Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
PriortodoingthisexercisereadChapter7and:
Lesson11:WhentouseZandtplussigmaunknown(LocatedinFAQConference)
UsetheattachedExcelfiletodotheanalysisbutyouwillsubmitintheassignmentareaaWord
documentwhichisyourmanagementreporttotheCEO(meinthiscase)andtheExcelfilewithyour
calculations.YourWordfileshouldbeawellwrittenanalysisofthequestionsbelow.Dolabelyour
headingsasfollows:
Answer1:Youranswertoquestion1
Answer2:Youranswertoquestion2
Answer3:Youranswertoquestion3
Answer4:Youranswertoquestion4
Answer5:Youranswertoquestion5
Ineachoftheaboveheadingsyouwillanswerthecorrespondingquestion#below.Pleaseusethis
formattoavoidlosingpointsontheassignmentbynotlabelingasshownabove.
Inthisexerciseyouwillnotneedthenumericandgraphicstatisticsexceptspecifiedintheinstructions.
Frommyexperience,youshouldbeabletodotheassignmentintwopagesorlessbutaparagraphwill
probablybeinsufficient.
Background
Par,Inc.,manufacturesgolfequipment.ManagementbelievesthatPar'smarketsharecouldbe
increasedwiththeintroductionofacutresistant,longerlastinggolfball.Therefore,theresearchgroup
atParinvestigatesanewgolfballcoatingdesignedtoresistcutsandprovideamoredurableball.The
testswiththecoatingshowpromisingresults.
Oneoftheresearchers,Billvoicedconcernabouttheeffectofthenewcoatingondriving
distances.Parwouldlikethenewcutresistantballtoofferdrivingdistancescomparabletothoseofthe
currentmodelgolfball.Tocomparethedrivingdistancesforthetwoballs,40ballsofboththenewand
thecurrentmodelsweresubjectedtodistancetests.Thetestingwasperformedwithamechanical
hittingmachinesothatanydifferencebetweenthemeandistancesforthetwomodelscouldbe
attributedtoadifferenceinthedesign.Theresultsofthetests,withdistancesmeasuredtothenearest
yard,follow.ThesedataareavailableinthedatasetGolf.
Note:Assumethetwopopulationstandarddeviationsareequalbutarenotknown.
AssignmentQuestions(ManagerialReport):
1. FormulateandpresenttherationaleforahypothesistestthatParcouldusetocomparethedriving
distancesofthecurrentandnewgolfballs
2. TheCEOtellsyou(incontrasttowhatBillsaid)thathewouldliketosellthenewballunlessthereis
overwhelmingevidencethatthecutresistantballisslowerthantheoldballsoyoushouldframe
yourhypothesisaccordingly.Hint:youaremorewillingtomakeaTypeIIerror(seepp.346348):
Analyzethedatatoprovidethehypothesistestingconclusionandstatements(at.05).Useoneof
theformatshypothesisformatsortheappropriateformatfromyourtextbook(canuseH1andH2).
Alsoincludenarrativeversionsofwhateveroftheaboveformsyouusesuchas:Ho:Themeanis...
Whatisthepvalueforyourtest?WhatisyourrecommendationforPar,Inc.?
3. Providethefollowingdescriptivesummariesofthedataforeachmodel:ONLYthemeansand
variancesandthezvalues.
4. Whatisthe95%confidenceintervalforthedifferencebetweenthemeansofthetwopopulations?
5. Doyouseeaneedforlargersamplesizesandmoretestingwiththegolfballs?Discuss.
Hintsonimprovingyourassignment:
Aswasmentionedthroughoutthecourse,youareusingstatisticsasacommunicationstoolandneedto
bringinthehighlightsofyourresultsintothebodyofyourreport.Includetheappropriategraphicaland
tabularmethodsandbringinsomeoftheimportantdatainyourreport.KeepyourExcelfortheraw
dataandcalculations.DONOTstateyourconclusionswithoutbackingupwithsummariesandgraphical
methodsinyournarrativeWorddocumentmanagementwillnotlikeitifyoudon't!Rememberthisisa
communicationsandmanagementdocument.DonotcopyandpasteyourExcelspreadsheetinthe
Worddocument!
Readabilityfortheconsumerofyouroutputisimportant.Forexample,doyouneedtoshowthereader
thatthemeanis1731209587.9227228292oranothermeanis57.3893333333?Howdoesthisaddto
understandinganddoesn'tithurtit?Intheaboveexample1,731,209,587(andinsomecases1.73
million)and57.39wouldbesufficient.
Istronglyurgeyoutodrawoutthedistributioncurve,especiallyduringhypothesistesting,andthenyou
willbelesslikelytomakeamistake.ThisadviceiscontinuallyignoredandthereforeIseemanystudents
makingmistakesnotonlyonthisassignmentbutonexams.Youdonothowever,needtoincludeitin
yoursubmission.
IfyoufailtorejectHoitdoesn'tmeanyouacceptit!Thisisconceptuallywrong!Youshouldalwayssay
youfailtoreject.Ifyoudon'tunderstandwhyyoudon'tacceptHo(youcanacceptHa)thenpostinQ&
Aandwecandiscuss.
Note:Ifyoudonotunderstandthetaskpleaseemailmewithyourquestionbutstateinyouremailthat
youdidreadChapter7andLesson11(inFAQ)orIwillassumeyouhavenotandwillreferyoubackto
thereadings.