0 Bewertungen0% fanden dieses Dokument nützlich (0 Abstimmungen)
253 Ansichten11 Seiten
A theoretical Note on the Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the automobile industry. The relationship between dealers and manufacturers has been subjected to severe stress and strain. The cyclical nature of automobile demand has attracted much attention from economists.
Originalbeschreibung:
Originaltitel
A Theoretical Note on the Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the Automobile Industry.pdf
A theoretical Note on the Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the automobile industry. The relationship between dealers and manufacturers has been subjected to severe stress and strain. The cyclical nature of automobile demand has attracted much attention from economists.
A theoretical Note on the Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the automobile industry. The relationship between dealers and manufacturers has been subjected to severe stress and strain. The cyclical nature of automobile demand has attracted much attention from economists.
A Theoretical Note on the Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the Automobile Industry
Author(s): Anthony Y. C. Koo
Source: The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 73, No. 2 (May, 1959), pp. 316-325 Published by: Oxford University Press Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1883728 . Accessed: 01/10/2014 03:07 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. . Oxford University Press is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Quarterly Journal of Economics. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions A THEORETICAL NOTE ON THE DEALER-MANUFACTURER RELATIONSHIP IN THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY* By ANTHONY Y. C. Koo I. Introduction: some terms in automobile pricing, 316. - II. The theoreti- cal basis for conflict of interest - no unique invoice price, 318. - III. Sliding scale vs. flat bonus, 321. - IV. Conclusions, 324. I. INTRODUCTION: SOME TERMS IN AUTOMOBILE PRICING The cyclical nature of automobile demand and its impact on the general economy have attracted much attention from economists. However, during the course of cyclical movements of automobile demand, the relationship between dealers and manufacturers has been subjected to severe stress and strain, as witness the voluminous literature of dealers' and trade journals, reports in financial pages and testimonies of both dealers and manufacturers during Congressional hearings. Economists seem to have stood aloof in this controversy, and have shown little interest in this aspect of the problem of the automobile industry. Their attitude is understandable, because the dealer-manufacturer relationship is viewed as a problem of business practice, with no theoretical issues involved. In the midst of the controversy, a mail survey of the dealer- manufacturer relationship was undertaken to ascertain the bases of conflict of interest. The survey covers such topics as duration and security of dealers' franchise, control over inventories and sales quotas, practices regarding "markups" and dealers' contribution to advertising costs and freight charges.' One issue that dominates the dealers' mind is the "forcing" of cars, i.e., according to dealers' replies, they have been forced to buy more cars than they would like to take, with consequent prevalence of "bootlegging." On the other hand, manufacturers view the com- plaints as excuses for inefficiency or nonagressiveness of dealers in pushing their sales. This note, although motivated by the problem, * I wish to thank Professors M. Bronfenbrenner, F. Child, B. Kemp and T. Mayer for helpful comments. 1. The results will appear as a separate study. Professor Donald A. Moore of Los Angeles State College initiated and was mainly responsible for the survey. He contributed a great deal to crystallizing the issues involved in designing the survey. 316 This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions RELATIONSHIP IN THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 317 is not intended to resolve the issue. It is an attempt to show that there exists a theoretical basis for dealer-manufacturer conflict of interest, and to incorporate this problem into the usual simplified model consisting of only consumers and producers. To understand the problem, it is important to explain a few terms used in automobile pricing. (1) The price of cars which dealers pay to manufacturers is known as "price to dealers" or "invoice price." This price is uniform throughout the year except in the closing weeks or months of a model year, at which time manufacturers sometimes give dealers special discounts and bonuses for cars sold in excess of normal volume. For purpose of illustration, let us assume that the price to dealers of a low-priced car is $1,730.2 (2) The manu- facturer generally "suggests" (he cannot legally enforce) a dealer markup of 31.6 per cent of the invoice price. This increase is also expressed as 24 per cent of the "factory suggested list price." In our present example, it amounts to $546. In actual practice in the low- priced field, dealers seldom can make that much except in periods of extreme scarcity. To meet competition, they have to sacrifice a part of the markup. According to the National Automobile Dealers Asso- ciation, the markup on such a model is close to $330. (3) Not counted in the markup is another item to be added to the invoice price which is labeled by various names. General Motors calls it E.O.H. (excise, overhead and handling). It is mostly the 10 per cent federal excise tax. To the sample car price, we add another $180. (4) Another