Samsung,
Toshiba, Hynix

NA

Imported as part of finished product

Microcontroller

No

No

No

NA

Imported as part of finished product

No

No

No

NA

Imported as part of finished product

No

No

No

NA

Imported as part of finished product

LEDs

No

No

No

NA

Imported as part of finished product

Casing

No

No

No

NA

Imported as part of finished product

OEM

No

No

No

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Crystal
oscillator
USB connector
plug

Memory cards
/ USB drives

Cree, Nichia

Sandisk,
Kingston,
Transcend

NA

Piracy has long been a bugbear of the flash memory market. Imposing CVD on flash memory products would counteract the effect
of the grey market. It is expected that the resulting increase in prices would not affect the demand for branded products due to the
guarantee of reliable data storage and performance.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the flash memory market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Significant demand for flash memory, and its


associated advantages

Increasing usage of mobile phones, digital cameras, and


tablets

Potential for greater growth in future due to rising


usage of consumer electronics and IT

Newer product launches that incorporate date storage


through flash memory

Established manufacturing facilities and


technological improvements towards greater
memory densities

Observed trend of e-learning can be enabled by usage of


portable flash memory
Usage of backup media made easier through flash
memory

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Price competition constantly eats into margins which


are already low

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in East Asia


acts against local investment.

Effect of grey market erodes demand for more expensive


branded products

Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and


other utilities uninterrupted availability

Absence of any of value chain stages locally

Piracy affects usage of branded products which offer


reliability and greater performance

Market is extremely import heavy

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

73

Component SWOT
The components that make up a memory card or a USB drive are all mounted on the circuitry or the PCB itself due to the small size
of the products. The cost of manufacturing a memory card or a USB drive is quite low due to the scale achieved by flash memory
suppliers and advances in technology. All of these capabilities are present in East Asia on a large scale which acts against any
potential decisions to invest in local manfacturing capabilities. Also, due to the small size of these products and the complexity of
assembly, it is prudent to assemble memory cards and USB drives at the location of flash memory manufacturing and transport
them as finished products to market destinations. The flash memory chip accounts for nearly 80 per cent of the BoM.
In short, the top 4 components that contribute to majority of the bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Flash memory chip
2. Microcontroller/ASIC
3. Crystal oscillator
4. USB connector

Strategic Conclusions
General
The government should impose CVD on memory cards and drives to discourage the import of unbranded products and ensure
safety of customer data.

IP development
Considering the semiconductor design strength of the country and the critical nature of memory storage, the government should
utilize the mooted EDF corpus to encourage design activity in this field. This would give the country a foothold in a valuable stage
of a ubiquitous electronics product globally. The licensing of such IP would seed a great amount of design activity and overall
economic activity. This could also be achieved on a smaller scale through a formalized practicum program wherein fabless design
companies tie with nearby engineering colleges.

Component ecosystem
East Asian countries have already achieved scale in the manufacturing of flash memory chips and they also possess the necessary
capabilities to assembly memory cards and USB drives. Advances in memory technology and the scale achieved by flash memory
manufacturers have led to very affordable prices for these products.

Product manufacturing
Considering the low margins and the magnitude of investment required to set up a flash manufacturing facility, it seems logical to
divert the available resources towards other areas that would offer greater and faster returns on investment.However, due to the
critical nature of memory storage and the fact that it would add vital functionality to the products it is incorporated in, it would
be prudent to deliberate on the merits of attracting investment in a flash memory fabrication facility, while assessing the other
available opportunities for investment in the electronics ecosystem.

Current Limitation
Tax Structure

Value Addition

74

Solution to Promote Ecosystem

a. No measures present to
counteract grey market in
flash memory

a. If presence of dumping margins are proved, CVD must be


levied to create confidence among white market players and
create access to reliable products for consumers

a. Absence of flash
manufacturing facilities and
associated assembly activities

a. Considering both the low margin-high volume business


model of flash memory and the critical role it plays in end
user applications, considerable thought should be given to
attracting investment in flash memory manufacturing in the
future, possibly through M-SIPS or through a separate and
dedicated initiative

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

4W EMS - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Assembly and manufacturing

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and


Growth

1.94 million (2012); CAGR (2012-15) 22.4%

Local Value Addition

Low design, electronic components all imported along with


other materials

Top 4 Components

Mechanicals - Pumps and Injectors (40-50%), Analogs &


Sensors (20%), MCU (10%)

Component Ecosystem

Electronics imported

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion;


Why

High; emission norms getting stricter and EMS aids in better engine
performance
a. Focus on product IP and design

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Indias proposed fab could look at MCU for automotive applications


as a key product for local fabrication

Market and Opportunity


The need for better engine performance and the need to adhere to better emission norms have been influencing the adoption of
EMS in 4 wheelers. The total market for 4W EMS in 2012 was 3.66 million units, which is expected to reach 5.47 million units in 2015
growing at a CAGR of 13.5 per cent during 20112015. Of the total market, domestic manufacturing was about 1.94 million units
in 2012. It is expected to reach 3.56 million units by 2015 growing at a CAGR of 22.4 per cent.

4W EMS Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


1.4

1.34

1.2
1.0

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

1.22
0.99

0.96

TM: 7.9%

1.12

1.04

TDM (overall): 14.9%

0.8

TDM (High value


add): NA

0
0

0.6
0.4
0.2

0.5

0.43

TDM (Low/Med value


add) : 14.9%

0
0.64

0.55

0.75

0.87

HVA-TDM : TM
2011

0%

2013

10%

2015

25%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

75

4W EMS: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

3.04

1.37

0.00

2011

3.30

1.65

0.00

2012

3.66

1.94

0.00

2013

4.14

2.36

0.00

2014

4.76

2.90

0.00

2015

5.47

3.56

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
Almost 50 per cent of the total demand is met through imports, while the rest are assembled locally by companies like Bosch, Denso
and MagnetiMarelli. These companies presently conduct testing and development of EMS software which equates to a medium
level of value addition with regard to manufacturing in the country. These companies are also making substantial investments in
the expansion of their local EMS capabilities, which will increase the level of value addition with regard to manufacturing of EMS
in India.
The 4W EMS value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

System Integrators

Downstream

Mechanicals - Pumps
and Injectors
Analogs & Sensors

4W EMS

OEMs

MCU

R&D, design, technology licensors

76

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The table below captures the capability in India across the 4W EMS value chain.
Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company Names

Level of
Local Value
Add

Fuel Pump

Yes

Yes

Yes

Bosch, Kayne

High

Fuel Injector

Yes

Yes

Yes

Bosch, Kayne

High

MCU

Imports

No

No

Infineon, ST
Microelectronics,
Freescale, Renesas

None

None

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

The Fuel pump and injector


is manufactured and sold to
OEMs as a combined unit

Semiconductor ecosystem
missing

Analogs and
Sensors

Imports

No

No

ST Microelectronics,
Infineon, IR, Onsemi,
Freescale

OEM

Yes

Yes

No

Bosch, Denso,
Magneti Marelli

Low

EMS

No

No

No

NA

NA

4W EMS

Remarks

The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the 4W EMS market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Stricter automobile emission norms encourage EMS


manufacturing in India

Indias growing demand for small car to boost demand


for ECUs

India already the largest market for automobile and a


small-car export hub adds to the demand for EMS

Bosch India availing MSIPS to start production of ECUs


in next 5 years

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

98% of EMS components imported

Slowdown of the Indian automobile industry

OEMs global offices hold IP rights of EMS design

Importing components from China and Vietnam holds


better business proposition

Import duties on electronics should be reduced

Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and


other utilities uninterrupted availability

Component SWOT
The top 3 components that contribute to the majority of the 4W EMS bill of materials (BoM) are:
Mechanicals: pumps and injectors
Analogs and sensors
Microcontrollers
Analogs, sensors and microcontrollers are imported components since the Indian electronics ecosystem doesnt possess the
relevant competencies needed for the manufacturing of these components domestically. These are imported by companies such
as STMicroelectronics, Infineon, Freescale, Fujitsu, and the like. Pumps and injectors are sourced locally through companies such as
Bosch and Kayne that possess domestic manufacturing capacity.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

77

Strategic Conclusions
General:
The need for an efficient fuel management system in vehicles has seen this product segment chart tremendous growth. To
accentuate the growth of the product market further, using the EMC policy, an automotive electronic cluster could be set up in
south India, preferably near the Bangalore-Chennai corridor, since the area already is home to significant automotive manufacturing
activity.

IP development:
India already holds the IP of one of the critical components, i.e. the fuel injector and pump. However, the IP right of the entire
technology is still held by the global offices of the OEM which are shared with their local offices.

Component ecosystem:
Nearly 95 per cent of the electronics and raw materials required are imported from countries such as Japan, Thailand, Korea, etc. The
country needs to develop the electronics ecosystem along with the remaining raw materials to gain value as this product segment
holds tremendous growth opportunities. This could be achieved by attracting investment through the MSIPS policy. Coupled
with preferential excise duties or greater rates of CENVAT, this could provide impetus for electronics manufacturing in the country,
especially in the area of microcontrollers since the Indian electronics ecosystem possesses considerable design competencies as
well. The setting up of the two semiconductor fabs in the country would prove to be a great enabler in this regard.

Product manufacturing:
Bosch, Denso and MagnettiMarelli, manufacture the most critical component in the BoM, the fuel injector and pump, with around
40-50 per cent being locally designed and manufactured as well.
Current Limitation

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Fab policy could foster manufacturing of
microcontrollers, due to existing design competencies
and automotive manufacturing competencies.

Market/ Value chain

Component market is importheavy; all major electronics


components being imported

b. Manufacturing of electronics components, especially


microcontrollers, to be incentivized using preferential
excise rates or greater rates of CENVAT credit
c. Using MSIPS and EMC, automotive electronics
manufacturing clusters could be setup in the south,
near the Bangalore-Chennai region.

78

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

LCD Monitor - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Finished product imports; Assembly

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

4.96 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 20.0%

Local Value Addition

Low to medium: Assembly activity

Top 4 Components

Display, ICs, Electro-mechanicals, Power Components

Component Ecosystem

Negligible; Predominantly Imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

Medium; Huge local market; High growth potential;


Export opportunity
a. Preferential excise and facilitate reimbursement of
tax credit

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Explore attracting investment for brownfield Gen 5


TFT LCD fab
c. Use EDF funds to foster R&D into new display technologies

Market and Opportunity


The LCD monitors market was estimated to have been worth US$ 907 million in 2012, and was projected to grow at about 11.2
per cent during the period 20112015. LCD technology has nearly replaced CRT technology and dominates the display segment
presently. LED backlit monitors, that are more energy efficient than CCFL-backlit LCD monitors, are fast gaining prominence. Already,
major players have begun revamping their product portfolios solely with LED-backlit monitors. This has led to the emergence of
small indigenous players who have moved into the CCFL-backlit LCD business, offering lower pricing. The assembled desktop PC
industry is the biggest driver of the LCD monitor market. Hence, rising adoption of laptops has affected demand to a large extent.
However, efforts to computerize government agencies which created demand for desktop PCs have served to sustain demand for
LCD monitors to an extent. The resilient progress made by the Indian ITeS sector and SMBs is expected to further drive demand
for LCD monitors. Although 50 to 60 per cent of the market consists of finished product imports, LCD panels were exempted from
customs duties beginning 2012, and this is expected to give great impetus for local manufacturing of LCD monitors. Depreciation
of the Indian Rupee has affected prices of monitors in the short term, as has recent hikes in excise duty.
The LCD monitor market is highly competitive. In addition to bigger players like Samsung, LG, Viewsonic, AOC and Philips, PC OEMs
such as Asus, Acer, Dell and HCL also are present. There are also newer and smaller players present like Beetel, Intex, Moser Baer and
iBall that have established fairly strong distribution channels through local contacts.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

79

LCD Monitors Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


1400
CAGR (2011 - 2015)

1245
1200
1008

1000
800

200

TDM (overall): 14.0%

907

816

0
490

397

TDM (High value


add): NA

0
0

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 14.0%

756

600
400

TM: 11.2%

1121

636

558

827

725

HVA-TDM : TM
2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

LCD Monitors: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

6.00

3.15

0.00

2011

6.80

4.08

0.00

2012

7.86

4.90

0.00

2013

9.31

5.88

0.00

2014

10.89

7.05

0.00

2015

12.74

8.46

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The TFT LCD (thin film transistor-liquid crystal display) industry is very capital-intensive. Typically, the cost of a new TFT LCD fab
is about US$ 3 billion. This is because such a fab would contain expensive process equipment and also critical material handling
equipment that work with the process equipment. The penetration rate of LCD panels has outstripped that of traditional
displays. LCD panels were exempted from basic customs duty beginning 2012, and this is expected to attract investment in local
manufacturing of LCD monitors. However, it is important to be cognisant of the present stage of evolution of display technology
and its relevance to the Indian context.
Globally, LCD fabrication has gone through an evolution of nearly 9 generations since the first generation. The major difference in
generation technology is the size of the mother glass that is used at the beginning of the manufacturing process. The size of the
mother glass used in generation 1 was about 30cm x 40cm, and could make one 15 panel. Presently, the size of the mother glass
used in hybrid generation 8.5 fabs is approximately 220 x 250 cm, and the glass thickness is less than 1mm.

80

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The LCD monitor value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Assemblers

Backlight units

Polarizer

Colour filter

Array glass
substrate

Bridge Rectifier

Filter Capacitor

SMPS
Transformer

Schottky
Diodes

Output Filter
Capacitor

Fuse

Downstream

OEMs

Consumers
LCD monitors
Enterprises

Government
Power IC

Opto-isolator

R&D, design, technology licensors

The progression through fab generations in the TFT LCD industry also involves increases in production efficiency. For example, 32
LCD TV panels were originally designed to be manufactured in generation 6 fabs. But presently more than 70 per cent of them are
produced in generation 8 fabs and generation 6 fabs now produce LCD monitor panels. Also, the usage of 0.5 mm glass substrates
in generation 6 and newer fabs has introduced production flexibility; both laptop and monitor panels can now be made in these
fabs, instead of having to concentrate production on one end user application alone.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

81

The table below captures the capability in India across the LCD monitor value chain.
Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company
Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

Display

No

No

No

LG, Samsung, Sharp,


NEC Display

NA

Imported as part of finished


product

Electromehcanicals

No

Yes

No

Medium

Though design capability Exists


there is no local realization of IP

NA

Imported as part of finished


product

Medium

Though design capability Exists


there is no local realization of IP

Category

Components
and Sub systems

Himax
Technologies, Orise
Technology, Sitronix,
Raydium,
Semiconductor

ICs

No

No

No

Power components

No

Yes

No

OEM

No

No

No

LG,
Samsung,
AOC

NA

No local manufacturing value


addition

Indigenous
players

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

No

Moser Baer,
iBall, Intex

Low

Low manufacturing
value addition

LCD monitors

Generation 5 fabs now mostly produce tablet PC panels; 89 per cent of notebook PC panels are also made in Gen 5 fabs. Generations
5 to 7 currently produce LCD monitor panels.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the tablets market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge domestic demand for LCD monitors

Government initiative could encourage uptick in LCD


manufacturing activity

Exemption of LCD panels from basic duty


encourages local value addition

Manufacturers evaluating Indias fit as an export hub for


LCD monitors

Sustained demand for desktops drives demand for


LCD monitors

Rising labour costs in China could drive investment


towards India

Highly competitive market increases awareness of


product among consumers
Fairly developed EMS industry capabilities for LCD
monitor manufacturing
WEAKNESS
Reliance on imports for most of the critical components
chips, glass substrates, etc.
Excise duty hike in mobiles could constrains local
manufacturing
Absence of LCD fab that could greatly reduce turnaround
times and optimize costs for consumers
Adequate capacity at global fabs could cause investors
to reconsider investment decision

82

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Sustained demand projected for tablets and laptops,


also desktops

SWOT
THREATS
Well established manufacturing ecosystem in East Asia
Capital intensive nature of setting up TFT LCD fabs
Emergence of new display technology that could hinder
return on investment
Infrastructural deficiencies that could delay investment
and implementation

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Component SWOT
The biggest contribution to the BoM in terms of dollar value in an LCD monitor is accounted for by the display panel which could
cost up to 50 per cent of the total BoM approximately. Next come the electromechanical components,that could cost 15 per cent
of the BoM, and then the ICs and power components that account for the remaining 15 per cent.In short, the top 4 components
that contributes to majority of the LCD monitor bill of materials BoM are:
1. Display
2. Electromechanicals
3. ICs
4. Power
The bigger players in the market mostly import LCD monitors as finished products and do not need to source locally as the basic
duty on these are exempt as well.

Strategic Conclusions
General
Tax structures should be amended to encourage LCD manufacturing through preferential excise duty rates and easier
reimbursement of tax credit. Since finished product imports are also exempt from basic customs duty due to trade agreements,
the government should explore the option of bringing local sourcing of LCDs under the Preferential Market Access Scheme.

IP development
Investing in R&D for new display technologies should also be considered to hedge against investment made in TFT LCD display
fabrication. Samsung has already been pulling out investments in new TFT LCD generations and has begun investing in R&D for
implementing new AMOLED display technology. This would lead to indigenous IP being created in the country, which could make
India a world leader in those technologies, much like how Japan and Korea have a monopoly on cutting-edge display technology
currently.

Component ecosystem
The Indian ecosystem does possess competencies in the manufacturing of electromechanical components, SMPS transformers
and the plastic enclosures used in the assembly of LCD monitors. The manufacturing of these components should be incentivized,
especially since they are relevant to the product ecosystems of other electronics products as well. Local sourcing of these
components should be encouraged through tax credits for vendors who source these components locally. Simultaneously, the
government could encourage local manufacturers to tie up with engineering colleges and institutes in the vicinity through a
formalized practicum program, so that engineering students could contribute to design of these components.

Product manufacturing
Competencies in the manufacturing of LCD displays,especially for tablet and laptop applications (assuming the supporting
ecosystem for these products are incentivized as well, so that LCD manufacturing can feed into them), could be encouraged. This
would require investment in generation 5 fabs, which are mostly being used for these end user applications79 per cent of tablet
displays and 89 per cent of laptop displays are manufactured in generation 5 fabs. Also, generation 5 fabs are growing at only
3 per cent a year while higher generation fabs are clocking almost 26 per cent annual growth. This could mean that relocating
a generation 5 fab to a brownfield location could be done at an affordable level of investment, instead of the typical $ 3 billion
needed for a new fab.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

83

Current Limitation

a. No preferential excise duty


Tax Structure

Value Addition

Policy Initiatives

84

b. Finished product imports exempt from


basic duty

a. Absence of LCD fab


b. Feeding to supporting ecosystems

a. R&D for new display technologies

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


Preferential excise duty should be given to
manufacturing of LCDs while also facilitating
reimbursement of tax credit. The option of
including LCD under PMAS should also be
explored, if feasible.
Government should look into attracting
investment for an brownfield LCD Gen 5 fab, that
would serve tablet and laptop markets; this could
feed into incentivizing of the tablet and laptop
ecosystems.
Government should also use Electronics
Development Fund (EDF) funds to promote R&D
into new display technologies to hedge against
investment in a Gen 5 fab, and also with an eye on
becoming a future leader in display technology

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Servers - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

No; mostly finished product imports

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

0.03 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 18.6%

Local Value Addition

Low Negligible sourcing; negligible assembly

Top 4 Components

Processor, Memory, Motherboard, Hard Disk Drive

Component Ecosystem

Negligible; predominantly finished product imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

Medium; Sizeable local market; Robust growth potential; Possible


export opportunity
a. Reimbursement of SAD to be made easier for encouraging
investment in manufacturing

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Increase rate of abatement


c. Motherboard and enclosure manufacturing to be offered preferential rates of customs and excise duty

Market and Opportunity


The servers market in India was estimated to be worth US$ 769 million in 2012. The market is slated to grow at a rate of approximately
11.2 per cent during the period 20112015 and is estimated to be worth at least US$ 1 billion by 2015. The projected growth of the
cloud computing market in India would also require humongous investment in cloud infrastructure, which will create equivalent
demand for servers. Also, the amount of business being transacted by industries such as ITeS, retail and BFSI, among others, has
sustained demand for servers. Contiuning investment in IT infrastructure across various verticals in the corporate sector has also
contributed to the growth of the market. However, the market is import heavy and fluctuation in the value of the Indian Rupee
frequently poses challenges for vendors.
IBM, HP, Dell and Oracle are the key players in the market, accounting for almost 90 per cent of the market cumulatively. IBM is the
market leader, responsible for one-third of the market. Another trend being observed is the consolidation of IT infrastrucutre by
SMBs who now looking towards virtualization as a solution. As a result, channel partners are now are playing the role of solution
providers for SMBs. Hence, server vendors are in turn ensuring that channel partners are up to speed with the latest training and
capabilities to safeguard their brand equity. The progress made by the Indian ITeS industry, the bright fortunes of cloud computing
and increased technology spending by the SMB segment is expected to support the growth of the servers market.

