You are on page 1of 11

Apr 12 1999 Sep 22 1999 Feb 2003 - Sep 2009

Oct 28, 2009



WMO AND UNEP ESTABLISH THE n "C ma ega e Pa 2 A 2 000 page ep c o sc ence and skep c sm" 124 Terence [ co-founder, William Connolly] took control of all things climate in the most used information
PERIOD COVERED BY CRU CLIMATEGATE E-MAILS SCIENTISTS INTO SILENCE FROM "How to Manufacture a Climate Consensus" [79]: People who didn't toe Messrs.
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON Corcoran exp a ns how BR FFA and MANN bu heads over BR FFA s source the world has ever known -Wikipedia starting in February 2003, just when opposition to the claims
Wigley, Mann and Jones's line began to experience increasing difficulty in publishing
CLIMATE CHANGE (IPCC). OTHER DOCUMENTS AND DATA FILES GO BACK TO or hcom ng paper n wh ch he “dec ded o men on unce a n es n ee ng da a of the band members were beginning to gel. He rewrote Wikipedia's articles on global warming, MR. LINDZEN, ALFRED P. SLOAN PROFESSOR OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE AT MIT: Scientists who
their results. This happened to me [Patrick J. Michaels] and to the University of Alabama's Roy
31.MAY.1991 (AS PER THE FILES' LAST EDIT DATE) wh e push ng he need o mo e wo k 923937760 x " on the greenhouse effect, on the instrumental temperature record, on the urban heat dissent from the alarmism have seen their grant funds disappear, their work derided, and themselves
Spencer, who also hypothesized that global warming is likely to be modest. Others surely stopped
island, on climate models, on global cooling. On Feb. 14, he began to erase the Little Ice libeled as industry stooges, scientific hacks or worse. ... And then there are the peculiar standards in
Corcoran exp a ns ha BR FFA was "s ugg ng w h Russ an ee ng esu s and he Mar 31, 2004 trying, tiring of summary rejections of good work by editors scared of the mob. Sallie
Age; on Aug. 11, the Medieval Warm Period. In October, he turned his attention to the hockey stick place in scientific journals for articles submitted by those who raise questions about accepted climate
Baliunas, for example, has disappeared from the scientific scene.
epo s o Russ an sc en s s on he d cu es The nd ngs o en con ad c ed he dea graph. He rewrote articles on the politics of global warming and on the scientists who were skeptical of the REVIEWING PAPERS CRITICAL TO wisdom. At Science and Nature, such papers are commonly refused without review as being without
ha he wo d s wa me oday han hund eds o even housands o yea s ago Re a ve y band. ... Using [his editorial] clout, this 40-something scientist of minor relevance gets to OWN WORK interest. However, even when such papers are published, standards shift. When I, with some colleagues FROM [85]: It is exactly as we feared. If I [Arthur Rorsch] were to submit an article from a friendly
h gh numbe o ees has been no ed du ng 750 1450 AD The e s no ev dence o
-- HAZRAT ALI (D. 661)
tear down scientists of great accomplishment. ... Richard Lindzen and Fred Singer, two of the Jan 21, 2005 at NASA, attempted to determine how clouds behave under varying temperatures, we discovered what Aug 3, 2007 Aug 5, 2009 colleague who wanted to publish in a scientific journal, we would always get a rejection; without proper

mov ng po a mbe ne n he no h du ng he as cen u y w o e Rash Hann em ov world's most distinguished climate scientists, were among his early targets, followed by others that the band JONES [1080742144.txt]: Recently rejected
THREATEN GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS JOURNAL we called an "Iris Effect."... Normally, criticism of papers appears in the form of letters to the journal to OPERATION NEW SCIENTIST MAGAZINE ENSURING FAVOURABLE REVIEWS argumentation. I was not the only Dutch researcher that happened to. Climate skeptics everywhere
om Russ a n Oc obe 1998 907975032 x mp y ng ha wa m ng has been especially hated, such as Willie Soon and Sallie Baliunas of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for two papers (one for JGR and for GRL) from
which the original authors can respond immediately. However, in this case (and others) a flurry of ran into brick walls.
INTERFERENCE WITH THE PEER REVIEW PROCESS TO SUPPRESS RESEARCH common n he pas and no h ng unusua was happen ng oday " Corcoran con nues Astrophysics, authorities on the Medieval Warm Period. [109 & 111] people saying CRU has it wrong over Siberia.
Jun 12, 1996 un 17 1998 Apr 19, 1999 May 6, 1999 Apr 24, 2003 Jun 4, 2003 HUGHES, MANN, WIGLEY, BRADLEY, JONES, BRIFFA, SCHMIDT hastily prepared papers appeared, claiming errors in our study, with our responses delayed months New Scientist were to publish articles critical of the IPCC ("Carbon omissions" JONES and FOSTER (copies to TRENBERTH, MANN, SALINGER, SCHMIDT, and
THAT JEOPARDIZES THE "PEER REVIEWED CONSENSUS" OVER AGW Went to town in both reviews, hopefully JONES [1256765544.txt]: the journal Sonja edits [Energy & Environment] is at the very bottom of
The e e ence o 750 1450 wou d appea o suppo he ong he d sc en c v ew on he discuss what to do about the journal Geophysical Research Letters and longer. The delay permitted our paper to be commonly referred to as "discredited." Indeed, there is and "Climate report ‘was watered down’") within days. Eystein Jansen (co- others) discuss FOSTER'S recommendations for reviewers that JGR [Journal of
WALL STREET JOURNAL - A MAJOR DECEPTION OF GLOBAL WARMING MANN COMES ON BOARD " L KE THE DEA NCLUDE ME N" BRADLEY: NO CONSENSUS EVEN AT MANN to JONES, BRIFFA and [To date CONNOLLEY] 'created or rewrote 5,428 unique Wikipedia articles' and was granted a WIGLEY, JONES, HULME and CARTER discuss methods to oust REVIEWING PAPERS CRITICAL TO OWN successfully. If either appears I will be very almost all climate scientists lists of journals to read. It is the journal of choice of climate change
ex s ence o a Med eva Wa m Pe od ha m gh have been ho e han he 20 h cen u y (GRL) which han been printing papers the they don't like. It's editor, a strange reluctance to actually find out how climate really behaves. [98] ordinating lead author (CLA) of the Paleoclimate chapter in 2007 IPCC Geophysical Research] he requires for a paper he's submitted. They recommend
CRU AND WE ARE NOT GATEKEEPERS others [926010576.txt]: senior editorial and administrative status at Wikipedia that enabled him to delete 'over 500 articles' the editor of peer reviewed journal Climate Research which WORK surprised, but you never know with GRL. skeptics and even here they don't seem to be bothering with journals at all recently.
BY FREDERICK SEITZ; Past President of the U.S; National Academy of Sciences; A coup e o weeks a e Hann em ov w o e abou ano he Russ an Eugene Vaganov s Saiers, is subsequently ousted. [1106322460.txt]: Report.) learns of them and e-mails Richard Somerville inviting the other colleagues who "know the sorts of things to say" despite JGR's rules (actually written in the
A STORY OF DECEPTION AND INTRIGUE WHO'S WHO [8,38] American Physical Society; President Emeritus of Rockefeller University and recipient of
FROM "C ma ega e Pa 1 A 2 000 page ep c o sc ence and skep c sm" 124
pape say ng ha “ he wa m ng n he m dd e o he 20 h cen u y s no ex ao d na y
and 'barred' more than 2000 Wikipedia contributors who 'ran afoul of him'. [110] published papers they don't agree with [1051190249.txt]:
FROM [85]: One of those rejected papers CLA's to join a campaign against New Scientist [71] [1173359793.txt]: e-mail email itself) prohibit this. See {Wegment Report 14.Jul.006} [1249503274.txt]:
BRADLEY is so offended by some MANN: I trust that history will give us all CONNOLLEY was finally revoked of his administrator status in Sep.2009. [112] COOK asks BRIFFA for help to put down a WIGLEY: This is truly awful. GRL has gone downhill rapidly in recent years.
honorary doctorate degrees from 32 universities world-wide. Wha ea y ocked he pa eoc ma e wo k a CRU and u ma e y shook he PCC was a The wa m ng a he bo de o he 1s and 2nd m enn a was mo e ong n me and about Siberian temperatures may have been
comments of MANN that he subjects this proper credit for what we're doing here. WIGLEY: PS Re CR {Climate Research], I do not know the best way to paper he's reviewing a that is critical of BRIFFA's If you think that Saiers [Editor, GRL] is in the greenhouse My suggestion is that a strongly worded letter to New Scientist, signed by as many FOSTER (emphasis added): 3) Suggested Reviewers to Include -- Please list the names of 5
On November 19, 2009 some 3,000 e-mails, files of software and other documents from University of East Anglia's CLIMATIC RESEARCH UNIT, UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA, UK: Primary source of global temperature data used by the IPCC. seem ng y ou o he b ue ema on une 17 1998 om M chae Mann o Ph ones s m a n amp ude” 908297214 x BR FFA s pape a ses ssues ha cas doub on by me [Lars Kamel]. The time is about right. I
This IPCC report is held in such high regard largely because it has been peer-reviewed. ... e-mail "CENSORED!!!!!". He also makes handle the specifics of the editoring. Hans von Storch is partly to blame -- own work [1054756929.txt]: skeptics camp, then, if we can find documentary evidence of Nov 15, 2005 CLAs as possible, would be an appropriate response. I think we ought to say that the experts who are knowledgeable in your area and could give an unbiased review of your work.
Climatic Research Unit were covertly released onto the Internet. In his November 28, 2009 article PHIL JONES: Director of CRU; custodian of the CRU temperature dataset; prominent contributor to the IPCC. 898099393 x hen head o Eas Ang a s CRU cen e Be o e hen no men on had been M Mann s ve s on o c ma e h s o y When M Mann saw he p e pub ca on ve s on got it rejected because of nonsense from a
But this report is not what it appears to be -- it is not the version that was approved by the clear that there is no consensus even he encourages the publication of crap science 'in order to stimulate this, we could go through official AGU [American Geophysical GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS ... MISSION ACCOMPLISHED science was absolutely not compromised or watered down by the review process or by Please do not list colleagues who are close associates, collaborators, or family Oct 12, 2009
"Climate change: This is the Worst Scientific Scandal of Our Generation", Christopher Booker summarized the KEITH BRIFFA: Deputy Director of CRU; lead author for the millennial paleoclimate section of the 2007 IPCC report. made n he ema cache o M chae Mann o M B a s c ca pape he b ew up COOK: "Review- confidential REALLY reviewer and the editor saw it as an attack on
contributing scientists. In my more than 60 years as a member of the American scientific among UEA/CRU scientists and doesn't like debate'. One approach is to go direct to the publishers and Union] channels to get him ousted. Even this would be difficult. political presure of any kind or by the Paris plenary. members. (this requires name, email, and institution).
far-reaching ramifications of what was exposed in those documents: MICK KELLY: Visiting Fellow at CRU; leading climate scientist. URGENT", Now something to ask from you. him when I critized the quality of the review.
community I have never witnessed a more disturbing corruption of the peer-review Dea Ph the "gatekeeper" role many have assumed Mar 11, 2003 point out the fact that their journal is perceived as being a MANN confirms to JONES, BRIFFA, OSBORN that the GRL "leak has been plugged" but now they
MIKE HULME: Director of Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, UK; Visiting Fellow at CRU. A ser es hea ed e ma s ensue and "appea s mo eove ha M Mann had ... I got a paper to review (submitted to the After that, I gave up the idea of ever getting
process than the events that led to this IPCC report. ... O cou se be happy o be on boa d h nk he oppo un y o some d ec co abo a on [924532891.txt]: medium for disseminating misinformation under the guise of MANN: It's one thing to lose "Climate Research". We can't have a problem with the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, a government program that It seems the CLA campaign worked as two months later New Scientist Tom Wigley [1] NCAR TRENBERTH: WHERE THE HECK IS GLOBAL WARMING?
The reason why even the Guardian's George Monbiot has expressed total shock and dismay at the picture revealed by the TIM OSBORN: Academic Fellow at CRU; specialist in climate modelling, palaeoclimatology, tree-rings, and future climate scenarios. n e e ed w h he pee ev ew p ocess o M B a s a c e a Sc ence magaz ne One o THREATEN CLIMATE RESEARCH JOURNAL Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental something AGW critical published in a journal.
be ween us me and you m ke h s pe and he p an o compa e and con as d e en refereed work. I use the word 'perceived' here, since whether it is true or afford to lose GRL. I think it would be useful if people begin to record "integrates federal research on climate and global change" because they allowed MCINTYRE to published another article, about which MANN told JONES [1179416790.txt]: Ben Santer [2]<> Lawrence Livermore
documents is that their authors are not just any old bunch of academics. Their importance cannot be overestimated, What we TREVOR DAVIES: Pro-Vice Chancellor of University of East Anglia; former Director of CRU. The following passages are examples of those included in the report as approved by the BRADLEY: I would like to diasassociate myself M Mann s assoc a es Raymond B ad ey a he Un ve s y o Massachuse s on Ap 19 Sciences), written by a Korean guy and someone from TRENBERTH discusses BBC's article (see {BBC 9.Oct.2009}) and not only
app oaches and da a and syn hes ze he d e en esu s s a good one Though s de acked MANN e-mails JONES, HUGHES, BRIFFA, BRADLEY and others explaining not is not what the publishers care about -- it is how the journal is seen by their experiences w/ both Saiers and potentially Mackwell [Editor in Chief, prominently display a poster at their recent meeting [1132094873.txt]: Mike Wallace [3]<> U Washington [May not be most responsive]
are looking at here is the small group of scientists who have for years been more influential in driving the worldwide alarm over IAN “HARRY” HARRIS: Researcher and programmer at CRU; specialist in dendroclimatology. scientists but deleted from the supposedly peer-reviewed published version: from Mike Mann's view that "xxxxxxxxxxx" and w o e o Sc ence ed o u a Uppenb nk say ng wou d ke o d sassoc a e myse om Berkeley, that claims that the method of MANN: New Scientist was good. Gavin and I both had some input into that. They are reconfirms {JONES 5.Jul.2005} and {KELLY 26.OCT.2008}, that warming
by o he p o ec s ecen y ema n comm ed o do ng h s w h you guys and o exp o e how all along the plan was to insist those against the AGW theory publish in the community that counts. I think we could get a large group of highly GRL] (I don't know him--he would seem to be complicit w/what is going on Dave Thompson [4]<> Col State Univ
global warming than any others, not least through the role they play at the heart of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on that they "xxxxxxxxxxxxx". I find this notion M ke Mann s v ew ega d ng he c ma e wa m ng a c e M B ad ey sends a b nd copy reconstruction that we use in dendroclimatology MANN: I suspect that this is the first in a line of attacks (I'm sure Tom C is next in line) that will ultimately get nicely dismissive of the contrarians on just about every point, including the HS! has stopped for 10-12 years, but also that they can not account for the lack
Oct 1989 - Nov 1991 app ca ons o syn he c da ase s w h manu ac u ed b ases e c ema ns h gh p o y Sep 22, 1999 peer review journals. However, now that Climate Research is publishing their credentialed scientists to sign such a letter -- 50+ people. here). If there is a clear body of evidence that something is amiss, it could Dave Easterling [5]<> NCDC
Climate Change (IPCC). MET OFFICE HADLEY CENTRE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE, UK. (Formerly Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research) - "No study to date has positively attributed all or part [of the climate change observed to quite absurd. I have worked with the UEA o h s ema o M B a " See BRADLEY 19 Ap 1999 (reverse regression) is wrong, biased, lousy, horrible, "published" one way or another. The GRL leak may have been plugged up now w/ new editorial of warming; that is, none of the models forecast this situation. His reason
sounds ke wou d a n o he p oposa you men on The e may be some ove ap papers, MANN suggests he and his colleagues not to cite or submit papers to Jul 8, 2004 be taken through the proper channels. I don't that the entire AGU
CHRIS FOLLAND: Part-time Research Fellow in Seasonal to Decadal Forecasting Group, Met Office Hadley Centre; formerly Head of Met Office Hadley WORDS TO PONDER date] to anthropogenic [man-made] causes." group for 20+ years and have great respect for MANN: I HAVE LESS Note that I am copying this view only to Mike Hulme and Phil Jones. etc. They use your Tornetrask recon as the leadership there, but these guys always have "Climate Research" and "Energy and Environment", and will JONES reply (emphasis added): Agree with Kevin that Tom Karl has too much to do. Tom for this dilemma: all the data is now wrong [1255352257.txt]:
Professor Philip Jones, the CRU's director, is in charge of the two key sets of data used by the IPCC to draw up its reports. w p oposa s we w even ua y subm o NSF enewa o ou p esen und ng e c by don The con c even ua y makes up o Ph ones he head o CRU who w es a s ng ng Climate Research while JONES says he'll boycott the journal if they don't get a hierarchy has yet been compromised!
Centre's Climate Variability and Forecasting Group; IPCC author and editor. them and for their work. Of course, I don't CONFIDENCE IN MY OWN Mike's idea to get editorial board members to resign will main whipping boy. ... If published as is, this CONTROL PAPERS USED BY THE IPCC go there if necessary. They are telegraphing quite clearly where they are going w/ all of this... Wigley is semi retired and like Mike Wallace may not be responsive to requests from JGR. We
Through its link to the Hadley Centre, part of the UK Met Office, which selects most of the IPCC's key scientific contributors, his "To capture the public imagination ... we have to offer up some scary scenarios, make simplified - "None of the studies cited above has shown clear evidence that we can attribute the see a p ob em w h ha n he eas e e o M Mann on May 6 “You seem qu e p ssed o w h us a n CRU ” sa d M new editor. (See [79] for full details.) Mar 19, 2009 TRENBERTH: "Hi all, Well I have my own article on where the heck is global
agree with everything they write, and we often DATA THAN SOME THINK probably not work -- must get rid of von Storch too, otherwise paper could really do some damage. It is also I'm not sure that GRL can be seen as an honest broker in these have Ben Santer in common ! Dave Thompson is a good suggestion. I'd go for one of Tom
global temperature record is the most important of the four sets of temperature data on which the IPCC and governments rely NASA GODDARD INSTITUTE FOR SPACE STUDIES, USA: Second key source of global temperature data used by the IPCC. dramatic statements and little mention of any doubts one might have. ... observed [climate] changes to the specific cause of increases in greenhouse gases." [15] ones who hen ps n o M Mann accus ng h m o "s ang ng us a o o Sc ence " A JONES [1089318616.txt]: I can't see either
THREATEN ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY warming? We are asking that here in Boulder where we have broken records the
Once he co abo a on s o c a y n p ace h nk ha sha ng o codes da a e c shou d no have long (but cordial) arguments about what So on the one hand the team insist opposing views be aired in peer review holes will eventually fill up with people like Legates, Balling, an ugly paper to review because it is rather debates anymore, and it is probably best to do an end run Peterson or Dave Easterling. To get a spread, I'd go with 3 US, One Australian and one in
- not least for their predictions that the world will warm to catastrophic levels unless trillions of dollars are spent to avert it. JAMES HANSEN: Director of NASA GISS since 1981; defined the "basic GISS temperature analysis scheme" and first published the GISS results; custodian of Each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective, and being honest." MANN [938018124.txt]: I should mon h a e MANN o e s an apo ogy abou wh ch M B ad ey M Mann s assoc a e n of these papers being in the next IPCC Jan 5, 2007 past two days for the coldest days on record. ... The high the last 2 days was below
A leading article in Nature (13.Jun.1996), also stated that "phrases that might have be a p ob em wou d be happy o make m ne ava ab e hough can p om se s he mos they think versus my views, but that is life. journals, and on the other hand they take action against editors who publish Lindzen, Michaels, Singer, etc. I have heard that the publishers mathematical, with a lot of Box-Jenkins stuff in it. It around GRL now where possible. They have published far too Europe. So Neville Nicholls and David Parker. All of them know the sorts of things to say
the GISS temperature dataset; has promoted theories of man-made global warming since the late 1970s. -- STEPHEN SCHNEIDER, Stanford Professor of Climatology, point out that Chris, through no Massachuse s and co c ea o o he hockey s ck g aph sends a p va e esponse o M report. Kevin and I will keep them out Having dealt with Climate Research and Geophysical Research Letters 30F and the normal is 69F [40 degrees warmer], and it smashed the previous
Dr Jones is also a key part of the closely knit group of American and British scientists responsible for promoting that picture of been (mis)interpreted as undermining ... [IPCC] conclusions ... 'disappeared' in the revision use end y h ng n he wo d Indeed, I know that they have broad those same papers [1047388489.txt]: are not happy with von Storch, so the above approach might won't be easy to dismiss out of hand as the many deeply flawed contrarian papers in the past year or so. JONES: DISCREDIT WORK - about our comment and the awful original, without any prompting.
GAVIN SCHMIDT: Climatologist and climate modeller at NASA GISS; cofounder of lead author of many IPCC reports,Discover Magazine interview, Oct.89 [88] fault of his own, but probably B a “Excuse me wh e puke Ray ” somehow - even if we have to redefine what Feb 9, 2006 (GRL), JONES and SANTER now take on Weather, a journal of the Royal records for these days ... This is January [winter] weather [in early autumn].
world temperatures conveyed by Michael Mann's "hockey stick" graph which 10 years ago turned climate history on its head 1992 process" [14] disagreements among themselves, so to remove that hurdle too. [He indeed subsequently resigned]. math appears to be correct theoretically, ... There is no possible excuse for them publishing all 3 Douglass papers and USING REALCLIMATE.ORG
through ME not conveying my the peer-review literature is ! [They were MANN: USE REALCLIMATE.ORG TO RESPOND TO "NASTY Meteorological Society (RMS). Why? SANTER is opposed to disclosing
by showing that, after 1,000 years of decline, global temperatures have recently shot up to their highest level in recorded n sho ke he dea nc ude me n and e me know wha you eed om me cv e c refer to them as "the UEA group", as A h s po n n he C ma ega e ema s he s age has been se o a decade o h gh d ama MANN: They've already achieved what they wanted--the claim of a peer-reviewed Your assistance here is greatly appreciated. the Soon et al paper. These were all pure crap. There appears to be a more The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the
NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION, USA: Third key source of global temperature data used by the IPCC; source of "It doesn't matter what is true, it only matters what people believe is true. ... You are what the AL GORE'S CONSENSUS? Benjamin D. Santer (former CRU graduate) was the lead author of Chapter 8 for thoughts very clearly to the others, excluded from the IPCC report See [81] for MCINTYRE"; WE CAN FILTER COMMENTS OUT JONES [1168022320.txt]: I'd like all his data [1237496573.txt]:
chee s though they all march in lock-step paper. There is nothing we can do about that now, but the last thing we want to do is fundamental problem w/ GRL now, unfortunately...