factory-suggested charge is called the "make ready" or "dealer handling" charge, which is supposed to cover the time normally spent by the dealer preparing the car for delivery. This amounts to $50 for the sample car. (5) There are state and local taxes including licensing fees. In Detroit these taxes add up to $80. The list of items to be added to the dealer's price to arrive at "factory suggested price" is as follows: 2. The figure is broken down into the following components: 1. Materials, outside and inside $1,100 2. Productive labor 75 3. Overhead 125 4. Return on investment 180 5. Freight S5 6. Tooling and engineering 50 7. Sales and advertising 50 8. Administration 65 Price to dealer $1,730 The example was taken from "Car Pricing - How Auto Firms Figure Their Costs to Reckon the Price Dealers Pay," Wall Street Journal, Dec. 10, 1957. This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 1. Price to the dealers $1,730 2. Markup 546 3. E.O.H. 180 4. "Make ready" 50 5. Federal and state taxes 80 Factory suggested price $2,586 On the basis of the foregoing factual background, we shall isolate the central issue of the division of profit between the dealer and the manufacturer. II. THE THEORETICAL BASIS FOR CONFLICT OF INTEREST - No UNIQUE INVOICE PRICE It is obvious that the dealer's total profit depends upon the volume and the difference between what the buyer pays and the invoice price; and the manufacturer's total profit depends upon the volume and the difference between invoice price and the unit cost. The issue on which economic theory can contribute to our understand- ing of the problem is that of whether or not there exists a unique invoice price that will maximize the profits of both the dealer and the manufacturer at the same time. If, theoretically, one can demon- strate its existence, then there may be a price relationship which eliminates any conflict of interest between them. Unfortunately there is generally no unique price relationship which will simultane- ously maximize the profits of both dealer and manufacturer. This can be seen from the following analysis which demonstrates that, assuming one obtains simultaneous maxima, no unique invoice price can be derived.3 Let cu = unit production cost Cd = unit sales cost incurred by the dealer q = output pl = invoice price p2 = sales price ul = total profit of the producer U2 = total profit of the dealer c, = fi(q) .................... (1) Cd = f2(q) .................... (2) p2= f3(q) .................... (3). 3. The general case of simultaneous maxima is considered by Emilio Zaccagnini in "Massimi Simultanei in Economia Pura," Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia, No. 5/8, 1947, translated and reprinted in International Economic Papers, No. 1 (1951), pp. 208-44. Our model is based on his special case of simultaneous maxima for two equations, which is reproduced with slight change of notation and some other modifications. 318 This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions RELATIONSHIP IN THE A UTOMOBILE INDUSTRY In order to exclude negative profit to either participant, we impose the additional condition that CU, pi .................... (4) pI + Cd < p2 ................ (5) so that cu, pI p2 - Cd ........... (6). Equations (1) and (2) are average cost functions of the producer and the dealer; (3) is a demand function facing the dealer. Our procedure is as follows: First, suppose we have somehow maximized simultaneously the profits of the producer and dealer, that is, ul = qpl- qcu = max......... (7) u2 = qp2 - (qpl + qcd) = max. (8). Next, taking increments and letting each differential approximate an actual increment, we get, from (7) and (8), the following, keeping in mind that the independent variables are q and pi: dcu dui = (pi - q-- - cu)dq + qdp .................... (9) dq du2 =q d+ p2 - (pi + q dd + Cd)dq -qdp,. (10) dq dq Since we assume that we have already obtained simultaneous maxima, dul and du2 cannot both be positive. But in the mathematical system involving equations (9) and (10), dui and du2 can be arbitrary in sign. The only way to fulfill our economic condition of having attained simultaneous maxima is for the system not to admit a solution in q and pi. In other words, dcu Pi - (q dc + cu) q dq = 0 (P.+A -P- -Cd --q (p2 + q ) - pi - q Cd -- Cd dq dq After simplification, we obtain: dp2 dc, dCd p2 + q--d (Cu + q ) - (Cd + q- ) = 0. .. (11) dq dq dq (11) is an equation expressing the equality between marginal revenue and marginal costs. Solving the system of equations (1), (2), (3), 319 This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS and (11), one can determine the values for q, c,, Cd, and p2, but pi remains undetermined although subject to (6), i.e., cu, p p p2 - Cd. It may appear that we have a situation of bilateral monopoly. However, dealers are not organized to act as a single bargaining unit, and we are justified in treating the problem as a case of simple profit A K MC P2 P, AC B Q0 R M FIGURE I maximization on the part of the manufacturer. Suppose an auto- mobile producer X has 25 per cent of the market. In Figure I the average revenue curve AR represents 25 per cent of the market of an industry demand curve. AC, MC, and ADM stand for average cost, marginal cost and marginal revenue curves respectively. To maximize his profit, a manufacturer will produce OB( = p2G) and set the sug- gested price Op2( = BG). Since pi may be arbitrary as long as it is 320 This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions RELATIONSHIP IN THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY within the interval cu < pl p2 - Cd, the margin or the invoice price becomes the first and the basic source of