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UN IVERSITI
TEKNOLOGI
PETRONAS

COURSE :

PROBABILITY
AND STATISTICS
EBB21231EAB2123

DATE

16 MAY2009(SATURDAY)

TIME

2.30PM- 5.30PM (3 HOURS)

I N S T R U C TIONTSO C A N D ID A T ES
1.

AnswerFIVE(5) out of SIX (6) questionsfrom the QuestionBooklet.

2.

BeginEACH answeron a new pagein the AnswerBooklet.

3.

Indicateclearlyanswersthat are cancelled,if any.

4.

Whereapplicable,
showclearlystepstakenin arrivingat the solutionsand
i n d i ca teA L L a ssump ti o n s.

5.

Do not openthis QuestionBookletuntilinstructed.

Note:

T h e re a re F OU R T E EN( 14) pages in this QuestionBookletincluding

the coverpageand A,ppendices.

Univ er s i: i

Teknologi

PETRONAS

f BB 2123|EAB2123

|I

' 1.]

a.

It
I
shirts,2 ties and 3 pairsof pants.ln how many different
has
4
Khalid

ways can he chooseto dress himselfusing shirt, tie and pants for
a certainoccasion?

b.

[2 marks]

xc'rvcs'?'2.x2=2 1 /

C;

ordinarydeck of 52 cards.
Two cards are drawn from a well-shuffl,ed
4

Findthe probabilitythat they are bothaces if the first card is

i.

,;-- 'f-

replaced.

ii.

c.

tv

not replaced.
Ac+/
?r,

f')

''?,'?,iL ,:, marks]

25?

i2

"

[2

A/..1
,"
6t

F;bv2'J",
5r {i

'}t

[2 marks]

and 7 physicists,a committeeconsistingof 2

Out of 5 mathematicians
and 3 physicistsis to be formed. in how many ways
mathematicians
canthisbe done if
and any physicistcan be included?
any mathematician

i.

- r"
L5

ii.

C' , o

\.

x ' i;' t' h m a r ksl

.,' r lo r!'!')-

' i' r *n ,,"

one particularphysicistmustbe in the committee?

.? l
t@ \t

t
,

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.1

(v i - " , cr

tst
3,

."rt2.)/
( '/,
J

/a
--/ r;0

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x lE

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t;
tt/4)! '''
/
r

[2 marks]

EBB 2123IEAB2123
(d/

Fourinspectors
at a filmfactoryare supposed
to stampthe expiration
date on each packageof film at the end of the assembryrine.John
who stamps20% of the packages,fails to stampthe expirationdate
oncein every200 packages;
Tomwhostamps60%of the packages,
fails to stampthe expiration
date once in every100 packages;
Jeff
who stamps15%of the packages,
failsto stampthe expiration
date
oncein every90 packages;
and Patwho stampsSo/o
of the packages,
fails to stamp the expiraticndate once in every200 packages.if a
customercomplainsthat her packageof film does not show the
expiration
thatit was inspectedby:John?
9ate,whatis theprobability
Consider
the events:
A - no expiration
date
81 - Johnis the inspecton
82 - Tomis the inspector
83 - Jeffis theinspector
84 - Pat is the inspector
o rrr)'h " <

2-F 2 o D

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I' t,il * 7(rttt
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i
, f r t l* s + f / Ft r )+fP(
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) r(r)
t-ri"'t-l' l it'trt

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o'aooof
1 r o'bott?4

EBB 2123IEAB2123
on 100differentdays,a trafficengineercountsthe numberof carsthai
pass througha certainintersection
between5 pm and 5:10 pm. The
resultsare presentedin TABLE Q2.
TABLE Q2
N u mb e o
rf

Numberof

Proportionof

cars

days

days

36

0.36

28

0.28

15

0.15

10

0.10

0.07

o.o4

!-etx be the numberof cars passingihrcughthe intersection

between
5 pm to 5:10 pm on a randomlychosen day. The trafficengineer
proposedthat for any positiveintegerx, the plobabiiity-messjunction
of X i s
p,@) = (0.2X0.8)'and p,@)= (0.4X0.6)'

For eachof thesefunctions,

computep(X = x) for all valuesof x.
[8 marksJ
ii.

Comparethe resultsof part (a) (i) to the data in TABLE e2,

Which probability
mass funciionappearsto be a bettermodel?
E xp l a i n .
[4 marks]

Iil.

Someonesays that neitherof the functionsin part (a)(i) is a

good functionsinceneitherone agreeswith the data exactly.ls
t hiq r inht ?