history. media define you to be. [Greenpeace] became a myth, and a myth-generating machine." Ove he nex 10 yea s he ema s become a zone o n e na con c and ex e na ba es more about what took place.] moment and it is a travesty that we can't. The CERES data ... shows there
most raw temperature data used in the GISS and CRU data sets. [50] the 1995 IPCC Report and involved in this controversy. He altered contents m ke seems bizarre. definitely overstates any o supp ess c c sm d cu e c cs and es s a ou s de n e e ence w h he o c a bring attention to this paper, which will be ignored by the community on the whole. ... to prove that [Figure 7.1c (by CRU
-- PAUL WATSON, co-founder of Greenpeace, on the "secret of Greenpeace's success", AL GORE: Only an insignificant fraction of scientists MANN [1139504822.txt]:I've already given it a good go-over w/ Gavin, JONES: I'm having a dispute with the new editor of Weather. I've should be even more warming: but the data are surely wrong. Our
Given star billing by the IPCC, not least for the way it appeared to eliminate the long-accepted Mediaeval Warm Period when THOMAS KARL: Director of NOAA National Climatic Data Center; custodian of GHCN global temperature dataset. of the Chapter so it agreed with the Summary for Policy Makers (SPM) singular confidence I have in sc ence s o y hey had assemb ed The a e 20 h cen u y was he wa mes n h s o y and Apr 23, 2003 founder LAMB) in the 1990 IPCC
Forbes magazine interview, 11.Nov.91 [90] deny the global warming crisis. The time for debate is Wha s ce a n om he C ma ega e ema s s ha wo d c ma e sc ence and he This was the danger of always criticising the skeptics for not publishing Stefan, and William Connelley (our internal "peer review" process at RC), so I complained about him to the RMS Chief Exec. If I don't get him to observing system is inadequate.
temperatures were higher they are today, the graph became the central icon of the entire man-made global warming without consent of other authors. [13] Santer has always taken full As for thinking that it is "Better that nothing my own (Mann et al) series. ... report showing the MWP and LIA]
EUGENE WAHL: Physical Scientist, NOAA Paleoclimatology Program, [104] over. The science is settled." [80] he nex 100 yea s cou d be a c ma e n gh ma e The Mann echn que o agg ess ve SALINGER to WIGLEY, JONES, HULME, BRIFFA, HANSEN, HARVEY, think its in pretty good shape. back down, I won't be sending any more papers to any RMS
movement. responsibility for making the actual changes and has told others privately that he C ma ega e ema s wou d neve be he same he ea e M Mann who had us pub shed appear, than something unnacceptable to us" in the "peer-reviewed literature". Obviously, they found a solution to that--take isn't based on real data What we'd This is the kind of bankrupt logic and blind faith we now see masquerading
n e ven on n he pee ev ew p ocess ove M B a s wo k se s he one o wha wou d SANTER, TRENBERTH, WILBY, MANN, KARL and 20 other "friends and Feb 26, 2004 journals and I'll be resigning from the RMS. Sep 29, 2009
“Unless we announce disasters no one will listen.” GALLOP POLL: 83% of scientists actively involved in was asked to do so by IPCC co-chairman John Houghton. ... A 15.Nov.1995 h s n amous pape see MANN 1998 qu ck y ose o be he dom nan gu e n he though we are the gatekeepers of over a journal! So what do we do about this? I think we have to stop considering like to do is show this either on 'Real as rational science.
Since 2003, however, when the statistical methods used to create the "hockey stick" were first exposed as fundamentally PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, USA. become a ma o s a egy as a he sc en s s w h n he PCC oop waged wa on any colleagues" about their duty to act as the gate-keepers of what papers JONES to MIKE quietly discuss reviews of papers that deal with their own work [1077829152.txt]: Dec 10, 2004 MANN [1139521913.txt]: Anyway, I wanted you guys to know that MANN: ONLY TRUST PEER REVIEWED SKEPTICISM; NOT MCINTYRE'S SKEPTICISM
-- SIR JOHN HOUGHTON, first co-chair of the IPCC and lead editor global climate research did not believe global warming letter from the State Department (quoted in the 22.Aug.1996 issue of Nature), pa eoc ma e e o The co e o ha pape was a g aph c ha wou d come o be known as all that is acceptable in the world of "Climate Research" as a legitimate peer-reviewed journal. Perhaps we should Climate' or as background in a SANTER: If the RMS is going to require authors to make ALL data
flawed by an expert Canadian statistician Steve McIntyre , an increasingly heated battle has been raging between Mann's MICHAEL E. MANN: Director of PSU Earth System Science Center; Professor of Meteorology at PSU; lead author of the discredited "hockey stick" graph Sep 22, 1999 sc ence and pape s ha con avened o ques oned he o c a v ew appear in scientific publications even if the papers pass peer review REALCLIMATE.ORG IS BORN you're free to use RC in any way you think would be helpful. Gavin
of its first three reports (1990, 1995, 2001), had occurred or weren't sure (53% and 30% ). Only instructed Dr. Houghton to "prevail upon" chapter authors "to modify their texts he g aph c “hockey s ck” p esen a on o he empe a u e ove he pas cen u es paleoclimatology seems amazingly encourage our colleagues in the climate research community to no future paper, or both. available - raw data PLUS results from all intermediate Are we to believe that data collected by primitive 30 year old instruments
supporters, calling themselves "the Hockey Team", and McIntyre and his own allies, as they have ever more devastatingly (MBH98 and MBH99); lead author of Chapter Two, "Observed Climate Variability and Change”, of the 2001 IPCC report (which first used the hockey stick graph); [1051230500.txt] JONES: Just agreed to review a paper for GRL - it is absolute rubbish. It is having a go at the CRU and I are going to be careful about what comments we screen through, and Furthermore, if skepticism is published in a peer review journal, MANN says he dismisses
in his 1994 book "Global Warming, The Complete Briefing" [89] 17% believed global warming had begun. [80] in an appropriate manner following discussion in Madrid." [14] arrogant. BRIFFA: JUST AS WARM 1000 longer submit to, or cite papers in, this journal. We would also need to calculations - I will not submit any further papers to RMS journals. in the 1980s, upon which was the basis for the entire global warming
called into question the entire statistical basis on which the IPCC and CRU construct their case. co-founder of W h M Mann on boa d eve ybody e se seemed o go ove boa d n he ema s he soon temperature data - not the latest vesion, but the one you used in MBH98 !! We added lots of data in for the region Gavin Schmidt, Mike Mann, Eric Steig, William we'll be very careful to answer any questions that come up to any extent we it anyway because it will be in a "discredited contrarian journal".
YEARS AGO consider what we tell or request of our more reasonable colleagues who SALINGER: Ignoring bad science eventually reinforces the apparent 'truth' of that enterprise (and his premise), is more accurate than billions of dollars of
e bowed ou Ke h B a as he p me ee ng gu u The Mann hockey s ck and he sc ence this person says has Urban Warming ! So easy review to do. Sent Ben the Soon et al. paper and he wonders who Connolley, Stefan Rahmstorf, Ray Bradley, Amy can. On the other hand, you might want to visit the thread and post replies
"Isn't the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? GREENPEACE POLL: 47% of climatologists didn't think DEC.2009: UPDATE ON THE IPCC'S "PEER REVIEW" PROCESS Oct 5, 1999 currently sit on the editorial board. bad science in the public mind, if it is not corrected. As importantly, the 'bad science' MANN to REVKIN (NY TIMES) [1254259645.txt]: Skepticism is essential for the functioning of state-of-the-art land, in oceans, air and space instruments (i.e. the
The senders and recipients of the leaked CRU emails constitute a cast list of the IPCC's scientific elite, including not just the CLIMATE SYSTEM RESEARCH CENTER, UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS (AMHERST), USA. Isn't it our responsiblity to bring that about?" wo k beh nd wou d end up consum ng housands o ema hou s ove he nex decade BRIFFA [938018124.txt]: I believe reviews these sorts of things. Says GRL hasn't a clue with editors or reviewers. By chance they seem to have got the Clement, Rasmus Benestad, Caspar Ammann establish yourself. We can hold comments up in the queue and contact you
a runaway greenhouse effect was imminent; only 36% HOW TO HIDE COOLING: DON'T USE THE DATA published by CR is used by the sceptics' lobbies to 'prove' that there is no need for Nov 16, 2006 science. ... But legitimate scientific skepticism is exercised through formal scientific circles, in particular "observing system") because these no longer show warming? In other
"Hockey Team", such as Dr Mann himself, Dr Jones and his CRU colleague Keith Briffa, but Ben Santer, responsible for a RAYMOND BRADLEY: Director of the CSRC; University Distinguished Professor, Department of Geosciences, UMass (Amherst); co-author of hockey stick -- MAURICE STRONG, founder of the UN Environment Programme, LORD MONCKTON FROM COPENHAGEN IPCC CONFERNCE: [IPCC that the recent warmth was JONES: I will be emailing the journal to tell them I'm having nothing right person with the one just received., described by some "as an effort to defend about whether or not you think they should be screened through
thought it possible and a mere 13% thought it concern over climate change. Since the IPCC makes it quite clear that there are the peer review process. A necessary though not in general sufficient condition for taking a scientific words, are we to believe after 30 years of technology and electronics
highly controversial rewriting of key passages in the IPCC's 1995 report; Kevin Trenberth, who similarly controversially pushed graph (MBH98 and MBH99); co-founder of [102] WEST magazine interview, May.90 [91] Chairman] Pachauri asked us to believe that the IPCC’s documents were “peer-reviewed”. probably matched about 1000 BRIFFA had been using Yamal tree ring data since late 1996 but by Nov.1997 he was more to do with it until they rid themselves of this troublesome editor. A the debunked 'Hockey Stick'" [73] [1102687002.txt]: or not, and if so, any comments you'd like us to include. BRIFFA: ARBITRARY DATA MODIFICATIONS IN MANN'S ANALYSIS MAKE
probable. [80] substantial grounds for concern about climate change [this is circular logic since the Can I ask you something in CONFIDENCE - don't email around, especially not to Keith and Tim here. Have you criticism seriously is that it has passed through the legitimate scientific peer review process. those such development we have no temperature data we can rely on?
the IPCC into scaremongering over hurricane activity; and Gavin Schmidt, right-hand man to Al Gore's ally Dr James Hansen, Then he revealed the truth by saying that it was the authors of the IPCC’s years ago. struggling with results"[124]. The problem BRIFFA faced was that after 1960 his data shows CRU person is on the editorial board, but papers get dealt with by the RELEATIONSHIPS TO CO2 "ARGUABLE"
whose own GISS record of surface temperature data is second in importance only to that of the CRU itself. [16] UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA, USA. IPCC said so because of the hockey team's work!], is it not partially the responsibility reviewed any papers recently for Science that say that MBH98 [note that MBH98 is MANN's own SCHMIDT: The idea is that we working climate scientists You're also welcome to do a followup guest post, etc. think of RC as a resource as McIntyre who operate almost entirely outside of this system are not to be trusted.
climate assessments who decided whether the reviewers’ comments were cooling while the instrument record shows warming. The conclusion is the discrepancy is editor assigned by Hans von Storch. Alternatively, and more likely, the entire CO2/man-made global warming
JONATHAN OVERPECK: Director of UA Institute for the Study of Planet Earth; Co-director of UA Institute of the Environment; coordinating lead author of of climate science to make sure only satisfactorily peer-reviewed science appears in work] and MJ03 have underestimated variability in the millennial record - from models or from some should have a place where we can mount a rapid response that is at your disposal to combat any disinformation put forward by the BRIFFA [1163715685.txt]: Another serious issue to be considered relates to the fact that the ... So more likely he [MCINTYRE] won't submit for peer-reviewed scrutiny, or if it does get his criticism
acceptable. That - whatever else it is - is not peer review. [76] due "non-temperature signal" [0939154709.txt]: (AGW) theory is wrong. Science has a rule: "if the theory doesn't fit the
As the leaked documents were analysed, three threads emerged that sent a shockwave through informed paleoclimate chapter of the 2007 IPCC report. scientific publications? - and to refute any inadequately reviewed and wrong articles low-freq proxy data. Just a yes or no will do. Tim is reviewing them - I want to make sure he takes my comments on to supposedly 'bombshell' papers that are doing the rounds McIntyres of the world. Just let us know. We'll use our best discretion to make PC1 time series in the Mann et al. analysis was adjusted to reduce the positive "published" it will be in the discredited contrarian home journal "Energy and Environment".
Sep 7, 1998 Sep 1, 1999 - Sep 22, 1999 data, get another theory!"
observers across the world. As Charlie Martin explained in "Global WarmingGate: What Does It Mean" [17], the MALCOLM HUGHES: Regents' Professor of Dendrochronology at UA Laboratory of Tree Ring Research; co-author of hockey stick graph (MBH98 and that do make their way through the peer review process? board, but he wants to be squeaky clean with discussing them with others. So forget this email when you reply. and give more context to climate related stories or events. sure the skeptics dont'get to use the RC comments as a megaphone. slope in the last 150 years ... At this point, it is fair to say that this adjustment
OSBORN: They go from 1402 to 1995, although we usually stop the series in 1960 because of

