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UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA/UNIVERSITEIT VAN PRETORIA

DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS/DEPARTEMENT STATISTIEK

STATISTICS/STATISTIEK 123
OCTOBER/OKTOBER 2008

TIME/TYD: 60 MINUTES/MINUTE TOTAL/TOTAAL: 50 MARKS/PUNTE

INITIALS/
VOORLETTERS
SURNAME/
VAN
STUDENT NUMBER/
STUDENTENOMMER
SIGNATURE/
HANDTEKENING

1. ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS IN THE RELEVANT SPACE PROVIDED AND


ENCIRCLE THE CORRECT OPTION WHERE NECESSARY./
BEANTWOORD AL DIE VRAE IN DIE RUIMTES DAARVOOR GELAAT EN
OMKRING DIE KORREKTE OPSIE WAAR NODIG.
2. WHERE APPLICABLE, ALWAYS WRITE DOWN THE FORMULA THAT
YOU USE./WAAR VAN TOEPASSING SKRYF ALTYD DIE FORMULE WAT U
GEBRUIK NEER.
3. A LIST OF FORMULAE AND TABLES WILL BE PROVIDED./`N
FORMULELYS EN TABELLE SAL VOORSIEN WORD.
4. ROUND ANSWERS TO FOUR DECIMALS UNLESS OTHERWISE
INDICATED./WERK TOT VIER DESIMALE TENSY ANDERS AANGEDUI.

MARKS MARKS
QUESTION/ AWARDED/ QUESTION/ AWARDED/
VRAAG PUNTE VRAAG PUNTE
TOEGEKEN TOEGEKEN

1-11 15

12 16

13 17

TOTAL /
14
TOTAAL
2
QUESTION 1 / VRAAG 1

The “Top Three” at a racetrack consists of picking the correct order of the first three horses
in a race. If there are 10 horses in a particular race, how many “Top Three” outcomes are
possible?/Die “Top Drie” by ‘n perdewedren bestaan uit die keuse van die eerste drie perde
in die korrekte volgorde in ‘n wedren. Indien daar 10 perde deelneem in ‘n spesifieke
wedren, hoeveel moontlike “Top Drie” uitkomste is daar?
a. 720
b. 302 400
c. 1 814 400
d. 120
(2)

QUESTION 2 / VRAAG 2

A lottery is conducted using three urns. Each urn contains chips numbered from 0 to 9. One
chip is selected at random from each urn. The total number of sample points in the sample
space is:/‘n Lotery gebruik drie dromme. Elke drom bevat speelstukke wat genommer is van
0 tot 9. Een speelstuk word ewekansig gekies uit elke drom. Die totale aantal steekproef-
punte in die steekproefruimte is:
a. 30
b. 100
c. 729
d. 1 000
(2)

QUESTION 3 / VRAAG 3

If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P(A) = 0.3 and P(B) = 0.5 , then
P(A ∪ B) = :/Indien A en B onderling uitsluitende gebeurtenisse is met P(A) = 0.3 en
P(B) = 0.5 , dan is P(A ∪ B) = :
a. 0.000
b. 0.150
c. 0.800
d. 0.200
(2)

QUESTION 4 / VRAAG 4

If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.38 and P(B) = 0.55 , then P(A | B) = :/
Indien A en B onafhanklike gebeurtenisse is met P(A) = 0.38 en P(B) = 0.55 , dan is
P(A | B) = :
a. 0.209
b. 0.380
c. 0.550
d. 0.625
(2)
3
QUESTIONS 5 – 9 ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION /
VRAE 5 – 9 WORD OP DIE VOLGENDE INLIGTING GEBASEER:

In order to investigate the relationship between gender of a person and his/her favorite TV
channel a random sample of 170 viewers is selected and the results are given in the table
below:/Om die verwantskap tussen die geslag van ‘n persoon en sy/haar gunsteling TV
kanaal te ondersoek, word ‘n ewekansige steekproef van 170 kykers geneem en die resultate
word in die tabel hieronder aangedui:

The relationship between the gender of a person and his/her favourite TV channel./Die
verwantskap tussen die geslag van ‘n persoon en sy/haar gunsteling TV kanaal.
Favourite TV channel /
Gender/ Gunsteling TV kanaal Total/
Geslag Travel / Sport/ Movie/ Totaal
Reis Sport Film
Male/
14 51 25 90
Manlik
Female/
16 29 35 80
Vroulik
Total/
30 80 60 170
Totaal

