Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
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Ho-Jun Song, Seungmoon Lee, Sanjeev Maken, Se-Woong Ahn, Jin-Won Park,
Byoungryul Min, Wongun Koh
Department of Chemical Engineering, Yonsei University, 134 Shinchon-dong, Seodaemoon-ku, Seoul 120-749, South Korea
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Abstract
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CO2 emission from fossil fuels is a major cause for the global warming effect, but it is hard to remove completely in actuality.
Moreover, energy consumption is bound to increase for the continuous economic development of a country that has an industrial
formation requiring high-energy demand. Therefore, we need to consider not only a device for CO2 mitigation but also its impact
when a CO2 mitigation device is applied. The device for CO2 emission mitigation can be classied into three elds: energy
consumption reduction, development of CO2 removal and recovery technology, and development of alternative energy technology.
Among these options, CO2 removal and recovery technology has a merit that can be applied to a process in the near future.
Therefore, research for CO2 removal and recovery is actively progressing in Korea. In this study, environmental and economic
assessment according to the energy policy change for climate change agreement and increase of CO2 mitigation technology is
accomplished, on the bases of operating data for the CO2 chemical absorption pilot plant that is installed in the Seoul coal steam
power plant. The Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP) was used to analyze the alternative scenario, and results
were shown quantitatively.
r 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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1. Introduction
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2. Methodology
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H.-J. Song et al. / Energy Policy 35 (2007) 51095116
DEMAND
MODULE
ASSESSMENT
MODULE
ENERGY
CONSUMPTION
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
Transportation
GHG
EMISSION
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Resources
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DIRECT
COST
Transformation
Technology
Electricity
Town Gas
Oil Refining
District Heating
Etc.
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Fig. 2. Projection of world primary energy demand (metric ton of oil equivalent) by fuel.
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Table 1
Major socioeconomic indicators
2005
2010
1995 B won
Million
MTOE (%)
MTOE (%)
MTOE (%)
MTOE (%)
MTOE (%)
MTOE (%)
MTOE (%)
476,269
47.3
192.9
150.1 (100)
84.1 (56.0)
30.9 (20.6)
20.0 (13.3)
12.4 (8.3)
2.6 (1.8)
622,300
49.1
235.8
182.8 (100)
95.3 (52.1)
41.0 (22.4)
25.1 (13.7)
17.9 (9.8)
3.4 (1.9)
794,200
50.6
275.1
209.1 (100)
105.7 (50.5)
47.8 (22.9)
29.5 (14.1)
22.1 (10.6)
4.0 (1.9)
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2000
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GDP
Population
TPE
TFE
Industrial
Transport
Residential
Commercial
Public and others
Unit
Exchange rate: US$1 1200 won; MTOE: million ton of oil equivalent.
Table 2
Result of the BAU scenario using the LEAP model
172.6
136.8 (100)
81.2 (59.4)
31.3 (22.9)
17.2 (12.6)
5.6 (4.1)
1.5 (1.1)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
2005
2010
2015
214.9
172.1 (100)
92.8 (53.9)
50.0 (29.0)
19.9 (11.6)
7.6 (4.4)
1.9 (1.1)
228.9
184.3 (100)
90.3 (49.0)
60.9 (33.0)
21.5 (11.7)
9.1 (4.9)
2.5 (1.4)
270.7
218.2 (100)
111.5 (51.1)
70.7 (32.4)
22.6 (10.4)
10.2 (4.7)
3.2 (1.5)
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MTOE
MTOE
MTOE
MTOE
MTOE
MTOE
MTOE
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TPE
TFE
Industrial
Transport
Residential
Commercial
Public and others
2000
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Unit
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MTOE: million ton of oil equivalent; TPE: total primary energy consumption; TFE: total nal energy consumption.