Servers Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


1200
CAGR (2011 - 2015)

1085
1000

TM: 11.2%

956

TDM (overall): 15.4%

853
800

709

677

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 15.4%

769

600

TDM (High value


add): NA

400

HVA-TDM : TM

200
0

2011

0%

2013

0%

74

80

87

102

119

141

2015

0%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

85

Servers: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

0.11

0.02

0.00

2011

0.12

0.02

0.00

2012

0.14

0.03

0.00

2013

0.16

0.03

0.00

2014

0.19

0.04

0.00

2015

0.22

0.05

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The current ecosystem for servers involves local assembly; however, it is limited to SKD assembly or packaging and local testing.
This translates into value addition of not more than 5 per cent. However one opportunity for extra value addition lies in the sheet
metal fabrication of server cabinets, just as in desktops. This can definitely be carried out in India; however, different grades of steel
will have to be used to adhere to the criticalities of IT equipment. This is most definitely an opportunity in the Indian electronics
ecosystem for servers.
A lot of design activity happens in the captive design centres of global MNCs like Intel, Dell, HP, etc. However, this doesnt translate
into any local IP since all IP is held at the base of operations of MNCs. Assembly is carried out at the market destination for preshipment inspection and pre-delivery testing, if those are required.
In the last few years, local sourcing of components has been on the wane because of a convoluted duty structure that increases
business complexity for manufacturers importing individual components for assembly; for e.g., import for finished mother boards
attracts only CVD while import of individual components for motherboard manufacturing attracts CVD and an SAD of 4 per cent
that will be refunded after raising a reimbursement claim for the same. This increases upfront costs for manufacturers and also
increases uncertainty for them due to reimbursement claims that they need to make. This is particularly relevant during times
of currency depreciation when import costs can increase drastically. Such factors discourage entities from making significant
investments in manufacturing facilities considering the relatively thin margins that this industry operates on.
The server industry might undergo vertical integration in the future. Infrastructure software players are re-architecting their
products to support the dynamism of on-demand service oriented architecture. If on-demand becomes a dominant trend in the
future, one can expect that the software providers who align themselves to this trend would gain power in the value chain. On the
other hand, major systems vendors such as IBM and HP may partner with independent software suppliers or develop their own
stack of software.

86

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Downstream

Assemblers

Motherboard;
Memory; Processor

CPU

Hard disk /
Cabinet

Power supply / UPS

Enterprises

Consumers

Servers

Video card; Sound


card; Network card

Government

Operating System
Software
Applications

R&D, design, technology licensors

The table below captures the capability in India across the servers value chain.

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Servers

Product

Local Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company
Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

Processor

Imports

No

No

Intel, AMD

NA

Though design capability


exists there is no presence
of local IP

Motherboard

Imports/Local
Supply

Yes

No

Pegatron, ECS,
Gigabyte, MSI,
Foxconn

Low

Local motherboard
assembly used to be
operational; shut down now

Hard disk

Imports

No

No

Seagate,
Toshiba

NA

Memory

Imports

No

No

OEM

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

No

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

NA

HCL, HP, IBM

Low

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

87

Currently, local manufacturing is not competitive globally due to a number of disability factors. In the light of latent manufacturing
strength for certain products, inclusion of those products under the ITA I agreement has constrained the growth of local
manufacturing due to the availability of imported goods. Also, domestic volumes are not growing fast enough for entities to invest
in manufacturing on a large scale. MNCs invested in assembly facilities early on as they needed to be closer to their market; this also
indicates their confidence in the manufacturing capability present in the country. However, the absence of a business environment
in which local manufacturing can thrive has led to the suppression of local manufacturing capabilities.
However, the advent of cloud computing has definitely thrown a spanner in the works in the server market. Cloud computing
offers many advantages to organizations. The cloud allows organization to optimize costs while offering performance guarantees.
However, organizations could possibly implement private and hybrid clouds, which would still require purchase of dedicated
servers.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the servers market.
STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Manpower skills available, both vocational and


skilled

Active role of government in fostering electronics


manufacturing

Government schemes and policies expected to


foster growth

Rising manufacturing and labour costs in China driving


manufacturers towards alternative destinations

Strong growth in the government and BFSI verticals


drives market

India as a export hub for servicing Middle East and


African countries

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Negative influence of INR depreciation

Well established manufacturing ecosystems in China and


East Asia

Convoluted duty structure causes complexity in business


execution
Limited or nil IP generation; lack of incentives for
indigenous design activities
Lack of wholesome supporting ecosystem for complete
manufacturing

88

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Infrastructure inadequacy of power, clean water, and


other utilities
Advent of cloud computing could pose a threat to the
market for servers

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Component SWOT
The biggest contribution to the BoM in terms of dollar value in a server is accounted for by the processor which costs anywhere
between $ 60 to 110 approximately. Next comes the motherboard and the hard disk which cost about $ 40 each, followed by
the memory module that costs around $ 30. On the motherboard, the semicondcutor components and the PCB are most critical.
Considering a BoM of $ 40 for the motherboard, it can be estimated that the chipset costs about $ 12, the PCB costs about 6.5, and
that the overall semiconductor cost is about $ 20 including the peripheral chips.
In short, the top 4 components that contribute to majority of the server bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Processor
2. Memory
3. Motherboard
4. HDD
Processors are sourced from either Intel or AMD. The top suppliers for hard disks are Seagate and Toshiba. However, the situation
with regard to hard disk is slightly in the balance currently due the shift in technology and enterprise business models, i.e., the shift
towards cloud computing and centralized servers, and the movement in technology towards solid state drives.

Strategic Conclusions
General
The levying of SAD should be repealed on individual electronic components, or at the very least, individual components of
motherboards. Also, the reimbursement process should be made easier and faster so that companies do not have to contend with
uncertainties of receiving reimbursement. The present rate of abatement should also be raised from 25 per cent to reflect the rise
in costs of doing business. SAD could be levied on finished product imports of motherboard for which a nascent manufacturing
ecosystem exists in India.

IP development
A large amount of design activity is carried out at the established IT firms such as HCL and Infosys and the captive design centres
of Intel and AMD, but there is no local IP held in the country. Encouraging the growth of fabless design companies and software
development firms through start-up capital seeding, and possibly through the mooted EDF corpus, could lead to the generation of
indigenous IP in the short to medium term. The application of regional language software could provide opportunities considering
the expected penetration of computing and connectivity in semi-urban and rural areas; the idea of setting up central government
grants for such software development activity at the NITs should be considered.

Component ecosystem
The manufacturing of motherboards should be incentivized by exempting individual components from basic customs duty and
excise duty, or offering preferential excise duty. Decrease in tax revenues could be offset a little through smaller hikes in sales tax
or through offering greater rates of CENVAT credit on excise duties.The Indian manufacturing ecosystem possesses competencies
in the manufacturing of motherboards, which is a top BoM contributor in terms of dollar value. It also has applications in almost
every electronics product. Once local manufacturing is encouraged by exempting from/ granting preferential excise duties, it is
very possible that investment will flow in and spur organic growth of the value chain. Likewise, sheet metal fabrication and plastic
moulding are fairly mature technologies in India; hence, the manufacturing of cabinets and enclosures could also be incentivized
through preferential excise duties and exempting them from additional duties, for use in servers.

Product manufacturing
The assembling of servers is already being carried out by global OEMs and indigenous players like HCL and Wipro. India has held
back from discussing the ITA II due to the fact that the government recognizes the need for encouraging the growth of the nascent
manufacturing capabilities in the country. If India were to sign the ITA II, it could potentially push companies into investing in
high-value added manufacturing in the country. Coupled with the wholesome basket of policy initiative being enacted by the
government, this could also lead to the establishment of a thriving product ecosystem.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

89

Current Limitation
Tax Structure

Value Addition

Component
Ecosystem

90

a. Inverted duty structure


b. Low rate of abatement

a. Lack of supporting industries


b. Absence of product design/IP generation

a. Reliance on imports
b. Demand volumes

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Simplify reimbursement of SAD
b. Increase rate of abatement to reflect rising costs
of doing business
c. Incentivize manufacturing of PCBs, cabinets,
and enclosures for servers by giving preferential
excise rates
d. Utilize MSIPS and Electronics Manufacturing
Clusters scheme effectively to promote
manufacturing clusters for these components
c. Increase CENVAT credit for locally sourced
components/raw material
d. Increase basic duty for imports and reduce sales
tax for finished goods

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Base Stations (BTS) - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/ Assembly/ Design

Very negligent complete local manufacturing; Predominantly low


value add manufacturing for exports; local demand through imports

Local Manufacturing/ Assembly Volumes and


Growth

0.25 million (2012)


CAGR 7.1% (2012-2015)

Local Value Addition

Low heavily reliance on imports of critical components

Top 4 Components

ICs (40%), Power Amplifier (15%), Power Supplies (12%),


Antenna (10%)

Component Ecosystem

Entire Electronics including the Power Amplifier is imported; rest


supplies, body casing, packaging, etc. are sourced locally

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion;


Why

High; Indias telecom growth story commendable; has 2nd largest


subscriber base in the world which is expected to grow further

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

a. Focus on design and development of PCBs, power supplies, and


antennas
b. Freight duty/entry tax on transportation of heavy goods across
states should be rationalized

Market and Opportunity


The Base Station (BTS) industry is capital intensive since nearly 55 to 60 per cent of the total operational and management costs
of a telecom operator is accounted for by the purchase, installation and maintenance of mobile towers. The high-growth telecom
sector saw a decline in 2011 and 2012 due to oversupply and penetration saturation in urban areas. However, surging data usage
through mobile networks has necessitated new installation and up-gradation of the existing BTS infrastructure to maintain quality
and speed of data flow.
BTS shipment volumes in the country are anticipated to grow from 0.08 million units in 2012 to 0.15 million units by 2015, growing
at a CAGR of 23.3 per cent. The domestic manufacturing landscape of BTS mostly serves the export market. India exported
0.25 million units in 2012, which is expected to reach 0.29 million units in 2015, growing at a CAGR of 5.1 per cent. Indigenous
manufacturing of BTS for local sales is very negligible.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

91

GSM BTS Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


1.4

1.35

1.26
1.2
1.0

CAGR (2011 - 2015)


TM: 11.3%

1.08

TDM (overall): NA%

0.98

TDM (Low/Med
value add): NA%

0.88

0.8

TDM (High value


add): NA

0.72

0.6
HVA-TDM : TM

0.4
0.2
0

0
0

2010

2011

2012

0
2013

0.18

0.09
2014

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

BTS GSM: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

0.120

0.000

0.209

2011

0.110

0.000

0.240

2012

0.080

0.000

0.252

2013

0.120

0.000

0.272

2014

0.140

0.000

0.289

2015

0.150

0.000

0.309
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The BTS value chain consists of BTS suppliers, EMS partners, sub-part suppliers and telecom operators. Almost all the leading
suppliers of BTS globally, namely NSN, Ericsson, Alcatel Lucent, Huawei and ZTE, supply BTS in CBU form to Indian telecom
operators by directly importing BTS units to the installation sites anywhere across the country. For the export market, a gamut of
activities arecarried on by the OEMs, their EMS partners and the sub-part suppliers.

92

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The BTS value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Downstream

System Integrators

ICs
Discretes

Semiconductors

Passives

Metals
Interconnex
Antenna

OEM
Electro-mechanicals

BTS

Customers
EMS Partner

Power Supplies
packaging
Operating System
Software
Applications

R&D, design, technology licensors

There is some low value added assembly-cum-manufacturing of GSM BTS happening in Indian through manufacturing plants
situated in Tamil Nadu. However, the entire production of these plants is exported to markets across Europe. The board with key
components already mounted is imported while succeeding activities such as PCB assembly, casing mounting, etc. are carried
out locally. While import of the critical components is unavoidable, some 25 to 30per cent of the BoM, comprising of the antenna,
interconnectors, power supplies, metal casing, packaging materials, etc., are sourced locally from domestic sub-part suppliers.
Local suppliers either source the raw materials locally or import them to match the specification of OEMs. In some cases, OEMs
may provide the local suppliers with the reference designs for the manufacturing of sub-parts/systems. As for components, all
the semiconductors and electro-mechanicals are imported into the country while local players ensure the supply of packaging
material, metal parts, antennae, power supplies, interconnectors, etc. The amount of design activity that happens in the country
for BTS manufacturing is small.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

93

The table below captures the capability in India across the BTS value chain.

Product

Local
Supply

Company
Names

Level of Local Value Add

ICs

Imports

No

No

TI, Freescale,
NXP, ST
Microelectronics

NA

Power
Amplifier

Imports

No

No

Power wave,
Ericsson, NSN,
Huwaei

NA

Power
Supplies

Yes

Yes

Yes

VMC, Acme Tele,


GE power

High

Antenna

Yes

Yes

No

High

Interconnex

Yes

Yes

No

High

Metals,
Packaging

Yes

Yes

No

High

OEM

No

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

No

NSN, Huawei,
ZTE, Alcatel
Lucent, Erricson

Low

Though design capability


exists there is no local
realization of IP

EMS

No

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

No

Sanmina

Low

Local manufacturing feeds


exports only

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

BTS

Local
Local IP
Manufacturing Capability

Remarks

Companies use the designs


given by the OEM and source
raw materials locally

Huawei and ZTE possess large-scale manufacturing bases in neighbouring China. The recent rise of Vietnam and Africa as
emerging destinations for low cost manufacturing is seen as a credible threat to Indias dream of becoming a global manufacturing
destination. Most of the BTS MNCs have established R&D centres in India; however, the intellectual output from the design and
R&D activities carried out is held at their global headquarters. The recent policy initiatives are expected to attract investments into
the local BTS sector given the enormous demand and export potential.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the BTS market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Rise of India as a telecom giant globally

New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local


manufacturing investments.

Increase in data traffic in mobile networks

India used as an export destination by global suppliers

Roll out of 3G and 4G services with the penetration of


smart phones
EMS companies capable in BTS manufacturing

Local freight charges needs rework in-land cost


higher than total import cost of product

Govt. committed to improve and expand telecom


infrastructure in Far East and rural interiors

100% FDI in telecom to boost penetration and demand


for BTS further

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components


chips, power amplifiers, PCBs

Urban saturation and over-supply of BTS limiting


demand generation

Inverted duty structure discouraging investment in


local manufacturing

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in


neighbouring China.

Limited or negligent product design activities locally;


Limited IP generation

Emergence of other low cost manufacturing destinations


like Vietnam and Africa.
Fledgling ecosystem of raw materials and components

94

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Component SWOT
The BTS consists of thousands of components and almost half of the product cost is contributed by electronics used in the BTS. The
top 4 components that contribute to majority of the BTS bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. ICs
2. Power Amplifier
3. Power Supplies
4. Antenna
The BTS value chain in India lacks the presence of a well-endowed ecosystem for manufacturing of both components and the
end product. The electronic components of BTS are exempt from import duty (under ITA-1) which could act as a restraint against
investment in the Indian component ecosystem.

Strategic Conclusions
General:
BTS are exempt from customs duty for import of electronic components used in its manufacturing anywhere in the world, being
part of the ITA- 1 list of products. Also, suppliers have raised concerns about the high in-land freight charges in India, which accounts
for about 15 to 17 per cent at present, which is exceptionally high compared to the freight charges of importing BTS globally.
Decreasing the in-land freight costs from 17 per cent to about 3 to 4 per cent would reduce costs for indigenous manufacturing
and encourage local value addition.

IP development:
Irrespective of the presence of numerous captive and third party design houses in the country, along with individual design
centres of the global BTS OEMs, none of the IP is realized locally as all the patenting is done overseas. Although a good percentage
of design related work is carried out here, probable lack of Governmental support and encouragement has led India to lose out
on patent filing.

Component ecosystem:
In the domestic BTS manufacturing ecosystem, parts and sub-parts such as the antennas, interconnectors, power supplies, metal
casing, packaging materials, etc., are sourced from local suppliers, and these contribute around 25 to 30 per cent of the total BTS
BoM. A closer look at the component composition of BTS indicates that only the electronic components are imported into the
country, besides a few electro-mechanical parts. However, the setting up of semiconductor fabs in the country is a positive step
towards becoming self-sufficient with regard to semiconductor manufacturing. This factor could incentivize manufacturing of
electronic components and other downstream activities that feed into the manufacturing of BTS.

Product manufacturing:
The local PCB industry not only serves the domestic market but also serves the export market; around 24 per cent of the total PCBs
manufactured annually is exported. Indian PCB manufacturers have also enhanced their capabilities from single 2-layered PCBs
to 16-24 multiple-layered PCBs. However, local sourcing of PCBs is not considerable because the PCBs needed are too complex
for Indian PCB manufacturers. Competency should be built so that local sourcing of the required PCBs can be done. Domestic
manufacturers should also be encouraged to build their capabilities to design and develop power supplies and antennas used in
the BTS from scratch to the final product indigenously. The MSIPS, EMC and NMP policies serve as a holistic guideline for suppliers
to take cognizance of, and apply for appropriate subsidies.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

95

Current Limitation

Tax Structure

a. BTS is a ITA1 product, and is thus a zero


duty product
b. High freight costs of approx. 17 per cent is
undesirable
a. Lack of feeding industries

Value Addition

Policy Initiatives

96

b. Countrys infrastructure is lacking in some


aspects

a. No policies for logistics support

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Freight costs should be rationalized through
amending road tax and entry tax
a. Development of support infrastructure like roads,
power
b. Setting up of electronics clusters to promote
downstream activities
a. Government should help subsidize logistics costs
until such subsidy is no longer necessary

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Power supplies - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Local design, assembly and manufacturing

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

187 million (2012); CAGR (2012-2015) 10.2%

Local Value Addition

High local sourcing, local assembly, packaging

Top 4 Components

Transformer, Power Semiconductor, Rectifier Diodes, PCB

Component Ecosystem

Only electronic imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential;


Export Opportunity
a. Top 4 Components do not have much potential for
indigenization (global capacities, lack of local infrastructure etc)
b. Incentivize electronic component manufacturing

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

c. Provide Infrastructure - land, water and energy facilities for


electronic component manufacturing
d. Incentives to encourage exports

Market and Opportunity


The increasing growth of laptops, mobile phones and tablet PCs is propelling the growth of the power supplies market in India. The
market generated revenues of US$ 574 million in 2012 and is expected to reach US$ 660 million by 2015 with a CAGR of 5 per cent.
Tablet PCs, smartphonesand laptops use external adapters, which arethe highest growing segment in the power supplies market.
The rollout of 3G and 4G is expected to boost the demand for smartphones and thereby influence the growth of power supplies for
the same. The expected lanuch of newer verison of gaming consoles by Microsoft and Sony is also expected to boost the demand
for external power adapters. The driving factors for increasing demand for products such as tablet PC, LED lighting, mobile phones,
gaming consoles etc., is expected to boost the level of local manufacturing. India has a huge unorganized market for this particular
market which indulges in high value addition local assembly. The domestic manufacturing for this product market was valued at
US$ 444 million in 2012 and is expected to reach a value of $ 510 million by 2015 with a CAGR of 4.7per cent.