e-mails suggested: HOW TO HIDE COOLING: BURY IT IN SOFTWARE "FUDGE FACTORS" MANN: IPCC DOESN'T WANT TO UNDERMINE CONSENSUS was arbitrary and the link between Bristlecone pine growth and CO2 is , at the
MBH99). the recent non-temperature signal that is superimposed on the tree-ring data that we use.
CRU SOFTWARE HAS "ARTIFICIAL FUDGE FACTOR" TO "CORRECT DECLINE" very least, arguable ... I still believe the "Western US" series and its interpretation in terms of
1. ... the authors co-operated covertly to ensure that only papers favorable to CO2-forced AGW were published, and that 1-3.Sep.99: IPCC Arusha meeting to consider the “zero-order The problem, however, is this divergence meant other parts of BRIFFA's temperature Hemispheric mean temperature is perhaps a "Pandora's box" that we might open at our peril!
editors and journals publishing contrary papers were punished. They also attempted to “discipline” scientists and journalists CRU PROGRAMMING CODE [BRIFFA_SEP98_E.PRO] (Date taken from the file's draft” of TAR (MANN in attendence) [929985154.txt] record likely had similar discrepancies. His decline was raised at the {IPCC 1.Sep.1999}
TOM WIGLEY: Visiting Fellow at CRU; former Director of CRU; Senior Scientist at the UCAR; Senior Scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric FOR AGW AND SUPPRESS DATA SHOWING THE OPPOSITE
who published skeptical information. last edit date). Arusha meeting and to solve it OSBORN advises MANN to remove all data after 1960 for Jun 4, 2003 Jun 23, 2005 Nov 28, 2006 Oct 5, 2009
Research; has publicly stated IPCC reports are too optimistic. 22.Sep.99: MANN, JONES, BRIFFA and FOLLAND (copy to 2006 to 2009
Graphs and explanation from [34,35]; additional information from [22]: the IPCC figure he was preparing, as explained by MCINTYRE in [54] (also see [60]): OVERPECK: CONTAIN THE MWP CONGRESS QUESTIONS IPCC ABOUT MANN'S METHODS HOW TO HIDE COOLING: BURY IT IN THE SOFTWARE WIGLEY: BRIFFA IS IN A MESS OVER YAMAL
2. ... the authors manipulated and “massaged” the data to strengthen the case in favor of unprecedented CO2-forced AGW, KARL) discuss "IPCC Revisions" [HARRY_READ_ME.TXT]: This file appears to be a CRU programmer's three year journal of his efforts to try and recreate
and to suppress their own data if it called AGW into question. NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, USA. The programmer (Keith Briffa?) entitled the "adjustment" routine “Apply a VERY Osborn (on behalf of Briffa) sent Mann a revised version of the Briffa reconstruction with more “low- CRU PROGRAMMING CODE [DATA4SWEDEN.PRO] (Date taken from
1990 1995 Jun 17, 2002 MANN confirms DEMING's 1995 statement -- see {MEDIEVAL Joe Barton and Ed Whitfield, Chairmen, Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, CRU's own results. Despite having access to all the data, access to all the code and access to all the people who developed the Immediately after the Yamal issue breaks, JONES admits BRIFFA is going to have a
KEVIN TRENBERTH: Head of Climate Analysis Section, NCAR; lead author for 1995, 2001, and 2007 IPCC reports. ARTIFICAL correction for decline!!” And he or she wasn't kidding. ... Here's the FROM MCINTYRE'S "IPCC AND THE 'TRICK' " [54]: frequency” variability, a version that is identical up to 1960 ... this version had an even larger late- the file's last edit date). Following is from [22]:
3. ... the authors co-operated (perhaps the word is ‘conspired’) to prevent data from being made available to other researchers CASPAR AMMANN: Climate scientist in the Climate and Global Dynamics Division of NCAR; co-founder of [102] COOK: WE KNOW OF PROBABLE FLAWS IN MANN'S WORK WARM PERIOD 1995} -- when he (MANN) refers to an earlier officially raise the issue of MANN et al's "historical record of temperatures and climate code and the models Harry failed and could not duplicate CRU’s own results. If Harry can’t, it means CRU cannot reproduce tough time explaining his way out of it [1254756944.txt]:
THE WANG AFFAIR AND JONES' URBAN HEAT ISLAND EFFECT PAPER [48] MEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD: "WE HAVE TO GET RID OF IT" "fudge factor" (notice the [programmer] actually called it that in his REM statement): No minutes of this meeting are available, but Climategate correspondence 20th century decline than the version shown at the Tanzania Lead Authors’ meeting. Nonetheless, the their own results and, therefore, it would seem there is no point anyone else even trying -- CRU themselves have proven it’s a
through either data archiving requests or through the Freedom of Information Acts of both the U.S. and the UK. "Peck" memo to "contain" the MWP [1054736277.txt]: change" with the IPCC Chairman because "recent peer-reviewed articles in Science, Plotting programs such as [] print this reminder to the user prior to
on Sep 22-23 [938018124.txt], 1999 provides some contemporary First Order Draft, sent out a few weeks later [see {FIRST 27.Oct.1999}] contained a new version of BRIFFA is "sick to death" of MANN's representations about his waste of time. Since reproducibility is the backbone of peer reviewed science, this failure means any “peer reviewed” paper CRU WIGLEY: But Keith does seem to have got himself into a mess. ... how does
LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY, USA. JONES is the lead author of a Sep.90 paper [46] which concludes (from Eastern China and other data) there is no A major problem for the CO2/man-made global warming theory (AGW) is the Geophysical Research Letters, Energy & Environment, among others, researchers question rendering the chart:
007 7. ;****** APPLIES A VERY ARTIFICIAL CORRECTION FOR DECLINE********* information about the meeting. ... the proxy diagram, a version which contains the main elements of the eventual Third Assessment temperature data, which COOK agrees has problems. See MANN: ... addresses a good earlier point that Peck made produced and any other papers that cite the CRU papers are based on data the CRU themselves can’t verify. Keith explain the McIntyre plot that compares Yamal-12 with Yamal-all? And
relevant urban heat island (UHI) effect (warmer temperatures in and around urban centres). However 3 months later, Medieval Warm Period (MWP) of 1000 years ago. The MWP was a time when [MANN's] results". They state this is particularly important because "formed the basis for a
in Dec.90, his co-author, Wang, publishes another paper [47] (using the very same Eastern China data) but arrives at global temperatures were much warmer than today, as established by hundreds of
009 yrloc=[1400,findgen(19)*5.+1904]
IPCC was already structuring the Summary for Policy-makers and a proxy
Report proxy diagram [see {IPCC 2001}]. {MANN 19.Apr.1999} and {MCINTYRE AND MCKITRICK w/regard to the memo, that it would be nice to try to new finding in the 2001 [IPCC] Third Assessment Report (TAR)." [1120593115.txt] IMPORTANT NOTE: The data after 1960 should not be used. The tree-ring density how does he explain the apparent "selection" of the less well-replicated
010 valadj=[0.,0.,0.,0.,0.,-0.1,-0.25,-0.3,0.,-0.1,0.3,0.8,1.2,1.7,2.5,2.6,2.6,$ Nov.2003} for background on MANN's work. [1024334440.txt]: "contain" the putative "MWP" records tend to show a decline after 1960 relative to the summer temperature in From "Botch After Botch After Botch" [21] and "Climategate: hide the decline - codified" [23]: chronology rather that the later (better replicated) chronology? ... Perhaps these
To better appreciate these themes the time line chart consolidates and chronologically organizes information UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON, USA. the opposite conclusion: that there is a significant UHI effect and temperature studies must this take into account to scientists. In fact "more than 700 scientists from 400 institutions in 40 countries have 011 2.6,2.6,2.6]*0.75 ; fudge factor diagram showing temperature history over the past 1000 years was a The [graph at right] shows the IPCC version of the Briffa reconstruction (digitized from the IPCC Further they explain that "we understand from the February 14 Journal and these other many high-latitude locations. In this data set this "decline" has been things can be explained clearly and concisely -- but I am not sure Keith [BRIFFA] is able to do
uncovered and published about the CRU emails by many researchers (see references), to visually show who said ERIC J. STEIG: Director of Quaternary Research Center, Earth and Space Sciences of UW; Professor at UW; co-founder of [103] avoid skewing results in favour of warming. (Also see {WIGLEY 26.Nov.2009}) contributed to peer-reviewed papers providing evidence that the Medieval Warm Period, 012 if n_elements(yrloc) ne n_elements(valadj) then message,'Oooops!' “clear favourite”. [FOLLAND, 938018124.txt]. ... 2001) compared to actual Briffa data from [0939154709.txt]. The most obvious [difference] is, of BRIFFA: I have just read this lettter - and I think it is crap. I am sick to See {MEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD 1995}, {IPCC 1990} and {IPCC As you read the programmer's comments below, remember, this is only a fraction of what he says [in the HARRY_READ_Me.txt file]. These
reports that researchers have failed to replicate the findings of these studies, in part artificially removed in an ad-hoc way, and this means that data after this as he is too close to the issue and probably quite pissed of. ...
or did what when and, from simultaneous events, understand the context in which an event occurred. There is far which the IPCC has tried to deny, was real, global, and warmer than the present." [94] ... course, that the decline [after 1960] in the Briffa reconstruction has, for the most part, been deleted death of Mann stating his reconstruction represents the 2001} to understand how critically important this admission is. presumably precise data are the backbone of climate science. Reading "HARRY_READ_Me.txt" it's clear the CRU's files were a mess. ... [And
Aside from the fact until the contradictory conclusions are resolved, the papers can't be cited as favoring one position [A] version of the proxy diagram was presented at the Tanzania meeting because of problems with the underlying data and the calculations used to reach 1960 no longer represent tree-ring density variations, but have been
more information than can be assembled in one place, and more continues to be uncovered (see in particular FINNISH ENVIRONMENT INSTITUTE (SYKE), FINLAND. (Also see [63] and graphs [top 26, middle 36, bottom 64]). 055 ; APPLY ARTIFICIAL CORRECTION from the IPCC proxy diagram [green line in graph at right and in close-up graph shown with {IPCC tropical area just because it contains a few (poorly yet] the CRU at East Anglia University is considered by many as the world's leading climate research agency. ... And the issue of with-holding data is still a hot potato, one that affects both
or the other another problem arose with the data set used. Both studies stated that the 84 stations were chosen showing the late twentieth century decline. [But] the BRIFFA reconstruction the conclusions. Questions have also been raised concerning the sharing and dissemination of modified to look more like the observed temperatures.
[124]), but hopefully some of the key material uncovered to date has been included. TIMOTHY CARTER: Research Professor; lead author of the 1995, 2001 and 2007 IPCC reports. [99] 057 yearlyadj=interpol(valadj,yrloc,x) 2001}]. ... Contrary to claims by various climate scientists, the IPCC Third Assessment Report did not temperature representative ) tropical series. He is just as capable you and Keith (and Mann). Yes, there are reasons -- but many *good* scientists appear
based on their history such that "few, if any, changes in instrumentation, location or observation times". "Scientists at the Smithsonian Institution tell us that during what is known as the Medieval ... was perceived by IPCC as “diluting the message” that “everyone in the the data and methods used to perform the studies. For example, according to the January 2005 -- Back to the gridding. I am seriously worried that our flagship gridded data product is produced by Delaunay triangulation - apparently
058 densall=densall+yearlyadj disclose the deletion of the post-1960 values. ... The deletion of the decline was repeated in the 2007 of regressing these data again any other "target" series , such as the Others, such as, issue this warning: to be unsympathetic to these. The trouble here is that with-holding data looks like hiding
Optimum, the Vikings were growing grapes in Greenland. An agronomist at Virginia Tech room at IPCC” thought ... a “problem” and a “potential distraction / Energy & Environment, the information necessary to replicate the analyses in the linear as well. As far as I can see, this renders the station counts totally meaningless. It also means that we cannot say exactly
Though many event boxes are important, perhaps two are most critical: one from 1981 and another from October LAMONT-DOHERTY EARTH OBSERVATORY, USA. In February 2007 mathematician Doug Keenan learned from MCINTYRE's blog that data was only available for 35 of Assessment Report First Order and Second Order Drafts, once again without any disclosure. increasing trend of self-opinionated verbage he has produced over the something, and hiding means (in some eyes) that it is bogus science that is being hidden.
suggest that if you are planning to start a vineyard, the roots of the vines cannot be Line 009 detraction”, that this was then the “most important issue” in chapter 2 of studies has not been made fully available to researchers upon request." NOTE: recent decline in tree-ring density has been ARTIFICIALLY REMOVED to how the gridded data is arrived at from a statistical perspective ... Of course, it's too late for me to fix it too. Meh.
12, 2009 (with the bomb icons). The first sets out the shaky foundation underpinning the AGW enterprise, and the EDWARD R. COOK: Director of LDEO Tree-Ring Laboratory. them, and of those 35 at least half had substantial moves (eg 25 km). Keenan wrote to JONES asking about the source last few years , and ... (better say no more) Jan 5, 2005
second an admission of its failure. Together, they help explain why everything that occurred in between (as 1981 exposed to temperatures below 25F or the vine will die. Even though there were no yrloc is a 20 element array containing 1400 and 19 years between 1904 and 1994 in the IPCC report and that there was “pressure” on BRIFFA and other OSBORN also advises MANN to try changing the baseline if there a decline prior to 1960 facilitate calibration. THEREFORE, post-1960 values will be much closer to observed -- But what are all those monthly files? DON'T KNOW, UNDOCUMENTED. Wherever I look, there are data files, no info about what they are I think Keith needs to be very, very careful in how he handles this. I'd be willing to check over
of location information of the other 49 stations. JONES replied that his co-author Wang had selected those stations in JONES and PLUMMER discuss the 30 year reference Consequently this raises serious questions for their committee: "one concern relates
revealed by the CRU documents and independent researchers like Steven McIntyre) was inevitable to plug the thermometers at the time of Eric the Red, this gives us a benchmark for reference. There increments of 5 years authors to show a “nice tidy story” of “unprecedented warming in a appears. In other words, message the data if it still shows a decline [0939154709.txt]: COOK: Of course, I agree with you. We both know the probable temperatures then (sic) they should be which will incorrectly imply the other than their names. And that's useless ... anything he puts together.
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, USA. JAMES HANSEN HAS A GOOD YEAR based on his “extensive knowledge of those networks”. So Keenan wrote to Wang, who replied that Zeng (a co-author of temperature period used by the IPCC. JONES explains that the to whether IPCC review has been sufficiently robust and independent. We
holes in the leaky boat and keep up appearances. Consequently, as Terence Corcoran sets out in "A 2,000-page epic are no vineyards in Greenland today because it is too cold. In fact, the Smithsonian reports yrloc = [1400, 1904, 1909, 1914, 1919, ... 1974, 1979, 1984, 1989, 1994] thousand years or more”. ... Indeed, if the non-temperature signal that causes the decline in tree-ring density begins before 1960, flaws in Mike's recon, particularly as it relates to the tropical reconstruction is more skilful than it actually is. See Osborn et al. (2004). -- It's botch after botch after botch. Sep 26, 2009
RICHARD SOMERVILLE: Distinguished Professor Emeritus and Research [47]) had "hard copies of station histories" but these were not provided to Keenan. However, the problem is that Zeng length was an arbitrary choice which has no scientific basis. understand that Dr. Michael Mann, the lead author of the studies in question,
of science and skepticism", disagreement and skepticism ran strife throughout the 13 years of e-mails [124]. James Hansen becomes Director of NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), a that there is evidence which supports the theory that the Viking colonies later collapsed as then a short 1931-60 period might yield a more biased result than using a longer 1881-1960 period. stuff. Your response is also why I chose not to read the published version -- This surely is the worst project I've ever attempted. Eeeek.
Professor at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography; coordinating lead was also the co-author of a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) study Line 010 & 011 [It] appears [from the e-mails] each of the three [IPCC] authors (Jones, PLUMMER doesn't want to change it from the 1961-90 period was also a lead author of the IPCC chapter that assessed and reported this very Oct 27, 2009 MCINTYRE EXPOSES BRIFFA'S YAMAL
position he still holds, and shortly thereafter he publishes GISS' first global temperature a result of a dramatically cooling climate." [78] Similarly, Chaucer spoke of vineyards of his letter. It would be too aggravating. ... It is puzzling to me that a guy -- Oh, GOD, if I could start this project again and actually argue the case for junking the inherited program suite.
author in for the 2007 IPCC report. [100] which detailed station moves which noted that the “hard copies” to which Wang referred were not found. valadj, or, the “fudge factor” array as some arrogant programmer likes to call it is the Mann and Briffa) had experimented with different approaches to the because impression of global warming will be muted, i.e. same work, and that two co-authors of the studies were also contributing authors
The story that emerges is not of a smoking gun, but of a 30-year time bomb whose fuse was lit in 1981, when-- analysis in the journal Science ("Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide"). In in northern England. To learn more, also see "On the Vikings and Greenland" [86]. Apr 12, 2002
as bright as Mike would be so unwilling to evaluate his own work a bit -- ... this should all have been rewritten from scratch a year ago! MANN ON YAMAL: IT ISN'T ABOUT TRUTH
foundation for the manipulated temperature readings. (As you can see, not only are “problem” of the decline [including] perhaps programming changes a Sep 23, 1999 warming won't look so dramatic. [1105019698.txt]: to the same chapter." After some trying for 4 years, MCINTYRE finally obtains, by
despite only a handful of scientists supporting it--the AGW theory was championed, without question, by the fact, the basic temperature analysis scheme published and used by GISS was defined by Later in 2007 Keenan publishes "The fraud allegation against some climatic research of Wei-Chyung Wang" [49] setting out Clearly these MWP temperatures are higher than even today and could not be HOCKEY STICK AUTHOR: OUR WORK SHOULD BE CONSIDERED more objectively. Jun 21, 2006 -- Well, dtr2cld is not the world's most complicated program. Wheras cloudreg is, and I immediately found a mistake! ... a loop that, for
UNIVERSITY OF BERGEN, NORWAY. temperatures biased to the upside later in the century (though certainly prior to 1960), but a week earlier (Sep 13-14, 1999), in which programs in the osborn- MANN to JONES [1256735067.txt]: As we all know, luck, the Yamal tree ring measurement data used by BRIFFA
Press. him in the late 1970s. [18] The GISS global temperature record is one of 4 global the matter and despite an investigation by University at Albany (where Wang is employed), and still the "hardcopy" data due to man-made CO2. [25] In general, warm periods have coincided with BRIFFA: NOT HAPPY ABOUT CREATING CONSENSUS BY EXCLUDING DATA PRELIMINARY AND TREATED WITH CONSIDERABLE CAUTION Feb 16, 2006 HOW TO HIDE COOLING: completely unfathomable reasons, didn't include months!
EYSTEIN JANSEN: Research Director of the Bjerknes Centre few mid-century intervals are being biased slightly lower. [22]). tree6/mann/oldprog directory [of the CRU documents] appear to show JONES: 20 years (1981-2000) isn't 30 years, but the rationale for 30 this isn't about truth at all, its about plausibly (see {BRIFFA 2000}). He discovers BRIFFA only used 12
temperature records used by the IPCC, the primary being the CRU record. However, is not disclosed, nor was the university's investigation report. periods of human prosperity and progress while cool periods with suffering, years isn't that compelling. The original argument was for 35 years BRIFFA AGAIN WORRIED ABOUT ONLY USE DATA SHOWING -- Am I the first person to attempt to get the CRU databases in working order?!! cores and this produced a hockey stick warming graph.
However, due to AGW's shaky foundation, it was only a matter of time before the growing divergence between for Climate Research and Dept. of Earth Science; coordinating efforts to “correct” the calibration of the Briffa reconstruction, which may BRIFFA [938125745.TXT]: My concern was motivated by the possibility of expressing an impression of HUGHES, a co-author of the orginal hockey stick papers (MBH98 & deniable accusations.
both obtain most of their raw data from NOAA's GHCN dataset. [50] disease and food shortages. [70] Line 057 around 1900 because Bruckner found 35 cycles in some west Russian
Jul 5, 2005 EXAGGERATIONS WARMING -- As far as I can see, this renders the (weather) station counts totally meaningless. Furthermore, he found that only one freak tree of the 12
real-world data and the AGW climate models, which had been considered beyond reproach, became self-evident lead author for the Paleoclimate chapter of the 2007 IPCC report. [101] or may not be relevant to the eventual methodology to “hide the decline” more concensus than might actually exist . I suppose the earlier talk implying that we MBH99), expresses reservations about over reliance on their invention
In his paper Keenan notes that although JONES may not have known about the fraud in 1990, by 2001 he did due to This is where the magic happens. Remember that array we have of valid temperature JONES: WE'VE BEEN COOLING -- COBAR AIRPORT AWS (data from an Australian weather station) cannot start in 1962, it didn't open until 1993!
and problematic. Offending data was massaged to fit the models to stave off questions and the losses that would The Little Ice Age (LIA), which followed the MWP, is also a problem for the [used by the IPCC which is similar but not identical to that used by JONES should not 'muddy the waters' by including contradictory evidence worried me. lakes (hence periods like 1881-1915). This went to 30 as it easier created the hockey stick! If that tree was removed the
Hansen provides his paper to the New York Times who then run a front page story subsequent papers JONES wrote which addressed the station moves and stated "those relocations substantially affected [1018647333.txt] [33]: Feb 18, 2005 BRIFFA and OVERPECK, lead authors the 2007 IPCC review editor John Mitchell -- Getting seriously fed up with the state of the Australian data. so many new stations have been introduced, so many false references.. so many
ensue to the billion dollar climate industry [98]. POTSDAM INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE IMPACT RESEARCH, AGW theory because it reveals that the Earth has been in a warming trend for readings [yrloc] ? And, remember that random array of numbers [valadj] we have from line two weeks later in {JONES 16.Nov.1999} as explained in [54]] ... to compute. Personally I don't want to change the base SINCE 1998 Oct 6, 2009 hockey stick disappeared. And when a larger sample was
about man-made global warming on 22.Aug.1981. the measured temperatures" in direct contradiction to the 1990 paper. "Thus, by 2001, Jones must have known that Nov 2003 IPCC report discuss the draft. BRIFFA is worried admits the reason they don't changes that aren't documented.
POTSDAM UNIVERSITY, GERMANY. the past 300 years and is why glaciers have been receding for 300 years (see [010]? Well, in line [057], those two arrays are interpolated together. The interpol() function HUGHES: All of our attempts, so far, to estimate hemisphere-scale period till after I retire ! MANN'S METHOD CREATES HOCKEY STICKS CRU TEMPERATURE DATA IS BETTER THAN THE NASA GISS DATA used, the 34 cores in the Schweingruber Yamal dataset, the
The data manipulation became so extreme that a CRU programmer tasked in 2006 with reproducing CRU's own the claims of Wang were not wholly true." Keenan wrote to JONES but received no reply. [49] will take each element in both arrays and “guess” at the points in between them to create a The final IPCC diagram (2.21) is shown [in {IPCC 2001}]. In this MCINTYRE AND MCKITRICK EXPOSE HOCKEY STICK FLAWS JONES e-mails CHRISTY and reveals about overstatements [1140067691.txt] include proxy data for recent -- The rest of the databases seem to be in nearly as poor a state as Australia was. ... Aarrggghhh! There truly is no end in sight.
STEFAN RAHMSTORF: Professor of Physics of the Oceans, PU; 1981 was Hansen's year. It was the year he both defines and becomes custodian of a new {GLACIERS FACTS 2008}). Together the MWP and LIA show temperatures Oct 27, 1999 temperatures for the period around 1000 years ago are based on result was cooling, as shown in the graph. [46,26]
published results using its own models and data was unable to do so after three years. Releasing the data and smoothing effect on the data. This technique is often used when dealing with natural data rendering, the Briffa reconstruction is obviously no longer “a problem and PLUMMER: There is a preference in the atmospheric observations Wall Street Journal cites statisticians who explain he knows the Earth has been cooling [1158175939.txt}. From [60]: decades is because they don't -- What the hell is supposed to happen here? Oh yeah -- there is no 'supposed,' I can make it up. So I have : - ) JONES explains why UK's CRU temperature record and data is more accurate than
Head of Earth System Analysis, PIK; co-founder of [105] influential global temperature record model based on his own work and it was the year The 1990 Jones et al paper has been the major evidence presented by JONES in all of the IPCC reports to fluctuate up and down several degrees solely from natural causes with no ill- far fewer data than any of us would like. None of the datasets used so MCINTYRE and MCKITRICK publish their first paper, "Corrections to the Mann et
computer codes behind the models for others to review and verify was out of the question. Though FOI requests points, just not quite in this manner. The main thing to realize here, is, that the interpol() a potential distraction/detraction”and does not “dilute the message”. IPCC "FIRST ORDER DRAFT" OF 2001 REPORT [54] chapter of IPCC AR4 to stay with the 1961-1990 normals. This is partly that MANN's methods creates his hockey stick for 7 years since 1998, but says he show warming [1150923423.txt]: -- You can't imagine what this has cost me -- to actually allow the operator to assign false WMO (World Meteorological HANSEN'S GISS record at NASE [1254850534.txt]:
he becomes a front page celebrity, from all of which there is no turning back. dismiss the influence of urban change on the temperature measurements, and also has been used as an effects or "tipping points". In fact, as reported in"World's oldest tree discovered in far has anything like the geographical distribution that experience with recent al. (1998) Proxy Data Base and Northern Hemisphere Average Temperature Series", in graph even in data without a hockey stick trend and "can't" say so because it's not [BRIFFA] urged caution, warning that when it came to
are redundant for peer-reviewed research, the CRU’s refusal to release data and methods used for papers function will cause the valid temperature readings (yrloc) to skew towards the valadj values. Mann has not given any “fodder” to the skeptics, who obviously did not because a change of normals confuses users, e.g. anomalies will Organization) codes!! But what else is there in such situations? Especially when dealing with a 'Master' database of dubious provenance ...
RASMUS E. BENESTAD: Affiliations with the Norwegian Meteorological excuse for the failure to mention most of the unequivocal evidence that such urban effects exist. The paper Sweden" [123], "The summers 9,500 years ago were warmer than today." centuries indicates we need, and no one has yet found a convincing way of Energy & Environment exposing the "collation errors, unjustifiable truncation historical climate records, there was no new data, only MITCHELL: There needs to be a clear
published in respected peer-reviewed journals, despite journal rules prohibiting such refusals, inevitably led to have a “field day” with the decline. [The main fiddle was to simply delete seem less positive than before if we change to newer thus would invalidate the methods [32]: statistically significant. Today, in 2009, -- So with a somewhat cynical shrug, I added the nuclear option -- to match every WMO possible, and turn the rest into new stations ... In As explained on "Many of [JONES'] points about problems with the NASA
Institute and the Oslo Climate Group; co-founder of [102] was even dragged out again for the 2007 IPCC report. [39] In fact determining the UHI is not complicated at all, for validating the lower-frequency components of them against independent data. or extrapolation of source data, obsolete data, geographical location the ‘same old evidence’ that had been around for statement of why the instrumental and
legal FOI requests, if for no other reason than that some scientists were insisting that the world commit trillions However, given the MWP and LIA are fatal to the AGW theory, the "hockey What the heck does all of this mean? First, let’s plot the values in the valadj array. the offending data. See {HOW TO HIDE 5.Oct.1999} and {IPCC 2001}] Nov 16, 1999 normals, so the impression of global warming will be muted. the Earth has been cooling for 12 years. other words what CRU usually do. It will allow bad databases to pass unnoticed, and good databases to become bad ... GISS products we’ve covered here on WUWT and at Climate Audit. ... Here’s the thing, we’ve seen
example see [61]: "Picking out the UHI in climatic temperature records - so easy a 6th grader can do it!" As Ed [Cook] wrote, in the tree-ring records that form the errors, incorrect calculation of principal components and other quality Statistician Francis Zwiers of Environment [1120593115.txt]: years. ‘Let us not try to over-egg the pudding,’ he wrote proxy data are shown on the same the problems with CRU’s temperature series in the code already. If Dr. Jones is aware of those
of dollars to economic policies based on what they claimed their research showed. team" need to eliminate them if the AGW theory is to stand. In respect of this, HOW TO HIDE COOLING: USE MANN'S "NATURE" TECHNIQUE -- OH FUCK THIS. It's Sunday evening, I've worked all weekend, and just when I thought it was done, I'm hitting yet another problem
JIM SALINGER: Auckland-based climate change scientist; formerly worked [See graph at top left. Notice how the period between 1934 to 1974 are dramatically backbone of most of the published estimates, the problem of poor control defects" in MANN's MBH98 hockey stick graph. [37] Canada (a government agency) notes that Mr. in an email to an IPCC colleague in September 2006. graph. The issue of why we don't
for 25 years at the Crown Research Institute National Institute of Water and
1981 On 31.Aug.2007 WIGLEY e-mailed JONES that Keenan is correct: "Seems to me that Keenan has a valid point. David Deming, a geophysicist at the University of Oklahoma, wrote the following replication near the beginnings of records is particularly acute, and
that's based on the hopeless state of our databases. problems, and he thinks GISS is inferior, well then, wow, just how bad is GISS?" [30]. [Also see 50].
Lest there be any doubt that these scientists did anything wrong, Richard Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of The statements in the papers that he quotes seem to be incorrect statements, and that someone ([Wang] at the very least) exaggerated upwards. This adjustment raises the temperatures during this period after 1940, JONES announces he's successfully used MANN's "Nature trick" (used to create the Mann's method "preferentially produces JONES: The scientific community would ‘True, there have been many different techniques used show the proxy data for the last -- This whole project is SUCH A MESS. No wonder I needed therapy!! ... I am seriously close to giving up, again.
Atmospheric Research (NIWA); lead author of the 2007 IPCC report. [106] regarding an eye opening 1995 e-mail he received and has testified about [58]: ubiquitous. ... Therefore, I accept that everything we are doing is Dec 10, 2008
Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology explains what the CRU documents reveal: "They are must have known at the time that they were incorrect." ([1188557698.txt] with more in [1241415427.txt]) when there was actually cooling, and thus flattens the 1940 warm peak. The effect is shown in controversial MBH98 temperature record -- see {MCINTYRE Nov.2003} and {MANN The graph from the paper shown, highlights the result after MANN's hockey hockey sticks when there are none in the data." come down on me in no uncertain terms if I to aggregate and scale data - but the efficacy of these few decades ( they don't show -- Right, time to stop pussyfooting around the niceties of Tim's labyrinthine software suites - let's have a go at producing CRU TS 3.0! since failing JONES: GISS is inferior - not just because it doesn't use back data. They also impose some
According to the graph (shown) from Hansen's 1981 paper "Climate Impact of Sep 13, 1999 preliminary, and should be treated with considerable caution. JONES: I'M NOT TO DELETE E-MAILS;
unambiguously dealing with things that are unethical and in many cases illegal. ... We have scientists manipulating raw They thought I was one of them someone who would pervert science in the service of social Mann’s graph from 1999 (bottom left). Notice how the temperature measured (shown in red) 23.Apr.98}) "to hide the decline" after 1960 in a diagram he was preparing for WMO stick is corrected. Specifically, high temperatures at the end (1400-1500) of the Other reputable scientists such as Berkeley's said the world had cooled from 1998. is still far from established. But when the ‘warmest for continued warming) but assume to do that will be the definitive failure of the entire project.. urbanization adjustment which is based on population/night lights which I don't think is very good.
temperature data. ... The willingness to destroy data rather than release it. The avoidance of Freedom of Information requests." Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide", the Earth had been: and political causes. So one of them [speculated by many to be Jonathan Overpeck] let dips between 1940 and 1970, while in MANN's graph (blue) the temperature actually rises. HOW TO HIDE COOLING: BURY IT IN SOFTWARE Medieval Warm Period (MWP) are restored. Also see {WEGMAN 14.Jul.2006}. Richard Muller and Hans von Storch of OK it has but it is only 7 years of data 1,300 years’ claim was published in 2007 in the IPCC’s that they are valid for earl warm Their gridding also smooths things out. Plotting all three together for land only though they look similar FOI COMMISSIONER: FOI DOESN'T APPLY TO IPCC
statement. In other words, message the data if it shows a decline [942777075.txt]
[66] Consequently, while UEA and Pennsylvania State University said they were investigating the matter [69], the his guard down [and] sent me an astonishing email that said. "We have to get rid of "CORRECTIONS" The hockey stick graph, used in the 2001 IPCC report, removes the MWP and Germany's GKSS Center essentially agree. and it isn't statistically significant. fourth report, the doubters kept silent.’ periods needs to be explained. And based on stuff like this, politicians are going to blow up our economy and lower our standard of living to "fix" the climate? Are they insane? at decadal timescales. GISS does have less year-to-year variability - when I last looked.
a) First, warming between 1880-1940 (60 years), before any significant man- Why would they want to do this? Well after 1940 the Earth cooled while CO2 went up and Little Ice Age and makes it appear as though there is alarming warming in recent JONES [1228922050.txt]: Haven't got a reply from the FOI person here
JONES: Subject: Diagram for WMO Statement

