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Financial Management
Definition: “The process of procurement of funds and the efficient and wise
allocation and use of the funds and resources".
Treatment of funds
In accounting accrual system is followed.
In Financial management Cash flows system is followed.
Decision Making
An Accountant is primarily concerned with the collection and
presentation of data
A Financial manger is concerned with the financial planning,
controlling and decision making.
Thus finance begins where accounting ends
It views FM in broader sense and covers not only procurement of funds but
efficient and wise allocation of funds as well.
In modern sense it can be divided into three major decisions as functions of
financial management
1. Investment Decision
2. Financing decisions
In the current financial literature profit maximization is used in the 2nd sense.
I. Ambiguity of profit
It is not clear which variant of profit to maximize. Variants may be: short
term or long term profit, gross profit or net profit etc.
Its operational features satisfy all the requirements lacking in the earlier
approach and is considered as universally accepted decision criterion.
An action that has a discounted value that exceeds its cost can be said to
create value and should be undertaken.
OR
The alternative with the greatest net present value should be selected
Where A1, A2, … An represents streams of cash inflows over a period of time.
K = Discount rate or interest rate.
C = Initial outlay to acquire that asset.
Valuation Concepts
Time Lines
Time: 0 1 2 3 4
10% 20%
Compounding
The process of determining the future value (FV) of a cash flow or a series
of cash flows.
FVn = PV (FVIFi, n)
Discounting
The process of finding the present value (PV) of a future cash flow or a
series of cash flows. It is reverse of compounding.
FVn
PVn =
(1+ i)n
PVn = FV ( PVIFi,n )
Annuity
1. Ordinary annuity
2. Annuity Due
FVAn = PMT (1+ i )0 + PMT (1+ i )1 + PMT (1+ i )2 + . . . . + PMT (1+ i ) n-1
n
= PMT ∑ ( 1 + i) n-t
t=1
Suppose: If you deposit Rs.1000 at the end of each year for three years in a
bank account @ 10% per annum interest rate, how much will you have at the
end of three years.
Annuity Due
Formula for Tabular Solutions: FVAn = PMT (FVIFAi, n) (1+i)
Example of an annuity due: Suppose: If you deposit Rs.1000 at the
beginning of each year for three years in a bank account @ 10% per annum
interest rate, how much will you have at the end of three years.
= PMT ∑ (1 + i)t
t=1
Perpetuities
Payment PMT
PV = =
Interest Rate i
Sum of the present values of the individual cash flows of the stream
Formula: 1 2 n
1 1 1
PV = CF1 + CF2 +. ... …+ CFn
1+i 1+i 1+i
t
n 1 n
∑ CFt = ∑ CFt (PVIF i, t)
t=1 1+ i t=1
Sum of the future values of the individual cash flows of the stream
n-1
n n
∑ CFt 1+i = ∑ CFt (FVIF i, n- t)
t=1 t=1
Where
Here
i = is the nominal, or quoted rate, while
m = number of times compounding / discounting occurs per year
Monthly: n x 12 AND i / 12
Weekly: n x 52 AND i / 52
Or
The following general formula can be used for more frequent compounding/
discounting.
Formula: mn
i
FVn = PV 1+
m
Amortized Loans
Year
01
02
03
Total
FVn = PV ( ein )
FVn
PV =
ein
Example: Rs.611 is the value of an investment after 4 years. If this value is
discounted continuously at an interest rate of 5 percent, then what would be
the present value?
Valuation Models
Securities
Pieces of paper that represent claims against assets such as land, Plants and
equipment, commodities or other securities
Types of securities
Securities which have claims against the cash flows produced by real
(tangible) assets
Those securities whose values are derived from the value of some other
assets such as goodwill of a company.
Example: options, futures etc.
n CFt
∑
t=1 ( 1+ kt )t
BOND VALUATION
Bond
1. Par Value
The par value is the stated face value of the bond
2. Coupon interest rate
It is the interest rate paid by the issuer of bond to the subscriber of bond
every year uptill the maturity of bond. To calculate coupon interest rate the
coupon payment (Amount of interest) is divided by the par value.
