Cop20 Science Reality. Por Michael Wadleigh

UN CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE 2014
247
2C
,796,348,778,420
1 ATMOSPHERE
science initiative
endorsed by eminent scientists from every discipline and part of the planet
(see partial list below), about whom IPCC Chair Dr. Rajendra Pachauri
wrote: 'In conclusion let me say I greatly admire what you are doing, which
makes you not only unique scientists but great leaders of human society."
Dr. Yuan Lee, Nobel Prize winner and President of the International Council for
Science (ICSU)
Dr. Olive Shisana, President of the International Social Sciences Council (ISSC)
Dr. Ivo Slaus, President of the World Academy of Arts and Sciences (WAAS)
Dr. Jacob Palis, I.P. President of The World Academy of Sciences (TWAS)
Dr. Mohamed Hassan, co-Chair Global Network of Academies of Science (IAP)
Dr. Daya Reddy, co-Chair of the InterAcademy Panel (IAC) (+ Pres SAAS)
Dr. Gunter Stock, President of All European Academies (ALLEA)
Dr Lars Walloe, President of the Academia Europaea
Dr. Won-Hoon Park, President of the Association of Academies and Societies of
Sciences in Asia (AASSA)
Dr. Ahmadou Ndiaye, President of the African Academy of Science (AAS)
Dr. Berhanu Abegaz, Executive Director of the African Academy of Science (AAS)
Dr. Robin Crewe, President of the Network of African Science Academies (NASAc)
Dr. Juan Asenjo, co-Chair InterAmerican Network of Academies of Science (IANAS)
Dr. Claudio Bifano, President Academia de Ciencias de America Latina (ACAL)
Dr. Keto Mshigeni, Vice President of The World Academy of Science (TWAS)
Dr. Atta-ur-Rahman, President of the Network of Academies of Sciences in Islamic
Countries (NASIC)
Dr. Abdel Salam Majali, President of the Islamic World Academy of Sciences (IAS)
Dr. Mouneef Zo'ubi, Secretary General Islamic World Academy of Sciences (IAS);
Dr. Trevor Alleyne, President of the Caribbean Academy of Sciences (CAS)
Dr. Nelson Moreno Ceballos, President of the Caribbean Scientific Union (CCC)
Dr. Kazu-yuki Tatsumi, President International Union of Pure and Applied Chemistry
(IUPAC)
Dr. Alik T.Ismail-Zadeh, Secretary General of the International Union of Geodesy and
Geophysics (IUGG);
Dr. Nils Stenseth, President of the International Union of Biology (IUB)
Dr. Gregory Petsko, President International Union of Biochemistry and Molecular
Biology
Dr. Roland Oberhnsli President International Union of Geological Sciences
Dr. Michael Burawoy, President of the International Sociological Association (ISA)
Dr. Sathasivian Saths Cooper, President of the International Union of Psychological

Science (IUPsyS)
Dr. Andrew Spiegel, Vice President of the International Union of Anthropological and
Ethnological Sciences (IUAES)
Dr. Thomas Reuter, Founding chair World Council of Anthropological Associations
Dr. Roseanne Diab, Executive Officer Academy of Science South Africa (ASSAf)
Dr. Oyewale Tomori, President of the Nigerian Academy of Science (NAS)
Dr. Francis Allotey, President of the Ghana Academy of Arts & Sciences (GAAS)
Dr Ahmedou Ndiaye, President Senegal Academie des Sciences et Techniques (SAST)
Dr. Samuel Domngang, President of the Cameroon Academy of Sciences (CAS)
Dr. Rafael Munavu, President of the Kenya National Academy of Science (KNAS)
Dr. Ester Mwaikambo, President of the Tanzania Academy of Sciences (TAAS)
Dr. Demissie Habte, President of the Ethiopia Academy of Sciences (EAS)
Dr. Paul Mugambi, President of the Uganda National Academy of Sciences (UNAS)
Dr David Mutekanga, Executive Secr. Uganda National Academy of Sciences (UNAS)
Dr. Mwananyanda Mbikusita Lewanika, President Zambia Academy of Science (ZaAS)
Dr. Christopher Mutambirwa, President of the Zimbabwe Academy of Sciences (ZAS)
Dr. Rajaona Andriamananjara, President Madagascar National Academy of Arts, Letters
and Sciences
Dr. Jorg Hacker, President of the German Academy of Sciences
Dr. Nils Stenseth, President of the Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters
Dr. Olavi Nevanllina, President of the Council of Finish Academies
Dr. Gunter Stock, President of the Union of German Academies of Sciences and
Humanities and President of the Berlin Brandenburg Academy of Sciences and Humanities
Dr. Atta-ur-Rahman, President of the Pakistan Academy of Sciences (PAS)
Dr. Sung Hyun Park, President Korean Academy of Science and Technology (KAST)
Dr. Mesbahuddin Ahmad, President Bangladesh Academy of Science (BAS)
Dr. Surendra Raj Kafle, Chancellor Nepal Academy of Science and Technology (NAST)
Dr Batbold Enkhtuvshin, President of the Mongolian Academy of Sciences (MAS)
Dr Imad Khatib, Secretary General of the Palestine Academy of Sciences
Dr. Ruth Arnon, President of the Israel Academy of Sciences and Humanities
Dr. William Padolina, President National Academy of Science and Technology Philippines
(NASTP)
Dr. James McCarthy, President of the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS)
Dr. Jacob Palis, President of the Brazilian Academy of Science (BAS)
Dr. Juan Asenjo, President of the Academia de Ciencias Chilena
Dr. Claudio Bifano, President of the Academia de Ciencias Fisicas, Matematicas and
Naturales Venezuala
Dr. Jos Franco, President Mexico Academia of Ciencias (MAC)
Dr. Enrique Acevedo, President of the Guatamala Academia de Ciencias, Medicas, Fisicas y
Naturales
Dr. Roberto Cignoli, President of the Academa Nacional de Ciencias Exactas, Fsicas y
Naturales Argentina
Dr. Milciades Mejia, President of the Dominican Republic Academia de Ciencias
Dr. Jorge A. Huete-Prez, President Nicaraguan Academy of Sciences
Dr. Ernst Ulrich von Weizsacker, President Club of Rome
Dr. Bill McKibben, President 350.org
Dr Eric Chivian, recipient Nobel Peace Prize, Center for Health and Global Environment...
among many other eminent global scientists
2C
+8
+7
+6
+5
+4
+3
+2
+1
0.0
Science: CLIMATE CHANGE

is the urgent, defining, imperative
issue of our time - because it is
destabilization and destruction
of the life support system upon
which everything depends food, water, air, temperature,
health, safety, security, jobs,
economic growth, everything.
THIS BABY WILL

