Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
(.242) .653
(.249)
Candidates
Web site
.250 (.242) .725
11.5 4.41
N 187 187 150 188
Note. All estimates are ordered probit coefficients with standard errors in parentheses.
p <.10;
p <.05;
p <.01 (one-tailed).
180 The Web 2.0 Election
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Politics page and candidates Facebook pages and Web sites. These find-
ings suggest that exposure to YouChoose 08s user-generated content leads
to increased cynicism toward government. As we discussed previously, You-
Choose 08 contains content from the public, particularly satirical skits, sar-
castic commentary, scathing personal attack ads, and music videos that
could not be controlled by the campaigns. This type of political coverage
exacerbates public distrust of government and politicians, encouraging
young adults to question the governments value and actions.
Next, we examine whether exposure to various Web 2.0 sources will
increase young adults external political efficacy. To gauge external political
efficacy, participants were asked the following: How much do you agree or
disagree that people like you dont have any say about what the government
does? (1 strongly disagree, 3 neither agree nor disagree, 5 strongly
agree). When one has strong external efficacy, they believe that their involve-
ment in politics is effective and that the government will respond to their
demands. As such, strong external efficacy is associated with higher political
participation (Balch 1974; Converse 1972; Niemi et al., 1991). In column 4 in
Table 2, we see that respondents exposed to the candidates Facebook pages
were significantly more likely to believe that they influence the political sys-
tem. Specifically, respondents viewing Obama and McCains Facebook pages
had a 0.45 probability of higher external efficacy (all other variables held
constant). Indeed, this effect is moderate, but it suggests that young people
exposed to content on candidates Facebook pages are more likely to believe
that they can make a difference in politics. That is, joining a political group,
adding an I support Obama profile button, posting political content, and
becoming McCains fan may enhance feelings of efficacy. Exposure to
ABCNews.coms Politics page, YouChoose 08, and the candidates Web
sites did not influence external political efficacy among young adults. Due
to Facebooks interactive features, it is reasonable to expect that its viewers
have higher efficacy. Facebook users were not passive recipients of political
information. Instead, they could make their political opinions known and
play a more visible role in political events. Then, users may feel that social
networks give them the opportunity to influence government and political
leaders in ways that go beyond the conventional methods, such as letter writ-
ing or attending campaign rallies. Thus, this finding offers evidence for the
contention that interactive communication formats may heighten political
efficacy.
Next, we test the influence of the Web 2.0 sources and the ABCNews.-
com Politics page on political participation. To measure political partici-
pation, we asked subjects whether they expected to vote in the national
elections in November (1 yes, 0 no). We realize this is a prospective mea-
sure of a vote that may not be cast; however, it offers us a gauge of an
individuals willingness to participate politically. Table 3 shows the results
from a probit regression in which expected vote is estimated as a function
T. L. Towner and D. A. Dulio 181
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of the same predictors used in Table 2. We find that young adults exposed to
YouChoose 08 and the candidates Facebook profiles were significantly
more likely to expect to vote. Specifically, holding all other variables con-
stant, respondents who viewed YouChoose 08 and Facebook had a 0.49
and 0.47 probability of voting, respectively. Respondents in ABCNews.coms
Politics and candidate Web site conditions were not more likely to partici-
pate in the November election. In contrast to the findings of Baumgartner
and Morris (2010), this suggests that young adults using Web 2.0 sources,
particularly video-sharing sites and social networks, for political information
may be more likely to mobilize and engage in offline politics. Regarding
Facebook, these findings are not surprising, as users had higher levels of
external efficacy. As noted above, Facebook promoted many types of online
to offline political activity, such as voter registration drives, rallies, and online
volunteer sign-ups. Indeed, candidate Web sites offered unique mobilization
tools, but unlike Facebook, many of these were restricted to registered sup-
porters. Interestingly, one would not expect exposure to YouChoose 08 to
boost participation, as the site contained few involvement and mobilization
tools. Our post hoc reasoning for this relationship is based on our previous
finding: YouChoose 08 exposure increases government cynicism. Thus, as
young people become more skeptical about government, perhaps this
encourages them to change it.
DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION
Our findings point to an important conclusion for those interested in how
Web 2.0 applications (and other Web sites) influence candidate campaigns.
TABLE 3 Voting Expectation by Experimental Condition
Expect to vote in 2008
presidential election
Conditions
YouChoose 08 1.24
(0.534)
ABCNews.com Politics page 0.876 (0.524)
Candidates Facebook profile 1.01
(0.522)
Candidates Web site 0.802 (0.522)
Controls
Republican (1 strong Dem, 5 strong Rep) 0.162 (0.110)
Male 0.532
(0.267)
Race (1 white, 0 nonwhite) 0.051 (0.323)
Constant 1.78
(0.575)
Log likelihood 62.99
v
2
(7) 12.7
N 184
Note. All estimates are probit coefficients, with standard errors in parentheses.
p <.10;
p <.05;
p <.01 (one-tailed).