Power Supplies Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4

0.43

0.41

CAGR (2011 - 2015)


TM: 4.8%

0.57

0.55

0.52

0.66

0.63

0.60

0.51
0.47

0.44

0.48

TDM (overall): 5.3%


TDM (Low/Med
value add) : NA
TDM (High value
add): 4.8%

0.3
HVA-TDM : TM

0.2
0.1

2011

78%

2013

78%

2015

77%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

97

Power supplies: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

200

154.55

NA

2011

220

220.00

NA

2012

242

170.00

NA

2013

267.9

242.00

NA

2014

294.7

187.00

NA

2015

324.2

267.89

NA
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The power supplies value chain comprises of various material and component suppliers, subsystem suppliers and the downstream
segments like IT, ITeS, etc. The Indian market witnesses a huge unorganized market for power supplies comprising a number of small
local players who execute local assembly activities. The electronic components are imported while the rest of the components are
locally sourced and assembled. This contributes to high value addition in the indigenous manufacturing of power supplies. India
meets around 70 per cent of the local demand through local manufacturing. The remaining 30 per cent is imported majorly as
finished goods and either sold at lower prices since they do not undergo safety certifications or tested locally and sold at a higher
price.
The power supplies value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Assemblers

Downstream

Transformer
Power supply
Copper wires

Capacitor
Rectifiers

Power Supplies OEM

Consumer

Power Supplies EMS

IT / ITes

IC

Mosfets

Mechanical
Components
Rubber
Plastic,
Sheet Metal

R&D, design, technology licensors

98

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
VMC is one of the top players and holds patents for its designs. There are numerous small players carrying out their own design and
assembly catering to particular end user segments. Manufacturing and local assembly are the countrys greatest strengths with
high quality labour availability and cheaper labour costs when compared to China or other neighbouring countries.
The table below captures the capability in India across the power supplies value chain.
Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Product

Local Supply

Capacitors

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

Local
Local IP
Level of Local
Company Names
Manufacturing Capability
Value Add
No

No

Koshin, STM,
Infineon

NA

Majorly local
Transformer supply, partially
imported

Yes

No

Pulse magnetic,
Many local
players

NA

Rectifier
diodes

Partially
Imported, Partial
local supply

Yes

No

Many small
players

High

PCB

Local supply

Yes

No

AT&S, Derg
electronics, Many
local players, EMS

High

Mosfets/
Switching
devices

Local supply

Yes

No

Many local
players

OEM

Yes

Yes, High value


add

No

VMC, many local


players

High

EMS

Yes

Yes, High value


add

No

Delta Electronics,
many small
players

High

Power
supplies

Remarks
Though design capability exists
there is no local realization of IP,
Lack of infrastructure

The challenge that the industry is currently facing is the component customs duty which is around 12.36 to 16.85 per cent.
Mechanical components are locally sourced though. Although huge opportunities lie ahead, especially with the booming IT and
ITeS sector, local manufacturing largely caters only to local demand. There are very minimal exports with respect to this product.
Lack of scalable manufacturing capacity deprives the ecosystem of export opportunities.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the power supplies market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Availability of high quality labour

Consistent end user growth in terms of laptops,


Smartphones, LED lighting etc

Availability of mechanical components at par with


China/ Taiwan in terms of price and quality

Escalating manufacturing and labour costs in China


driving manufacturers to invest in facilities in India

Labour costs are cheaper in India when compared to


China
Huge consumption demand

India as a export hub for servicing ME, North Africa and


Europe countries

Well laid EMS industry outsourcing assembly and PCB


manufacturing

Increasing demand for high voltage power supplies in


the IT/ ITes sector

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for some of the critical components


- IC, electrolytic capacitors

Many Chinese imports are sold in the local market


without any testing

Identifying right suppliers for component imports

Emergence of other low cost manufacturing destinations


like Vietnam

Limited product design activities locally; Limited IP


generation

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in


neighbouring China
IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

99

Component SWOT
The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the power supplies bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Transformer
2. Power semiconductor
3. Rectifier diodes
4. PCB
The transformer, the most expensive component in an external adapter, is majorly sourced locally with a number of local players
offering the same. Local transformer manufacturers are largely dependent on imported copper. The presence of large manufacturing
capacities in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan etc.,make it more attractive for manufacturers to import transformers than source them
locally. The ICs, capacitors, rectifiers and MOSFETs are also predominantly imported. The PCBs, mechanical components, plastic,
sheet metal, rubber etc., are locally sourced and are available at competitive prices and reputable quality.

Strategic Conclusions
General
The component duty currently ranges between 12.36 to 16.85 per cent, which is considered high for the industry especially since
India is a price sensitive market. Offering subsidies for indigenous manufacturers through capital subsidies and preferential excise
duties would prove to be very beneficial since the ecosystem possesses considerable competencies already.

IP development
Around 30 per cent of the power supplies are imported as finished goods, of which around 15 per cent of them are sold in the local
market without safety certifications and testing. This necessitates the need for a policy initiative to prevent dumping of power
supplies which would bolster the quality of power supplies available in the Indian market. Regional level testing labs should be
established and testing for imported goods should be mandated. The proliferation of unbranded products in the market calls for
CVD to be levied to prevent dumping in the local market.

Component ecosystem
Lack of volume capacities forces some manufacturers to import transformers from the neighbouring countries. The Indian
Government could aid in ensuring continual availability of copper through the year at subsidized prices. This will reduce the overall
cost of the components, thus making it price competitive.

Product development
Power supplies is a high growth market due to the increasing demand for laptops, mobiles etc. Hence the market also possesses
considerable export potential. However, export subsidies should be offered only after standardizing safety regulations and
certification. Considering the low margins needed to set up the ecosystem for some of the critical components, it seems logical
to leverage the EPCG scheme, which would help exporters to import machinery and equipment at affordable rates and produce
quality products for the export market.
Current Limitation
Tax structure
Value
Addition

a. High component duty of 12.36 - 16.85 %

a. Incentivize customs duty to encourage local


manufacturing

a. Absence of Product Design/IP


Generation

a. Establish design houses either through academia


- industrial collaborations or in association with the
Government

a. Reliance on imports
Component
Ecosystem

Policy
Initiatives

100

Solution to Promote Ecosystem

b. Demand Volumes

a. Subsidizing copper and enamel duty rates to carry out


scaled quantities of transformers

c. Components like transformers, Mosfets


etc are imported in spite of local supply

b. Increase R&D efforts to reduce price further and minimize


the power supply units

a. Lack of policies for testing imported


external power supplies

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

a. Policy initiatives to set up single point testing labs and


also testing of imported power supplies to bring about
standardization
b. Concession on export duty to encourage exports
leveraging the manufacturing strength
CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Set Top Boxes - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Design and Manufacturing (though low volumes), Assembly by


EMS companies

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

5.7 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 54.4%

Local Value Addition

Medium

Top 4 Components

IC (MPU, Memory, Tuner), PCB, Power Supply, Plastics and


Mechanicals

Component Ecosystem

~40% BoM Components locally Available; Rest Imported

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential; Export


Opportunity
a. Restructuring of Tax and Duty Structure
b. Redressal of From C issue

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

c. Priority Product Preferential Loans for Manufacturers and


Channel Partners
d. Localization of components and peripherals RCA Cables,
Remote control, Passives etc
e. Indigenous Development of CAS module
f. Definition of Indigenous Standards for Local STB

Market and Opportunity


Rapid proliferation of FPD TVs, which offer better viewing experience, combined with the broadcast digitization drive is driving
growth of the Indian Set Top Box (STB) market. One of the hallmark product categories in the consumer electronics segment, the
set top box (STB) market in India is poised for unprecedented growth. The Cable Television Networks (CTN) Amendment Bill 2011
mandates digitization of TV broadcasts pan India by 2014. This bill has provided the necessary thrust for driving growth of the set
top box market, both cable and satellite. The STB market recorded a total market (TM, which represents consumption) of 18.4M
units, of which satellite STB accounted for 10.4M units in 2012. The total STB market is expected to reach volumes of 39.4M units
by 2015, representing a healthy CAGR of 28.8 per cent. In 2011, only 30 per cent of the local demand was serviced by indigenous
manufacturing. TDM for 2011 was estimated at 4M units, 25 per cent of which represents manufacturing by EMS primarily for
exports, thus increasing the reliance on imports from local demand. Apart from the analog to digital transition of Pay TV services,
the other significant demand creators for STB in the near future include:
Digitization of Doordarshans terrestrial TV network planned for completion by 2017 creates demand for millions of STB based
on DVB-T or higher standards
Government initiatives such as the National Optic Fiber Network (NOFN) and National Knowledge Network (NKN) driving
demand for STB for secure delivery of content and interactivity
Replacement of MPEG2 to MPEG4 technology and average product life of 5 years for STBs ensures a huge replacement demand
for the existing installed base of 40 M+ STBs.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

101

Set Top Box Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


1

0.95

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

0.9

TM: 27.5%

0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 54.9%

0.62
0.52

0.5

0.4

0.1

HVA-TDM : TM

0
0

0.17

TDM (High value


add): NA

0.36

0.3
0.2

TDM (overall): 54.9%

0.75

0.14

0.52

0.37

0.25

0.18

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

STB: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes (Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local Sales


(Million units)

2010

15.50

4.50

2011

10.50

4.00

2012

18.40

5.70

2013

23.52

8.70

2014

30.08

14.00

2015

39.35

21.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

102

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Industry SWOT
STB value chain comprises various component and subsystem suppliers, technology licensors and software developers apart from
the downstream players comprising the cable operators, multi system operators (MSO) and retailers.
The STB value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

System
Integrators

Downstream

Memory
MPU

Core Chips

Tuner
RCA Cable
PCB, Passive
Component

Core
Components
Set Top
Boxes

Power Supply
CAS
Operating
System

Cable
Operators
Consumers
MSO

External
Components

Software

Applications

R&D, design, technology licensors

The leading suppliers of STBs in India are, Huawei, Pace, Cisco, Chang Hong, Skyworth, Hathway, HUMAX, Technicolor, Echostar and
MCBS, whose customers are the major DTH and Cable MSOs, namely, DishTV, Airtel, Tata Sky, Hathway, Incable, WWIL, etc. Most of
these suppliers are already operating from their sales office in the country. The after sales support activities of the companies are
outsourced to local companies like Carbon and SS Mobile.
The domestic STB manufacturing sector has received the much needed fillip recently with active participation from companies
such as Videocon, Beetel, Mybox, Bharat Electronics and Indieon technologies. Beetel started importing free-to-air STBs as early as
2004 and continues to supply to Airtel, a service provider. Another DTH operator, Videocon, initially imported STBs to meet their
captive demand, but started in-house manufacturing of STBs through their subsidiary Trend Electronics in 2008. Mybox, established
in 2008, is a Govt. recognized R&D centre, which designs and develops STBs in-house. Even Indieon Technologies, started in 2008,
contract manufacturers STB from different EMS companies and also fulfils the rest of the demand by importing components and
assembling in its plant. Some global EMS companies in India, like Jabil Circuits, manufacture STBs primarily for their European
clients, with a very small percentage being supplied to local service providers. Jabil, Dixon, Quad, Nainko, andKortek Electronics are
some of the EMS companies manufacturing STBs in India. For the Doordarshan free-to-air service, STBs are manufactured in India
by contract manufacturers, but they have very little expertise in making conditional access system (CAS) boxes.
The ecosystem for STB manufacturing in India is fairly developed when compared to other high priority products. Nearly 40-45
per cent of the BoM for STB can be locally sourced or there is localization capability. However the most critical challenge for local
manufacturers is to keep their cost of production at a level that makes them competitive on par with global suppliers. Currently,
there are various fiscal and supply chain related factors that prevent STB manufacturers from pricing their products lower than
global competition.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

103

Local capabilities in product design and IP are also abundant. With the product being developed with standard features and
specifications, possessing local IP is not seen a great differentiator any longer. Local IP and design capabilities help in reducing the
product cycle time and also in rapid technological advancements. Apart from local manufacturers holding IP, there are a few third
party design houses like Tata ELXI that provide complete design service solutions for overseas STB OEMs.
The table below captures the capability in India across the STB value chain.

Category

Company
Names

Level of
Local Value
Add

Remarks

No

NXP, STM

NA

Though design capability exists there is


no local realization of IP

Yes

Yes

VMC, Axiom

High

Only

Predominantly
Imports

No

No

Multiple
Suppliers

NA

Local PCB suppliers do not have


capability to produce 2 layer at 0.5 mm

Imported

No

No

Cisco, Nagara
vision

Low

Foreign MNCs completely control this


market; all STB manufacturers license
their CAS

Yes

Yes

Yes

Multiple
Suppliers

High

RCA Cables

Partial Imports

Yes

Yes

Multiple
Suppliers

High

Currently minimal localization; however


capability exists for increasing it

Remote
Control

Imported

Yes

Minimal

Multiple
Supplier

Low

High probability for localization; Needs


to be encouraged

High

Local Supply

IC

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

No

External
Power Supply

Yes

PCB

CAS
Plastic ,
Components Sheet Metal,
Packaging
and Sub
Material
systems

Smart Card

Yes

Yes

Yes

G&D,
Oberthur,
Sagem,
Sharon
Solutions

Passive
Components

Imported

No

No

Multiple
Suppliers

Low

High

Low

OEM

Yes

Yes

Yes

Videocon,
myBox
Technologies,
Indeon
Technologies

EMS

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

Yes

Jabil Circuits,
Kortek

Set Top
Boxes

104

Local
Local IP
Manufacturing Capability

Product

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Localization is possible; needs


encouragement

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the STB market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge consumption demand

Export Potential Ongoing digitization initiatives in


many global economies

Technology Upgradation and Replacement driving


demand
Local design and manufacturing capability

Inclusion of STB under the Special Focus Product


Scheme provides incentives for exports

Preferential minimal policy intervention hike in import


duty

New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local


manufacturing investments.

Fairly developed local ecosystem - ~40% of BoM


components available locally. Indigenous capability
exists for another 20% of BoM.

Appreciating dollar promoting local manufacturing

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Local manufacturing costlier than imports debilitating


tax and duty structures

Cheaper imports

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components


ICs, tuners and even remotes

Lack of indigenous standards for STB favouring imports


over local product

Only 2-3 indigenous manufacturers with IP and


manufacturing capabilities

Component SWOT
The component ecosystem for STB is partially developed in India. There are certain components in which India has selfsufficiency,and afew others where this is no local capability. The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the STB bill of
materials (BoM) are:
1. ICs (MCU, Memory, Tuner etc.)
2. Printed Circuit Board (PCB)
3. External Power Supply
4. Plastics and Mechanicals
Of the top 4 components, there is local capability and complete local sourcing of the external power supply in STBs. Companies
such as VMC and Axiom provide the power supplies needed for STB. These companies are also engaged in exports. Beyond the
top 4 components, there is local ecosystem and supply of sheet metal, plastics, packaging material or gift box and smart card (pay
tv). All these cumulatively account for approximately 40per cent of the overall BoM. The most critical components of the BoM are
the IC and tuner ICs, which are completely imported. NXP Semiconductor, STMicroelectronics and Renesas Technologies are some
of the suppliers of these ICs. PCBs for STB are predominantly imported as local suppliers do not provide 2 layered PCB of 0.5 mm
thickness desired for STB manufacturing. The PCBs are typically sourced from multiple Chinese vendors.
The other significant component, the CAS, is currently supplied by foreign players. Companies such as Cisco (which acquired NDS),
Nagara Vision and Irdeto dominate and control the market through their licenses that are used by the various STB manufacturers.
Indian manufacturers will be able to achieve cost competitiveness if local sourcing of CAS is possible. The ongoing initiative of
DeitY to develop indigenous CAS will help in addressing this challenge.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

105

Strategic Conclusions
General
Hiking the import duty for STBscan curbimports and promote local manufacturing of STBs. The 2012-13 Budget did see a hike in
the customs duty but it has been found to not be sufficient in this regard. Countries such as China and Brazil are known to have
high tariff rates for STB imports as a measure of promoting local manufacturing; this needs to be emulated by India too.
The existing business model for STB in the country involves the cable operators and MSO who package the STB as part of their
offerings to customers. They do not pay VAT and hence are constrained from issuing Form C. This results in local manufacturers
having to pay CST equivalent to local VAT (~12.5per cent) making the landed cost for locally manufactured products high and thus
costlier than imports. The remedial measure sought is the issuance of Form C without affecting the existing business model which
is highly possible with Government intervention.

Product manufacturing
The DTH industry and cable operators are plagued by huge operational challenges. This is due to lack of financial assistance from
the Government. The industry also pays multiple taxes such as service tax, entertainment tax, licence fee and VAT. The support
system in countries like China and Korea is extremely industry friendly; this is reflected in the high level of exports from these
countries. Today, the suppliers in these countries are tied up with financial institutions like EXIM banks, which offer long term credit
over three to five years at an extremely low interest rate. No such financing is available in India as this is not treated as a capital
goods industry. The STB market needs to be made a priority sector and low interest special loans need to be made available to both
manufacturers as well as the DTH service providers.
Current Limitation

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Creation of trade barrier through higher import duties

Tax Structure

a. Imports cost effective compared to


indigenous manufacturing

b. Normalization of tax rates; Uniform tax rates across States


c. Resolution of Form C issue;

106

Value Addition
& Component
Ecosystem

a. Minimal activity in some sub


components despite local capability

Financial
Incentives

a. Lack of low interest loans / financing


for STB manufacturers and Cable
Operators, MSO

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

a. Promotion of indigenous capability for RCA cables, remote


control, passive components
b. Definition of Indigenous Standard to promote local IP and
manufacturing
a. Priority product status to create preferential financial loans
for STB and DTH sector

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Printers and MFDs - Productand Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/
Assembly/Design

Mostly finished product imports

Local Manufacturing/Assembly
Volumes and Growth

0.33 million (2012); CAGR 27.9% (20122015)

Local Value Addition

Low only for assembly of dot matrix printers

Top 4 Components

Photosensitive Drum, Fusing Roller, Transformer, Lens and scanner

Component Ecosystem

Negligible

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

Low; Small local market; Huge investment required; Market shifting to enterprise
segment

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

a. It would not be wise to offer incentives for manufacturing of inkjet and laser
printers and MFDs
b. Offer greater CENVAT credit for local sourcing of components for dot matrix
printers; raise import duties simultaneously

Market and Opportunity


The Indian printers & MFDs market in 2012 was estimated at 3.22 million units or about US$ 474.05 million. The total market is
projected to grow at a rate of approximately 16 per cent through 2015 in revenue terms. HP, Canon, Samsung and Epson are the
key players in the overall printers and MFD market and hold a combined market share of nearly 90 per cent; Ricoh and Konica
Minolta have strong presence in the A3 MFD segment. The Indian market is very import heavy; more than 90 per cent of the market
comprises finished product imports except for dot matrix printers that are manufactured/assembled locally by players like TVSE
and WeP. Hence investment in the manufacturing or local value addition of printers and MFDs in India doesnt present a justifiable
bsuiness case for global OEMs. Design activities are carried out in the home countries of the OEMs at their global HQs for the most
part and proudcts are manufactured in China and East Asia, although software design is carried to an extent in the Indian locations
of the global OEMs. The robust growth of the enterprise sector has contributed to the demand for printers, especially MFDs.
Increased business activity in the IT, BFSI, education, government and SMB segments have contributed the most to the growth
of the market. However, fluctuations in the value of the Indian Rupee and cautious spending of IT budgets served to temper the
growth of the market to a small extent. Also, the increasing ubiquity of tablets and smart phones has led to a decline in the fortunes
of print in the home segment. With productivity services being offered through apps, a general decline in the usage of paper at
home has been noticed. There is also a possibility of a shift towards devices with lower power consumption keeping in mind the
increasing emphasis on going green and greater awareness about the power deficit situation in the country. Printer technology
is seen as a very mature and saturated technology and no radical developments are expected, save the nascent rise of 3D printing.
Global OEMs have been expanding their retail presence and have been releasing new models of laser printers, expecting a shift in
consumer preference from inkjet to laser printers. Also, the market for colour printing and MFDs has been steadily increasing at the
expense of the demand for monochrome printing machines.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

107

Printer and MFDs Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


800

756

700

TM: 16.1%

630

600

TDM (overall): 24.2%

545

500
400

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

396

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 24.2%

474

417

TDM (High value


add): NA

300

HVA-TDM : TM

200
100
0

0
28
2010

42

49

61

76

2011

2012

2013

2014

2011

0%

2013

0%

99

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

Printer and MFDs: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

2.56

0.18

0.00

2011

2.78

0.28

0.00

2012

3.22

0.33

0.00

2013

3.71

0.42

0.00

2014

4.38

0.53

0.00

2015

5.25

0.69

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The business conducted by enterprises, especially in the ITeS and BFSI sectors, calls for robust documentation which are fulfilled
satisfactorily by MFDs. The rising number of entities in the SOHO (Small Office Home Office) segment has also led to the purchase
of affordable MFDs or laser printers. Global vendors and distributors are also targeting these segments. To this effect, OEMs are
working closely with channel partners to expand their market reach and optimize their distribution strategy.

108

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Component and
Assemblers
The printers
and MFDs
value chain is depicted in the figure
below.
Sub-system
Suppliers
Motherboard / PCBs

LCD displays

Memory

Network ports

Transformer

Power supplies

Motors and
drives

Drum and
roller

Downstream

Enterprises

Printers /
MFDs

Consumers

Government
Lens and
scanner

Cabinet and
casing

Printheads

Cabling and
filters

R&D, design, technology licensors


Since almost all of the products sold in the country are finished product imports, all of the hardware design activity happens at the
global headquarters of the OEMs in their home countries, mostly in Japan which has legacy capabilities in printing technology.
The Indian offices of these OEMs are engaged in software design to a small extent. The design of dot matrix printers conceivably
happens in India through indigenous players such as TVSE and WeP. These companies also possibly source locally for their assembly
operations since India possessing capabilities in the manufacturing of transformers, metal and plastic casings, cabling and PCBs.
However, the market for dot matrix printers is relatively small compared to the overall market and hence the overall value addition
contributed by this activity is small.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

109

The table below captures the capability in India across the printers and MFDs value chain.
Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Local
Local IP Company Level of Local
Manufacturing Capability Names
Value Add

Product

Local Supply

Photosensitive
drum

Part of finished
product import

No

No

NA

Fusing Roller

Part of finished
product import

No

No

NA

Transformer

Imports/Local
Supply

Yes

No

Low

Lens and scanner

Part of finished
product import

No

No

NA

PCBs and power


supplies

Imports/Local
Supply

Yes

No

Low

Though design capability exists


there is no local realization of IP

Cabinet, casing,
and cabling

Imports/Local
Supply

Yes

No

Low

Though design capability exists


there is no local realization of IP

OEM

No

Yes, only
assembly of dot
matrix

No

EMS

No

No

No

Printers and
MFDs

TVSE, WeP

Remarks

Though design capability exists


there is no local realization of IP

Low

Nil

There are no such entities in


India

The printers and MFD market possess high entry barriers. Primary among them is that established players have entrenched market
shares (overall, the top 4 players possess cumulative market share of 90 per cent). Newcomers would either have to differentiate
themselves uniquely or contend with making lower margins and possessing enough working capital to stay in business until
they break even. Also, distribution channels of the bigger players are more or less well established and newcomers would find
it difficult to match the reach of bigger players. Also, competing with the strong brand equity of the bigger players would be
a daunting proposition. However, due to the depreciating value of the India Rupee, bigger players have been increasing prices
recently, which would not appeal to the value conscious nature of Indian consumers, in both the enterprise and home segments.
Newcomers such as Pantum have entered the A4 market with a product portfolio of laser printers aimed at the home segment and
the small business segment. Also, companies such as Ricoh and Canon that normally operate in the A3 market have entered the
A4 market too. This indicates a trend towards offering greater value to the home and SOHO segment which are demanding greater
functionality at lower prices in light of increasing independence from print.