LIVE TO BE
*because of SCIENCE -
knowledge, evidence, consensus.
It is science that brings our medicines

and our long life - and our smart phones,
computers, cars, planes, satellites, space
travel, nearly everything of modern life.
And the same science now warns that
unless humanity stops emissions
now, we will destroy our life
+8
support system upon which
+7
everything depends - food
+6
+5
water, air, temperature, health,
+4
safety, security, jobs, economic
+3
growth, everything.
+2
+1
So heed the doctors, the
0.0
scientists - get well, survive
and thrive, live long, happy
lives.
2C
Climate
change heed
doctors
scientists
Solutions have been available

for 114 years! Act now...
2C
+
1900:
electric cars
solar cells
wind turbines
hydro power
geothermal energy
hydrogen fuel cells
1900, a scientist wrote: The Suns Powers gathered by photo-electric cells into electrical storehouses, the total extinction of combustion engines, filth and smoke - a Blessed Vision!
Dr. Rajendra Pachauri

IPCC chair
Dr. Thomas Stocker

IPCC co-chair
Physical Science
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scientists
Dr. Reto Knutti

IPCC coordinating
lead author
Physical Science
Dr. Youba Sokona

IPCC co-chair
Mitigation
Dr. Shreekant Gupta

IPCC coordinating
lead author
Mitigation
Everything must be done to

reduce emissions radically
to limit global warming to
2C... to give the worlds
young people hope. 23 Sep 2014
Franois Hollande,
President France
Emission limit for 2C:
790 gigatonnes C
CO2 emissions to 2013:
-535 gigatonnes C
Remaining emissions:
255 gigatonnes C
CO2 emissions in 2013:
10.8 gigatonnes C
approved by the governments of the world

(do the math, 2C will happen in about 20 years)
updated from IPCC 2013 WGI PMC
DR THOMAS STOCKER
IPCC AR5 Working Group I

Climate change 2013 The Physical Science Basis
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON
ipcc
climate change
WMO
To limit global warming to

less than 2C we need to act
quickly and decisively... it
is quite literally a question
of survival...
Angela Merkel,
Chancellor Germany
790 gigatonnes C
-535 gigatonnes C
255 gigatonnes C
10.8 gigatonnes C

DR THOMAS STOCKER

ipcc
climate change
WMO
When offered clear scientific

advice to safeguard the longterm future of our planet and
our people, we should seize it.
23 Sep 2014
David Cameron,
UK Prime Minister
790 gigatonnes C
-535 gigatonnes C
255 gigatonnes C
10.8 gigatonnes C

DR THOMAS STOCKER

ipcc
climate change
WMO
IPCC scientists tell us that

2C is possible - but only if
we get serious... and lead. It is
a test we cannot afford to fail.
23 Sep 2014
Jose Barroso, EC President

790 gigatonnes C
-535 gigatonnes C
255 gigatonnes C
10.8 gigatonnes C

DR THOMAS STOCKER

ipcc
climate change
WMO
We cannot condemn
our children... We know
what we have to do to
avoid irreparable harm.
23 Sep 2014
Barack Obama,
US President
790 gigatonnes C
-535 gigatonnes C
255 gigatonnes C
10.8 gigatonnes C

DR THOMAS STOCKER

ipcc
climate change
WMO
2C
+8
+7
+6
+5
+4
+3
+2
+1
0.0
Limit global warming to 2C
*2010 COP16 Cancn agreements: future global warming should be limited to below 2C (3.6F)
relative to preindustrial level,1.5C dangerous destabilization has already happened, see following.
2C
Climate change has

1 cause: emissions
1 solution: limit
247,796,348,836,027
For 2C, limit all anthropogenic
emissions from now to 2100 to:
gigatonnes kilograms carbon
To limit global warming to 2C limit emissions to

2C
247
,796,348,833,311
Emissions of 193 nations must add up to 1 global limit for 2C
2C
247 ,796,348,828,910
DR THOMAS STOCKER
problem
27 Sep 2013
IPCC, approved by the governments of the world:
To likely limit global warming to 2C over preindustrial levels, accounting for non-CO2 forcings,
limit all anthropogenic emissions to 260 gigatonnes
of carbon between 27 Sep 2013 and 2100.
Per human this means a limit of about 30,800 kgs in
emissions from consumption of goods and services.
2C
247
solution
gigatonnes C
ipcc
climate change
WMO
1.5C dangerous destabilization has already happened
2C
To likely limit global warming to 1.5C,

emit nothing, & remove from the atmosphere
In 2013, COP19, concentrations

of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere were such,
that unless removed,
1.5C global
warming will
happen.
12
,203,651,205,378
increasing 1 gigatonne every 34 days
To avoid catastrophe
there is now 1
stabilization
objective:
2C.
To avoid catastrophe for everyone there is now 1 objective: 2C
ALIVE
Save your childs life do everything to get

the number down now
9 8.6
DEAD
37
Life threatening emergency

+8
+7
+6
+5
+4
+3
+2
+1
0.0
2C
247 ,796,348,773,199
stop climate change
2C
United Nations
Framework Convention on
Climate Change
2C
There is only 1 objective

UNFCCC, Article II, Objective: stabilization of greenhouse gas
concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent
dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.
247,796,348,794,142
To limit global warming to 2C* limit emissions to
*COP16
For 20 years gas concentrations have not been stabilized,

dangerous interference has not been prevented, no progress
has been made toward the Objective, only regress...
*2010 COP16 Cancn agreements: future global warming should be limited to below 2C (3.6F) relative to preindustrial level.
Emissions are higher than ever those

who ignore authoritative, peer-reviewed
science do so at great risk for all of us
and for our kids and grandkids.
United Nations
Framework Convention
on Climate Change
John Kerry, US Secretary of State
The Years of UNFCCC have been an Unmitigated Disaster

Give our children a future... Pleading
ignorance can no longer be an excuse for
inaction... Laws of physics are not negotiable:
Radiative forcing (W/m 2 )
3.0
2.5
ed
liv
ng-
Lo
se
u
o
h
s
ase
e
gre
2.0
1.0 1990
WMO 9 Sep 2014
Dr Michel Jarraud
CO 2
1.5
1995
2000
Year
WMO Secretary General
2005
2010
2014
Emissions reached a new record high in 2013.