UK Met Office (which works closely with the CRU and relies heavily on its product) announced a three-year made CO2 emissions. the Medieval Warm Period." [59] this is the opposite of the CO2/man-made warming (AGW) theory. The 1940 warm peak has CRU PROGRAMMING CODE [CALIBRATE_CORRECTMXD.PRO] at UEA. So I'm no entirely confident the numbers are correct. One way
project to re-examine 160 years of temperature data, signalling its own lack of confidence in its CRU-based I've just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years as compared to stable temperatures in previous centuries.
And this is exactly was done in {MANN 15.Mar.1999}. Compare the temperature always been a thorn for the "hockey team" and 11 years later in {WIGLEY 27.Sep.09} (Date taken from the file's last edit date) [23]: of checking would b to look on CA, but I'm not doing that. I did get an
temperature record. b) And then cooling between 1940-1980 (40 years), despite the greatest years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline.
graph in the 1990 IPCC report to the one in the 2001 IPCC report (see {IPCC WIGLEY and JONES discuss how to reduce the 1940 "warming blip" -- this time the "solution" For a layman's explanation of the MCINTYRE and MCKITRICK paper and why it emai from the FOI person here early yesterday to tell me I
man-made emissions of CO2 to date due to the post war economic boom. SECRECY -- REFUSE TO DISCLOSE DATA AND METHODS TO OTHER is to try and reduce the warming.] ; No need to verify the correct and uncorrected versions, since these proves MANN's hockey stick is statistically invalid, i.e. the hockey stick is an shouldn't be deleting emails unles this was 'normal' deleting to keep
What about the "other independent temperature records": NASA's GISS and NOAA's GHCN? CRU and GISS get 1999} and {IPCC 2001}). The 2001 report uses MANN's now discredited "hockey See [36] for a full explanation of how this was done and why is and how this eventually Feb 21, 2005
RESEARCHERS, EVEN UNDER FREEDOM OF INFORMATION REQUESTS ; should be identical prior to 1920 or 1930 or whenever the decline invented construct, as well as a riveting account of the maelstrom of intrigue the emails manageable! McIntyre hasn' paid his £10, so nothing looks likely
most of their raw data from the GHCN. Serious irregularities and questionable adjustments are starting to So despite a previous a trend of 60 years and being only 40 years into the stick" graph which flattened the MWP and also the LIA as well as turning end of became part of the iconic hockey stick graph of in the 2001 IPCC report {see IPCC 2001}. Jan 21, 2005 Jun 19, 2007
; was corrected onwards from. M&M paper the unleashed, see [53]. In 2005 MCINTYRE and MCKITRICK HOW TO HIDE COOLING: HAVE A BIAS FOR to happen re his Data Protection Act email Anyway requests have been of
surface with the source GHCN data itself (see [50], [60], [62], [67], [72], [77], [114]). And so, like the Three new cooling trend, it was nevertheless decided at the July 1979 conference, the graph dramatically skyward to make it appear temperatures were relatively Aug 12, 1996 FIRST CONTACT WITH FOI AND THE SCHEMING STARTS DATA THAT PRODUCES HOCKEY STICKS May 5, 2008 Dec 3, 2008
published 2 more papers, following additional disclosures of data and methods by JONES CONVINCES HIS UNIVERSITY TO IGNORE FOI REQUESTS three types - observational data, paleo dat and who made IPCC changes
Musketeers, the CRU, GISS and NOAA's temperature records stand or fall together. the Earth was now again in a warming trend and CO2 was to blame. How? stable until the last 50 years.
JONES: ICE CORES VERY UNRELIABLE AND 2000 MANN, which they state "are a definitive resolution of issues first raised in MM03." [57] FIRST FOI REQUEST TO CRU FOR AR4 INFO JONES: UEA IS ON BOARD TO IGNORE FOI REQUESTS FROM MCINTYRE and why. Keith has got all the latter - an there have been at least 4. We
Mar 25, 1998 The moment JONES and WIGLEY first became aware of the FOI Act from a UEA leaflet, they JONES [1109021312.txt]: Francis Zwiers is till JONES advises KARL he's managed to convince UEA to ignore FOI requests from
Data fudging and secrecy aside, as Jones mentions, by 1998 the Earth had stopped warming and begun cooling, And how could Hansen "predict" a new warming trend at this time (actually Yet despite MANN's creative statistics to try and eliminate the MWP and LIA and TREE RINGS LESS THAN 50% RELIABLE FOR JONES: HAVE DELETED LOADS OF E-MAILS 2 MONTHS AGO made Susan aware of these - all came fro David Holland. According
BRIFFA uses the now controversial Yamal tree immediately start planning how to get around it [1106338806.txt]: onside. He said that PC1s produce hockey MCINTYRE (i.e. "people ... with ClimateAudit" website). Others in Australia are doing David Holland, an engineer, had been seeking
despite record levels of CO2 (large blue event box with a bomb icon). This divergence between AGW theory and the late 1970s) when his own data didn't show it? Only years later, as the despite the IPCC adopting the hockey stick graph, both OVERPECK and JONES DETERMINING PAST TEMPERATURE CRU PROGRAMMING CODE [DENSPLUS188119602NETCDF.PRO] to the FOI Commissioner's Office, IPCC is a international
ring measurement temprature data. Despite years sticks. ... The IPCC comes in for a lot of stick. Leave it to the same, he says. MCINTYRE's work discredited MANN's "hockey stick graph" and information on how authors, reviwers and JONES: When the FOI requests began here, the FOI person said we had to abide by the
reality grew so enormous that by October 12, 2009, Kevin Trenberth, in a fit of frustration, e-mailed his trend set in, was it learned that at this time (1981) the Earth was 4 years remain convinced the MWP and LIA were real: OVERPECK in 2003 wanted to (Date taken from the file's last edit date) [23]: WIGLEY: I got a brochure on the FOI Act from UEA. Does this mean that, if someone asks for a computer organization, so is above any national FOI. Even if UEA hold
JONES [839858862.txt]: I am disturbed by how of attempts the data finally became available in you to delete as appropriate ! also found errors forcing HANSEN to revise NASA's GISS temperature record -- no editors of AR4 (the IPCC 2007 report) requests. It took a couple of half hour sessions - one at a screen, to convince
colleagues: "Where the heck is global warming? ... The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment into a new warming period. Perhaps it was coincidence the Earth warmed still "'contain' the putative 'MWP'" (see {OVERPECK 4.Jun.03}) while JONES in 2004 program we have to give it out?? anything about IPCC, we are not obliged to pass it on, unless it
some people in the paleo community try to oversell Note these comments from the programming code specifically say that 2009 by luck (see {MCINTYRE 26.Sep.2009}). doubt JONES was reluctant to release data to him [1182255717.txt]: discharge their duties. BRIFFA and OSBORN of them otherwise showing them what CA [] was all about. Once
and it is a travesty that we can't." The reason he gave for their inability to account for the cooling was that "the data and Hansen was just lucky? questioned their temperatures, as revealed by all the evidence confirming the 2005 has anythin to do with our core business - and it doesn't!
their product. ... Climate variance explained by although the CRU has temperature data going back to 440 and 1070, they JONES: As you're no longer an employee I would use this argument if anything comes along. the CRU were lead authors and after Holland's they became aware of the types of people [McIntyre] we were dealing with, everyone at
are surely wrong. Our observing system is inadequate." In other words, the data showing cooling were wrong, but the MWP and LIA, though he admits he has no evidence! Feb 21, 2005 JONES: 1. Think I've managed to persuade UEA to ignore all further FOIA requests
Or, are we to believe that primitive, 30 year old computers and climate the proxy variable--close to zero for ice core only use data after 1400 -- that's right after the Medieval Warm Period JONES: WE'VE GOT 25 YEARS WORK IN THE DATA, requests to BRIFFA went unanswered he UEA (in the registry and in the Environmental Sciences school - the head of
climate models, predicting warming, were correct. This, arguably, is the key revelation of ClimateGate. It makes WIGLEY: The leaflet appeared so general, but it was prepared by UEA so they may have simplified things. if the people have anything to do with Climate Audit. 2. Had an email from David Jones of