110

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the printers and MFDs market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Existing customer base exhibits a sticky need for


print

Concentrating on enterprise usage of MFDs and printing


services

Established trade
relationships

customer

Awareness of 3D printing should encourage appropriate


investment in R&D

Presence of branded stores has led to widespread


brand recognition

SMBs and smaller operations in rural areas could be


penetrated better

channels

and

Relatively mature adoption of latest technology


and colour printing

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Relatively small market size doesnt justify need for


greater investment locally

Increasing prevalence of smartphones and tablets eating


into relevance of print

Marketing and selling practices not up to speed with


consumer sentiments

Go Green initiatives in IT sector and enterprises


constrains IT spending on print

More difficult to entice new customers, who prefer


e-based output (e-tickets, etc.)

Currency volatility affects costs since market is very


import-heavy

Import-heaviness of industry-latest
introduced after global launch

Slowdown in usage of printing devices in the home


segment

products

are

Component SWOT
A printer or MFD is made up of a number of components and the value chain for the manufacturing or assembly of these
components is nearly absent in India. Almost 90 per cent of the printers and MFDs sold in the Indian market are imported in the
form of finished products. A few components such as transformers, cabling, cabinets and PCBs could be sourced locally if there
were local assembly capabilities. These components are possibly being sourced locally for the local assembly of dot matrix printers
by indigenous players like TVSE and WeP.
The top 4 components that contribute to the majority of bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Photosensitive Drum
2. Fusing Roller
3. Transformer
4. Lens and scanner

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

111

Strategic Conclusions
General
It has been observed that companies have been entering the A4 market space offering affordable laser printing products. This
indicates that the companies are betting on these products gaining acceptance in the home segment, and possibly the SOHO
segment too. However, a trend towards m-tickets and e-tickets and other such modes of display on electronic devices might act
against the growth of the A4 market. It is quite possible that, in combination with the trend towards cloud printing, the home
segment could witness consolidation of printing needs among users in a specific area or group. This could also lead to consolidation
of functionalities at the printing node which could be satisfied by MFDs and its future version. The enterprise segment though, has
a stated and compulsory need for specialized, state-of-the-art, and reliable printing solutions. This could be satisfied by high-end
laser printers and MFDs alike depending on the enterprises needs.

IP development
Almost all of the design activity in the printers and MFD happens at the headquarters of the global OEMs, which is Japan for
the most part. The design activity that does happen in India is mostly concerned with software, not core hardware design that
contributes most of the value to the overall design of the product.

Component ecosystem
Some of the components used in the manufacturing of dot matrix printers, such as transformers, PCBs and cabling, are currently
being manufactured in India. Dot matrix printers are still being used on a large scale in both urban and rural areas by the retails
sector and by SMBs. Hence, the government could incentivize local value addition through preferential excise duties and greater
CENVAT credit for suppliersthese components possess a larger relevance in the electronics ecosystem too outside of the dot
matrix printer product ecosystem.

Product manufacturing
Considering that the Indian print market is relatively small compared to the global market, possesses no export opportunities, and
requires considerable investment to build manufacturing capabilities, it would not be a wise option to incentivize manufacturing
of printers and MFDs in India. However, dot matrix printing still holds sway in the Indian market, with indigenous players also being
present in the market. Considering the shift towards high-end laser printing and MFDs space, the government could offer these
tax credits on R&D activity in these areas. The government could also facilitate the formation of joint ventures between indigenous
players and global OEMs to take advantage of latent manufacturing capabilities; there could be export opportunities to the Middle
East, Sri Lanka and Africa due to Indias geographical location.
Current Limitation
a. Relatively small market does
not justify investment in local
manufacturing/assembly
Market / Value chain

b. No export opportunities
c. Shift towards MFDs which possess
complex design
d. Shift to e-based output (e-tickets,
etc.)

112

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


Considering the shift towards convergence of specialized
functionalities (MFDs), the relatively small size of the
market, paucity of export opportunities, and shift to
e-based output, it would make better sense to divert
resources towards incentivizing other electronics products.
Dot matrix printing has legacy capabilities in India, and
could still witness sustained demand from SMBs and
government sector. Hence, the local assembly of dot matrix
printers could be incentivized through offering greater than
100% CENVAT credit for local sourcing.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Router/Switches - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Entirely imported in CBU form by all suppliers

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and


Growth

Nil

Local Value Addition

Nil

Top 4 Components

Software and OS (50%), Processor (10%), Memory (10%), Electromechanicals

Component Ecosystem

Absent

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

Medium demand entirely based on broadband penetration in the


country considered quite low in the world
a. Focus on upgrading PCB Assembly capabilities specifically for
routers

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Making tax structures stable and friendlier


c. Policies should not compel Global OEMs into forced manufacturing

Market and Opportunity


The growing need to support diverse networks of wired and wireless devices has kept the enterprise networking market on an
upward trend and also as an area of constant focus for IT and network managers. Additionally, increasing preference for built-in
multiple capacity integrated devices, capable of supporting 3G/4G services, load balancing, content processing capabilities, etc.,
have catapulted the demand of sophisticated router and switching equipment.
The demand for routers and switches in the country has been steadily rising over the years, barring 2012 when the telecom industry
was impacted by the global recession. The market for Routers/Switches in 2012 was 0.33 million units, which is expected to reach
0.059 million units in 2015 growing at a CAGR of 21.4 per cent. There is no domestic manufacturing competency present of the
manufacturing of routers and switches.

Router / Switches Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.8
0.72
0.7

TM: 9.6%

0.65

TDM (overall): NA%

0.59

0.6
0.5

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

0.50

0.47

TDM (Low/Med
value add): NA%

0.47

TDM (High value


add): NA

0.4
0.3

HVA-TDM : TM

0.2

2011

0%

0.1

2013

0%

2015

0%

2010

2011

2012

2013

0
2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

113

Routers/Switches: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

0.030

0.00

0.00

2011

0.033

0.00

0.00

2012

0.033

0.00

0.00

2013

0.044

0.00

0.00

2014

0.050

0.00

0.00

2015

0.059

0.00

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The Router/Switches value chain in India consists of only the supplier and the end-user, with all the major global OEMs being
present in the Indian market. World-leader Cisco, leads the Indian market followed by Avaya, Juniper, HP, Huawei, Pointred, AlcatelLucent, ZTE, etc. All of the domestic market is served by imports from the global manufacturing bases of these OEMs.
The Router/Switches value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

System Integrators

Downstream

Software and OS

Memory
EMS companies

Customers

Processor

Electromechanicals

R&D, design, technology licensors

114

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Globally, the OEMs and their EMS partners operate completely across the larger and global routers/switches value chain. In this
regard, the biggest competency of the EMS partners is in the making of printed board assemblies which are then integrated
into systems for direct order fulfilment. EMS companies also carry on other value added manufacturing activities depending on
the scale of engagement with their OEM partners. However, this is not the case in India despite the presence of global OEMs
and EMS companies. Since the manufacturing of routers and switches is relatively more complex, these companies find it more
expedient to utilize the capacity of their manufacturing bases in China and East Asia and import into the Indian market. Also, since
the manufacturing of hardware has become increasingly commoditized, companies are beginning to divert the majority of their
investment towards R&D and innovation. Hence, there havent been any concrete plans of investment in the Indian manufacturing
ecosystem in this regard.
The lack of a component ecosystem has been the biggest pain factor inhibiting the growth of the domestic manufacturing market.
The table below captures the capability in India across the Router/Switches value chain.

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Software
and OS

Imports

No

No

Processor

Imports

No

No

Memory

Imports

No

Company
Names

Level of
Local Value
Add
NA
NA

No

Toshiba,
Samsung,
Micron, Hynix

NA

NA

NA

Electromechanicals

Router/
Switches

Remarks

OEM

No

No

No

Cisco, Avaya,
HP, Juniper,
Huawei,
Pointred, etc.

EMS

No

NA

NA

NA

The highly complex nature of Router/


Switches has restricted its development
to the global headquarters of OEMs
and they are not keen to change this
equation anytime soon in future

OEMs might manufacture through EMS


companies in future

However, the abundantly available indigenous skilled manpower has seen establishment of captive R&D centres in the country by
global suppliers like Cisco, Huawei, NSN, etc., who employ thousands of engineers and post-graduates in different fields of R&D. For
instance, The Cisco ASR 901 Router developed by Ciscos engineering team in India received numerous industry awards. However,
the IP of product was not registered in the country, a practise seen with all other players, since it is easier to file patents for products
in the same series in one location where the preceding patents were filed, which invariably is their global headquarters. The SWOT
chart here captures the analysis for Router/Switches market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Indias edge in skill set competencies attracting global


companies to set up their captive R&D centres in the
country

To become a global manufacturing cum exports hub


through existing EMS competencies already present
Companies beginning to divert investment towards
R&Dopportunity for Indian design ecosystem

Domestic demand for enterprise routers is on the rise


Rise in cloud services adoption driving sales of routers in
the country

Launch of 4G/LTE services to demand sophisticated


routers

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Marginal demand and non-availability of raw materials/


components encourage imports

Market proximity to South East Asian manufacturing


ecosystem constrains manufacturing potential

Underdeveloped electronics manufacturing ecosystem


unable to support complex manufacturing process of
routers

Multiple layers of bureaucracy and transaction delays


discourage business

Limited indigenous IP generation

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

Dependent on imports for two most important


components: processors and memory

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

115

Component SWOT
The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the Router/Switch bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Software and Operating System
2. Processor
3. Memory
4. Electro Mechanicals
The Indian electronics manufacturing ecosystem does not presently possess competencies in the manufacturing of the above
components. Even though the country possesses excellent software development capabilities, the source code and IP created are
registered in the global offices of the suppliers, thus creating no real value addition in the country. In a router/switch, the software
and OS account for about 50 per cent of the total BoM, and the system installation and software uploading is strictly done by
suppliers personnel at the premises of the customers.

Strategic Conclusions
General:
Efforts are needed to boost the demand of routers and switches in the country which will ensure domestic manufacturing of the
same by both global as well as domestic telecom players as opposed to them being imported in the country as is the present
scenario. Also, the Government can formulate supportive policies and incentives in the areas of transfer pricing and royalty
withholding to make them more conducive and also towards bringing down the inbound freight charges to offset these policy
handicaps to encourage domestic manufacturing in India.

IP development:
A majority of the global suppliers of routers conduct their design and development activities associated with routers in their Indian
design centres. However, the patents for the same are filed in their global headquarters for it holds large financial value from the
scope of licensing. India can make an effort to make patent laws more friendly and rewarding by giving R&D sops, reducing patent
fees, etc.

Component ecosystem:
Lack of availability of local raw materials and the concern for the quality of the available raw materials has been a major reason
for the import of this product in the country. The manufacturing of routers is a highly complex process and requires 24-60 layered
PCB assemblies, which is currently not within the competencies of the Indian electronics manufacturing ecosystem. Indias PCB
manufacturing capabilities are very nascent. To encourage domestic manufacturing of such complex processes, the government
should either offer preferential excise duty rates for such complex processes or alternatively offer greater rates of CENVAT to
encourage investment. Also, the government could prioritize, or call for, investment in such PCB manufacturing under the MSIPS
scheme and offer associated benefits to those investors.

Product manufacturing:
The product complexity limits its domestic manufacturing by both the local and global players. However, investments can be made
under the MSIPS or EMC initiatives to gain benefits.

Tax Structure

Value Addition

Policy Initiatives

116

Current Limitation

Solution to Promote Ecosystem

a. Inbound freight charges for components at


4-6% of BoM

a. Incentives needed to offset this cost in the form


of direct reimbursement

a. Lack of feeding industry


b. Absence of Product Design/IP Generation

a. Unpredictable tax regime


b. Stability issues limit business confidence

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

a. Manufacturing of advanced multi layered PCBs


(greater than 24 layers) should be encouraged
through the MSIPS policy and offering
preferential excise duties, or offering greater
rates of CENVAT
a. Transfer pricing and Royalty withholding norms
needs relook
b. Robust implementation of policy benefits
needed to build investor confidence

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Car Radio - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/
Design

90% Entirely imported in CBU form; 10% assembled

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes


and Growth

0.72 million (2012); CAGR (2012-15) 44.0%

Local Value Addition

Low Mostly imported in CBU form, a few units assembled

Top 4 Components

ICs, Electro-mechanicals, PCB and Power

Component Ecosystem

Entirely missing

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

High; Consumers spending on car infotainment and navigation


system on rise
a. Component ecosystem needs to be built
b. Branded companies will not prefer domestic manufacturing for Car Radio
as it is a low volume product

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

c. IP design creation and generation should gain attention from domestic


manufacturers

Market and Opportunity


As the concept of a the connected car gains momentum in the country, car manufacturers are ensuring that the customers
benefit from in-vehicle technologies and have constant connectivity. As a result, the infotainment market comprising of in-dash
music players has seen a deluge of features being introduced very frequently by the car-radio manufacturers. The total market for
car radios in 2012 was 4.03 million units, which is expected to reach 6.15 million units in 2015 growing at a CAGR of 15.2 per cent.
Of the total market, the domestic manufacturing of car radios has been only 0.72 million units in 2012. It is expected to reach 2.15
million units by 2015, growing at a CAGR of 43.8 per cent.

Car Radio Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.60

0.6

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

0.55

TM: 10.9%

0.50

0.5

TDM (overall): 68.4%

0.46

0.44

0.42
0.4

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 68.4%

0.3

TDM (High value


add): NA

0.2
0
0.1
0

0.042

0.044

2010

2011

0
0.125

0.083
2012

2013

HVA-TDM : TM

0.165

2014

0.21

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

117

Car Radio: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

3.34

3.33

0.00

2011

3.63

0.36

0.00

2012

4.03

0.72

0.00

2013

4.64

1.16

0.00

2014

5.33

1.60

0.00

2015

6.15

2.15

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The car radio industry presently caters to the domestic demand mostly through imports. Thus, leading OEMs such as Sony,
Panasonic, Pioneer, Kenwood, etc., are involved only in marketing activities in the country. The value chain consists of importers and
domestic manufacturers. Domestic manufacturers, such as Nippon, Audiotronix, and Visteon, import raw materials and execute
low level assembly of standard car radios. However, they import high-end systems in CBU form from countries like China, Thailand
and Vietnam, much like the importers. Several after-market non-branded car radios are imported from China and sold thru retail
market, which constitutes only 10-15% of the total market. Most of the car owners prefer branded car radios, and Japanese brands
rule the after-market radios segment. The growing trend of factory fitted car radios is expected to make the factory fitted car radio
market share equal tothat of after-market (dealer fitment) radios by 2016.
The Car Radio value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

System Integrators

Importers

Downstream

Passives
OEMS
Semiconductors
Car Radio
PCB

Aftermarket

Electromechanicals

R&D, design, technology licensors

118

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Although some of the leading companies like Sony and Pioneer had decided to start manufacturing car radios in India, they
shelved their plans since car radios are not considered fast moving items; car sales also has not kept up recently with the rapid pace
that it set in the past decade. However, the recent policy initiatives such as the National Manufacturing Policy, the National Policy
on Electronics, and the MSIPS policy could encourage these companies into investing in local manufacturing facilities. Domestic
manufacturers lack design and IP capabilities since the IP is held by the OEMs and only licenced to their manufacturing partners.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the Car Radio market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Global automobile majors have set up their


manufacturing plant in India

Annual vehicle sales projected to be 4 million units by


2015

Country emerging as an export hub

PMAC and EMC might attract investments

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Design and IP capability missing

Domestic automotive industry on a downslide

Component ecosystem missing

Taxes and Duties for the key growth sub-segments


Utility vehicles and Diesel driven cars have been
increased

Quality of locally available raw materials do not meet


OEMs expectations
Rising fuel prices deterring consumer to buy
automobiles

Component SWOT
The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the car radio bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. ICs
2. Electromechanical components
3. PCB
4. Power
The component ecosystem for car radios has been reliant on imports. Most of these components are imported in CBU form. Even
for the amount of assembly activity that does happen in the country, the components other than ICs are imported from China or
Taiwan due to their cost competitiveness. The Indian electronics ecosystem does possess competencies in the manufacturing of
PCBs though; this could be taken advantage of to further promote assembly activity in the country. With enough impetus in this
regard, the ecosystem could potentially gain competencies in activities higher up in the value chain.

Strategic Conclusions
General
Although considered a very niche product market, the growing demand of automobiles in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities along with the
second hand market has sustained the demand of car radios. The use of basic entertainment systems in cars has prompted many
OEMs to start assembling them locally. Also, the excise duty is at par with other products and there is zero import duty on import of
electronic components. Offering preferential excise duties and imposing BCD on the components that have indigenous presence
could promote domestic manufacturing activity.

IP development
India has capability in design services, thus generating indigenous design activity and holding IP in the country should be the
prime area of focus. Offering car radios with features based on the local needs, such as regional language interfaces, local on-board
content, etc., could be a game changer

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

119

Component ecosystem
Of the top four components, India possesses a good chance of elevating itself as a global supplier of PCBs. The country already is
manufacturing and exporting almost 20 to30 per cent of the total production of PCBs across the world. However, the volumes and
the subsequent price points in comparison with China is a major hindrance as is the ability of Indian PCB makers to handle complex
products that require more than 24 layers. Government support in the form of lower excise duties and rebates for up-gradation of
capital equipment will make a positive impact.

Product manufacturing
Carrying out measures such as offering preferential excise duties, imposing BCD on components with indigenous capabilities,
and creating local design and content, could entrench the manufacturing of car radios in the medium term. With greater design
capability, the country could even be a forerunner in the design and manufacturing of futuristic on-board entertainment platforms
in cars that succeed car radios.
Current Limitation
Value Addition

a. Feeling industry missing


b. Absence of Product Design/IP Generation
a. Reliance on imports

Component Ecosystem

b. Quality of available raw materials do not


meet OEMs expectations

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Semiconductor ecosystem to be made a reality
b. The component ecosystem will draw attention
to local IP generation and creation
a. All raw materials entirely imported
b. Quality to meet global standards

Policy Initiatives

120

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

CFL - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Local Assembly, Design and manufacturing

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and Growth

562.5 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 24.6%

Local Value Addition

High; Only electronics imported

Top 4 Components

Transformer, Transistor, Capacitors, Glass tube

Component Ecosystem

Most of them manufactured locally, only electronics imported

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential; Export


Opportunity

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

a. Develop a proper mechanism for mercury disposal


b. Top 4 Components do not have much potential for indigenization
(global capacities, lack of local infrastructure etc)
c. Frame uniform excise duty and incentivize sales tax
d. Block component imports and aid local manufacturing Single
window clearance for manufacturers to set up foundry
e. Encourage certifications for component manufacturing

Market and Opportunity


The CFL market in India was worth about 562 million units in the year 2012 and is expected to reach a size of 1090 million units by
2015 with a CAGR of 25 per cent. India has about 200 crore light points, of which about 60 per cent is still ICL, about 24 per cent
CFL, and the remaining 16 per cent being LED and other lamp types. Though newer technologies like LED are eating into CFL sales,
the trend is not expected to change until the prices of LED lamps are brought down significantly. Presently only a small quantity
of high wattage CFLs are imported from China. Most of the local demand is met through local manufacturing. India is the second
largest consumer of CFLs and has also the second largest capacity in the world.