Between 1990 and 2013 there was a 34% increase in
the warming effect on our climate.
CO2 levels increased more between 2012 and 2013
than during any other year since UNFCCC began, 1992.
Far from falling, emissions increased last year at the
fastest rate since UNFCCCs founding.
We must reverse this trend, reign in the relentless rise
by cutting emissions across the board, which has not
been done in the time of UNFCCC.
We are running out of time. There are only about 20
years until there will be enough emissions in the atmosphere, which if not removed will cause 2C warming.
IPCC and WMO provide the science for decision
making.
We have the knowledge and the tools for action to
keep temperature increase within 2C.
Laws of physics are not negotiable, laws of man are.
Agree and limit emissions for 2C now.
Give our children and grandchildren a future.
Use the science. Pleading ignorance can no longer be
an excuse for not acting...
United Nations
Framework Convention
on Climate Change
You cant deny the reality... denial of the

science is malpractice... Shame on all of
us if we dont act now... if we dont get
serious and reduce emissions.
John Kerry, US Secretary of State
The Outcomes of UNFCCC have been an Unmitigated Disaster

Year
UNFCCC
Conference
Location
COP 1
COP 2
COP 3
COP 4
COP 5
COP 6
COP 7
COP 8
COP 9
COP 10
COP 11
COP 12
COP 13
COP 14
COP 15
COP 16
COP 17
COP 18
COP 19
COP 20
Berlin
Geneva
Kyoto
Buenos Aires
Bonn
The Hague
Marrakesh
Delhi
Milan
Buenos Aires
Montreal
Nairobi
Bali
Poznan
Copenhagen
Cancun
Durban
Doha
Warsaw
Lima
1990
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
1995
Emission
Outcome
CO2 parts
per
million
Berlin Mandate
360
Geneva Ministerial Declaration Noted
362
Kyoto Protocol
363
Buenos Aires Plan of Action
365
Bonn Agreement
368
Bonn Agreements Consensus
369
Marrakesh Ministerial Declaration Adopted
370
Declaration on Climate Change & Sustainable Development
373
Climate Change Fund & Least Development Countries Fund
375
Complete Marrakesh Accords
377
Global Environmental Facility Guidelines
378
Nairobi Framework Welcomed
381
Bali Roadmap
382
Adaptation Fund
385
Copenhagen Accord
387
Cancun Agreements
389
C
Durban Platform for Enhanced Action
391
1.5 2013
n
i
d
Doha Amendments to the Kyoto Protocol
393
reache ot removed)
n
396
Warsaw Outcomes
(if GHG
Objective Progress
400
Negotiation Outcome
d
e
v
-li
g
n
Lo
2000
e
s
u
ho
s
e
s
ga
n
e
e
gr
2005
Emission
Outcome
Gigatonnes
of Carbon
per year
8
8
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
9
9
9
10
9
9
10
10
11
11
11
2010
Emission
Outcome
Limit for 2C
Gigatonnes
of Carbon
415
407
400
391
383
375
367
359
351
343
334
325
316
307
297
288
278
268
257
247
2014
De
catastrophe
- and we do
nothing to
stop it
There is 1 Objective
il
b
a
t
iz
o
ati
Opening ceremony
UN Climate Conference 2014

TO SUCCEED ADMIT FAILURE
Peru cannot, Peru must not fail - if we

continue as we are, climate change will be
a catastrophe. UNFCCC has 1 Objective:
2C

247,796,348,802,205
*COP16
The Objective reality is that for 20 years we

have not stabilized emissions - but the greater
reality is that highly profitable solutions have
been available for decades - to build a nonemission, non-destruction economy that can
last for centuries. Now finally lets do it...
COP20 President
Manuel Pulgar-Vidal
There is 1 Objective COP 20

STABILIZATION + 10 ?
+ 9?
+ 8?
2C
+9
+
0
1
+
9
+
+
1
1
+
1
1
+
0
1
11
247,796,348,798,188
+8
1
1995
+8
+9
+8
er
p
sC
ne
on
gat
g
N
IO
AT
IZ
L
I
B
T
E-S
+8
+8
+8
2000
+8
+9
ved
g-li
+9
es
as
eg
us
ho
een
gr
+9
+9
+1
on
rl
yea
At current trends +1.1%/yr emission increase:
Humanity is 400% over limit

for 2C, zero is 2035, 21 years.
7
COP
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
2005
2010
2015
2C
Guide to Lima COP20: there is 1 Objective
247
,796,348,790,905
400% over limit - zero 2035
2C
Lima cannot,
must not fail.
2C
247 ,796,348,831,063
Emissions of 193 nations must

add up to 1 global limit for 2C.
At current trends +1.1%/yr emission increase:
Humanity is 400% over limit,

zero is 2035, only 21 years.
Im for
2C 247
gigatonnes C
EMISSION LIMIT
Ban Ki-moon, UN Secretary General
Global Gross National Income
2C
$ 99 ,288,796,517,918
increasing 2.2% /yr
193 Gross National Incomes

add up to 1 Global $GNI.
Humanitys economy is
growing 2.2% per year.
Im for
$99+ trillion
ECONOMIC GROWTH
Global Gross National Income
$ 99 ,288,796,519,087
2C
increasing 2.2% /yr
Humanity:
$13,723 GNI /cap,
economic growth
2.2% per year
193 Gross National

Incomes add up to
1 Global $GNI
My
GNI /cap is
Voices
My
GNI /cap is
$ 52,308
$ 43,049
President Barack Obama