3. Maturity date
The future date on which the par value is repaid to the subscriber of bond
4. Call Provisions
Usually most of the bonds have the provision whereby the issuer may payoff
the par value along with the interest due before the date of maturity.
5. New issues versus outstanding bonds
New issue
A bond that has just been issued is known as new issue
These are usually issued at par value
Outstanding bond
Once the bond has been on the market for a while, it is an outstanding bond
Usually after some period of time bond’s market value becomes much higher
than the original par value at which bond was issue.
N INT M
∑ +
t=1 ( 1+ kd )t ( 1+ kd )N
The following time line is used throughout this topic to analyze the
changes in bond value over time.
Time Line:
Time: 0 1 2 3 4 5
5%
1. Whenever the going rate of interest, Kd equal to the coupon rate, a bond
will sell at its par value. So the value of bond will remain same after one
year, two years of issue of bond or throughout the life of bond.
2. Whenever the going rate of interest, Kd falls below the coupon rate, a bond
will sell above its par value. Such a bond is called a premium bond.
3. If interest rate, Kd fell below the coupon rate once, twice or many times
but then remains constant for the coming years then the value of bond will
decrease gradually to the par value of a bond as the maturity date
approaches.
4. Whenever the going rate of interest, Kd is greater than the coupon rate, a
bond will sell below its par value. Such a bond is called a discount bond.
5. The market value of a bond will always approach its par value as its
maturity date approaches, provided the firm does not go bankrupt.
Solution: Now the value of bond 01 year after the issue of bond with 04 year
remaining maturity period at an interest rate of 3% would be : 2148.71
Coupon interest payment 100
Interest, or current yield = =
Current price of the bond 2148.71
Suppose Mr.Y purchased a bond of Rs. 2000 offering Rs. 100 per year
coupon interest payment, from Mr. X with remaining maturity period of 3
years at going interest rate of 3% per year.
Solution: Now the value of bond after 02 years with remaining maturity
period of 03 years would be: 2113.06.
Total rate of return, or yield = Interest, or current yield + Capital gains yield
Suppose:
Going rate of interest, Kd is moved to 7 %
The Price of bond with 04 years maturity period is: 1864.52
The price of bond with 03 years maturity period is: 1895.03
Total rate of return, or yield = Interest, or current yield + Capital gains yield
The following general bond valuation model can be applied to find the kd
Yield to call
Formula:
Call Price: It is often equal to the par value plus one year’s interest
Yield to call: Kd
Bond Values with semiannual compounding/discounting
Time: 0 1 2 3 4
3%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1.5%
-2149.71 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
2000
Through Financial calculator
1.5
N I PV PMT FV
8 -2149.71 50 2000
The longer the maturity of a bond, the more its price will change in response
to a given change in interest rates.
Suppose Kd, interest rates goes up in the market then the bond having shorter
maturity are less risky than bonds having longer maturity.
Reinvestment Rate Risk
Bonds with the short maturities have the risk that the cashflows (interest
payments plus maturity value) will be reinvested at lower interest rates.
Add figure 7.3, page no. 298
PREFERRED STOCK VALUATION
Dps
Vps =
Kps
If preferred stock is not perpetual ( it has some finite maturity period like
bonds ) then it will be valued similar to way a bond is valued after replacing
the following bond terms with the preferred stock terms.
If stock is sold at a price above its purchase price, the investor will receive a
capital gain.
D0 =Most recent dividend which has just been paid and known with certainty
^
P1 – P0
= Expected capital gain yield on the stock during coming year
P0
Suppose if stock sale for 1000 today and if its price is expected to rise to
1050 at the end of 01 year, then:
^
Expected capital gain = P1 – P0 = 1050 – 1000 = 50 and expected capital
gain yield = 50 / 1000 = .05 and in percent .05 x 100 = 5 %
^
Expected total return = Ks = Expected dividend yield (Dt / P0 ) plus expected
^
capital gain yield (P1 – P0 / P0 ). 10 % + 5 % = 15 %
Common Stock Valuation Models
Usually the investors buy the stocks of a company with the intention of
holding it forever so unless a company is liquidated or sold to another
concern the cashflows consist only of the dividend streams. Therefore the
value of common stock is determined as the present value of the expected
dividend streams.