QUESTION 5 / VRAAG 5

What is the probability that a randomly selected viewer is female?/Wat is die waarskynlik-
heid dat ‘n ewekansiggekose kyker vroulik is?
a. 0.529
b. 0.471
c. 0.094
d. 0.353
(2)

QUESTION 6 / VRAAG 6

Approximately what percentage of viewers has a movie channel as their favourite TV


channel?/Watter benaderde persentasie van kykers het die filmkanaal as hul gunsteling TV
kanaal aangedui?
a. 35%
b. 42%
c. 53%
d. 28%
(2)

QUESTION 7 / VRAAG 7

What is the probability that a randomly selected viewer is male and his favourite TV channel
is sport?/Wat is die waarskynlikheid dat ‘n ewekansiggekose kyker ‘n man is en dat sy
gunsteling TV kanaal sport is?
a. 0.147
b. 0.082
c. 0.171
d. 0.300
(2)
4
QUESTION 8 / VRAAG 8

What is the probability that a randomly selected viewer is female given that she favours
watching the travel channel?/Wat is die waarskynlikheid dat ‘n ewekansiggekose kyker
vroulik is, gegewe dat sy verkies om na die reiskanaal te kyk?
a. 0.467
b. 0.094
c. 0.533
d. 0.176
(2)

QUESTION 9 / VRAAG 9

Determine the probability that a randomly selected viewer is male or the viewer favour
movies as a TV channel or both:/Bereken die waarskynlikheid dat ‘n ewekansiggekose kyker
manlik is of dat die kyker se gunsteling kanaal die fliekkanaal is of beide:
a. 0.094
b. 0.417
c. 0.882
d. 0.735
(2)

QUESTION 10 / VRAAG 10

Which of the following sampling methods does not lead to probability samples?/Watter van
die volgende steekproefnemingsmetodes sal nie tot waarskynlikheidssteekproewe lei nie?
a. Stratified sampling/Gestratifiseerde steekproefneming
b. Cluster sampling/Tros steekproefneming
c. Systematic sampling/Sistematiese steekproefneming
d. Convenience sampling/Geriefssteekproefneming
(2)

QUESTION 11 / VRAAG 11

Thirty percent of a magazine’s subscribers are female. A random sample of 50 subscribers is


taken. What is the probability that the proportion of females from the sample is between 0.22
and 0.28./Dertig persent van tydskrifintekenare is vroulik. ‘n Ewekansige steekproef van 50
intekenare is gekies. Wat is die waarskynlikheid dat die proporsie dames in die steekproef
tussen 0.22 en 0.28 sal wees?
a. 0.220
b. 0.270
c. 0.310
d. 0.357 (2)
[22]

QUESTION 12 / VRAAG 12

The probability distribution of the daily demand for a certain hair product, which a well-
known salon produces, is shown on the next page. Let x = the daily demand of this hair
product./Die waarskynlikheidsverdeling van die daaglikse vraag na ‘n spesifieke
haarproduk, wat deur ‘n welbekende salon vervaardig word, word op die volgende bladsy
aangedui. Laat x = daaglikse vraag na hierdie haarproduk.
5
The probability distribution of the daily demand for a certain hair product, which a
well-known salon produces./Die waarskynlikheidsverdeling van die daaglikse vraag na ‘n
spesifieke haarproduk wat deur ‘n welbekende salon vervaardig word.

x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
f (x) 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.35 0.20 0.10 0.05

a) What is the expected daily demand?/Wat is die verwagte daaglikse vraag ?

(2)

b) What is the probability that the daily demand for this product will be at most 5?/Wat is
die waarskynlikheid dat die daaglikse vraag na hierdie produk op die meeste 5 sal wees?

(2)
[4]

QUESTION 13 / VRAAG 13

A clothing manufacturing company has 5 identical machines that produce shorts. The
probability that a machine is serviced in any given month is 0.1. Define the random variable
x to be the number of machines that will be serviced in any given month./‘n Klerever-
vaardigingsmaatskappy het 5 identiese masjiene wat kortbroeke vervaardig. Die waar-
skynlikheid dat die masjiene gediens word in ‘n gegewe maand is 0.1. Definieer die sto-
gastiese veranderlike x as die aantal masjiene in enige gegewe maand wat gediens word.

a) Determine the probability that exactly 4 machines will be serviced in any given month./
Bepaal die waarskynlikheid dat presies 4 masjiene gediens sal word in enige gegewe
maand.