United States
Chancelor Angela Merkel

Germany
My
GNI /cap is
$ 11,477
President Xi Jinping
China
My
GNI /cap is
My
GNI /cap is
$ 5,150
$ 5,353
Prime Minister Narendra Modi

India
President Goodluck Jonathan

Nigeria
247 ,796,348,822,480
2C
Voices
Humanity is 400%
over limit, zero is
2035, only 21 years.
Emissions of 193 nations

must add up to 1 global
limit for 2C.
Im
Im
1,398%
888%

United States

Germany
over limit
for 2oC
over limit
for 2oC
Im
468%
over limit
for 2oC
China
Im
134%
over limit
for 2oC

India
Im
30%
of the limit
for 2oC

Nigeria
What if there were

no emission exports?
2C
If a dome were put over America, US emissions

are so great that at current trends atmospheric
gas concentrations causing 2C warming would
happen in just 6 years, 2020 - then rapidly 4C,
8C warming, the end of the US as we know it.
If high per capita emitting countries could not
export their emissions and had to stew in their
own juices, it seems certain they would stop
their climate changing emissions immediately.
Stewing in ones
own juices
Americas priority
is jobs, economic
growth.
No emission imports
If a dome had been put over Africa a
few years ago to protect it from
emissions from other continents,
African emissions are so
small that global warming
might never happen there.
Of course there is no
dome - and disastrous
climate changes are
already happening to
Africans, the deaths
and destructions are
caused by other
nations exported
emissions...
2C
247 ,796,348,818,815
1900
2C
Energy use is the principle source

of climate changing emissions.
By 1900 solar cells, wind turbines,
hydro power, geothermal energy,
hydrogen fuel cells, electric cars
(to name a few) were all in use.
In 1990, 90 years later all solar,
wind, hydro, geothermal NONemitting energy had risen to be
only a very small 3% of total
primary energy supply (tpes).
coal 29%
oil 32%
EMITTING energy
solar
wind
NON-EMITTING
gas 21%
92% tpes
hydro
bio 10%*
(25 years)
geo 3%
energy 8% tpes
nuclear 5%
Currently, extraordinarily, all

global solar-wind-hydro-geo
energy remains just 3% of tpes:
a zero increase in 25 years.
In 1990 NON-emitting nuclear
energy was 6%, currently it has
fallen to just 5% of tpes.
This means that currently global
coal, oil, gas, bio* EMITTING
energy has risen to be an overwhelming 92% of global tpes.
* Bio energy, 10% tpes, as practiced is NOT sustainable
with substantial emission, pollution and health hazards.
247 ,796,348,821,047
2C
Voices
Climate change has

1 cause: emissions
1 solution: limit.
solar
coal 29%
EMITTING
My
solar-windhydro-geo is
2%

United States
oil 32%
gas 21%
energy 92% tpes
My
3%

Germany
bio 10%
wind
NON-EMITTING
for humanity
My
3%
China
hydro
geo 3%
energy 8% tpes
My
2%
nuclear 5%

India
My
1%

Nigeria
NON-EMISSION ENERGY
solar
2C
wind
hydro
geo
nuclear
247 ,796,348,809,452
EMISSION REDUCTION NOW example:

In just 5 years, high technology production of US WWII aircraft increased
from 2,141 to 96,318 per year, 4,500%.
The war was won - the worlds most
advanced, high tech economy was built.
The same can happen now - rapidly
build an innovative, robust, inexhaustible, renewable economy that will last.
PISTOL
PACKIN
MAMAS
1,400%
over 2C limit,
my non-emitting
energy is only 10%
No problem!
Increase
non-emitting energy
only 1,200%!
ROSIE
RIVETERS
247
2C
There is 1
Objective:
stabilization
,796,348,830,634
INCLUSION ENERGY
Gender
Finance
Adaptation
Cities
Water
Indiginous
Health
Forests
& ForestsOceans
30,600 Peruvians provided with solar.

Fight energy poverty.
Poverty
Efficiency
Energy
Agriculture
Jobs
Industry
Renewables Economic
Growth
Mountains
All climate actions must add up to 1 global emission limit for 2C
Voices
Very High
Development
247 ,796,348,813,383
Very High Developed are 1,014% over limit
UN Very High Developed live 20 years longer, have 2.7

times the education, 20 times the money - and cause an
extraordinary 60 times the emissions of Low Developed.
18% of humanity - the best educated, healthiest,
wealthiest, the Highest Developed - cause 72% of cumulative emissions, the cause of climate change.
The 22% Least Developed humans cause a miniscule 1%.
58% of humanity - in 127 African, Latin American and
Southern Asian countries - cause only 14% of emissions.
High - Medium - Low Developed
Very High Developed
Barack Obama Michael Bloomberg Angela Merkel

United States
United States
Germany
Ban Ki-moon
South Korea
Mary Robinson
Ireland
Xi Jinping
China
Narendra Modi
India
John Kufour Goodluck Jonathan

Ghana
Nigeria
2C
Emissions and Money

Each day on average UN Very High Developed
donate 36 cents in total Official Development
Assistance, plus a donation of 10 kilograms
of climate changing emissions (see data / maps).
Each day for climate change compensation,

the Most Vulnerable and Exposed, including
Africans, receive 1/4 of one cent per person
from the Very High Developed. This may
increase 10 fold (to $100 billion), each person
will then get 2.5 cents per day.
Voices
to
adapt to
Very High
emissions:
1/4 of 1
cent per
person
Donation
day: $.27 + 14 kg
year: $100 + 4,962 kg
I
donate 14 kgs
and 27 cents
each day
Envoy Michael Bloomberg

United States
Donation
day: $.10 + 11 kg
year: $36 + 3,934 kg
I
donate 11 kgs
and 10 cents
each day
UN Sec.Gen. Ban Ki-moon

South Korea
Donation
day: $.50 + 9 kg
year: $182 + 3,274 kg
I
donate 9 kgs
and 50 cents
each day
Envoy Mary Robinson