models let Hansen et al "accurately" predict and attribute this as yet to JONES [1098472400.txt]: [There] is no way the MWP (whenever it was) was as warm isotopes, up to 50% for tree rings, somewhere (MWP) which undermines the CO2/man-made global warming (AGW). WHY SHOULD I GIVE IT TO YOU? JONES: PS DON'T TELL ANYONE THAT THE UK HAS AN FOI ACT commences an FOI request to CRU. This school and a few others) became very supportive. I've got to know the FOI Nov 8, 2009
self-evident that blind faith and bankrupt logic are now masquerading as rational science. No matter how much From their wording, computer code would be covered by the FOIA. My concern was if Sarah is/was still BMRC, Melbourne. He said they are ignoring anybody who has dealings with
occur "warming trend" to CO2 in 1981 while 30 years later, using powerful globally as the last 20 years. There is also no way a whole decade in the LIA period was in between for most other indicators. request proceeded as follows: May 6 - CRU person quite well and the Chief Librarian - who deals with appeals. ... Faced with pressure to release data, JONES and CRU website [29] state that they
techno-babble is used to make today's predictive climate models sound impressive, they have all proved fatally ; we know the file starts at yr 440, but we want nothing till 1400, so we JONES, whose research is publicly funded, claims employed by UEA. I guess she could claim that she had only written one tenth of the code and release every JONES complains to MANN, BRADLEY and HUGHES he's being "hassled" to CA, as there are threads on it about Australian sites. 3. CA is in dispute with IPCC (Susan
super-computers, the same or supposedly even more sophisticated models more than 1 deg C on a global basis cooler than the 1961-90 mean. This is all gut Acknowledgement, June 3 - CRU Refusal no longer have the raw data -- only their "messaged" data. In other words, CRU is
wrong. The hockey team scientists admit they have no clue why this is so, although other scientists do (see ; can skill lines (1400-440)/10 + 1 header line personal ownership of it when asked to disclose his data tenth line. release the CRU station data and he also suggests the others "delete as Solomon and Martin Manning) about the availability of the responses to reviewer's at the The inadvertent email I sent last month has led to a Data Protection Act request sent by a
cannot even retroactively account for the 12 years of cooling since 1998, feeling, no science ... Notice, June 4 - Holland Appeal, June 20 - CRU saying, "trust us"! From "Global Warming ate my data" [28]:
"Climate Corrections", [92]). ... and methods. From "The Dog Ate Global Warming" [27]: appropriate" [1109021312.txt]: various stages of the AR4 drafts. They are most interested here re Ch 6 on paleo. certain Canadian [McIntyre], saying that the email maligned his scientific credibility with his
let alone predict the trend in the first place, despite the greatest CO2 Rejection of Appeal. [24]
Besides the MWP, the warm peak in 1940 was another problem for the AGW ; we now want all lines (10 yr per line) from 1400 to 1980, which is JONES: As for FOIA Sarah isn't technically employed by UEA and she will likely be paid by peers! If he pays 10 pounds (which he hasn't yet) I am supposed to go through my emails
These problems would have been publicized years ago if the AGW theorists didn't have powerful allies: policy emissions to date? Or perhaps it is as Dr. Syun-Ichi Akasofu, former The world's source for global temperature record admits it's lost or destroyed all the original
; (1980-1400)/10 + 1 lines Warwick Hughes, an Australian scientist, wrote JONES in early Manchester Metropolitan University. I wouldn't worry about the code. If FOIA does ever get JONES: PS I'm getting hassled by a couple of people to release the CRU and he can get anything I've written about him. About 2 months ago I deleted loads of
makers in virtually every professional scientific body, editors of virtually major every scientific journal, and director of the International Arctic Research Center at the University of theory since it occurred before significant man-made CO2 emissions. It seems to data that would allow a third party to construct a global temperature record. The
Mar 1, 1998 ... 2005, asking for the original data that JONES and WIGLEY used by anyone, there is also IPR to consider as well. Data is covered by all the agreements station temperature data. Don't any of you three tell anybody that the emails, so have very little - if anything at all.
reporters and editors at virtually all mainstream media outlets. Few provided unbiased, impartial forums where Alaska and author of over 500 articles, explained in September 2007: "no deal with this, a "VERY ARTIFICAL correction for decline" was found in the CRU destruction (or loss) of the data comes at a convenient time for the Climatic Research Unit
used that led to the IPCC to claim "a warming of 0.6° +/- 0.2°C we sign with people, so I will be hiding behind them. UK has a Freedom of Information Act ! Apr 23, 2007
alternate views and evidence were aired and debated. Instead, most took official positions, invariably with an air of supercomputer, no matter how powerful, is able to prove definitively a simplistic software (see {CRU PROGRAMMING CODE 7.Sep.1998}). This "correction" CARBON ECONOMICS: A STACKED THE DECK AGAINST ECONOMIC PROGRESS ; we know the file starts at yr 1070, but we want nothing till 1400, so we (CRU) in East Anglia - permitting it to snub FoIA requests to see the data.
in the 20th century." JONES revused and replied: May 9, 2008
increases the cool temperatures after 1940 and so flattens the 1940 peak. ; can skill lines (1400-1070)/10 + 1 header line The e-mail includes copies of 6 articles which all explain science requires full In [jones-foiathoughts.doc], JONES sets out the options
authority, and most spared no effort to ensure voices against the artificial consensus were quashed by editorial fiat hypothesis that says the greenhouse effect is responsible for warming.." [92]
As Terence Corcoran explains in "Climategate Part 1 - A 2,000-page epic of science and ... he was considering vis a vis FOI requests he was facing. JONES: THINK WE CAN AVOID IPCC AR4 FOI REQUESTS The CRU has refused to release the raw weather station data and its processing methods
and a persistent campaign of vilification, intimidation, and ridicule. “We have 25 years or so invested in the work. Why disclosure but MANN was refusing to disclose his methods for review:
In fact, after 12 years of cooling, one hockey stick researcher, flatly states skepticism" [124] CRU became involved with developing future economic scenarios for the ; we now want all lines (10 yr per line) from 1400 to 1991, which is (Date taken from the file's last edit date): May 29, 2008 for inspection - except to hand-picked academics - for several years. Instead, it releases a
should I make the data available to you, when your JONES to "Mike, Ray, Caspar" [1210367056.txt]: 2. You can delete
Science has come full-circle, taking a page from the medieval Church by using fear and persecution to silence today it is a "travesty" the current models still cannot account for the IPCC -- "[a task that was] from the start was a loaded ideological exercise.". Corcoran continues: ; (1990-1400)/10 + 1 lines (since 1991 is on line beginning 1990) Feb 2, 2005 This should have produced a healthy scientific debate. Instead, Mr. Mann tried to processed version, in gridded form. NASA maintains its own (GISSTEMP), but the CRU
aim is to try and find something wrong with it?” Options appear to be: this attachment if you want. Keep this quiet also, but this is the JONES: EVERYONE DELETE E-MAILS RELATED IPCC AR4
sceptics. The oppressed have become the oppressors. Given that most professional scientific bodies and peer- cooling (see {TRENBERTH 12.Oct.2009}). If one cannot explain the cooling JONES: I'LL DELETE CRU DATA RATHER THAN RELEASE IT shut down debate by refusing to disclose the mathematical algorithm by Global Climate Dataset, is the most cited surface temperature record by the UN IPCC. So
In March 1998, [HULME] received a draft version [889554019.txt] of these 100-year forecast Mar 15, 1999 person who is putting in FOI requests for all emails Keith [BRIFFA]
reviewed journals have been active accomplices in this scandal, one wonders how many other so called scientific then it stands to reason one cannot claim to explain the warming either Reread that statement, for it is breathtaking in its anti-scientific which he arrived at his conclusions. All the same, Mr. Mann was forced to 1. Send them the data In an e-mail regarding "IPCC & FOI", JONES instructs MANN to delete e-mails any errors in CRU cascade around the world, and become part of "the science".
scenarios. Four scenarios were developed ... The exercise turns out to be a set-up for a campaign to MICHAEL MANN HAS A GOOD YEAR JONES and MANN discuss how to circumvent US and UK and Tim [OSBORN] have written and received re Ch 6 of AR4
consensuses have been similarly engineered. because obviously there are unknown factors changing the climate and Apr 23, 1998 thrust. In fact, the entire purpose of replication is to “try and publish a retraction of some of his initial data, and doubts about his statistical methods 2. Send them a subset removing station data from related to the IPCC AR4 (2007). GENE, KEITH and CASPAR are to do the
undermine free markets, globalization and free trade. In the 1998 draft, the A1 scenario is called the Freedom of Information Acts. JONES solution: Delete the data. [IPCC 2007]. We think we've found a way around this.
overwhelming the known factors, MANN, BRADLEY and HUGHES republish their hockey stick in Geophysical Research find something wrong.” The ultimate objective of science is to do have since grown. -- The Wall Street Journal, 18 February 2005 some of the countries who made us pay in the same. JONES' request is after the formal FOI request of 5.May.2008 and after Aug 20, 2009
Golden Economic Age. It describes a period of “rapid and successful economic development,” brought THE HOCKEY STICK IS BORN things so well that, indeed, nothing is wrong. MANN's solution: Claim intellectual property rights of peer
Letters (GRL) (MBH99). This time, however, the hockey stick goes back to year 1000 normals papers of Hulme et al. (1990s) and also any discussions with UEA's FOI officer on 9.May.2008 [1212063122.txt]:
Nevertheless, despite only a handful of scientists agreed with the 1979 on by the economic structures that have been successful in the past: free markets, global free trade, reviewed research [1107454306.txt]: The WSJ highlights what Regaldo and McIntyre says is Mann's resistance or outright JONES: UK CLIMATE INSTITUTIONS COORDINATING RESISTANCE TO FOI
innovation. ... The t oub e w h h s Go den Econom c Age s ha p oduced a o o ca bon MANN, BRADLEY and HUGHES publish and flattens both the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and Little Ice Age (LIA). [44] In June 2009, Georgia Tech’s Peter Webster told Canadian refusal to provide to inquiring minds his data, all details of his statistical analysis, and number that David can remember. This should also omit Nov 12, 2008 REQUESTS USING EXCEPTIONS ADVISED BY UK INFORMATION OFFICER
conference conclusions or with Hansen's 1981 position, the media ignores JONES: Mike, Can you delete any emails you may have had with Keith re
em ss ons hus mak ng ee ade open ma ke s and g oba za on a non s a e The a e na ves their hockey stick for the first time in researcher Stephen McIntyre that he had requested raw data, JONES: The two MMs [McIntyre and McKitrick] have been after the his code. So this is what I say to Dr. Mann and others expressing deep concern over some other countries like (Australia, NZ, Canada, Antarctica).
all other points of view and champions Hansen's CO2 induced warming and By 1.Sep.1999 (or earlier) MANN is appointed Lead Author of Chapter 2, "Observed SANTER: I'LL QUIT IF LLNL FORCES ME TO DISCLOSE AR4? Keith will do likewise. He's not in at the moment - minor family crisis.
we e va a ons on s owe g ow h Bu he good news om he PCC pe spec ve s ha ca bon Nature (MBH98). However, the graph and Jones freely gave it to him. So McIntyre promptly filed a CRU station data for years. If they ever hear there is a Freedom of peer review: give up your data, methods and code freely and with a smile on your Also could extract some of the sources that Anders added in JONES [1219239172.txt]: Keith/Tim still getting FOI requests as well as MOHC and Reading. All
give him front page billing. Why? Climate Variability and Change", of the IPCC 2001 report, which prominently features Can you also email Gene and get him to do the same? I don't have his new
em ss ons we e a o owe The upshot o these scenar os based on PCC ob ect ves o only went back to 1400, which is after Freedom of Information Act request for the same data. Information Act now in the UK, I think I'll delete the file rather face. -- Kevin Vranes, Science Policy, 18 February 2005 (31-38 source codes in J&M 2003). Also should remove many SANTER at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) our FOI officers have been in discussions and are now using the same exceptions
MANN's hockey stick on page 3 (see {IPCC 2001}). email address. We will be getting Caspar to do likewise.
reduc ng carbon em ss on s a deck stacked aga nst ree markets and g oba zat on the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) so it than send to anyone. Does your similar act in the US force you to of the early stations that we coded up in the 1980s. says he will refuse information requests from MCINTYRE not to respond - advice they got from the Information Commissioner. ... The FOI
Jun 24, 1998 - May 8, 2007 only flattened the Little Ice Age (LIA). Mann's work doesn't meet that definition [of science], and those who 3. Send them the raw data as is, by reconstructing it line we're all using is this. IPCC is exempt from any countries FOI - the skeptics have
1942 - 1980 By Nov.2003, MANN's hockey stick is discredited (see {MCINTYRE AND respond to enquiries within 20 days? - our does ! The UK works on and is reviewing how to avoid FOI requests. A few days later MANN responds [1212063122.txt]:
1975 Corcoran exp a ns he sc en s s were uncom or ab e w h he process c ng or examp e GLOBAL WARMING ON TRITON, NEPTUNE, MARS ALSO However 1 year later they publish 2004 precedents, so the first request will test it. We also have a data use Mann's curve in their arguments are not making a scientific from [NASA's GISS' dataset known as] GHCN. How he said he'll leave LLNL if the management does not support MANN: I'll contact Gene about this ASAP. His new email is: been told this. Even though we (MOHC, CRU/UEA) possibly hold relevant info the IPCC is not part
MCKITRICK Nov.2003}) however the graph had become the defacto "proof" of
GLOBAL COOLING DESPITE THE W GLEY who po n ed ou “ he ene gy econom cs mode s need o be ev sed because hey a o MBH99 and take the hockey stick back 1998 - 2010 protection act, which I will hide behind. Tom Wigley has sent me argument. One of Pournelle's Laws states "You can prove anything if you can make could this be done? Replace all stations where the WMO ID him in this [1226500291.txt, 1228330629.txt]. our remit (mission statement, aims etc) therefore we don't have an obligation to pass it on.
ANOTHER ICE AGE? Mar 9, 1980 24.JUN.1998: Global warming on Neptune's largest moon, Triton. [95] purported catastrophic CO2 induced man-made climate change. The hockey stick was INTERNATIONAL ASTRONOMICAL UNION:
Apr 17, 1981 ake n o accoun ac ua em ss ons be ween 1990 and 1999 " Dav d Sch me o NCAR o owed up 1000 years flattening the MWP too. [43] a worried email when he heard about it - thought people could ask him up your data." I will now add another Pournelle's Law: "You can prove anything if agrees with what is in GHCN. This would be the raw data,
GREATEST MAN-MADE CO2 EMISSIONS 26.JAN.2007: Simultaneous gobal warming on Mars and Earth. [96] not used in the 2007 report. WARMING DUE TO SUN; COOLING COMING SANTER: I will continue to refuse such data requests in the
TIME MAGAZINE: 24.Jun.1974: NEW YORK TIMES: COOLING NEW YORK TIMES: WARMING FROM CO2 and repor s he s ar ng response he rec eve 900972000 x “ a sed h s ssue a he scop ng STABLE AND THEN COOLING GLOBAL TEMPERATURES for his model code. He has retired officially from UEA so he can you can keep your algorithms secret." --Jerry Pournelle, 18 February 2005 but it would annoy them.
"Climatological Cassandras are DURING THE POST WAR ECONOMIC BOOM mee ng whe e was g ee ed w h gene a ag eemen but t appeared to come as a comp ete 8.MAY.2007: Neptune warming steadily from 1980 to 2004. [97]
A symposium of the International Astronomical Union [2004] hide behind that. IPR should be relevant here, but I can see me getting future. Nor will I provide McIntyre with computer Sep 27, 2009 Nov 6, 2009
(AS IT APPEARED IN 1980 DATA) "Scientists are reviving the controversial notion One year after headlining coolling, the New surpr se to many that scenar os shou d have a re at onsh p to rea ty ” DESPITE GREATEST MAN-MADE CO2 EMISSIONS EVER programs, email correspondence, etc. ... I will be consulting
becoming increasingly apprehensive, for concluded that it is the Sun that was chiefly responsible for into an argument with someone at UEA who'll say we must adhere to it ! WIGLEY: BE GOOD TO REMOVE PART OF THE 1940 WARMING BLIP WIGLEY: SINCE 1980s MORE LAND THAN
that millions of cubic miles of Antarctic ice can (2009 DATA) LLNL's Legal Affairs Office in order to determine how the DOE and