conflict of interest between producer and dealer. III. SLIDING SCALE VS. FLAT BONUS Next let us assume that a markup for dealers, say GE per car, has been settled so that the dealers are expected and in some cases required to take a standard volume OB from the producer. Since each car up to OB will be billed by the producer to the dealers at the invoice price Opl( = BE) which is identical for each car, the pro- ducer's net receipt for the marginal car is EB while the marginal cost at output OB is DB. It is to be noted that there exists a divergence between the two with EB (marginal invoice revenue) higher than DB (marginal cost). Accordingly, there is a sort of "excess capacity" and it becomes profitable for the producer to push sales beyond the output OB. This may become a second source of conflict of interest. Manufacturers encourage dealers to sell more cars by giving special discounts and bonuses in the closing months or weeks of a model year so that dealers may cut prices and thus clear out unsold cars. A few observations concerning this practice are in order. First, since discounts or bonuses are given by all manufacturers to their dealers and this practice is generally followed during the end of the season, therefore, for the purposes of our discussion, the 25 per cent market share of the industry demand curve facing producer X is still a valid assumption. In other words, we suppose that the group equilibrium will not be upset by this price competition. Second, we treat special discounts and bonuses as a form of price discrimina- tion which starts a month or two before the introduction of new models; such bargain prices to consumers are not supposed to affect the prices of cars sold previously.4 Keeping these simplifications in mind, we shall show diagrammatically two ways of encouraging dealers to take on more cars in addition to normal volume: (1) Sliding Scale Invoice Price Assume that the producer will reduce the invoice price to dealers on a sliding scale for cars sold in excess of OB (on Figure I). For example, the first car sold in excess of OB will get a special bonus of 4. There are exceptions to this general rule. Some dealers get discounts or bonuses even during the middle of the model year if sales are too slow. For example, "Edsel dealers report the factory (that is Ford Motor) is granting them sales bonuses under a new policy. Bonuses per car sale range from $100 to $300 according to a complicated schedule. Such payments, of course, enable dealers to offer bigger discounts to buyers." Wall Street Journal, Jan. 9, 1958. 321 This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS $50, the second $75, the third $100, and so forth. To illustrate the case graphically, we assume such cuts in invoice prices to dealers are continuous. Let us draw a line ELN slanting downward to the right. It intersects the marginal cost curve at N. ELN is both an average and a marginal invoice revenue curve because the producer is assumed to practice perfect price discrimination under this sliding scale scheme. To maximize his profit, he would like to produce, and expect his dealers to sell. an additional quantity BT. (2) Flat Bonus On the other hand, if the bonus after OB is a flat rate of, say, $150 a car, then the average and marginal invoice revenue curve facing the producer will be JKF, which intersects the MC curve at F. This means that in order to maximize the profit of the producer, a quantity BW of cars is to be taken over by the dealers. In fact the flat bonus scheme is no different from the profit maximization pro- cedure we discussed earlier in connection with determining the initial optimum output OB. This can be demonstrated by drawing a marginal revenue curve GLKV which intersects the MC curve at V. Erect a vertical line at V (not shown in the graph) and the point of intersection of this vertical line and the average revenue line AR may be called the second or year-end suggested price. Then the JKF line can be considered as the year-end invoice price, and the difference between the second suggested price and the invoice price can be called the markups for year-end cars. Theoretically, this procedure can be repeated for several times as long as there is "excess capacity." But this simply has not been done by the producers. Possible explana- tions are as follows. To publicize a revised suggested price might be interpreted as another round of open price competition in the industry,5 and such action could be misinterpreted by competitors. Although much of year-end competition by dealers exists in the form of special discounts, more liberal trade-in allowances and free acces- sories, this competition is somewhat concealed, and knowledge of such a market is imperfect. Furthermore, when the producer reduces the suggested prices on the models at the year end, the suggested price on new cars at the beginning of the next model year may be measured in the minds of the public from the reduced suggested price of the previ- ous year, and this will somewhat exaggerate the price increase for new models.6 Dealers also will not welcome a second and lower sug- 5. The initial suggested price is considered the first round. 