Ireland
I
receive 1/4
of 1 cent
each day
Envoy John Kufour

Ghana
o s ph e
tm
re
2C
To limit global warming

to 2oC limit emissions to
247 ,796,348,777,997
it
E
mi
im
s si o n L
decreasing emission limit gigatonnes kilograms carbon1
Humanity is 400% over limit1, zero is 2035, energy supply is 92% emittives2
195 Countries
USA
Human Development - UNDP 2014
Very High
Education - school expectancy
16.5 years
Health - life expectancy
78.9 years
Living standards - $ GNI / year
$ 52,308
317,604
Emissions cumulative - kgs / cap
1
26,004
Emissions consumption - kgs/cap/yr
o
1
Emission limit 2 C - % of limit
1,398%
o
1
Emission limit 2 C - year limit zero
2020
(1990>
2
Non-emitting energy - % tpes 2012) 10% > 12%
2% > 2%
Solar-Wind-Hydro-Geo
Nuclear
8% > 10%
(1990>
2
Emitting energy - % tpes
90% > 88%
2012)
Bio
3% > 4%
Gas
23% > 27%
Oil
40% > 37%
Coal
24% > 20%
Energy total primary supply - Mtoe 1,915 > 2,171
China
High
12.9 years
75.3 years
$ 11,477
32,848
29,032
468%
2033
1% > 4%
1% > 3%
0% > 1%
99% > 96%
23% > 7%
2% > 4%
13% > 17%
61% > 67%
865 > 2,922
1IPCC & 195 governments: To likely limit global warming to 2oC above preindustrial levels, limit emissions
to 260 gigatonnes 2013-2100. Above in real-time is the limit now. To be on-limit, emissions should be minus
3% per year; however at current trends, plus 1.1%, zero will be reached, not in 2100 but in 2035, only 21 years
from now. Humanity is 396% over limit to likely limit global warming to 2oC. Per human this means a limit
of about 30,800 kilograms of carbon emissions from consumption of goods and services, 2013- 2100.
India
Medium
11.7 years
66.4 years
$ 5,150
9,625
30,277
134%
2081
2% > 3%
2% > 2%
0.5% > 1%
98% > 97%
42% > 23%
3% > 6%
20% > 23%
33% > 45%
318 > 794
Nigeria
Low
9.0 years
52.5 years
$ 5,353
4,363
30,017
30%
2315
0.6% > 0.4%
1% > 0.4%
0% > 0%
99% > 99.6%
80% > 81%
5% > 9%
16% > 9%
0% > 0%
67 > 134
Brazil
High
15.2 years
73.9 years
$ 14,275
17,707
29,997
195%
2060
6% > 14%
0% >
1%
6% > 13%
94% > 86%
44% > 29%
0% >
9%
46% > 43%
3% >
5%
82 > 293
Pragmatic and practical...

The goal is to know what
national emissions are...
The essential task is to
transform energy from high
to low carbon... in developed
and developing countries.
Todd Stern, US Special
Envoy on Climate Change
Germany
EU28
Very High
Very High
16.3 years
16.1 years
80.7 years
80.1 years
$ 43,049
$ 33,844
283,686
324,898
27,557
27,252
888%
745%
2023
2025
12% > 11%
14% > 17%
0% > 3% 2.3% > 3.6%
11% > 8%
12% > 13.5%
88% > 89%
86% > 83%
1% > 9%
3% >
8%
15% > 21%
18% > 23%
36% > 34%
38% > 34%
36% > 25%
27% > 18%
357 > 323 1,667 > 1,683
2The 1st number is 1990 % of total primary energy supply (tpes), the 2nd number is current % tpes: for 25 years
total primary energy supply has been a miniscule 3% solar-wind-hydro-geo non-emitting energy; plus currently
5% nuclear non-emitting energy, plus an overwhelming 92% coal-oil-gas-bio emitting energy, the principal
cause of climate change. Note: bio energy as practiced is not sustainable with substantial emission, pollution and
health hazards; carbon capture & storage, geoengineering, etc. are not yet significant / realities - and may never be.
Humanity
Medium
12.2 years
70.8 years
$ 13,723
50,494
29,284
401%
2035
9% >
8%
3% >
3%
6% >
5%
91% > 92%
10% > 10%
19% > 21%
37% > 32%
25% > 29%
8,774 > 13,172
195 national emission

limit laws must add up
to the 1 global limit
Human development: living standards - climate changing emissions
50
Voices
If every Chinese lives like Americans, it will be a disaster for the world.
Dr. Dahe Qin, co-chair Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, WGI, Physical Science
Very High Developed set
the standards all follow
20
Per capita: $ GNI Emissions

Solutions
living standard
62 persons / auto
Americans
1
2
Chinese
317,604 ,735,243,504 32,848 ,950,187,791

26,004 ,472,908,800 29,032 ,569,894,436
1
Indians
9,625 ,905,059,298
30,277 ,350,606,427
Cumulative emissions per capita / 2Emissions from consumption of goods & services, limit remaining for 2oC per capita - in kg/mgC
1
2
247 ,796,348,822,480
2C
Voices
Humanity is 400%
over limit, zero is
Emissions of 193 nations

must add up to 1 global
limit for 2C.
12 Nov 2014
US-China sign historic emission pledge
Americans will cut emissions 26%-28% by 2025 compared to 2005, Chinese will peak emissions by 2030.
1,2
No mention of 2C or 247 GtC limit, what do the pledges mean?:
Im
1,398%
over limit
for 2C

United States
00%
Americas over limit will go down 198%, from 1,398% to 1,200%.