the weather aberrations they are York Times flip flops and in an op/ed piece the warming of the late 20th century. [93] The Sun, will be OCEAN WARMING
sometimes abruptly slip off the continent into the sets the terms of the CO2 induced global 1976 - 2000 HULME was a con r bu ng au hor o he 2001 PCC Syn hes s Repor nc ud ng var ous 100 MANN: Yeah, there is a freedom of information act in the U.S., and the LLNL should respond to any FOI requests that we receive from After 1940 the Earth cooled yet CO2 went up -- opposite to the AGW
studying may be the harbinger of markedly less active in the coming half-century than it was in
sea, resulting in extreme increases in global warming debate: "[By] the time we were certain year scenar os wh ch "conc uded ha ca bon concen a on n he a mosphe e cou d se o 1 250% JONES 5.Jul.2005: "the world had cooled from 1998. OK it has but it is only 7 years of data" contrarians are going to try to use it for all its worth. But there are also McIntyre. I assume that such requests will be forthcoming. ... I hope theory. 1940 has been a thorn for them for 11 years (see {CRU WIGLEY [1257546975.txt]: We probably need to
another ice age." [1] the previous half-century; and cooling will result. [93]
ocean levels and precipitating a dramatic that a carbon dioxide induced climate change was TEMPERATURES WARMING GLOBALLY above he p e ndus a yea o 1750 unde he ee ma ke A1 scena o w h empe a u es s ng as KELLY 26.Sep.2008: "the [temperature] level has really been quite stable since 2000 or so" intellectual property rights issues, so it isn't clear how these sorts of things LLNL management will provide me with their full support. If they do SOFTWARE 7.Sep.1998}). say more about this. Land warming since
NEW YORK TIMES, 21.May.1975: chilling of the world’s climate." [2] occurring, it would be too late to prevent it." [6] much as 5 8 deg ees Ce s us Cap ta sm c ear y ru ns everyth ng " TRENBERTH 12.Oct.2009: "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the 5 years later both predictions are holding firmly. will play out ultimately in the U.S. not, I'm fully prepared to seek employment elsewhere. 1980 has been twice the ocean warming --
(2009 DATA) WIGLEY [1254108338.txt]: It would be good to remove at least part of the 1940s
"Scientists ponder why world's climate is moment and it is a travesty that we can't." and skeptics might claim that this proves
changing: Major cooling widely blip, but we are still left with "why the blip". that urban warming is real and important.
considered to be invertible." [2]
NEWSWEEK 28.Apr.1975: The Jan 1942 Jan 1975 Jan 1976 Jan 1978 Jan 1980 Apr 1980 Jul 1980 Oct 1980 Jan 1981 Apr 1981 Jul 1981 Oct 1985 Apr 1988 Jul 1988 Oct 1988 Jan 1989 Apr 1989 Jul 1989 Oct 1989 Jan 1990 Oct 1991 Jan 1992 Jan 1993 Jan 1995 Apr 1995 Jul 1995 Oct 1995 Jan 1996 Apr 1996 Jul 1996 Oct 1996 Jan 1997 Apr 1997 Jul 1997 Oct 1997 Jan 1998 Apr 1998 Jul 1998 Oct 1998 Jan 1999 Apr 1999 Jul 1999 Oct 1999 Jan 2000 Apr 2000 Jul 2000 Oct 2000 Jan 2001 Apr 2001 Jul 2001 Oct 2001 Jan 2002 Apr 2002 Jul 2002 Oct 2002 Jan 2003 Apr 2003 Jul 2003 Oct 2003 Jan 2004 Apr 2004 Jul 2004 Oct 2004 Jan 2005 Apr 2005 Jul 2005 Oct 2005 Jan 2006 Apr 2006 Jul 2006 Oct 2006 Jan 2007 Apr 2007 Jul 2007 Oct 2007 Jan 2008 Apr 2008 Jul 2008 Oct 2008 Jan 2009 Apr 2009 Jul 2009 Oct 2009 Jan 2010
Cooling World - "Almost unanimous the
trend will reduce agricultural productivity
for the rest of the century." [3]
1976 Feb 21, 1978 - Nov 1980 Aug 22, 1981 Jun 1988 1990 1992 1995 Dec 11, 1997 May 7, 2000 to Sep 11, 2000 2001 Sep 3, 2003 Sep 28, 2004 Jul 5, 2005 Jul 14, 2006 2007 Aug 7, 2007 Oct 9, 2009 Dec 7, 2009 - Dec 18, 2009
HANSEN et al publish "Greenhouse effects due to man-made NEW YORK TIMES: Global warming makes the front The temperature graph shown is Figure 7c from SANTER was responsible for a highly controversial rewriting of key Scientists questioning the CO2/man-made global warming theory (AGW) are In the 1990 report, the IPCC used the temperature graph created by Hubert Lamb, CRU's The Energy and Commerce Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives asked [Edward But it is true. For the last 11 years we have not observed any increase in
perturbations of trace gases" in the journal Science and stated page following HANSEN sending them a copy of his the 1990 IPCC report. This graph was created by passages in the 1995 IPCC report. See {WALL STREET JOURNAL - routinely dismissed as being in the pay of Big Oil. However, in 2000 CRU not first Director [25] and shows Medieval Warm Period (MWP) of 1000 years ago and Little Ice COOK e-mails BRIFFA with a suggestion for a new paper: "Northern Hemisphere Andy Revkin, of the New York Times, tells Wegman] to assess ... the statistical validity of work by Michael Mann. Wegman accepted Dr. William Schlesinger: 80% of IPCC scientists do MCINTYRE discovers errors in the GISS data forcing HANSEN to revise global temperatures. And our climate models did not forecast it, even
"Anthropogenic gases may alter our climate by plugging an paper, "Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon See {WORDS TO PONDER Oct.1989} for the comments of Sir John Hubert Lamb, CRU's first Director, "A Simple Proof A MAJOR DECEPTION OF GLOBAL WARMING 12.Jun.1996}. Dec 20, 2007 only solicits funding from Shell (after already trying BP and Esso [947541692.txt]), Age of 300 years ago. Both the MWP and LIA were global phenomena and a major problem Temperatures Over The Past Millennium: Where Are The Greatest Uncertainties?", OSBORN that von Storch ({WIGLEY the [assignment] pro bono. He conducted his third-party review by assembling an expert not deal with climate. [84] the GISS US surface temperature data. The hottest years of the 20th though man-made carbon dioxide, the gas thought to be responsible for
atmospheric window for escaping tradition." [11] Many of the individuals party to the ClimateGate e-mails attend these Dioxide" (see {1981}) published in the journal Science, Houghton, first co-chair of the IPCC and lead editor of the first three that Global Warming Is Not Man-Made" [25] and U.S. SENATE REPORT: OVER 400 PROMINENT SCIENTISTS DISPUTE MAN-MADE GLOBAL WARMING CLAIMS [report updated to 700 scientists in 2009][55] but even considers a strategic partnership which would also give Shell a role in for the CO2/man-made global warming theory (AGW) so the "hockey team" needed to authored by himself, "BRIFFA, ESPER, OSBORN, D'ARRIGO, BRADLEY(?), JONES (??), 24.Apr.2003}) says it's time to "toss the hockey JONES [1120593115.txt]: As panel of statisticians, who also agreed to work pro bono. Wegman also consulted outside century were not in the 1990s, as HANSEN had claimed, but in the 1930s warming our planet, has continued to rise. TIMESONLINE.CO.UK: [UK] MET OFFICE TO RE-EXAMINE 160 YEARS OF
conferences (such as JONES, WIGLEY, HANSEN) in the days prior to which stated the planet was getting noticeably warmer as IPCC reports (1990, 1995, 2001). shows Medieval Warm Period (MWP) of 1000 BEFORE: “No study to date has positively attributed all or part [of setting CRU's research agenda. eliminate them if the CO2/man-made global warming theory was going to hold. And this is [and] MANN. ... What I am suggesting is strictly an empirical comparison of published stick and start over" [1096382684.txt]: you know, I'm not political. If statisticians, including the Board of the American Statistical Association. At its conclusion, the FROM "Numbers Racket" [20]: -- before the record CO2 emissions of the post-war economic boom. CLIMATE DATA [31]
In 1976 The National Defence University publish a report the IPCC. These same individuals are now major players in the IPCC well as making serious predictions about the greenhouse years ago and Little Ice Age of 300 years ago. observed climate change] to anthropogenic causes.” Over 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen countries recently voiced significant objections to major aspects of the so-called "consensus" on man-made global warming. These scientists, many of whom are current and former participants in the exactly what they did. 1000 year NH [northern hemisphere] reconstructions [because] this is exactly the kind anything, I would like to see the Wegman entirely vindicated the Canadian critics and repudiated Mann's work. [113] The IPCC advised him in 2007, the great majority of the Oct 12, 2009
"Climate Change to the Year 2000", sponsored jointly by the NDU, itself. [13] effect of carbon dioxide. BEFORE: “When will an anthropogenic effect on climate be identified? It is UN IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), criticized the climate claims made by the UN IPCC. [ClimateGate lets the public understand why scientists made the following comments back in 2007 or earlier]. KELLY meets with Shell several times in the Summer of 2000 and summarizes his of study that needs to be done before the next IPCC [2007] assessment.." REVKIN: again, takeaway msg is that mann method climate change happen, so the [MCINTYRE] had noticed that HANSEN had been adjusting his pre-1970 global [NOTE: This requires the original raw data which, according to the CRU is no
Both the MWP and LIA were global phenomena 3,750 "IPCC scientists" were merely reviewers and they
the Department of Agriculture, and the NOAA, surveyed 24 not surprising that the best answer to this question is, ‘We do not know.’ " discussions to HULME and ORIORDAN [962818260.txt, 968691929.txt]: In fact, DEMING was actually told that "We must get rid of the Medieval Warm Period" can only work if past variability same as variability science could be proved right, In general, we found MBH98 and MBH99 [by Mann et al.] to be somewhat temperature figures downwards by as much as 0.5 degrees, and his post-1970 ADMISSION: THE SUN AND/OR EL-NINO DRIVE CLIMATE longer available.]
and a major problem for the CO2/man-made • Dr. Kiminori Itoh; IPCC Expert Reviewer, award-winning environmental physical chemist: "[Warming fears are the] worst scientific scandal in the history ... When people come to know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by only reviewed a fraction of the report. ...
climatologists from 7 countries to estimate the northern 21.FEB.1978 -- Carbon Dioxide, Climate and Society - An IIASA Many scientists were critical of the approach taken Jun 1988 (see {MEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD 1995}) as confirmed in {MANN 4.Jun.03} in which MANN He suggests a range of topics, including "Describe the past work (Mann, Briffa, during period used to calibrate your method. regardless of the consequences. obscure and incomplete and the criticisms of MM03/05a/05b [McIntyre and figures upwards. Further doubts about the methodology of GISS arose in 2008
hemisphere temperature through to 2000. The graph shown Workshop sponsored by WMO, UNEP and SCOPE. [10] by HANSEN and others for damaging the integrity global warming theory (AGW) so the "hockey AFTER: “The body of … evidence now points to a discernible human science and scientists." Mike and Tim Notes from the meeting with Shell International attached. Sorry about the wrote "... addresses a good earlier point that Peck made w/regard to the memo, that it would be nice Jones, Crowley, Esper, yada, yada, yada)" and ends with the conclusion he says he McKitrick] to be valid and compelling. We also comment that they were attempting when HANSEN announced that October 2008 was the hottest on record -- SCHNEIDER [1255550975.txt]: As we enter an El Nino year and as The Met Office plans to re-examine 160 years of temperature data after admitting that public
This isn't being political, it is Australian analyst John McLean scrutinized the lists that
were the results of the survey and speaks for itself. [12] of science. According to [Spencer] Weart, HANSEN: STOP WAFFLING, OTHER SCIENTISTS REBUKE HANSON team" needed to eliminate them if the CO2/man- influence on global climate.” delay. I suspect that the climate change team in Shell International is probably the best to try to 'contain' the putative 'MWP'". knows the paper will come to [1062592331.txt (expletives removed)]: so it could be correct, but could be very wrong as well. to draw attention to the discrepancies in MBH98 and MBH99, and not to despite widespread evidence of plummeting temperatures. Detailed analysis by soon, as the sunspots get over their temporary--presumed-- confidence in the science on man-made global warming has been shattered by leaked e-mails.
• Dr. Kenneth Green (2009); IPCC Expert Reviewer: "A Death Spiral for Climate Alarmism ... We can expect climate crisis industry to grow increasingly shrill, and increasingly hostile toward anyone who questions their authority." being selfish. the IPCC used to arrive at its figures and found them to
12.FEB.1979 -- First World Climate Conference organised by the World "respected scientists publicly rebuked Hansen, made global warming theory was going to hold. route through to funding from elsewhere in the organisation including the foundation as do paleoclimatic temperature reconstruction. ... MCINTYRE and Anthony Watts [], a US meteorologist, vacation ... there will likely be another dramatic upward spike like The new analysis of the data will take three years, meaning that the Met Office will not
The worst forest fires in a century, the Mississippi River falls so low that by the way, von storch doesn't concur with be riddled with duplications, such as the 383 authors who
Meteorological Organisation "called on all nations to unite in efforts to saying he had gone far beyond what scientific And this is exactly what they did. See {MEDIEVAL they seem to have good access to the top levels. On 15.Mar.1999 MANN publishes the hockey stick graph in MBH99 which flattened the COOK: Without trying to prejudice this work, but also because of what I almost think I showed that scores of temperature records from Russia and elsewhere had not 1992-2000. be able to state with absolute confidence the extent of the warming trend until the end of 2012.
barge traffic is halted, and summer time temperatures are at an all time • Dr Vincent Gray; Expert Reviewer of every draft of the IPCC reports since 1990, climate researcher and author of more than 100 papers: "The claims of the IPCC are dangerous unscientific nonsense." osborn/briffa on the idea that higher past variability also acted as reviewers for the same sections in which
understand climate change and to plan for it, but it did not call for action to evidence justified". [4,5,7 emphasis added] WARM PERIOD 1995}. MWP and also the LIA as well as turning the end of the graph dramatically skyward to make know to be the case, the results of this study will show that we can probably say a fair In our further exploration of the social network of authorships in temperature reconstruction, been based on October readings. GISS revised its figures once more, explaining
high -- in this environment, HANSEN makes his famous 23.Jun.1988 [uea-tyndall-shell-memo.doc]: What ensued was necessarily a rather speculative would mean there'd likley be high future variability as their work appeared, and the authors and reviewers who Note also the word "likely" betraying they actually have no idea The Met Office database is one of three main sources of temperature data analysis on which
prevent future climate change". [5] • Dr Tom Segalstad (2009); Head of geology at Oslo University: "Most leading geologists throughout the world know that the IPCC’s view of Earth processes are implausible if not impossible". [60] it appear temperatures were relatively stable until the last 50 years. bit about <100 year extra-tropical NH temperature variability (at least as far as we we found that at least 43 authors have direct ties to Dr. Mann by virtue of that the Russian data had been obtained by another body. [51]
appearance before a Congressional committee. Afterwards HANSEN As a result of these efforts, the IPCC changes its discussion with the following points emerging. well (bigger response to ghg forcing). he simply says were listed twice or thrice. Remove the duplications and what drives climate up, but their best guess is that it is the Sun. the UN’s main climate change science body relies for its assessment that global warming is a
believe the proxy estimates), but honestly know fu**-all about what the >100 coauthored papers with him. Our findings from this analysis suggest that authors in
7.MAR.1979 -- Workshop on Global Effects of Carbon Dioxide from Fossil tells to journalists that it was time to “stop waffling, and say that temperature graph in 2001 and instead uses • Dr. Philip Lloyd (2009); IPCC Co-coordinating Lead Author and author of over 150 papers: "It isn’t necessary to list all the changes I have identified between what the scientists actually said and what the policy makers who wrote the Summary By 1.Sep.1999 (or earlier) MANN is appointed Lead Author of Chapter 2, "Observed Climate it's time to toss hockeystick and start again, the total number of authors plus reviewers drops from serious danger to the world. This assessment is the basis for next week’s climate change talks in
1.Shell International would give serious consideration to what I referred to in the year variability was like with any certainty (i.e. we know with certainty the area of paleoclimate studies are closely connected and thus ‘independent
Fuels, Miami Beach, US Dept. of Energy. [10] Oct 9, 1985 the evidence is pretty strong that the greenhouse effect is here”. [4,5] MANN's now discredited "hockey stick" graph for Policy Makers said they said. The process is so flawed that the result is tantamount to fraud. As an authority, the IPCC should be consigned to the scrapheap without delay. [65] Variability and Change", of the IPCC 2001 report, which substituted MANN's hockey stick doesn't take it further than that. 3,750 to 2,890. ... Copenhagen aimed at cutting CO2 emissions.
meeting as a 'strategic partnership' with the TC, broadly equivalent to a that we know fu**-all). ... Publish, retire, and don't leave a forwarding address ... If studies’ may not be as independent as they might appear on the surface.
THE IPCC IS CONCEIVED (see {MCINTYRE, MCKITRICK Nov.2003}) which (shown here) for Lamb's 1990 graph. The hockey stick was featured prominently on page 3 Oct 14, 2009
23.JUL.1979 -- A study group convened by the National Academy of The media leap onto CO2 induced global warming and the number of • Dr. Richard Lindzen, Former IPCC Lead Author, an Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology, MIT: "Controlling carbon is kind of a bureaucrat's dream. If you control carbon, you control life. ... [The IPCC is] not 2,500 'flagship alliance' in the TC proposal. A strategic partnership would involve not you don't want to do it, just say so and I will drop the whole idea like a hot potato. 25% of the editors rejected the reviewers suggestions - The Government is attempting to stop the Met Office from carrying out the re-
