NAMA : Dessy Dwi Ros Aninda NPM : 2010410133 KELAS : B
FAKULTAS TEKNIK PROGRAM STUDI TEKNIK SIPIL UNIVERSITAS KATOLIK PARAHYANGAN BANDUNG 2013 4.3 A coin is to be flipped three times. List the possible outcomes in the form ( result on toss 1, result on toss 2, result on toss 3)
H
H
T
H
H
T
T COIN
H
H
T
T
H
T
T
SAMPLE SPACE HHH HHT HTH HTT THH THT TTH TTT
Y = 0 TTT P(Y=0) = 1/8 HTT Y = 1 THT P(Y=0) = 3/8 TTH HHT Y = 2 HTH P (Y=2) = 3/8 THH Y = 3 HHH P (Y=3) = 1/8
4.4 In execise 4.3, assume that each one of the outcomes has probability 1/8 of occuring. Find the probability of: a. A: observing exactly 1 head b. B: observing 1 or more heads c. C: observing no heads Answer: a. Event A = HTT THT TTH P (A) = 3/8 b. Event B = HHH HHT HTH HTT THH THT TTH P (B) = 7/8 c. Event C = TTT P (C) = 1/8 4.5 For exercise 4.4: a. Compute the probability of the complement of event A, event B, and event C. b. Determine whether events A and B are mutually exclusive
4.8 A die is to be rolled and we are to observe the number that falls face up. Find the probabilities for these events: a. A: observe a 6 b. B: observe an even number c. C: observe a number greater than 2 d. D: observe an even number and a number greater than 2. Answer: N = 6 a. P(A) = 1/6 b. NB = 3 P(B) = 3/6 = c. P(C) = 4/6 = 2/3 d. P(D) = 2/6 = 1/3
4.10 Consider the following outcomes for an experiment: Outcome 1 2 3 4 5 Probability .20 .25 .15 .10 .30 Let event A consist of outcomes 1, 3, and 5 and event B consist of outcomes 4 and 5. a. Find P(A) and P(B) b. Find P(both A and B occur) c. Find P(either A or B occurs)
4.29 Let y be a binomial random variable; compute P(y) for each of the following situations: a. n = 10, = .2, y = 3 b. n = 4, = .4, y = 2 c. n = 16, = .7, y = 12 Answer: a. Probability Density Function
P(y=12) = 0,2040 4.30 Let y be a binomial random variable with n = 8 and = .4. Find the following values: a. P(y4) b. P(y>4) c. P(y7) d. P(y>6) Answer: Probability Density Function
a. P(Y<=4) = P(y=4 atau y=3 atau y=2 atau y=1 atau y=0) = P(y=4) + P(y=3) + P(y=2) + P(y=1) + P(y=0) = 0,2322 + 0,2787 + 0,2090 + 0,0896 + 0,0168 = 0,82633
b. P(Y>4) = P(y=5 atau y=6 atau y=7 atau y=8) = P(y=5) + P(y=6) + P(y=7) + P(y=8) = 0,1239 + 0,0413 + 0,0079 + 0,0007 = 0,17367 c. P(Y<=7) = P(y=7 atau y=6 atau y=5 atau y=4 atau y=3 atau y=2 atau y=1 atau y=0) = P(y=7) + P(y=6) + P(y=5) + P(y=4) + P(y=3) + P(y=2) + P(y=1) + P(y=0) = 0,007864 + 0,041288 + 0,123863 + 0,232243 + 0,278692 + 0,209019 +0,089580 + 0,016796 = 0,99934 d. P(Y>6) = P(y=7 atau y=8) = P(y=7) + P(y=8) = 0.007864 + 0,0007 = 0,008564
4.32 The weekly demand for copies of a popular word-processing program at a computer store has the probability distribution shown here. y P(y) 0 .06 1 .14 2 .16 3 .14 4 .12 5 .10 6 .08 7 .07 8 .06 9 .04 10 .03
a. What is the probability that three or more copies will be demanded in a particular week? b. What is the probability that the demand will be for at least two but no more than six copies? c. If the store has eight copies of the program available at the beginning of each week, what is the probability the demand will exceed the supply in a given week? Answer :
4.50 Use Table 1 of the Appendix to find the area under the normal curve between these values: a. z = 0 and z = 1.3 b. z = 0 and z = -1.9 Answer: From the Table 1 of the Appendix, the area under the normal curve : a. 0,4032 b. -0,4713
4.51 Repeat Execise 4.50 for these values: a. z = 0 and z = .7 b. z = 0 and z = -1.2 Answer: From the Table 1 of the Appendix, the area under the normal curve : a. 0,2580 b. -0,3849