Chinas over limit will go up 152%, from 468% to 620%.
US will reach its emission limit not in 2100 but 2021, China in 2028.
By 2025 Americans, 4.5% of the population, will have emitted 7%
of the global limit for humanity to last till 2100 in just 11 years.
By 2030 Chinese, 19% of the population, will have emitted 23%
of the global limit for humanity to last till 2100 in just 16 years.
By 2025 US, 4.5%, will have emitted 16 gigatonnes of carbon.
By 2030 China, 19%, will have emitted 51 gigatonnes of carbon.
%
0
2
6
Im
468%
over limit
for 2C
China
UN Climate Conference 2014
OUTCOME
AGREEMENT =
2C LIMIT =
247
,796,348,814,365
gigatonneskilograms carbon
= emission limit for 2C

2C
247
,796,348,833,311
EMISSIONBOARD
Cumulative emissions
total 1860 to present (in GIGATONNES-kilograms)
542,203,650,954,864
Cumulative emissions are

the cause of climate change,
here they are per capita
2C
214,412 ,147,417,066
KILO-micrograms per capita
38,963,345,382,265
18%
cause 72%
of cumulative /
historic emissions
3,401 ,463,019,132
10,691 ,369,317,395
22%
cause 1%
Cumulative emissions
542,203,650,768,869 155 years

247,796,348,752,902 21 years
It took about 155 years, 1860 to 2014,

to put about 540 gigatonnes in the atmosphere; at current trends it will take a
mere 21 years to put up another 250.
of cumulative /
historic emissions
18%
72%
28%
20%
32%
7%
22%
1%
Cumulative emissions per capita in tons Carbon (tC) (from energy use by 2013)
18% of humanity cause 72% of emissions, 210 tC (>80 tC), 48 countries
28% of humanity cause 20% of emissions, 37 tC (31-79 tC), 25 countries
2C Emission limit per capita from consumption of goods & services*

(limits are counting down)
2C
26,608 ,117,686,805
zero 02.May.2022
1,014% over limit
18%
cause 51%
28,978 ,831,708,279
of emissions from
consumption of
goods & services
zero 22.Sep.2033
436% over limit
30,559 ,117,741,777
zero 13.Jan.2185
51% of limit
30,065 ,075,798,861
Climate change has

1 cause: emissions
1 solution: limit - for 2C
30,800 kgs C per human
27 Sep 2013 to 2100
*Emission limit for 2C
HUMANITY: 195 governments

and IPCC: to likely limit global
warming to 2C accounting
for non-CO2 forcings, limit emissions to 260 gigatonnes of carbon,
27 Sep 2013 to 2100.
PER HUMAN this means a limit
of about 30,800 kilograms of carbon
emissions from consumption of goods
and services, 27 Sep 2013 to 2100.
zero 13.Aug.2064
171% over limit
20%
cause 3%
of emissions from
consumption of
goods & services
18%
51%
23%
28%
39%
18%
20%
3%
Emissions from consumption of goods & services per capita
18% of humanity cause 51% of emissions, 1,014% over 2oC limit, zero 2022, 42 countries
23% of humanity cause 28% of emissions, 436% over 2oC limit, zero 2033, 18 countries
39% of humanity cause 18% of emissions, 171% over 2oC limit, zero 2064, 60 countries
20% of humanity cause 3% of emissions, 51% of 2oC limit, zero 2185, 62 countries
18% cause an extraordinary 51% of emissions,
41% cause 79% of emissions,
20% cause a very small 3% of emissions, no climate change at all,
59% cause only 21% of emissions, no dangerous climate change.
Consumption emissions take into account

country (lawmaking unit) imports & exports
of goods & services.
Zero means that at current trends the
allotted 30,800 kgs C per cap 2013 to 2100
will be emitted by the year indicated.
Climate change
death map
247 ,796,348,779,267
400%
over limit
zero 2035
21 years
Those who cause

climate change
die the least those who dont
die the most.
419,000 deaths
per year, 96% in RED
and ORANGE countries
Deaths caused by climate

change emissions / emittors
in 2010 (from DARA):
419,000 total climate change
deaths per year for humanity;
82% or 161 DPM (Deaths Per Million)
are in RED countries;
14.0%, 46 DPM are in ORANGE countries;
3.7%, 11 DPM are in YELLOW countries;
0.1%, 0.1 DPM are in PINK countries -
30%
20%
82%
14%
20%
30%
4%
0.1%
Climate Change DPM (Deaths Per Million):

greater than 100, average 161 DPM
between 18 & 100, average 46 DPM
between 5 & 18, average 11 DPM
less than 5,
average 0.1 DPM
2C
542
,203,650,946,815
Humanitys cumulative emissions in KgC
28,800,000,000 kgs added per day
247
Climate change solution: emission limit
,796,348,786,094
Humanitys emission limit for 2oC in KgC
zero is 2035, 396% over limit
Rest of humanity
If all African
emissions were eliminated,
97% of global emissions
would still remain and destroy
everyones future
65,693,075
29,0
emissions from consumption per capita limit
17,038,794
61,8cumulative
emissions per non African
Climate change 1 cause: emissions,

1 solution: limit -
96.5%
vs
3.5%
by Africans
African countries
especially must keep their eyes on
the prize - money from high per capita
emitters will NOT stop climate change
catastrophe - destruction of the life
support system - emission reduction
by high per capita emitters will.
85.0%
96.5% / 97.2%
15.0%
3.5% / 2.6%
Africans
23,635,730
30,4
99,605,488
9,7 cumulative
emissions per African
Africans 15% of humanity, 54 countries:

3.5% of consumption emissions, 84% of the limit for 2oC
2.6% of cumulative emissions, 10 tC per African
2C
542
,203,650,946,815

247
,796,348,786,094
Rest of humanity
If all African
and all Latin American
everyones future
84,297,223
28,9
53,048,792
65,9
cumulative emissions non African-Latin American
Africans
23,635,733
30,4
99,605,481
9,7cumulative
emissions per African

1 solution: limit Latin Americans
29,9 18,790,675
71,660,763
22,0
cumulative emissions per Latin American
Blue-green countries
catastrophe -destruction of the life
90.4%
vs
3.5% by Africans
6.1% by Latins
9.6% by AfricanLatins
Latin Americans 9% of humanity, 33 countries:
6.1% of consumption emissions, 248% over limit for 2oC
4.0% of cumulative emissions, 25 tC per Latin American
15%
3.5% / 2.6%
9%
6.1% / 4.0%
24%
9.5% / 6.6%
Africans + Latin Americans
72,148,568
30,1
84,829,560
15,6
cumulative emissions per African Latin American
Africans + Latins 24% of humanity, 87 countries:

9.6% of consumption emissions, 145% over limit 2oC
6.6% of cumulative emissions, 15 tC per African Latin
2C
542
,203,650,946,815
247
,796,348,786,094
Rest of humanity
84,297,223
28,9
53,048,792
65,9
cumulative emissions non African-Latin-Asian
If all of African, Latin

& Southern Asian
everyones future

1 solution: limit Latin America
18,790,675
29,9
71,660,763
22,0
cumulative emissions per Latin American
These countries
catastrophe -destruction of the life
76.8%
vs
3.5% by Africans
6.1% by Latins
13.6% by South Asians
23.2% total
Latin Americans 9% of humanity, 33 countries:
6.1% of consumption emissions, 248% over limit for 2oC
4.0% of cumulative emissions, 25 tC per Latin American
SouthernAsia
23,635,733
30,4
99,605,481
9,7
cumulative emissions per Southern Asian
15%
3.5% / 2.6%
9%
6.1% / 4.0%
34%
13.6% / 7.5%
58% - 127 countries
23.2% / 14.2%
Africa
72,148,568
30,1
84,829,560
15,6
cumulative emissions per African
Southern Asians 34% of humanity, 40 countries:
7.5% of cumulative emissions, 11 tC per Southern Asian
South (all above) 59% of humanity, 127 countries:
14.2% of cumulative emissions, 13 tC per Southerner
2C
2C
Emissions:
cumulative / historic per human
542 ,203,650,947,187
counting up began 1860
Cumulative emissions are the cause of

climate change.
Lawmaking cumulative / H %avg rank
gigatonneskilograms C
542,203,650,748,862 155 years

247,796,348,759,250 21 years
It took about 155 years, 1860 to 2014,
to put about 540 gigatonnes in the atmosphere, at current trends it will take a
mere 21 years to put up another 250.
% of 2oC limit
USA 317 tC 637 % 5 317,604 ,735,234,465

Germany 283 tC 571 % 8 283,686 ,344,202,711
UK
324 tC 657 % 4 324,898 ,948,163,128
China 32 tC 63 % 91 32,848 ,950,184,350
9,625 ,905,060,848
India 9 tC 18 % 143
4,363 ,975,764,266
Nigeria 4 tC 8 % 164
Humanity 50 tC 100 % 74 50,494 ,702,660,720
49,278 ,386,637,007
Humanity on limit 2C
1,398 %
888 %
793 %
468 %
134 %
30 %
400 %
100 %
Cumulative emissions per human (shown in micrograms), the others in the top 8 rank: #1 Netherland Antillen, #2 Falkland Islands , #3 Luxembourg, #6 Belgium, #7 Czech Republic
2C
Emission limit 2C:

consumption of goods & services per human
247 ,796,348,809,520
gigatonneskilograms C
Lawmaking % of limit
2C Limit 100 %
USA 1,398 %
Germany 888 %
UK
793 %
China 468 %
India 134 %
Nigeria 30 %
Humanity 400 %
2C humanity zero 2035 - 400% over limit

2C 30,800 kg / cap counting down began 27 Sep 2013
years zero pop emissions
30,357 ,829,430,325 862100 100% 25%

26,004,472,908,658 52019 4.5%17.6%
27,252 ,938,750,002 92023 1.2% 2.8%
27,557 ,577,090,665 102024 0.9% 1.9%
29,032,569,895,510 202034 19.7%23.1%
30,277 ,350,608,946 722086 17.5% 5.8%
30,671 ,711,528,087 3712385 2.4% 0.2%
29,141 ,513,381,058 212035 100% 100%
* IPCC: To likely limit global warming to 2oC accounting for nonCO2 forcings, limit emissions to 260 gigatonnes of carbon maximum between 27 Sep 2013 and 2100 = 30,800 kg per human.
77%
Rich
20%
est
propo
nal
20%
rtio
Solutions
14%
4%
$ financing 2C
income
To finance
limiting emissions to 2C, use
the established economic science
principle of proportionality: income/
consumption/emissions - tax - are
proportionally related per capita.
Tax $
20%
Emission
Consumption
3%
2C
20%
$ 99 ,288,796,517,918
Income
per capita
2%
20%
Poor
est
GNI increasing 2.2% /yr
Tax $
only 0.06% growth required
<2C
2C
$ 99 ,288,796,517,918
GNI
increasing 2.2% /yr
solutions
bl
ita
pro
f
Limiting global warming

to 2C is highly profitable
Economic growth is initially
reduced by only 0.06%, from
projected 1.6 - 3% growth.
-0.06% is delayed growth,
benefits then increase building
a non-combustion, non-emitting,
robust, high technology economy
IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report
that will last.

Everything must be done to
reduce emissions radically
to limit global warming to
below 2C.
Franois Hollande,
President France
247
It is a race against time.
,796,348,833,311
2C
Humanity is 400% over limit,

zero is 2035, only 21 years.
Solutions have been available
for decades, act now.
2C
247
,796,348,801,458
2C 2035 - 400% over limit
t
i
m
i
l
C
!
m
e
l
b
o
No pr
UN Climate Change Conference
247,796,348,801,211
2C
UNFCCC objective:
stabilization gases
prevention danger
Emissions of 196 Parties must add up to 1 global limit for 2C gigatonnes kilograms carbon
PARTIES
Negotiations
Venue
VOICES
Knowledge
Pavilions
Indiginous
Peoples
Mountains
& Water
Forests
Observers Sustainable Energy

& Press
Cities
Oceans
247
2C
,796,348,778,420
HSfound@gmail.com
+44 7-8557 1-8557
247,796,348,749,221
12,203,651,041,627
Start
Stop
i am part of the
problem
solution
Limit my national emissions to 2C
Bruce Springsteen
Voices
we are part of the

problem
solution
Limit our national emissions to 2C
Voices
i am part of the
problem
solution
Voices
Voices
Limit my national emissions to 2C
we are part of the

problem / solution
limit global warming to 2C
limit our national emissions to 2C
Best educated,
healthiest, wealthiest,
highest emitters
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
Limit
my nations
emissions
to 2C
2C
There is 1 Objective: Stabilization