Flat Panel Display TV Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.89

0.9
0.8

0.76

0.7

0.64

0.6

0.53

0.5
0.4

0.39 0.37

0.45 0.43

0.84

CAGR (2011 - 2015)


TM: 18.6%

0.72

TDM (overall): 18.2%


TDM (Low/Med
value add) : NA

0.60

0.50

TDM (High value


add): 18.2%

0.3

HVA-TDM : TM

0.2

2011

96%

2013

94%

2015

94%

0.1
0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

121

CFL: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

375.00

354.17

0.00

2011

450.00

425.00

0.00

2012

562.50

531.25

0.00

2013

708.75

669.38

0.00

2014

885.94

836.72

0.00

2015

1089.70

1029.16

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The CFL value chain comprises various component and subsystem suppliers, assemblers and the downstream retailers and
consumers. Three types of players exist in Indian market: manufacturer-cum-importers, importer-cum-assemblers and importercum-traders. The first category comprises of big brands that belong to well-known manufacturers of lighting products. These
suppliers import both ready-to-use CFLs and raw material such as cut glass tubes, tri-band phosphor and electronic components
in the ballast. Most of these companies have their own production facilities where about 90 per cent of the manufacturing process
is carried out. The second category is a mix of well-known brands and tier 2 players who import parts of CFL and assemble locally.
While the first and the second category are ISI certified, the third category represents the unorganized traders who import and sell
non-certified products.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Assemblers

Downstream

Glass tube
Filament

Burner
Residential

Phosphor coating
PCB
CFL - OEM

Capacitor

Commercial

Ballast
Transformer

CFL - EMS

Government

Transistor
Industrial

Burner
Capsule
Base

R&D, design, technology licensors

122

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Contract manufacturing plays a huge role in this industry. However, the real challenge in the ecosystem lies in terms of mercury
disposal and the import of tri-band phosphor. Unfortunately, there is no mandate or industry-wide standard for regulating mercury
in CFLs.
The table below captures the capability in India across the CFL value chain.
Category

Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company
Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

Ballast

Yes

Yes

No

Associated
Lighting, Future
electronics

High

Ballast is done locally; however the


electronics kits are imported

Burner

Yes

Yes

No

Total
Imports

No

No

Many Chinese
players

NA

Base

Yes

Yes

No

Many local
players

High

PCB

Yes

Yes

No

Many local
players

High

OEM

Yes

Only ISI
Yes, High Value
certifications,
Add Assembly
No IP

Philips, Bajaj,
Surya

High

EMS

Yes

Only ISI
Yes, High Value
certifications,
Add Assembly
No IP

Many tier 2, 3
companies

High

Components Phosphor
Coating
and Sub
systems

CFL

High
China holds 90% phosphor reserves
whereas India holds 1-2% of the same

CFL requires ISI certification; there is no


local IP

The country is largely dependent on China and other countries for the import of tri-band phosphor, an important element for
manufacturing of CFLs. Having captured almost all of worlds demand, China has now started restricting mining of rare earth
and tri-band phosphor. There has been an increase in the price of tri-band phosphor to more than US$ 420 per kg, an increase of
nearly US$ 40,,besides imposing an export duty of US$ 50 per kg. Priceshave been rising on a very frequent basis and India, being a
major importer,has been severely impacted. This has forced CFL manufacturers in India to increase prices. The CFL industry in India
contributes to high value added manufacturing though. BIS standardization, ISI certifications and anti-dumping duty have made
the industry very robust. Except for the electronic circuits, phosphor and filament imports, all of the other components are locally
developed and assembled either by OEMs or through EMS.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the CFL market.
STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES
Growing replacement demand from ICL to CFL still
prevalent in the rural areas
Escalating manufacturing and labour costs in China
driving manufacturers to invest in facilities in India
India as a export hub for servicing ME, North Africa and
Europe countries
Complete customized product design can be
outsourced

High demand driving growth; replacement demand


from ICL is still prevalent in rural areas
EMS services available locally in plenty
Entire product design is done locally, caters to ballast
manufacturing
High design and skillset availability

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components


tube and capsule

Mercury disposal - Lack of congruent policies

Existing tax structure pushing up the price of the


product
Illegal CFL products in the market with fake certification
ISI certification process is cumbersome
CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

Expected phase out owing to mercury toxicity and


energy efficiency
Evident replacement market - LED lighting
Components like transistors and capacitors are cheaper
when imported owing to huge volumes
IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

123

Component SWOT
The component ecosystem for CFL is quite simple with the components common across all wattage type lamps. The top 4
components that contribute to majority of the CFL bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Capacitor
2.

Glass tube

3. Transformer
4. Transistor
India has design and skillset availability to design the electronic components but does not have the infrastructure to develop the
same. Although raw materials like copper are present, the country is dependent on enamel imports for manufacturing locally.
Volume and cost issuesare challenges that the country faces. The volume demand is so high that it is difficult for local manufacturers
to cater to such volumes, and hence turn to imports which also works out to be cheaper. In countries like China, Taiwan etc.,,
component manufacturing takes place on a large scale and hence orders are also fulfilled within a very short turnaround time.

Strategic Conclusions
General recommendations
It is noted that the VAT for CFL manufacturing varies from state to state. Although some of the states have brought down the VAT
to zero per cent, other states as wellneed to bring it down to zero per cent to bring about a uniform reduced lamp cost.

IP development
Although there is no IP development, presence of ISI certifications ensures standardised manufacturing of CFLs in the country.
The greatest challenge faced by manufacturers in India is the severe documentation process involved in the ISI certification for the
bulbs. Such processes can be made available through the internet to ensure easy access and adoption.

Component ecosystem
In order to address the challenges of using tri-band phosphor, immediate actions need to be taken by the government both at
the central and state levels. By approaching bodies like WTO or Energy conservation bodies, the issue can be taken up with China
in protecting the interest of CFL manufacturers. The current 2 to 3 percent reserves of tri-band phosphor that India has should be
tapped and explored for local manufacturing.

Product manufacturing
The most urgent need is to bring about a regulation that will ensure safe disposal and recycling of CFLs. Recycling facilities should
be set up by manufacturers and the entire recycling mechanism should be funded through taxes levied on the manufacturer. The
government could incentivize the setting up of recycling facilities through a capital subsidy for the manufacturers for an initial
period of 3 years. It would be ideal for state governments to come forward in offering land at subsidized rates for setting up of the
same.
The current CFLs are designed for a life of 5000 hours. A regulation on increasing the life of CFLs to about 15000 hours will help
CFLs last for about 3 to 4 years,and also cut down the issue of mercury recycling issue.. This could be enabled by electronic circuit
improvements.
Current Limitation

124

Solution to Promote Ecosystem

Tax
Structure

a. a. Zero duty for component imports; makes it


easier to import and assemble locally
b. b. Manufacturing concentrated in HP and
Haridwar No excise duty
c. Difference in VAT from state to state

d. Incentives on sales tax and excise duty structure


e. Bring down VAT to zero per cent

Value
Addition

a. No IP for CFLs, only ISI certification

b. Encourage certifications for component


manufacturing

Component
Ecosystem

a. Highly reliable on certain component


imports
b. Lack of availability of certain raw materials

c. Block component imports and incentivise local


manufacturing
d. Setup semiconductor fabs

Policy
Initiatives

a. Lack of an efficient policy for mercury


disposal
b. BIS - Cumbersome ISI certification process

c. Evolve a policy for safe management of Mercury


d. Introduce a lamp recycling mechanism, incentivise the
policy through capital subsidy. Recycling facilities etc.
e. BIS To develop regulations for control of mercury
level and methodology for mercury measurement

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Energy Meters - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/
Design

Local design, assembly and manufacturing

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes


and Growth

25.41 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 8.9%

Local Value Addition

High mechanical, electronic hardware design, assembly

Top 4 Components

System on chip, Current Transformer, LCD display and backlight,


Super capacitor

Component Ecosystem

Only electronic imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential; Export Opportunity


a. Smoothening of Tendering system
b. Huge potential for local manufacturing of SoC and LCD
c. Incentivize electronic component manufacturing
d. Provide Infrastructure - land, water and energy facilities for electronic
componenet manufacturing
e. Incentives to encourage exports

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

Market and Opportunity


Extensive power capacity augmentation and improvement of electrical grid networks are imperative to support the growth of
energy meter market in India.
Several sectors in India, especially industrial and infrastructural that include commercial and residential corridors, are presently
witnessing substantial rise in investments. The electricity meters market in India is expected to grow at a compound annual growth
rate (CAGR) of 5.3 per cent by 2015. All the energy meters in the Indian market are manufactured locally. Import and export volumes
are also negligible, although few companies do small level exports and the industry caters to the unique end-user requirements of
distribution companies. The Restructured Accelerated Power Development and Reform Program (R-APDRP) implemented by the
government endeavours to implement efficient energy metering and demonstrate sustained loss reduction. Adoption of prepaid
and smart meters will further support the growth of the market in the medium term.

Energy Meters Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.35 0.35

0.35
0.30

0.28 0.28

0.29 0.29

0.30 0.30

0.31 0.31

0.33 0.33

CAGR (2011 - 2015)


TM: 4.8%
TDM (overall): 5.3%

0.25

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : NA

0.20

TDM (High value


add): 4.8%

0.15
HVA-TDM : TM

0.10
0.05

2011

100%

2013

100%

2015

100%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

125

Energy Meters: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

22.41

22.41

0.7

2011

23.75

23.75

0.72

2012

25.41

25.41

0.75

2013

27.19

27.19

0.78

2014

29.87

29.87

0.82

2015

32.85

32.85

0.87
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The energy meters value chain comprises various component and subsystem suppliers, assemblers and the downstream consumers.
The outstanding fact is that almost the entire local demand is met through local manufacturing with some companies doing a
considerable level of exports to countries like UK and Australia. The Indian market is flooded with a number of players who are into
product manufacturing with one foreign player being one of the top 5 players and the remaining being local manufacturers. All
the top competitors do high local value addition with only the electronics parts being imported.
The energy meters value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Assemblers

Downstream

Transformer
Power supply
Copper wires
Memory
Microprocessor
System on chip

Energy Meters OEM

Utilities

Energy Meters EMS

Government

LCD driver
Microcontroller
Super capacitor
Sheet metal

Housing /
Packaging

Plastic

R&D, design, technology licensors

126

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
All the players carry out product design locally and most of the top competitors also have IP protection for the same. Contract
manufacturing plays a huge role in terms of component placement on bare boards which are utilized by some of the top OEMs.
Other than the electronic parts, all the other raw materials are sourced locally and developed indigenously. All of the mechanical,
electronic hardware, firmware and calibration design and testing areperformed indigenously.
The table below captures the capability in India across the Energy Meters value chain.
Local IP
Capability

Company Names

No

No

Texas Instruments,
STM, Freescale

NA

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

No

No

Texas Instruments,
STM, Freescale

NA

Bare boards

Locally
developed

Yes

Yes

Many local players

High

Passive
components

Locally done

Yes

Yes

Many local players

High

OEM

Yes

Yes, High value


add

Yes

Securemeters,
Landis+gyr, L&T

High

EMS

Yes

Yes, High value


add

Yes

Flextronics,
Foxconn, Jabil

High

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Product

Local Supply

System on
chip

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

Active
components

Energy Meters

Local
Manufacturing

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks
Though design capability
exists there is no local
realization of IP, No
semiconductor fabs
Though design capability
exists there is no local
realization of IP, No
semiconductor fabs

In the Energy meters value chain, the main challenge is that the country is highly dependent on advanced electronics imports for
which we do not have a capability in the country. Although chip design for energy meters is carried out by some of the leading
semiconductor players in India, the country doesnt have the manufacturing capability of the same. India, with an expertise in this
segment for two decades, is one of the very few countries that have developed anti-tamper metering devices. With the design
capability of the engineers and a robust technology, Indian meters are looked upon as best in class devices in the global industry.
The presence of numerous companies that take reference designs from semiconductor suppliers and build products on them
without any R&D efforts are a threat to the core suppliers. With no IP capability, they become a huge hindrance in the tendering
system where companies with real IP and design capability are forfeited due to the low cost meters offered by these companies.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the energy meter market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Two decades of expertise in handling energy meters

Government policies such as R-APDRP propelling the


tariff meters market

High consumption demand, Well developed EMS


industry, Complete product design capability and IP
realization

Accelerated industrialization, focus on energy


conservation driving demand for panel meters

Anti tamper technology is unique to the Indian meters

India as a export hub for servicing ME, North Africa and


Europe countries

Manufactures the best meters that stand against harsh


electrical environments with accuracy in measurement

Smart meters, the next replacing product in this market

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for some of the critical components


System on chip, LCD display, Memory

Mushrooming companies that use public reference


designs to offer cheaper products

The Indian bureaucracy does not help in component


manufacturing

Lack of local IP for the semiconductor companies

Lack of incentives for electronic component


manufacturing

Growing shift towards Smart meters, an expected phase


out of electronic meters by 2020, although this creates
other new opportunities

Complex tendering system at the Utilities department

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

127

Component SWOT
The component ecosystem for energy meters is quite simple with a certain set of components that are present across all types of
Energy meters. The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the Energy meters bill of materials (BoM) irrespective of the
type or price are:
1.

System on chip

2.

Current transformer

3.

LCD display and backlight

4.

Super capacitor

It is to be noted that all the top 4 components constitute about 60 per cent of the product value. Semiconductor companies like
Texas Instruments and Freescale do chip design at their design houses in Bangalore and Noida. Copper for transformers is available,
but we are dependent on countries like Germany for the capsule, giving rise to a volume and cost issues and making it easier to
import the same. An important factor to be noted is the turnaround time. Although there are a few good quality local suppliers of
capacitors and resistors, manufacturers predominantly import to benefit from the faster turn-around time when dealing with high
volume suppliers from overseas.

Strategic Conclusions
General
In terms of tendering process, tenders must be evaluated both on technical and financial aspects in order to produce standardized,
robust meters. In due course, such processes can be made internet friendly to cut down high documentation processes which is
highly challenging to the manufacturers. A regional level single-point testing laboratory can conduct all tests, which can save time
and deliver authenticity. Also, the imported meters can be tested to check if they meet Indian standards thereby enhancing safety
and environmental protection.
Development of standards for communication and band allocation is one of the top priorities in this market. Involvement of
regulatory bodies and WPC for band allocation and creating standards (like the ones adopted in Europe, Korea, Japan) will help
strengthen the product ecosystem at a large scale.

Component Ecosystem
With the evolution of smart meters, itis the most opportune time for Government to bring about standards for manufacturing of
smart meters, create a R&D fund for innovations in smart meters and also create opportunities for manufacturing of components
like communication module, transceiver etc., which are key to the smart meters.

IP development
The Indian energy meters market is competitive enough with design strengths at a product and component level especially in
the electromechanical parts. With an expected shift towards smart meters, preparing for the future by investing in R&,especially in
development of relays by leveraging R&D tax credits, will lead to the establishment of the entire product ecosystem.

Product development
Given our strengths in high value add energy meter manufacturing, product modifications suiting international requirement can
be effected to drive exports in huge volumes. Incentivizing export duty can boost exports as Indian meters are one of the most cost
competitive having anti-tampering features incorporated.
Current Limitation
a. Reliance on imports
Component
Ecosystem

b. Demand Volumes
c. Price factor

Policy
Initiatives

128

a. Lack of policies for testing


laboratory and imported meters
b. Complex tendering system

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Incentivize and Leverage local sourcing of capacitors and
resistors
b. Increase R&D efforts to reduce price further and gain
technological competence
a. Policy initiatives to set up single point testing labs and also
testing of imported meters to bring about standardization
b. Tendering system to be evaluated on a technical basis; in the
long run to make it available on the Internet
c. Concession on export duty to encourage exports leveraging
the low cost of Indian energy meters

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Digital Instrument Clusters (DICs) Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/
Assembly/Design

2W Design, testing, manufacturing all done in India


4W Only 28% imported for high end cars

Local Manufacturing/Assembly
Volumes and Growth

2W: 8.6 million (2012); CAGR (2012-15) 13.6%


4W: 2.64 million (2012); CAGR (2012-15) 15.0%

Local Value Addition

High Local Sourcing, Manufacturing, Design IP held in India

Top 4 Components

Stepper motor (20%), PCB (15%), MCU (10%), LCD (7%)

Component Ecosystem

90% of Electronic components imported

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

High

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

a. Domestic manufacturing to be promoted using preferential excise duty rates or


greater rates of CENVAT
b. Using MSIPS and EMC, setting up electronics manufacturing clusters for
automotive applications should be encouraged and subsidized.

Market and Opportunity


Affordable two-wheelers and cars have become increasingly popular in emerging markets such as China, India and Brazil, and
further growth is projected. This growth is directly proportional to the growth of ICs, especially digital ICs in the 4W segment due
to their functionality, reliability and accuracy.
For 2011, the analog to digital ratio of IC stood at 50:50; however, the transition to digital IC is projected to be well pronounced
over the forecast period. This trend promises a positive impact on consumption of electronics. The growth of the digital IC market
follows the growth of the two-wheeler market, backed by an expected increase in growth of local manufacturing capabilities.
The market for 2W and 4W Digital ICs in 2012 was 8.6 million units and 3.7 million units respectively. 2W ICs are expected to grow
at a CAGR of 13.6 per cent from 2012-15 to reach 12.6 million units in 2015 and the 4W ICs is expected to reach 5.5 million units in
2015. Digital 4W IC market is expected to grow as a result of more foreign players entering the Indian market.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

129

Instrument Clusters Market (2W Digital): TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.20
0.18 0.18

0.18
0.16

0.15 0.15

0.19 0.19

CAGR (2011 - 2015)


TM: 12.2%

0.16 0.16

TDM (overall): 12.2%


TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 0

0.14
0.12

0.12 0.12

0.12 0.12

TDM (High value


add): 12.2%

0.10
0.08

HVA-TDM : TM

0.06
0.04
0.02

2011

100%

2013

100%

2015

100%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

Instrument Clusters Market (4W Digital): TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.16
TM: 6.2%

0.13

TDM (overall): 9.3%

0.12

0.12
0.10

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

0.14

0.14
0.11

0.11
0.10 0.10

0.10
0.09

0.08

0.08

0.10

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 0
TDM (High value
add): 9.3%

0.07

0.06

HVA-TDM : TM

0.04

2011

100%

0.02

2013

100%

2015

100%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

130

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
Instrument Clusters (2W Digital): TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts
Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

6.33

6.33

0.00

2011

6.54

6.54

0.00

2012

8.60

8.60

0.00

2013

9.70

9.70

0.00

2014

11.20

11.20

0.00

2015

12.60

12.60

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Instrument Clusters (4W Digital): TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

3.04

2.89

0.00

2011

3.30

2.34

0.00

2012

3.66

2.64

0.00

2013

4.14

3.04

0.00

2014

4.76

3.50

0.00

2015

5.47

4.02

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

131

Industry SWOT
Leading manufacturers of ICs in India are Pricol, Visteon, Minda, Continental and Stoneridge. While both analog and digital IC
for 2W are entirely manufactured in India, about 35 per cent of 4W digital ICs that are mostly used in high-end carsare imported.
Pricol & Visteon are the dominant players in the instrument clusters market in India. Pricol, with seven manufacturing plants across
the country, also has its own design and testing facilities. Denso has recently acquired a 51 per cent stake in Pricol Components
to manufacture ICs in India at Pricols two plants, in Coimbatore and Manesar. Visteon also has three design centres and four
manufacturing facilities in the country.
The digital ICs value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

System Integrators

Downstream

Digital ICs

OEMs

MCU

Stepper Motor

PCB

LCD

R&D, design, technology licensors

The table below captures the capability in India across the digital instrument clusters value chain.

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Digital ICs

132

Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company
Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Stepper
Motor

Import

No

No

Sonce Boz,
VID, Switec

NA
NA

MCU

Import

No

No

Fujitsu,
Freescale,
Renesas

LCD

Import

No

No

Chinese
companies

NA

PCB

Local
supply

Yes

Yes

Many small
companies

High

OEM

Yes

Yes- High
Value Add
Assembly

Yes

INEL,
Varroc

High

EMS

No

NA

NA

NA

NA

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Remarks

Importing has proven


to be a cost effective
option as well; apart
form inadequate local
capability

None

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the Digital Instrument Clusters market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Has a well developed ecosystem

Investment opportunities recent M&A activities

Design IP held in India

New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local


manufacturing investments

Companies have in-house design, testing and


manufacturing facilities

Increasing semiconductor content in vehicles to drive


digital IC market

Demand for Digital ICs growing

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components

Currency depreciation affecting vehicle market, that


could in turn impact IC market in the short term

Underdeveloped electronics manufacturing ecosystem


Limited indigenous IP generation

Component SWOT
The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the digital ICs bill of materials (BoM) are:
Stepper motor
PCB
Microcontroller
LCD display
Except for PCBsthere are indigenous players that manufacture PCBsthe other components are imported since there are no
indigenous capabilities present in the Indian electronics ecosystem for the manufacturing of these components. Microcontrollers
are sourced from companies such as Freescale and Fujitsu while LCD displays are easily sourced from a lot of Chinese companies
that manufacture small LCD displays. Stepper motors are sourced from overseas from companies such as VID and Sonceboz.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

133

Strategic Conclusions
General:
This is a mature product market which only relies on less than 30% import of digital ICs for high end cars, and has seen exceptional
growth all through these years. With constant innovation, technology change and aesthetics, the market holds great scope for
exports and as global automotive hub. The industry can gain if provided with export-friendly policies and support structure from
the Government.