The dividends expected to be paid to the shareholders do not grow at all and
they are paid an equal constant dividend every year.
^ D1 D2 D3
P0 = + + ……… …. +
1 2
(1+ks) (1+ ks) (1+ ks)∞
Formula:
^ Dt
P0 =
ks
^
Example: D = 1.15 , ks = 13.4% then P0 = 8.58
^ Dt 1.15
ks = = = 0.134 = 13.4 %
P0 8.58
If the dividends grow at some constant rate then the following valuation
model is used:
Formula:
^ D0 ( 1 + g ) D1
P0 = =
ks – g ks – g
= 20 %
Suppose above analysis has been conducted on January, 01, 2008 when P0 =
1100 is the stock price. And D1 = 110 is the dividend expected at the end of
2008. Now what is the expected stock price at the end of 2008 or beginning
of 2009?
Solution:
^ D0 ( 1 + g ) D1
P0 = =
ks – g ks – g
110
0.10 + = 0.10 + 0.10 = 0.20 = 0.20 x 100 = 20 %
1100
• During early part of life a firm’s growth rate is much faster than that
of economy, then matches with economy and finally slower than that
of economy. These firms are called “Super normal growth firms”.
• To calculate value:
^ D0 (1 + g) D1 (1 + g) Dm-1 (1 + gm)
P0 = + + ……… …. +
1 2
(1+ks) (1+ ks) (1+ ks)m
Where m = the length of the supernormal growth period.
Suppose total super normal growth period is 3 years then Dm-1 = 3-1= D2
• Find the price of the stock at the end of the non-constant growth
period, at which point it has become a constant growth stock, and
discount this price back to the present. Use the formula of constant
growth stock valuation.
Formula:
^ Dm ( 1 + g ) Dt
P0 = =
ks – g ks – g
^
• Add these two components to find the intrinsic value of the stock, P0
through the following formula:
IP _ inflation premium. IP is equal to the average expected inflation rate over the life of
the security. The expected future inflation rate is not necessarily equal to the current
inflation rate, so IP is not necessarily equal to current inflation as reported in Figure
DRP _ default risk premium. This premium reflects the possibility that the issuer will not
pay interest or principal at the stated time and in the stated amount. DRP is zero for U.S.
Treasury securities, but it rises as the riskiness of issuers increases.
LP _ liquidity, or marketability, premium. This is a premium charged by lenders to reflect
the fact that some securities cannot be converted to cash on short notice at a “reasonable”
price. LP is very low for Treasury securities and for securities issued by large, strong
firms, but it is relatively high on securities issued by very small firms.
MRP _ maturity risk premium. As we will explain later, longer-term bonds, even
Treasury bonds, are exposed to a significant risk of price declines, and a maturity risk
premium is charged by lenders to reflect this risk.
Risk can be analyzed in two ways: 1. Stand Alone Risk 2. Portfolio Risk
Investment Risk
Probability Distribution
Probability
The probability of an event is the chance that the event will occur
n
= ∑ piki
t=1
Example: Suppose there are 30 percent chances of strong demand, 40
percent chances of normal demand and 30 percent chances of week demand
of a company’s product. The expected rates of returns during these demands
are 20 percent, 15 percent, 10 percent respectively.
Smaller the standard deviation, the tighter the probability distribution and
accordingly the lower the riskiness of the stock
n ^
Variance = σ = ∑ (ki - k)2 Pi
2
t=1
n ^
Standard Deviation = σ = ∑ (ki - k)2 Pi
t=1
^
Calculation of mean (k) and standard deviation (σ) when
only past data regarding the expected rate of return is
available:
^
Expected Rate of Return = k = k1 + k2 + . . . . . + kn
n
n
∑ ki
^ t=1
K=
N
n
Standard Deviation = σ = ∑ ( kt - kAVG )2
t=1
n–1
Example: ST – “ a” and “ b”: chap 4, P.no: 181
This rule describes the chances (Probability ) that expected rate of return will
fluctuate or vary with a certain range.
_ _
General formula: ( k – σ , k + σ )
A) Of the area under the curve, 68.26 percent is within + 1σ of the mean,
indicating that the probability is 68.26 percent that the outcome will be
_ _
within the range of k – 1σ , k + 1σ