flattened the MWP and also the LIA as well as of the "Summary for Policymakers". Although MANN's hockey stick was discredited 2 years It is important to note the isolation of the paleoclimate community; even WIGLEY: MANY DISHONEST IPCC PRESENTATIONS
Sciences to "assess the scientific basis for projection of possible future climatic American newspaper articles about it rise tenfold in just one year. [4] people offering their consensus, I participated in that. Each person who is an author writes one or two pages in conjunction with someone else...but ultimately, it is written by representatives of governments, of environmental organizations." only the provision of funding but some (limited but genuine) role in setting another indication that the verdict on the IPCC’s report examination, arguing that it would be seized upon by climate change sceptics.
Wendy Franz and Tony Gilland on the history of the IPCC: turning the end of the graph dramatically skyward later (see {MCINTYRE AND MCKITRICK Nov.2003}) the iconic graph becomes the defacto though they rely heavily on statistical methods they do not seem to be
changes resulting from man-made release of carbon dioxide into the the research agenda etc. was far from unanimous. ...
The interest Hansen generated in the media was also well-timed with regard to a to make it appear temperatures were relatively "proof" of purported catastrophic CO2 induced man-made climate change and given interacting with the statistical community. Oct 26, 2008 While JONES, MANN, TRENBERTH, KARL, HANSEN, SANTER, The Met Office works closely with the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit (CRU),
atmosphere" meets in response to a request by the Director of Office [A] second conference [held] in Villach, Austria, is widely credited with being critical to the • Dr. Paul Reiter, IPCC participant, malaria expert, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, professor of entomology and tropical disease at the Pasteur Institute. He resigned from the IPCC and had to threaten legal action
stable until the last 50 years. persistent prominence by Al Gore. The great majority of the reviewers dealt with historical or HOW TO HIDE 10 YEARS OF RECENT COOLING: DON'T SHOW IT and others discuss the BBC article, WIGLEY rebukes MANN for which is being investigated after e-mails written by its director, Phil Jones, appeared to show an
of Science and Technology. HANSEN and A. Gilchirst (of the UK placing of the climate change issue firmly on the international political agenda, and to the major conference held in Toronto at the end of June 1988 organised by scientists to have his name removed from the IPCC: "That is how they make it seem that all the top scientists are agreed. ... We have done the studies and challenged the alarmists - but they continue to ignore the facts, and perpetuate the lies." 2. Shell's interest is not in basic science. Any work they support must have a clear and Additionally, we judge that the sharing of research materials, data and results was
Mar 31, 2004 technical issues - matters that didn't support the IPCC’s producing a deceptive chart and notes dishonest presentations by attempt to manipulate temperature data and block alternative scientific views.
Meteorological office) were contributing scientists. subsequent establishment of the IPCC - because at this conference the scientists concluded involved with the Villach and Bellagio workshops of 1987. [The Toronto] immediate relevance to 'real-world' activities. They are particularly interested in Notice the authors of the 4 data sets are used in this graph are all key individuals haphazardly and grudgingly done. In this case we judge that there was too much
• Dr. Patrick J. Michaels, IPCC Expert Reviewer, former Virginia State Climatologist and University of Virginia professor of environmental sciences: "Nowhere in the traditionally refereed scientific literature do we find any support for conclusions on man-made climate change. The exception KELLY to JONES [1225026120.txt]: Just updated my global temperature trend individual authors and the IPCC. [1255558867.txt]:
that the need for government action was far more urgent than they had previously thought. conference brought together 341 delegates, including 20 politicians and emissions trading and CDM. party to the CRU e-mails: 2 from MANN, 1 from JONES and 1 from BRIFFA (who is RUSSIAN INSTITUTE (DEC.2009): HADLEY CENTER PROBABLY TAMPERED reliance on peer review, which was not necessarily independent. [See {JONES
Gore's hypothesis. ... [Instead] NASA climate firebrand James E. Hansen said in 1989 that scientists had to choose ‘the right balance between being effective and honest' about global warming." was Chapter 9 - "Understanding and Attributing Climate graphic for a public talk and noted that the level has really been quite The Met Office’s published data showing a warming trend draws heavily on CRU analysis. CRU
Despite acknowledging significant gaps in knowledge and omitting "the According to a joint statement put out by the three organising bodies, the conference ambassadors, 118 policy and legal advisers and senior government officials, 73 embroiled in his own hockey stick fiasco, see {BRIFFA'S YAMAL 26.Sep.2009}). For an WITH RUSSIAN-CLIMATE DATA 5.Aug.2009} and {JONES 26.Feb.2004}] Moreover, the work has been sufficiently politicized WIGLEY: Mike, The Figure you sent is very deceptive. As an
Change". An endorsement here would clearly be a bona stable since 2000 or so and 2008 doesn't look too hot. ... it wasn't so supplied all the land temperature data to the Met Office, which added this to its own analysis of
role of the biosphere in the carbon cycle" from their deliberations, the concluded: "As a result of the increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, physical scientists, 50 industry representatives and energy specialists, 30 social • Dr. John Christy; IPCC Lead Author in 2001, says on CNN, May 2, 2007 UN scientists attempting to distort the science for political purposes: "I was at the table with three Europeans, and we were having lunch. And they were talking explanation of manipulations in this graph see [36] and for other data tampering, including that this community can hardly reassess their public positions without losing credibility. example, historical runs with PCM look as though they match
DEC.2009: Moscow-based Institute of Economic Analysis (IEA) issued a report claiming that fide endorsement of the IPCC’s conclusion. much 1998 and all that that I was concerned about, used to dealing with that, sea temperature data.
group's conclusion, assuming a doubling of CO2 by 2050, was it is now believed that in the first half of the next century a rise of global mean scientists and 50 environmental activists from 46 countries. about their role as [IPCC] lead authors ... [and] how they were trying to make the report so dramatic that the United States would just have to sign that Kyoto Protocol." the close-up graph [68], see {HOW TO 5.Oct.99} and {MANN 1.Sep.1999}. observations-but the match is a fluke. PCM has no indirect aerosol
Oct 10, 2000 the Hadley Center for Climate Change ... had probably tampered with Russian-climate data. but the possibility that we might be going through a longer - 10 year -
"warming will eventually occur". [10] temperature could occur which is greater than any in man’s history." Overall, our committee believes that Mann’s assessments that the decade of Chapter 9 had 53 authors and received forcing and a low climate sensitivity-compensating errors. In my
Franz notes that the conference’s call to reduce CO2 emissions by approximately • Dr. Christopher W. Landsea, IPCC Author and Reviewer, atmospheric scientist, expert with NOAA's National Hurricane Centre. Resigned from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report charging the UN with playing politics with KELLY explains to Paul Horsman of Greenpeace the purpose of the IPCC The hockey stick was not used in the 2007 report, but the players remain the same with ... The scale of global warming was exaggerated due to temperature distortions the 1990s was the hottest decade of the millennium and that 1998 was the comments from 55 reviewers of which only 4 period of relatively stable temperatures beyond what you might
NOV.1980 - First Villach, Austria,conference organised jointly by the 20 per cent of 1988 levels by 2005 fell far short of the 66 per cent reductions in for Russia ... Russian meteorological stations cover most of the country ... Hadley Center had expect from La Nina etc. (perhaps too harsh) view, there have been a number of
These conclusions were far bolder than any that had gone before, and stood Hurricane science: "I am withdrawing because I have come to view the part of the IPCC to which my expertise is relevant as having become politicized. ... I personally cannot in good faith continue to contribute to a process that I view as both being (Horsman is restating KELLY in this e-mail) [greenpeace.txt]: BRIFFA taking over from MANN, as explained by MCINTYRE in "IPCC AR4" [56]: hottest year of the millennium cannot be supported by his analysis. [40, 52] commented favourably on the entire chapter dishonest presentations of model results by individual Nov 19, 2009
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), World in stark contrast to the conclusion of a US National Research Council report, CO2 emissions recommended by the Villach and Bellagio workshops of 1987, and motivated by pre-conceived agendas and being scientifically unsound." used only 25% ... Over 40% of Russian territory was not included ... data of stations located in and 3 on a portion of if. The 53 authors and 7
Meteorological Organisation (WMO) and the International Council for HORSMAN: One particular thing you said - and we agreed - was about the IPCC The lead author for the millennial paleoclimate section was Keith Briffa ... the Team features Dr. Edward Wegman: Ph.D. in mathematical statistics; statistics professor at George Mason Anyway, I'll maybe cut the last few points off the filtered curve before authors and by IPCC. This is why I still use results from MAGICC to CLIMATEGATE E-MAILS AND
published just two years earlier in 1983, which ‘advocated “caution not panic”, and concludes that ‘the contribution of science to this outcome was minimal’. ... Many areas not listed in the [HadCRUT] survey often does not show any substantial warming. ... favourable reviewers represent a total of 60
Science (ICSU) concludes that the potential threats were sufficient to reports and the broader climate negotiations were working to the globalisation prominently in the chapter - a search on Mann turns up 92 mentions; BRIFFA 36 mentions; JONES 36 University; past chair of the National Research Council’s Committee on Applied and I give the talk again as that's trending down as a result of the end effects and compare with observed temperatures. At least here I can assess how DOCUMENTS FROM CRU MADE
weighed in against the development of policies to limit CO2 emissions’. [5] scientists were critical of the approach taken by Hansen and others • Andrei Kapitsa; Russian geographer and Antarctic ice core researcher: "The Kyoto theorists have put the cart before the horse. It is global warming that triggers higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, not the other climatologists [used] data of stations located in large populated centers that are influenced people who explicitly supported the claim made
warrant an international programme of co-operation in research but agenda driven by organisations like the WTO [World Trade Organization]. mentions. Like MANN before him, BRIFFA used his position as Lead Author to publicize his own work. Theoretical Statistics; Fellow of the American Statistical Association; past associate editor of the recent cold-ish years. sensitive matches are to sensitivity and forcing assumptions/uncertainties. PUBLIC ON THE INTERNET.
for damaging the integrity of science. According to [climate historian way round. ... A large number of critical documents submitted at the 1995 U.N. conference in Madrid vanished without a trace. As a result, the discussion was one-sided and heavily biased, and the U.N. declared global warming to be a scientific fact." by the urban-warming effect ... it was necessary to recalculate all global- by the IPCC that global warming represents a
that, due to scientific uncertainties, the development of a management Again many of the authors of the ClimateGate e-mails attended this conference Spencer] Weart, ‘respected scientists publicly rebuked Hansen, temperature data in order to assess the scale of such exaggeration. [74] seven academic journals; member of numerous editorial boards; author of more than 160
papers and five books. [41] threat to the planet.
plan for CO2 is premature. [5] (including JONES, WIGLEY). [13] saying he had gone far beyond what scientific evidence justified’ [5]
"What the Russians are suggesting here, in other words, is that the entire
Apr 2008 Oct 2009
1998 - 2010 global temperature record used by the IPCC to inform world government
policy is a crock. ... it has long been suspected that the CRU had been playing especially
Trevor Davies first is Dean, School of fast and loose with Russian - more particularly Siberian - temperature records. Here from GLACIER FACTS FROM REPORTED BY NASA, UNEP, AMS AND OTHERS IN 2008 & 2009
Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Pacific is switches strongly to the cool phase of the Pacific Where are the headlines? Where are the press releases? Where is all the
March 2004, is an email from Phil Jones to Michael Mann." [75] (See [82] for more):
1978 - 1993 1993 - 1998 and presently Pro-Vice Chancellor of UEA. 1998 - 2010 1) Glaciers have been receding since the end of the Little Ice Age, 300 years ago (See {MEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD Decadal Oscillation (PDO). The PDO is a long-term attention? The ice melt across during the Antarctic summer (October- Nov 24, 2009
JONES MAR.2004 [1080742144.txt]: Recently rejected two papers (one for JGR and for 1995}). Gangotri Glacier image shows its retreat since 1780 [116]. Within this 300 year trend, glaciers also advance Mar 6, 2007 alternation of the Pacific between cool and warm periods. January) of 2008-2009 was the lowest ever recorded in the satellite CEI FILES NOTICE OF INTENT TO SUE NASA GISS TO COMPLY
WIGLEY is Director of University of East Trevor Davies is Director of University of Between 1998 to 2004 JONES is co-director of University of East
GRL) from people saying CRU has it wrong over Siberia. Went to town in both reviews, and retreat every +/-30 years [117] and are now slowing their retreat: "Gangotri's drawdown - 20 metres per annum in CANADA: POLAR BEAR NUMBERS UP Unlike El Niño and La Niña, which may occur every 3 history. Such was the finding reported last week by Marco Tedesco and WITH FOI REQUESTS AND RELEASE CLIMATE DOCUMENTS
Anglia's CRU and custodian of their East Anglia's CRU and custodian of their Anglia's CRU with Jean Palutik. From 2005 onwards JONES is sole
hopefully successfully. If either appears I will be very surprised, but you never know with GRL. the '70s - is now mere six metres a year. ... Even if Gangotri retreats at 20 m per annum, it will last for 1,500 years." [121] to 7 years and last from 6 to 18 months, the PDO Andrew Monaghan in the journal Geophysical Research Letters. [87]
temperature record which is the primary temperature record which is the primary Director. For 12 years he has been custodian of their temperature The latest [Canadian] government survey of polar
1981 - 2010 can remain in the same phase for 20 to 30 years. The Today, on behalf of the Competitive Enterprise Institute, [Chris Horner] filed
data relied on by the IPCC. [19] data relied on by the IPCC. [19] record which is the primary data relied on by the IPCC. [19] 2) The American Meteorological Society (AMS) reports are glaciers shrinking only in the eastern Himalayas. In the bears ... show the population of polar bears And in the Arctic: Today [19.Feb.2009] the National Snow and Ice
shift in the PDO can have significant implications for global three Notices of Intent to File Suit against NASA and its Goddard Institute for
HANSEN is Director of NASA GISS. He is the author of GISS's first temperature record and custodian of the their record which is the second most Hindu Kush and the Karakoram, they are "thickening and expanding". In fact glaciers are growing around the world. has jumped to 2,100 animals from around climate. During most of the 1980s and 1990s, when Data Center (NSIDC) admitted that they’ve underreported Arctic ice Space Studies (GISS), for those bodies' refusal - for nearly three years - to
important temperature record used by the IPCC. It is claimed because the CRU, GISS and NOAA GHCN global temperature records are all consistent [118, 119] India has 9,575 glaciers; none of the 50 monitored ones show a particularly high rate of retreat. [121] 800 in the mid-1980s. Three years ago, a less the Earth warmed, the Pacific was locked in its warm extent by 500,000 sq km. That's the size of 10 states! [119] provide documents requested under the Freedom of Information Act. ... These
23.DEC.2009 REVISION [DRAFT A] with each other, then, CRU's dataset is reliable despite the revelations from the CRU e-mails. However, the CRU e-mails reveal that CRU's record is official count placed the number at 1,400. [83] phase. [108][107] documents were requested in January 2007 and NASA/GISS have refused to
unreliable (prompting a 3 year UK Met Office project to reassess 160 years worth of temperature data [31]), it follows the GISS and GHCN records 3) And in the eastern Himalayas, NASA GISS and UNEP report soot from densely populated south Asian cities is to Also "[21.Sep.]2009 Arctic Sea Ice Extent exceeds 2005." [122]
UPDATES AND OTHER FORMATS AVAILABLE FROM: blame: "Soot's Role in Himalayan Warming ... Over areas of the Himalayas, the rate of warming is more than five times faster date to comply with their legal obligation to produce responsive documents. [73]
must also be suspect [30]. The fact that all 3 show essentially the same temperature record is hardly surprising since CRU and GISS obtain
HTTP://JOANNENOVA.COM.AU/GLOBAL-WARMING/CLIMATEGATE-30-YEAR-TIMELINE/ almost all of their raw data from the GHCN! See [50], [60], [62], [77] and [114] to see examples of why all 3 datasets are suspect. than warming globally. ... There’s a localized phenomenon at play." [120, NASA][118]