IP development:
The enormous availability of design and software skills in the country can be leveraged as the IP for instrument clusters is not held
locally in India; global OEMs possess design, testing and manufacturing facilities in the country though. Government can promote
the development of IP locally by setting up an R&D corpus and promoting tax exemption in R&D activities for these companies.

Component ecosystem:
The country is entirely reliant on import of the most critical parts used in manufacturing of digital ICs. The Indian electronics
ecosystem already possesses a fair amount of competency with regard to the manufacturing of PCBs and smaller sized LCD
displays. The manufacturing of these components could be further incentivized through preferential excise duties or offering
greater rates of CENVAT credit.
However, the other important components such as microcontrollers and stepper motors are imported. With the setting up of
semiconductor fabs and the existing semiconductor design competencies in India, the manufacturing of microcontrollers could
present a justifiable business case for willing investors.

Product manufacturing:
The MSIPS and EMC policies could be taken advantage of to set up an automotive electronics manufacturing cluster near the
Bangalore-Chennai area; Bangalore possesses the desired design expertise while a lot of automotive manufacturing happens in
and around the Chennai region.
Current Limitation

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Manufacturing of PCB and LCD displays to be incentivized
using preferential excise rates or greater rates of CENVAT
credit

Market/ Value
chain

Component market is very importheavy; all major components being


imported

b. Fab policy could foster manufacturing of microcontrollers,


due to existing design competencies and automotive
manufacturing competencies.
c. Using MSIPS and EMC, automotive electronics manufacturing
clusters could be setup in the south, near the BangaloreChennai region.

134

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Smart cards - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/
Design

Local design, assembly and manufacturing

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes


and Growth

Nil

Local Value Addition

High- Local souring, local assembly, local manufacturing

Top 4 Components

Chipset, Plastic body, Software, Printed ink antenna

Component Ecosystem

Only electronic imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential;


Export Opportunity
a. Top 2 Components do not have much potential for indigenization (global
capacities, lack of local infrastructure, IP etc)

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Incentives to encourage exports


c. Encourage passive components manufacturing locally to encourage
assembly level activity

Market and Opportunity


Government ID programs, social welfare schemes and telecom SIM applications are the prime influencers of demand for smart
cards. Smart cards technology, with its security and versatility, is being increasingly adopted for social and commercial applications
in telecom, transport, driving license (DL) & registration certificate (RC), access control and Government projects. The annual
shipment of smart cards in 2012 was estimated at 670 million units. Dominated by the telecom market, the future of the Indian
smart card market is expected to be driven by the segments of government, banking & loyalty programs and transportation.
Contact smart cards currently dominate the market, but going forward a proclivity for contactless cardsis expected. The equation
which stands at 75 to 80 per cent in favour of contact cards currently is expected to drop to equal proportions by 2015. The
government is driving the adoption of smart cards by planning smart chips in in ration cards, UID, NREGA, RSBY etc., thus creating
a huge opportunity for the local market.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

135

Smart Cards Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.6

0.57
0.52

TM: 25.4%

0.5

TDM (overall): 44.7%

0.44

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : NA

0.4

0.1

TDM (High value


add): 44.7%

0.31

0.3
0.2

0.27
0.23

0.21

0.2

0.13

0.1

HVA-TDM : TM

0.16

0.4
0

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

0
2010

2011

2012

0
2013

2011

62%

2013

70%

2015

100%

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

Smart cards: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

550

300

0.00

2011

600

375

0.00

2012

670

450

0.00

2013

620

540

0.00

2014

680

621

0.00

2015

650

714

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

136

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Industry SWOT
The smart cards value chain comprises various material and component suppliers, system integrators, and the downstream
segments like government, IT, transportation, banking etc. The Indian market is currently dominated by around 5 to 6 players who
hold the majority of the market share for smart cards. All the top players in this product market have their own manufacturing
facilities locally where assembly activity is carried out. The electronics components are imported while the on-card and off-card
technologies are done locally. The software and integration part is carried out in-house and the plastic sheets are partially imported
and partially sourced locally.
The smart cards value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Assemblers

Downstream

PETG
Plastic body
PVC
Government
Memory
Microprocessor

Smart cards OEM

IT / ITes

Smart cards EMS

Banking

Chipset
Connector
Substrates
Telecom
OS
Softwares
RoM Softwares

R&D, design, technology licensors


The top players in this product market are Syscom, Madras Security Systems, Gemalto, Orga, VCT, Manipal technologies, Oberthur
and G&D. Oberthur and G&D execute the majority of their projects in for banking applications. The greatest strength that lies
in India with respect to this product market is that we have enormous software developing capabilities. On-card and Off-card
technologies, interoperability, operating system development, hard mouse chips, embedding and milling capabilities are available
in India. These are carried out by most of the top players locally which contributes to a high value addition in the manufacturing
ecosystem.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

137

The table below captures the capability in India across the Smart cards value chain.

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Product

Local Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company Names

Level of
Local Value
Add
NA

Chipset

Imports

No

No

NXP,
STMicroelectronics,
Infineon,
Renaissance, Atmel

Antenna
substrates

Imports

No

No

AFK, French and US


companies

NA

Software

Local

Yes

Yes

In-house

High

Plastic
body

Partial
Imports,
Partial Local
supply

Yes

No

OEM

Yes

Yes

No

EMS

No

No

No

Smart cards

Madras Security
Printers, Manipal
Press, Syscom,
Bayer, United Tech
Star
Syscom, VCT,
Oberthur, MSS,
Gemalto, Oberthur,
G&D
No

High

Remarks

France and US holds the highest


number of patents; no design
capability

Local manufacturing capability


exists, but many OEMs prefer to
import from China, HongKong etc

High
NA

The challenges that the industry is currently facing is demand. Most of the announced new projects will take a few years to be
operational and therefore capacity building will gradually rise when volumes go high. With respect to product design, the country
lacks intellectual property in this field and most of it is owned by French and US companies on a technology front. The foreign
companies dominate the patent environment with respect to chip and antenna substrates design. In spite of these challenges,
smart cards still continue to be a high value add product which are also exported by the top players.
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the smart cards market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge consumption demand, Government and Banking


are the high growth end user segments

High Growth potential in the planned Government


projects

Software OS development, chip management, on-card


and off-card technologies are well established

Increasing manufacturing and labour costs in China


driving manufacturers to invest in facilities in India

Well developed EMS industry to carry out assembly


activity

India as a export hub for servicing ME, North Africa and


Europe countries

Continuous R&D to reduce overall cost and enhance


customization

PMAS for smart cards to help boost local manufacturing

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for the electronics System on


chip

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in countries


like China, Japan, Korea etc.

Lack of product design activities locally; No IP


generation. Most patents held by French companies

Well explored technology France and US hold the


highest number of patents for chip and substrate
technology

Constant pressure on manufacturers to reduce the


power unit size and increase efficiency
High risks in terms of security and hacking

138

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and


other utilities uninterrupted availability

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Component SWOT
The component ecosystem for Smart cards is quite simple across all types. The top 4 components that contribute to majority of
the smart cards bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. IC
2. PETG/Polycarbonate body
3. Software OS
4. Antenna (wire or printed)
It is noted that India possesses design capabilities for the chip at the local design centres of MNCs such as NXP, Infineon and
STM. However, lack of chip fabrication facilities results in negligible value addition contribution from design. Plastic is the second
most expensive component in a smart card which is partially sourced locally and majorly imported from China, HongKong etc.
Although there are numerous players in India who provide equally competitive PETG at competitive prices, many players still prefer
to import owing to volume issues. Printing and personalization is thoroughly local. We do have personalization capabilities but lack
of demand prohibits from exploring the same.

Strategic Conclusions
General
Smart cards are a high growth market possessing a huge export potential. Leveraging export subsidies and considering product
manufacturing under the EPCG scheme will benefit manufacturers in importing machinery at subsidized prices and exporting
huge volumes. Large presence of unbranded products in the grey market calls for a consideration of CVD tax on finished goods
imports to prevent dumping of the same.

IP/ Copyrights development


The Indian market has enormous skillset availability in the software and integration part of smart cards. The software development
is largely outsourced or developed in-house which are copyrights protected. Colourful designs, attractive smart chips and high
end customization is achievable, but there is a lack of demand in this segment. Exploration in personalization of smart cards
paves way for an opportunity in the export market where it is highly preferred. In terms of component design, the integrated chip
is entirely imported which does not undergo any local value addition. In this case, fabrication can be outsourced to dedicated
foundries which will bring down the cost and encourage local fabless design companies to develop chip by granting capital
subsidy, possibly through the mooted EDF corpus. The application of regional language software could provide opportunities
considering the expected penetration of computing and connectivity in semi-urban and rural areas; the idea of setting up central
government grants for such software development activity at the NITs should be considered.

Component ecosystem
Plastic (PETG),one of the major raw materials in smart cards,is available in plenty locally. In spite of this, many manufacturers still
prefer to import from the neighbouring countries. The PETG available locally is price and quality competitive. The government
should encourage sourcing of such components locally by bringing smart cards under Preferential Market Access (PMA).

Product development
The ecosystem for smart cards is currently at a modest level with large amounts of local sourcing and manufacturing by a number
of global OEMS and indigenous players. Chip, which is the most important component of a smart card, is majorly imported and
all other components are available locally. Smart cards adoption is increasingly growing with its massive adoption in social and
commercial applications in telecom, transport, driving license (DL) & registration certificate (RC), access control and Government
projects. To cater to such demands at a quicker rate, investments in local chip fabrication facilities would be required. At least
4 dedicated chip fabrication units for smart cards manufacturing will ensure constant high local value addition and volume
shipment. Such a situation in the long term will facilitate export activities as well. The coupled strength of software, design and
chip fabrication gives rise to an uninterrupted ecosystem with export opportunities to the neighbouring countries.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

139

Current Limitation

Value Addition

Component
Ecosystem

140

a. Absence of Product Design/IP


Generation
b. Lack of demand in terms of
Personalization
a. Reliance on electronics imports
b. Demand Volumes

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Global companies who own IP elsewhere can set up
local design houses with appropriate support from
the Government
b. Promote new and colourful designs which will
increase the uptake of smart cards in the export
market as well
a. Awareness programmes for sourcing of components
like Plastic
b. Subsidize capacity scale up to aid exports

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

GPON ONT - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

Local design and manufacturing capabilities exist

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and


Growth

ONT: 0.08 M units (2012); CAGR 132.1% (2012-15)

Local Value Addition

High design, development, manufacturing

Top 4 Components

Optical Modules (35-40%), SoC (15%), Power Supplies (8%)


and Memories (5%)

Component Ecosystem

70% of product BoM entirely imported

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

Huge; GPON as a technology is more efficient and last-mile


solution in Indian terrain
a. CDOT has indigenously developed GPON technology

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

b. Top 3 Components do not have much potential for indigenization


(global capacities, lack of local infrastructure etc.)

Market and Opportunity


Fibre to the home (FTTH) is an effective technology for efficient distribution of fibre networks to serve small businesses and homes.
Among the various FTTH technologies, GPON is the strongest contender for widespread deployments, and thus, has attracted the
interest of the Indian Government to reach out to the rural interiors of the country. The merits of GPON technology prompted the
Indian Government to start developing the technology indigenously through CDOT, resulting in the filing of patents and licensing
of the technology by 7 Indian companies (ITI Ltd., Bharat Electronics Ltd. (BEL), VMC Systems Ltd., Sai Infosystems Ltd., SM Creative
Electronics, United Telecoms Ltd. (UTL) and Tejas Networks India Ltd.) to develop the hardware. Also, the proposed government
outlay of INR 20 crores, for the construction of the National Optical Fibre Network (NOFN) to build a countrywide OFC network of
250,000 km covering 2.5 lakh gram panchayats is expected to greatly increase the demand for GPON deployments in the coming
years.
The demand for GPON customer premise equipment, called the ONTs has been steadily growing . Registering a CAGR of 132.1 per
cent, GPON ONTs are expected to grow from 0.4 million units in 2012 to 5.00 million units in 2015. The domestic manufacturing of
GPON ONTs was 0.08 million in 2012, which is expected to reach 1 million units by 2015.

GPON ONT Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


250

244.3

CAGR (2011 - 2015)


TM: 126.4%

207.9

200

TDM (overall): 100.9%


TDM (Low/Med value
add) : 100.9%

150

TDM (High value


add): NA

100
HVA-TDM : TM

54.7

50

6.3 0
1.3

0
9.3
3.0

2010

2011

23.0

0
5.5

0
4.6

2012

2013

0
26.0
2014

48.9

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

141

GPON ONT: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

0.10

0.02

0.00

2011

0.16

0.05

0.00

2012

0.40

0.08

0.00

2013

1.00

0.10

0.00

2014

4.00

0.50

0.00

2015

5.00

1.00

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
Touted as one of the technologies that can boost broadband penetration in the country, the GPON value chain is quite elaborate,
consisting of the R&D, design and technology licensors, the manufacturers, the sub-part suppliers and the consumers. The major
suppliers of GPON hardware in the country are Alphion, Huawei, NSN and Alcatel Lucent, along with CDOT and ITI, BEL, VMC
Systems, Sai Infosystems, SM Creative, UTL and Tejas Networks.
The GPON value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

System Integrators

Downstream

Memories
Semiconductors
System on Chip

Optical Module
GPON ONT

Customers

Power Supplies

Mechanical Items

R&D, design, technology licensors

142

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
With regard to domestic capability in R&D, designing and developing GPON technology, CDOT has designed and developed ONT
and OLT, the hardware as well as the software part of both. With five patents already filed, the license to develop the hardware
has been given to seven domestic companies mentioned previously. In terms of component ecosystem, the raw materials/
components available locally are more expensive in comparison to those imported from China or Taiwan, prompting import of
nearly 60 per cent of the BoM which comprise the entire semiconductor and electronics components, including certain electromechanicals components. However, power supplies are sourced from the local market. It is believed that the reference designs
for the components are provided by the OEMs to the components manufacturers and the reference designs are followed as such
during manufacturing.
The table below captures the capability in India across the GPON ONT value chain.
Product

Local Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company
Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Optical Module

Imports

No

No

Delta, Ligent,
Source
Photonics

NA

No

Broadcom,
PMC Sierra,
Marvel, Lantiq

NA
High
NA

Category

System on Chip
(SoC)

Components
and Sub
Power supplies
systems

Imports

No

Yes

Yes

Yes

VMC, Acme
Tele, GE Power

Memories

Imports

No

No

Micron, Hynix,
Samsung

Mechanical
items cables,
etc.

Yes

Yes

Yes

OEM

Imports as
well as local
supply

EMS

No

GPON

Yes

Remarks

1. Local capability unavailable


for Optical module, SoC and
Memories
2. Volume imports is cost
effective than local
procurement
3. Also zero customs duty for
electronic components
makes it a sweet deal

Low
Alphion,
Huawei, NSN,
Alcatel Lucent,
Teracom,
Utstarcom

Yes

Low

Field-trials on-going for


indigenously developed
GPONs, thus domestic demand
is fulfilled by imports

The SWOT chart here captures the analysis for the GPON ONT market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

IGPON technology designed and developed by CDOT,


IPs filed

An advanced wire-line technology, best option to cover


the last-mile customer; offers 2.5 GBPS compared to 3Gs
75 MBPS

Indigenous development of GPON equipment by


domestic companies and field trial on
R&D activities are 100% tax exempted in the country

Government projects NOFN and NKN to increase


demand of GPON

Indian skill-sets at par with global standards

WEAKNESS

SWOT THREATS

Demand failed to meet expectation and thus eroding


profitability of suppliers

Infrastructure inadequacy creates business uncertainty


with regard to investment decisions

Poor infrastructure limits deployment to new and


planned locations

Implementation delays and conviction level further


alienate users

Reliance on import of raw materials and components

Still developing component ecosystem limits


manufacturing abilities currently

Higher Indian price points in comparison to imported


equipment

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

143

Component SWOT
GPON consists of both hardware and software. With regard to hardware, there are a large number of PCB manufacturers in India
who supply boards pre-loaded with ICs, resistors, capacitors, optical modules, etc. With over 60 per cent of BoM entirely imported,
domestic manufacturing of the products does not make for a viable business proposition as the volume demand is heavily skewed.
On the other hand, large volume orders that are fulfilled by the Chinese and Taiwanese companies allow them to price their
product at a much lesser value due to economies of scale. Sourcing of power supplies is however done in India from companies
such as VMC, Acme Tele, GE Power, etc.
The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the GPON ONT bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Optical module
2. System on Chip
3. Power supplies
4. Memory

Strategic Conclusions
General:
The GPON technology and its advantages over other competing technologies have overseen its domestic development in the
country. Although the domestically manufactured price points are still higher than imported units, supportive policies like reduced
excise duties for the domestic manufacturers will promote the local industry.

IP development:
India has advanced itself with the design, development and manufacturing of GPON hardware as well as software technology.
With the help of CDOT, the Government undertaking, India has filed 5 Patents and the licenses to use the indigenous technology
to develop the product has been already granted to seven of the domestic telecom equipment manufacturing companies.

Component ecosystem:
Of the top 4 components, the electronic and semiconductor components are entirely imported while the power supplies are sourced
from India. Considering that telecom sector serves critical functionalities, it is desirable that the Indian electronics ecosystem
develop manufacturing competencies in this area to become self-sufficient to an extent. This could possibly be achieved through
the setting up of the two semiconductor fabs, possibly devoting capacity towards the manufacturing of electronics components
needed for GPON ONT.

Product manufacturing:
The MSIPS and EMC policies could be taken advantage of to set up a telecom electronics manufacturing cluster near the BangaloreChennai area or in Delhi-NCR region.
Current Limitation

Market / Value
chain

144

a. 60% of BoM currently imported.


b. Only assembly done in India; only power
supplies sourced indigenously

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


CDOT is already building on developing GPON
technology indigenously. 5 patents have already been
filed and licenses to develop hardware been granted to
7 companies. The government has also started various
programs to use GPON as the base technology like in
National Knowledge Network (NKN), National Optical
Fibre Network (NOFN), etc. The upcoming fabs might
also help develop relevant electronics component
manufacturing competencies.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Tablets - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/Assembly/Design

No; some amount of assembly

Local Manufacturing/Assembly Volumes and


Growth

1.05 million (2012); CAGR 40.0% (20122015)

Local Value Addition

Low Negligible sourcing; negligible assembly

Top 4 Components

Display, Memory, Processor, Battery

Component Ecosystem

Negligible; predominantly finished product imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem Promotion;


Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential; Export


Opportunity

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

a. Reimbursement of tax credit to be made easier


for encouraging investment in manufacturing
b. Motherboard, LCD display, and enclosure manufacturing to be offered preferential rates of customs and excise duty
c. Emerging technologies to be thoroughly evaluated for feasibility to stay ahead of technology
curve in the future

Market and Opportunity


The Indian tablet was estimated to have been worth about US$ 190 million in 2012 and is estimated to grow at about 33 per cent
during the period 2011 through 2015. However, unlike rest of the tablet markets in developed countries, the Indian market is
not dominated by either Apple or Samsung, the clear leaders in the global market. Affordable 7 inch tablets offered by domestic
players like Micromax and HCL are also going toe to toe with Apple and Samsung in the local market. Samsung and Micromaxare
the top 2 players in the Indian market though, holding close to 40 per cent of the market cumulatively, followed by Apple which
holds about 10 per cent. The year 2012 was an interesting year for the tablet market as a number of Indian players entered this
market such as Karbonn and Lava. In terms of operating systems, Android is the dominant OS followed by iOS, with Windows 8
tentatively making inroads into the market.
Tablets have taken over the mantle from laptops of being devices that are portable and can be used on-the-go. This has become
increasingly relevant with development in wireless technology and rising pervasiveness of wireless networks and data connections.
The tablet market is expected to witness increasing demand from various industries such as small and medium businesses,
educational institutes, hospitality industry and food service industry. The market for tablet PCs in the education sector is already
growing extremely well as a result of government initiatives aimed at providing affordable tablets to students at schools and
educational institutes.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

145

Tablets Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


700

688
CAGR (2011 - 2015)
TM: 33.0%

600

TDM (overall): 35.3%

500
400
289
220
200

100
21

190

140

469
353
265

200

2010

2011

2012

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 35.3%
TDM (High value
add): NA

300

453

2013

2014

HVA-TDM : TM
2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

Tablets: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

0.10

0.00

0.00

2011

1.10

0.70

0.00

2012

1.00

1.05

0.00

2013

1.60

1.47

0.00

2014

2.64

2.06

0.00

2015

4.22

2.88

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

146

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Industry SWOT
The tablet market has huge potential for both domestic consumption and export opportunities. Parallels can be drawn with the
mobile phones market; Nokia saw the great potential in the Indian market and set up local manufacturing value addition in Tamil
Nadualbeit, mostly box assembly and packagingwhich helped the local economy tangibly. They also manufactured Made for
India mobile phones by closely studying the dynamics of the local market and these products also gained widespread acceptance
in certain export markets. Likewise, the table market could also present huge potential in this regard. Given that tablets have
a disruptive form factor and are poised to be a mainstay in the electronics product industry and the daily lifestyle of people,
the government should definitely incentivize local value addition in the manufacturing of tablets. The tablet as an educational
tool could have phenomenal spinoff applications and create disruptive innovation in the delivery of education as we know it.
However, the manufacturing of tabletslike the manufacturing of laptop and desktopshas already been commoditized by
East Asian nations. Instead of trying to compete with such entrenched capabilities, there could be a case for investing in futuristic
manufacturing techniques like flexible electronics, and the like. Since the country already possesses considerable design skills,
Indian electronics design could lead the world in that particular field if the lead were taken on such innovative and futuristic
techniques.
The tablets value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers
Touchscreen
display

Assemblers

Downstream

Input / Output

USB / Ethernet
ports

Enterprises

Motherboard;
Memory; Processor
Battery

Processing module

Tablets

Consumers

Video card; Sound


card; Nerwork card
Government
Operating System
Software
Applications

R&D, design, technology licensors


Minimal design activity happens in India with respect to the manufacturing of tablets. There is considerable Indian participation
in populating each OS app ecosystem though; there are a number of start-ups that have introduced innovative apps spanning the
fields of productivity, entertainment, lifestyle, health, etc. Bigger enterprises and organizations have also commissioned apps of
their own as a new way of interacting with their customers and also as a new trade channel. There are a few indigenous companies
that are currently limited to board level assembly. However, the setting up of the semiconductor fabs has the potential to spawn
supporting activities and foster the growth of a holistic ecosystem for the manufacture of tablets. A few independent design
houses as well as public sector companies are involved in creating indigenous designs of tablets for specific target applications.
However, these design activities are sporadic and scarce. It would be beneficial to create a consortium for consolidating these
different design efforts and develop world class indigenous designs.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

147

The table below captures the capability in India across the tablets value chain.