6. See the letter written by H. H. Curtice, President of General Motors Corporation to Life Magazine, protesting the method used by the editor in calcu- 322 This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions RELATIONSHIP IN THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY gested price known to the public, because buyers will measure their discounts on the basis of the suggested price. A lower suggested price means lower discounts can be offered on the part of dealers to the consumers. Now we shall discuss these two schemes from the dealers' point of view. To simplify our graphic representation, we assume that the only major cost item to dealers is the price of cars to dealers and that other costs are insignificant. Accordingly, the marginal cost to dealers is JKF under the flat bonus scheme and ELN under the sliding scale. Next, we shall direct our attention to the marginal revenue curve of dealers GLKV, which intersects ELN (the marginal cost curve to dealers under the sliding scale) at L and JKF (the marginal cost curve to dealers under the flat bonus) at K. This means that dealers would take BQ additional cars under the sliding scale and BS cars under the flat bonus. It is to be noted that in each case, the quantity they are willing to take falls short of producers' expecta- tions, as shown in the following table: Dealers' Manufacturers' Difference between preference preference manufacturers' and (additional units) (additional units) dealers' preferences Flat Bonus BS BW SW Sliding Scale BQ BT QT A word of explanation concerning the outcome is perhaps in order. One may wonder why our results on dealers' preference are arrived at with the use of the marginal revenue curve GLKV and why we made no mention of marginal concepts in regard to the quantity OB which the dealers agreed to take on initially. The answer lies in the nature of the pricing of the automobile industry. As we indicated above, the producer announces the suggested price to the general public, and it is difficult, though possible through manipulating trade-in allowances and accessories, for the dealers to sell cars at prices higher than the suggested ones. Therefore, the marginal revenue curve is a straight line p2G for volume up to OB, while the marginal cost curve (again ignoring other costs) is p1E, and lating the percentage of price increase of automobiles from 1957 to 1958. "Your editorial, 'The Trouble with the Slump' (Life, Feb. 10), is incorrect when it says ' . . . Detroit . . . raised its new car price 11.5% in November.' ... The Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates the increase (1958 vs. 1957) at only 4%. The 11.5% is the difference between 1958 new model prices and the discounted prices at which 1957 models were selling in October at the tag end of the model run." Life, Mar. 3, 1958, p. 13. 323 This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS the former is higher than the latter by EG. However, consumers view the suggested price as a sort of ceiling, and at the closing months of the season, they expect to pay less than that. In other words, the downward sloping demand curve becomes operative. Therefore, equality of marginal revenue and marginal cost curves enters into our calculation as the criterion for profit maximization. IV. CONCLUSIONS Another point which deserves mention is as we stated earlier that the first and the basic conflict of interest lies in the invoice price while the second source of conflict concerns the volume. The differ- ence between these, however, is more superficial than real. Since the dealer's marginal revenue curve GLKV is downward sloping to the right, the producer can make dealers take more cars under both schemes if they give dealers more bonuses or larger discounts. To demonstrate the point in terms of our graphic language, this means that under the flat bonus, if the producer lowers the line JKF, it will intersect the dealers' marginal revenue curve GLKV at a point to the right of the present intersection point K. Thus more cars will be taken by the dealers. Under the sliding scheme, if the producer makes the line ELN move in the clockwise direction (steeper sliding scale of discounts to dealers), then the new and the steeper ELN line will surely intersect the dealers' marginal revenue line GLKV at a point to the right of the present intersection point L. Again this means that the dealers will be willing to sell more cars. In the last analysis, the basic reason for the conflict of interest between the dealers and the producer lies in the lack of a unique invoice price that will maximize the profit of both simultaneously. Other issues are simply manifestations of this fundamental difference. The arguments advanced so far are designed to focus the atten- tion of readers on the problem of dealers and manufacturers. It is likely that we may have overemphasized the area of interest diver- gence, because account should be taken of such dynamic considera- tions as the possibility that the demand for automobiles for the industry as a whole may turn out to be larger than anticipated. More- over, if producer X puts out a model with style and design that appeal to buyers more than those of other manufacturers, then the demand for X's cars will be larger and there should be no serious problem of interest conflict. The issue will more likely come to the open when the general demand for cars as a whole is low. In addition to the magnitude of the area of divergence of interests, there is the question of distribution of shares of additional cars among 324 This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions RELATIONSHIP IN THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 325 dealers of various sizes, makes of cars and geographical locations. This we cannot infer from our simple diagram. The statistical find- ings of these problems will be the subject of a later paper, but this note will serve as a sort of beginning in exploring a source of conflict of interest in dealer-manufacturer relationship. MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY This content downloaded from 193.255.46.20 on Wed, 1 Oct 2014 03:07:25 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions