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Exercise2:Par,Inc.

PriortodoingthisexercisereadChapter7and:
Lesson11:WhentouseZandtplussigmaunknown(LocatedinFAQConference)

UsetheattachedExcelfiletodotheanalysisbutyouwillsubmitintheassignmentareaaWord
documentwhichisyourmanagementreporttotheCEO(meinthiscase)andtheExcelfilewithyour
calculations.YourWordfileshouldbeawellwrittenanalysisofthequestionsbelow.Dolabelyour
headingsasfollows:

Answer1:Youranswertoquestion1
Answer2:Youranswertoquestion2
Answer3:Youranswertoquestion3
Answer4:Youranswertoquestion4
Answer5:Youranswertoquestion5

Ineachoftheaboveheadingsyouwillanswerthecorrespondingquestion#below.Pleaseusethis
formattoavoidlosingpointsontheassignmentbynotlabelingasshownabove.

Inthisexerciseyouwillnotneedthenumericandgraphicstatisticsexceptspecifiedintheinstructions.
Frommyexperience,youshouldbeabletodotheassignmentintwopagesorlessbutaparagraphwill
probablybeinsufficient.

Background
Par,Inc.,manufacturesgolfequipment.ManagementbelievesthatPar'smarketsharecouldbe
increasedwiththeintroductionofacutresistant,longerlastinggolfball.Therefore,theresearchgroup
atParinvestigatesanewgolfballcoatingdesignedtoresistcutsandprovideamoredurableball.The
testswiththecoatingshowpromisingresults.

Oneoftheresearchers,Billvoicedconcernabouttheeffectofthenewcoatingondriving
distances.Parwouldlikethenewcutresistantballtoofferdrivingdistancescomparabletothoseofthe
currentmodelgolfball.Tocomparethedrivingdistancesforthetwoballs,40ballsofboththenewand
thecurrentmodelsweresubjectedtodistancetests.Thetestingwasperformedwithamechanical
hittingmachinesothatanydifferencebetweenthemeandistancesforthetwomodelscouldbe
attributedtoadifferenceinthedesign.Theresultsofthetests,withdistancesmeasuredtothenearest
yard,follow.ThesedataareavailableinthedatasetGolf.

Note:Assumethetwopopulationstandarddeviationsareequalbutarenotknown.

AssignmentQuestions(ManagerialReport):

1. FormulateandpresenttherationaleforahypothesistestthatParcouldusetocomparethedriving
distancesofthecurrentandnewgolfballs
2. TheCEOtellsyou(incontrasttowhatBillsaid)thathewouldliketosellthenewballunlessthereis
overwhelmingevidencethatthecutresistantballisslowerthantheoldballsoyoushouldframe
yourhypothesisaccordingly.Hint:youaremorewillingtomakeaTypeIIerror(seepp.346348):
Analyzethedatatoprovidethehypothesistestingconclusionandstatements(at.05).Useoneof
theformatshypothesisformatsortheappropriateformatfromyourtextbook(canuseH1andH2).

Alsoincludenarrativeversionsofwhateveroftheaboveformsyouusesuchas:Ho:Themeanis...

Whatisthepvalueforyourtest?WhatisyourrecommendationforPar,Inc.?

3. Providethefollowingdescriptivesummariesofthedataforeachmodel:ONLYthemeansand
variancesandthezvalues.

4. Whatisthe95%confidenceintervalforthedifferencebetweenthemeansofthetwopopulations?

5. Doyouseeaneedforlargersamplesizesandmoretestingwiththegolfballs?Discuss.

Hintsonimprovingyourassignment:

Aswasmentionedthroughoutthecourse,youareusingstatisticsasacommunicationstoolandneedto
bringinthehighlightsofyourresultsintothebodyofyourreport.Includetheappropriategraphicaland
tabularmethodsandbringinsomeoftheimportantdatainyourreport.KeepyourExcelfortheraw
dataandcalculations.DONOTstateyourconclusionswithoutbackingupwithsummariesandgraphical
methodsinyournarrativeWorddocumentmanagementwillnotlikeitifyoudon't!Rememberthisisa
communicationsandmanagementdocument.DonotcopyandpasteyourExcelspreadsheetinthe
Worddocument!

Readabilityfortheconsumerofyouroutputisimportant.Forexample,doyouneedtoshowthereader
thatthemeanis1731209587.9227228292oranothermeanis57.3893333333?Howdoesthisaddto
understandinganddoesn'tithurtit?Intheaboveexample1,731,209,587(andinsomecases1.73
million)and57.39wouldbesufficient.

Istronglyurgeyoutodrawoutthedistributioncurve,especiallyduringhypothesistesting,andthenyou
willbelesslikelytomakeamistake.ThisadviceiscontinuallyignoredandthereforeIseemanystudents
makingmistakesnotonlyonthisassignmentbutonexams.Youdonothowever,needtoincludeitin
yoursubmission.

IfyoufailtorejectHoitdoesn'tmeanyouacceptit!Thisisconceptuallywrong!Youshouldalwayssay
youfailtoreject.Ifyoudon'tunderstandwhyyoudon'tacceptHo(youcanacceptHa)thenpostinQ&
Aandwecandiscuss.

Note:Ifyoudonotunderstandthetaskpleaseemailmewithyourquestionbutstateinyouremailthat
youdidreadChapter7andLesson11(inFAQ)orIwillassumeyouhavenotandwillreferyoubackto
thereadings.

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