Category

Local IP
Capability

Company Names

No

Imports

Imports

Product

Local Supply

Display

Only Sales Offices;


Total Imports

Memory

Battery

Local
Manufacturing

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

No

Samsung, Sharp,
AOU

NA

LCD panels are exempt


from basic duty, and
this could seed greater
assembly activity

No

No

Toshiba, Samsung,
Micron, Hynix

NA

No

No

Samsung, LG,

NA

Though design
capability exists there is
no local realization of IP

NA

Though design
capability exists there is
no local realization of IP

NA

Processor

Only Sales Offices;


Total Imports

No

No

all-Winner,
Freescale,
Qualcomm,
Rockchip,
Marvel, Nvidia;
Samsung and
Apple proprietary
processor

OS

No

NA

No

Apple, Google,
Microsoft,
Blackberry

Apps

Yes

NA

Yes

OEM

No

No

No

EMS

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

No

Components
and Sub
systems

Tablets

High

Nokia, Samsung

NA

Low

Recently, companies have begun coming out with tablet-hybrids: phablets, offering functionality and appearance of a phone and
a tablet like the Samsung Galaxy Note, and tablet-laptop hybrids like Microsofts Surface Pro. These devices have found takers
among the demographic segment that prefers convergence in functionality to owning multiple devices. The tablet-laptop hybrids
are yet to receive mass appeal. The relative lack of manufacturing and assembly activities, if not addressed, could add greatly to
the countrys import due to the exponential growth forecast for the market. It is highly imperative that tablet manufacturing and
assembly be addressed by government policies, especially the aspect of the National Policy on Electronics that envisages the
setting up of Electronics Manufacturing Clusters. With regard to tablets, there is huge potential for an EMC to be set.

148

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the tablets market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge domestic demand for tablets

Impending 4G roll out to drive sales of tablets, making


for easier online access

Presence of design skill with regard to app


development for tablet OS

Escalating manufacturing and labour costs in China


could driver investment to India

Nascent manufacturing/assembly facilities present


that should be developed further

India could potentially be an export hub for North Africa,


ME, and other regions

Active government support for electronics products


with domestic and export potential

New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local


manufacturing investments.

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components


- chips, displays and PCBs

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in China and


East Asia

Limited or negligent product design activities locally;


limited IP generation

Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and


other utilities uninterrupted availability

Absence of semiconductor fabs that could foster


growth of supporting activities

Emergence of a disruptive form factor could supersede


tablets potentially, for e.g., wearable electronics

Wireless penetration is fairly low outside of Tier 1 cities

Component SWOT
The biggest contribution to the BoM in terms of dollar value in a tablet is accounted for by the display which could cost up to US$
80 approximately. Next come the processor, memory modules and the battery, that could cost anywhere between US$ 15 to 20. In
short, the top 4 components that contribute to majority of the tablet bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Display
2. Memory
3. Battery
4. Processor
Since tablets are imported in finished product form for the most part, none of these components are locally sourced. As is the
case for laptops and desktops, the Indian electronics ecosystem possesses very nascent capabilities in manufacturing, such as
PCB assembly and box assembly and packaging. However, with the advent of the semiconductor fab units and government
policies such as M-SIPS and the intention to set up EMCs, the country could potentially witness the development of a wholesome
manufacturing ecosystem for tablets.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

149

Strategic Conclusions
General
The reimbursement process for claiming tax credit should be made easier and faster so that companies do not have to contend
with uncertainties of receiving reimbursement.The reimbursement process should be moved to an online portal, there should be
no restrictions on the number of times reimbursement can be claimed in a particular period of time, and reimbursements should
be directly transferred to merchants bank accounts.

IP development
There is a lot of on-going independent design activity on tablets across various private independent design houses as well as
public sector enterprises. The lack of visibility into these various activities and the absence of financial support, in some instances
results in the design efforts not culminating into a commercial product. There is a pertinent need to setup a centre of excellence
for mobile and tablets within one of the proposed EMCs to consolidate all of these design efforts and create a platform for taking
these designs from lab to fab. Leveraging the strengths of the local EMS industry, these indigenous designs can see the day of light
as Made in India tablets that could have wide appeal in the export market too.

Component ecosystem
The manufacturing of motherboards and LCD displays for tablets should be incentivized by exempting individual components
from basic customs duty and excise duty or offering preferential excise duty. Sheet metal fabrication and plastic moulding are fairly
mature technologies in India; hence, the manufacturing of tablet enclosures could also be incentivized too. It is also important to
note that the pace of technological change in the IT industry is rapid, and hence there is a need to ensure that investment in a
particular technology is sustainable in the medium to long term. For e.g., shift to SSDs, flexible electronics, etc.

Product manufacturing
The tablet industry in India has certain competencies in assembly that could be leveraged to make it a favourable destination
for value-added assembly of tablet computers for both domestic and export markets. Since this is a fairly new product market,
developing design competencies will gradually lead to organic development of the product ecosystem, especially since nascent
manufacturing capabilities are present along with a holistic policy basket for the electronics ecosystem. Organic development of
the product ecosystem will be inevitable once design activities and component manufacturing gain traction, since the demand
for tablets is projected to grow steeply in the next few years and hence the business case for making indigenous investment will
be fairly straightforward.
Current Limitation
Tax Structure

Value Addition

Ecosystem

150

Solution to Promote Ecosystem

Convoluted process of claiming tax credit

Reimbursement process should be made easier


to encourage investment in manufacturing and
ensure peace of mind for manufacturers

Lack of feeding activities

Manufacturing of motherboard and LCD displays


should be offered preferential basic duty and
excise duty rates; also enclosures

Awareness of technological trends

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Emerging technologies should be thoroughly


evaluated for their feasibility and appropriate
investment made in order to get ahead of the
technological curve in the future

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

LED Lighting - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/
Assembly/Design

Local Manufacturing, Design and Assembly

Local Manufacturing/Assembly
Volumes and Growth

5.2 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 57.6%

Local Value Addition

High Some components imported, some sourced locally, Local Assembly

Top 4 Components

LED, Drivers, Heat Sink, Thermal Interface material

Component Ecosystem

Partial Imports, Partially sourced locally

Product Importance for


Ecosystem Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential; Export Opportunity


a. Focus on technical standardization
b. LED and Optics do not have much potential for indigenization (global capacities, lack
of local infrastructure etc)

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

c. Attract leading manufacturers to invest in India and have a co-benefit of reduced cost
d. Appropriate fiscal incentives (tax, duty, tariff ) to manufacture in India
e. Set up testing facilities and labs at a national level

Market and Opportunity


The LED lighting market in India has gained prominence with increasing energy efficiency awareness and a growing Green energy
drive. The Indian LED Lighting market generated revenue of $ 168.6 million in 2012 and is expected to reach a market of $ 440.7
million by 2015 growing at a CAGR of 38 per cent.
Street lighting and commercial lighting are slated to be the next biggest applications for the next few years. The residential segment
could become significant in 5 to 7 years time. Although households still prefer compact fluorescent lamps (CFL), the demand for
LED lighting is increasingly rising in the commercial segment. Despite the growing consumption volumes, absence of indigenous
LED fabs results in complete reliance on imports. Indigenous manufacturing volumes of LED lights in 2012 were estimated to be
5.2 million units in 2012 and are poised to scale to 20.35 million units by 2015 growing at a CAGR of 57 per cent.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

151

LED Lighting Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.44

0.45

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

0.40

TM: 38.4%

0.35

TDM (overall): 49.5%

0.32

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : NA

0.30
0.25

0.23

0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05

0.20

0.17
0.14

0.12

HVA-TDM : TM

0.09

0.09
0.04

0.03

TDM (High value


add): 49.5%

0.06

2011

33%

2013

39%

2015

45%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

LED Lighting: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

7.03

2.11

0.00

2011

10.20

3.06

0.00

2012

14.79

5.20

0.00

2013

21.45

8.48

0.00

2014

31.10

13.57

0.00

2015

45.09

20.35

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

152

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Industry SWOT
LED Lighting value chain comprises various material suppliers, component and subsystem suppliers, assemblers and the
downstream retailers, distributors and consumers. The industry in India is highly fragmented, with a large number of small players,
and is also capital intense, with a high level of entry and exit barriers especially to setup infrastructure. Most of the components
required for manufacturing LEDs are imported. In order to get white light from LEDs, yellow phosphor has to be used as a coating,
which is an expensive rare earth metal currently imported from China. Rare earth export restrictions applied by China have had
companies exploring other rare earth sources such as Indiaand also attempt recycling. The number of patents filed in the LED
lighting space has increased steadily year-on-year, from approximately 600 in 2000 to over 2,500 in 2010.
The LED Lighting value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Assemblers

Heat Sink
Thermal Interface
Material
Driver

Downstream

Residential

Housing

LED lighting OEM

Testing

LED lighting EMS

Certification
Licensors

Commercial

LED
PCB

Government

Lens
Optics
Diffusers

Industrial

R&D, design, technology licensors

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

153

The Indian LED lighting market is a complex network of more than 350 players including assemblers, traders, distributors, resellers
and importers along with an equally big unorganized sector which has a share of around 55 per cent of the entire LED lighting
market. As LED is a highly expensive technology, in the absence of an ecosystem in the country, not many lighting suppliers in India
have been able to manufacture LED light source in India. Heat sink and drivers are manufactured in India whereas the light source
with lens, reflector and chip is entirely imported.
The table below captures the capability in India across the LED lighting value chain.

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

Level of
Company Names Local Value
Add

Product

Local Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

LED

Only Sales Offices;


Total Imports

No

No

Philips Lumileds,
Cree, Nichia,
Osram, Epistar

NA

No semiconductor fabs,
No IP realization

Heat Sink

Partial Imports, Partial


local manufacturing

Yes

No

OEMs, Lot of
Chinese players

High

Design registrations is
encouraged, but no IP
realization

Driver

Partial Imports, Partial


local manufacturing

Yes

No

TI, NXP, STM

High

Design registrations is
encouraged, but no IP
realization

Optics (lens,
reflectors,
diffusers)

Imported

Yes

No

Yes

No

Remarks

NA
OEMs. Lot of
EMS players,
unorganized
players

High

PCB

Locally done

OEM

Yes

Yes, High value Only design


add
registrations

Philips, Havells,
Osram, Wipro

High

EMS

Yes

Yes, High value Only design


add
registrations

Instapower,
Promptec, VIN

High

LED Lighting

Design registrations is
encouraged, but no IP
realization

The semiconductors, reflectors and lens are entirely imported as their manufactureinvolves high level of technology and expertise.
The critical challenge is that there are no semiconductor fabs to manufacture the semiconductor material or develop the ICs. The
bigger players either import the individual components or assemble locally in-house or through a contract manufacturer. There are
some traders and small players in the unorganized market who import the entire LED light as a finished product.

154

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the LED lighting market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge consumption demand

Unfurling opportunities in Street lighting, Commercial


and industrial segment

Replacement sales of CFL in driving demand for LED


lights
Product Design Many companies do complete product
design locally

LED Efficiency (Lumen/Watt) increasing at a rate of 20%


per decade, is reducing the payback period for LED,
ultimately ensuring quick ROI

R&D activities aimed at futuristic value addition, cost


reduction and better performance

India as a export hub for servicing ME, North Africa and


Europe countries

Well developed EMS industry capabilities for entire


product manufacturing

New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local


manufacturing investments

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Lack of testing protocols, facilities, and accredited labs


at the national level

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in


neighbouring China

High initial cost even after carbon finance assistance

Emergence of other low cost manufacturing destinations


like Vietnam

Absence of National technical standards leading to


import of sub standards LED lights
Lack of testing protocols and laboratories
Lack of incentives to attract major LED firms to
manufacture in India

Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and


other utilities uninterrupted availability
No incentives to set up manufacturing facilities in India

Component SWOT
The component ecosystem for LED Lighting is extremely diverse in line with the wide range of prices of LED Lights. While
components such as driver, heat sink, LED, reflectors, lens, etc., are common for all types of lights, the cost and capacity of these
components vary depending on the wattage and efficiency of the light. The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the
LED Light bill of materials (BoM) irrespective of the type or price are:
1. LED
2. Driver circuit
3. Heat sink
4. Thermal interface material
The light source/ LED are entirely imported and India currently does not have LED fabrication facilities. This is due to lack of
infrastructure and incentives and high investment costs. Driver circuits and heat sink are very well manufactured locally by a lot
of players. Lack of IP protection and skill training prohibits the market from carrying out indigenous activities. Aluminium, an
important raw material for heat sink, is very expensive. In order to promote local manufacturing, the government should offer
incentives on raw materials purchase for domestic manufacturing.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

155

Strategic Recommendations
General
Restrictive tax structure with a high VAT of 14.5 per cent obstructs LED lighting penetration. Reduction and a uniform VAT structure
across all states will increase penetration. Exemption for capital goods for LED light manufacture will encourage manufacturers to
enhance the manufacturing ecosystem

IP development
With approval from the Ministry, 3 more testing facilities are to be established in three regions in the country. Setting up of
design houses, both for product and components, will create a labour pool and also enhance design capabilities locally. Product
awareness across the value chain is an immediate necessity to promote adoption and penetration and thus bypass the volume
issue for manufacturing.

Component ecosystem
Considering the market size of Led lighting in India, local design activity of driver circuits, heat sink and LED can be incentivized
by granting R&D credit. Photometry is a crucial part in product development and can be encouraged through academia-industrial
collaborations. With a large presence of local PCB development, thr driver circuit board itself has the potential to be indigenized.
Grant of tax credit for local sourcing will further strengthen high value addition in the value chain.
With the growing shift from CFL to LED, especially in the B2B segment, there is going to be a tremendous demand for this market.
LED chips being the most expensive component in the product, there arises a need for setting up LED wafer fabs in the country.
LED wafer fabs, along with the testing facilities, will not only prevent the import of sub-standard light fittings but also increase the
local value addition.

Product development
DeitYmust mandate technical specifications in order to manufacture standardized lamps. The imported LED lamps (finished
goods) also must be tested to prevent dumping. The Government could extend support to mandate new or secondary roads
to be replaced with LED fittings. All Government projects can include self-ballasted LED lamps. The Ministry of Power (MoP)can
provide at least one LED lamp under the electricity to all villages scheme. These initiatives will bypass the volume issue and lead
to constant high value add manufacturing which can be considered for exports in the long term.
Current Limitation

Solution to Promote Ecosystem


a. Capital subsidy, grant and rebate

Tax Structure

a. High VAT of 14.5%

b. Investment and production tax credits

b. Restrictive tax structure obstructs LED


lighting penetration

c. Reduction in sales tax, VAT


d. Exemption from SAD
e. Exemption for capital goods for LED light manufacture

Value Addition

a. Lack of testing facilities and product


awareness
b. Absence of IP Generation

Component
Ecosystem

Policy Initiatives

156

a. Reliance on imports for electronics


and optics
b. Demand Volumes
a. Absence of National standards for
LEDs
b. Lack of incentives to set up
manufacturing facilities

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

a. Immediate setup of 3-4 trusted testing facilities


b. Create labour pool to encourage component design
capabilities, set up design houses
a. Set up chip fabrication facilities
b. Subsidize raw materials cost for manufacturers
a. Recommendation to MoP to provide at least one LED
lamp under electricity to all villages scheme
b. Technical standards to be mandated by BIS
c. Mandating phased domestic manufacturing to be
integrated in the policy framework

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Payment Terminals - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/
Assembly/Design

Only Assembly (Only by local players who hold a share of 5%)

Local Manufacturing/Assembly
Volumes and Growth

0.035 million (2012); CAGR (20122015) 16.3%

Local Value Addition

Low Mostly finished good imports, local manufacturers source some materials
locally while most components are imported

Top 4 Components

Communication Module, LCD/TFT, Printers, Processors

Component Ecosystem

Negligible; Predominantly Imports

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

High; Huge Local Market; High Growth Potential; Export Opportunity

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

a. Incentivize EMV certification cost


b. Top 4 Components do not have much potential for indigenization (global
capacities, lack of local infrastructure etc)
c. Reduce excise duties
d. Encourage semicon fabrication initially through BEL, BHEL, etc

Market and Opportunity


One of the defining characteristics of the electronic payment market in recent years has been that it grows steadily year on year.
Ease and convenience of purchase for cardholders drives the market wherein the merchant is also ensured of a safe and secure
transaction, thus offering a wide range of payment options to consumers. In 2012, the credit, debit and other electronic payments
grew at a rate of 30 per cent from the previous year with 1.2 billion transcations. POS systems shipment volumes in the country are
anticipated to grow from 0.7 million units in 2012 to 1.1 million units by 2015 growing at a CAGR of 16.3 per cent.
India is currently the 13th largest non-cash payment markets in the world with a high potential to grow significantly as more
merchants install POS systems and accept card payments. The government has announced that it will setup nearly 14 lakh Aadhar
linked Micro ATMs across the country which will deploy PoS terminals to read cards and communicate with the banks core banking
system. Despite the high consumption volumes, there is very minimal local manufacturing or assembly activity. There are only a
few local manufacturers who indigenously produce terminals, however, limitations of huge investment cost and certification costs
do not make it viable for mass production.