Fy nlein

[4 marks]

EBB2123tEA32123

/'

b.

strengthof samplesof cementcan be nrodelled

The compressive
by a
w i th a m ean of 6000 kilogr amsper squar e
n o rma l d i stri b u ti o n
(Kg/cm2) anda standarddeviationof 1000Kg/cmt . What
ceniimetre
that a sample'sstrengthis between5800 Kg/cm2and
is the probability
5 9 0 0K g i cm'z?
[4 marks]

EBB 21Z3IEAB
2123
//

a.

The numberof surfaceflaws in plasticpanelsused in the interiorof

automobiles
has a meanof 0.05flawspersquarefoot of ptasticpanel.
A ssu meth a t a n a u tom obile
inter iorcontains10 squar efeet of plastic
panel.

i.

What is the probability

that thereare no surfaceflawsin an auto
interior?
[5 marks]

ii. lf 10'cars are sold to a rentarccmpany,what is iire probability

ihai at mostone car has anysurfaceflaws?
[5 marks]
D.
h

n,^*^^t"^
^"-J^^^r-^tt-J
rr
ren'loteconiroiie0
UrtOE!-S9&
vehreleoetectSdebrisfrcm a sunken
craftat a rate of 50 piecesper hour.what is the probability
that the

iimeto cietectthe nextpieceof debrisis ressthan2 minutes?

[5 marksj
c.

A certain electroniccomponentmanufacturingprocess produces

parts,2a% of whichare defective.parts are shippedin unitsoi 400.
shipmentscontainingmorethan g0 defectivepartsmay be returned.
Assumethat each shipnrentconsiituiea sinrplerandomsampleof
pafts.what is the probabriity
thata girrenshipmentis returned?
[5 marks]

EBB2123IEAB
2123
4.

pipelinenetworksacrossthe country
of manymunicipal
The deterioration
proposedfor pipelinerehabilitation
is a growingconcern.Onetechnology
throughexistingpipe.TABLEQ4 reportsthe
usesa flexiblelinerthreaded
dataof tensilestrength(psi)of linerspecimens
bothwhena certainfusion
processwasusedandwhentheprocesswasnotused.
TABLE Q4
No fusion

Fused

2748

2700

2822

2511

3149

3257

3213

3220

2753

2655

342\

3356

3359

3297

3125

2910

2889

2942

claimthatthefusionprocessincreased
Theresearches
the averagetensile
strength.
a.

Drawcornparative
boxplotsfor ihe abovedata.
[5 marksJ

b.

Do the plotsin part (a)supporttheresearches

claim?Explain.

Carryout an appropriate
test for the abovec-laimat a significance
levelof 0.01.
[7 marks]
d.

Calculate
thep - valueof thetestusinga significance
levelof 0.05.
[2 marks]

EBB2123iEAB
2123
the yieldstressmeasurements
TABLEQ5 presents
for threespecimens
A or solutionB, at a temperature
treatedwitheithersolution
of either
(' ,
? 5 "C or37o
TABLE Q5

Solution Temp.

YieldStress(MPa)

An)

250C

570

565

sB3

Aa

370C

1063

1080

1043

B6

2.5Q
C

526

547

3 7 0C

9BB

B o\

1026

+12tt^|
a

czl

1004
,.li:

bolchkh1
a.

Estimate all main effects and the interaction.

[5 marks]

b.

yourresultsin part (a).

Interpret
[3 marks]

c.

a n A N OV Atablefor the abovedata.

C o n stru ct
*.

[Bmarks]

Write the least square model usingonly the significantsourcesand

b ri e fl ye xp l a i ni t.
[4 marks]

2123|EAB
2123

U s e th e p a rti a l l yco mp l e teMinitaboutputon r egr essionanalysis in

TABLEQ5 to answerthe followingquestions'
TableQ6
Predictor
Constant
x1
J

S = 3.48

SE Coef
49.94
3.723
0.2261
1.323

Coef
4 7 .82
-9.604
0 .4 152
18.294

P-value
2

2
?

R -sq u ar ed=0.994

Analysisof Variance
Df
Source
3
Reqression
1
6
E
rro
r
R e si d u a l

SS
30532
194

19

,30726

Total

h -P

MS
10177

p - vatrue

I P'ti ttr tt

F i n da l lth e mi ssi n gva l ues.

[5 marks]

b.

of B* p, and B, at a; 0.05'
Testfor significance

[5 marksJ

c.

on A, B, ana Br .
inter val
a 9 5 % co n fi dence
C o n si ru ct
[6 marks]

d.

Based on your ansv/ersin parts (b) and (c), conrmenton the

betweenthesevariables'
relationshio
[4 marks]
ENDOF PAPER_

10