 Printed, the chart's full size is 94" x 34" (two A0 landscape pages). At this size the text is 9pt.
Smaller sizes can be printed in tile format using Adobe Acrobat (full product not free reader) or
they can be downloaded pre-tiled for various page sizes. Murals should be printed at 200% size and
will be readable from 3' away.

 Viewed on screen, you can zoom in and out, scroll vertically to see everything in a given time
period or horizontally across time to see everything related to a particular theme.

 CRU documents are referenced by the document name, such as [1120593115.txt] or

[HARRY_READ_ME.TXT]. These are located at:

 References in {}, such as {MCINTYRE AND MCKITRICK Nov.2003} refer to an event box on the
chart with the given date.

 Other numbered references are below.

[1] "Another Ice Age", Time, 24.Jun.1974,9171,944914,00.html

[2] "150 Years of Global Warming and Cooling at the New York Times"

[3] "The Cooling World", Newsweek, 28.Apr.1975

[4] "Climate Change: The State of the Debate", Alex Evans, David Steven; CIC and London Accord
discussion paper, December 2007.

[5] "Digging up the roots of the IPCC", Tony Gilland, 28.Jun.2007

[6] "Climate and CO2", David Burns, op/ed article, New York Times, 17.Apr.1981

[7] "NASA Climatologist: Bush Censored Me", Jushua B Good, 24.Jan.2007

[8] "ClimateGate Who's Who", Majic Java TV, 27.Nov.2009

[9] "Global Warming -- Myth or Reality?", Marcel Leroux, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2005, page

[10] "Carbon Dioxide and Climate: A Scientific Assessment", National Acedmey of Sciences, page 20,

[11] "Greenhouse effects due to man-made perturbations of trace gases", Wang, W. C., Y. L. Yung,
A. A. Lacis, T. Mo, and J. E. Hansen, Science 194, 685, 1976

[12] "Climate Change to the Year 2000", The National Defence University, 1976 Forecasting climate
change to the year 2000

[13] "The Scientists Involved in Deliberately Deceiving the World on Climate", Dr. Tim Ball,

[14] 21.Oct.1996 Letter to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society from the President,
The Science & Environmental Policy Project, published January 1997.

[15] "A Major Deception on Global Warming", Frederick Seitz, Wall Street Journal, June 12, 1996

[16] "Climate change: this is the worst scientific scandal of our generation", Christopher Booker,
Telegraph, UK, 28.Nov.2009

[17] "Global WarmingGate: What Does It Mean?", Charlie Martin, 22.Nov.2009

[18] History of Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) Surface Temperature Analysis

[19] History of UEA's Climatic Research Unit

[20] "Numbers racket", Lawrence Solomon, National Post, 6.Nov.2009

[21] "'Botch after botch after botch'", Lorrie Goldstein, Toronto Sun, 29.Nov.2009

[22] "CRU's Source Code: Climategate Uncovered", Marc Sheppard, 25.Nov.2009

[23] "Climategate: hide the decline – codified", 25.Nov.2009

[24] "Fortress CRU", Steve McIntyre, 20.Jun.2008

[25] "A Simple Proof that Global Warming Is Not Man-Made", Dr David Evans, 29.Nov.2009

[26] "The Skeptics Handbook II", Joanne Nova, Nov.2009

[27] "The Dog Ate Global Warming", Patrick J. Michaels, 23.Sep.2009

[28] "Global Warming ate my data", Andrew Orlowski, 13.Aug.2009

[29] "CRU Responds", Steve McIntyre, 11.Aug.2009

[30] "Shocker – CRU’s Jones: GISS is inferior", 29.Nov.2009

[31] "Met Office to re-examine 160 years of climate data", Ben Webster, 5.Dec.2009

[32] "Hockey Stick on Ice", Wall Street Journal, 18.Feb.2005

[33] "Scientists Behaving Badly", Steven F. Hayward, 14.Dec.2009

[34] "Climategate: The Smoking Code ", Robert Greiner, 4.Dec.2009

[35] "The Smoking Code, part 2", Robert Greiner, 5.Dec.2009

[36] "Understanding Climategate’s Hidden Decline", Marc Sheppard, 6.Dec.2009

[37] "Corrections to the Mann et al. (1998) Proxy Data Base and Northern Hemisphere Average
Temperature Series", Stephen McIntyre, Ross McKitrick, Energy & Environment, vol. 14, no. 6,
pp. 751-771, November 2003

[38] "If the CRU leak was an inside whistleblower, here’s the line-up of potential suspects heroes",

[39] "There Was Proof of Fraud All Along", Vincent Gray, 27.Nov.2009

[40] "Ad Hoc Committee Report On The ‘Sockey Stick’ Global Climate Reconstruction",

[41] Wikipedia entry for Edward Wegman

[42] "What happened to global warming?", Paul Hudson, BBC, 9.Oct.09

[43] "Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries", Michael E.
Mann, Raymond S. Bradley, Malcolm K. Hughes, Nature, Vol 392, April 1988

[44] "Northern Hemispher Tempratures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties and
Limitations", Michael E. Mann, Raymond S. Bradley, Malcolm K. Hughes, Geophysical Research
Letters, Vol 26, No. 6, 15.Mar.1999

[45] "Climategate reveals 'the most influential tree in the world'",Christopher Booker, 5.Dec.2009

[46] "Assessment of urbanization effects in time series of surface air temperature over land", Jones,
P. D., P. Ya. Groisman, M. Coughlan, N. Plummer, W. C. Wang & T. R. Karl 1990, Nature 347
169- 172

[47] "Urban Heat Islands in China", Wang, W-C, Z. Zeng, T. R Karl, 1990. Geophys. Res. Lett. 17,

[48] "Climate Science Fraud at Albany University?",Dr.Aubrey Blumsohn, 2.May.2009

[49] "The fraud allegation against some climatic research of Wei-Chyung Wang", Energy &
Environment, 18: 985–995 (Dec.2007). doi: 10.1260/095830507782616913.

[50] "The Smoking Gun At Darwin Zero", Willis Eschenbach, 8.Dec.2009

[51] "PROFILE: James Hansen", Sunday Times, 6.Dec.2009

[52] "Wegman Report Fact Sheet", U.S. House Committee On Energy And Commerce Press Office,

[53] "Caspar and the Jesus paper", Bishop Hill Blog, 11.Aug.2008

[54] "IPCC and the 'Trick'", Steven McIntyre, 10.Dec.2009 with updates on 11.Dec.2009

[55] "U.S. Senate Report: Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming
Claims in 2007", U.S. Senate Environment and Public Works Committee (Minority),

[56] "IPCC AR4", Steve McIntyre, 29.Apr.2007

[57] "FAQ 2005", Steve McIntyre, 2005

[58] "Statement of Dr. David Deming before US Senate Committee on Environment & Public
Works", 12.Jun.2006

[59] "Global Warming, the Politicization of Science, and Michael Crichton's 'State of Fear' ", David
Deming, Journal of Scientific Exploration, June 2005

[60] "SPECIAL INVESTIGATION: Climate change emails row deepens as Russians admit they DID
come from their Siberian server", David Rose, 13.Dec.2009

[61] "Picking out the UHI in climatic temperature records – so easy a 6th grader can do it!"

[62] "GHCN Antarctic, 8X Actual Trend – Uses Single Warmest Station", 13.Dec.2009

[63] "The Medieval Warm Period – a global phenomenon, unprecedented warming, or

unprecedented data manipulation?", Von Rudolf Kipp, 29.Nov.2009

[64] "The Medieval Warm Period - A global Phenomenon"

[65] "End ‘authority’ on climate change", Dr Philip Lloyd, 23.Nov.2009

[66] "The Great Climategate Debate", 10.Dec.2009, time index 17:25

[67] "The Great Climategate Debate", 10.Dec.2009, time index: 26:03

[68] See [60].

[69] “...anything short of the absolute pursuit of science cannot be accepted or tolerated",

[70] "Scientific evidence of global warming blows hot and cold", Kelvin Kemm, 8.Dec.2009

[71] "News on the new Non Scientist – Updated: now with bullying", Joanne Nova and Anthony
Watt, 15.Dec.2009

[72] "A Warming Bias in the U.S. Temperature Record???"

Balling Jr., R.C. and Idso, C.D. 2002. Analysis of adjustments to the United States Historical
Climatology Network (USHCN) temperature database. Geophysical Research Letters

Klotzbach, P.J., Pielke Sr., R.A., Pielke Jr., R.A., Christy, J.R. and McNider, R.T. 2009. An
alternative explanation for differential temperature trends at the surface and in the lower
troposphere. Journal of Geophysical Research 114: 10.1029/2009JD011841.

[73] "'Climate Gate' Development: CEI Files Notice of Intent to Sue NASA", Chris Horner,

[74] "Russian IEA claims CRU tampered with climate data – cherrypicked warmest stations" Jeff Id,

[75] "Climategate goes SERIAL: now the Russians confirm that UK climate scientists manipulated
data to exaggerate global warming", James Delingpole, 16.Dec.2009

[76] "Lord Monckton reports on Pachauri’s eye opening Copenhagen presentation", The Viscount
Monckton of Brenchley, 17.Dec.2009

[77] "World-wide Data Manipulation Scandal Emerging", 12.Dec.2009

[78] "Climategate's Stubborn Facts", Dexter Wright, 16.Dec.2009

[79] "How to Manufacture a Climate Consensus", Patrick J. Michaels, 17.Dec.2009

[80] "They call this a consensus?", Lawrence Solomon, 2.Jun.2007

[81] "Climategatekeeping #2", Steve McIntyre, 17.Dec.2009

[82] "Russians Are Right! Met Office Uses Selective Data", Barry Napier, 17.Dec.2009

[83] "Polar bear numbers up, but rescue continues", Don Martin, 6.Mar.2007

[84] William Schlesinger on IPCC: “something on the order of 20 percent have had some dealing
with climate.”, 17.Feb.2009

[85] "More evidence of gatekeeping", 17.Dec.2009

[86] "On the Vikings and Greenland", Terese Brasen, 26.Oct.2009

[87] "Antarctica’s ice story has been put on ice", 8.Oct.2009

[88] “Stephen Schneider Greenhouse Superstar", John L. Daly

[89] "The Politics of Global Warming", Thomas Sieger Derr Aug 2007

"Stern's report scare-mongering", Piers Akerman, 5.Nov.2006

[90] "The not so peaceful world of Greenpeace",

[91] "Some people call me Maurice", Jeff Wells, 21.Apr.2005

[92] "Climate Corrections, Syun-Ichi Akasofu, 21.Sep.2007

Syun-Ichi Akasofu

[93] "An open letter from The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley to Senator John McCain about
Climate Science and Policy", Christopher Monckton , 18.Oct.2008

"Scare Watch: ‘Global warming’ will kill 6 billion”, Christopher Monckton, 16.Mar.2009

[94] "SPPI Monthly CO2 Report: May", Christopher Monckton, 9.Jun.2009

[95] "MIT researcher finds evidence of global warming on Neptune's largest moon", MIT News,

[96] "Look to Mars for the truth on global warming", Lawrence Solomon, 26.Jan.2007

[97] "Neptune News", 8.May.2007

"Suggestive correlations between the brightness of Neptune, solar variability, and Earth’s
temperature", Hammel, H. B., and G. W. Lockwood, 2007, Geophysical Research Letters, 34,
L08203, doi:10.1029/2006GL028764

[98] "Climate of Fear -- Global-warming alarmists intimidate dissenting scientists into silence.",
Richard Lindzen, 21.Apr.2006

[99] Timothy Carter Bio

[100] Richard Somerville website

[101] Eystein Jansen Bio

[102] founders bios

[103] Eric Steig Bio

[104] Eugene Wahl Bio

[105] Stefan Rahmstorf Bio

[106] "Top New Zealand climate scientist sacked for talking to media", 25.Apr.2009

[107] "La Nina and Pacific Decadal Oscillation Cool the Pacific", 29.Apr.2008

[108] "Oscillation Rules as the Pacific Cools", 9.Dec.2008

[109] "Wikipedia's climate doctor", Lawrence Solomon, 19.Dec.2009

[110] "Climategatekeeping: Wikipedia", Steve McIntyre 19.Dec.2009

[111] "The Opinionator", Lawrence Solomon, 3.Mar.2008

[112] "More on Wikipedia and Connolley – he’s been canned as a Wiki administrator", 19.Dec.2009

[113] "Statistics needed", Lawrence Solomon, 28.Nov.2006

[114] "Darwin Zero Before and After", Willis Eschenbach, 20.Dec.2009

[115] No item.

[116] Gangotri glacier image showing retreats to 2001, National Snow and Ice Data Center

[117] "Global warming and CO2? Are we headed for global catastrophe in the coming century?", Don
J. Easterbrook, 19.Mar.2007 (date taken from PDF creation date)

[118] "Stubborn glaciers fail to retreat, awkward polar bears continue to multiply", Christopher
Booker, 23.Nov.2008

[119] "Glaciers are growing around the world, including the United States", 20.Oct.2009

[120] "New Study Turns Up the Heat on Soot's Role in Himalayan Warming", NASA GISS,

"Wide Spread and Complex Climatic Changes Outlined in New UNEP Project Atmospheric
Brown Cloud Report", UNEP, 13.Nov.2008

[121] "Gangotri: From here to eternity", Ashish Tripathi, 24.Mar.2008

[122] "2009 Arctic Sea Ice Extent exceeds 2005 for this date", 21.Sep.2009

[123] "World's oldest tree discovered in Sweden", Roger Highfield, 17.Apr.2008

[124] "A 2,000-page epic of science and skepticism", Terence Corcoran, Part 1: 18.Dec.2009, Part 2: