Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
94
28,631
7,194
30,024
8,747
Jun-09 Dec
Financial obligations
Financial assets
Net financial obligations
Common equity
21,437
21,277
J = 690
[C - I = OI - NOA]
Cash investment:
I = (106)
(a liquidation)
[I = C - (C - I)]
7,424
4,457
2,967
6,971
4,238
2,733
18,470
21,437
18,544
21,277
M = 690
[C - I = d + F]
Net dividends:
K = 865
L = (175)
[F = d + F - d]
(more net debt issued)
(b)
Operating accruals can be calculated in two ways:
1.
2.
(c)
NFO
Operating accruals
Operating accruals
850 584
266
NOA Investment
160 (-106)
266
NFE (C - I) + d
59 690 + 865
=
(d)
234
850
160
690
59
631
234
865
Price
CSE (apply P/B ratio to price)
Free cash flow
Dividend (d = C - I)
Price + dividend
Return (246.4 224)
Rate of return
2009
2008
224
140
238
119
8.4
8.4
246.4
22.4
10%
(b)
There are three ways of getting the earnings:
1.
2.
Earnings
OI
(12.6)
C - I + NOA
(a loss)
3.
(12.6)
(Earnings
Earnings
CSE + dividend
-21 + 8.4
(12.6)
Net income
10,535
(3,596)
(143)
Comprehensive income
6,796
The loss on conversion of subordinated notes is the difference between the market price of
the common shares and the exercise price at conversion. This is a loss from issuing shares at
less than market price.
Intel also incurred a loss from the exercise of stock options by employees. Method 1
determines the loss on exercise of stock options:
Loss on shares issued to employees calculated from the reported tax benefit:
887
2,334
0.38
Tax
887
1,447
This loss is a real loss to shareholders than might be included in comprehensive income.
However, with FASB Statement No. 123R and IFRS No. 2, grant date accounting brings
some of the cost (but not all) into income, so adding the loss at exercise could be double
counting to some extent. As it is, however, the reported income understates the loss.
= $1,240
980
Loss on conversion
$ 260
a.
260
743
0.35
Tax effect
260
483
b.
4,694
901
(1,400)
(499)
(2,290 890)
Comprehensive income:
CI reported
2,051
(890)
1,161
5,356
The loss on the stock repurchase occurred because shares were repurchased at $45.80 when
the shares traded at $28. The $45.80 repurchase price is the total amount paid, $2,290 million,
divided by 50 million shares repurchased. The repurchase at such a high price was a result of
a share repurchase agreement that gave the counter party the right to sell shares to Dell at
$28. See Box 8.4 in the chapter. The loss is calculated as follows:
Market value of shares repurchased
Amount paid on repurchase
Lost on repurchase
28 x 50 million shares =
1,400
2,290
890
The loss on exercise of options has not been included in comprehensive income because of
the potential double counting problem.
Balance sheet:
Operating cash
23
Accounts receivable
1,827
Inventory
2,876
PPE
3,567
Operating assets
8,293
Operating liabilities:
Accounts payable
$1,245
Accrued expenses
1,549
Deferred taxes
712
3,506
4,787
$( 435)
Long-term debt
3,678
Preferred stock
432
3,675
$1,112
Income statement:
Revenue
$7,493
Operating expenses
6,321
1,172
Tax expense:
Tax reported
Tax on interest expense
$295
80
375
797
221
80
141
Preferred dividends
26
167
$630
= 64.6
F
= E 42
= 22.6
= 610 + 42
= 652
= F
= 22.6
= ACD
= 973 22.6 652
= 298.4
E10.8. Free Cash Flow and Financing Activities: General Electric Company
a. General Electric, while generating large cash flow from operations, has had a huge
investment program as it acquired new businesses, leaving it with negative free cash
flow.
b. Given that cash from operations from the businesses in place continues at, or grows
from the 2004 level, free cash flow will increase and will become positive (probably
by big amounts). Rather than borrowing or issuing shares to finance a free cash flow
deficit, GE will have cash to pay out. It can either,
1. But down its debt
2. Invest the cash flow in financial assets
3. Pay out dividends or buy back its stock.
The firm would not invest in financial assets for too long, but rather buy back debt
or pay out to shareholders. Indeed, in 2005, the firm announced a large stock
repurchase program.
a.
Reformulate the balance sheet:
Operating assets
Operating liabilities
Net operating assets (NOA)
Financial obligations
Financial assets
Common equity (CSE)
By Method 1,
$6,496.4
382.7
2007
2008
$18,057.0
6,011.8
12,045.2
$16,796.2
5,927.2
10,869.0
6,113.7
$4,395.4
270.8 4,124.6
$ 5,931.5
$ 6,744.4
$2,429.0 million
142.4
52.1
90.3
2,519.3
898.0
56.0
954.0
$1,565.3 million
E11.5 Profit Margins, Asset Turnovers, and Return on Net Operating Assets: A What-If
Question
The effect would be (almost) zero.
Existing RNOA = PM ATO
= 3.8% 2.9
= 11.02%
2007
Net operating assets
$22,905
$26,858
5,114
2,032
$21,744
$16,920
a.
RNOA = 6,121/22,905 = 26.72%
NBC
= 140/3,573
2006
Average
$18,952
= 3.95%
b.
= 30.93 % = 5,981/19,332
d.
PM = 6,121/28,857 = 21.21%
ATO = 28,857/22,905 = 1.26
RNOA = 21.21% 1.26 = 26.72%
e.
Gross margin ratio = 18,451/28,857 = 63.94%
Operating profit margin from sales = 5,453/28,857 =18.90%
Operating profit margin = 6,121/28,857 = 21.21%
Due to
Due to
Due to
Sales
NOA
Borrowing
E12.7. Core Income and Core Profitability for The Coca Cola Company
Average balance sheet amounts are as follows:
2007
2008
Average
$26,858
$18,952
$22,905
5,114
2,032
3,573
$21,744
$16,920
$19,332
As no unusual items are reported in the income statement, all income reported is core income.
So,
Core income from sales (after tax) = $5,453 million
Core operating income
= $6,121 million
One might be tempted to treat equity income from bottling subsidiaries as non-core income.
However, this is part of Cokes business of selling beverages (they just do this business
through bottling firms). The equity income is not income from top-line sales, however; rather
it is income from sales in the subsidiaries that is reported here on a net basis (after expenses).
Here are the measures requested:
a. Core profit margin from sales = 5,453/28,857 =18.90%
b. Core profit margin = 6,121/28,857 = 21.21%
c. Core RNOA = 6,121/22,905 = 26.72%
E13.14.
Here are the totals for IBMs balance sheet, first with book values and then with market
values:
Book Value
Net operating assets (NOA)
48,089
Market Value
160,909
19,619
28,470
19,619
1,385.2 $102 =
141,290
The amounts for NOA and the market value of NOA are obtained by adding NFO back to
CSE. The book value of NFO is considered to be the market value.
a. Levered P/B = 141,290/28,470 = 4.96
Unlevered (enterprise) P/B = 160,909/48,089 = 3.35
Leverage explains the difference according to the formula,
Levered P/B = Unlevered P/B + FLEV [Unlevered P/B 1.0]
$12,092.8
647.4
$12,740.2
E13.15. Residual Operating Income and Enterprise Multiples: General Mills, Inc.
789
27,497
(Minority interest is valued at book value multiplied by the P.B ratio for common
equity).
P+d
E
The trailing P/E is usually calculated on a per-share basis, with dividends being
dividends per share. Per-share amounts are not giving in the Exhibits, but one can
calculate a P/E on a total dollar basis, with the dividend being the net dividend. The
net dividend = Comprehensive income CSE = 752. So the trailing P/E is
20,250 + 752
= 12.74
1,649
On the required return: The WACC number calculated in Box 13.2 uses a number of
inputs that give one pause (see Box 13.3):
-
market values are used for the weighting, but it is market value that valuation
tries to challenge. One is building the speculation in price into the calculation.
Market risk premiums used to get the equity required return (5% here) are just
a guess. More speculation.
Betas are estimated with error.
Does 5.4% seem a lit low? Its only 1.4% above the risk-free rate (of 4% in Box 13.2). This is
a low beta firm, but surely less risky high-grade bonds would yield more?
(a)
Analysts eps forecast
Shares outstanding
Analysts earnings forecast
$5.08
261.1 million
$1,326.4 million
32.4
$1,294.0 million
27.94%
Value
= 5,644 +
895.6
1.086 - 1.04
(c) If ReOI is to grow at 4%, then abnormal operating income growth will also grow at
at 4%, and the formula for calculating the value of the equity will be
Value of equity =
AOIG2
1
+ NFA
OI 1 +
F 1
F g
Method 1: Difference between cum-FCF OI for 2007 minus normal OI for 2007
Forecast of OI for 2007 = NOA2006 RNOA2007
NOA2006 = 4,632 1.04
= 4,817.3
OI2007 = 4,817.3 0.2794
= 1,345.9
Method 2 (much simpler!): AOIG is growth in residual operating income from the previous
year
AOIG2007 = ReOL2006 0.04
= 895.6 0.04
= 35.82 (allow for rounding error)
Value of equity =
1
35.82
+ 1,012
1,294 +
0.086
1.086 1.04
(d)
= 25,113 1,012
= $24,101 million
(e) ReOI is driven by RNOA and growth in net operating assets. So, if RNOA is forecasted
to be constant, net operating assets must be forecasted to grow at 4% per year.
V NOA
V0E
V NOA
1
= 0
+ ELEV1 0
Earn1
OI 1
OI
NBC
1
1