(2)
6
b) What is the variance of the number of machines that will be serviced in any given
month? /Wat is die variansie van die aantal masjiene wat gediens sal word in enige
gegewe maand?

(2)
[4]

QUESTION 14 / VRAAG 14

The time it takes to hand carve a guitar neck, x , is uniformly distributed between 110 and
190 minutes./Die tyd wat dit neem om ‘n kitaarnek met die hand te kerf, x , is uniform (gelyk-
matig) verdeel tussen 110 en 190 minute.

a) What is the probability that a guitar neck can be carved between 95 and 165 minutes?/
Wat is die waarskynlikheid dat ‘n kitaarnek gekerf kan word tussen 95 en 165 minute?

(2)

b) Determine the standard deviation of the time it takes to hand carve a guitar neck./Bepaal
die standardafwyking van die tyd wat dit neem om ‘n kitaarnek te kerf.

(2)
[4]

QUESTION 15 / VRAAG 15

The life expectancy of ROTEX brand radios is normally distributed with a mean of twenty Formatted: Font: Bold
four years and a standard deviation of eight years. Let x = number of years that a radio will
be in working condition./Die leeftyd van ROTEX handelsmerk radios volg ‘n normaal
verdeling met ‘n gemiddeld van vier-en-twintig jaar en ‘n standardafwyking van agt jaar. Formatted: Font: Bold
Laat x = die aantal jaar wat ‘n radio in ‘n werkende toestand sal wees. Deleted:
Deleted:
a) What is the approximate maximum life expectancy of the middle 95% of the radios?/Wat
is die benaderde maksimum leeftyd van die middel 95% van die radios?

(3)
7
b) The company has a three-year warranty period on their radios. What percentage of their
radios will be in operating condition after the warranty period?/Die maatskappy het ‘n
drie jaar waarborgperiode op hul radios. Watter persentasie van hul radios sal in ‘n
werkende toestand wees na die waarborgperiode?

(2)
[5]

QUESTION 16 / VRAAG 16

A random sample of ten “Block Buster” movies provided the following information./‘n
Ewekansige steekproef van tien “Lokettreffer” films gee die volgende inligting.

Movie number/ Duration (hours)/ Genre/


Filmnommer Tydsduur (ure) Genre
1 3.0 Action / Aksie
2 0.8 Comedy / Komedie
3 1.4 Thriller / Riller
4 3.0 Drama / Drama
5 2.5 Comedy / Komedie
6 3.6 Action / Aksie
7 3.0 Thriller / Riller
8 1.5 Drama / Drama
9 1.8 Drama / Drama
10 2.0 Comedy / Komedie

a) Determine the point estimate for the average duration of all “Block Buster” movies./
Bepaal die puntberaming vir die gemiddelde tydsduur van al die “Lokettreffer” films.

(3)

b) What is the point estimate of for the proportion of all movies that is from the genre
“drama”?/Wat is die puntberaming van die proporsie van al die films in die genre
“drama”?

(3)
[6]
8
QUESTION 17 / VRAAG 17

Timbaktu’s Department of Transport wants to study the driving habits of individuals on the
highway. A sample of 49 cars traveling on the highway revealed an average speed of 130km
per hour and a standard deviation of 7km per hour. The population of car speeds is
approximately normally distributed. Determine a 90% confidence interval for the average Formatted: Font: Bold
speed of all cars using this highway./Timbaktu se Departement van Vervoer wil die
bestuursgewoontes van individue op die hoofweg bestudeer. ‘n Steekproef van 49 motors op
die hoofweg toon ‘n gemiddelde spoed van 130km per uur en ‘n standardafwyking van 7km
per uur aan. Die populasie van die spoed per motor volg ‘n benaderde normaalverdeling.
Bepaal ‘n 90% vertrouensinterval vir die gemiddelde spoed van al die motors wat hierdie Formatted: Font: Bold
hoofweg gebruik.
9
[5]

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