Table 3
Annual output projection (GWh, %) of electricity generation in the BAU scenario
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Coal steam
Combined cycle
Hydro
Internal combustion
LNG steam
Nuclear
Oil steam
90,417 (38.7)
22,330 (9.5)
2820 (1.2)
235 (0.1)
1410 (0.6)
96,915 (42.5)
17,394 (7.4)
107,169 (38.4)
36,281 (13.0)
5581 (2.0)
1116 (0.4)
1674 (0.6)
108,284 (38.8)
18,977 (6.8)
147,510 (44.2)
21,789 (6.5)
7039 (2.1)
1245 (0.4)
2011 (0.6)
141,125 (42.1)
13,743 (4.1)
148,738 (37.8)
41,709 (10.6)
8263 (2.1)
853 (0.3)
2360 (0.6)
181,397 (46.1)
9837 (2.5)
166,829 (37.1)
47,705 (10.9)
9451 (2.1)
858 (0.2)
2700 (0.6)
203,252 (46.5)
11,251 (2.6)
Total
231,521 (100)
279,082 (100)
334,462 (100)
393,157 (100)
442,046 (100)
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3. Result
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Table 4
Projection of CO2 emission (BAU) and capture values under different
emission target years
Target year (emission) Emission amount 2005 2010 2015 2020
162.3 171.4 189.7 206.2
595.1 628.5 695.6 756.1
Million TC
97.1 106.2 124.5 141.0
Million ton CO2 356.0 389.4 456.5 517.0
Emission rate (%) 59.8 62.0 65.6 68.4
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Million TC
Million ton CO2
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BAU
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Table 5
Cost comparison of power plants using alternative scenario I
Cost (million won)
2005
2007
2009
2010
2011
2013
2015
1990
Capital cost
Fixed O+M cost
Variable O+M cost
Sum
125,891
55,071
96,846
277,809
148,349
64,895
114,432
327,678
172,305
75,375
127,989
375,669
183,534
80,287
135,361
399,182
375,054
164,067
271,801
810,923
394,768
172,691
289,546
857,005
633,949
277,321
479,795
1,391,065
1995
Capital cost
Fixed O+M cost
Variable O+M cost
Sum
82,971
36,296
63,828
183,095
99,316
43,446
76,609
219,371
117,158
51,251
87,025
255,434
124,685
54,797
90,763
270,245
250,036
109,378
181,201
540,616
268,377
117,402
196,844
582,844
456,029
199,490
345,139
1,000,658
Capital cost
Fixed O+M cost
Variable O+M cost
Sum
56,270
24,615
43,288
124,174
78,729
34,440
60,729
173,898
102,559
44,864
76,182
223,606
114,786
50,213
82,591
246,695
235,563
103,047
170,712
509,322
255,276
111,670
187,235
554,182
424,712
185,790
321,437
931,940
Capital cost
Fixed O+M cost
Variable O+M cost
SUM
52,278
22,869
40,216
115,363
74,736
32,693
57,649
165,079
98,692
43,172
73,308
215,173
110,254
47,694
82,024
239,972
227,702
99,608
165,015
492,327
247,416
108,232
181,469
537,118
412,859
180,605
312,466
905,931
2000
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Scenario standard
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In an alternative scenario I, four cases were considered, assuming that in the beginning the process
efciency would be 65%. In these four cases it was
assumed that under the Kyoto Protocol, Korea (NonAnnex I) may be asked to reduce/limit its emission to
the level of 1990, 1995, 1997 or 2000. Table 4 shows the
projection of CO2 emission in the BAU scenario along
with emission to be captured. In the rst case, if
restriction is applied on Korea from the 1990 emission
level when Korean emission from power plants was 65.2
million ton carbon, the amount of CO2 to be captured is
97.1, 106.2, 124.5 and 141.0 million tons of carbon in the
years 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020, respectively. The sharp
increase in CO2 removal amount in the years 2011 and
2015 (Fig. 2) is due to increase in CO2 removal to 10%
2013
65%
1990
1995
1997
2000
3214
2118
1437
1335
3798
2542
2015
1913
4248
2888
2528
2433
4151
2823
2471
2378
9609
6533
6214
6022
15,923
11,454
10,668
10,370
80%
1990
1995
1997
2000
3956
2607
1768
1643
4674
3129
2481
2355
5228
3555
3112
2994
95%
1990
1995
1997
2000
5067
3340
2265
2104
5988
4009
3178
3016
6697
4554
3986
3836
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9020
6014
5665
5476
2015
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Table 6
CO2 removal amount (kton) with process efciency using alternative
scenario II
16000
1990 year
1995 year
1997 year
2000 year
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18000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
20
05
20
06
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
11
20
20
Year
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
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90000
70000
60000
50000
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40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2005
2008
2012
Year
65%
80%
95%
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80000
2015
Singh et al.
(2003)
(simulation
process)
Capacity (MW)
Capital cost (US$)
Operating cost (US$/year)
CO2 removal efciency (%)
CO2 recovery cost (US$/ton
CO2 avoided)
CO2 avoided from coal plant
(ton/year)
Generation cost (cent/kWh)
Generation cost considered to
absorption process (cent/kWh)
Operation time (h/year)
Generation amount (GWh/
year)
250
825,000
15,135
99
135
400
294,249,975
28,246,531
65
55
730
1,923,685
4.3
4.4
2.54
3.3
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8000
3200
th
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3546
886.6
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MEA
absorption
process (this
study)
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Parameter
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Table 7
Comparison of the practical MEA absorption process with the
simulation process using a Hysis simulator
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Acknowledgement
References
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increase in efciency to 95%. Thus, technology development not only increases the CO2 removal amount but
also decreases the cost of CO2 removal. In conclusion,
the CO2 removal cost of 95% process, which is the best
efciency, is 54,800 won/ton CO2. Thus, if carbon tax is
applied, this process has economical efciency when
carbon tax is more than $46.
Ang, B.W., 2004. Growth curves for long-term global CO2 emission
reduction analysis. Energy Policy 32, 15691572.
Boudri, J.C., Hordijk, L., Kroeze, C., Amann, M., Cofala, J., Bertok,
I., Junfeng, L., Lin, D., Shuang, Z., Runquing, H., Panwar, T.S.,
Gupta, S., Singh, D., Kumar, A., Vipradas, M.C., Dadhich, P.,
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