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In short, the medium matters. Our experimental data demonstrate that differ-
ent types of Internet sourceseven within those classified as Web 2.0have
different effects on users. Participants who viewed material on the candi-
dates Web sites were more likely to rate these sources as being of high qual-
ity, in contrast to those exposed to YouChoose 08 and Facebook. Those
exposed to YouChoose 08 were found to have a higher likelihood of cyni-
cism compared to those in other conditions. Moreover, those who examined
information on Facebook were more likely to have higher internal efficacy.
We believe that these various effects are driven by the differences in the
sources. A particular mix of types of information produces distinct effects
on users. This has important implications for candidates and their campaign
advisers. If certain types of information lead to certain types of attitudes, the
different types of Web tools can be maximized in terms of their effect. This
may be most notable in our finding that those who were exposed to
YouChoose 08 and Facebook were more likely to report that they would
vote in the election. Knowing that the information contained on these sites
can lead to participation is important information for candidates and their
advisers.
There is also important information for another electoral actorthe
pressin our findings. In general, we find that sources featuring a great deal
of user-generated content do not lead to participants having a great deal of
trust in the information on those sites, but a mainstream media site
ABCNews.comdid. This tells us that the public still sees differences
between more traditional news information and information produced by
users.
We should be clear, however, to note a limitation in our study. Because
of the small sample sizes in each experimental condition, our results should
be taken as an informative first step in identifying the effects of Web 2.0
applications during an election. More work needs to be done on the same
questions we ask here with larger samples and varied research designs.
Although our samples are limited, we believe that these results point us in
the right direction for studying the differences between online mediums.
In addition, it is clear from journalistic accounts of how the candidates
campaigns used Web 2.0 tools that the campaigns were concerned with inter-
nal campaign organizational activities when using Web 2.0 technology.
Obama utilized Facebook (as well as his own SNS) extensively to recruit
volunteers and to contact others in their own network of friends. It is clear
from other work that personal interaction with a friend or associate can be
an important determinant of vote choice (see, for example, Beck at al.
2002; Huckfeldt and Sprague 1995). The 2008 candidates certainly saw that
and, Obama especially, took advantage of what Web 2.0 tools, such as Face-
book, offered. Even with a tool like YouTube, campaigns seemed to use it as
an intermediary step to persuasion. For example, when campaign staffers
post a new television commercial on YouTube, they are not looking for
T. L. Towner and D. A. Dulio 183
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YouTube to play a role as a persuasion tool: They are looking to generate
earned media and coverage of that spot in traditional news outlets. Cam-
paigns seem to be using Web 2.0 applications in ways that take advantage
of the benefits of what they have to offer.
NOTES
1. Some also label Weblogs or blogs as a Web 2.0 application, but blogs made their appearance in
the late 1990s, even if it was in a limited number.
2. In general, ABCNews.com presented balanced coverage of Obama and McCain, giving roughly
equal space to both candidates as well as comparable positive and negative coverage. Balanced coverage
of political candidates is expected on ABCNews.com, as the mainstream press is subject to journalistic
norms of objectivity and neutrality (Bennett 1996; Gans 1979).
3. To tap partisanship, we use the traditional 5-point item, running from 1 for strong Democrat to 5 for
strong Republican. Gender was coded 0 for females and 1 for males. Race was coded 0 for blacks, Asians,
and nonwhite Hispanics, and 1 for whites. The sample consists of 41 percent males and 59 percent females
of whom 78 percent are white, 10 percent are black, 2 percent are Asian, 1 percent are nonwhite Hispanic,
and 5 percent are members of other races. Twenty percent are strong Democrats, 19 percent are
Democrats, 34 percent are Independents=no preference, 16 are Republicans, and 10 percent are strong
Republicans. The mean age is 19.69 (SD2.73).
4. The ordered probit coefficients are z-scores; therefore, the predicted probabilities are obtained
using a table of standard normal distribution.
5. Government trust was based on the following: (a) How much of the time do you think you can
trust the government in Washington to do what is right? (1 never; 2 some of the time; 3 just about
always; 4 most of the time) (b) Would you say the government is pretty much run by a few big interests
looking out for themselves or that it is run for the benefit of all the people? (1 government run by a few
big interests; 2 government run for benefit of all) (c) Do you think that people in government waste a lot
of the money we pay in taxes, waste some of it, or dont waste very much of it? (1 waste a lot; 2 waste
some; 3 dont waste very much) (d) Do you think that quite a few of the people running the govern-
ment are crooked, not very many are, or do you think hardly any of them are crooked? (1 quite a
few crooked; 2 not very many crooked; 3 hardly any are crooked) Cronbachs alpha equaled 0.60
for the trust index.
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188 The Web 2.0 Election
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