De
Climate change
global warming
1995
247
2000
2005
2010
ili
b
ta
o
ati
,796,348,790,615
2015
2C
There is 1
Objective:
Stabilization
Peru will
succeed
1995
ab
t
s
e
tio
a
z
li
247 ,796,348,789,101
2000
2005
2010
2015
In any contest
with nature,
man will loose the laws of
man must obey
natures laws
which science
discovers.
+ 8
+ 7
+ 6
+ 5
+ 4
+ 3
+ 2
+ 1
Guide to Lima COP20: there is 1 Objective
2C

247
400% over limit - zero 2035
Lima cannot,
must not fail.
,796,348,794,204
*COP16
Gender
Finance
Adaptation
Poverty
Efficiency
Energy
Cities
Water
Indiginous
Agriculture
Jobs
Industry
Health
Forests
Oceans
Renewables
Economy
Mountains
The clock is ticking

time is running out
247 ,796,348,770,366
every minute
20 million kg C emissions
every hour
1.2 billion kg
every day
30 billion kg
every 34 days
1 gigatonne
every year
11 gigatonnes
in 21 years
247 gigatonnes time is up: 2C
2C
2C
Nuclear vs coal-oil-gas-bio energy

climate change deaths per year
419,000+
0
70
deaths per year radiation, etc.
coal
oil
gas
92%: emitting energy
bio
Combustion, emission coal-oil-gas-bio energy the principle cause of climate change - currently
causes nearly a half million deaths per year
from extreme weather-temperature, floods,
storms, food-water shortages, disease increase,etc.
Additionally coal-oil-gas-bio energy accidents
cause thousands of deaths each year.
Long-life climate changing gases last thousands of
years - and 14.9 million times more waste just in
CO2, to Carbon-Capture-Store, than nuclear since 1960.
nuclear
5%: non-emitting energy

Non-combustion, non-emission
nuclear energy causes no
climate change deaths.
Since its inception in 1960,
nuclear energy has caused an
average of 70 deaths per year
due to accidents, radiation.
Long-life radiation lasts
thousands-millions of years - but
a fraction of the waste of CO2.
o s ph e
tm
re
2C
E
mi
im
s si o n L
To limit global warming

to 2oC limit emissions to
it
247 ,796,348,773,992
decreasing emission limit gigatonnes kilograms carbon
Humanity is 400% over limit, zero is 2035, energy supply is 92% emittives
Climate change has

1 cause: emissions
1 solution: limit
Solar Wind Hydro Geo Nuclear Bio

Gas
Oil
Coal
Cement Land use ForestEnergy Behavior Carbon
Geoenergy energy energy energy energy energy energy energy energy production change other sinks efficiency change capture-store engineering
All climate actions must add up to 1 global emission limit for 2C
247 ,796,348,822,480
2C
Voices
Emissions of 193
nations must add
up to 1 global
limit for 2C.
Humanity is 400%
over limit, zero is
24 Oct 2014
EU will cut greenhouse gas emissions

40% by 2030 compared to 1990 level
419
No mention of 2C or 247 GtC limit, what do the pledges mean?:
Im
750%
over limit
for 2C
President Jose Barroso

European Commission
%*
Europes over limit will go down 331%, from 750% to 419%.

EU will reach its emission limit not in 2100 but in 2034.
By 2030, Europeans, 7% of the population will have emitted 6% of
the global limit for humanity to last till 2100, in just 16 years.
By 2030, Europeans, 7%, will have emitted 14 gigatonnes of carbon.
*
%
20
Im
468%
*territorial not
consumption
emissions
over limit
for 2C
China
n
o
i
s
s
e
Rec
la
o
b
E
e
t
a
t
S
c
i
m
a
l
Is
n
o
i
t
a
r
g
i
m
Im
2C
Terrorism, instability,
inequality, disease - there is
one issue that will define this
century, the catastrophe of
climate change... and we
do nothing to stop it.
There is 1 Objective
De
il
b
a
t
iz
o
ati
Lima COP20 Climate Conference 2014
Outcome
Agreement =
2CLimit =
247
,796,348,811,701
= emission limit for 2C

Cop20 Science Reality. Por Michael Wadleigh

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UN CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE 2014

UN CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE 2014

Dr. Sathasivian Saths Cooper, President of the International Union of Psychological

Science: CLIMATE CHANGE

THIS BABY WILL

knowledge, evidence, consensus.

It is science that brings our medicines

Solutions have been available

hydrogen fuel cells

Dr. Rajendra Pachauri

Dr. Thomas Stocker

Dr. Reto Knutti

Dr. Youba Sokona

Dr. Shreekant Gupta

Everything must be done to

CO2 emissions to 2013:

CO2 emissions in 2013:

approved by the governments of the world

updated from IPCC 2013 WGI PMC

IPCC AR5 Working Group I

To limit global warming to

CO2 emissions to 2013:

CO2 emissions in 2013:

approved by the governments of the world

updated from IPCC 2013 WGI PMC

IPCC AR5 Working Group I

When offered clear scientific

CO2 emissions to 2013:

CO2 emissions in 2013:

approved by the governments of the world

updated from IPCC 2013 WGI PMC

IPCC AR5 Working Group I

IPCC scientists tell us that

Jose Barroso, EC President

CO2 emissions to 2013:

CO2 emissions in 2013:

approved by the governments of the world

updated from IPCC 2013 WGI PMC

IPCC AR5 Working Group I

Emission limit for 2C:

CO2 emissions to 2013:

CO2 emissions in 2013:

approved by the governments of the world

updated from IPCC 2013 WGI PMC

IPCC AR5 Working Group I

UN CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE 2014

Limit global warming to 2C

Climate change has

gigatonnes kilograms carbon

To limit global warming to 2C limit emissions to

Emissions of 193 nations must add up to 1 global limit for 2C

To limit global warming to 2C limit emissions to

gigatonnes kilograms carbon

1.5C dangerous destabilization has already happened

To likely limit global warming to 1.5C,

In 2013, COP19, concentrations

increasing 1 gigatonne every 34 days

gigatonnes kilograms carbon

To avoid catastrophe for everyone there is now 1 objective: 2C

Save your childs life do everything to get

Life threatening emergency

There is only 1 objective

To limit global warming to 2C* limit emissions to