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

157

Payment Terminals Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


0.25

CAGR (2011 - 2015)

0.22
0.20

TM: 18.9%
TDM (overall): 17.4%

0.18

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 17.4%

0.16
0.15

0.10

0.14
0.10

TDM (High value


add): NA

011

HVA-TDM : TM

0.05

0
0.005
2010

0
0.0058
2011

0
0.007
2012

0
0.008
2013

0
0.011

0
0.009
2014

2011

0%

2013

0%

2015

0%

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

Payment Terminals: TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

0.50

0.025

0.00

2011

0.58

0.029

0.00

2012

0.70

0.035

0.00

2013

0.80

0.04

0.00

2014

0.90

0.045

0.00

2015

1.10

0.055

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

158

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Industry SWOT
The Payment terminal value chain comprises various component and subsystem suppliers, assemblers and the downstream
retailers and consumers. While local manufacturing is restricted to just assembly activities, the country is highly reliant on imports
for all the electronics components in the product. The cost of investment involved in component manufacturing and also the EMV
certification act as huge barriers for local manufacturers to explore local value addition.
The Payment Terminals value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

Downstream

Assemblers

Processor
Processor Module
ROM

Dial Up

Communication
Module

GPS

Retailers
Payment
Terminals - OEM

Banking/Financial
Licensors

Battery Circuits
Displays
Interfaces

Utilities
Payment
Terminals - EMS

Certification
Licensors
Government

Printers

Operating System
Software
Applications

R&D, design, technology licensors

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

159

In this product market, prominent players like Ingenico and Verifone together account for 95 per cent of market share. The
remaining is accounted for by very small local manufacturers like Visiontek, Analogix who offer customization services to serve
applications like utilities reading, transport, bill generation etc., which do not require an EMV certification. This is because the cost
of certification is huge and is unaffordable for smaller manufacturers. The indigenous manufacturers import all of the electronics
components required and execute assembly activities while packaging and integration, and casing manufacturing is done locally.
There are design houses present in Bangalore which develop product design and also have IP capability. The very minimal local
sourcing in this product market results in a very minimal local value addition. With regard to components, the electronic modules,
processors, communication modules, interfaces, battery circuits, displays and printers are imported. Local capability exists for the
casing, packaging and integration. The table below captures the capability in India across the Payment Terminals value chain.
Product

Local Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

CPU Module

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

No

Components Communication
and Sub
Module and
systems
Interfaces

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

Battery Circuits

Category

Level of Local
Value Add

Remarks

No

NA

Product design exists, involves


high setup cost for Foundry

No

No

NA

Product design exists, involves


high setup cost for Foundry

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

No

No

NA

Product design exists, involves


high setup cost for Foundry

Displays and
Printers

Only Sales
Offices; Total
Imports

No

No

NA

Product design exists, involves


high setup cost for Foundry

Integration
and Casing
(Packaging)

Developed
locally

Yes

No

High

Sheet metal and Plastic produced


locally, including electrical cables.

Yes

Yes, Low value


add

Yes, at
product
design
level

Ingenico,
Verifone,
G&D, HCL,
Visiontek,
Analogix

Low

Yes

Yes, only Low


Value Add
Assembly

Yes, at
product
design
level

Flextronics,
SGS, Kanes

Low

OEM
Payment
Terminals
EMS

Company
Names

The proportion of the retail market that employs POS systems is still less than 15 per cent. The use of plastic money is still nascent
and the conversion rate is very high;this acts as a huge opportunity for POS installations. The first step to encourage the use of
plastic money is to create awareness amongst the citizens to have banking facilities and hence own a transaction card. Also, it is
noted that there is lack of standards which necessitates manufacturers to make customized terminals for clients. Lack of client
demand leads to a volume issue, hence manufacturers are unable to manufacture in mass thus leading to many cheaper product
imports.

160

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the Payment terminals market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Huge consumption demand

Increasing average online spend per person

Continuous improvement to reduce product cost

Escalating manufacturing and labour costs in China


driving manufacturers to invest in facilities in India

Various design houses present locally who carry out


entire product design
Good skillset availability and reasonable labour cost

Increasing adoption of debit and credit cards, significant


rise in online transactions, Micro ATMs

Other raw materials like sheet metal and plastics is made


cheaper

Mobile phones: Best medium for cashless payments


New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local
manufacturing investments

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components


Processor, Communication and interfaces module,
battery circuits, display, printers

High cost of manufacturing; capital intense

High certification costs prohibits local manufacturers to


invest

Incentives on sales and excise duty in certain pockets


of India thus attracting industries to one particular
geographic location

Volume demand of certain raw materials is very low and


hence rely on imports to get it cheaper. Penetration of
PoS systems is still very less; Retail not more than 15%

Well established manufacturing ecosystem in


neighbouring China

Infrastructure inadequacy sufficient power, water and


other utilities uninterrupted availability

Component SWOT
The component ecosystem for payment terminals is diverse in accordance to the application segments it caters to. The cost of
certain components varies depending on the application that it performs. Modules such as processor, communication and battery
circuits are common for all types of systems whereas the high end terminals may have smart chips, Bluetooth, GPS, etc. The top 4
components that contribute to majority of the payment terminals bill of materials (BoM) irrespective of the type or price are:
1. Communication module
2. LCD/ TFT
3. Printers
4. Processor
Analysing the payment terminals component value chain in India, it is observed that sustained and growing demand for POS
systems is a key strength for the industry. Key strengths include design capability, EMS services and also PCB development, but
the critical challenge is that there is no feeding industry present and most of the components are imported. This creates a lack
of basis or fundamentals for developing the local manufacturing for this market. Huge investment costs to set up foundry, fabs
and certifications acts as a major challenge for local manufacturers. Another major challenge is the volume; the demand is very
high and outstrips the indigenous manufacturing capacity. Hence, the market is import-heavy and incidentally importing in large
volumes from China and Taiwan also presents cheaper acquisition costs for companies.

Strategic Conclusions
General
The current customs duty for terminals is 12 per cent on 80 per cent of the product price against a 14 per cent excise duty on the
product price. This makes it economical for OEMs to import rather than produce locally especially when there is lack of incentives for
component sourcing. Reduction in sales, VAT and excise duty would attract more manufacturers to consider local manufacturing.
A notable issue is that although the Indian Governments gives a tax rebate of SAD for local manufacturers, the complexity of the
process is a major challenge. Making the whole system as an Internet Online portal (similar to Income Tax) and creating awareness
of the same would act as a boon to manufacturers. Allocation of funds by the Government for providing domain training in the
payment industry would be of great help for people in the manufacturing sector of POS and payment enabling products.
CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

161

IP development
EMV certifications, which are a mandate for PoS system authorization incurs huge cost. This is a huge roadblock for local
manufacturers. This is where the need for an expansion of a national switch like NPCI comes in. The expansion will act as huge
clearing houses and will abrogate the current VISA/ Master/ Maestro certifications thereby reducing the cost for local PoS system
manufacturers. The brand name of the NPCI switch is called RuPay which currently is applicable only for ATM cards, and few debit
cards is much cheaper when compared to the EMV costs. Their expansion to all debit cards, credit cards and merchant sites will
encourage manufacturers to invest in local manufacturing and also help the entire value chain (banks, merchants and customers)
to move towards plastic money.
Any certification like EMV/ product or component import is very complex. The number of processes and signatory documents
involved is too complex thus making it difficult for manufacturers to consider this option. Simplification of the process by hosting
the certification online with upload of scanned documents will make the process simple and easy to adopt. With software
development being one of our core strengths, allocation of funds by the government to enable the Indian IT entrepreneurs to
develop the EMV Kernel targeting various emerging platforms including Android will help in strengthening the ecosystem.
The end customers requirements are very niche and are very specific to this market, thus creating a volume issue for manufacturers.
Manufacturers are unable to produce in bulk due to this customization issue. Lack of standards or policies for product design paves
way for cheaper product imports as substitutes. Devising an appropriate manufacturing standard will help in manufacturing of
quality products and will forfeit the volume issue.

Component ecosystem
India is largely dependent on imports for most of the critical electronic components which constitute about 60% of the BoM value.
Incentivising component imports by providing tax rebates for local manufacturing and encourage fabless design companies by
providing seed capital will promote higher local value addition. Setting up local design houses and leveraging R&D tax credit will
attract global OEMs to invest in local manufacturing of components.

Product development
The Micro ATMS once established will quicken the process to a plastic economy. The Indian cash economy has to be encouraged to
get converted to plastic economy. Encouragement for the usage of no frills debit cards with no surcharge and creating awareness
about usage of the same is pertinent. Tax rebate to merchants, if at least 50 per cent of transactions in value terms are through cards,
needs to be mooted. The NPCI (National Payment Corporation of India) must be brought to force thereby creating an infrastructure
for RuPay as clearing houses and ultimately enabling the use of plastic money and necessitating a PoS implementation.
The government has to initiate steps to fund and encourage the indigenous development of EMV Kernel and setup EMV and
PCI-PTS test facilities to help the indigenous product manufacturers. Setting up of labs is an urgent need to prevent dumping of
sub-standard devices. The Indian government should consider setting up of Accredited Labs for EMV Certification and PCI-PTS test
facilities which are easy and cost effective for device manufacturers.
Current Limitation
Tax Structure

Value Addition

Component
Ecosystem
Policy
Initiatives

162

Solution to Promote Ecosystem

a. Excise duty varies from state to state


b. Current duty is at 12% on 80% of the
product price

a. Reduce excise duty, sales and VAT


b. Incentivize tax on component imports

a. Lack of Feeding Industries


b. High EMV certification costs leading to a
halt in progress for local manufacturers

a. Promote design through setup of design houses


b. Collaborate with academia to carry out design activities,
both product and component level
c. IP generation for local design
d. Incentivize certification costs for local manufacturers

a. Reliance on imports
b. High demand volumes makes it
cheaper while importing

a. Offer incentives to source raw materials locally


b. Set up Semiconductor fabrication, packaging and
testing facilities

a. Lack of policies to encourage citizens to


have banking facilities
b. Lack of standardization policies leading
to many cheap imports of terminals

a. Create awareness to attract citizens to have bank


accounts
b. Bring about standardized protocols for local
manufacturing and component quality

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

2W Ignition - Product and Ecosystem Analysis


SUMMARY
Product Local Manufacturing/
Assembly/Design

Done in India

Local Manufacturing/Assembly
Volumes and Growth

16.83 million (2012); CAGR (2012-15) 12.3%

Local Value Addition

High Local Sourcing, Manufacturing, Design IP held in India

Top 4 Components

Microcontroller (20%), Power Semiconductor (20%), CDI Capacitors (10%),


Transformers (10%)

Component Ecosystem

90% of Electronic components imported

Product Importance for Ecosystem


Promotion; Why

Medium; An ECU for 2W on way, which will replace CDIs by 2015-16


a. Constantly increasing Petrol pricing a dampener for the growth of
the 2W industry

Steps to Promote Ecosystem

Market and Opportunity


The double-digit growth of Indian two-wheeler industry, especially the scooter segment, followed by motorcycles and mopeds
respectively at 25 per cent, 14 per cent and 12 per cent, has led to the steady growth of 2W ignition market in the country. The growth
in demand for 2W ignitions, also known as CDI (Capacitor Discharge Ignition), has been reciprocated by auto-part manufacturers
adding capacities to their existing manufacturing facilities and plans of subsequent capacity expansion in the coming years. This
product, which is entirely manufactured in the country, is is expected to exhibit greater demand in the coming years. The total
market for CDIs in 2012 was 16.8 million units, which is expected to reach 23.9 million units in 2015 growing at a CAGR of 12.4 per
cent. The entire demand generation is accounted for through high-value add domestic manufacturing of the CDIs in the country,
which is expected to grow at 12.4 per cent in the period 2012 to 2015. Of the total domestic production, a small proportion of CDIs
is also exported to suppliers across the globe.

Capacitor Discharge Ignition Market: TM, TDM Forecasts (2010-2015)


350
308.1
300

280.7
255.8

250
210.4 210.4
200

231.0

308.1

280.7

CAGR (2011 - 2015)


TM: 10.2%
TDM (overall): 10.2%

255.8

TDM (Low/Med
value add) : 0

231.0

190.8 190.8

TDM (High value


add): 10.2%

150
HVA-TDM : TM

100
50

2011

100%

2013

100%

2015

100%

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Total Domestic Manufacturing (High Value Add, $ Million)


Total Domestic Manufacturing (Low & Medium Value Add, $ Million)

Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Total Market ($ Million)

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

163

CDI : TM, TDM Volumes Forecasts


Product

TM Volumes
(Million units)

TDM Volumes for Local TDM Volumes for Exports


Sales (Million units)
(Million units)

2010

13.23

13.23

0.00

2011

15.03

15.03

0.00

2012

16.83

16.83

0.00

2013

19.02

19.02

0.00

2014

21.30

21.30

0.00

2015

23.86

23.86

0.00
Base Year: 2011 Source: IESA-Frost & Sullivan

Industry SWOT
The 2W ignition value chain is quite elaborate as this product is manufactured in the country with high value addition activities
undertaken by different stakeholders. With players like Denso, INEL (India Nippon Electricals) and Varroc present in the country
and their manufacturing facilities dedicated to serving the local demand, India is in a dominant position with regard to the CDI
manufacturing ecosystem.
The 2W ignition value chain is depicted in the figure below.
Component and
Sub-system Suppliers

System Integrators

Downstream

Microcontrollers
Power
Semiconductors

Semiconductors

Diodes, ASICs
Capacitor, Resistor
Connectors
2W Ignition

OEMS

PCB

Transformer
Plastic casing
with Potting
chemical

R&D, design, technology licensors

164

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN
The growth of the two-wheeler market in comparison to that of the 4 wheeler market has indeed seen more new players venturing
into this space, thereby leading to the commoditization of the product and eroding of profit margins of many players. This is
also the reason why EMS companies have not ventured into manufacturing of CDIs despiteIndian OEMs having shown higher
capabilities in design, engineering, assembly and manufacturing of CDIs.
The table below captures the capability in India across the 2W ignition value chain.

Product

Local
Supply

Local
Manufacturing

Local IP
Capability

Company Names

Level of Local
Value Add

Microcontrollers

Imports

No

No

Microchip, Renesas

NA

Power
Semiconductors

Imports

No

No

IR, Onsemi

NA

Passives

Imports

No

No

Samsung,
Panasonic,

NA

Transformer

Yes

Yes

Yes

Many small
companies

High

Plastic casing with


Potting chemical

Yes

Yes

Yes

Many small
companies

High

Connectors
(water-proof )

Yes

Yes

Yes

Molex, Besmac,
Vinay, Motherson

High

OEM

Yes

Yes high
value added
manufacturing

Yes

INEL, Varroc, Denso

High

EMS

No

No

No

NA

NA

Category

Components
and Sub
systems

CDI

Remarks

Made by numerous small


scale companies as they are
very low value products

The SWOT chart below captures the analysis for the 2W ignition market.

STRENGTHS

OPPORTUNITIES

Mature product market

Indian still has a hugely un-tapped rural segment

Established ecosystem in place


Design IP held in India

New policies such as MSIPS incentivizing local


manufacturing investments

Domestic companies have excellent R&D, testing and


manufacturing processes and capabilities

Growing demand of 2W following fuel deregulation and


price rise

Good availability of machineries and skill-set

SWOT
WEAKNESS

THREATS

Reliance on imports for most of the critical components


chips, displays and PCBs

Release of Next version of emission norms will make the


existing models obsolete

Export numbers not impressive

Deficient power situations in states like Tamil Nadu


impacts production cost

Market becoming commoditized


Low entry cost encouraging smaller players entering
market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

An ECU for 2W may make CDIs redundant in 4-5 years


time

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

165

Component SWOT
Companies in the 2W Ignition space are focusing their efforts on localising the sourcing of raw materials to keep the cost of the
product low.
The top 4 components that contribute to majority of the 2W ignition bill of materials (BoM) are:
1. Microcontrollers
2. Power semiconductors
3. CDI capacitors
4. Transformers
Microcontrollers and power semiconductors are still imported from East Asia; companies like Fujitsu, Freescale and Onsemi are
prominent suppliers. Transformers and CDI capacitors are manufactured and also designed locally.

Strategic Conclusions
General:
The India 2-wheeler industry has been witnessing robust growth for an extended period of time. Since the market has matured,
the domestic manufacturers can gain a great deal by exporting CDIs. The industry can gain if provided with export-friendly policies
and support structure from the Government.

IP development:
Barring the IP capability of electronics components that are used in CDIs, the Indian OEMs hold IP rights of the other locally
sourced components such as the transformers, the connectors, the potting chemicals, etc.

Component ecosystem:
Barring the electronic components, all the other raw materials used in CDIs are sourced from India. By fostering the growth of the
Indian electronics manufacturing ecosystem, the manufacturing of 2W ignition units could be completely indigenized. Considering
the top 4 components, CDI capacitors and transformers are already being indigenously sourced with numerous small and big
players manufacturing varieties of transformers across the country. For the electronics component sourcing, the declaration of the
setting of the semiconductor fab in the country hits the right note.

Product manufacturing:
The MSIPS and EMC policies could be taken advantage of to set up an automotive electronics manufacturing cluster near the
Bangalore-Chennai area or in Delhi-NCR region.
Current Limitation

Solution to Promote Ecosystem

Tax Structure

None

Ecosystem already developed

Value Addition

None

Ecosystem already developed

Component
Ecosystem
Policy Initiatives

166

a. Reliance on imports for 60-75%


of BoM value since this is mostly
semiconductors
None

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

Local fab shall help address this


Ecosystem already developed

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

Appendix
Definitions

TM: Total Market: Total consumption of electronics in India, in whatever form (can be purchased locally,
imported as part of CKD or SKD, imported as a complete product), by whatever source
(Sources are directly from product company offices in India, distributor sales, direct imports
etc) and in whichever currency (US$ or Indian rupee).
TDM:

Total Domestic Market: Total domestic manufacturing including CKD assembling that caters
to domestic market consumption; does not include exports.

ESDM Industry Size: Electronics TM + Electronics TE + Electronic Component Market Revenues from Local
Manufacturing + Semiconductor Design Market Revenues + EMS Services Revenues
HVA:

High local value addition: Value addition > 50%; high level of local sourcing, high level of
indigenous design, complete system manufacturing.

MVA:

Medium local value addition: Value addition 20%-50%; EMS, CKD Assembling, sourcing of
minimal components.

LVA:

Low local value addition: Value addition <20%; SKD Assembling, no local sourcing, no local
design influence.

Acronyms
ASIC:

Application Specific Integrated Circuit

ASSP:

Application Specific Standard Product

BTS:

Base Terminal Station

CAGR:

Cumulative Average Growth Rate

CBU:

Completely Built Unit

CDI:

Capacitor Discharge Ignition

eBoM: Electronics Bill of Materials


ECU:

Engine Control Unit

EMS:

Engine Management System

IC:

Integrated Circuit

IP:

Internet Protocol

LCD:

Liquid Crystal Display

MCU: Microcontroller
MPU:

Microprocessor

STB:

Set top Box

TM:

Total Market

TDM:

Total Domestic Market

TAM:

Total Available Market

UPS:

Uninterrupted Power Supply

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

167

Tax and Duty Structure for the High Priority Products and Components

168

Import Duty structure

No

Product

CUSTOMS TARIFF
No./HS Code

Basic
Duty

Mobile Phones

Domestic taxes and duties

CVD

Edu.
Cess on
Addl.
Duty

Edu.
Cess on
Total
Duty

Spl.
Addl.
Duty
(SAD)

TOTAL
DUTY

Excise
Duty

CST

VAT

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

85171210/85171290

0.00%

1.00%

3.00%

3.00%

0.00%

1.07%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

FPD TV

85287116-19

10.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

29.57%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

Notebooks

84714110

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.42%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

Desktops

84713010

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.42%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

Digital Camera

85258020

10.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

29.57%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

Inverters and
UPS

85044010

10.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

29.57%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

Memory cards
and USB drives

85421020

7.50%

16.32%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

31.70%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

4W EMS

84129030

7.50%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

26.53%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

LCD Monitors

84716030

0.00%

10.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

15.18%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

10

Servers

84714120

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.42%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

11

Base Stations

85176100

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.41%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

12

Power Supplies

85044029

7.50%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

26.53%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

13

Set Top Box

85287100

10.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

29.34%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

14

Printes and
MFDs

844332

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.42%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

15

Routers/
Switches

85176290

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.41%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

16

Car Radio

85255010

7.50%

16.32%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

31.70%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

17

IPPBX

85177090

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.42%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

18

Energy Meters

90283010/ 90283090

10.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

29.57%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

19

Digital
Instrument
Clusters

91040000

10.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

29.57%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

20

Smart Cards

85235220/ 85235210

0.00%

6.00%

3.00%

3.00%

0.00%

6.43%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

21

2W Ignition

85111000

7.50%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

26.53%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

22

Tablets

84713090

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.42%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

23

LEDLighting

94054090

10.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

29.57%

6.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

24

GPON ONT

85177090

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.41%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

25

Payment
Terminals

84713000

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.41%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

26

PCB

85340000

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.42%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

27

LCD Display
Panel

85312000

0.00%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

17.41%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

28

Transformer

85041090

7.50%

12.00%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

26.53%

12.00%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

29

Semiconductor
IC

85426000

7.50%

16.32%

3.00%

3.00%

4.00%

31.70%

4.00%

4 to 12.5%

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

Notes

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

169

Notes

170

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

INDIAN ESDM MARKET - ANALYSIS OF 2014


OPPORTUNITY AND GROWTH PLAN

CONFIDENTIAL IESA COPYRIGHT

IESA - Frost & Sullivan : Indian ESDM Market

171

India Electronics & Semiconductor Association


Head office: Unit-G-02, Ground Floor; Prestige Terminus II; 901 Civil Aviation Road; Konena Agrahara; (Old HAL Airport Exit Road);
Bangalore-560 017. India. Phone: +91 80 4147 3250 Facsimile: +91 80 4122 1866
New Delhi office: DBS Business Centre, First Floor, World Trade Tower, Barakhamba Lane, Connaught Place, New Delhi - 110 001 India
www.iesaonline.org

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen